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Barfresh Food Group (BRFH)
NASDAQ:BRFH
US Market

Barfresh Food Group (BRFH) AI Stock Analysis

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BRFH

Barfresh Food Group

(NASDAQ:BRFH)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-3.23% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, continued cash burn, and a more leveraged balance sheet). Offsetting this, management commentary and guidance are strong, supported by record revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA, while technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive. Valuation remains a caution due to negative earnings and no dividend signal.
Positive Factors
Integrated Manufacturing (Arps Dairy)
Owning Arps Dairy gives Barfresh in-house manufacturing and operational control, reducing dependence on co-packers. This structural capability supports consistent supply, faster product launches, lower per-unit costs and better margin capture as volumes scale over the next 2-6 months and beyond.
Top-line Momentum
Sustained revenue growth and a record preliminary FY2025 result reflect durable demand in foodservice and education channels. The recurring replenishment model and expanding distribution create a multi-month runway for continued revenue expansion and better fixed-cost absorption as scale increases.
Core Margin Economics & Adjusted EBITDA
Gross margins in the mid-30% range and recent positive adjusted EBITDA indicate underlying product economics that can support profitability when scale is achieved. If revenue growth continues, these margins offer operating leverage potential once one-time acquisition and startup costs normalize.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash Burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow signals reliance on external financing to fund growth and operations. Continued cash burn constrains reinvestment capacity, increases dilution or leverage risk, and reduces resilience to execution delays while scaling manufacturing and distribution.
Weakened Balance Sheet / Higher Leverage
Rising debt alongside a shrinking equity base pushes leverage materially higher, reducing financial flexibility. A thinner equity cushion increases solvency risk and can raise the cost of capital, limiting the company's ability to invest opportunistically or absorb operational setbacks during the scale-up.
Sustained Negative Net Profitability
Despite improving top-line and adjusted EBITDA, deep negative net margins and ongoing operating losses show genuine profitability has not been achieved. Acquisition and transition costs may pressure near-term margins, meaning several quarters of execution are required before sustainable net profits emerge.

Barfresh Food Group (BRFH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Barfresh Food Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarfresh Food Group, Inc. manufactures and distributes ready-to-drink and ready-to-blend frozen beverages in the United States. The company offers smoothies, shakes and frappes in various formats comprising ready-to-drink bottled, easy pour, juice concentrates, and single serve. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarfresh Food Group makes money through the sale of its ready-to-blend frozen beverages to various foodservice operators. The company's revenue model is primarily based on selling these products to restaurants, convenience stores, and schools, which then serve them to their customers. Barfresh generates income through direct sales and has distribution agreements with key foodservice distributors to widen its market reach. These partnerships are crucial for expanding its customer base and facilitating product delivery. Additionally, Barfresh may also earn from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its market presence and product offerings.

Barfresh Food Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Barfresh Group highlighted strong revenue growth, strategic acquisition, and operational improvements, while also acknowledging manufacturing challenges and costs related to the acquisition. The positive aspects, such as record revenue and successful acquisition, outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Barfresh achieved its highest quarterly revenue in company history at $4.2 million, representing a 16% year-over-year growth.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
The company achieved positive adjusted EBITDA of approximately $153,000, a substantial improvement from the prior year's loss of $124,000.
Strategic Acquisition of Arps Dairy
Barfresh completed the acquisition of Arps Dairy, providing significant manufacturing capabilities and enhancing their business model for long-term growth.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 37% in Q3 2025 from 31% in the first half of the year, reaching levels close to the 38% achieved in Q3 2024.
Government Grant for Expansion
A $2.3 million government grant was preliminarily approved to support the construction and equipment needs for the expanded facility at Arps Dairy.
Negative Updates
Manufacturing Challenges
The company faced manufacturing challenges and startup issues for Juice Freeze Pops at one of their co-packers, impacting the first half performance.
Acquisition-Related Costs
G&A expenses increased due to $214,000 in acquisition-related expenses associated with the Arps Dairy transaction.
Temporary Margin Impact
The transition to the new facility is expected to involve start-up and implementation costs, temporarily impacting Barfresh margins.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call, Barfresh Food Group highlighted several key metrics and strategic developments that underscore its growth trajectory. The company reported its highest quarterly revenue in history at $4.2 million, marking a 16% year-over-year growth, and achieved positive adjusted EBITDA of approximately $153,000, a significant improvement from the prior year's loss of about $124,000. This financial performance was driven by improved production consistency and expanded distribution, particularly in the education channel with products like Pop & Go 100% Juice Freeze Pops. The strategic acquisition of Arps Dairy was a pivotal move, providing Barfresh with its own manufacturing capabilities, expected to enhance operational efficiency and support its long-term growth. The guidance for fiscal year 2025 revenue was reiterated at $14.5 million to $15.5 million, representing a 36% to 46% year-over-year growth, with fiscal year 2026 projected revenue set at $30 million to $35 million, a 126% increase from the high end of the 2025 guidance. This growth forecast reflects the anticipated full-year contribution from Arps Dairy and ongoing market penetration efforts.

