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Public Storage (PSA)
NYSE:PSA

Public Storage (PSA) AI Stock Analysis

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PSA

Public Storage

(NYSE:PSA)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$332.00
â–²(8.85% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash generation and profitability, balanced against rising leverage and near-term fundamental headwinds reflected in 2026 guidance (lower core FFO and negative same-store trends). Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, while valuation is a notable constraint due to the elevated P/E despite a ~4% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent, sizable operating cash flow and a strong free cash flow rebound in 2025 underpin dividend capacity, fund development and acquisitions, and provide a durable liquidity cushion. This cash generation supports strategic investments and resilience through cyclical softness without relying on near-term capital markets.
Accretive Acquisitions & Development
A large, yield-accretive acquisition program and a development pipeline targeting higher stabilized yields create recurring FFO upside and geographic diversification. Execution of this pipeline can offset same-store headwinds and deliver structural growth in cash flow and NOI over multiple years.
Leadership & PS4.0 Strategy
A generational leadership transition combined with the PS4.0 operating platform, stronger incentive alignment and a corporate relocation signal focused, long-term execution priorities. Emphasis on digital, AI and operational modernization can sustainably lift margins and accelerate per-share cash flow over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Materially higher leverage increases sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing risk, constraining financial flexibility for opportunistic buys or large development funding. Elevated debt levels also reduce downside protection during prolonged demand weakness and amplify earnings volatility.
Same-Store Weakness
Negative same-store revenue and NOI trends reflect persistent pricing and occupancy pressure in core markets. Sustained organic softness limits margin expansion and FFO growth, forcing reliance on acquisitions and development to maintain overall performance and increasing execution risk.
Regulatory Drag in Key Market
Regulatory constraints in Los Angeles and heightened scrutiny in other jurisdictions can structurally cap pricing power and restrict revenue management programs. Regulatory headwinds in a major market reduce national pricing optionality and could persistently depress returns in affected geographies.

Public Storage (PSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Public Storage Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPublic Storage, a member of the S&P 500 and FT Global 500, is a REIT that primarily acquires, develops, owns and operates self-storage facilities. At September 30, 2020, we had: (i) interests in 2,504 self-storage facilities located in 38 states with approximately 171 million net rentable square feet in the United States, (ii) an approximate 35% common equity interest in Shurgard Self Storage SA (Euronext Brussels:SHUR) which owned 239 self-storage facilities located in seven Western European nations with approximately 13 million net rentable square feet operated under the Shurgard brand and (iii) an approximate 42% common equity interest in PS Business Parks, Inc. (NYSE:PSB) which owned and operated approximately 28 million rentable square feet of commercial space at September 30, 2020. Our headquarters are located in Glendale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPublic Storage primarily generates revenue through rental income from its self-storage facilities. Customers pay monthly fees for the use of storage units, which vary in price depending on the size, location, and features of the units. The company also earns income from the sale of packing supplies, such as boxes and locks, and offers additional services like insurance for stored belongings. Public Storage benefits from high occupancy rates and the ability to adjust rental rates based on market demand. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with real estate firms and participation in the broader real estate investment market contribute to its financial stability. The company also leverages technology to optimize pricing and improve customer experience, which supports its revenue growth.

