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Monster Beverage (MNST)
NASDAQ:MNST

Monster Beverage (MNST) AI Stock Analysis

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MNST

Monster Beverage

(NASDAQ:MNST)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$98.00
▲(14.89% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial quality (high profitability and a very conservative balance sheet) and a positive earnings update showing robust Q4 momentum and strong early 2026 sales. Technicals also support the view with a sustained uptrend, though near-overbought signals temper the rating. The largest constraint is valuation, with a high P/E and no dividend yield provided, plus some uncertainty around the TTM cash-flow print and near-term input-cost pressure.
Positive Factors
High margins & profitability
Sustained gross margins in the mid-50s across regions demonstrate durable pricing power, favorable product mix and execution. High EBIT and net margins support persistent cash generation that funds innovation, buybacks and reinvestment without leaning on leverage.
Very conservative balance sheet
Near-zero debt and very low leverage provide long-term financial flexibility to weather cycles, fund capex/marketing, pursue opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and avoid refinancing risk—strengthening resilience versus peers in downturns.
Strong international growth & distribution
Rapid international expansion and reported share gains diversify revenue and reduce U.S. concentration. A growing global footprint paired with third-party bottling/distribution scalability supports durable volume growth and market penetration over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Slowing revenue growth trend
Top-line growth has moderated meaningfully versus prior years, indicating less organic momentum. If sustained, slower revenue expansion pressures unit volume leverage and raises reliance on pricing, innovation or acquisitions to maintain earnings and margin trajectory.
Input cost & tariff pressure
Persistently higher aluminum costs and tariff complexity pose a structural margin risk. While hedging and targeted pricing are mitigation levers, prolonged elevated input costs could compress margins or force sustained price increases that weigh on volume over time.
Distributor & bottler execution risk
Dependence on third-party distributors and bottlers creates recurring execution and inventory-timing volatility. Material disruptions in APAC and bottler inventory swings can impair international revenue consistency and hinder long-term market share momentum.

Monster Beverage (MNST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Monster Beverage Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMonster Beverage Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in development, marketing, sale, and distribution of energy drink beverages and concentrates in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Monster Energy Drinks, Strategic Brands, and Other. It offers carbonated energy drinks, non-carbonated, ready-to-drink iced teas, lemonades, juice cocktails, single-serve juices and fruit beverages, ready-to-drink dairy and coffee drinks, energy drinks, sports drinks and single-serve still waters, and sodas that are considered natural, sparkling juices, and flavored sparkling beverages. The company sells its products to bottlers, full-service beverage distributors, as well as sells directly to retail grocery and speciality chains, wholesalers, club stores, mass merchandisers, convenience chains, drug stores, foodservice customers, value stores, e-commerce retailers, and the military; and concentrates and/or beverage bases to authorized bottling and canning operations. It provides its products under the Monster Energy, Monster Energy Ultra, Monster Rehab, Monster Energy Nitro, Java Monster, Muscle Monster, Espresso Monster, Punch Monster, Juice Monster, Monster Hydro Energy Water, Monster Hydro Super Sport, Monster HydroSport Super Fuel, Monster Super Fuel, Monster Dragon Tea, Reign Total Body Fuel, and Reign Inferno Thermogenic Fuel, as well as NOS, Full Throttle, Burn, Mother, Nalu, Ultra Energy, Play and Power Play (stylized), Relentless, BPM, BU, Gladiator, Samurai, Live+, Predator, Fury, and True North brands. The company was formerly known as Hansen Natural Corporation and changed its name to Monster Beverage Corporation in January 2012. Monster Beverage Corporation was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Corona, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMonster Beverage makes money primarily through the production, marketing, and sale of energy drinks. The company's revenue model is largely based on the sale of its branded beverages to a variety of distribution channels, including convenience stores, supermarkets, mass merchandisers, and online platforms. Key revenue streams include domestic and international sales, with a significant portion of its earnings coming from global markets outside the United States. Monster Beverage also benefits from strategic partnerships and distribution agreements, notably with Coca-Cola, which enhances its market reach and distribution efficiency. The company continually invests in marketing and sponsorships, particularly in extreme sports and music events, which further drive brand visibility and sales.

