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Coca-Cola (KO)
NYSE:KO

Coca-Cola (KO) AI Stock Analysis

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KO

Coca-Cola

(NYSE:KO)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(10.87% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial profitability and a constructive earnings outlook with reiterated guidance and continued share gains. Offsetting factors include leverage and weaker free cash flow trends, plus mixed technical momentum despite the broader uptrend; valuation is reasonable but not cheap.
Positive Factors
High Profitability & Margins
Sustained high gross and net margins reflect strong pricing power, category mix and operational efficiency. These durable margins support shareholder returns, fund innovation and marketing, and provide resilience through cycles, underpinning long-term cash generation capacity.
Refranchising Strategy
Progress on refranchising transfers capital-intensive operations to local partners, converting cash and equity into higher-margin concentrate sales. This structural shift lowers capex needs, boosts capital efficiency and enables focus on brand, innovation and scalable global distribution.
Consistent Value Share Gains
Long streak of value-share gains signals durable brand strength, effective marketing and execution across channels. Persistent share growth supports pricing leverage, innovation uptake and margin sustainability, reinforcing a defendable competitive moat over time.
Negative Factors
Relatively High Financial Leverage
Elevated debt-to-equity and reported net-debt/EBITDA (~1.8x) constrain financial flexibility and increase sensitivity to higher rates or earnings shocks. Higher leverage can limit strategic optionality for M&A, buybacks or aggressive investment during downturns.
Weaker Free Cash Flow Trends
A notable decline in free cash flow growth reduces capacity to sustainably fund dividends, repurchases and reinvestment. Even with solid profitability, weaker cash conversion raises execution risk on long-term initiatives and heightens reliance on external financing.
Regional Volume Pressure
Persistent volume softness in key emerging markets and mixed performance in Europe signal structural demand headwinds that could slow top-line momentum. Prolonged regional weakness risks margin dilution and limits the ability of global initiatives to fully offset local declines.

Coca-Cola (KO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coca-Cola Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures, markets, and sells various nonalcoholic beverages worldwide. The company provides sparkling soft drinks, sparkling flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and other beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers, such as restaurants and convenience stores. The company sells its products under the Coca-Cola, Diet Coke/Coca-Cola Light, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, caffeine free Diet Coke, Cherry Coke, Fanta Orange, Fanta Zero Orange, Fanta Zero Sugar, Fanta Apple, Sprite, Sprite Zero Sugar, Simply Orange, Simply Apple, Simply Grapefruit, Fresca, Schweppes, Thums Up, Aquarius, Ayataka, BODYARMOR, Ciel, Costa, Dasani, dogadan, FUZE TEA, Georgia, glacéau smartwater, glacéau vitaminwater, Gold Peak, Ice Dew, I LOHAS, Powerade, Topo Chico, AdeS, Del Valle, fairlife, innocent, Minute Maid, and Minute Maid Pulpy brands. It operates through a network of independent bottling partners, distributors, wholesalers, and retailers, as well as through bottling and distribution operators. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoca-Cola generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverages across various markets. The company's revenue model is multifaceted, with key revenue streams coming from the sale of concentrate and syrup to bottling partners, who then manufacture, package, and distribute the final products. Additionally, Coca-Cola earns revenue from the sale of finished products directly to retailers, food service establishments, and vending machine operators. Strategic partnerships with bottling companies, distribution networks, and retailers are critical to Coca-Cola's success, enabling it to reach consumers effectively. The company's marketing efforts, brand equity, and innovation in product offerings further contribute to its earnings by driving consumer demand and expanding market presence.

