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Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR)
NYSE:REXR

Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR) AI Stock Analysis

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Rexford Industrial Realty

(NYSE:REXR)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
â–²(11.63%Upside)
Rexford Industrial Realty scores well due to its strong financial performance and strategic liquidity management. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the company's ability to manage leverage and sustain growth is promising. Despite valuation concerns and external challenges like declining market rents, the company's robust leasing performance and credit facility provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Growth
The company's revised materials suggest a potential 40% cash flow growth, highlighting disciplined capital allocation.
Financial Stability
Rexford has a low debt-to-total market capitalization ratio at approximately 27.5%, indicating strong financial stability.
Stock Repurchase Program
REXR authorized a $300M stock repurchase program.
Negative Factors
Leasing Activity
Leasing activity, particularly for new leases, was light, with no repositioning and redevelopment leasing completed.
Market Rent Decline
Market rents fell -8.0% year-over-year.
Occupancy Challenges
Short-term occupancy challenges exist for the company, with expected declines due to tenant move-outs.

Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rexford Industrial Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRexford Industrial, a real estate investment trust focused on owning and operating industrial properties throughout Southern California infill markets, owns 232 properties with approximately 27.9 million rentable square feet and manages an additional 20 properties with approximately 1.0 million rentable square feet.
How the Company Makes MoneyRexford Industrial Realty generates revenue primarily through leasing its extensive portfolio of industrial properties to a diverse tenant base. The company's revenue model is centered around collecting rental income from long-term leases, which are often structured with annual rent escalations, providing a stable and predictable cash flow. Additionally, Rexford enhances its earnings by actively managing and improving its properties, which can lead to increased occupancy rates and higher rental rates. The company may also engage in strategic acquisitions of industrial properties to expand its portfolio and increase its market presence, as well as disposing of non-core assets to recycle capital into higher-yielding opportunities. Rexford's ability to identify and capitalize on investment opportunities in high-demand markets is a critical factor contributing to its revenue growth.

Rexford Industrial Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced view with strong leasing performance, strategic capital allocation, and solid financials, countered by challenges from declining market rents, tariff impacts, and extended lease-up periods.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Performance
Executed 2.4 million square feet of leases with net effective and cash rent spreads of 24% and 15%, respectively. Achieved 82% tenant retention, the highest level over the past year.
Accretive Capital Allocation
Completed five repositioning projects totaling 560,000 square feet at a 7.6% unlevered yield and two dispositions totaling $103 million at low 4% exit cap rates.
Solid Financial Position
Core FFO was $0.62 per share, representing 7% growth both sequentially and year over year. Maintained a low leverage balance sheet with net debt to EBITDA at 3.9 times.
High Liquidity
More than $1.6 billion of liquidity, including $608 million of cash and nearly full availability on a $1 billion unsecured line of credit.
Negative Updates
Decline in Market Rents
Market rents across the portfolio declined 2.8% sequentially and 9.4% year over year, with larger spaces over 100,000 square feet experiencing excess supply.
Impact of Tariffs
Recent tariff announcements have led to some tenants deferring decision-making, decreasing leasing activity on vacant spaces from 90% to 80%.
Extended Lease-up Timing
Projected lease-up timing for repositioning and redevelopment increased to nine months due to tariff disruption.
Company Guidance
During Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. Rexford executed 2.4 million square feet of leases with net effective and cash rent spreads of 24% and 15%, respectively. Despite a 2.8% sequential decline and a 9.4% year-over-year drop in market rents, Rexford outperformed the overall market. The company achieved an 82% tenant retention rate, the highest in the past year, and reported positive absorption of 125,000 square feet for the quarter. Rexford's guidance anticipates a potential increase in lease-up timing due to recent tariffs, projecting a $15 million net NOI contribution from repositioning and redevelopment. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $1.6 billion, including $608 million in cash, and expects to close the recast of its credit facility in May, positioning itself for long-term value creation despite current economic uncertainties.

