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National Beverage (FIZZ)
NASDAQ:FIZZ
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National Beverage (FIZZ) AI Stock Analysis

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FIZZ

National Beverage

(NASDAQ:FIZZ)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$46.00
▲(11.30% Upside)
National Beverage's strong financial performance is the primary driver of its stock score, supported by robust revenue and profit growth. However, technical analysis reveals bearish signals, indicating weak market momentum. The valuation is moderate, with a reasonable P/E ratio but no dividend yield. These factors collectively result in a balanced stock score.

National Beverage (FIZZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Beverage Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNational Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) is a leading producer and distributor of a diverse range of carbonated and non-carbonated beverages. The company operates primarily within the beverage sector, focusing on sparkling waters, soft drinks, and energy drinks. National Beverage offers popular brands such as LaCroix, Shasta, and Faygo, catering to a wide audience with varying tastes and preferences. The company's commitment to innovation and quality allows it to maintain a significant presence in the competitive beverage market.
How the Company Makes MoneyNational Beverage generates revenue through the sale of its wide array of beverage products. This includes both the direct sales of its brands to retailers and distributors, as well as private label offerings. Key revenue streams consist of retail sales through grocery stores, convenience stores, and online platforms. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships with various distribution channels that enhance its market reach. Seasonal and promotional sales also contribute to revenue, particularly with popular flavors and limited-edition products. Furthermore, National Beverage's focus on health-conscious products, like its sparkling waters, taps into the growing trend of consumers seeking healthier beverage options, thereby expanding its customer base and increasing sales.

National Beverage Financial Statement Overview

Summary
National Beverage demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth with efficient management of debt and equity. The company shows consistent cash generation, although recent declines in cash reserves suggest a need for careful cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
National Beverage shows strong revenue growth with a steady increase from $1,000 million in 2020 to $1,201 million in 2025, reflecting a positive growth trajectory. The gross profit margin is robust, maintaining above 36% consistently. The net profit margin improved from 12.97% in 2020 to 15.55% in 2025, indicating enhanced profitability. However, EBIT margin shows minor fluctuations, suggesting some variability in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio, remaining below 0.2, showcasing prudent financial leverage. The return on equity increased from 28.74% in 2020 to 42.09% in 2025, indicating efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio declined from 69.76% in 2020 to 65.99% in 2025, suggesting a slight increase in leverage over the years.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free cash flow shows consistent growth, demonstrating the company's ability to generate cash effectively. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income. However, a decline in cash and equivalents from 2024 to 2025 indicates potential cash management concerns.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.19B1.17B1.14B1.07B
Gross Profit443.94M428.45M396.79M417.81M421.62M
EBITDA256.26M238.67M219.97M207.86M258.98M
Net Income186.82M176.73M142.16M158.51M174.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets672.86M770.15M574.34M467.80M557.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments193.84M327.05M158.07M48.05M193.59M
Total Debt72.12M54.77M41.53M61.25M43.64M
Total Liabilities228.86M210.64M201.85M228.37M201.24M
Stockholders Equity444.00M559.51M372.49M239.44M356.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.41M167.61M139.69M104.12M168.46M
Operating Cash Flow206.70M197.91M161.66M133.13M193.77M
Investing Cash Flow-36.27M-30.25M-21.95M-29.00M-25.31M
Financing Cash Flow-303.63M1.31M-29.69M-249.67M-279.38M

National Beverage Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.33
Price Trends
50DMA
45.06
Negative
100DMA
44.70
Negative
200DMA
43.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.18
Positive
RSI
32.83
Neutral
STOCH
8.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIZZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.13, below the 50-day MA of 45.06, and below the 200-day MA of 43.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FIZZ.

National Beverage Risk Analysis

National Beverage disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Beverage reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

National Beverage Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.44B11.7024.18%7.53%17.01%11.63%
77
Outperform
$2.09B33.9424.35%11.97%16.10%
71
Outperform
$4.41B14.8016.78%3.99%-4.05%-3.69%
63
Neutral
$3.85B20.7037.23%0.81%5.51%
63
Neutral
$20.49B14.78-2.88%3.11%1.86%-5.76%
54
Neutral
$203.11M-22.11%-1.08%54.50%
52
Neutral
$519.53M-114.20%4.47%42.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIZZ
National Beverage
41.33
-3.72
-8.26%
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
83.46
0.56
0.68%
AKO.A
Embotelladora Andina SA
19.06
5.44
39.94%
OTLY
Oatly Group
17.14
-0.22
-1.27%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
2.65
1.63
159.80%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
37.25
12.14
48.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2025