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Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR)
NYSE:REXR
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Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR) AI Stock Analysis

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REXR

Rexford Industrial Realty

(NYSE:REXR)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$47.00
â–²(14.33% Upside)
Rexford Industrial Realty's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, tempered by valuation concerns and macroeconomic challenges. The company's robust financial health and strategic initiatives position it well for future growth, but potential overvaluation and market uncertainties warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for REXR's industrial properties, driven by e-commerce and supply chain trends, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Repositioning
Successful repositioning and redevelopment enhance property value and tenant appeal, strengthening REXR's competitive position in key markets.
Financial Stability
Strong liquidity and low leverage provide REXR with financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities and withstand market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Decline in Market Rents
Falling market rents could pressure REXR's revenue and profitability, challenging its ability to maintain growth and lease spreads.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Economic uncertainties may affect tenant leasing decisions, potentially slowing REXR's lease-up times and impacting revenue stability.
No New Acquisitions
Lack of new acquisitions could limit REXR's growth prospects and ability to capitalize on market opportunities, affecting long-term expansion.

Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rexford Industrial Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRexford Industrial Realty (REXR) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the acquisition, development, and management of industrial properties in Southern California. The company focuses on logistics and distribution facilities that cater to the growing demand for e-commerce and supply chain services. REXR's portfolio includes a diverse range of properties, primarily situated in infill markets, which provide strategic advantages for its tenants in terms of accessibility and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyRexford Industrial Realty generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to a variety of tenants, including logistics and distribution companies. The company's revenue model is based on long-term lease agreements that provide stable and predictable cash flows. Key revenue streams include rental income from these leases, as well as potential income from property management services. Additionally, REXR benefits from strategic partnerships with tenants that may involve co-development or build-to-suit projects, further enhancing its earnings potential. The demand for industrial space, driven by trends in e-commerce and supply chain logistics, also significantly contributes to the company's revenue growth.

Rexford Industrial Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong lease execution, financial stability, and successful repositioning and redevelopment activities. However, there were concerns about declining market rents, macroeconomic uncertainties impacting tenant decisions, and a lack of new acquisitions. Overall, the company is well-positioned with a robust portfolio and financial health, but faces challenges in market dynamics.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Lease Execution
Executed 1.7 million square feet of leases, including lease-up of 4 repositioning and redevelopment projects, with net effective and cash leasing spreads for comparable leases at 21% and 8%, respectively.
High Tenant Retention and Occupancy
Same-property occupancy reached 96.1%, an increase of 40 basis points sequentially, with net absorption of 220,000 square feet.
Robust Financial Position
Ended the quarter with over $1.8 billion of liquidity and a low leverage balance sheet with net debt to EBITDA of 4x.
Repositioning and Redevelopment Success
Year-to-date repositioning and redevelopment lease-up activity exceeded 900,000 square feet, representing over $16 million of annualized NOI, with a 7.4% unlevered stabilized yield on total investment.
Strong Disposition Strategy
Sold 2 properties totaling $82 million, bringing year-to-date dispositions to $134 million at a weighted average cap rate in the low 4% range, achieving an unlevered IRR of 11.9%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Market Rents
Market rents across the portfolio declined approximately 3.5% sequentially and 12.8% year-over-year.
Macroeconomic and Tariff Uncertainty Impact
Macroeconomic and tariff uncertainty are impacting tenant decision-making, affecting rent levels and lease-up time frames.
No New Acquisitions
No acquisitions under contract or accepted offer, despite actively pursuing opportunities to recycle disposition proceeds.
Planned Deceleration in Occupancy
Expected deceleration in occupancy in the second half of the year due to planned move-outs, with guidance set at 95.5% to 96%.
Company Guidance
During Rexford Industrial's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported executing 1.7 million square feet of leases, with net effective and cash leasing spreads for comparable leases at 21% and 8%, respectively. The company's same-property occupancy increased by 40 basis points to 96.1%, contributing to a positive net absorption of 220,000 square feet. Despite a 3.5% sequential and 12.8% year-over-year decline in market rents, Rexford demonstrated resilience with its tenant base and infill locations, experiencing minimal bad debt at only 6 basis points of revenue. The company continued to leverage its repositioning and redevelopment projects, executing 520,000 square feet of leases, adding to a total year-to-date activity of over 900,000 square feet with an annualized NOI of over $16 million. Additionally, Rexford maintained a strong balance sheet with $1.8 billion in liquidity and a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4x. Looking forward, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 core FFO outlook of $2.37 to $2.41 per share, highlighting $195 million of incremental cash NOI growth potential.

