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Zevia PBC (ZVIA)
NYSE:ZVIA
US Market

Zevia PBC (ZVIA) AI Stock Analysis

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ZVIA

Zevia PBC

(NYSE:ZVIA)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(8.11% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (continued losses and negative operating/free cash flow) and bearish technicals (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by a more positive earnings-call backdrop (raised sales guidance and improving EBITDA-loss outlook) and a modestly supportive board/marketing-focused corporate update, while valuation remains constrained by unprofitability.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth and distribution expansion
Sustained top-line growth and raised guidance reflect deeper retail distribution (notably Walmart and Canada) and stronger brand pull. Structural expansion of retail footprint and household penetration increases scale, supports gross-margin leverage potential, and improves path to durable profitability.
Productivity initiatives bolstering margins
Confirmed multi-year cost savings materially improve unit economics and offset input cost volatility. Recurring productivity savings reduce cash burn risk, enhance margin sustainability, and support reinvestment in marketing and innovation to drive durable volume and mix improvements.
Conservative leverage and low debt
Minimal financial leverage lowers interest burden and bankruptcy risk, preserving strategic optionality. A light balance sheet gives management flexibility to invest in distribution or marketing and access capital if cash flow remains constrained over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Continued cash consumption means the business cannot self-fund growth or capex, increasing reliance on external financing. Over months, persistent negative OCF compresses liquidity, limits strategic investments, and elevates dilution or refinancing risks if trends do not reverse.
Ongoing unprofitability and negative margins
Sustained negative margins hinder equity rebuilding and limit retained-earnings growth. Even with improving trends, persistent losses erode book value and constrain returns, reducing capital available for marketing or innovation without dilutive external funding.
Exposure to aluminum tariffs and inventory obsolescence
Structural input-cost risk from tariffs and packaging changes can persistently raise COGS and force promotional/price actions. Inventory obsolescence is a recurring execution risk that directly damages margins and cash, undermining sustainable profitability unless mitigated.

Zevia PBC (ZVIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zevia PBC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZevia PBC, a beverage company, develops, markets, sells, and distributes various carbonated and non-carbonated soft drinks in the United States and Canada. It offers soda, energy drinks, organic tea, mixers, kidz beverages, and sparkling water. The company offers its products through various retail channels, including grocery distributors, national retailers, warehouse club, and natural products retailers, as well as e-commerce channels. It provides its products under the Zevia brand name. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Encino, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyZevia PBC generates revenue primarily through the sale of its naturally sweetened beverage products. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to retailers, distributors, and online platforms. Zevia's products are distributed across a wide network of grocery stores, natural food retailers, and e-commerce channels, which helps to increase its market reach and accessibility to health-conscious consumers. Additionally, strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors play a significant role in expanding its distribution footprint. Zevia's earnings are also influenced by factors such as consumer preferences for healthier products, market trends in the beverage industry, and its ability to maintain competitive pricing while managing production costs.

Zevia PBC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong quarter for Zevia with significant net sales growth, improved consumer engagement, and strategic distribution expansions that have led to a positive outlook for the remainder of the year. Despite some profitability challenges due to aluminum tariffs and inventory losses, the company's strategic initiatives and raised guidance suggest a positive trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales Growth and Raised Guidance
Net sales for Q3 2025 increased by 12% to $40.8 million. The company raised its full-year net sales guidance to $162 million to $164 million, up from $158 million to $163 million.
Strategic Growth Pillars
Strong progress across strategic growth pillars including marketing, product innovation, and distribution, leading to increased consumer engagement and expanded user base.
Successful Product Launches
New flavors like Strawberry Lemon Burst, Peaches & Cream, and Salted Caramel showed strong acceptance, with Peaches & Cream becoming the fastest-selling new Zevia item on Amazon.
Expanded Distribution
Significant distribution expansion, especially in Walmart and Canadian markets, contributing to strong new-to-brand consumer growth.
Improved Household Penetration
Household penetration improved to over 5%, with a focus on millennial households, indicating growth potential within the better-for-you soda category.
Productivity Initiatives
Productivity initiatives have saved $15 million in 2025, with an additional $5 million expected in 2026, helping to strengthen market position.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 350 basis points to 45.6% due to inventory obsolescence associated with packaging refresh and full realization of aluminum tariffs.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss for Q3 2025 was $1.7 million, compared to a loss of $1.5 million in the prior year, primarily due to inventory losses and increased brand marketing spend.
Challenges with Aluminum Tariffs
Aluminum tariffs continue to pose a significant cost challenge, impacting profitability.
Company Guidance
During Zevia's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 12% increase in net sales, reaching $40.8 million, and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.7 million. In response to stronger-than-expected results, Zevia raised its full-year net sales guidance to between $162 million and $164 million and adjusted EBITDA loss guidance to $5 million to $5.5 million. The company cited expanded distribution, particularly with Walmart, and strong brand marketing as key drivers of growth. Gross margin declined by 350 basis points to 45.6% due to inventory obsolescence from a packaging refresh and aluminum tariffs. Despite these challenges, Zevia continues to focus on its strategic growth pillars, including high-impact marketing and accelerated product innovation, which have significantly increased consumer engagement and brand consideration. Looking forward, Zevia anticipates continued expansion in distribution channels and a focus on increasing household penetration to drive sustainable growth and profitability.

