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Prologis (PLD)
NYSE:PLD

Prologis (PLD) AI Stock Analysis

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Prologis

(NYSE:PLD)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$123.00
â–²(17.05%Upside)
Prologis' strong financial performance and strategic corporate events provide a solid foundation, while technical indicators and valuation suggest potential stability. Earnings call sentiment is mixed, reflecting market uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Q1'25 Core FFO of $1.42 was above the estimate of $1.34 and consensus of $1.38.
Financial Guidance
Prologis maintained its financial guidance despite growing macro uncertainty, which was better than expected.
Leasing Activity
Leasing activity reached a record high with 65.1M SF of new and renewal leases commenced, up 35.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty
The Underperform rating and $95 target price were reiterated due to market uncertainty.
Occupancy Rates
Occupancy declined to 95.2%, the lowest level since 3Q14.
Tariff Impact
PLD noted that demand had dropped off since tariffs were announced, with leasing down 20%.

Prologis (PLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prologis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrologis, Inc. is the global leader in logistics real estate with a focus on high-barrier, high-growth markets. As of December 31, 2020, the company owned or had investments in, on a wholly owned basis or through co-investment ventures, properties and development projects expected to total approximately 984 million square feet (91 million square meters) in 19 countries. Prologis leases modern logistics facilities to a diverse base of approximately 5,500 customers principally across two major categories: business-to-business and retail/online fulfillment.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrologis makes money primarily through leasing its vast portfolio of logistics and industrial properties to a wide range of customers, including retailers, manufacturers, transportation companies, and third-party logistics providers. The company generates revenue from rent collected from tenants occupying its warehouses and distribution centers. Additionally, Prologis engages in strategic development and redevelopment of properties, where it can build facilities tailored to specific customer needs, thus generating development gains upon completion and leasing. Another significant revenue stream comes from property management and other value-added services provided to its tenants. Prologis also benefits from its capital deployment strategy, which includes forming joint ventures and partnerships that leverage its expertise in logistics real estate to generate additional income and expand its global footprint.

Prologis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Buildings
Buildings
Counts the total number of properties owned, reflecting the scale of the company's real estate portfolio and its capacity to generate rental revenue.
Chart InsightsPrologis has shown consistent growth in its buildings metric, with a notable increase in 2024. Despite strong leasing activity and data center expansion, recent earnings call highlights global tariff uncertainties and a slight occupancy decline, impacting future growth expectations. The company remains resilient with a strong balance sheet and diversified rent roll, but has adjusted its capital deployment guidance due to market uncertainties, reflecting caution amid potential recession risks. This strategic positioning suggests a focus on stability while navigating economic challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Prologis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with strong leasing activity and data center expansion, but also highlighted concerns about occupancy decline and the impact of global tariff uncertainties on market conditions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Activity
Prologis leased 58 million square feet, a near-record achievement, and started $650 million in new developments, primarily build-to-suits with long-term leases averaging 16 years.
Data Center Expansion
Prologis expanded its power capacity for data centers by 400 megawatts, a 13% increase, and moved 2 gigawatts of power to advanced stages with utilities.
Financial Performance and Ratings
Core FFO exceeded expectations at $1.42 per share. Prologis received an upgrade to an A2 rating from Moody's, becoming one of only two public REITs with an A-flat rating from both agencies.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Decline
Occupancy decreased to 95.2%, a drop of 70 basis points from year-end, attributed to higher lease expirations in the first quarter.
Tariff and Market Uncertainty
Recent global tariff uncertainties have created instability, impacting logistics and supply chains, leading to a slowdown in decision-making and a potential recession.
Development and Capital Deployment Guidance Reduction
Prologis reduced development start guidance to $1.5 billion to $2 billion and decreased contribution and disposition guidance due to capital market uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the Prologis First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating that despite a strong quarter where they leased 58 million square feet and saw net effective rent change of 54% and cash same-store growth of 6.2%, they chose to maintain their earnings guidance due to recent global tariff uncertainties impacting logistics and supply chains. Prologis reported a core FFO of $1.42 per share, with occupancy ending the quarter at 95.2%. While they initially considered raising their expectations for 2025, they decided against it, citing the wide range of economic outcomes, including potential recession risks. The company adjusted its capital deployment guidance due to market uncertainties, reducing its development start guidance to $1.5 billion to $2 billion and its development gain guidance to $100 million to $250 million. However, they retained their FFO guidance, with core FFO, including net promotes, expected to range between $5.65 and $5.81 per share. Prologis emphasized their resilience and strategic positioning to weather any environment, highlighting their diversified rent roll and strong balance sheet. They noted that while leasing activity saw a 20% dip in recent weeks, the demand for flexible inventory positioning continues, particularly among sectors like transport, food and beverage, consumer products, and electronics.