Public Storage Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Highlights the different sources of income, such as rental and ancillary services, providing insight into diversification and stability of revenue streams.
Chart InsightsPublic Storage's revenue from Self Storage and Ancillary Operations has shown consistent growth, with Self Storage seeing a steady rise and Ancillary Operations accelerating. The earnings call highlights strategic acquisitions and digital transformation as key drivers, with 85% of interactions now digital and AI reducing labor hours by 30%. Despite challenges like lower occupancy and competitive pressures, the company raised its 2025 outlook, supported by strong same-store NOI growth and a robust development pipeline, indicating confidence in overcoming market restrictions and sustaining revenue momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Public Storage Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear strategic and operational strengths against near-term performance headwinds. Highlights include sector-leading historical performance, a strong balance sheet and liquidity position, sizable non-same-store NOI contribution (20% growth in 2025), a deep acquisition and development pipeline, major digital and sustainability investments, and an articulated PS4.0 strategy with leadership continuity and refreshed incentives. Lowlights include negative same-store revenue/NOI trends, a modest decline in 2026 core FFO guidance (midpoint -1.7%), continued move-in rent pressure (January down ~7% and mid-single-digit guidance), regulatory/regional disruptions (notably Los Angeles), transaction market frictions (large underwriting vs. lower close rate), and near-term development/supply pressure in select Sunbelt markets. Overall, the company highlights long-term optionality and defensive financial positioning while acknowledging short-term operating and regulatory challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Core FFO & Full-Year Results
Q4 core FFO of $4.26 per share; full-year 2025 core FFO of $16.97 per share (reported at the high end of guidance).
Non-Same-Store Outperformance Driving Growth
Non-same-store NOI grew ~20% in 2025 and is guided to grow ~16% year-over-year in 2026, contributing materially to overall FFO accretion and offsetting same-store weakness.
Accretive Acquisitions and Development Pipeline
2025 acquisitions totaled $953 million (Q4 acquisitions $131 million) at stabilized yields in the high-6% range; development openings were $409 million in 2025 with a development pipeline of $610 million targeting ~8% stabilized yields and $416 million unfunded.
Strong Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Available liquidity of ~$1.8 billion (cash + line) plus approximately $600 million/year of annual free cash flow; debt + preferred to EBITDA ~4.2x and debt + preferred to enterprise value in the low-20% range.
Digital, Operational & Sustainability Investments
Built an omnichannel digital ecosystem with >85% of customers using self-help tools; completed a $600 million Property of Tomorrow program (rebrand/modernization) and committed to solar on nearly half the portfolio by end of 2026.
Portfolio Expansion & Historical Performance
Invested >$12 billion expanding the portfolio by 763 assets; from 2023–2025 led the sector in same-store revenue growth, NOI growth and NOI margins; five-year total shareholder return outperformed peers at 18.6%.
Leadership Transition & PS4.0 Strategy
Announced CEO succession (Tom Boyle) and new President/CFO (Joe Fisher) and unveiled PS4.0 (PS Next operating platform, value creation engine, own-it culture) to accelerate organic and external growth and to integrate AI and data science into operations.
Negative Updates
Same-Store Revenue and NOI Weakness
Q4 same-store revenue down 0.2% and same-store NOI down 1.5%; 2026 same-store revenue and NOI guidance at the midpoint are -1.1% and -2.2%, respectively, signaling continued near-term softness.
Core FFO Guidance Decline for 2026
2026 initial core FFO guidance range of $16.35 to $17.00 (midpoint $16.68) implies a year-over-year decline of ~1.7% at the midpoint versus 2025.
Move-In Rent Pressure
Move-in rents remained negative in the mid-single digits for 2025 and guidance expects mid-single-digit declines in 2026; January move-in rents were down ~7% (though noted as sequential improvement).
Los Angeles Regulatory Drag
Ongoing Los Angeles 'state of emergency' is expected to reduce same-store revenue by ~80 basis points for 2026; broader regulatory scrutiny (e.g., pricing transparency discussions and legislation such as CA SB 709 and recent New York actions) presents risk to ECRI/pricing programs.
Transaction Market Friction and Conversion Rate
Underwrote roughly $7 billion of real estate in 2025 but transacted ~ $1 billion (conversion ~1:7), highlighting persistent bid-ask spreads and slower-than-expected transaction activity despite underwriting volume.
Development & Supply Dynamics
Deliveries and the development cadence have slowed versus historical activity (company expects fewer deliveries in the near term) and new supply in some Sunbelt markets (Dallas, Atlanta, Florida) is weighing on move-in rents in those geographies.
Near-Term Expense & Transformation Costs
Q4 expense growth was 4.2%; corporate transformation and relocation costs are ongoing (company has incurred ~$4 million to date of a previously disclosed $15–20 million program), though management expects run-rate benefits of roughly $4 million from transformation over time.
Company Guidance
Public Storage guided 2026 core FFO of $16.35–$17.00 per share (midpoint $16.68, down 1.7% YoY), with same‑store revenue and NOI guidance of -1.1% and -2.2% at the midpoint, occupancy expected to be roughly stable, move‑in rents forecast down mid‑single digits for the year but improving through the year, and Los Angeles carrying an ~80 bps drag on same‑store revenue due to the state of emergency; management expects expense growth to remain constrained (property taxes mid‑single digits offset by payroll/R&M/utilities savings), non‑same‑store NOI to grow ~16% YoY (pre‑transactions), and did not assume additional acquisitions or lending in the guide—the company cites ~$1.8B available liquidity plus ~ $600M/year free cash flow, debt+preferred/EBITDA ~4.2x (debt+preferred/enterprise value in the low‑20% range), a $610M development pipeline targeting ~8% stabilized yields with $416M unfunded, and 2025 acquisitions of $953M at stabilized yields in the high‑6% range; reaching the high end of guidance would require an earlier LA reopening and slightly better occupancy, new move‑in rates and ECRI performance.

