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Zevia PBC (ZVIA)
NYSE:ZVIA
US Market

Zevia PBC (ZVIA) AI Stock Analysis

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ZVIA

Zevia PBC

(NYSE:ZVIA)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(4.90% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative free cash flow, and declining equity) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by improving operating trends and constructive 2026 guidance targeting mid-single-digit growth and near-breakeven adjusted EBITDA, though tariff and mix headwinds remain meaningful.
Positive Factors
Gross Margin Expansion
Sustained gross margin improvement to ~48% reflects durable gains from better product costing and inventory management. Higher base margins provide structural buffer against commodity shocks, support operating leverage as volumes grow, and materially improve the path to sustained profitability.
Retail Distribution & Channel Expansion
Nationwide Walmart placement, a national Costco rotation and expanded shelf space at major grocers materially increase reach and scale. Broader distribution reduces concentration risk, improves repeat purchase potential and strengthens the brand's structural ability to grow unit volumes over multiple quarters.
Liquidity & Productivity Savings
A solid cash buffer plus an undrawn revolver lowers refinancing risk and gives time to execute the plan. Delivering the final ~$5M productivity tranche is a structural margin tailwind that, combined with targeted marketing, supports investment for growth while helping push adjusted EBITDA toward breakeven.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow means the business still consumes cash despite improvement. Continued cash burn limits self‑funding for marketing and working capital, increases reliance on external financing, and constrains the company’s flexibility to scale without capital support.
Ongoing Losses & Equity Erosion
Material decline in shareholder equity from cumulative losses signals erosion of the capital base. This weakens balance-sheet resilience, may limit borrowing capacity, and raises the risk of dilution or constrained investment if sustained profitability and cash generation are not achieved.
Tariff & Channel Margin Pressure
A structural ~$5M aluminum tariff and known margin dilution from club/Costco programs create persistent cost and channel mix headwinds. These pressures make margins more volatile and require either sustained price realization or further productivity to protect profitability as volumes shift across channels.

Zevia PBC (ZVIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zevia PBC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZevia PBC, a beverage company, develops, markets, sells, and distributes various carbonated and non-carbonated soft drinks in the United States and Canada. It offers soda, energy drinks, organic tea, mixers, kidz beverages, and sparkling water. The company offers its products through various retail channels, including grocery distributors, national retailers, warehouse club, and natural products retailers, as well as e-commerce channels. It provides its products under the Zevia brand name. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Encino, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyZevia PBC generates revenue primarily through the sale of its naturally sweetened beverage products. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to retailers, distributors, and online platforms. Zevia's products are distributed across a wide network of grocery stores, natural food retailers, and e-commerce channels, which helps to increase its market reach and accessibility to health-conscious consumers. Additionally, strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors play a significant role in expanding its distribution footprint. Zevia's earnings are also influenced by factors such as consumer preferences for healthier products, market trends in the beverage industry, and its ability to maintain competitive pricing while managing production costs.

