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Lineage, Inc. (LINE)
NASDAQ:LINE
US Market

Lineage, Inc. (LINE) AI Stock Analysis

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Lineage, Inc.

(NASDAQ:LINE)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(2.16%Upside)
Lineage, Inc.'s overall stock score is influenced by its challenges in profitability and high leverage, reflected in a low financial performance score. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation concerns due to ongoing losses further impact the score. Positively, strategic partnerships and technological advancements highlighted in the earnings call suggest potential for future growth, providing some optimism.
Positive Factors
Business Pipeline
The company's new business pipeline has continued to strengthen.
Revenue Stability
Approximately 45% of Lineage's Global Warehousing Revenue is tied to contracted escalators, providing stability.
Negative Factors
Demand Weakness
Shares have underperformed the broader REIT group as demand has been softer than expected leading to greater than anticipated deceleration in occupancy, pricing and same store NOI.
Loss of Pricing Power
There is a loss of pricing power on the margin for Lineage, Inc., reflecting challenges in the current market environment.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs may be incremental demand headwind with 15% of throughput volumes tied to import/exports; tenant uncertainty and slower decision making.

Lineage, Inc. (LINE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lineage, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLineage, Inc. (LINE) is a technology-driven logistics and supply chain management company specializing in cold storage solutions. The company operates within the industrial and logistics sectors, providing temperature-controlled warehousing, transportation, and logistics services to businesses in the food and pharmaceutical industries. Lineage, Inc. leverages advanced technology and an expansive network of facilities to ensure efficient and reliable storage and distribution of perishable goods.
How the Company Makes MoneyLineage, Inc. makes money primarily through its comprehensive suite of cold storage and logistics services. The company's revenue streams include fees for warehousing services, which involve storing perishable goods at controlled temperatures to maintain product integrity. Additionally, Lineage earns revenue from transportation services, where it offers refrigerated shipping solutions to move goods between locations. The company also generates income by providing value-added services such as inventory management, blast freezing, and cross-docking. Strategic partnerships with major food producers and distributors, as well as investments in technology to optimize logistics efficiency, further enhance its revenue potential.

Lineage, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -22.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strategic advancements and financial challenges. While significant new business agreements and technological progress were made, the company faced revenue and NOI declines. The macroeconomic uncertainty due to tariffs is a notable concern impacting customer behavior. Despite these challenges, strategic partnerships and improvements in technology position Lineage for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Landmark Agreements with Tyson Foods
Lineage announced agreements with Tyson Foods, deploying approximately $1 billion in capital for acquisitions and development, expected to generate over $100 million in annual EBITDA.
Strong New Business Wins
The company achieved record new business wins, with new business having more than 42% volume guarantees.
Progress on LinOS Technology
LinOS, the proprietary warehouse execution system, is exceeding expectations, showing double-digit productivity improvements in pilot facilities.
AFFO Growth
AFFO for the quarter was up 48% to $219 million, with a 6% increase in AFFO per share.
Continued Global Expansion
Lineage completed acquisitions and expansions in key markets, including the acquisition of Bellingham Cold Storage and expansions in Denmark and the Netherlands.
Negative Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Total revenue was down 3%, with adjusted EBITDA decreasing by 7%.
Same-Store Warehouse NOI Decline
Same-store warehouse NOI decreased by 7.9%.
Impact of Tariff Uncertainty
The macroeconomic uncertainty due to U.S. tariff announcements has created hesitancy among customers, impacting near-term activity.
Lower Revenue per Throughput and Occupied Pallet
Revenue per throughput and occupied pallet was impacted by lower rates and customers resetting volume guarantees at lower levels.
Company Guidance
During the Lineage First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company maintained its guidance for the year, expecting adjusted EBITDA to range between $1,350 to $1,400 million and AFFO per share to be between $3.40 to $3.60. The call highlighted a significant agreement with Tyson Foods, involving a $1 billion capital deployment to acquire and develop cold storage facilities expected to generate over $100 million in annual EBITDA. Despite a 3% decrease in total revenue and a 7% decline in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, Lineage reported a 6% growth in AFFO per share. The company attributed the revenue challenges to lower revenue per throughput and occupied pallet due to new business wins at lower rates and customers adjusting volume guarantees downward. Lineage plans to combat these challenges by leveraging its global scale and expertise, continuing cost control measures, and integrating its proprietary LinOS technology to enhance productivity and maintain competitive advantages.