Rexford Industrial Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rexford Industrial Realty exhibits strong financial health, driven by impressive revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is well-managed with moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is solid. However, there is potential for enhancing free cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Rexford Industrial Realty demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a notable increase from $631.2 million in 2022 to $986.5 million in TTM 2025. Gross profit margins remained robust, consistently above 75%. The net profit margin improved to approximately 32.2% in TTM 2025, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also showed strength, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 in TTM 2025, reflecting prudent leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong, at around 3.6%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio of 67.6% indicates a healthy proportion of equity financing, contributing to financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow performance is stable, with free cash flow growing from $105.5 million in 2024 to $153.5 million in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.65, indicating good cash generation. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.48, suggesting room for improvement in free cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue986.53M936.41M797.83M631.20M452.24M330.13M
Gross Profit765.10M726.15M613.35M480.70M344.52M250.42M
EBITDA701.70M614.10M506.81M383.67M279.78M202.97M
Net Income317.49M273.80M238.02M167.58M128.24M76.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.08B12.65B10.93B9.26B6.78B4.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments431.12M55.97M33.44M36.79M43.99M176.29M
Total Debt3.35B3.35B2.23B1.94B1.40B1.28B
Total Liabilities3.88B3.92B2.79B2.34B1.71B1.42B
Stockholders Equity8.84B8.32B7.77B6.56B4.78B3.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow153.49M105.53M160.98M192.60M128.99M104.23M
Operating Cash Flow524.21M478.92M427.55M327.69M231.46M182.99M
Investing Cash Flow-502.74M-1.84B-1.68B-2.45B-1.91B-987.52M
Financing Cash Flow414.02M1.38B1.25B2.11B1.55B903.20M

Rexford Industrial Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.11
Price Trends
50DMA
39.54
Positive
100DMA
37.48
Positive
200DMA
37.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
58.64
Neutral
STOCH
25.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REXR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.93, above the 50-day MA of 39.54, and above the 200-day MA of 37.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REXR.

Rexford Industrial Realty Risk Analysis

Rexford Industrial Realty disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rexford Industrial Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rexford Industrial Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$9.18B36.506.94%3.34%11.22%-3.16%
76
Outperform
$9.83B30.903.74%4.08%13.66%11.34%
76
Outperform
$5.96B22.596.45%3.45%22.17%40.80%
74
Outperform
$7.11B25.1710.25%3.27%9.66%-4.60%
73
Outperform
$6.82B27.936.80%4.16%8.56%22.20%
69
Neutral
$2.78B32.384.24%5.74%6.64%210.89%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
41.84
-4.97
-10.62%
EGP
Eastgroup Properties
172.11
-3.20
-1.83%
STAG
Stag Industrial
35.76
-0.87
-2.38%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
57.68
-4.93
-7.87%
FR
First Industrial Realty
52.07
-1.05
-1.98%
LINE
Lineage, Inc.
39.54
-33.14
-45.60%

Rexford Industrial Realty Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rexford Industrial Realty Announces $1.25B Stock Offering
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. and its Operating Partnership entered into equity distribution agreements with BMO Capital Markets Corp., Bank of Montreal, BNP Paribas Securities Corp., and BNP PARIBAS for the sale of up to $1.25 billion in common stock through ‘at the market’ offerings. Additionally, an omnibus amendment was made to existing agreements to include these new participants. As of that date, $322.6 million in stock had been sold, leaving $927.4 million available for future sales, reflecting the company’s strategic move to enhance its capital structure and market presence.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Rexford Industrial Realty Updates Tax Considerations
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

On October 23, 2023, Rexford Industrial Realty filed a Registration Statement with the SEC, updating its U.S. Federal Income Tax Considerations. This filing outlines the tax implications of its REIT status and the ownership of its securities, emphasizing the complexity and potential changes in tax laws that could impact its REIT qualification and tax obligations. The company has been advised by Latham & Watkins LLP on its REIT status since 2013, but there is no guarantee that its tax considerations will remain unchallenged by the IRS.

Financial Disclosures
Rexford Industrial Realty Q2 2025 Financial Results Surge
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

Rexford Industrial Realty announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $113.4 million, up from $79.8 million in the same quarter the previous year. The company executed 1.7 million square feet of new and renewal leases, with rental rates increasing significantly, and maintained a strong occupancy rate. Additionally, Rexford sold two properties for $81.6 million, achieving a 12.8% unlevered IRR, and ended the quarter with a robust balance sheet, highlighted by a low leverage ratio and substantial liquidity.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rexford Industrial Realty Appoints New Chairman
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Rexford Industrial Realty held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals were approved, including the election of directors and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, Tyler H. Rose was appointed as the new Chairman of the Board, succeeding Richard Ziman, who retired. Mr. Rose, with extensive experience in the real estate industry, has been an independent director since 2015 and will continue to contribute to the company’s strategic direction.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rexford Industrial Realty Secures $1.25 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. and its borrowing entity entered into a Fifth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America and other lenders, establishing a $1.25 billion revolving credit facility and a $700 million term loan facility. This agreement, which includes sustainability-linked pricing and various financial covenants, aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and support its strategic growth initiatives in the competitive industrial real estate market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025