Zevia PBC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive tone: the company returned to growth in 2025, materially improved profitability metrics (narrowed net loss and adjusted EBITDA), expanded distribution (national Walmart presence and Costco rotation), and launched successful product innovations and marketing campaigns. Management provided confident 2026 guidance targeting mid-single-digit top-line growth and near-breakeven adjusted EBITDA, supported by continued marketing investment and the final tranche of productivity savings. Key risks include an immediate aluminum tariff headwind (~$5M), a planned tea discontinuation reducing growth by ~1–1.5 points, near-term margin dilution from club programs (Costco) and sensitivity to retailer reset timing. Overall, positives — revenue growth, improved margins for the year, distribution and product momentum, stronger liquidity and actionable guidance toward profitability — outweigh the headwinds described.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Growth and Improved Full-Year Financials
Full year 2025 net sales grew 4% to $161.3 million. Net loss improved to $11.1 million from $23.8 million in 2024, and adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed materially to negative $4.7 million (versus -$15.2M in 2024), reflecting a significant year-over-year improvement in profitability.
Quarterly Profitability Progress
Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 reached roughly breakeven (~$50,000) and net loss for the quarter improved to $1.3 million from $6.8 million year-over-year, demonstrating marked sequential improvement.
Gross Margin Expansion for the Year
Full year gross margin expanded to 48.0% in 2025 from 46.4% in 2024 (up ~160 basis points year-over-year), driven by better product costing and improved inventory management.
Distribution and Retail Wins
Achieved nationwide presence in Walmart as an anchor within the retailer's modern soda set; launched a national Costco front-of-store rotation (variety pack) that entered new regions; expanded shelf space and secured eye-level vertical brand block at Albertsons; Canadian Walmart coverage grew to just over half of stores.
Product Innovation and Top-Selling SKUs
2025 innovation saw strong consumer resonance: Orange Creamsicle was the #1 six-pack at Sprouts post-launch; the new fruity variety pack became a top Zevia SKU at Walmart and is rolling out more broadly; new flavors and elevated taste profiles are expected to drive trial and repeat into 2026.
Marketing and Brand Momentum
Amplified marketing efforts (influencer activations, event sampling, out-of-home) produced strong early editorial and social outcomes; management plans to increase 2026 marketing investment to ~12-13% of revenue to support packaging rollout and broad-reach campaigns.
Solid Liquidity and Cost Savings
Ended the quarter with ~$25.4 million in cash and an undrawn $20 million revolving credit line. Productivity initiatives are delivering savings, with the last $5 million tranche expected to hit the P&L by end of Q2 2026.
Positive 2026 Guidance
Management targets 2026 net sales of $169–$173 million (midpoint ≈ $171M, ~6% growth vs. 2025) and forecasts adjusted EBITDA of between -$1.0 million and +$0.5 million for the full year, signaling expected continued improvement toward profitability.
Negative Updates
Q4 Revenue Decline and Timing Shifts
Net sales in Q4 2025 decreased 4% to $37.9 million, driven by lapping prior year expanded Walmart sell-in and a timing shift of Costco rotations from Q4 into Q1, which diluted Q4 results and shifted volume cadence into 2026.
Quarterly Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin for Q4 fell to 47.7%, a decline of 150 basis points versus 49.2% in Q4 2024, reflecting channel mix from returning to the club channel and higher tariff/aluminum costs that partially offset savings and lower promotions.
Tariff-Driven Aluminum Cost Headwind
Management disclosed an incremental ~$5.0 million in tariff-related aluminum costs beginning in Q2 2026; this cost is explicitly modeled into guidance and expected to pressure margins absent further mitigation.
Product Line Discontinuation Impact
Planned discontinuation of the tea line in 2026 is expected to reduce growth by ~1.0–1.5 percentage points, a near-term headwind to topline expansion.
Adjusted EBITDA and Profitability Still Negative for 2025
Despite large improvements, full-year adjusted EBITDA remained negative at -$4.7 million in 2025 and the company still expects a first-quarter adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.6–$1.9 million, underscoring continued need to reach sustained profitability.
Rising G&A and Variable Compensation
Q4 general & administrative expense increased to $7.3 million (19.3% of net sales) versus $6.8 million (17.3%) year-over-year, driven primarily by higher accrued variable compensation, which pressures operating leverage.
Margin Dilution from Club/Costco Programs
The national Costco front-of-store program, while driving trial and new-region penetration, is acknowledged to be dilutive to gross margin in the near term, particularly affecting Q1 cadence.
Exposure to Retail Cadence and Reset Timing
Revenue and margin cadence remain sensitive to retail reset timing (spring sets), rotation schedules and visibility from major retailers; several spring sets remain forthcoming which adds execution risk to 2026 expectations.
Company Guidance
Zevia guided 2026 net sales of $169–$173 million (about 6% growth at the midpoint versus 2025), noting the planned discontinuation of its tea line will reduce growth by ~1–1.5 percentage points and that volumes will be weighted toward Q1 and Q3; Q1 net sales are forecast at $40–$42 million. Profitability guidance calls for full‑year adjusted EBITDA between a $1.0 million loss and $0.5 million profit, with Q1 adjusted EBITDA expected to be a $1.6–$1.9 million loss; gross margin is expected in the mid‑40% range in Q1 and to improve to the high‑40% range beginning in Q2 (barring further aluminum cost increases). The plan reflects an incremental $5 million of tariff‑related aluminum costs beginning in Q2, realization of the final $5 million of productivity savings toward the end of Q2, price increases effective in Q2 (assumed elasticity ~1.1), and marketing investment of roughly 12–13% of revenue in 2026.