Prologis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prologis demonstrates strong financial performance with notable revenue growth and profitability, supported by a robust balance sheet with no debt. The company effectively manages capital and generates cash, positioning it well for future growth.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Prologis has shown strong revenue growth with a compound annual growth rate of around 18% over the past five years. The gross profit margin is consistently at 100% due to the nature of its REIT operations, and the net profit margin in the latest year is approximately 45% indicating high profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown improvement, standing at 54% and 64% respectively for 2024, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Prologis maintains a strong balance sheet with zero debt in 2024, significantly reducing financial risk. The equity ratio is high at around 57%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. ROE is approximately 7% in 2024, which, while moderate, reflects consistent returns on equity investment. Overall, the company demonstrates financial stability with minimal leverage.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The company exhibits a strong cash flow position with a free cash flow growth rate of approximately -9% from 2023 to 2024, primarily due to changes in operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.32, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. With a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.32, Prologis effectively generates cash relative to its earnings.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.38B8.20B8.02B5.97B4.76B4.44B
Gross Profit
5.67B6.14B6.01B4.46B3.51B3.27B
EBIT
4.29B4.42B3.71B2.57B2.01B1.69B
EBITDA
6.74B7.53B6.57B4.40B3.60B3.26B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.74B3.73B3.06B3.36B2.94B1.48B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
671.12M1.32B530.39M278.48M556.12M598.09M
Total Assets
95.99B95.33B93.02B87.90B58.49B56.07B
Total Debt
0.0031.49B29.60B25.41B18.16B17.34B
Net Debt
31.59B30.18B29.07B25.14B17.61B16.74B
Total Liabilities
37.92B36.71B35.20B30.03B20.74B19.74B
Stockholders Equity
53.47B53.95B53.18B53.24B33.43B31.97B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.81B4.91B5.37B3.58B2.50B1.69B
Operating Cash Flow
5.02B4.91B5.37B4.13B3.00B2.94B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.56B-3.10B-6.42B-4.50B-1.99B-3.07B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.28B-999.96M1.32B115.79M-1.01B-372.16M

Prologis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price105.08
Price Trends
50DMA
103.92
Positive
100DMA
109.20
Negative
200DMA
111.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
44.73
Neutral
STOCH
5.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 105.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.51, above the 50-day MA of 103.92, and below the 200-day MA of 111.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PLD.

Prologis Risk Analysis

Prologis disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prologis reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prologis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PLPLD
80
Outperform
$101.53B26.967.01%3.84%2.11%19.67%
FRFR
80
Outperform
$6.69B24.3210.18%3.65%9.18%-7.05%
77
Outperform
$6.73B27.227.15%4.13%8.81%33.30%
75
Outperform
$6.02B29.445.33%3.37%22.17%4.34%
74
Outperform
$8.60B29.523.35%4.73%18.02%12.12%
LXLXP
68
Neutral
$2.53B43.692.98%6.31%5.68%358.78%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.890.41%9.34%5.96%-21.31%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLD
Prologis
105.08
-0.38
-0.36%
STAG
Stag Industrial
36.32
2.39
7.04%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
58.17
1.98
3.52%
FR
First Industrial Realty
49.13
3.47
7.60%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
8.69
0.30
3.58%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
36.70
-5.88
-13.81%

