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Prologis, Inc. (PLD)
NYSE:PLD
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Prologis (PLD) AI Stock Analysis

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PLD

Prologis

(NYSE:PLD)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$165.00
▲(11.77% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
PLD’s score is driven primarily by high-quality financials (strong margins and durable operating/free cash flow) and a notably positive earnings update with raised 2026 guidance and strong leasing/NOI trends. The main offsets are a premium valuation (P/E ~32.7) and signs of moderating growth/margin variability, while technicals are constructive but lack momentum confirmation due to missing indicator data.
Positive Factors
Robust cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow and near-parity free cash flow to net income give Prologis durable internal funding for development, dividends, and capital recycling. This sustained cash generation supports long-term growth investments and buffers against cyclical downturns in occupier demand.
Negative Factors
Leverage trending higher
Rising debt-to-equity reduces balance-sheet flexibility and raises refinancing sensitivity in a higher-rate environment. For a capital-intensive REIT, higher leverage increases interest expense risk and constrains the pace of opportunistic acquisitions or sizable M&A without incremental equity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow and near-parity free cash flow to net income give Prologis durable internal funding for development, dividends, and capital recycling. This sustained cash generation supports long-term growth investments and buffers against cyclical downturns in occupier demand.
Read all positive factors

Prologis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Buildings
Buildings
Counts the total number of properties owned, reflecting the scale of the company's real estate portfolio and its capacity to generate rental revenue.
Chart InsightsPrologis expanded its building base aggressively beginning in late 2022—driven by development, acquisitions and third‑party capital—but building additions have flattened recently, signaling a pivot from sheer unit growth to higher‑value work (data‑center build‑to‑suits, powered sites and strategic capital monetizations). That strategy underpins the company’s raised NOI and FFO outlook, yet it concentrates execution and permitting risk and leaves regional softness and elevated concessions as near‑term watchpoints for investors monitoring earnings leverage.
Data provided by:The Fly

Prologis (PLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prologis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Prologis, Inc. is the undisputed global leader in logistics real estate, strategically focusing its operations on high-barrier, high-growth markets. As of December 31, 2020, the company's extensive portfolio spanned approximately 984 million squar...
How the Company Makes Money
Prologis primarily makes money from (1) rental income generated by leasing its logistics properties to customers under lease agreements, which is the core recurring revenue stream; and (2) development and related activities, where it develops new ...

Prologis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive view: Prologis reported record leasing, strong Q1 core FFO, above-expectation occupancy, meaningful same-store NOI growth, sizable development activity (notably in data centers), a deep power pipeline, expanded strategic capital partnerships, and a fortified balance sheet. These operational and capital achievements led management to raise guidance and scale development targets. Offsetting this are macro and geopolitical uncertainties, pockets of regional softness (notably SoCal, LA County and Seattle), elevated concessions in some markets, and execution risks tied to data center permitting and equipment supply. Overall, the company’s positive fundamentals, capital formation and pipeline progress materially outweigh the noted risks and localized challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Leasing and Strong Demand
Signed a record 64 million square feet in Q1 2026; leasing pipeline replenished and reached new highs, with broad mix of transactions across sizes and geographies and strong retention of nearly 76%.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Conflict in the Middle East introduced upside pressure on energy and inflation and downside risk to rates and macro visibility; company notes the primary risk is that uncertainty could slow customer decision-making even though they have not yet seen meaningful evidence of a pullback.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Leasing and Strong Demand
Signed a record 64 million square feet in Q1 2026; leasing pipeline replenished and reached new highs, with broad mix of transactions across sizes and geographies and strong retention of nearly 76%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Prologis raised its 2026 outlook, reflecting Q1 strength (occupancy 95.3%, core FFO $1.50/sh including net promote and $1.52/sh excluding): average occupancy guidance was increased to about 95%, full-year net effective same-store NOI growth is now expected at 4.75%–5.50% (cash same-store growth 6.25%–7.00%), net earnings $3.80–$4.05/sh, core FFO $6.07–$6.23/sh (including net promote) and $6.12–$6.28/sh (excluding net promote, an 80 bp raise to the prior midpoint); strategic capital revenue $660M–$680M, G&A $510M–$525M; development starts raised to $4.5B–$5.5B (own & managed) with ~40% to data‑center build‑to‑suits, acquisitions $1.0B–$1.5B, and combined contribution/disposition activity $3.5B–$4.5B.