Monster Beverage Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Monster Beverage is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsMonster Beverage's U.S. revenue shows a steady upward trend, peaking in mid-2025, while international revenue exhibits more volatility but strong growth, especially in EMEA and APAC regions. The earnings call highlights robust international sales, contributing 41% of total sales, and strategic expansions in key markets like China and South Korea. Despite challenges in Latin America, the company's focus on product innovation and strategic sponsorships positions it well for continued growth, underscoring the importance of its international strategy.
Data provided by:The Fly

Monster Beverage Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broadly positive operational and financial performance: strong top-line growth, expanded gross margins across regions, markedly higher operating income and EPS, notable international share gains, and successful marketing and innovation initiatives. Challenges discussed were largely manageable or regionally specific — rising aluminum/can costs and tariff exposure, distributor disruptions in parts of APAC (notably Japan and South Korea), the decline in the Alcohol Brands segment, and some elevated non-recurring and compensation-related charges. Management outlined mitigation levers (pricing, hedging, innovation, cost optimization, digital transformation) and expects modest near-term cost pressure in H1 2026 but remains optimistic about long-term growth and margin recovery.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Net Sales
Net sales of $2.13 billion in Q4 FY2025, up 17.6% versus $1.81 billion in Q4 FY2024; net sales excluding the Alcohol Brands segment increased 18.3%.
Strong Monster Energy Segment Performance
Monster Energy Drinks segment net sales increased 18.9% to $1.99 billion (FX-adjusted increase of 17.5%).
Robust Profitability and Operating Income Growth
Operating income rose 42.3% to $542.6 million from $381.2 million; adjusted operating income increased 16% to $617.6 million from $532.2 million.
Material EPS Improvement
Net income per diluted share increased 64.9% to $0.46 from $0.28 year-over-year; adjusted diluted EPS rose 30.4% to $0.51 from $0.39.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross profit as a percentage of net sales increased to 55.5% from 55.3%; adjusted gross profit (excl. Alcohol Brands) rose to 56.1% from 56.0%; gross profit % expanded year-over-year in all four geographic regions.
Expense Leverage and Improved G&A Rate
Selling and distribution leverage improved (distribution 4.2% of net sales vs 4.3%; selling 10.3% vs 10.7% prior year). General & administrative expenses declined to 15.6% of net sales from 19.3% in prior year quarter (noting certain impairments in both years).
Significant International Growth and Share Gains
Net sales to customers outside the U.S. increased 26.9% to $903.3 million (~42% of total net sales); FX-adjusted international net sales increased 23.1% to $875.6 million. Company reported share gains in many global markets.
Regional Outperformance Highlights
EMEA net sales increased 32.6% (25.9% FX-neutral); Asia Pacific net sales increased 11.5% (13.9% FX-neutral) despite distributor issues; Latin America net sales increased 90.8% (15.1% FX-neutral) with Brazil up 27.1% and Chile up 61.4%.
U.S. Portfolio Strength and Innovation Momentum
U.S. & Canada net sales up 13.3% in Q4; Ultra brand family grew 24% (Ultra White +32%); Juice Monster up 37%; full-sugar portfolio grew 9.1% and accounted for more than one-third of U.S. gains. Innovation launches showed strong early velocity and distribution expansion.
Marketing and Sponsorship Successes
High-visibility marketing wins included McLaren F1 Constructors' Championship sponsorship, Lando Norris product rollout to 38 EMEA/OSP markets and LTO in U.S., 650 million branded cans distributed via Call of Duty collaboration, and MotoGP/Ducati exposure.
Tax and Cash Flow Tailwinds
Effective tax rate decreased to 21% from 29.9%, driven by stock-based compensation reductions, higher income in lower tax jurisdictions and release of valuation allowances; company reported continued strong cash generation and ~$500 million remaining under repurchase authorization.
