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Primo Brands (PRMB)
NYSE:PRMB
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Primo Brands (PRMB) AI Stock Analysis

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PRMB

Primo Brands

(NYSE:PRMB)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(2.78% Upside)
Primo Brands' overall score is driven by mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call provides some optimism with leadership changes and growth in premium segments, profitability and operational challenges weigh heavily. The valuation reflects current financial struggles, suggesting a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Premium Water Portfolio Growth
The significant growth in the premium water segment indicates strong demand and market positioning, which can drive long-term revenue expansion and brand strength.
Strong Liquidity Position
A robust liquidity position provides financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage operational challenges, supporting long-term stability.
Leadership Transition
The appointment of an experienced leader can drive strategic initiatives and operational improvements, potentially enhancing long-term performance and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue suggests challenges in maintaining market share and sales momentum, which could impact long-term growth prospects if not addressed.
Challenges in Direct Delivery Business
Persistent issues in the direct delivery segment may hinder operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, affecting long-term profitability and market competitiveness.
Cost and Operational Challenges
Rising operational costs can pressure margins and profitability, necessitating strategic cost management to sustain long-term financial health.

Primo Brands (PRMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Primo Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimo Brands (PRMB) is a dynamic company operating primarily in the consumer goods sector, specializing in the development and distribution of premium food and beverage products. The company focuses on delivering high-quality, innovative offerings that cater to health-conscious consumers, including organic snacks, beverages, and meal solutions. With a commitment to sustainability and quality, Primo Brands aims to enhance the everyday lives of its customers through products that are both nutritious and enjoyable.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimo Brands generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its food and beverage products directly to retailers and consumers. The company has established a robust distribution network that includes partnerships with major grocery chains, online retailers, and health food stores. Additionally, Primo Brands engages in e-commerce, allowing consumers to purchase products directly through its website. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors, which enhance its market reach and reduce operational costs. Seasonal promotions, product bundling, and loyalty programs further contribute to revenue by encouraging repeat purchases and increasing customer retention.

Primo Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company in transition with a new leadership aiming to address integration challenges and capitalize on market opportunities. While there are significant growth areas in premium water and market share gains, the company faces ongoing challenges, particularly in the direct delivery business and associated costs. The sentiment is balanced with optimism for future improvements under new leadership.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Leadership Transition
Eric Foss appointed as Chairman and CEO, bringing experience in global consumer businesses and a people-first leadership philosophy.
Premium Water Portfolio Growth
Premium net sales increased more than 44% year-over-year, driven by Mountain Valley and Saratoga brands.
Improvement in Service Levels
Direct delivery service rate improved to approximately 95%, consistent with historical levels.
Market Share Gains
Increased both volume and dollar market share by 15 basis points and 25 basis points respectively, in the U.S. retail branded bottled water category.
Strong Liquidity Position
Total liquidity of approximately $1 billion, with $423 million in unrestricted cash and $612 million available under revolving credit facility.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Net sales of $1.766 billion, a 1.6% comparable year-over-year decline.
Challenges in Direct Delivery Business
Direct delivery business, including home and office delivery, faced ongoing integration challenges, resulting in a 6.5% year-over-year decline in comparable net sales.
Cost and Operational Challenges
Increased costs related to routes, drivers, customer service, and marketing due to integration challenges and customer service improvements.
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Revision
Adjusted EBITDA guidance revised to approximately $1.45 billion, down from previous expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Primo Brands Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. Primo Brands reported net sales of $1.766 billion for Q3 2025, which marked a 1.6% year-over-year decline. Despite this, there was an improvement from the previous quarter's 2.5% decline. The company's adjusted EBITDA grew by 6.8% year-over-year to $404.5 million, with a margin of 22.9%. For the full year 2025, Primo Brands expects a low single-digit net sales decline but anticipates achieving an adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.45 billion with a margin of 21.8%. The company is also on track to achieve synergy targets of $200 million by the end of 2025 and $300 million by the end of 2026. Additionally, Primo Brands reported strong liquidity with approximately $1 billion, combining $423 million in unrestricted cash and $612 million available under their revolving credit facility.