Prologis Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prologis CIO Joseph Ghazal to Step Down
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Prologis announced that its Chief Investment Officer, Joseph Ghazal, has decided to step down from his executive role effective July 1, 2025. Ghazal will continue with the company until July 10, 2026, to ensure a smooth transition, which may impact the company’s strategic investment operations during this period.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Prologis CIO Joseph Ghazal to Step Down
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Prologis announced that Joseph Ghazal, the Chief Investment Officer, will step down from his executive role effective July 1, 2025. Ghazal will remain with the company until July 10, 2026, to ensure a smooth transition, which may impact Prologis’s investment strategies and stakeholder relations during this period.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prologis Enters $3 Billion Global Credit Agreement
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Prologis, L.P. and its affiliates entered into an Amended and Restated Global Senior Credit Agreement, known as the 2025 Global Facility, with various lenders and Bank of America, N.A. This agreement allows Prologis to obtain loans and issue letters of credit up to $3 billion, with the facility maturing in 2029 and options to extend. The agreement includes two tranches in U.S. Dollars and Euros, and its terms are influenced by Prologis’ public debt ratings. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance Prologis’ operational flexibility and strengthen its position in the logistics real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $134.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Prologis Secures $3 Billion Global Credit Facility
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Prologis, L.P. and its affiliates entered into an Amended and Restated Global Senior Credit Agreement with various lenders and Bank of America, N.A. as the Global Administrative Agent. This agreement, known as the 2025 Global Facility, allows the company to obtain loans and issue letters of credit up to $3 billion, with the possibility of increasing this by an additional $1 billion. The facility includes a U.S. Dollar Tranche and a Euro Tranche, and is set to mature on June 29, 2029, with options for two six-month extensions. The agreement includes customary financial covenants and guarantees, and its terms are influenced by the public debt ratings of the Operating Partnership.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $134.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Prologis Elects Board Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 13, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 8, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced the election of twelve directors to its Board, with most receiving strong support. Additionally, the stockholders approved the company’s executive compensation for 2024 and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. However, a stockholder proposal to allow shareholders to call special meetings was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Prologis Elects Directors and Approves Executive Compensation
Neutral
May 13, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 8, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced the election of twelve directors to its Board and approved executive compensation for 2024. Additionally, the stockholders ratified KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, while a proposal to allow shareholders to call special meetings was not passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLD) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prologis stock, see the PLD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prologis Issues $1.25 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Prologis, L.P. completed the issuance and sale of $1.25 billion in senior unsecured notes, consisting of $500 million of 4.750% Notes due 2031 and $750 million of 5.250% Notes due 2035. The proceeds, estimated at $1.2 billion after expenses, will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to enhance Prologis’ liquidity and flexibility, potentially impacting its market positioning by allowing for more efficient capital management.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prologis Issues $1.25 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
May 7, 2025

Prologis, L.P. announced the successful issuance and sale of $1.25 billion in senior unsecured notes on May 7, 2025. The offering included $500 million of 4.750% notes due in 2031 and $750 million of 5.250% notes due in 2035. The proceeds, estimated to be around $1.2 billion after expenses, will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. This strategic financial move is expected to bolster Prologis’ operational flexibility and strengthen its market position.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prologis Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced its first quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a strong performance with total revenues of $2.14 billion, an increase from $1.96 billion in the same period of 2024. The company reported net earnings attributable to common stockholders of $592 million and a Core FFO of $1.42 per share, reflecting its robust market position and strategic capital initiatives. Prologis continues to focus on expanding its development portfolio and maintaining high occupancy rates, which are expected to positively impact its future financial performance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prologis Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a strong performance with total revenues of $2.14 billion, up from $1.96 billion in the same period in 2024. The company reported net earnings attributable to common stockholders of $592 million, reflecting a slight increase from $584 million in the previous year. Prologis also emphasized its significant development activities, with $963 million in value creation from stabilizations and a robust pipeline of development starts and acquisitions planned for the year. The announcement underscores Prologis’s continued growth and strategic positioning in the logistics real estate market, with implications for stakeholders in terms of increased dividends and solid financial health.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.