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Americold Realty (COLD)
NYSE:COLD

Americold Realty (COLD) AI Stock Analysis

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COLD

Americold Realty

(NYSE:COLD)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
â–²(2.38% Upside)
Americold Realty's overall stock score is driven by financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and profitability issues. While technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, the high dividend yield provides some appeal. The earnings call highlights both achievements and challenges, with short-term pressures expected to impact performance. The company's strong free cash flow growth and development pipeline offer some positive outlook, but significant risks remain.
Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow Growth
Significant free cash flow growth indicates improved cash generation, which can support strategic investments and financial stability.
Development Pipeline
A strong development pipeline suggests potential for future growth and expansion, enhancing market position and operational capacity.
Asia Pacific Growth
Growth in the Asia Pacific region indicates successful regional strategies and potential for increased revenue from expanding markets.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenues
Significant revenue decline and negative margins highlight operational challenges, impacting profitability and long-term financial health.
Pricing Pressures
Ongoing pricing pressures can reduce profit margins and affect competitive positioning, challenging revenue growth and profitability.
Excess Capacity
Excess capacity creates pricing competition, potentially leading to reduced occupancy rates and lower revenue per unit.

Americold Realty (COLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Americold Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmericold Realty Trust (COLD) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership, operation, and development of temperature-controlled warehouses. The company primarily serves the food and beverage industry, providing essential logistics services that ensure the safe storage and distribution of perishable goods. With a portfolio of facilities strategically located across North America, Europe, and Australia, Americold plays a critical role in the supply chain by offering refrigerated storage solutions, transportation services, and value-added services such as inventory management and order fulfillment.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmericold generates revenue primarily through leasing its temperature-controlled warehouse space to food producers, distributors, and retailers. The company's revenue model is built around long-term contracts with customers, which provides a stable income stream. Key revenue streams include rental income from warehouse space, fees for additional services such as transportation and inventory management, and value-added services tailored to meet specific customer needs. Partnerships with major food and beverage companies enhance its market position and contribute to steady demand for its services. Additionally, Americold may benefit from economies of scale and operational efficiencies as it expands its facility portfolio and optimizes its logistics operations.

Americold Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in sales growth and regional performance, but significant challenges due to macroeconomic factors, excess capacity, and pricing pressures persist. The highlights in sales and cost management are offset by the lowlights of demand challenges and anticipated headwinds in pricing and economic occupancy.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales Pipeline and Record Sales Year
The sales pipeline remains a bright spot with a record year in new business wins, although slower to materialize than planned.
Growth in Asia Pacific Region
The Asia Pacific region's total warehouse NOI increased by approximately 16% year-to-date with economic occupancy well over 90%.
Cost Management and Productivity
Handling margins exceeded 12%, with strong cost control measures and productivity targets in place for the operations team.
Development Projects Delivered On Time and Under Budget
Multiple development projects have been delivered on time and on or under budget, reflecting improvements in the development platform.
Negative Updates
Pressure on Fixed Commitments and Pricing
Pricing pressure is expected to be a headwind of 100 to 200 basis points in 2026, particularly in the 4 distribution centers, which is about 40% of the business.
Challenges in Demand and Economic Occupancy
Same-store economic occupancy was 75.5%, with predictions of a decrease by 200 to 300 basis points in 2026 due to ongoing industry challenges.
Excess Capacity and Speculative Development
Over 15% of incremental capacity has been added in North America, creating pricing competition and pressure on fixed commitment renewal levels.
Macro Environment Challenges
Continued demand pressure due to lower consumer demand, increased supply, and macroeconomic factors such as food inflation and governmental benefit reductions.
Company Guidance
During the Americold Realty Trust third quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided guidance amidst industry headwinds, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported an AFFO per share of $0.35, maintaining a record level of fixed commitment contracts at 60% of rent and storage revenue. Same-store economic occupancy was noted at 75.5%, while the Asia Pacific region saw a 16% year-to-date increase in warehouse NOI and economic occupancy exceeding 90%. Looking ahead, management anticipates pricing pressures could pose a 100 to 200 basis point headwind in 2026, with economic occupancy potentially decreasing by 200 to 300 basis points due to ongoing market challenges. Despite these short-term pressures, Americold remains confident in the long-term trajectory of the cold storage industry, backed by a robust development pipeline of approximately $1 billion and strategic customer partnerships.

