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LXP Industrial Trust (LXP)
NYSE:LXP

LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) AI Stock Analysis

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LXP

LXP Industrial Trust

(NYSE:LXP)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$56.00
â–²(15.46% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/13/26
The score is driven primarily by solid cash-flow resilience and a constructive earnings outlook (FFO growth, deleveraging, occupancy/leasing progress). Technicals also support the rating with price above major moving averages and positive momentum. Offsetting factors are uneven underlying profitability (negative 2025 EBITDA) and only fair valuation given the elevated P/E despite a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Stable cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow supports durable dividend coverage and internal capital allocation. Reliable cash conversion reduces reliance on external financing, enabling funding for development, dispositions and buybacks while cushioning cyclical leasing variability over the next 2–6 months.
Balance sheet deleveraging & liquidity
Material debt paydown, extended maturities and lower borrowing spreads materially reduce refinancing and interest-rate risk. Higher liquidity and an S&P outlook revision to positive improve capital flexibility, enabling disciplined dispositions, targeted development and opportunistic repurchases without stressing near-term solvency.
Leasing momentum & mark-to-market upside
High leasing volume, elevated occupancy and sizable cash mark-to-market gains indicate structural rent reversion potential. With in-place rents materially below market on expirations through 2030, the portfolio has a multi-year pipeline to lift NOI as leases roll and development stabilizes, supporting FFO durability.
Negative Factors
Operating profitability volatility
A negative 2025 EBITDA and collapsing operating profit point to earnings-quality risk: non-cash items or one-offs are masking operating weakness. This volatility undermines predictability of core cash returns and complicates assessment of sustainable FFO and dividend coverage across economic cycles.
Earnings drag from cash redeployment
While strategic, excess cash and planned redeployment into a multi-year Phoenix development suppress near-term yield and FFO. Capital tied to development will take time to stabilize (projected completion 2027), creating a temporary earnings headwind and execution risk before projected higher yields materialize.
Leasing execution friction & known vacancies
Slower deal conversions and specific known move-outs (including a 121k and a 230k sq ft lease expiration) create vacancy and CapEx needs (Tampa requires renovations). Prolonged leasing cycles increase downtime and concessions, pressuring same-store NOI and delaying mark-to-market capture.

LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LXP Industrial Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLexington Realty Trust (NYSE: LXP) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns a portfolio of real estate assets consisting primarily of equity investments in single-tenant net-leased industrial properties across the United States. Lexington seeks to expand its industrial portfolio through build-to-suit transactions, sale-leaseback transactions and other transactions, including acquisitions.
How the Company Makes MoneyLXP Industrial Trust generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to tenants under long-term, net lease agreements. These leases typically require tenants to cover property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, allowing LXP to collect a significant portion of the rent as profit. The company's revenue model is bolstered by its focus on high-quality properties in strategic locations, which attract stable, creditworthy tenants. Additionally, LXP may realize earnings through property dispositions or acquisitions, capitalizing on favorable market conditions. Strategic partnerships with real estate brokers and investment firms can also enhance LXP's ability to identify and secure lucrative property deals, contributing further to its revenue streams.

