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Eastgroup Properties (EGP)
NYSE:EGP
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Eastgroup Properties (EGP) AI Stock Analysis

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EGP

Eastgroup Properties

(NYSE:EGP)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$180.00
â–²(7.03% Upside)
Eastgroup Properties shows strong financial performance and strategic investments, which are major strengths. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the stock's valuation appears high. The earnings call provided a balanced view with both positive highlights and challenges.
Positive Factors
Credit Rating
Moody’s Ratings affirmed EastGroup’s issuer rating of Baa2 and changed its rating outlook from stable to positive, reflecting confidence in the company's financial health.
Financial Performance
EGP's operating portfolio is performing in line with or ahead of its expectations, showcasing positive financial performance.
Growth Opportunities
EastGroup Properties has raised its acquisition guidance to $160 million from $150 million, indicating potential growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Development Challenges
EGP lowered its 2025 development starts guidance from $250M to $215M, indicating slower progress in development activities.
Leasing Activity
Development leasing remains slower as tenants are taking longer to make larger capital commitments, affecting the speed of leasing activity.
Occupancy Concerns
Investors may focus on the expected occupancy decline in the third quarter and the reduction in development starts guidance, which may suggest slower leasing activity on the development pipeline.

Eastgroup Properties (EGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eastgroup Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEastgroup Properties (EGP) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the development and management of industrial properties, primarily focused on the logistics sector. The company operates throughout the United States, with a significant presence in key markets such as the Sunbelt region. EGP's core services include the acquisition, development, and leasing of industrial properties, catering to tenants in need of high-quality distribution facilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyEastgroup Properties generates revenue primarily through rental income derived from leasing its industrial properties to a diverse range of tenants, including logistics firms and e-commerce companies. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term lease agreements, which provide stable cash flow. Additionally, EGP benefits from property appreciation and strategic acquisitions that enhance its portfolio value. The company may also engage in development projects that create new properties for lease, further expanding its revenue streams. Key partnerships with logistics and distribution companies help ensure a steady demand for its properties, while its focus on high-growth markets supports sustained occupancy rates and rental growth.

Eastgroup Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with record FFO per share and solid leasing metrics. However, challenges such as slower development starts, elongated leasing decision-making for larger spaces, and market uncertainty due to tariffs were highlighted. The company's strong balance sheet and strategic investments in high-growth areas like Raleigh were key positives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record FFO Per Share
Funds from operations were $2.21 per share, up 7.8% for the quarter over the prior year, excluding involuntary conversions. This marks a long-term trend of over a decade where quarterly FFO per share has consistently exceeded the prior year's same quarter.
Strong Leasing Performance
Quarter-end leasing was 97.1% with occupancy at 96%. Average quarterly occupancy was 95.9%, despite a 110 basis points decrease from the second quarter of 2024. Re-leasing spreads were 44% GAAP and 30% cash, indicating strong lease renewals.
Diversified Tenant Base
The company has the most diversified rent roll in its sector with the top 10 tenants accounting for only 6.9% of rents, down 90 basis points from last year.
Solid Balance Sheet
Debt to total market capitalization was 14.2%, with an unadjusted debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.0x. The interest and fixed charge coverage increased to 16x, indicating strong financial health.
Strategic Investments
Invested $61 million in 2 new properties, raising market ownership in Raleigh to roughly 600,000 square feet, all near the growing Research Triangle Park.
Negative Updates
Decreased Development Starts
Lower development start projections from earlier in the year, reforecasting 2025 starts to $215 million with a lean towards the back end of the year.
Slower Large Space Leasing
Leasing of larger spaces has slowed, with prospects present but decision-making time elongated.
Impact of Tariff Uncertainty
Market uncertainty due to tariff discussions has delayed expansions and affected development leasing.
Occupancy Decrease
Average quarterly occupancy was down 110 basis points from the second quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the EastGroup Properties Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and insights into their performance and future expectations. Funds from operations (FFO) were reported at $2.21 per share, marking a 7.8% increase over the previous year, excluding involuntary conversions. The quarter-end leasing rate was 97.1% with occupancy at 96%, and average quarterly occupancy stood at 95.9%, although this was a decrease of 110 basis points compared to the second quarter of 2024. Re-leasing spreads achieved were 44% on a GAAP basis and 30% on a cash basis. Cash same-store net operating income (NOI) rose by 6.4% for the quarter. The company has diversified its rent roll, with its top 10 tenants now accounting for only 6.9% of rents, down 90 basis points from the previous year. Guidance for the third quarter projects FFO per share in the range of $2.22 to $2.30, with a year-end estimate of $8.89 to $9.03. The guidance includes assumptions of an average month-end occupancy between 95.3% to 96.1% and anticipates cash same-store growth of 6.5%, with a slight decrease in average occupancy due to the conversion of some development projects. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on leasing to maintain occupancy despite market uncertainties and its readiness to capitalize on development opportunities as demand stabilizes.

