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Prologis (PLD)
NYSE:PLD
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Prologis (PLD) AI Stock Analysis

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PLD

Prologis

(NYSE:PLD)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$132.00
▲(4.80% Upside)
Prologis demonstrates strong financial performance with robust cash flow and profitability margins, which are key strengths. The positive earnings call with record leasing activity and data center expansion further supports the stock's outlook. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and rising debt levels require careful management. Technical indicators show a positive trend, but the valuation remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Record Leasing Activity
The record leasing activity indicates strong demand and improved customer sentiment, which supports long-term revenue stability and growth.
Data Center Expansion
Expanding data center capacity represents a significant investment opportunity, enhancing Prologis's market position in a growing sector.
Strong Cash Flow
Robust cash flow generation supports operational and financial strategies, providing flexibility for growth and debt management.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Higher debt levels can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, especially if not managed carefully, impacting long-term stability.
Elevated Bad Debt Expense
Elevated bad debt expenses can reduce profitability and indicate potential issues with tenant credit quality, affecting financial health.
Market Rent Declines
Continued market rent declines suggest softness in some markets, which could pressure revenue growth and profitability if trends persist.

Prologis (PLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prologis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrologis, Inc. (NYSE: PLD) is a leading global logistics real estate investment trust (REIT) headquartered in San Francisco, California. The company focuses on the development, acquisition, and management of industrial properties, primarily in high-demand markets. Prologis specializes in logistics facilities that support the supply chain needs of various sectors, including e-commerce, retail, and consumer goods, offering a range of core products such as warehouses and distribution centers.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrologis generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to a diverse clientele, including logistics companies, retailers, and manufacturers. The company earns rental income from long-term leases, which provide a stable cash flow. Additionally, Prologis benefits from property management fees and development profits when it builds new facilities or redevelops existing ones. Strategic partnerships with major e-commerce and logistics firms also enhance its market position and contribute to its earnings, as these companies often seek high-quality, strategically located distribution centers to optimize their supply chains. Furthermore, Prologis engages in joint ventures and co-investments, which allow it to share risks and returns while expanding its portfolio.

Prologis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Buildings
Buildings
Counts the total number of properties owned, reflecting the scale of the company's real estate portfolio and its capacity to generate rental revenue.
Chart InsightsPrologis has shown consistent growth in its building portfolio, with a notable increase since late 2022. This aligns with their record build-to-suit activity and high leasing pipeline, despite challenges like subdued net absorption and market rent declines. The company's strategic focus on data centers and logistics starts, coupled with improved occupancy rates, suggests a robust operational strategy. However, investors should be mindful of potential impacts from legislative changes affecting energy projects and strategic capital outflows.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Prologis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter for Prologis, with record leasing activity, significant advancements in the data center business, and robust financial performance. While some challenges such as elevated bad debt expenses and market rent declines were noted, the overall outlook remains positive with demand improving and strategic growth initiatives underway.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Leasing Activity
Prologis achieved a record quarter for leasing with signings of nearly 62 million square feet, indicating strong demand and improved customer sentiment.
Data Center Expansion
Prologis moved another 1.5 gigawatts of additional capacity to advanced stages, with 5.2 gigawatts of power either secured or in advanced stages, representing a significant investment opportunity of $15 billion.
Core FFO Exceeds Forecast
Core FFO, including net promote expense, was $1.49 per share and excluding net promotes was $1.50 per share, each ahead of the forecast.
Strong Rent Change
Rent change during the quarter was 49% on a net effective basis and 29% on cash, highlighting the durability of lease mark to market.
Energy Business Growth
The energy business delivered 28 megawatts of solar generation and storage in the quarter, with 825 megawatts of current capacity, on track to achieve a one-gigawatt goal by year-end.
Successful Financing Activities
Prologis closed on $2.3 billion in financing activities, including a successful €1 billion raise at 3.5%, maintaining an in-place cost of debt at 3.2% with more than eight years of average remaining life.
Negative Updates
Anticipated Decline in Development Starts
Prologis experienced a lighter quarter of development starts, though expectations are set for a strong fourth quarter.
Elevated Bad Debt Expense
Bad debt expense was elevated, expected to be in the forties in terms of basis points on revenue, though it remains below past crisis levels.
Market Rent Declines
Market rent declines have been slowing, with just over a 1% decline this quarter, indicating that some markets are still experiencing softness.
Company Guidance
During the Prologis Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CFO Tim Arndt outlined several key metrics reflecting the company's strong performance and future guidance. The company achieved a record leasing quarter with nearly 62 million square feet signed, and its portfolio occupancy increased by 20 basis points to 95.3%. The net effective rent change was 49%, with cash rent change at 29%. Prologis advanced its data center business with 1.5 gigawatts of additional capacity, contributing to a total of 5.2 gigawatts secured or in advanced stages, translating to a potential $15 billion investment. In terms of financial results, Core FFO per share was reported at $1.49 including net promote expense, and $1.50 excluding it, both surpassing forecasts. The company's guidance indicates an average occupancy midpoint of 95%, with same-store NOI growth projected between 4.25% to 4.75% on a net effective basis and 4.5% to 5.25% on a cash basis. Prologis also increased its development starts guidance to a range of $2.75 billion to $3.25 billion and expects GAAP earnings per share to range between $3.40 and $3.50.

