tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV (KOF)
NYSE:KOF

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV (KOF) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,005 Followers

Top Page

KOF

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV

(NYSE:KOF)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$96.00
▲(10.74% Upside)
Coca Cola Femsa's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's valuation is reasonable, offering a good dividend yield. However, mixed earnings call sentiment and challenges in key markets slightly temper the outlook.

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV (KOF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoca-Cola Femsa SAB De CV (KOF) is one of the largest bottlers of Coca-Cola products in the world, operating in the non-alcoholic beverage sector. The company is primarily involved in the production, distribution, and marketing of a wide range of beverages, including soft drinks, water, juices, and ready-to-drink teas and coffees. KOF operates in various countries across Latin America, including Mexico, Brazil, and several Central American nations, focusing on delivering high-quality beverages to a diverse customer base.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoca-Cola Femsa generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverages, which are sold to various retail outlets, including supermarkets, convenience stores, and restaurants. The company benefits from a strong distribution network and an extensive portfolio of Coca-Cola products, which allows it to capture significant market share in its operational regions. Key revenue streams include carbonated soft drinks, non-carbonated beverages, and water products. Additionally, KOF engages in partnerships with The Coca-Cola Company, which provides the brand and product offerings, enhancing customer loyalty and brand recognition. The company also invests in marketing and promotional activities, which help drive sales and increase its market presence.

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with several positive developments such as revenue growth, strong digital engagement, and significant growth in Coca-Cola Zero. However, these were offset by challenges including volume declines in key markets, the impact of a significant excise tax increase in Mexico, and ongoing currency and cost pressures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Operating Income Growth
Total revenues for the quarter grew 3.3% to MXN 71.9 billion, supported by revenue management initiatives. Operating income increased 6.8% to MXN 10.3 billion, with operating margin expanding by 50 basis points to 14.3%.
Strong Digital Engagement
Digital initiatives like Juntos+ in Guatemala showed significant growth, with over 100,000 digital monthly active users, a 23 percentage point increase from the first quarter.
Coca-Cola Zero Growth
Coca-Cola Zero saw significant growth, increasing 23% versus the previous year in Mexico, and 38% in Brazil, driven by promotional campaigns.
South America Volume and Revenue Increase
Volumes in South America increased by 2.6%, with revenues rising 8.7% to MXN 29.4 billion, driven by revenue management initiatives and favorable mix.
Successful Cost Management
The company achieved $90 million in supply chain savings ahead of schedule, with significant contributions from primary distribution and cost-to-serve.
Negative Updates
Volume Decline in Mexico and Panama
Volumes in Mexico declined 3.7%, with a broader decline in Mexico and Central America by 2.7%, due to a soft macroeconomic backdrop.
Impact of Excise Tax Increase in Mexico
Facing a significant 87% increase in the excise tax on soft drinks in Mexico, expected to impact volume performance negatively in 2026.
Currency and Cost Pressures
Unfavorable currency translation effects impacted revenues, with gross margin contracting by 100 basis points to 45.1% due to an unfavorable mix and increased fixed costs.
Challenges in Argentina
Despite volume growth, Argentina remains a complex environment with potential economic slowdown and sluggish growth expected.
Company Guidance
During the Coca-Cola FEMSA Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance that highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The results showed a consolidated volume decline of 0.6% to 1.04 billion unit cases, with total revenues increasing by 3.3% to MXN 71.9 billion, driven by revenue management initiatives. Gross profit grew by 0.9% to MXN 32.4 billion, but there was a margin contraction of 100 basis points to 45.1%. Operating income rose by 6.8% to MXN 10.3 billion, with an operating margin expansion of 50 basis points to 14.3%. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 3.2% to MXN 14.4 billion, maintaining an EBITDA margin of 20.1%. Coca-Cola FEMSA emphasized its focus on sustainable growth, cost control, and productivity measures to navigate challenging conditions, such as the recent beverage excise tax increase in Mexico. The company also reported significant volume and share growth in specific markets, including a 3.2% volume increase in Guatemala and a 2.6% increase in Brazil, highlighting the success of their digital and affordability initiatives.

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price86.69
Price Trends
50DMA
87.06
Positive
100DMA
84.80
Positive
200DMA
87.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.72
Negative
RSI
61.38
Neutral
STOCH
63.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 86.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.74, below the 50-day MA of 87.06, and below the 200-day MA of 87.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KOF.

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$202.59B28.1937.19%3.76%0.48%-22.61%
75
Outperform
$303.99B23.4045.12%2.91%2.93%25.42%
74
Outperform
$4.82B16.0216.18%4.15%-2.81%-2.66%
74
Outperform
$41.48B25.3817.99%2.52%9.65%-4.26%
72
Outperform
$13.98B25.3141.92%0.60%4.22%22.24%
70
Outperform
$38.11B24.176.29%3.12%6.77%-29.84%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
94.96
19.06
25.11%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
166.18
48.31
40.99%
KO
Coca-Cola
70.06
9.47
15.63%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
27.89
-3.41
-10.89%
PEP
PepsiCo
148.16
2.68
1.84%
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
92.14
18.31
24.80%

Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV Corporate Events

Coca-Cola FEMSA Announces Board Changes Effective November 2025
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Coca-Cola FEMSA announced changes to its Board of Directors, effective November 1, 2025. Mr. Jose Antonio Fernández Garza Lagüera was appointed as a Director following the passing of Mr. Ricardo Guajardo Touché, and Mr. Jose Luis Cutrale, Jr. was appointed as the new alternate Director for José Henrique Cutrale after Mrs. Graziela Cutrale’s resignation. These changes reflect the company’s ongoing governance adjustments and may impact its strategic direction.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Reports Resilient Q3 2025 Amid Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

Coca-Cola FEMSA reported its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a 0.6% decline in volume but a 3.3% increase in revenue, with a 6.8% rise in operating income. The company noted a challenging macro environment in Mexico, while South America showed resilience with volume growth. Coca-Cola FEMSA is adapting to these conditions by implementing cost control measures and focusing on sustainable growth. Additionally, the company is actively engaging with local authorities regarding proposed tax increases on sugar-sweetened beverages in Mexico. Recent developments include the passing of a board member, efforts to support flood-affected communities in Mexico, and an improved sustainability assessment score.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Reports Revenue Growth for First Half of 2025
Sep 23, 2025

Coca-Cola FEMSA reported its financial performance for the six months ended June 30, 2025, showing an increase in total revenues to US$7,579 million from the previous year. The report highlights the company’s ability to maintain growth despite challenges such as fluctuations in raw material prices and currency exchange rates, indicating a strong operational strategy and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2025