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Americold Realty (COLD)
NYSE:COLD

Americold Realty (COLD) AI Stock Analysis

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COLD

Americold Realty

(NYSE:COLD)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(1.58% Upside)
COLD scores as mid-range primarily due to pressured fundamentals (sharp TTM revenue decline, ongoing net losses, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow). This is partly offset by improving technical momentum, a high dividend yield, and a mixed but stable AFFO/guidance backdrop with proactive refinancing and governance steps.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with On the Run expands Americold's reach into the convenience store market, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term growth in the Asia-Pacific region.
Cash Flow Improvement
Significant improvement in free cash flow indicates enhanced cash generation ability, providing financial flexibility for future investments and debt management.
Governance Enhancements
The establishment of a Finance Committee signals a commitment to improved governance and strategic oversight, potentially leading to better capital allocation and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant decline in revenue highlights challenges in maintaining market share and operational efficiency, potentially impacting long-term profitability.
Pricing and Occupancy Pressure
Anticipated pricing and occupancy pressures could reduce revenue and margins, challenging Americold's ability to sustain profitability in a competitive market.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, indicated by negative net profit margins, suggest operational inefficiencies that need addressing to improve financial health.

Americold Realty (COLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Americold Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmericold is the world's largest publicly traded REIT focused on the ownership, operation, acquisition and development of temperature-controlled warehouses. Based in Atlanta, Georgia, Americold owns and operates 185 temperature-controlled warehouses, with over 1 billion refrigerated cubic feet of storage, in the United States, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Argentina. Americold's facilities are an integral component of the supply chain connecting food producers, processors, distributors and retailers to consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmericold generates revenue primarily through leasing its temperature-controlled warehouse space to food producers, distributors, and retailers. The company's revenue model is built around long-term contracts with customers, which provides a stable income stream. Key revenue streams include rental income from warehouse space, fees for additional services such as transportation and inventory management, and value-added services tailored to meet specific customer needs. Partnerships with major food and beverage companies enhance its market position and contribute to steady demand for its services. Additionally, Americold may benefit from economies of scale and operational efficiencies as it expands its facility portfolio and optimizes its logistics operations.

Americold Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in sales growth and regional performance, but significant challenges due to macroeconomic factors, excess capacity, and pricing pressures persist. The highlights in sales and cost management are offset by the lowlights of demand challenges and anticipated headwinds in pricing and economic occupancy.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales Pipeline and Record Sales Year
The sales pipeline remains a bright spot with a record year in new business wins, although slower to materialize than planned.
Growth in Asia Pacific Region
The Asia Pacific region's total warehouse NOI increased by approximately 16% year-to-date with economic occupancy well over 90%.
Cost Management and Productivity
Handling margins exceeded 12%, with strong cost control measures and productivity targets in place for the operations team.
Development Projects Delivered On Time and Under Budget
Multiple development projects have been delivered on time and on or under budget, reflecting improvements in the development platform.
Negative Updates
Pressure on Fixed Commitments and Pricing
Pricing pressure is expected to be a headwind of 100 to 200 basis points in 2026, particularly in the 4 distribution centers, which is about 40% of the business.
Challenges in Demand and Economic Occupancy
Same-store economic occupancy was 75.5%, with predictions of a decrease by 200 to 300 basis points in 2026 due to ongoing industry challenges.
Excess Capacity and Speculative Development
Over 15% of incremental capacity has been added in North America, creating pricing competition and pressure on fixed commitment renewal levels.
Macro Environment Challenges
Continued demand pressure due to lower consumer demand, increased supply, and macroeconomic factors such as food inflation and governmental benefit reductions.
Company Guidance
During the Americold Realty Trust third quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided guidance amidst industry headwinds, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported an AFFO per share of $0.35, maintaining a record level of fixed commitment contracts at 60% of rent and storage revenue. Same-store economic occupancy was noted at 75.5%, while the Asia Pacific region saw a 16% year-to-date increase in warehouse NOI and economic occupancy exceeding 90%. Looking ahead, management anticipates pricing pressures could pose a 100 to 200 basis point headwind in 2026, with economic occupancy potentially decreasing by 200 to 300 basis points due to ongoing market challenges. Despite these short-term pressures, Americold remains confident in the long-term trajectory of the cold storage industry, backed by a robust development pipeline of approximately $1 billion and strategic customer partnerships.