Public Storage Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong operating cash generation and a 2025 free-cash-flow rebound support dividend capacity, and profitability remains solid. Offsetting this, leverage has risen materially over time (debt-to-equity above 1.0 in 2025) and earnings show normalization/volatility versus unusually strong 2022 results.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily over the period, with a notable step-up in 2025 (annual revenue growth of ~80% versus low-to-mid single digits in 2024). Profitability is strong for a REIT, with gross margins consistently ~70%+ and net margins generally robust (~37% in 2025 and ~44% in 2024). The main weakness is volatility in profitability versus 2022’s unusually elevated results (net margin above 100% that year), followed by lower net income in 2025 despite higher revenue—suggesting earnings normalization and/or higher costs below the operating line.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
The balance sheet remains sizable and equity-backed, but leverage has been rising: debt-to-equity moved from ~0.30 (2020) to ~0.96 (2024) and ~1.11 (2025). Return on equity has been healthy in most years (~19% in 2025 and ~21% in 2023–2024), but it peaked abnormally in 2022 and has since normalized. Overall, financial flexibility looks adequate, though the higher leverage profile increases sensitivity to refinancing and rate conditions.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength. Operating cash flow is consistently strong (~$2.0B in 2020 rising to ~$3.2B in 2025), and free cash flow is solid with a sharp improvement in 2025 (free cash flow growth of ~219% versus a small decline in 2024). Free cash flow closely tracks earnings (about 1.0x net income in 2025 and ~0.86x in 2023–2024), supporting dividend capacity and reinvestment. The primary watch-out is year-to-year variability in free cash flow growth, including a modest pullback in 2024.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.82B4.70B4.52B4.18B3.42B
Gross Profit1.20B3.44B3.37B3.13B2.50B
EBITDA3.25B3.51B3.34B5.41B2.78B
Net Income1.78B2.07B2.15B4.35B1.95B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.21B19.75B19.81B17.55B17.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments318.10M447.42M370.00M775.25M734.60M
Total Debt10.25B9.35B9.10B6.87B7.48B
Total Liabilities10.87B9.94B9.70B7.39B7.96B
Stockholders Equity9.25B9.71B10.01B10.07B9.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.90B2.71B2.79B2.66B2.27B
Operating Cash Flow3.19B3.13B3.25B3.12B2.54B
Investing Cash Flow-1.69B-1.00B-3.54B1.12B-5.56B
Financing Cash Flow-1.63B-2.08B-112.93M-4.19B3.50B

Public Storage Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price305.00
Price Trends
50DMA
277.35
Positive
100DMA
279.65
Positive
200DMA
282.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.71
Negative
RSI
67.77
Neutral
STOCH
78.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 305 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 287.43, above the 50-day MA of 277.35, and above the 200-day MA of 282.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PSA.

