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Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR)
NYSE:EXR
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Extra Space Storage (EXR) AI Stock Analysis

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EXR

Extra Space Storage

(NYSE:EXR)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$159.00
â–²(9.38% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/02/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (especially cash flow strength) and a constructive earnings update showing improving same-store trends and solid liquidity. The main offsets are balance-sheet leverage risk and a mixed valuation profile (higher P/E despite a supportive dividend), while technical signals indicate steady but moderate momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently strong operating and free cash flow provides durable funding for the REIT's dividend payouts, maintenance capex, and opportunistic investments. Reliable cash conversion reduces dependence on capital markets and supports resilience through cyclical occupancy swings, improving long-term payout and reinvestment capacity.
Negative Factors
Moderate and rising leverage
Leverage near 1.0x equity increases sensitivity to weaker cash flow or higher rates, constraining strategic flexibility. If operating metrics weaken or rates reaccelerate, refinancing costs and covenant headroom could tighten, limiting ability to pursue accretive buys or return capital without raising external equity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently strong operating and free cash flow provides durable funding for the REIT's dividend payouts, maintenance capex, and opportunistic investments. Reliable cash conversion reduces dependence on capital markets and supports resilience through cyclical occupancy swings, improving long-term payout and reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive factors

Extra Space Storage (EXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Extra Space Storage Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Extra Space Storage Inc., headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah, is a self-administered and self-managed REIT and a member of the S&P 500. As of September 30, 2020, the Company owned and/or operated 1,906 self-storage stores in 40 states, Washingt...
How the Company Makes Money
Extra Space Storage primarily makes money by generating rental income from self-storage units at its owned and operated facilities. Customers pay recurring rent (typically monthly) for the right to use a specific storage space; pricing varies base...

Extra Space Storage Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Ending Same-Store Occupancy
Ending Same-Store Occupancy
Tracks the occupancy rate of stores that have been open for a consistent period, reflecting demand stability and the effectiveness of the company's pricing and marketing strategies.
Chart InsightsExtra Space Storage's same-store occupancy has stabilized around the mid-90% range after a slight dip in 2023. The recent earnings call highlights a strategic focus on acquisitions and rate growth, with new customer rates up over 3% net of discounts. Despite flat same-store revenue due to strategic discounting, the company is optimistic about future growth, supported by a raised acquisition guidance and expansion of its management platform. This indicates a strategic pivot towards long-term revenue optimization and diversified growth avenues.
Data provided by:The Fly

Extra Space Storage Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed predominantly positive operational momentum: revenue and NOI acceleration, improving occupancy dynamics, strong ancillary growth (management fees, insurance), expanding third-party management, and a healthy balance sheet with significant liquidity. Management is exercising disciplined capital allocation amid aggressive market pricing for acquisitions, noted localized market and regulatory headwinds (L.A. County, some Sunbelt markets), a moderation in move-in rate growth, and short-term expense volatility due to weather and insurance timing. On balance, the company appears to be in a constructive recovery phase but remains cautious and measured given macro and valuation uncertainties.
Positive Updates
Core FFO Growth
Core FFO of $2.04 per share in Q1 2026, up 2% year-over-year, demonstrating positive earnings momentum.
Negative Updates
Modest YoY Occupancy Decline
Reported occupancy was 93.0% in Q1 versus 93.2% a year earlier (small YoY decline), though management noted sequential improvement since year-end.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Core FFO Growth
Core FFO of $2.04 per share in Q1 2026, up 2% year-over-year, demonstrating positive earnings momentum.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management maintained full‑year 2026 guidance — core FFO $8.05–$8.35 per share and its same‑store performance outlook — even after a stronger-than-expected Q1 (core FFO $2.04, +2% YoY) in which same‑store revenue accelerated to 1.7% (up 130 bps q/q) and same‑store NOI to 1.2% (up 110 bps q/q); portfolio occupancy was 93% (vs. 93.2% LY) with the occupancy delta improving 50 bps since year‑end, new‑customer rates averaged ~2.5% per sq. ft. (~3.5% per unit like‑for‑like), bad debt was 1.5%, management fee & other income grew >9% YoY, net tenant insurance +5% YoY, and bridge loans averaged ~$1.5B. On capital and balance sheet metrics they expect ~$200M of acquisitions in 2026 (with more closings in asset‑light JVs), added 84 managed stores (net +60) to 1,916 total, carry ~83% fixed‑rate debt (93% effective), a 4.3% weighted average rate, ~ $2B revolver capacity, and noted expense growth ex‑weather of ~1.5% and an insurance renewal expected flat or better; they will reassess guidance after Q2.

Extra Space Storage Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation and earnings quality (Cash Flow score 86) and solid revenue growth/profitability (Income Statement score 78) support a strong operating profile. This is tempered by a moderately leveraged balance sheet with rising leverage recently (Balance Sheet score 66), which increases refinancing and rate-sensitivity risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.39B3.38B3.34B2.62B1.97B1.61B
Gross Profit945.64M960.17M2.55B2.02B1.54B1.23B
EBITDA3.19B2.41B2.26B1.79B1.37B1.11B
Net Income944.10M974.00M854.68M803.20M860.69M827.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.10B29.26B28.85B27.46B12.17B10.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments138.99M138.92M138.22M99.06M92.87M71.13M
Total Debt13.94B14.97B13.03B11.25B7.56B6.19B
Total Liabilities14.89B14.94B13.99B12.04B8.09B6.69B
Stockholders Equity13.33B13.43B13.95B14.39B3.26B3.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.86B1.83B1.87B1.39B1.22B948.78M
Operating Cash Flow1.86B1.85B1.89B1.40B1.24B952.44M
Investing Cash Flow-519.68M-814.21M-1.65B-1.82B-1.65B-837.54M
Financing Cash Flow-1.32B-1.04B-202.29M423.13M431.86M-166.71M

Extra Space Storage Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price145.36
Price Trends
50DMA
140.00
Positive
100DMA
136.54
Positive
200DMA
137.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.15
Negative
RSI
67.56
Neutral
STOCH
93.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 145.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.96, above the 50-day MA of 140.00, and above the 200-day MA of 137.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXR.

Extra Space Storage Risk Analysis

Extra Space Storage disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Extra Space Storage reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Extra Space Storage Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.56B11.596.29%13.07%-13.80%-28.74%
74
Outperform
$31.33B28.696.97%5.01%4.16%3.52%
73
Outperform
$52.94B22.5920.48%4.63%2.90%-3.92%
71
Outperform
$9.19B25.1811.96%5.69%5.02%-15.68%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$5.70B29.307.46%8.28%-2.26%-40.25%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXR
Extra Space Storage
142.02
-0.70
-0.49%
CUBE
Cubesmart
40.14
-0.40
-0.98%
PSA
Public Storage
301.55
13.41
4.65%
NSA
National Storage Affiliates
42.49
7.37
20.97%
IIPR
Innovative Industrial Properties
54.49
7.20
15.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026