Prologis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prologis demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and high profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, though rising debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting the company's operational and financial strategies.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Prologis demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 2.1%. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 75.3% and a net profit margin of 40.3%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 55.4% and 85.9%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased from the previous year, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is stable at 6.5%, showing consistent profitability. The equity ratio stands at 54%, suggesting a solid equity base. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Prologis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 7.5% TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.41, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains at 1.0, suggesting all net income is converted into free cash flow. Despite these strengths, the reliance on operating cash flow for free cash flow generation could be a concern if operational performance declines.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.56B8.20B8.02B5.97B4.76B4.44B
Gross Profit6.45B6.14B6.01B4.46B3.51B3.27B
EBITDA7.36B7.53B6.57B5.80B5.15B3.61B
Net Income3.45B3.73B3.06B3.36B2.94B1.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets97.72B95.33B93.02B87.90B58.49B56.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07B1.32B530.39M278.48M556.12M598.09M
Total Debt34.67B31.49B29.60B24.51B18.16B17.34B
Total Liabilities40.41B36.71B35.20B30.03B20.74B19.74B
Stockholders Equity52.73B53.95B53.18B53.24B33.43B31.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.17B4.91B5.37B3.58B2.50B1.69B
Operating Cash Flow5.17B4.91B5.37B4.13B3.00B2.94B
Investing Cash Flow-3.98B-3.10B-6.42B-4.50B-1.99B-3.07B
Financing Cash Flow-740.16M-999.96M1.32B115.79M-1.01B-372.16M

Prologis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price125.95
Price Trends
50DMA
113.77
Positive
100DMA
109.97
Positive
200DMA
109.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.28
Negative
RSI
69.02
Neutral
STOCH
93.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 125.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 117.79, above the 50-day MA of 113.77, and above the 200-day MA of 109.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PLD.

Prologis Risk Analysis

Prologis disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prologis reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prologis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$119.83B36.683.17%10.75%4.29%
77
Outperform
$7.58B31.058.97%3.06%9.66%-23.17%
74
Outperform
$2.84B34.664.15%5.68%6.64%210.89%
73
Outperform
$6.36B24.506.85%3.25%22.17%40.80%
73
Outperform
$7.35B30.506.89%3.86%8.56%22.20%
71
Outperform
$10.11B30.604.03%3.97%10.27%15.25%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLD
Prologis
125.95
9.81
8.45%
STAG
Stag Industrial
38.58
2.33
6.43%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
61.16
-0.08
-0.13%
FR
First Industrial Realty
55.65
2.90
5.50%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
9.50
0.47
5.20%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
42.98
0.33
0.77%

Prologis Corporate Events

Prologis, Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 16, 2025

Prologis, Inc. is a leading global logistics real estate company that specializes in creating and managing supply chain infrastructure, with a focus on sustainable and innovative solutions. The company operates across various regions, providing essential logistics facilities and services.

Prologis, Inc. Reports Strong Earnings and Growth
Oct 16, 2025

Prologis, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong quarter marked by record leasing activity, significant advancements in its data center business, and robust financial performance. Despite some challenges, such as elevated bad debt expenses and market rent declines, the overall outlook remains positive with improving demand and strategic growth initiatives underway.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prologis Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Growth
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a total revenue increase to $2.214 billion from $2.036 billion in the same period the previous year. Despite a decrease in net earnings attributable to common stockholders from $1.004 billion to $763 million, the company reported a rise in Core FFO to $1.426 billion. The announcement reflects Prologis’ continued growth in logistics real estate, with significant investments and developments in high-demand markets, impacting stakeholders positively by enhancing its market position and operational scale.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Prologis Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting total revenues of $2.214 billion, an increase from $2.036 billion in the same period of 2024. Despite a decrease in net earnings attributable to common stockholders from $1.004 billion in 2024 to $763 million in 2025, the company’s Core FFO increased to $1.426 billion from $1.367 billion. The announcement highlights the company’s continued growth in strategic capital revenues and development stabilizations, emphasizing its strong market position and impact on stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Prologis Completes €1 Billion Notes Issuance
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Prologis Euro Finance LLC and Prologis, L.P. completed the issuance and sale of €1 billion in Notes, divided equally between 3.250% Notes due 2032 and 3.875% Notes due 2037. The net proceeds of approximately €989.2 million will be used by the Operating Partnership for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. The Notes, which are senior unsecured obligations, are guaranteed by the Operating Partnership and come with specific redemption options and restrictions on incurring additional indebtedness.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Prologis Completes €1 Billion Notes Issuance
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Prologis Euro Finance LLC and Prologis, L.P. completed the issuance and sale of €1 billion in Notes, divided equally between 2032 and 2037 maturities, with interest rates of 3.250% and 3.875% respectively. The net proceeds, estimated at approximately €989.2 million, will be used by the Operating Partnership for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. The issuance aims to strengthen Prologis’ financial position and flexibility, with the Notes being senior unsecured obligations guaranteed by the Operating Partnership.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Prologis Announces Upcoming Chief Accounting Officer Change
Neutral
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced the retirement of Lori Palazzolo as Chief Accounting Officer, effective April 1, 2026. Trisha Burns, who has been with the company since 2010 and currently serves as Senior Vice President, Global Accounting and Financial Reporting, will take over the role. This transition is expected to ensure continuity in the company’s financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Prologis Announces Upcoming Change in Accounting Leadership
Neutral
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced the retirement of Lori Palazzolo as Chief Accounting Officer, effective April 1, 2026. Trisha Burns, who has been with the company since 2010 and currently serves as Senior Vice President, Global Accounting and Financial Reporting, will assume the role on the same date. This transition is expected to ensure continuity in the company’s accounting leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2025