Coca-Cola Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which product lines or services are driving sales and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsCoca-Cola's North America and EMEA segments show robust revenue growth, driven by strategic initiatives and strong brand performance, despite volume declines. The earnings call highlights a 5% organic revenue growth and value share gains, with North America achieving revenue and profit growth despite challenges. However, the Asia Pacific segment faces volume declines due to adverse weather and consumer pressures. The company remains optimistic, expecting 5-6% organic revenue growth for 2025, leveraging strategic growth initiatives and enhanced marketing capabilities to navigate currency headwinds and geopolitical tensions.
Data provided by:The Fly

Coca-Cola Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Coca-Cola demonstrated strong organic revenue growth, value share gains, and strategic progress in refranchising, supported by successful innovations and marketing. However, the company faced challenges in Asia Pacific, economic pressures in Mexico, and currency impacts on margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Revenue Growth and EPS Increase
Coca-Cola reported 6% organic revenue growth and a 6% increase in comparable earnings per share despite 6% currency headwinds.
Global Value Share Gains
For the 18th consecutive quarter, Coca-Cola gained overall value share, holding or gaining value share across each of its geographic segments.
Refranchising Milestones
Coca-Cola announced the sale of a 40% ownership stake in its Indian bottler and Coca-Cola Hellenic's intention to acquire a controlling interest in Coca-Cola Beverages Africa, completing significant steps in its refranchising strategy.
Innovation and Marketing Success
Coca-Cola's innovation contributed strongly to revenue growth, with new products like Sprite + Tea, BACARDÍ Mixed with Coca-Cola, and Powerade Springboks edition. The company also launched successful marketing campaigns, such as the Fanta Halloween campaign in 50 markets.
Strong Performance in North America
Coca-Cola gained value share in North America, driven by strong revenue and profit growth. Innovations like retro Diet Coke with Cherry and Lime and brand investments contributed to success.
Negative Updates
Volume Declines in Asia Pacific
Coca-Cola experienced volume declines in Asia Pacific, driven by softer consumer spending, weaker industry performance, and inclement weather in markets like India and the Philippines.
Economic Pressures in Mexico
In Mexico, Coca-Cola faced macroeconomic challenges and softening conditions, and while there were some positive reactions to strategic changes, full recovery is expected to take time.
Currency Impact on Margins
Comparable gross margin declined by approximately 10 basis points, affected by currency headwinds.
Challenges in Europe
Coca-Cola faced volume declines in Europe due to cycling tougher comparisons and mixed performance across Western and Eastern markets.
Company Guidance
During Coca-Cola's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reiterated its guidance for the full year, expecting organic revenue growth of 5% to 6% and comparable currency-neutral earnings per share growth of approximately 8%. The quarter saw a 6% growth in organic revenues and a 1% increase in unit case volumes, despite a challenging external environment marked by inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties. The company's comparable earnings per share grew by 6% despite a 6% currency headwind. Coca-Cola gained overall value share for the 18th consecutive quarter and maintained or increased share across all geographic segments. The company also highlighted its strategic initiatives, including marketing transformations, innovation efforts like new product launches, and significant refranchising milestones involving Indian and African bottlers, which are expected to unlock further growth opportunities. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with a net debt leverage of 1.8x EBITDA, and it projects at least $9.8 billion in free cash flow for 2025, excluding a fairlife contingent consideration payment.

Coca-Cola Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (gross margin above 60% and improving net margin) and very high ROE support the score, but slowing revenue growth, relatively high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.52), and notably weaker free cash flow growth temper it.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Coca-Cola's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 60% and a net profit margin improving to 27.34% in TTM. Revenue growth has been steady, with a slight increase of 1.28% in TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating efficient operations. However, the revenue growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, which could be a concern if it continues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with a return on equity of 47% in TTM, showcasing strong profitability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.52 indicates a relatively high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Coca-Cola's cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth, which dropped significantly in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.34, indicating some room for improvement in cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.73, but the negative growth in free cash flow is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.66B47.06B45.75B43.00B38.66B33.01B
Gross Profit29.38B28.74B27.23B25.00B23.30B19.58B
EBITDA18.59B15.82B15.61B13.83B15.47B12.72B
Net Income13.03B10.63B10.71B9.54B9.77B7.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets106.05B100.55B97.70B92.76B94.35B87.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.78B14.57B13.66B11.63B12.63B10.91B
Total Debt47.42B45.73B43.43B40.60B44.23B44.41B
Total Liabilities72.78B74.18B70.22B66.94B69.49B66.01B
Stockholders Equity31.25B24.86B25.94B24.11B23.00B19.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.57B4.74B9.75B9.53B11.26B8.67B
Operating Cash Flow7.60B6.80B11.60B11.02B12.63B9.84B
Investing Cash Flow194.00M2.52B-3.35B-763.00M-2.77B-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow-8.57B-6.91B-8.31B-10.25B-6.79B-8.07B