Public Storage Risk Analysis

Public Storage disclosed 6 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Public Storage reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Public Storage Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$32.17B32.477.10%5.01%3.38%17.16%
71
Outperform
$52.48B33.1718.82%4.63%2.30%-0.22%
69
Neutral
$8.86B24.8212.82%5.69%4.19%-12.19%
69
Neutral
$1.30B10.946.49%13.07%-11.22%-24.64%
67
Neutral
$56.35M31.783.70%5.63%3.36%-43.55%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
$4.60B55.616.89%8.28%-4.98%-65.45%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSA
Public Storage
305.00
13.91
4.78%
CUBE
Cubesmart
40.30
0.31
0.79%
EXR
Extra Space Storage
152.75
0.76
0.50%
NSA
National Storage Affiliates
35.85
0.30
0.84%
IIPR
Innovative Industrial Properties
45.71
-20.56
-31.02%
SELF
Global Self Storage
4.97
0.16
3.33%

Public Storage Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Public Storage Unveils PS4.0 Strategy and Leadership Transition
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

On February 10, 2026, Public Storage announced PS4.0, a generational leadership transition and strategic vision anchored in a new operating platform, value‑creation engine, and ownership culture aimed at accelerating per‑share earnings, cash flow growth, and relative total shareholder returns. The plan centers on elevating customer and employee experience, expanding margins, and capitalizing on consolidation opportunities in the self‑storage market.

In leadership moves effective between February 16 and April 1, 2026, Tom Boyle will succeed retiring CEO Joe Russell, with Russell remaining as a consultant through March 31, 2027, while Joe Fisher becomes president and CFO, and executives Natalia Johnson and Chris Sambar assume expanded president‑level roles. The board will see Shankh Mitra become non‑executive chairman, Boyle join as a trustee, Havner remain on the board, and long‑time trustee John Reyes retire, supported by new incentive structures that tie leadership rewards more closely to absolute and relative shareholder returns.

Reinforcing their conviction in the PS4.0 strategy, Mitra and outgoing chairman Ron Havner are investing a combined $30 million in 10‑year, out‑of‑the‑money options with a six‑year lock‑up, aligning their interests with long‑term shareholders and signaling confidence in future value creation. As part of the reset, Public Storage is also relocating its corporate headquarters from Glendale, California, to Frisco, Texas, underscoring a broader operational and cultural shift designed to position the company for its next phase of growth in the Dallas metropolitan area and beyond.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSA) stock is a Hold with a $295.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Public Storage stock, see the PSA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Public Storage issues mixed 2025 operating update
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Public Storage released an investor presentation containing an operating update for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025, showing a mixed performance across its same-store portfolio. For 2025, the company reported modestly higher occupancy of 91.0% at year-end, up 0.5 percentage points from 2024, but experienced declines in average annual contract rent per square foot for tenants moving in and those in place, along with reduced contract rents gained from move-ins and contract rents lost from move-outs. Promotional discounts granted to new tenants declined both in the fourth quarter and for the full year, suggesting some easing of incentive levels even as pricing metrics softened. Strategically, Public Storage expanded its footprint during 2025 by acquiring 87 self-storage facilities totaling 6.1 million net rentable square feet for $942.2 million, underscoring continued growth through acquisitions despite pressure on same-store rent metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSA) stock is a Hold with a $301.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Public Storage stock, see the PSA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Public Storage Reports November 2025 Operating Update
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Public Storage announced an operating update for the periods ending November 30, 2025, highlighting a decrease in average annual contract rent per square foot for tenants moving in, alongside a slight increase in square footage. The company also reported acquiring or being under contract to acquire 88 self-storage facilities for $949.4 million in 2025, reflecting its strategic expansion efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSA) stock is a Buy with a $303.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Public Storage stock, see the PSA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 17, 2026