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First Industrial Realty Trust (FR)
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First Industrial Realty (FR) AI Stock Analysis

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FR

First Industrial Realty

(NYSE:FR)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$55.00
▲(14.87%Upside)
The overall score reflects strong financial performance and successful strategic initiatives, tempered by valuation concerns and potential occupancy challenges. The company's solid financial health and positive earnings call highlights are key strengths, while the valuation and technical indicators suggest cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
FR reported 2Q25 FFO/sh. of $0.76, which was above consensus and analyst's estimate.
Growth Potential
FR is maintaining one of the best growth rates among industrial REITs.
Negative Factors
Leasing Activity
New leasing activity was less robust this quarter compared to previous quarters.
Occupancy Challenges
There was a decline in average occupancy, dropping by 110 basis points compared to the previous quarter.

First Industrial Realty (FR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Industrial Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: FR) is a leading fully integrated owner, operator, and developer of industrial real estate with a track record of providing industry-leading customer service to multinational corporations and regional customers. Across major markets in the United States, our local market experts manage, lease, buy, (re)develop, and sell bulk and regional distribution centers, light industrial, and other industrial facility types. In total, we own and have under development approximately 64.1 million square feet of industrial space as of September 30, 2020.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Industrial Realty Trust generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to a diverse tenant base. The company's primary revenue stream comes from rental income, which includes base rent and any additional charges for property management services. Additionally, First Industrial may generate income through property development and sales, where it engages in building new facilities or redeveloping existing ones to meet tenant needs. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, which may enhance its ability to acquire or develop new properties and expand its market presence. Market demand for logistics and distribution facilities, driven by the growth of e-commerce and global trade, significantly contributes to the company's earnings. Furthermore, First Industrial's focus on prime locations ensures high occupancy rates and stable cash flows from its property portfolio.

First Industrial Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong performance in rental growth and successful leasing in development projects, but was tempered by challenges such as decreased occupancy and tariff-related uncertainties impacting decision-making. Interest rate impacts were also noted as a concern for future FFO.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Rental Rate Growth
The portfolio produced a strong cash rental rate increase of 33% for new and renewal leasing, meeting expectations of 30% to 40% growth.
Successful Development Leases
Leased 501,000 square feet in the Camelback 303 joint venture in Phoenix, bringing the entire 1.8 million square foot project to 100% leased. Also leased 58,000 square feet at the First Loop project in Orlando.
Bond Market Milestone
Issued $450 million of senior unsecured notes at a coupon rate of 5.25%, marking the first public bond offering since 2007, following an upgrade by Fitch to BBB+.
NAREIT FFO Growth
NAREIT funds from operations were $0.76 per fully diluted share, up from $0.66 per share in 2Q 2024.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Decline
In-service occupancy fell to 94.2%, down 110 basis points, due to a known move-out in Central Pennsylvania and two developments entering the in-service pool.
Tariff Uncertainty Impact
Tariff uncertainty continues to dampen momentum around decision-making, affecting leasing activity.
Interest Rate Impact on FFO
Higher interest expense in the latter half of the year is expected to reduce FFO, due to funding the development pipeline and the slightly dilutive May bond offering.
Company Guidance
During the call, First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. provided comprehensive guidance for the remainder of 2025, highlighting key metrics and expectations. The company maintained its guidance range for NAREIT funds from operations (FFO) for the year at $2.92 per share at the midpoint, with a narrowed range of $2.88 to $2.96 per share. They projected an average quarter-end in-service occupancy of 95% to 96%, with a cash same-store NOI growth before termination fees of 6% to 7%. The company noted that new construction start volume was 62 million square feet in the second quarter, a decline from 66 million in the first quarter. They also highlighted a vacancy rate in Tier 1 U.S. markets of 6.3% and noted that their in-service occupancy at quarter-end was 94.2%. Furthermore, they achieved a cash rental rate increase of 33% for new and renewal leasing, which could reach 38% when excluding a specific large fixed-rate renewal. On the capital market front, the company successfully issued $450 million of senior unsecured notes at a coupon rate of 5.25%, marking their first public bond offering since 2007.

First Industrial Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Industrial Realty has shown a strong financial performance with increasing revenues, solid profitability margins, and efficient cash flow management. However, there is a concern about the increasing debt levels, which might pose future risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
First Industrial Realty has demonstrated a solid financial performance with increasing total revenue over the years, reaching $684.44 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 66.7%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 39.0% for the TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are impressive at 53.8% and 66.3%, respectively. However, there is a slight decline in revenue growth from previous periods, which should be monitored.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90, indicating manageable leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 48.7%, signifying a robust equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity (ROE) is respectable at 10.1% for the TTM. Nonetheless, the increase in total debt over time is a point of concern that may pose future risks if not managed.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with operating cash flow at $378.57 million, demonstrating strong cash generation capability. The free cash flow growth is notable, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.25. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.42, indicating efficient cash flow management. Continued positive cash flow trends strengthen the company's ability to meet obligations.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue669.64M614.03M539.93M476.29M448.03M
Gross Profit486.82M444.70M396.27M344.99M328.83M
EBITDA557.03M413.32M358.20M306.96M292.56M
Net Income287.34M274.82M266.67M271.00M195.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.26B5.18B4.95B4.18B3.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.51M43.84M133.24M58.59M162.09M
Total Debt2.23B2.25B2.09B1.63B1.62B
Total Liabilities2.52B2.54B2.42B1.93B1.84B
Stockholders Equity2.67B2.56B2.53B2.25B1.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow352.49M304.81M-111.47M33.85M79.96M
Operating Cash Flow352.49M304.81M410.90M267.03M241.08M
Investing Cash Flow-131.62M-378.31M-629.11M-416.82M-251.74M
Financing Cash Flow-213.03M-27.78M304.50M8.91M57.60M

First Industrial Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price47.88
Price Trends
50DMA
49.03
Negative
100DMA
49.36
Negative
200DMA
50.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
40.95
Neutral
STOCH
13.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.38, below the 50-day MA of 49.03, and below the 200-day MA of 50.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR.

First Industrial Realty Risk Analysis

First Industrial Realty disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Industrial Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Industrial Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.61B27.425.33%3.61%22.17%4.34%
75
Outperform
$6.54B23.4110.33%3.40%9.66%-4.60%
74
Outperform
$8.50B26.723.74%4.72%13.66%11.34%
71
Outperform
$6.56B27.226.89%4.32%8.56%22.20%
64
Neutral
$2.29B28.014.15%6.90%6.64%210.89%
63
Neutral
$6.73B14.24-1.44%7.30%4.75%-35.88%
49
Neutral
$4.47B-3.56%5.73%-1.18%62.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR
First Industrial Realty
47.88
-1.88
-3.78%
STAG
Stag Industrial
34.39
-2.83
-7.60%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
54.27
-8.60
-13.68%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
7.75
-1.19
-13.31%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
35.92
-9.57
-21.04%
COLD
Americold Realty
15.71
-12.19
-43.69%

First Industrial Realty Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Industrial Realty Completes $450M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, First Industrial, L.P., a subsidiary of First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc., completed an underwritten public offering of $450 million in 5.250% Senior Notes due 2031. The Notes, fully guaranteed by the parent company, are senior unsecured obligations and are subject to various restrictive covenants. This financial move is expected to strengthen the company’s capital structure and support its strategic growth initiatives in the industrial real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (FR) stock is a Hold with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Industrial Realty stock, see the FR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025