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Prologis (PLD)
NYSE:PLD
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Prologis (PLD) AI Stock Analysis

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PLD

Prologis

(NYSE:PLD)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$120.00
â–²(6.88% Upside)
Prologis scores well due to its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight robust operational metrics and strategic growth initiatives. Technical analysis and valuation present some cautionary signals, but the company's solid fundamentals and strategic positioning in the REIT - Industrial sector support a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The FY FFO/share guidance was increased, beating estimates from analysts.
Financial Performance
Prologis, Inc. reported better than feared results with solid operating metrics, leading to expectations of a positive stock reaction.
Guidance and Strategy
The company raised guidance for acquisitions, development, and strategic capital, which is seen as a positive move.
Negative Factors
Rent Growth
Industrial rent growth remains tepid, and the relationship between rents and industrial REIT multiples suggests stocks could face pressure until demand recovers.
Target Price
Lowering the target price to $140 from $150 reflects uncertainty from unresolved trade policies.

Prologis (PLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prologis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrologis, Inc. is the global leader in logistics real estate with a focus on high-barrier, high-growth markets. As of December 31, 2020, the company owned or had investments in, on a wholly owned basis or through co-investment ventures, properties and development projects expected to total approximately 984 million square feet (91 million square meters) in 19 countries. Prologis leases modern logistics facilities to a diverse base of approximately 5,500 customers principally across two major categories: business-to-business and retail/online fulfillment.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrologis generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to a diverse clientele, including logistics companies, retailers, and manufacturers. The company earns rental income from long-term leases, which provide a stable cash flow. Additionally, Prologis benefits from property management fees and development profits when it builds new facilities or redevelops existing ones. Strategic partnerships with major e-commerce and logistics firms also enhance its market position and contribute to its earnings, as these companies often seek high-quality, strategically located distribution centers to optimize their supply chains. Furthermore, Prologis engages in joint ventures and co-investments, which allow it to share risks and returns while expanding its portfolio.

Prologis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Buildings
Buildings
Counts the total number of properties owned, reflecting the scale of the company's real estate portfolio and its capacity to generate rental revenue.
Chart InsightsPrologis has shown consistent growth in its building portfolio, with a notable increase since late 2022. This aligns with their record build-to-suit activity and high leasing pipeline, despite challenges like subdued net absorption and market rent declines. The company's strategic focus on data centers and logistics starts, coupled with improved occupancy rates, suggests a robust operational strategy. However, investors should be mindful of potential impacts from legislative changes affecting energy projects and strategic capital outflows.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Prologis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 17, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call indicates a strong performance with solid financial metrics, robust leasing pipeline, and record build-to-suit activity. However, challenges such as subdued net absorption, market rent decline, and elevated bad debt levels indicate market uncertainties. Despite these headwinds, the company's long-term outlook remains positive with strategic positioning and high liquidity.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Core FFO Performance
Core FFO, including net promote income, was $1.46 per share, and excluding net promotes was $1.47 per share, both ahead of the forecast.
High Occupancy and Rent Growth
Occupancy ended the quarter at 95.1%, outperforming the market by 290 basis points. The lease mark-to-market was 22% at quarter-end, with rent change delivering an additional $75 million of NOI.
Record Build-to-Suit Activity
Build-to-suit starts for the first half totaled $1.1 billion, marking the largest start to a year ever, with significant investments such as $300 million in a data center development in Austin, Texas.
Robust Leasing Pipeline
The leasing pipeline reached historically high levels, up 19% year-over-year, indicating strong customer interest across diverse geographies and customer segments.
High Liquidity and Strategic Capital Expansion
Closed on $5.8 billion in financing activities, with strategic capital business expanding with new offerings in development.
Negative Updates
Subdued Net Absorption
Net absorption was muted, with only 28 million square feet in the U.S. and overall market vacancy ticking up to 7.4%.
Market Rent Decline
Market rents declined approximately 1.4% during the quarter.
Elevated Bad Debt Levels
Bad debt levels remained elevated at 35-40 basis points, compared to a historical average closer to 20 basis points.
Challenging Environment in China
China's market has been challenging, with occupancy volatility despite recent improvements.
Company Guidance
During the Prologis Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance based on improved market stability. Prologis expects average occupancy to range between 94.75% and 95.25%, with rent change anticipated to remain strong, averaging in the low to mid-50% range for the full year. Same-store NOI growth is projected between 3.75% and 4.25% on a net effective basis and 4.25% to 4.75% on a cash basis. The company is maintaining its G&A guidance of $450 million to $470 million while increasing strategic capital revenue guidance to $570 million to $590 million. Capital deployment guidance has been adjusted, with development starts expected to range from $2.25 billion to $2.75 billion, reflecting a $300 million data center start and increased build-to-suit activity. Disposition and contribution guidance has been raised to $1 billion to $1.75 billion. Prologis also increased its Core FFO guidance to $5.75 to $5.80 per share, including net promote expense, and $5.80 to $5.85 per share, excluding net promote expense, due to higher NOI and strategic capital revenues.