LXP Industrial Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes meaningful progress on strategic priorities—material deleveraging, occupancy gains, strong leasing volume with significant mark-to-market upside, disciplined dispositions, and an active development pipeline (notably the Phoenix project). Operational headwinds are relatively modest: same-store NOI was slightly below prior guidance due to a small expense leakage and lower same-store occupancy, some execution friction on converting RFP activity into signed deals, a couple of known move-outs (one of which is assumed vacant in 2026), and a conservative credit loss/time-lag impact from holding cash and redeploying proceeds into development. Taken together, the positives (balance sheet improvement, leasing/occupancy momentum, FFO growth guidance, development economics and disposition execution) materially outweigh the limited near-term drags and execution challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Balance Sheet Strength and Deleveraging
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA reduced from 5.9x to 4.9x; repaid approximately $220,000,000 of debt in 2025 (including $140,000,000 of 6.75% senior notes); recast $600,000,000 revolver and $250,000,000 term loan extending maturities to Jan 2030 and Jan 2029 and reducing interest costs; S&P revised outlook to positive; cash on hand approximately $170,000,000.
Occupancy Gains
Portfolio occupancy increased by 350 basis points year-over-year to 97.1% (from 93.6% at year-end 2024), driven largely by successful outcomes at three big-box development properties.
Strong Leasing Activity and Mark-to-Market Results
Leased nearly 5,000,000 square feet in 2025 with attractive mark-to-market outcomes of ~28% on a cash basis (excluding fixed rate renewals); in Q4 leased over 2,000,000 square feet with base and cash-based rental increases of ~27% and ~23% respectively (excluding fixed rate renewals).
FFO Performance and 2026 Guidance
Adjusted company FFO of $0.79 per diluted share in Q4 (~$47,000,000) and $3.15 per diluted share for full-year 2025 (~$187,000,000); 2026 adjusted company FFO guidance range of $3.22 to $3.37 per share (midpoint ~4.6% growth over 2025).
Disciplined Dispositions and Capital Redeployment
Total disposition volume for 2025 of $389,000,000 (including $116,000,000 in Q4) at an average cash capitalization rate of 5.7% on stabilized assets; sale of Indianapolis and Ocala development properties implied ~5% cap and realized ~20% premium to cost basis; proceeds primarily used to reduce high-coupon debt; repurchased ~277,000 shares at an average $49.47.
Successful Development Program and Phoenix Project
Since 2019 developed 15 facilities at a 7.1% weighted average stabilized yield on first-generation leases and generated $91,000,000 in proceeds above cost; development program 98% leased or sold at year-end. Announcing Phoenix spec project: initial build (approximate $120,000,000 budget), expected completion in 2027, projected stabilized cash yield 7.0%–7.5%, benefiting from lower construction costs (~$20/sq ft below prior market peak for 1,000,000 sq ft spec).
Redevelopment Pipeline
600,000 square feet of redevelopment in Orlando and Richmond progressing; Richmond expected Q2 2026 and Orlando Q3 2026, with projected yields on cost in the low teens.
Compelling Mark-to-Market Upside
Management reports in-place rents for leases expiring through 2030 and second-generation vacancy roughly 16% below market (brokers' estimate), indicating substantial mark-to-market potential as leases rollover.
Negative Updates
Same-Store NOI Growth Miss and Occupancy Drag
Full-year same-store NOI growth of 2.9% (Q4 same-store NOI flat) came in slightly below prior guidance (3.0%–3.5%); same-store occupancy declined to 97.3% from 99.5% a year earlier, contributing to the slowdown.
Property Expense Leakage
A roughly $200,000 variance versus guidance was driven by marginally higher property expense leakage across about six properties (some vacant properties carrying full OpEx burden and some leased properties with expense caps triggering unbudgeted passthroughs).
Leasing Execution Friction on Vacancies
Management described robust RFP and tour activity but difficulty closing transactions; several vacancies remain and deals are taking longer to finalize, constraining near-term same-store NOI upside.
Known Move-Outs and Vacancy Assumptions
Two known 2026 move-outs: 121,000 sq ft at a multi-tenant Greenville–Spartanburg facility (expired in January) and a 230,000 sq ft Tampa facility scheduled to expire in the month of the call. Tampa is assumed vacant for 2026 in guidance and will require renovations (including rail) before achieving an expected rent increase of 10%–20%.
Fixed-Rate Renewals and Compressed Rent Spreads
Several large fixed-rate renewals with low escalators (1.5%–2.5%) moderated headline mark-to-market and renewal spread contributions; management noted fixed-rate renewals reduced reported MTM uplift, and when adjusted the implied MTM is lower (~14.5% in a specific reconciliation).
Cash Balances Weighing on Near-Term Earnings
Management acknowledged that holding approximately $170,000,000 in cash is currently a drag on earnings, even though liquidity is viewed as strategic for near-term land/development optionality.
Modest Credit Loss Assumption and Guidance Conservatism
Guidance includes a $500,000 credit loss at the low end for 2026 (management had zero credit loss in 2025), reflecting prudence around sector-specific distress; 2026 FFO guidance also does not assume additional dispositions beyond known sales and treats proceeds redeployed into Phoenix development as a near-term drag on earnings.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 adjusted company FFO of $3.22–$3.37 per common share (about 4.6% growth at the midpoint versus 2025 adjusted FFO of $3.15), assuming Q4 disposition proceeds are redeployed into the Phoenix development and with no other dispositions or investment activity included; same‑store NOI is projected at 1.5%–2.5% (midpoint 2%), composed of roughly +3.25% from contractual escalators/renewals (contractual bumps ~2.8%) offset by a −1.25% vacancy/concession drag, with average same‑store occupancy assumed at 96%–97% (vs just over 97% in 2025). The low end of the FFO and same‑store guidance includes $500,000 of credit loss, G&A is expected to be $39M–$41M, and the outlook reflects a strong balance sheet (net debt to adjusted EBITDA 4.9x) and portfolio dynamics (in‑place rents ~16% below market on expirations through 2030).

