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Coca-Cola (KO)
NYSE:KO
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Coca-Cola (KO) AI Stock Analysis

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KO

Coca-Cola

(NYSE:KO)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$80.00
▲(15.84% Upside)
Coca-Cola's strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights are the most significant factors, supported by solid technical indicators. The high valuation and challenges in certain regions slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Organic Revenue Growth
Consistent organic revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Refranchising Strategy
Refranchising efforts streamline operations, reduce capital expenditure, and enhance focus on core competencies, fostering sustainable growth.
Innovation and Marketing
Continuous product innovation and effective marketing bolster brand strength and customer engagement, driving long-term revenue growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, limit flexibility, and impact the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow growth may hinder the company's ability to fund operations, pay dividends, and invest in future growth initiatives.
Volume Declines in Asia Pacific
Volume declines in key regions like Asia Pacific can impact overall growth prospects and market share, posing a challenge to long-term expansion.

Coca-Cola (KO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coca-Cola Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoca-Cola Company (KO) is a global leader in the beverage industry, primarily known for its flagship product, Coca-Cola, a carbonated soft drink. Founded in 1886, the company operates in more than 200 countries and offers a diverse portfolio of over 500 brands, including non-carbonated beverages such as juices, teas, waters, and energy drinks. Coca-Cola's business is segmented into several areas, including sparkling soft drinks, still beverages, and water, catering to various consumer preferences and health trends.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoca-Cola generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverages, which are distributed through a vast network of bottling partners, retail outlets, and vending machines. The company's revenue model is anchored in a combination of direct sales and partnerships with bottlers who produce, package, and distribute its products. Key revenue streams include sales of concentrate to bottlers, as well as the sale of finished products in markets. Additionally, Coca-Cola capitalizes on brand licensing, merchandising, and marketing partnerships to enhance its revenue. Seasonal promotions and limited-edition products further contribute to sales spikes, while strategic collaborations with major retailers and food service providers help expand market presence and drive sales volume.

Coca-Cola Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which product lines or services are driving sales and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsCoca-Cola's North America and EMEA segments show robust revenue growth, driven by strategic initiatives and strong brand performance, despite volume declines. The earnings call highlights a 5% organic revenue growth and value share gains, with North America achieving revenue and profit growth despite challenges. However, the Asia Pacific segment faces volume declines due to adverse weather and consumer pressures. The company remains optimistic, expecting 5-6% organic revenue growth for 2025, leveraging strategic growth initiatives and enhanced marketing capabilities to navigate currency headwinds and geopolitical tensions.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Coca-Cola Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Coca-Cola demonstrated strong organic revenue growth, value share gains, and strategic progress in refranchising, supported by successful innovations and marketing. However, the company faced challenges in Asia Pacific, economic pressures in Mexico, and currency impacts on margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Revenue Growth and EPS Increase
Coca-Cola reported 6% organic revenue growth and a 6% increase in comparable earnings per share despite 6% currency headwinds.
Global Value Share Gains
For the 18th consecutive quarter, Coca-Cola gained overall value share, holding or gaining value share across each of its geographic segments.
Refranchising Milestones
Coca-Cola announced the sale of a 40% ownership stake in its Indian bottler and Coca-Cola Hellenic's intention to acquire a controlling interest in Coca-Cola Beverages Africa, completing significant steps in its refranchising strategy.
Innovation and Marketing Success
Coca-Cola's innovation contributed strongly to revenue growth, with new products like Sprite + Tea, BACARDÍ Mixed with Coca-Cola, and Powerade Springboks edition. The company also launched successful marketing campaigns, such as the Fanta Halloween campaign in 50 markets.
Strong Performance in North America
Coca-Cola gained value share in North America, driven by strong revenue and profit growth. Innovations like retro Diet Coke with Cherry and Lime and brand investments contributed to success.
Negative Updates
Volume Declines in Asia Pacific
Coca-Cola experienced volume declines in Asia Pacific, driven by softer consumer spending, weaker industry performance, and inclement weather in markets like India and the Philippines.
Economic Pressures in Mexico
In Mexico, Coca-Cola faced macroeconomic challenges and softening conditions, and while there were some positive reactions to strategic changes, full recovery is expected to take time.
Currency Impact on Margins
Comparable gross margin declined by approximately 10 basis points, affected by currency headwinds.
Challenges in Europe
Coca-Cola faced volume declines in Europe due to cycling tougher comparisons and mixed performance across Western and Eastern markets.
Company Guidance
During Coca-Cola's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reiterated its guidance for the full year, expecting organic revenue growth of 5% to 6% and comparable currency-neutral earnings per share growth of approximately 8%. The quarter saw a 6% growth in organic revenues and a 1% increase in unit case volumes, despite a challenging external environment marked by inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties. The company's comparable earnings per share grew by 6% despite a 6% currency headwind. Coca-Cola gained overall value share for the 18th consecutive quarter and maintained or increased share across all geographic segments. The company also highlighted its strategic initiatives, including marketing transformations, innovation efforts like new product launches, and significant refranchising milestones involving Indian and African bottlers, which are expected to unlock further growth opportunities. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with a net debt leverage of 1.8x EBITDA, and it projects at least $9.8 billion in free cash flow for 2025, excluding a fairlife contingent consideration payment.

