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Lineage, Inc. (LINE)
NASDAQ:LINE
US Market
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Lineage, Inc. (LINE) AI Stock Analysis

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LINE

Lineage, Inc.

(NASDAQ:LINE)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(0.71% Upside)
Lineage, Inc. faces significant challenges with profitability and market momentum, reflected in its financial performance and technical analysis scores. While the valuation offers some appeal due to a decent dividend yield, the negative P/E ratio is concerning. The earnings call provided a balanced view with both positive initiatives and reduced guidance, resulting in a neutral impact on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Margin Enhancement
Positive commentary regarding double digit margin enhancement from LinOS early tests.
Negative Factors
Demand and Occupancy
The largest driver of the sell-off has been the steep decelerations of same store rev/NOI in 1Q25.
Financial Performance
Softer than expected results and lowered outlook put pressure on the shares.
Guidance and Recovery Path
Reduced guidance calls for a weaker than expected recovery path.

Lineage, Inc. (LINE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lineage, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLineage, Inc. engages in the provision of temperature-controlled warehouse real estate investment trust (REIT). It operates through the Global Warehousing and Global Integrated Solutions segments. The Global Warehousing segment composes of industrial real estate properties to provide temperature-controlled warehousing services to its customers. The Global Integrated Solutions segment consists of specialized cold-chain services. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Novi, MI.
How the Company Makes MoneyLineage generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its proprietary cell-based therapies and related products. The company establishes partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms, which often involve licensing agreements for its technologies and products. These partnerships typically provide upfront payments, milestone payments based on the achievement of specific development goals, and royalties on future sales. Additionally, Lineage may receive funding from grants and research contracts aimed at advancing its scientific initiatives. The company’s ability to attract strategic partnerships and secure funding is critical to its revenue model, as it helps to offset the high costs associated with research and development in the biotech industry.

Lineage, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were notable achievements in terms of productivity improvements, bond offerings, and growth in specific segments, the company faced significant challenges with reduced guidance, declining same warehouse NOI, and adjusted EBITDA. The highlights and lowlights appear to be balanced.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Global Integrated Solutions
The Global Integrated Solutions segment saw an 8% year-over-year NOI growth, driven by the U.S. transportation and direct-to-consumer businesses, with strong momentum expected to continue in the second half of 2025.
LinOS Pilot Program Success
The rollout of LinOS has shown double-digit productivity improvements. It is set to expand from 6 to 10 sites by year-end, with a broader rollout planned for 2026.
Inaugural Bond Offering
Lineage Logistics completed its inaugural $500 million investment-grade bond offering, which has been well-received and traded tighter since the offering.
M&A and Development Pipeline Execution
The company executed on its M&A and development pipeline, deploying $535 million in growth capital, including agreements with Tyson Foods and three smaller acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Annual Guidance
Annual AFFO per share guidance was reduced to $3.20 to $3.40 from the previous range of $3.40 to $3.60, due to muted seasonal inventory levels.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2%, reflecting challenging market dynamics, including higher food prices and interest rates.
Decline in Same Warehouse NOI
Same warehouse NOI was down 6% year-over-year, against elevated inventory levels experienced last year.
Lower Full Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance
Full year adjusted EBITDA guidance was revised to $1.29 billion to $1.34 billion, down from the previous range of $1.35 billion to $1.4 billion.
Company Guidance
During the Lineage Logistics Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided updated guidance, reflecting a challenging market environment. Lineage reported an AFFO per share growth of over 8%, but total revenue increased modestly by 1%, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2% due to factors such as high food prices and interest rates impacting market dynamics. The company revised its annual AFFO per share guidance to $3.20-$3.40, down from $3.40-$3.60, and adjusted its full-year EBITDA guidance to $1.29 billion-$1.34 billion from a previous range of $1.35 billion-$1.4 billion. For the third quarter, Lineage expects AFFO per share to be between $0.75 and $0.79, with adjusted EBITDA ranging from $326 million to $336 million. Despite these challenges, Lineage highlighted its strategic initiatives, including the rollout of LinOS, which showed double-digit productivity improvements, and its first $500 million investment-grade bond offering.