Barfresh Food Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements show meaningful risk: despite revenue rebounding in 2024 and gross margin holding around the mid-30% range, profitability remains deeply negative (2024 net margin about -26%), operating losses persist, and cash burn continues with negative operating and free cash flow (about -$2.2M to -$2.3M in 2024). The balance sheet also weakened as equity fell and leverage rose (debt-to-equity ~1.44), reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
26
Negative
Revenue rebounded in 2024 (+8.78% YoY) after a slight decline in 2023, and gross margin stayed solid (~34% in 2024). However, profitability remains a clear weak point: 2024 net margin was deeply negative (-26.4%) and operating losses persisted (negative EBIT/EBITDA), even though losses improved meaningfully versus 2022’s very weak results. Overall, the company shows some top-line momentum and stable gross profitability, but it has not yet translated that into sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Leverage and capital structure weakened in 2024 as debt rose to $0.83M while equity fell sharply to $0.58M, pushing debt-to-equity up to ~1.44 (a meaningful jump versus prior years). Returns to shareholders remain very negative (2024 return on equity about -4.89), reflecting ongoing losses and a thinner equity buffer. While total debt is not huge in absolute dollars, the reduced equity base increases balance-sheet risk and limits flexibility.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation remains pressured, with operating cash flow negative in each year shown, including -$2.23M in 2024 and negative free cash flow of -$2.28M. Free cash flow also deteriorated in 2024 (about -10.7% YoY), indicating continued cash burn rather than a clear path to self-funding operations. While cash burn improved versus some earlier periods, the consistent negative operating and free cash flow profile remains a key financial risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.98M10.72M8.13M9.16M6.70M2.57M
Gross Profit3.40M3.67M2.88M1.44M2.51M764.07K
EBITDA-2.65M-2.49M-2.41M-4.94M-498.00K-3.60M
Net Income-3.01M-2.83M-2.82M-6.13M-1.26M-4.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.77M3.32M4.81M5.50M9.72M5.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments712.00K235.00K1.89M2.81M5.53M1.82M
Total Debt176.00K832.00K0.0020.00K95.00K1.89M
Total Liabilities1.72M2.74M2.31M2.57M1.54M3.49M
Stockholders Equity2.05M578.00K2.50M2.93M8.18M2.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.40M-2.28M-2.96M-2.66M-2.01M-3.27M
Operating Cash Flow-2.25M-2.23M-2.96M-2.65M-1.86M-3.20M
Investing Cash Flow-143.00K-53.00K0.00-13.00K-150.54K-59.66K
Financing Cash Flow2.73M626.00K1.83M5.00K5.73M4.20M

Barfresh Food Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.10
Price Trends
50DMA
3.13
Negative
100DMA
3.22
Negative
200DMA
3.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
47.96
Neutral
STOCH
35.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRFH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.19, below the 50-day MA of 3.13, and above the 200-day MA of 3.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BRFH.

Barfresh Food Group Risk Analysis

Barfresh Food Group disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Barfresh Food Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Barfresh Food Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.04B46.1524.02%23.12%16.20%
75
Outperform
$4.57B14.1625.18%4.78%18.92%34.03%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$49.50M-17.07-167.45%17.48%0.77%
46
Neutral
$138.76M-8.14-23.12%6.17%41.09%
38
Underperform
$349.06M-1.54-180.66%3.37%46.17%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRFH
Barfresh Food Group
3.10
-0.61
-16.44%
AKO.A
Embotelladora Andina SA
24.15
10.11
72.01%
OTLY
Oatly Group
11.51
-0.15
-1.29%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.85
-1.92
-50.93%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
53.35
16.33
44.11%

Barfresh Food Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Barfresh Projects Strong 2026 Growth After Record Revenue
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Barfresh reported record preliminary fiscal 2025 revenue of $14.2 million, a 32% increase over 2024 and the highest in the company’s history, driven in part by its acquisition of Arps Dairy, which has strengthened its operational capabilities and integrated manufacturing model. The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook of $30 million to $35 million and introduced 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $3.5 million to $5.0 million, signaling expectations of substantial growth and improved cash flow as it leverages its expanded production capacity to broaden its product portfolio and capture greater market share across multiple sales channels.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRFH) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barfresh Food Group stock, see the BRFH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Barfresh Director Ortiz-Cochet to Retire; Unibel Retains Influence
Neutral
Jan 23, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Barfresh Food Group announced that director Isabelle Ortiz-Cochet, who serves on the Nominating and Governance Committee and was initially appointed under a 2016 investor rights agreement with Unibel, notified the company she will retire from the board effective March 31, 2026, with her departure not stemming from any disagreement. Under the terms of that agreement, Unibel retains the right to appoint a director to Barfresh’s board with committee participation and, if its designee is not seated as a director, to have a board observer, while the company and key shareholders, including Riccardo Delle Coste and Steven Lang and their affiliates, are obligated to support Unibel’s chosen representative, underscoring Unibel’s continuing governance influence despite the upcoming board change.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRFH) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barfresh Food Group stock, see the BRFH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Barfresh Food Group Acquires Arps Dairy to Boost Growth
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Barfresh Food Group reported record quarterly revenue of $4.2 million for the third quarter of 2025, marking a 16% year-over-year increase. The company achieved positive adjusted EBITDA and a gross margin of 37%, driven by improved production consistency and successful product launches. The acquisition of Arps Dairy in early October 2025 is expected to enhance Barfresh’s manufacturing capabilities and growth trajectory, with the company reiterating its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance and projecting substantial growth for 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRFH) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barfresh Food Group stock, see the BRFH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026