Americold Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Americold Realty faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as evidenced by negative net income and shrinking margins. While the balance sheet shows manageable leverage, the company must focus on reversing revenue declines and improving operational efficiency. Strong free cash flow growth is a positive sign, but enhancing cash flow efficiency and profitability remains critical for long-term success.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Americold Realty's income statement reveals a challenging environment with declining revenues and negative net profit margins over recent periods. The TTM data shows a significant revenue decline of 38.8% and a net profit margin of -2.1%, indicating profitability issues. Despite a relatively stable gross profit margin, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company needs to address its revenue decline and improve cost management to enhance profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35 in the TTM period, indicating a balanced leverage position. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid asset base. While the company maintains a reasonable leverage level, improving profitability is crucial to enhance overall financial health.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Americold Realty's cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow growth of 1223% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash flow efficiency relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, reflecting better cash conversion. Continued focus on cash flow management will be essential to support financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.61B2.67B2.67B2.91B2.71B1.99B
Gross Profit833.72M846.73M770.57M695.96M629.78M551.50M
EBITDA429.55M392.96M165.76M417.64M388.42M325.15M
Net Income-62.42M-94.31M-336.21M-19.44M-30.45M24.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.08B7.74B7.87B8.10B8.22B7.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.34M47.65M60.39M53.06M82.96M621.05M
Total Debt4.29B3.68B3.49B3.58B3.42B3.23B
Total Liabilities5.01B4.43B4.23B4.32B4.19B4.04B
Stockholders Equity3.03B3.28B3.62B3.77B4.02B3.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-82.30M102.42M35.92M-22.95M-218.77M-108.67M
Operating Cash Flow313.12M411.88M366.15M300.00M273.06M293.68M
Investing Cash Flow-475.57M-313.18M-357.07M-348.49M-1.24B-2.25B
Financing Cash Flow202.31M-106.78M-285.00K23.32M431.49M2.33B

Americold Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.21
Price Trends
50DMA
12.08
Positive
100DMA
12.92
Negative
200DMA
15.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
56.00
Neutral
STOCH
74.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COLD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.51, above the 50-day MA of 12.08, and below the 200-day MA of 15.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for COLD.

Americold Realty Risk Analysis

Americold Realty disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Americold Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Americold Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$120.99B37.046.07%3.18%10.75%4.29%
73
Outperform
$45.47B26.9320.00%4.63%2.30%-0.22%
68
Neutral
$8.15B22.8212.82%5.69%4.19%-12.19%
66
Neutral
$28.82B29.096.86%4.98%3.38%17.16%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
$3.48B-55.78-1.95%7.21%-2.60%78.16%
54
Neutral
$7.79B-43.49-2.06%6.18%0.44%75.40%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COLD
Americold Realty
12.21
-7.95
-39.43%
CUBE
Cubesmart
35.57
-5.16
-12.67%
EXR
Extra Space Storage
130.07
-11.29
-7.99%
PLD
Prologis
127.23
26.67
26.52%
PSA
Public Storage
259.15
-27.59
-9.62%
LINE
Lineage, Inc.
34.72
-21.32
-38.04%

Americold Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Americold Realty Reaffirms 2025 Financial Outlook
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Americold Realty Trust, Inc. reaffirmed its 2025 full-year financial outlook during an investor presentation, aligning with its third-quarter earnings release. The company emphasized its strategic focus on growth through infrastructure, expertise, and partnerships, while addressing various risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations and market positioning.

Financial Disclosures
Americold Realty Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Nov 6, 2025

Americold Realty Trust announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a total revenue of $663.7 million, a 1.6% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to lower volumes in the warehouse segment. Despite industry challenges, the company maintained its Adjusted FFO per share at $0.35, consistent with the previous year, and reiterated its full-year outlook for 2025. The company experienced a net loss of $11.4 million, attributed to decreased NOI in the warehouse segment and increased expenses, including those related to Project Orion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025