Lineage, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lineage, Inc. shows stable revenue and operational cash flow but struggles with profitability and free cash flow generation. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged with a reasonable equity position, yet operational inefficiencies and negative net profit margins are concerning.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Lineage, Inc. has shown stable revenue over the past year, with a slight decline from the previous year. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 33%, but the net profit margin is negative due to significant net losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational challenges, with EBIT being particularly low, suggesting high operating expenses or other costs impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to financing. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, which is a concern for investors. The equity ratio is around 46%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Lineage, Inc. has a positive operating cash flow, which is a good sign of operational efficiency. However, free cash flow is minimal, indicating limited cash available after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is low, reflecting challenges in generating free cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.32B5.34B5.34B4.93B3.70B517.82M
Gross Profit1.56B1.76B1.75B1.46B1.13B517.82M
EBITDA541.00M547.00M452.00M1.06B841.00M386.30M
Net Income-562.00M-664.00M-77.00M-62.70M-153.30M-140.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.44B18.66B18.87B18.56B16.42B2.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.00M173.00M68.00M170.60M209.10M89.06M
Total Debt7.68B6.88B11.05B10.69B9.60B1.03B
Total Liabilities9.78B8.97B12.85B12.45B11.14B1.25B
Stockholders Equity8.64B8.64B5.05B5.17B4.34B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow73.00M12.00M30.00M-312.00M-359.20M265.06M
Operating Cash Flow582.00M703.00M795.10M500.90M329.90M268.30M
Investing Cash Flow-659.00M-919.00M-1.07B-2.37B-3.41B-689.09M
Financing Cash Flow197.00M320.00M136.20M1.84B3.03B426.21M

Lineage, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.71
Price Trends
50DMA
42.50
Negative
100DMA
45.16
Negative
200DMA
51.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.61
Negative
RSI
51.04
Neutral
STOCH
74.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LINE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.37, below the 50-day MA of 42.50, and below the 200-day MA of 51.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LINE.

Lineage, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.91B23.036.85%3.39%22.17%40.80%
74
Outperform
$6.98B25.0710.33%3.19%9.66%-4.60%
74
Outperform
$9.47B29.833.74%4.24%13.66%11.34%
73
Outperform
$6.92B28.816.89%4.02%8.56%22.20%
69
Neutral
$2.63B31.804.15%6.02%6.64%210.89%
63
Neutral
$7.00B13.54-0.52%7.07%3.61%-22.78%
53
Neutral
$9.56B-8.75%4.82%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LINE
Lineage, Inc.
41.77
-38.85
-48.19%
STAG
Stag Industrial
36.97
-1.50
-3.90%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
57.19
-8.75
-13.27%
FR
First Industrial Realty
51.16
-3.25
-5.97%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
9.09
-0.57
-5.90%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
40.01
-8.08
-16.80%

Lineage, Inc. Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lineage, Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Lineage, Inc. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing a total revenue increase of 0.9% to $1,350 million, despite a GAAP net loss of $7 million. The company experienced a 55.1% increase in AFFO, though adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2.4%. Lineage completed a $500 million bond offering and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.5275 per share. Due to muted seasonal inventory levels, the company lowered its full-year 2025 guidance, focusing on revenue growth and operational efficiency to prepare for industry recovery.

Shareholder Meetings
Lineage, Inc. Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Lineage, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where all ten directors were elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. The stockholders also ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal year 2025, approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis, and decided on a one-year frequency for future say-on-pay votes. The Board has decided to include a say-on-pay vote in the company’s proxy materials annually until the next advisory vote on frequency is required by law.

Private Placements and Financing
Lineage, Inc. Issues $500M in Senior Notes
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Lineage OP, LP, the operating partnership of Lineage, Inc., issued $500 million in 5.250% Senior Notes due 2030, guaranteed by Lineage Logistics Holdings, LLC, and other subsidiaries. The proceeds, approximately $489 million after expenses, will be used to repay revolving credit facility amounts and for general corporate purposes. The notes, governed by an indenture with restrictive covenants, are not registered under the Securities Act and were sold to qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. persons. A Registration Rights Agreement obligates the operating partnership to file a registration statement for an exchange offer by June 17, 2026.

Private Placements and Financing
Lineage, Inc. Prices $500 Million Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Lineage, Inc. announced that its operating partnership, Lineage OP, LP, priced an offering of $500 million in senior unsecured notes due in 2030 with an interest rate of 5.250%. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay outstanding amounts under the company’s revolving credit facility and for general corporate purposes. The notes will be offered to qualified institutional buyers and certain non-U.S. persons, with settlement expected on June 17, 2025, pending customary closing conditions.

Private Placements and Financing
Lineage, Inc. Announces Private Offering of Senior Notes
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Lineage, Inc. announced that its operating partnership, Lineage OP, LP, has commenced a private offering of senior notes to qualified institutional buyers and certain non-U.S. persons. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay amounts under its revolving credit facility and for general corporate purposes. The offering is subject to market conditions and customary closing conditions, and there are no assurances that it will be completed as planned.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Lineage, Inc. CFO Announces Retirement Plans
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Robert Crisci, the Chief Financial Officer of Lineage, Inc., announced his retirement plans, prompting the company to begin the search for his successor. Crisci will remain in his role until a successor is appointed and will assist during the transition period. Additionally, Lineage, Inc. reaffirmed its financial guidance for the 2025 fiscal year, projecting an adjusted EBITDA of $1.35 to $1.40 billion and Adjusted FFO per share of $3.40 to $3.60. The company’s second quarter performance is on track with expectations, and it continues to strengthen its business pipeline.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2025