Rexford Industrial Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rexford Industrial Realty exhibits robust financial performance with strong income growth, stable balance sheet metrics, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains a healthy profit margin and a conservative debt profile, supporting future expansion and value creation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Rexford Industrial Realty shows a strong performance in income growth. The gross profit margin is healthy at 70.7% for TTM, and the net profit margin stands at 28.5%, indicating efficient management and cost control. Revenue growth is robust, with a 22.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 38.8% and 69.2% respectively, reflecting solid operational efficiency. The company has consistently improved revenue and profit margins over the past few years.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Rexford Industrial Realty reflects a stable financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.40, indicating a conservative use of debt in financing its operations. The return on equity (ROE) is a healthy 3.2% for TTM, showing the company's ability to generate profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is 67.3%, which implies a strong equity position relative to its assets. Overall, the company maintains a cautious approach to leverage and sustains a strong equity base.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Rexford Industrial Realty demonstrates solid cash flow management. The free cash flow growth rate is 18.5%, highlighting efficient capital expenditure management and operational cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.79, indicating robust cash generation relative to accounting profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.45 suggests that a significant portion of income is converted into free cash flow, supporting ongoing investments and dividend payments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue81.96M936.41M797.83M631.20M452.24M330.13M
Gross Profit59.95M726.15M613.35M480.70M344.52M250.42M
EBITDA45.15M659.77M538.32M414.88M327.65M213.62M
Net Income-189.00K273.80M238.02M167.58M89.40M45.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.09B12.65B10.93B9.26B6.78B4.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments504.58M55.97M33.44M36.79M43.99M176.29M
Total Debt3.48B3.49B2.23B1.94B1.40B1.22B
Total Liabilities3.91B3.92B2.79B2.34B1.71B1.42B
Stockholders Equity8.80B8.32B7.77B6.56B4.78B3.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.64M105.53M160.98M192.60M128.99M104.23M
Operating Cash Flow32.95M478.92M427.55M327.69M231.46M182.99M
Investing Cash Flow-330.12M-1.84B-1.68B-2.45B-1.91B-987.52M
Financing Cash Flow297.88M1.38B1.25B2.11B1.55B903.20M

Rexford Industrial Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.73
Price Trends
50DMA
35.18
Positive
100DMA
36.18
Positive
200DMA
38.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
57.09
Neutral
STOCH
74.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REXR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.31, above the 50-day MA of 35.18, and below the 200-day MA of 38.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REXR.

Rexford Industrial Realty Risk Analysis

Rexford Industrial Realty disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rexford Industrial Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rexford Industrial Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$6.94B27.487.15%4.09%8.81%33.30%
77
Outperform
$8.75B30.023.35%4.65%18.02%12.12%
FRFR
74
Outperform
$6.62B24.0710.18%3.67%9.18%-7.05%
EGEGP
71
Outperform
$8.79B36.567.61%3.33%11.92%-0.83%
67
Neutral
$5.87B28.705.33%3.45%22.17%4.34%
LXLXP
67
Neutral
$2.47B42.672.98%6.47%5.68%358.78%
63
Neutral
$6.92B18.42-1.93%6.88%4.65%-25.39%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
36.73
-10.38
-22.03%
EGP
Eastgroup Properties
166.84
-9.87
-5.59%
STAG
Stag Industrial
36.13
0.29
0.81%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
56.01
-6.80
-10.83%
FR
First Industrial Realty
48.26
-0.76
-1.55%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
8.34
-0.84
-9.15%

Rexford Industrial Realty Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rexford Industrial Realty Appoints New Chairman
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Rexford Industrial Realty held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals were approved, including the election of directors and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, Tyler H. Rose was appointed as the new Chairman of the Board, succeeding Richard Ziman, who retired. Mr. Rose, with extensive experience in the real estate industry, has been an independent director since 2015 and will continue to contribute to the company’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (REXR) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rexford Industrial Realty stock, see the REXR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rexford Industrial Realty Secures $1.25 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. and its borrowing entity entered into a Fifth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America and other lenders, establishing a $1.25 billion revolving credit facility and a $700 million term loan facility. This agreement, which includes sustainability-linked pricing and various financial covenants, aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and support its strategic growth initiatives in the competitive industrial real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (REXR) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rexford Industrial Realty stock, see the REXR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rexford Industrial Realty Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Rexford Industrial Realty announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $68.3 million, an increase from the previous year. The company executed 2.4 million rentable square feet of new and renewal leases, with rental rates significantly increasing. The company also sold two properties, generating a substantial unlevered IRR. Rexford’s strong performance highlights its robust platform and strategic execution, positioning it well despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rexford Industrial Realty Chairman Announces Retirement
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Rexford Industrial Realty announced that Richard Ziman, the Chairman of the Board, will retire and not seek reelection at the 2025 annual meeting of stockholders. Following his retirement, the board will reduce its size to seven directors, with Ziman’s departure not stemming from any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025