Lineage, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lineage, Inc. shows a stable revenue base but struggles with profitability and high leverage. The balance sheet reflects significant debt, while cash flow management appears volatile, hinting at potential liquidity risks. The overall financial health suggests the need for strategic adjustments to improve profitability and reduce financial risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Lineage, Inc. has demonstrated stable revenue over the past year with slight fluctuations. Despite a consistent gross profit margin, the company is facing challenges with profitability, as indicated by the negative net income and EBIT margins. Revenue growth is stagnant, and the company struggles to convert revenue into profit, highlighting potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if interest rates rise. However, the equity ratio remains stable, showcasing a solid asset base. Return on equity is negative due to the net losses, suggesting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Lineage, Inc. manages to maintain a positive operating cash flow, although free cash flow has shown volatility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, but the free cash flow growth rate is inconsistent. This indicates potential issues with capital expenditures and cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.30B5.34B5.34B4.93B3.70B517.82M
Gross Profit1.41B1.76B1.75B1.46B1.13B517.82M
EBITDA630.00M575.00M452.00M1.06B841.00M386.30M
Net Income-630.00M-664.00M-77.00M-62.70M-153.30M-140.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.77B18.66B18.87B18.56B16.42B2.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments195.00M173.00M68.00M170.60M209.10M89.06M
Total Debt7.09B6.88B11.05B10.69B9.60B1.03B
Total Liabilities9.12B8.97B12.85B12.45B11.14B1.25B
Stockholders Equity8.59B8.64B5.05B5.17B4.34B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.20M12.00M30.00M-312.00M-359.20M265.06M
Operating Cash Flow736.70M703.00M795.10M500.90M329.90M268.30M
Investing Cash Flow-668.80M-919.00M-1.07B-2.37B-3.41B-689.09M
Financing Cash Flow219.50M320.00M136.20M1.84B3.03B426.21M

Lineage, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price43.07
Price Trends
50DMA
44.37
Negative
100DMA
50.25
Negative
200DMA
57.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Negative
RSI
43.04
Neutral
STOCH
21.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LINE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 43.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.72, below the 50-day MA of 44.37, and below the 200-day MA of 57.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LINE.

Lineage, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$6.89B27.147.15%4.14%8.81%33.30%
77
Outperform
$8.69B30.003.35%4.66%18.02%12.12%
FRFR
75
Outperform
$6.59B24.3510.18%3.69%9.18%-7.05%
73
Outperform
$5.79B29.135.33%3.50%22.17%4.34%
LXLXP
69
Neutral
$2.47B43.482.98%6.47%5.68%358.78%
66
Neutral
£959.71M13.972.04%5.25%11.04%38.13%
49
Neutral
$9.80B-9.72%4.90%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LINE
Lineage, Inc.
42.96
-37.08
-46.33%
STAG
Stag Industrial
36.12
0.02
0.06%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
58.10
-4.94
-7.84%
FR
First Industrial Realty
49.43
0.28
0.57%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
8.59
-0.56
-6.12%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
37.06
-10.15
-21.50%

Lineage, Inc. Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Lineage, Inc. Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Lineage, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where all ten directors were elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. The stockholders also ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal year 2025, approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis, and decided on a one-year frequency for future say-on-pay votes. The Board has decided to include a say-on-pay vote in the company’s proxy materials annually until the next advisory vote on frequency is required by law.