Positive Early 2026 Sales Readings
Estimated January 2026 sales ~20.5% higher versus January 2025 (non-foreign currency adjusted) and ~16.7% higher on a foreign-currency-adjusted basis; excluding Alcohol Brands the company reported even larger estimated increases.
Negative Updates
Alcohol Brands Weakness
Alcohol Brands segment net sales decreased 16.8% to $29 million in Q4 FY2025 from $34.9 million a year earlier; G&A included $51.2 million of Alcohol Brand impairment charges in Q4 FY2025 (versus $130.7 million in prior-year quarter).
Rising Aluminum and Tariff Pressures
Tariffs and higher aluminum prices (Midwest premium) increased can costs; company expects a modest further increase in costs in at least H1 2026 and noted the tariff landscape remains complicated and dynamic despite hedging strategies.
Increased Stock-Based Compensation and One-Time Costs
Stock-based compensation rose to $39 million in Q4 from $22.2 million a year earlier (driven by a $12.9 million increase in estimated performance-based payouts); G&A included $5.1 million professional services for new facility start-up and $6.6 million for digital transformation initiatives.
Operational/Distributor Disruption in APAC and Japan
Systems disruption and issues with the Japanese distributor negatively impacted APAC region sales by an estimated ~6%–7% in Q4; Japan sales fell 15.2% (13.4% FX-neutral) though the company estimated sales would have grown ~4%–5% absent the disruption.
South Korea and Mexico Bottler Inventory Fluctuations
South Korea net sales decreased 26.5% (23.0% FX-neutral) due to bottler inventory fluctuations; Mexico showed 11.7% growth in dollars but only 3.8% FX-neutral and was impacted by depletion vs. shipment timing (bottler inventory dynamics).
Argentina Revenue Decline from Operating Model Change
Argentina net sales decreased 39.5% (42.2% FX-neutral) due to a late-Q1 2025 operating model change to better manage foreign currency exposure; management noted volumes increased despite revenue decline (lower price per case).
Higher Absolute Operating and Adjusted Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased to $640.7 million from $621.2 million year-over-year and adjusted operating expenses rose to $561.6 million from $462.5 million, indicating higher absolute cost levels even as expense ratios improved against stronger sales.
No Share Repurchases Executed in Quarter
During Q4 FY2025 the company repurchased no common shares under its repurchase program (approximately $500 million remains available), which may be noted by investors expecting active repurchases.
Near-Term Margin Pressure Risk
Management expects some margin pressure in Q1 and Q2 2026 from elevated aluminum pricing and premiums before lapping prior increases later in the year; hedging expected to mitigate but not eliminate near-term impact.
Company Guidance
The company gave no formal forward-looking guidance but provided directional expectations and several metrics: Q4 2025 net sales were $2.13 billion (+17.6% YoY; +18.3% excluding the Alcohol Brands segment), Monster Energy segment sales were $1.99 billion (+18.9%), gross profit was 55.5% of net sales (adjusted ex‑alcohol 56.1%), operating income was $542.6 million (+42.3%) with adjusted operating income $617.6 million (+16%), adjusted diluted EPS was $0.51 (+30.4%), and the effective tax rate was 21% (vs. 29.9% prior year); net sales to customers outside the U.S. were ~$903.3 million (~42% of total, +26.9%); January 2026 estimated sales were ~20.5% higher YoY (21% higher ex‑alcohol) and FX‑adjusted +16.7% (70.1% ex‑alcohol per the call); management expects a modest increase in costs in at least H1 2026 versus Q4 2025 due to higher aluminum and the Midwest premium but plans to mitigate via hedging and targeted pricing (November 1 pricing performed in line with expectations), will continue to review price increases globally, retains ~$500 million capacity under the share repurchase program, and is executing a digital transformation including an SAP S/4HANA go‑live targeted for January 1, 2028.