Coca-Cola Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.06
Price Trends
50DMA
70.71
Positive
100DMA
69.05
Positive
200DMA
69.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.80
Negative
RSI
63.43
Neutral
STOCH
88.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.70, above the 50-day MA of 70.71, and above the 200-day MA of 69.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KO.

Coca-Cola Risk Analysis

Coca-Cola disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coca-Cola reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coca-Cola Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$79.54B46.0725.54%7.62%12.77%
78
Outperform
$203.43B28.3137.19%3.91%0.48%-22.61%
76
Outperform
$316.38B24.3545.12%2.92%2.93%25.42%
74
Outperform
$40.77B25.0017.99%2.52%9.65%-4.26%
71
Outperform
$37.48B23.776.29%3.12%6.77%-29.84%
64
Neutral
$12.86B23.2841.92%0.61%4.22%22.24%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KO
Coca-Cola
73.06
10.85
17.44%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
149.50
13.93
10.27%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
26.71
-4.55
-14.55%
MNST
Monster Beverage
80.92
31.56
63.94%
PEP
PepsiCo
148.50
2.44
1.67%
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
91.03
13.75
17.79%

Coca-Cola Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Coca-Cola Reshapes Leadership to Drive Global Digital Growth
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, The Coca-Cola Company announced a major reshaping of its operational leadership to strengthen consumer focus and accelerate digital transformation, effective March 31, 2026. The company is creating a new Chief Digital Officer role, appointing Sedef Salingan Sahin to lead end-to-end digitalization and data integration across the enterprise, while digital strategy responsibilities shift from President and CFO John Murphy to Sahin. Customer and Commercial Leadership duties will move from Murphy to Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer Manolo Arroyo, who will become Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing and Customer Commercial Officer, while Murphy remains President and CFO overseeing core corporate functions. Concurrently, Coca-Cola is reorganizing market groupings in Asia, Africa and the Middle East, with Sanket Ray assuming responsibility for India, Southwest Asia and other emerging large markets, and Claudia Lorenzo taking charge of Eurasia, the Middle East, ASEAN, South Pacific and Africa as president of the Eurasia and Middle East operating unit and Emerging Multi-Markets Lead. These moves, alongside the previously announced elevation of Henrique Braun to CEO on March 31, 2026 and the appointment of Robin Halpern as his incoming chief of staff, signal Coca-Cola’s bid to deepen regional focus, respond more nimbly to dynamic market conditions and capture growth potential in high-opportunity geographies while embedding digital capabilities at the core of its global operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (KO) stock is a Buy with a $79.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coca-Cola stock, see the KO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Coca-Cola Announces New CEO Appointment
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Coca-Cola announced that Henrique Braun will succeed James Quincey as CEO effective March 31, 2026, with Quincey transitioning to Executive Chairman. Braun, who has been with the company since 1996, will focus on leveraging technology and consumer insights to drive growth, building on Quincey’s successful transformation of Coca-Cola into a more agile and consumer-focused company.

The most recent analyst rating on (KO) stock is a Buy with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coca-Cola stock, see the KO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Coca-Cola Elects Max Levchin to Board of Directors
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, The Coca-Cola Company announced the election of Max Levchin, a prominent technologist and entrepreneur, to its Board of Directors. Levchin, known for co-founding PayPal and founding Affirm, brings significant technology expertise to the company as it adapts to technological advancements in business operations. Additionally, Coca-Cola declared a regular quarterly dividend of 51 cents per share, payable on December 15 to shareholders of record as of December 1, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KO) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coca-Cola stock, see the KO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026