Zevia PBC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving but still weak overall: stronger TTM revenue growth and better gross margin, plus narrower losses and reduced cash burn. However, the business remains unprofitable with negative operating/EBITDA margins and still has negative operating and free cash flow, while losses continue to erode equity despite very low leverage.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew strongly versus the prior year (about +2.8x), and gross margin improved to ~49% (from ~46% in 2024), signaling better unit economics. Losses have narrowed materially since 2021–2022, with the TTM net loss margin improving to about -9% (vs. ~-13% in 2023–2024). However, the company remains unprofitable with negative operating and EBITDA margins in every period shown, and growth has been volatile (2024 revenue declined year-over-year), keeping the income statement quality below average despite improving trends.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Leverage is very low, with TTM debt-to-equity around 0.02 and total debt under $1M, which reduces financial risk and interest burden. That said, equity has been steadily shrinking (from ~$128M in 2021 to ~$51M TTM) as losses accumulate, and returns on equity remain meaningfully negative (TTM ROE roughly -23%). Overall, the balance sheet is conservatively levered, but ongoing losses are eroding the capital base.
Cash Flow
36
Negative
Cash generation remains weak: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative (about -$6.2M and -$6.5M, respectively), indicating the business is still consuming cash. Cash burn has improved substantially versus 2022–2023 (when operating cash flow was far more negative), and free cash flow improved sharply on a growth basis in the TTM period. Still, negative operating cash flow suggests profitability improvements have not yet translated into sustainable cash self-funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue162.85M155.05M166.42M163.18M138.17M110.03M
Gross Profit78.76M71.93M74.76M70.02M63.94M49.50M
EBITDA-12.31M-20.19M-27.33M-46.52M-86.43M-4.55M
Net Income-14.37M-20.00M-21.49M-33.86M-47.90M-6.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.01M67.95M90.86M98.93M124.99M49.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.03M30.65M31.95M47.40M73.11M14.94M
Total Debt830.00K1.31M1.95M715.00K237.00K861.00K
Total Liabilities24.21M25.01M29.09M17.15M20.43M246.77M
Stockholders Equity51.25M64.88M89.88M109.95M128.48M-196.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.46M-1.30M-17.90M-23.70M-20.95M-4.06M
Operating Cash Flow-6.19M-1.02M-16.27M-21.11M-17.81M-3.26M
Investing Cash Flow-271.00K-283.00K805.00K27.41M-33.14M-805.00K
Financing Cash Flow-202.00K0.0025.00K-2.01M79.12M15.76M

Zevia PBC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.85
Price Trends
50DMA
2.29
Negative
100DMA
2.37
Negative
200DMA
2.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
39.51
Neutral
STOCH
27.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZVIA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.90, below the 50-day MA of 2.29, and below the 200-day MA of 2.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZVIA.

Zevia PBC Risk Analysis

Zevia PBC disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zevia PBC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zevia PBC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.04B46.1524.02%23.12%16.20%
70
Outperform
$3.19B17.1240.93%0.97%0.36%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$49.50M-17.07-167.45%17.48%0.77%
46
Neutral
$138.76M-8.14-23.12%6.17%41.09%
38
Underperform
$349.06M-1.54-180.66%3.37%46.17%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.85
-1.92
-50.93%
FIZZ
National Beverage
34.08
-7.01
-17.06%
BRFH
Barfresh Food Group
3.10
-0.61
-16.44%
OTLY
Oatly Group
11.51
-0.15
-1.29%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
53.35
16.33
44.11%

Zevia PBC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Zevia PBC Adds Experienced Consumer Marketer to Board
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Zevia PBC appointed Suzanne Ginestro, Chief Marketing Officer of Califia Farms, as an independent Class II director effective immediately, adding her to the Board’s Compensation Committee and positioning the company to benefit from her more than 25 years of marketing and brand-building experience across food, beverage and wellness categories. The company also disclosed that Justin Shaw will step down from the Board effective February 24, 2026, with no disagreements cited, signaling an orderly refresh of board composition that brings additional growth-focused consumer marketing expertise to support Zevia’s expansion strategy and long-term value creation efforts for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZVIA) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zevia PBC stock, see the ZVIA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026