Americold Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is pressured: TTM revenue fell sharply (~-40%), profitability remains inconsistent with ongoing net losses (TTM net margin ~-2.4%), and leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~1.41). Positives include steady operating cash flow (~$392M TTM) and resilient gross margin (~32%), but free cash flow swung negative (~-$148M TTM), limiting flexibility.
Income Statement
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined sharply (about -40%), signaling meaningful top-line pressure. Profitability is mixed: gross margin remains steady around ~32% (similar to 2024), and EBITDA margin improved versus 2024, but the company is still loss-making with a negative net margin (~-2.4%) and modest EBIT margin (~2.8%). Multi-year trend shows volatile results with recurring net losses since 2021, despite a major recovery from the 2023 trough.
Balance Sheet
Leverage has increased: debt-to-equity rose to ~1.41 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from ~1.12 in 2024, alongside lower equity, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. Returns on equity remain negative (TTM ROE ~-2.0%), reflecting ongoing losses. Asset base is sizable, but the higher debt load and persistent negative profitability elevate financial risk.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow is solid in absolute terms (TTM about $392M) and has been relatively steady across years, supporting baseline liquidity. However, free cash flow turned negative in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (about -$148M) after being positive in 2024, indicating heavier capital spending and/or weaker cash conversion. Cash generation is a partial offset to accounting losses, but negative free cash flow reduces room for debt reduction and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.61B2.67B2.67B2.91B2.71B1.99B
Gross Profit833.72M846.73M770.57M695.96M629.78M551.50M
EBITDA429.55M392.96M165.76M417.64M388.42M325.15M
Net Income-62.42M-94.31M-336.21M-19.44M-30.45M24.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.08B7.74B7.87B8.10B8.22B7.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.34M47.65M60.39M53.06M82.96M621.05M
Total Debt4.29B3.68B3.49B3.58B3.42B3.23B
Total Liabilities5.01B4.43B4.23B4.32B4.19B4.04B
Stockholders Equity3.03B3.28B3.62B3.77B4.02B3.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-147.65M102.42M35.92M-22.95M-218.77M-108.67M
Operating Cash Flow392.04M411.88M366.15M300.00M273.06M293.68M
Investing Cash Flow-617.93M-313.18M-357.07M-348.49M-1.24B-2.25B
Financing Cash Flow198.39M-106.78M-285.00K23.32M431.49M2.33B

Americold Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.29
Price Trends
50DMA
11.92
Positive
100DMA
12.63
Positive
200DMA
14.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Negative
RSI
61.98
Neutral
STOCH
73.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.83, above the 50-day MA of 11.92, and below the 200-day MA of 14.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COLD.

Americold Realty Risk Analysis

Americold Realty disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Americold Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Americold Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$123.05B37.676.07%3.16%10.75%4.29%
73
Outperform
$48.99B29.0820.00%4.63%2.30%-0.22%
69
Neutral
$8.68B24.2112.82%5.69%4.19%-12.19%
68
Neutral
$31.10B31.426.86%5.01%3.38%17.16%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
$3.77B-60.71-1.95%7.21%-2.60%78.16%
54
Neutral
$8.33B-2.06%6.18%0.44%75.40%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COLD
Americold Realty
13.29
-6.58
-33.12%
CUBE
Cubesmart
37.73
-0.71
-1.85%
EXR
Extra Space Storage
140.50
-2.36
-1.65%
PLD
Prologis
130.22
26.08
25.04%
PSA
Public Storage
279.83
1.08
0.39%
LINE
Lineage, Inc.
36.32
-16.18
-30.82%

Americold Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Americold Realty Adds New Term Loan to Refinance Debt
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Americold Realty Trust, Inc. and its operating partnership amended their existing credit agreement to add a new $250 million unsecured delayed draw term loan facility. The company plans to use most of this 2025 Delayed Draw Facility to repay approximately $200 million of 4.68% senior unsecured notes maturing on January 8, 2026, with the remainder available for general corporate purposes, a move that refines its debt profile and provides additional financial flexibility for ongoing operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (COLD) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Americold Realty stock, see the COLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Americold Realty, Ancora pact to enhance governance
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Americold Realty Trust entered into a cooperation agreement with shareholder Ancora and appointed Joseph Reece and Stephen Sleigh as independent directors to its board, expanding the board from nine to 11 members and committing to nominate them at the 2026 annual meeting. As part of the agreement, Americold created a five-member Finance Committee, chaired by director David Neithercut with Reece as vice chair, to review the company’s portfolio, evaluate potential asset sales including possible international divestitures, and make recommendations on capital allocation, debt reduction, dividend maintenance and preservation of core assets, while Ancora agreed to standstill and voting commitments through the defined standstill period, signaling a collaborative approach to governance and an intensified focus on profitability, portfolio optimization and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (COLD) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Americold Realty stock, see the COLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Americold Realty Reaffirms 2025 Financial Outlook
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Americold Realty Trust, Inc. reaffirmed its 2025 full-year financial outlook during an investor presentation, aligning with its third-quarter earnings release. The company emphasized its strategic focus on growth through infrastructure, expertise, and partnerships, while addressing various risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (COLD) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Americold Realty stock, see the COLD Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Americold Realty Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Nov 6, 2025

Americold Realty Trust announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a total revenue of $663.7 million, a 1.6% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to lower volumes in the warehouse segment. Despite industry challenges, the company maintained its Adjusted FFO per share at $0.35, consistent with the previous year, and reiterated its full-year outlook for 2025. The company experienced a net loss of $11.4 million, attributed to decreased NOI in the warehouse segment and increased expenses, including those related to Project Orion.

The most recent analyst rating on (COLD) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Americold Realty stock, see the COLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026