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National Beverage (FIZZ)
NASDAQ:FIZZ

National Beverage (FIZZ) AI Stock Analysis

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FIZZ

National Beverage

(NASDAQ:FIZZ)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(7.08% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality—healthy margins, low leverage, and strong free cash flow—partly offset by the sharp TTM revenue decline. Technical signals are neutral to slightly weak, and valuation is moderate with no dividend yield data to add support.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability Margins
Sustained high gross, operating and net margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure. Over 2-6 months this supports resilience versus input cost swings, funds marketing and product support, and underpins strong free cash generation even if revenue growth softens.
Negative Factors
Sharp TTM Revenue Decline
A roughly 20% TTM revenue decline is a meaningful deterioration of top-line scale. Over months this reduces operating leverage, heightens sensitivity of margins to fixed costs, and forces harder trade-offs between pricing and volume that can impair growth and long-term brand momentum.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Profitability Margins
Sustained high gross, operating and net margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure. Over 2-6 months this supports resilience versus input cost swings, funds marketing and product support, and underpins strong free cash generation even if revenue growth softens.
Read all positive factors

National Beverage (FIZZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Beverage Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
National Beverage Corp., through its subsidiaries, develops, produces, markets, and sells a portfolio of sparkling waters, juices, energy drinks, and carbonated soft drinks primarily in the United States and Canada. The company offers beverages to...
How the Company Makes Money
National Beverage generates revenue through the sale of its wide array of beverage products, primarily targeting retail channels such as supermarkets, convenience stores, and mass merchandisers. The company's revenue model is largely driven by the...

National Beverage Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (TTM gross margin ~37%, operating margin ~21%, net margin ~16%), conservative leverage (debt/equity ~0.11), and excellent cash generation (operating cash flow ~1.6x net income; robust free cash flow ~ $165M). The main drag is a sharp TTM revenue decline (~20%), which raises near-term demand risk despite resilient margins.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMApr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.20B1.19B1.17B1.14B1.07B
Gross Profit455.96M443.94M428.45M396.79M417.81M421.62M
EBITDA268.05M256.26M238.67M219.97M239.40M258.98M
Net Income188.09M186.82M176.73M142.16M158.51M174.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets792.47M672.86M770.15M574.34M467.80M557.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.97M193.84M327.05M158.07M48.05M193.59M
Total Debt62.67M72.12M54.77M41.53M61.25M43.64M
Total Liabilities201.41M228.86M210.64M201.85M228.37M201.24M
Stockholders Equity591.06M444.00M559.51M372.49M239.44M356.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow165.14M170.41M167.61M139.69M104.12M168.46M
Operating Cash Flow195.80M206.70M197.91M161.66M133.13M193.77M
Investing Cash Flow-30.63M-36.27M-30.25M-21.95M-29.00M-25.31M
Financing Cash Flow-422.00K-303.63M1.31M-29.69M-249.67M-279.38M

National Beverage Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.42
Price Trends
50DMA
35.11
Negative
100DMA
34.22
Negative
200DMA
37.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Negative
RSI
42.95
Neutral
STOCH
61.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIZZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.13, above the 50-day MA of 35.11, and below the 200-day MA of 37.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FIZZ.

National Beverage Risk Analysis

National Beverage disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Beverage reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

National Beverage Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$2.81B42.3023.19%23.12%16.20%
69
Neutral
$3.16B19.3535.99%0.97%0.36%
69
Neutral
$3.91B14.8724.24%4.78%18.92%34.03%
68
Neutral
$13.11B19.7956.69%0.61%4.22%22.24%
66
Neutral
$5.24B15.0316.56%3.98%-2.81%-2.66%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
46
Neutral
$86.37M-15.19-19.06%6.17%41.09%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIZZ
National Beverage
33.80
-9.16
-21.32%
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
98.87
7.57
8.29%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
196.88
62.01
45.98%
AKO.A
Embotelladora Andina SA
22.61
7.28
47.49%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.15
-1.14
-49.78%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
49.22
17.94
57.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 15, 2026