Eastgroup Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eastgroup Properties exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and a solid balance sheet. The company manages its leverage well and generates robust cash flows, positioning it favorably within the REIT - Industrial sector.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Eastgroup Properties has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.66%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, with a TTM gross profit margin of 65.3% and a net profit margin of 34.85%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 39.57% and 69.69%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, showing moderate leverage. The return on equity is 7.35%, which is reasonable for the industry. The equity ratio stands at 65.67%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Eastgroup Properties has shown strong cash flow performance, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of 9.81%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.08, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue676.89M638.53M566.40M487.02M409.48M363.02M
Gross Profit441.23M464.31M412.37M353.11M294.40M259.65M
EBITDA447.33M414.47M370.42M314.69M260.74M228.69M
Net Income236.54M227.75M200.49M186.18M157.56M108.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.19B5.08B4.52B4.04B3.22B2.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.92M17.53M40.26M56.00K4.39M21.00K
Total Debt1.49B1.55B1.70B1.88B1.48B1.32B
Total Liabilities1.78B1.78B1.91B2.08B1.64B1.45B
Stockholders Equity3.41B3.29B2.61B1.95B1.57B1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow453.91M416.59M338.20M275.65M223.19M163.15M
Operating Cash Flow453.91M416.59M338.20M316.50M256.49M196.28M
Investing Cash Flow-661.26M-724.34M-570.06M-521.15M-529.26M-288.26M
Financing Cash Flow200.87M285.02M272.06M200.31M277.14M91.77M

Eastgroup Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price168.17
Price Trends
50DMA
165.62
Positive
100DMA
165.80
Positive
200DMA
166.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Negative
RSI
54.46
Neutral
STOCH
46.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 168.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 165.39, above the 50-day MA of 165.62, and above the 200-day MA of 166.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EGP.

Eastgroup Properties Risk Analysis

Eastgroup Properties disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eastgroup Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eastgroup Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.10B23.526.85%3.32%22.17%40.80%
76
Outperform
$10.15B31.903.74%3.95%13.66%11.34%
74
Outperform
$7.13B25.5510.33%3.12%9.66%-4.60%
73
Outperform
$7.05B29.256.89%4.02%8.56%22.20%
70
Outperform
$8.97B36.277.66%3.33%11.22%-3.16%
69
Neutral
$2.71B33.074.15%5.87%6.64%210.89%
63
Neutral
$7.09B13.59-0.39%6.85%4.08%-25.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EGP
Eastgroup Properties
168.17
-12.00
-6.66%
STAG
Stag Industrial
36.96
-0.97
-2.56%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
59.08
-7.08
-10.70%
FR
First Industrial Realty
52.14
-2.55
-4.66%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
9.11
-0.39
-4.11%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
42.89
-4.92
-10.29%

Eastgroup Properties Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
EastGroup Properties Confirms Board and Auditor Decisions
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, EastGroup Properties, Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders, where the election of seven directors to the Board was confirmed, KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and the compensation of the Company’s named executive officers was approved on a non-binding advisory basis. These decisions reflect the company’s commitment to maintaining strong governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025