Stag Industrial (STAG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.27B
• Dividend Yield: 3.81%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.47M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 30.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.49
• Revenue Growth: 9.62%
• EPS Growth: 31.08%
• Country: US
• Employees: 91
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: REIT - Industrial
• EPS (TTM): 0.26
• Shares Outstanding: 186,750,080
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,395,614
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,473,014
• PEG Ratio: -11.61
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.78
• Price to Sales (P/S): 8.03
• P/FCF Ratio: 16.43
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.35
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 11.91
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 14.93
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 14.56
• 1Y Price Target: $40.00
• Price Target Upside: 2.33% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9
• EPS Forecast (FY): 1.26
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $836.29M

• Rating: 75 Outperform
• Price Target: $43.00 ▲(10.00% Upside)

Stag Industrial's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors contributing to the score. The company's ability to generate cash efficiently and its strategic growth initiatives are key strengths. However, the relatively high valuation and technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions are risks that temper the overall score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Stag Industrial's consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful tenant acquisition, supporting long-term stability.

Cash Generation

Robust cash generation capabilities enhance financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns.

Leasing Success

High leasing success rate ensures stable income streams and reflects strong tenant relationships, crucial for sustained growth.

Negative Factors

Rising Debt Levels

Rising debt levels may strain financial resources, potentially impacting future investment capacity and increasing financial risk.

Gross Margin Pressure

Pressure on gross margins suggests cost management challenges, which could affect profitability if not addressed.

National Vacancy Rates

High vacancy rates can limit rental income growth and affect market dynamics, posing a challenge to revenue expansion.

Stag Industrial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

STAG Industrial, Inc. (NYSE: STAG) is a real estate investment trust focused on the acquisition and operation of single-tenant, industrial properties throughout the United States. By targeting this type of property, STAG has developed an investment strategy that helps investors find a powerful balance of income plus growth.

How the Company Makes Money

Stag Industrial generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to tenants on long-term leases. The company earns rental income, which constitutes its main revenue stream. Stag's properties are often leased to high-quality tenants, allowing the company to secure consistent cash flows. Additionally, Stag may benefit from rental escalations built into lease agreements, further enhancing revenue over time. The company strategically invests in properties that are in demand, capitalizing on the growth of e-commerce and logistics sectors. Partnerships with reputable tenants and a diversified portfolio across various geographic locations help mitigate risks and stabilize earnings. Stag also engages in prudent property management and operational efficiencies to maintain and enhance property values, contributing to its overall profitability.

Stag Industrial Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Stag Industrial demonstrates a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and solid cash flow generation. While profitability remains robust, the company faces challenges in maintaining its gross profit margins. The balance sheet is stable, but rising debt levels warrant careful monitoring. The company's ability to generate cash flow efficiently is a significant strength, supporting its financial health and operational flexibility.

Income Statement

Stag Industrial shows a solid performance in its income statement with consistent revenue growth and healthy profit margins. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 59.27% and a net profit margin of 29.26%, reflecting strong profitability. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from previous years suggests some pressure on cost management. Revenue growth remains positive, albeit at a slower pace compared to earlier periods.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Stag Industrial is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.92 in the TTM period. The equity ratio stands at 49.67%, indicating a balanced capital structure. Return on equity is modest at 6.99%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The increasing debt levels over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 10.48% in the TTM period, indicating robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.93 suggests efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 91.67%, underscoring the company's ability to generate cash relative to its net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	823.61M	767.38M	707.84M	657.35M	562.16M	483.41M
Gross Profit	657.10M	612.56M	568.24M	531.64M	454.17M	394.05M
EBITDA	673.77M	599.51M	570.22M	535.29M	500.67M	488.22M
Net Income	240.95M	189.22M	192.84M	178.33M	192.33M	202.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.90B	6.83B	6.28B	6.18B	5.83B	4.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	17.32M	36.28M	20.74M	25.88M	18.98M	15.67M
Total Debt	3.14B	3.06B	2.66B	2.53B	2.25B	1.73B
Total Liabilities	3.40B	3.30B	2.84B	2.73B	2.44B	1.92B
Stockholders Equity	3.43B	3.46B	3.37B	3.38B	3.33B	2.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	425.19M	375.06M	372.63M	335.22M	175.77M	179.10M
Operating Cash Flow	463.85M	460.29M	391.09M	387.93M	336.15M	293.92M
Investing Cash Flow	-577.39M	-731.06M	-320.35M	-447.52M	-1.22B	-554.62M
Financing Cash Flow	60.83M	286.29M	-75.67M	63.19M	887.12M	269.18M

Stag Industrial Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 39.09
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.48, above the 50-day MA of 36.81, and above the 200-day MA of 35.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for STAG.

Stag Industrial Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EGP	78 Outperform	$9.43B	37.08	7.83%	3.23%	11.10%	-1.65%
LXP	78 Outperform	$14.04B	25.04	5.62%	5.54%	6.98%	465.32%
REXR	77 Outperform	$9.71B	29.41	4.03%	4.04%	10.27%	15.25%
STAG	75 Outperform	$7.27B	30.08	7.17%	3.81%	9.62%	31.08%
TRNO	72 Outperform	$6.30B	19.43	8.38%	3.43%	21.13%	74.37%
FR	68 Neutral	$7.65B	31.34	8.97%	3.05%	9.66%	-23.17%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%

Stag Industrial Corporate Events

STAG Industrial’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges

STAG Industrial’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust performance and strategic growth, albeit with some challenges. The company showcased strong leasing success and an increase in core FFO guidance, driven by year-to-date results surpassing expectations. However, elongated lease gestation periods and high national vacancy rates posed challenges, tempering the otherwise positive outcomes.

Stag Industrial’s Bylaw Restrictions: Impact on Stockholder Legal Actions and Corporate Governance

Stag Industrial Inc.’s bylaws stipulate that certain legal actions initiated by stockholders must be brought in Maryland state courts or the United States District Court in Maryland, potentially limiting stockholders’ access to more favorable judicial forums. This exclusivity could deter stockholders from pursuing claims against the company or its representatives, as they might perceive these courts as less advantageous. While these provisions exclude federal securities law claims, they still impose significant constraints on where other disputes can be litigated. Consequently, this could reduce the frequency of lawsuits, potentially impacting stockholder rights and corporate governance oversight.

Stag Industrial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance

Stag Industrial Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition and operation of single-tenant industrial properties across the United States, known for its diversified portfolio and strategic market presence.

Stag Industrial Amends $300M Term Loan Agreement

On September 15, 2025, STAG Industrial, Inc. announced amendments to its $300 million unsecured term loan, extending the maturity date to March 15, 2030, and adjusting interest rate provisions. Additionally, the company amended its unsecured credit facility and several term loans to remove the 0.10% interest rate adjustment for SOFR loans, allowing more flexible interest rate options. These changes aim to enhance financial flexibility and optimize the company’s debt structure, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAG) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stag Industrial stock, see the STAG Stock Forecast page.