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VNQ - ETF AI Analysis

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VNQ

Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
VNQ, the Vanguard Real Estate ETF, earns a solid overall rating driven largely by strong, diversified real estate leaders like Welltower and Prologis, which benefit from healthy financial performance, strategic growth, and generally stable technical trends. Other sizable positions such as American Tower, Equinix, and Public Storage also support the fund with robust earnings and expansion plans, though several holdings show signs of potential overvaluation and bearish or mixed technical signals. Crown Castle stands out as a weaker holding due to poor financial performance and high leverage, and investors should also be aware of the fund’s concentration in the real estate sector as a key risk.
Positive Factors
Large, Established Fund
The ETF manages a very large pool of assets, which suggests strong investor interest and good trading liquidity.
Strong Core Real Estate Holdings
Most of the top positions, including several major real estate companies, have shown positive performance this year, helping support the fund’s returns.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively low fee, so less of your potential return is lost to ongoing costs.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration
Almost all of the portfolio is invested in real estate, so the fund is heavily exposed to downturns in that single sector.
Limited Geographic Diversification
With nearly all holdings in U.S. companies, the ETF offers little exposure to real estate markets outside the United States.
Mixed Short-Term Performance
Recent returns have been uneven, with a weak three-month stretch that may signal sensitivity to short-term market moves in real estate.

VNQ vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VNQ Summary

Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) is a fund that tracks the MSCI US IMI/Real Estate 25-50 Index, giving you broad exposure to U.S. real estate companies, mainly real estate investment trusts (REITs). It owns businesses that run apartments, shopping centers, warehouses, data centers, and more. Well-known holdings include Prologis and Simon Property. Someone might invest in VNQ for diversification and the potential for steady income from dividends, without having to buy properties directly. A key risk is that real estate values and rents can rise and fall with interest rates and the overall economy.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) has an expense ratio of 0.13%, meaning you’ll pay $1.30 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it is passively managed, tracking a real estate index to keep costs down.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) could benefit from a strong U.S. economy, rising demand for commercial and residential properties, and increased interest in specialized REITs like data centers and healthcare facilities. However, it may face challenges from higher interest rates, which can increase borrowing costs for real estate companies, and economic slowdowns that could reduce property values and rental income. Its focus on U.S. real estate and top holdings like Welltower and Prologis make it sensitive to domestic market conditions and sector-specific trends.

VNQ Top 10 Holdings

VNQ is very much a U.S. real estate story, and its performance is being steered by a handful of heavyweight REITs. Health-care and logistics names like Welltower and Prologis have been rising steadily, giving the fund a solid backbone. Data-center players Equinix and Digital Realty are more of a mixed bag, with strong business trends but choppier stock action lately. Realty Income and Public Storage have been bright spots, while Crown Castle has been dragging its feet, reminding investors that not every corner of real estate is in sync.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Welltower8.31%$5.35B$126.03B32.63%
77
Outperform
Prologis8.01%$5.16B$120.22B4.27%
76
Outperform
American Tower5.53%$3.56B$84.01B-6.55%
71
Outperform
Equinix5.07%$3.26B$79.17B-10.42%
73
Outperform
Simon Property4.08%$2.63B$60.50B4.88%
70
Outperform
Digital Realty3.56%$2.29B$55.50B-1.92%
69
Neutral
Realty Income3.46%$2.23B$55.56B7.86%
70
Outperform
CBRE Group3.23%$2.08B$50.68B19.00%
70
Outperform
Public Storage2.77%$1.78B$48.91B-6.24%
73
Outperform
Crown Castle2.61%$1.68B$38.00B-5.60%
45
Neutral

VNQ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
89.20
Positive
100DMA
89.52
Positive
200DMA
88.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.54
Negative
RSI
53.90
Neutral
STOCH
40.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.88, equal to the 50-day MA of 89.20, and equal to the 200-day MA of 88.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNQ.

VNQ Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$34.68B0.13%
$113.52B0.09%
$92.72B0.08%
$55.63B0.08%
$42.07B0.08%
$30.31B0.08%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
90.42
4.20
4.87%
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
XLK
Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLF
Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLV
Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLE
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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