Prologis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation underpin the score: high net margins (~39% in 2025; ~46% TTM) and consistently strong operating cash flow (~$5.0B in 2025; ~$5.2B TTM) with healthy cash earnings quality (FCF ~97% of net income in TTM). Offsets include decelerating recent revenue growth (TTM ~2.7%), some margin volatility (notably lower gross margin in TTM vs prior periods), and leverage trending higher versus 2022 (debt-to-equity ~0.56–0.66).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.19B8.79B8.20B8.02B5.97B4.76B
Gross Profit2.67B5.24B6.14B6.01B4.46B3.51B
EBITDA8.35B7.20B7.53B6.57B5.80B5.15B
Net Income4.21B3.41B3.73B3.06B3.36B2.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.01B98.72B95.33B93.02B87.90B58.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.77B1.15B1.32B530.39M278.48M556.12M
Total Debt36.44B35.04B31.49B29.60B24.51B18.16B
Total Liabilities42.89B40.97B36.71B35.20B30.03B20.74B
Stockholders Equity53.73B53.19B53.95B53.18B53.24B33.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.24B5.01B4.91B5.37B3.58B2.50B
Operating Cash Flow5.24B5.01B4.91B5.37B4.13B3.00B
Investing Cash Flow-2.59B-3.63B-3.10B-6.42B-4.50B-1.99B
Financing Cash Flow-1.92B-1.56B-999.96M1.32B115.79M-1.01B

Prologis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price147.63
Price Trends
50DMA
143.56
Positive
100DMA
139.96
Positive
200DMA
133.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.05
Positive
RSI
49.87
Neutral
STOCH
36.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 147.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 145.02, above the 50-day MA of 143.56, and above the 200-day MA of 133.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PLD.

Prologis Risk Analysis

Prologis disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prologis reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prologis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$137.67B32.147.94%2.82%7.35%21.58%
77
Outperform
$7.62B17.5610.36%2.86%20.19%105.93%
75
Outperform
$11.24B36.608.61%2.91%10.80%22.88%
75
Outperform
$9.02B23.9413.42%2.82%8.44%34.29%
71
Outperform
$7.38B29.436.95%3.70%9.63%3.17%
67
Neutral
$8.42B-20.64-4.75%4.44%0.58%-234.18%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLD
Prologis
144.61
42.70
41.90%
EGP
Eastgroup Properties
209.01
50.84
32.15%
STAG
Stag Industrial
38.26
4.67
13.91%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
71.65
18.62
35.10%
FR
First Industrial Realty
65.84
19.25
41.31%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
37.77
3.30
9.57%

Prologis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Prologis Adds Former Visa CEO to Board
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Prologis appointed former Visa chief executive Alfred F. Kelly, Jr. to its board of directors, determining him to be an independent director under New York Stock Exchange and U.S. securities rules. Kelly will serve on the Board G...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Prologis Adds Alfred Kelly to Board of Directors
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Prologis’ board of directors appointed Alfred F. Kelly, Jr. as an independent director, with the move disclosed on July 1, 2026. Kelly, the former chief executive officer and executive chairman of Visa and a past senior lea...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Prologis Prices ¥45 Billion Multi-Tranche Yen Bond Offering
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 4, 2026, Prologis Yen Finance LLC priced a multi‑tranche yen‑denominated bond offering totaling ¥45 billion, consisting of ¥32.6 billion of 2.527% notes due 2030, ¥3.5 billion of 3.389% notes due 2035 and ¥8...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Prologis Issues Multi-Tranche Yen-Denominated Bond Offering
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 4, 2026, Prologis Yen Finance LLC priced a multi-tranche yen-denominated bond offering totaling ¥45 billion, consisting of 2.527% notes due 2030, 3.389% notes due 2035, and 3.905% notes due 2041, all fully and unconditionally guarante...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Prologis Shareholders Back Board, Scrutinize Executive Pay
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
At its April 28, 2026 annual meeting, Prologis stockholders elected 11 directors, including Chair and CEO Hamid R. Moghadam, to serve until the next annual meeting, signaling continued support for the company’s existing board composition and...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Prologis Shareholders Reaffirm Board, Pay and Auditor Choices
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
At its April 28, 2026 annual meeting, Prologis stockholders elected eleven directors, including Chair and CEO Hamid R. Moghadam, to serve until the next annual meeting, reaffirming the company’s existing board composition. Investors also app...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2026