Monster Beverage Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and balance sheet are strong (high margins and very low leverage), supporting a high-quality earnings profile. The main offsets are moderating TTM revenue growth and uncertainty in the most recent cash-flow picture due to the TTM operating/free cash flow shown as zero.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Monster shows strong profitability with consistently high gross and net margins across the period, and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) margins remain solid (net margin ~21.7%, EBIT margin ~28.5%). Revenue has grown steadily, though the growth rate has moderated versus earlier years (TTM growth ~4% vs. low-to-mid teens in 2021–2023). Overall, the income statement reflects a high-quality earnings profile, with the main watch item being the slowing top-line growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a key strength: debt is minimal to none (TTM total debt reported at 0; 2024 debt-to-equity ~0.06), indicating very low financial leverage and strong flexibility. Equity is sizable and return on equity has remained strong (roughly ~20–27% historically; ~25% in TTM), signaling efficient profitability on the capital base. The only mild drawback is that changes in reported debt levels year-to-year suggest some variability in capital structure reporting/usage, but leverage remains very conservative.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation looks healthy in the annual years shown (operating cash flow and free cash flow both positive, with free cash flow generally covering a large portion of net income). However, the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) line shows operating cash flow and free cash flow as 0 with free cash flow growth at -100%, which materially weakens confidence in the most recent cash flow picture and may indicate missing/partial data rather than a true collapse. Given prior-year strength but unclear TTM cash results, cash flow quality scores as good but not top-tier.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.29B7.49B7.14B6.31B5.54B
Gross Profit4.63B4.05B3.79B3.17B3.11B
EBITDA2.48B2.01B2.02B1.65B1.85B
Net Income1.91B1.51B1.63B1.19B1.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.99B7.72B9.69B8.29B7.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.77B1.53B3.25B2.67B3.08B
Total Debt0.00373.95M0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.73B1.76B1.46B1.27B1.24B
Stockholders Equity8.25B5.96B8.23B7.03B6.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.62B1.48B675.55M1.10B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.93B1.72B887.70M1.16B
Investing Cash Flow0.00733.73M-193.40M-161.37M-992.02M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-3.33B-542.60M-706.94M34.82M

Monster Beverage Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price85.30
Price Trends
50DMA
79.87
Positive
100DMA
75.34
Positive
200DMA
69.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.68
Negative
RSI
63.99
Neutral
STOCH
85.20
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MNST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 85.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.68, above the 50-day MA of 79.87, and above the 200-day MA of 69.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MNST.

Monster Beverage Risk Analysis

Monster Beverage disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Monster Beverage reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Monster Beverage Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$83.34B44.0625.54%7.62%12.77%
76
Outperform
$350.77B26.8445.97%2.92%2.93%25.42%
70
Outperform
$3.40B18.2640.93%0.97%0.36%
70
Outperform
$231.98B28.2842.86%3.91%0.48%-22.61%
69
Neutral
$13.82B222.823.06%55.07%-87.01%
69
Neutral
$41.14B19.858.36%3.12%6.77%-29.84%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MNST
Monster Beverage
85.30
30.13
54.61%
KO
Coca-Cola
81.56
11.31
16.10%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
30.28
-2.81
-8.49%
FIZZ
National Beverage
36.35
-4.06
-10.05%
PEP
PepsiCo
169.74
19.74
13.16%
CELH
Celsius Holdings
53.61
27.96
109.01%

Monster Beverage Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Monster Beverage Delivers Strong Fourth-Quarter 2025 Results
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

Monster Beverage reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 26, 2026, with net sales up 17.6% year-on-year to $2.13 billion, marking its first fiscal fourth quarter above $2.0 billion, driven largely by its Monster Energy Drinks segment and robust international demand. Operating income rose 42.3% to $542.6 million and net income surged 65.9% to $449.2 million, aided by a lower effective tax rate, while international sales grew 26.9% to comprise 42% of total revenue; however, the Alcohol Brands segment saw a 16.8% sales decline and continued impairment charges, underscoring the company’s reliance on core energy offerings and innovation to sustain growth and strengthen its position in the expanding global energy drink market.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNST) stock is a Buy with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monster Beverage stock, see the MNST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Monster Beverage Hosts Investor Meeting Webcast
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Monster Beverage Corporation’s CEO Hilton Schlosberg and the senior management team will host an investor meeting to update on the company’s business and operations, which will be available via webcast. The company is positioned strongly in the growing global energy drink market, with a diverse product portfolio and strategic partnerships, notably with Coca-Cola, contributing to its market share gains and robust growth outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNST) stock is a Buy with a $81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monster Beverage stock, see the MNST Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026