Monster Beverage (MNST)
NASDAQ:MNST
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Monster Beverage
(NASDAQ:MNST)
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Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(12.10% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial quality (high profitability and a very conservative balance sheet) and a positive earnings update showing robust Q4 momentum and strong early 2026 sales. Technicals also support the view with a sustained uptrend, though near-overbought signals temper the rating. The largest constraint is valuation, with a high P/E and no dividend yield provided, plus some uncertainty around the TTM cash-flow print and near-term input-cost pressure.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Health
Very low leverage and minimal reported debt provide durable financial flexibility. This supports continued investment in marketing, innovation and digital transformation, funds share repurchases (≈$500M capacity noted) and cushions the company against cost or demand shocks without forcing distress financing.
Negative Factors
Moderating Top-Line Growth
A slowdown from prior double-digit growth to mid-single-digit TTM expansion suggests tougher organic growth dynamics. Over months this can pressure operating leverage expectations and force greater reliance on pricing, SKU mix or M&A to sustain revenue momentum and investor return expectations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Health
Very low leverage and minimal reported debt provide durable financial flexibility. This supports continued investment in marketing, innovation and digital transformation, funds share repurchases (≈$500M capacity noted) and cushions the company against cost or demand shocks without forcing distress financing.
Read all positive factors
Monster Beverage (MNST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$75.19B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)5.00M
Price to Earnings (P/E)39.3
Beta (1Y)0.35
Revenue Growth10.70%
EPS Growth30.49%
CountryUS
Employees6,891
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.51
Shares Outstanding977,906,000
10 Day Avg. Volume4,674,259
30 Day Avg. Volume4,999,125
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.31
Price to Book (P/B)9.06
Price to Sales (P/S)9.02
P/FCF Ratio38.06
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.97
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.81
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit15.78
Enterprise Value/Ebitda28.42
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$90.06Price Target Upside17.39% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering17
EPS Forecast (FY)2.25
Revenue Forecast (FY)$9.23B
Monster Beverage Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Monster Beverage Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in development, marketing, sale, and distribution of energy drink beverages and concentrates in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Mon...
How the Company Makes Money
Monster Beverage primarily makes money by selling branded ready-to-drink beverages—chiefly energy drinks—to bottlers, distributors, and retail channels, generating revenue from wholesale product sales. Its core revenue stream is the Monster Energy...
Monster Beverage Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Monster Beverage is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Monster Beverage is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyMonster Beverage Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broadly positive operational and financial performance: strong top-line growth, expanded gross margins across regions, markedly higher operating income and EPS, notable international share gains, and successful marketing and innovation initiatives. Challenges discussed were largely manageable or regionally specific — rising aluminum/can costs and tariff exposure, distributor disruptions in parts of APAC (notably Japan and South Korea), the decline in the Alcohol Brands segment, and some elevated non-recurring and compensation-related charges. Management outlined mitigation levers (pricing, hedging, innovation, cost optimization, digital transformation) and expects modest near-term cost pressure in H1 2026 but remains optimistic about long-term growth and margin recovery.Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Net Sales
Net sales of $2.13 billion in Q4 FY2025, up 17.6% versus $1.81 billion in Q4 FY2024; net sales excluding the Alcohol Brands segment increased 18.3%.
Negative Updates
Alcohol Brands Weakness
Alcohol Brands segment net sales decreased 16.8% to $29 million in Q4 FY2025 from $34.9 million a year earlier; G&A included $51.2 million of Alcohol Brand impairment charges in Q4 FY2025 (versus $130.7 million in prior-year quarter).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Quarterly Net Sales
Net sales of $2.13 billion in Q4 FY2025, up 17.6% versus $1.81 billion in Q4 FY2024; net sales excluding the Alcohol Brands segment increased 18.3%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company gave no formal forward-looking guidance but provided directional expectations and several metrics: Q4 2025 net sales were $2.13 billion (+17.6% YoY; +18.3% excluding the Alcohol Brands segment), Monster Energy segment sales were $1.99 billion (+18.9%), gross profit was 55.5% of net sales (adjusted ex‑alcohol 56.1%), operating income was $542.6 million (+42.3%) with adjusted operating income $617.6 million (+16%), adjusted diluted EPS was $0.51 (+30.4%), and the effective tax rate was 21% (vs. 29.9% prior year); net sales to customers outside the U.S. were ~$903.3 million (~42% of total, +26.9%); January 2026 estimated sales were ~20.5% higher YoY (21% higher ex‑alcohol) and FX‑adjusted +16.7% (70.1% ex‑alcohol per the call); management expects a modest increase in costs in at least H1 2026 versus Q4 2025 due to higher aluminum and the Midwest premium but plans to mitigate via hedging and targeted pricing (November 1 pricing performed in line with expectations), will continue to review price increases globally, retains ~$500 million capacity under the share repurchase program, and is executing a digital transformation including an SAP S/4HANA go‑live targeted for January 1, 2028.Monster Beverage Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 8.29B | 7.49B | 7.14B | 6.31B | 5.54B |
| Gross Profit | 4.63B | 4.05B | 3.79B | 3.17B | 3.11B |
| EBITDA | 2.60B | 2.01B | 2.02B | 1.65B | 1.85B |
| Net Income | 1.91B | 1.51B | 1.63B | 1.19B | 1.38B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 9.99B | 7.72B | 9.69B | 8.29B | 7.80B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.77B | 1.53B | 3.25B | 2.67B | 3.08B |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 373.95M | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 1.73B | 1.76B | 1.46B | 1.27B | 1.24B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.25B | 5.96B | 8.23B | 7.03B | 6.57B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.97B | 1.62B | 1.48B | 675.55M | 1.10B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.10B | 1.93B | 1.72B | 887.70M | 1.16B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.32B | 733.73M | -193.40M | -161.37M | -992.02M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -324.42M | -3.33B | -542.60M | -706.94M | 34.82M |
Monster Beverage Technical Analysis
Positive
76.72
Price Trends
77.66
Negative
77.33
Negative
71.11
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.28
Negative
56.30
Neutral
75.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MNST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.87, below the 50-day MA of 77.66, and above the 200-day MA of 71.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MNST.
Monster Beverage Risk Analysis
Monster Beverage disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Monster Beverage reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Monster Beverage Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $75.19B | 39.27 | 25.65% | ― | 10.70% | 30.49% | |
73 Outperform | $339.47B | 21.03 | 43.62% | 2.92% | 6.51% | 27.16% | |
71 Outperform | $212.25B | 21.93 | 43.94% | 3.91% | 4.29% | -6.45% | |
69 Neutral | $3.16B | 19.35 | 35.99% | ― | 1.01% | 1.21% | |
64 Neutral | $39.36B | 33.14 | 7.25% | 3.12% | 9.19% | 21.61% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
60 Neutral | $8.39B | 99.61 | 4.66% | ― | 85.54% | -46.89% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
MNST
Monster Beverage
76.89
16.84
28.04%
KO
Coca-Cola
78.87
9.24
13.27%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
28.93
-4.36
-13.10%
FIZZ
National Beverage
33.75
-9.34
-21.68%
PEP
PepsiCo
155.29
26.69
20.75%
CELH
Celsius Holdings
32.66
-1.80
-5.22%
Monster Beverage Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Monster Beverage Delivers Strong Fourth-Quarter 2025 Results
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
Monster Beverage reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 26, 2026, with net sales up 17.6% year-on-year to $2.13 billion, marking its first fiscal fourth quarter above $2.0 billion, driven largely by its Monster Energy Drinks segme...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.