The most recent analyst rating on (LINE) stock is a Buy with a $102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lineage, Inc. stock, see the LINE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Lineage, Inc. Issues $500M in Senior Notes
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Lineage OP, LP, the operating partnership of Lineage, Inc., issued $500 million in 5.250% Senior Notes due 2030, guaranteed by Lineage Logistics Holdings, LLC, and other subsidiaries. The proceeds, approximately $489 million after expenses, will be used to repay revolving credit facility amounts and for general corporate purposes. The notes, governed by an indenture with restrictive covenants, are not registered under the Securities Act and were sold to qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. persons. A Registration Rights Agreement obligates the operating partnership to file a registration statement for an exchange offer by June 17, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (LINE) stock is a Buy with a $102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lineage, Inc. stock, see the LINE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Lineage, Inc. Prices $500 Million Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Lineage, Inc. announced that its operating partnership, Lineage OP, LP, priced an offering of $500 million in senior unsecured notes due in 2030 with an interest rate of 5.250%. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay outstanding amounts under the company’s revolving credit facility and for general corporate purposes. The notes will be offered to qualified institutional buyers and certain non-U.S. persons, with settlement expected on June 17, 2025, pending customary closing conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LINE) stock is a Buy with a $102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lineage, Inc. stock, see the LINE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Lineage, Inc. Announces Private Offering of Senior Notes
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Lineage, Inc. announced that its operating partnership, Lineage OP, LP, has commenced a private offering of senior notes to qualified institutional buyers and certain non-U.S. persons. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay amounts under its revolving credit facility and for general corporate purposes. The offering is subject to market conditions and customary closing conditions, and there are no assurances that it will be completed as planned.

The most recent analyst rating on (LINE) stock is a Buy with a $102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lineage, Inc. stock, see the LINE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Lineage, Inc. CFO Announces Retirement Plans
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Robert Crisci, the Chief Financial Officer of Lineage, Inc., announced his retirement plans, prompting the company to begin the search for his successor. Crisci will remain in his role until a successor is appointed and will assist during the transition period. Additionally, Lineage, Inc. reaffirmed its financial guidance for the 2025 fiscal year, projecting an adjusted EBITDA of $1.35 to $1.40 billion and Adjusted FFO per share of $3.40 to $3.60. The company’s second quarter performance is on track with expectations, and it continues to strengthen its business pipeline.

The most recent analyst rating on (LINE) stock is a Buy with a $102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lineage, Inc. stock, see the LINE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Lineage Inc. Highlights Growth in Cold Storage Sector
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Lineage Inc. released an investor presentation highlighting its position as a global leader in the cold storage market, a sector noted for its resilience and growth potential. The presentation emphasized the company’s strategic advantages, including its superior same warehouse growth, operational excellence enabled by technology, and significant opportunities for global expansion through greenfields, expansions, and acquisitions.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lineage, Inc. Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Lineage, Inc. announced its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 2.7% decrease in total revenue to $1,292 million and a breakeven GAAP net income. Despite a 7% decrease in adjusted EBITDA, the company reported a 48% increase in AFFO to $219 million. Lineage also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.5275 per share. Additionally, Lineage announced landmark agreements with Tyson Foods, including acquiring four cold storage warehouses for $247 million and planning to build two automated warehouses. These agreements are expected to deploy approximately $1 billion of capital, strengthening Lineage’s market position and customer relationship with Tyson Foods.

Executive/Board Changes
Lineage, Inc. Updates Executive Compensation Agreements
Neutral
Apr 21, 2025

On April 17, 2025, Lineage, Inc. announced that its Compensation Committee approved amended employment agreements for CEO Greg Lehmkuhl and CFO Rob Crisci, as well as an updated Executive Severance Plan. These changes allow for annual bonuses to be awarded in cash and/or performance vesting equity-based awards, rather than solely in cash. The amendments also detail how bonuses will be calculated and paid in the event of a qualifying termination, with the value of equity-based awards determined by the company’s stock price at relevant dates.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025