Zevia PBC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show operational improvement (gross margin expansion to ~48% in 2025 and meaningfully narrowed losses), and balance-sheet leverage is very low. However, revenue has been inconsistent, the company remains unprofitable, equity has declined materially since 2021, and operating/free cash flow are still negative (cash burn persists despite improvement).
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Revenue has been broadly flat over the last several years ($138.2M in 2021 to $161.3M in 2025), with a notable decline in 2024 and a modest rebound in 2025. The key positive is steady gross profitability with improving gross margin (about 43% in 2022 to ~48% in 2025). However, the company remains unprofitable, with net losses every year and negative operating profitability; while losses narrowed meaningfully in 2025 (net margin improved to about -6% from ~-13% in 2023–2024), sustained profitability has not yet been achieved.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage is very low and has stayed low (debt-to-equity around ~1–2% in 2021–2025), which reduces balance-sheet risk and interest burden. That said, equity has declined materially since 2021 (from ~$128.5M to ~$51.0M in 2025), reflecting ongoing losses, and returns on equity remain negative in recent years—signaling continued value erosion despite the conservative debt profile.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation remains a weak point: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative across all periods shown, including 2025 (about -$4.7M operating cash flow and -$5.0M free cash flow). The trend is improving versus the much larger cash burn in 2022–2023, but cash flow still is not self-funding. A notable nuance is that free cash flow loss is generally similar to or slightly better than the accounting loss (e.g., 2025 free cash flow-to-net income > 1), which suggests some non-cash expenses are helping reported earnings look worse than cash—yet the business still consumes cash overall.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue161.26M155.05M166.42M163.18M138.17M
Gross Profit76.55M71.93M74.76M70.02M63.94M
EBITDA-10.24M-20.19M-27.33M-46.52M-86.43M
Net Income-10.08M-20.00M-21.49M-33.86M-47.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.62M67.95M90.86M98.93M124.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.35M30.65M31.95M47.40M73.11M
Total Debt668.00K1.31M1.95M715.00K237.00K
Total Liabilities28.02M25.01M29.09M17.15M20.43M
Stockholders Equity51.04M64.88M89.88M109.95M128.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.01M-1.30M-17.90M-23.70M-20.95M
Operating Cash Flow-4.70M-1.02M-16.27M-21.11M-17.81M
Investing Cash Flow-307.00K-283.00K805.00K27.41M-33.14M
Financing Cash Flow-289.00K0.0025.00K-2.01M79.12M

Zevia PBC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.43
Price Trends
50DMA
1.84
Negative
100DMA
2.18
Negative
200DMA
2.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
35.94
Neutral
STOCH
51.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZVIA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.57, below the 50-day MA of 1.84, and below the 200-day MA of 2.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZVIA.

Zevia PBC Risk Analysis

Zevia PBC disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zevia PBC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zevia PBC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.09B42.3024.16%23.12%16.20%
70
Outperform
$3.49B17.3040.93%0.97%0.36%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$42.00M-47.82-167.45%17.48%0.77%
47
Neutral
$355.65M-2.13-248.60%3.37%46.17%
46
Neutral
$107.40M-15.19-17.19%6.17%41.09%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.40
-0.83
-37.22%
FIZZ
National Beverage
35.72
-5.59
-13.53%
BRFH
Barfresh Food Group
2.65
-1.18
-30.73%
OTLY
Oatly Group
11.09
2.01
22.14%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
53.00
20.84
64.80%

Zevia PBC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Zevia PBC Adds Experienced Consumer Marketer to Board
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Zevia PBC appointed Suzanne Ginestro, Chief Marketing Officer of Califia Farms, as an independent Class II director effective immediately, adding her to the Board’s Compensation Committee and positioning the company to benefit from her more than 25 years of marketing and brand-building experience across food, beverage and wellness categories. The company also disclosed that Justin Shaw will step down from the Board effective February 24, 2026, with no disagreements cited, signaling an orderly refresh of board composition that brings additional growth-focused consumer marketing expertise to support Zevia’s expansion strategy and long-term value creation efforts for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZVIA) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zevia PBC stock, see the ZVIA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026