Prologis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prologis exhibits strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, profitability, and efficient cash flow management. However, the increasing debt and slight decline in gross profit margin are areas of concern.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Prologis demonstrates robust financial performance with significant revenue growth over the years. The TTM data shows a healthy gross profit margin of 67.7% and a net profit margin of 44.6%, indicating strong profitability. The revenue growth is evident with a 4.7% increase from the previous annual report. However, a slight decline in gross profit margin compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, highlighting a moderate level of leverage suitable for a REIT. The equity ratio of 55.7% showcases strong equity backing relative to total assets. The return on equity (ROE) is consistent at 7.0%, indicating stable returns to shareholders. However, the increase in total debt over the past year is a point of concern and should be monitored.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Prologis exhibits strong cash flow management with a positive free cash flow of $4.81 billion in the TTM, growing from $4.91 billion in the previous annual report. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.34 indicates efficient cash generation relative to reported earnings. Nonetheless, the slight decrease in free cash flow from the prior period warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.38B8.20B8.02B5.97B4.76B4.44B
Gross Profit6.31B6.14B6.01B4.46B3.51B3.27B
EBITDA7.60B7.53B6.57B5.80B5.15B3.61B
Net Income3.74B3.73B3.06B3.36B2.94B1.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets95.99B95.33B93.02B87.90B58.49B56.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments671.12M1.32B530.39M278.48M556.12M598.09M
Total Debt32.26B31.49B29.60B24.51B18.16B17.34B
Total Liabilities37.92B36.71B35.20B30.03B20.74B19.74B
Stockholders Equity53.47B53.95B53.18B53.24B33.43B31.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.81B4.91B5.37B3.58B2.50B1.69B
Operating Cash Flow5.02B4.91B5.37B4.13B3.00B2.94B
Investing Cash Flow-3.56B-3.10B-6.42B-4.50B-1.99B-3.07B
Financing Cash Flow-1.28B-999.96M1.32B115.79M-1.01B-372.16M

Prologis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price112.28
Price Trends
50DMA
107.11
Positive
100DMA
105.39
Positive
200DMA
108.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
53.22
Neutral
STOCH
77.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 112.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.98, above the 50-day MA of 107.11, and above the 200-day MA of 108.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PLD.

Prologis Risk Analysis

Prologis disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prologis reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prologis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$105.28B30.186.50%3.58%10.20%23.28%
75
Outperform
$5.75B22.176.85%3.52%22.17%40.80%
74
Outperform
$6.91B24.7410.33%3.26%9.66%-4.60%
74
Outperform
$9.34B29.343.74%4.31%13.66%11.34%
73
Outperform
$6.88B28.566.89%4.14%8.56%22.20%
69
Neutral
$2.56B31.264.15%6.15%6.64%210.89%
62
Neutral
$6.93B13.52-0.57%7.16%3.62%-22.63%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLD
Prologis
112.28
-12.22
-9.82%
STAG
Stag Industrial
35.58
-3.23
-8.32%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
55.36
-13.45
-19.55%
FR
First Industrial Realty
49.55
-5.11
-9.35%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
8.57
-1.07
-11.10%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
39.06
-10.83
-21.71%

Prologis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prologis Reports Q2 2025 Revenue Growth to $2.18B
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a total revenue increase to $2.18 billion from $2.01 billion in the same quarter of the previous year. Despite a decrease in net earnings attributable to common stockholders, the company reported growth in Core FFO and AFFO, reflecting strong operational performance and strategic capital revenues. The announcement underscores Prologis’ robust market positioning and its continued expansion in the logistics real estate sector, which is crucial for stakeholders monitoring the company’s financial health and strategic direction.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prologis Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a total revenue increase to $2.18 billion from $2.01 billion in the same period last year. The company’s net earnings attributable to common stockholders were $570 million, a decrease from $860 million in the previous year, reflecting changes in market conditions and operational adjustments. Prologis continues to show strong performance in its core business areas, with significant investments in development and strategic capital, positioning itself well for future growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prologis CIO Joseph Ghazal to Step Down
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Prologis announced that its Chief Investment Officer, Joseph Ghazal, has decided to step down from his executive role effective July 1, 2025. Ghazal will continue with the company until July 10, 2026, to ensure a smooth transition, which may impact the company’s strategic investment operations during this period.

Executive/Board Changes
Prologis CIO Joseph Ghazal to Step Down
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Prologis announced that Joseph Ghazal, the Chief Investment Officer, will step down from his executive role effective July 1, 2025. Ghazal will remain with the company until July 10, 2026, to ensure a smooth transition, which may impact Prologis’s investment strategies and stakeholder relations during this period.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prologis Enters $3 Billion Global Credit Agreement
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Prologis, L.P. and its affiliates entered into an Amended and Restated Global Senior Credit Agreement, known as the 2025 Global Facility, with various lenders and Bank of America, N.A. This agreement allows Prologis to obtain loans and issue letters of credit up to $3 billion, with the facility maturing in 2029 and options to extend. The agreement includes two tranches in U.S. Dollars and Euros, and its terms are influenced by Prologis’ public debt ratings. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance Prologis’ operational flexibility and strengthen its position in the logistics real estate market.

Private Placements and Financing
Prologis Secures $3 Billion Global Credit Facility
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Prologis, L.P. and its affiliates entered into an Amended and Restated Global Senior Credit Agreement with various lenders and Bank of America, N.A. as the Global Administrative Agent. This agreement, known as the 2025 Global Facility, allows the company to obtain loans and issue letters of credit up to $3 billion, with the possibility of increasing this by an additional $1 billion. The facility includes a U.S. Dollar Tranche and a Euro Tranche, and is set to mature on June 29, 2029, with options for two six-month extensions. The agreement includes customary financial covenants and guarantees, and its terms are influenced by the public debt ratings of the Operating Partnership.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025