Coca-Cola Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coca-Cola exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows a high net profit margin and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is solid with moderate leverage, though cash flow challenges due to increased capital expenditures need attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Coca-Cola demonstrates strong revenue performance with a steady increase in total revenue over the years. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 61.4%, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin for the TTM is 25.9%, showcasing significant profitability. The EBIT margin of 28.0% and EBITDA margin of 36.7% further highlight operational efficiency. Revenue growth has been consistent, with a notable year-over-year growth from 2023 to 2024. Overall, the income statement reflects a robust financial position, driven by stable revenue and improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Coca-Cola's balance sheet is solid with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73 for the TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The company maintains a healthy equity ratio of 27.4%, reflecting a strong proportion of equity in its asset base. Return on Equity (ROE) is at 42.6%, demonstrating excellent profitability relative to shareholder's equity. However, the slight increase in total debt over the years suggests a need to monitor leverage. Overall, the balance sheet is well-managed, with a strong equity position and efficient use of debt.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Coca-Cola's cash flow statements reveal a temporary dip in free cash flow during the TTM due to increased capital expenditures, resulting in negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.11, indicating a disparity between cash generated from operations and reported net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting current cash flow pressures. Despite this, historical cash flow performance has been strong, with positive free cash flow and consistent operating cash flow in previous years. The company should focus on managing capital expenditures to restore free cash flow levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.66B47.06B45.75B43.00B38.66B33.01B
Gross Profit29.38B28.74B27.23B25.00B23.30B19.58B
EBITDA18.59B15.82B15.61B13.83B15.47B12.72B
Net Income13.03B10.63B10.71B9.54B9.77B7.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets106.05B100.55B97.70B92.76B94.35B87.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.87B14.57B13.66B11.63B12.63B10.91B
Total Debt47.42B45.73B43.43B40.60B44.23B44.41B
Total Liabilities72.78B74.18B70.22B66.94B69.49B66.01B
Stockholders Equity31.25B24.86B25.94B24.11B23.00B19.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.57B4.74B9.75B9.53B11.26B8.67B
Operating Cash Flow7.60B6.80B11.60B11.02B12.63B9.84B
Investing Cash Flow194.00M2.52B-3.35B-763.00M-2.77B-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow-8.57B-6.91B-8.31B-10.25B-6.79B-8.07B

Coca-Cola Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.06
Price Trends
50DMA
67.64
Positive
100DMA
68.42
Positive
200DMA
68.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Positive
RSI
61.66
Neutral
STOCH
52.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.94, above the 50-day MA of 67.64, and above the 200-day MA of 68.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KO.

Coca-Cola Risk Analysis

Coca-Cola disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coca-Cola reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coca-Cola Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$66.27B41.4125.54%7.62%12.77%
78
Outperform
$294.70B22.6845.12%2.86%2.93%25.42%
78
Outperform
$195.34B27.1837.19%3.92%0.48%-22.61%
74
Outperform
$40.64B24.2917.99%2.52%9.65%-4.26%
71
Outperform
$11.51B20.8541.92%0.74%4.22%22.24%
69
Neutral
$36.30B23.026.29%3.54%6.77%-29.84%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KO
Coca-Cola
70.55
8.50
13.70%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
135.61
14.12
11.62%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
25.96
-5.95
-18.65%
MNST
Monster Beverage
69.73
15.59
28.80%
PEP
PepsiCo
142.95
-16.02
-10.08%
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
91.41
15.63
20.63%

Coca-Cola Corporate Events

Coca-Cola Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 22, 2025

The Coca-Cola Company is a global leader in the beverage industry, known for its extensive portfolio of nonalcoholic drinks, including iconic brands like Coca-Cola, Diet Coke, and Fanta. The company operates primarily through a franchise model, allowing it to maintain a strong presence in markets worldwide.

Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Coca-Cola Elects Max Levchin to Board of Directors
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, The Coca-Cola Company announced the election of Max Levchin, a prominent technologist and entrepreneur, to its Board of Directors. Levchin, known for co-founding PayPal and founding Affirm, brings significant technology expertise to the company as it adapts to technological advancements in business operations. Additionally, Coca-Cola declared a regular quarterly dividend of 51 cents per share, payable on December 15 to shareholders of record as of December 1, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KO) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coca-Cola stock, see the KO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2025