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Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR)
NYSE:EXR

Extra Space Storage (EXR) AI Stock Analysis

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EXR

Extra Space Storage

(NYSE:EXR)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$148.00
â–²(6.57% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/23/26
EXR scores well primarily on strong underlying fundamentals (profitability and cash generation) and a supportive technical uptrend. The score is held back by a relatively rich valuation (high P/E) and cautious 2026 outlook that suggests limited near-term upside, plus leverage and cost/regulatory headwinds.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Free cash flow closely tracking net income (near 1x) indicates high-quality earnings and durable cash conversion. That persistent cash generation underpins REIT distributions, funds acquisitions/JV activity, supports share repurchases and bridge‑loan origination, and preserves financial optionality over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage and Absolute Debt Levels
Despite improvements from peak leverage, the firm carries substantial absolute debt and leverage ticked up in 2025. This constrains financial flexibility, raises refinancing and covenant risk if fundamentals weaken, and limits the pace of on‑balance acquisitions or opportunistic capital deployment over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Free cash flow closely tracking net income (near 1x) indicates high-quality earnings and durable cash conversion. That persistent cash generation underpins REIT distributions, funds acquisitions/JV activity, supports share repurchases and bridge‑loan origination, and preserves financial optionality over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Extra Space Storage (EXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Extra Space Storage Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Extra Space Storage Inc., headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah, is a self-administered and self-managed REIT and a member of the S&P 500. As of September 30, 2020, the Company owned and/or operated 1,906 self-storage stores in 40 states, Washingt...
How the Company Makes Money
Extra Space Storage primarily makes money by generating rental income from self-storage units at its owned and operated facilities. Customers pay recurring rent (typically monthly) for the right to use a specific storage space; pricing varies base...

Extra Space Storage Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Ending Same-Store Occupancy
Ending Same-Store Occupancy
Tracks the occupancy rate of stores that have been open for a consistent period, reflecting demand stability and the effectiveness of the company's pricing and marketing strategies.
Chart InsightsExtra Space Storage's same-store occupancy has stabilized around the mid-90% range after a slight dip in 2023. The recent earnings call highlights a strategic focus on acquisitions and rate growth, with new customer rates up over 3% net of discounts. Despite flat same-store revenue due to strategic discounting, the company is optimistic about future growth, supported by a raised acquisition guidance and expansion of its management platform. This indicates a strategic pivot towards long-term revenue optimization and diversified growth avenues.
Data provided by:The Fly

Extra Space Storage Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveys cautious optimism. Company results show improving operational trends (positive Q4 core FFO, improving move-in rates, modest same-store revenue and NOI gains), strong external growth execution (acquisitions, JV activity, managed-store growth), and a conservative, flexible balance sheet. Management tempered expectations with cautious 2026 guidance that includes ranges with possible negative outcomes, cited headwinds from localized regulatory actions (Los Angeles restrictions, NYC litigation), lingering supply effects in several markets, and elevated cost items (healthcare, insurance, marketing). Overall the positives around liquidity, disciplined capital deployment, and improving leasing trends outweigh the headwinds, but the tone remains prudent given ongoing uncertainty.
Positive Updates
Positive FFO and Same-Store Revenue Momentum
Delivered positive core FFO growth of 2.5% in Q4 and full-year core FFO growth of 1.1%; same-store revenue returned to positive +0.4% in Q4 and same-store NOI for the quarter was +0.1%.
Negative Updates
Cautious / Mixed 2026 Guidance
Guidance range includes potential declines: same-store revenue -0.5% to +1.5% and same-store NOI -2.25% to +1.25%; core FFO guidance is roughly flat at the midpoint, indicating limited near-term upside baked into guidance.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Positive FFO and Same-Store Revenue Momentum
Delivered positive core FFO growth of 2.5% in Q4 and full-year core FFO growth of 1.1%; same-store revenue returned to positive +0.4% in Q4 and same-store NOI for the quarter was +0.1%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Extra Space guided 2026 same-store revenue of -0.5% to +1.5% (midpoint 0.5%), expense growth of 2.0%–3.5%, resulting in same-store NOI of -2.25% to +1.25% and core FFO of $8.05–$8.35 per share (midpoint roughly flat year‑over‑year); the outlook assumes average bridge loan balances generally flat versus 2025 and that most 2026 acquisitions will be completed in joint‑venture structures. Management emphasized the guidance does not assume any meaningful housing recovery or changes to Los Angeles County pricing restrictions (an estimated ~40 bps drag), and noted positive operating trends entering the year (mid‑February occupancy ~92.5%, ~40 bps down YoY, and new‑customer rates up ~6%) while calling for disciplined expense management (property taxes normalizing, insurance expected to improve midyear) and flexible, marketing‑driven investments.

Extra Space Storage Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation support a high-quality fundamental profile (high margins; free cash flow closely tracking earnings). The main offsets are meaningful leverage (with a slight uptick in 2025) and recent volatility/softness in gross margin and free-cash-flow trends.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.38B3.34B2.62B1.97B1.61B
Gross Profit960.17M2.55B2.02B1.54B1.23B
EBITDA2.41B2.26B1.79B1.37B1.11B
Net Income974.00M854.68M803.20M860.69M827.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.26B28.85B27.46B12.17B10.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments138.92M138.22M99.06M92.87M71.13M
Total Debt14.97B13.03B11.25B7.56B6.19B
Total Liabilities14.94B13.99B12.04B8.09B6.69B
Stockholders Equity13.43B13.95B14.39B3.26B3.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.83B1.87B1.39B1.22B948.78M
Operating Cash Flow1.85B1.89B1.40B1.24B952.44M
Investing Cash Flow-814.21M-1.65B-1.82B-1.65B-837.54M
Financing Cash Flow-1.04B-202.29M423.13M431.86M-166.71M

Extra Space Storage Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price138.87
Price Trends
50DMA
139.49
Negative
100DMA
135.81
Positive
200DMA
137.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Negative
RSI
56.08
Neutral
STOCH
90.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 138.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 133.99, below the 50-day MA of 139.49, and above the 200-day MA of 137.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXR.

Extra Space Storage Risk Analysis

Extra Space Storage disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Extra Space Storage reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Extra Space Storage Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.43B11.596.29%13.07%-11.22%-24.64%
75
Outperform
$30.63B24.317.12%5.01%3.38%17.16%
71
Outperform
$8.87B24.7011.96%5.69%4.19%-12.19%
67
Neutral
$51.77B25.5219.03%4.63%2.30%-0.22%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$5.52B29.307.46%8.28%-4.98%-65.45%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXR
Extra Space Storage
138.87
7.34
5.58%
CUBE
Cubesmart
38.88
2.61
7.18%
PSA
Public Storage
295.00
18.00
6.50%
NSA
National Storage Affiliates
41.15
8.41
25.67%
IIPR
Innovative Industrial Properties
51.00
7.08
16.11%

Extra Space Storage Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Extra Space Storage Names Noah Springer as President
Positive
Jan 5, 2026
On January 5, 2026, Extra Space Storage Inc. announced that its Board of Directors promoted longtime executive Noah Springer, formerly Executive Vice President, Chief Strategy and Partnership Officer, to President, with the company’s operati...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 23, 2026