Primo Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primo Brands shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow generation. Improved leverage management is noted, yet negative returns on equity highlight inefficiencies. The company needs to enhance profitability and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Primo Brands shows strong revenue growth with a 23.89% increase in TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. However, profitability is a concern with a negative net profit margin of -0.94% and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 31.07%, suggesting efficient production processes.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly to 0.22 in TTM, reflecting better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative at -1.85%, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 28.84% suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive, but free cash flow has decreased by 26.09% in TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.25, indicating some challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.35 shows moderate efficiency in cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.51B5.15B4.70B1.69B2.07B1.95B
Gross Profit2.02B1.62B1.35B1.02B1.16B1.11B
EBITDA875.20M693.60M711.70M328.00M294.20M131.20M
Net Income-84.60M-16.40M92.80M29.60M-3.20M-185.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.96B11.19B5.15B3.67B3.72B3.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments422.70M614.40M47.00M78.80M128.40M115.10M
Total Debt5.70B5.68B4.05B1.62B1.74B1.65B
Total Liabilities7.80B7.75B5.15B2.38B2.40B2.26B
Stockholders Equity3.16B3.44B2.70M1.28B1.32B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow408.51M317.00M117.30M119.50M95.10M62.20M
Operating Cash Flow682.37M467.20M320.90M281.60M247.10M176.20M
Investing Cash Flow302.83M474.40M-217.60M-181.50M-242.70M-178.00M
Financing Cash Flow-763.66M-366.40M-162.30M-102.80M10.80M-91.10M

Primo Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.54
Price Trends
50DMA
19.47
Negative
100DMA
22.32
Negative
200DMA
26.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.03
Negative
RSI
40.98
Neutral
STOCH
80.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRMB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.72, below the 50-day MA of 19.47, and below the 200-day MA of 26.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRMB.

Primo Brands Risk Analysis

Primo Brands disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Primo Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Primo Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$303.99B23.4045.12%2.90%2.93%25.42%
74
Outperform
$4.66B15.5216.18%3.78%-2.81%-2.66%
74
Outperform
$3.11B47.2524.02%23.12%16.20%
71
Outperform
$13.89B25.1541.92%0.61%4.22%22.24%
71
Outperform
$38.22B24.246.29%3.22%6.77%-29.84%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
$6.05B-2.08%2.46%244.82%-119.23%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRMB
Primo Brands
16.24
-13.77
-45.88%
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
91.24
11.77
14.81%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
165.71
37.65
29.40%
KO
Coca-Cola
70.45
9.71
15.99%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
28.58
-3.17
-9.98%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
53.79
17.48
48.14%

Primo Brands Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Primo Brands Expands Share Repurchase Program by $50M
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 9, 2025, Primo Brands Corporation’s Board of Directors approved a $50 million increase to its share repurchase program, raising the total authorization to $300 million. This move leaves approximately $202.3 million available for repurchases, allowing the company flexibility in purchasing shares through various methods, subject to market conditions and regulatory requirements. The program can be adjusted or terminated at the Board’s discretion.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRMB) stock is a Hold with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primo Brands stock, see the PRMB Stock Forecast page.

Primo Brands Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Primo Brands Corporation is a leading North American beverage company specializing in healthy hydration products, offering a diverse range of responsibly sourced beverages and water dispensers across various channels and consumer occasions.

Primo Water’s Earnings Call: Transition and Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Primo Water Corporation’s recent earnings call reflects a company in transition, with a balanced sentiment of optimism and challenges. Under new leadership, the company is poised to address integration hurdles while seizing market opportunities. Significant growth areas, particularly in premium water and market share gains, are tempered by ongoing challenges in the direct delivery business and related costs. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic for future improvements under the new leadership.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primo Brands Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Revises Full-Year Guidance
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Primo Brands Corporation reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net sales reaching $1,766.1 million, marking a $36 million increase from the previous quarter. The company experienced double-digit net sales growth in its premium water brands and improved performance in its home and office direct delivery business. Primo Brands revised its full-year guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA while reaffirming its cost synergy targets, indicating a positive outlook for stakeholders and reinforcing its competitive positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRMB) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primo Brands stock, see the PRMB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Primo Brands Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Announces Leadership Change
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Primo Brands reported a robust third quarter of 2025, with net sales reaching $1.8 billion, marking a 35.3% increase compared to the previous year. The growth was driven by the merger with Blue Triton Brands and increased volumes, despite a decrease due to the sale of a production facility. The company revised its full-year net sales and EBITDA guidance while maintaining its free cash flow guidance. Additionally, a leadership transition was announced, with Eric Foss appointed as Chairman and CEO. The company continues to focus on capturing cost synergies and achieving operational milestones post-merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRMB) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primo Brands stock, see the PRMB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Primo Brands COO Takes Temporary Leave of Absence
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Primo Brands Corporation announced that Robert Austin, the Chief Operating Officer, would take a temporary leave of absence starting September 30, 2025, during which he will serve as a Senior Advisor. The company’s CEO, Robbert Rietbroek, will assume the role of principal operating officer in the interim, with senior operations executives reporting directly to him.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRMB) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primo Brands stock, see the PRMB Stock Forecast page.

Primo Water Corp’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

The recent earnings call of Primo Water Corporation painted a mixed picture for investors. While the company celebrated significant achievements in premium water sales growth and synergy capture, it also faced operational challenges stemming from the integration process and weather-related sales impacts. This dual narrative reflects both optimism and caution as the company navigates its current landscape.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025