LXP Industrial Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and consistently positive operating cash flow/free cash flow supports stability, but profitability quality is mixed: 2025 shows very weak operating profit and negative EBITDA despite higher net income. Balance sheet appears historically reasonable, yet the 2025 debt discontinuity reduces confidence in trend assessment.
Income Statement
53
Neutral
Revenue has been relatively stable over the cycle but has softened recently, with 2025 revenue down about 4% year over year after modest growth in 2023–2024. Profitability is volatile: net income improved sharply in 2025, but operating profit collapsed (very low EBIT) and 2025 EBITDA is negative, which is a meaningful quality-of-earnings red flag versus prior years where operating profitability looked solid. Overall, the top line is steady, but earnings consistency and operating performance are uneven.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Leverage looked moderate in 2020–2024 (debt-to-equity roughly in the 0.6–0.75 range), consistent with a typical REIT capital structure, and equity remains sizeable. 2025 shows total debt reported as zero, which is a major swing versus prior years and suggests either a significant deleveraging event or data inconsistency—either way it makes trend interpretation less reliable. Asset base and equity are large relative to revenue, supporting balance-sheet capacity, but returns on equity have been low in most years outside of outliers.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow have been consistently positive across the period. In 2024, operating cash flow covered net income by about 1.6x and free cash flow was close to net income, indicating solid earnings-to-cash conversion; 2023 was similarly strong. The main weakness is growth: free cash flow declined in 2025 (down ~16%) after being roughly flat in 2024, pointing to some recent pressure despite still-healthy absolute cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue350.23M358.46M340.50M321.25M344.00M
Gross Profit-107.40M105.08M98.58M85.81M119.54M
EBITDA373.98M257.96M272.32M227.57M260.79M
Net Income113.16M44.53M30.38M113.78M382.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.54B3.84B4.19B4.05B4.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments170.39M101.84M329.39M54.39M190.93M
Total Debt1.37B1.46B1.66B1.39B1.40B
Total Liabilities1.49B1.72B1.93B1.66B1.68B
Stockholders Equity2.04B2.10B2.23B2.35B2.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow163.81M193.41M191.51M161.71M205.14M
Operating Cash Flow188.72M211.19M209.45M194.27M220.35M
Investing Cash Flow298.20M86.40M-183.45M-236.92M-337.76M
Financing Cash Flow-418.34M-394.98M118.96M-93.87M129.10M

LXP Industrial Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price48.50
Price Trends
50DMA
49.88
Negative
100DMA
48.53
Negative
200DMA
45.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
44.27
Neutral
STOCH
27.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LXP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 48.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.50, below the 50-day MA of 49.88, and above the 200-day MA of 45.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LXP.

LXP Industrial Trust Risk Analysis

LXP Industrial Trust disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LXP Industrial Trust reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LXP Industrial Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.84B16.8010.28%3.38%21.13%74.37%
71
Outperform
$7.30B26.167.75%4.02%9.62%31.08%
68
Neutral
$2.83B26.385.45%5.33%6.98%465.32%
67
Neutral
$8.25B32.379.27%2.98%9.66%-23.17%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$8.63B43.242.50%4.30%10.27%15.25%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
48.50
7.27
17.64%
STAG
Stag Industrial
39.25
5.13
15.04%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
65.73
0.97
1.49%
FR
First Industrial Realty
62.00
7.30
13.34%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
37.27
-1.66
-4.27%

LXP Industrial Trust Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresStock Split
LXP Industrial Trust Highlights Strong Quarter and Balance Sheet
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

LXP Industrial Trust reported fourth-quarter 2025 net income attributable to common shareholders of $27.1 million, or $0.46 per diluted share, and Adjusted Company FFO of $47.0 million, or $0.79 per diluted share, with full-year 2025 net income of $106.5 million and Adjusted Company FFO of $187.3 million. The trust lifted same-store NOI by 2.9% for 2025, raised stabilized portfolio occupancy to 97.1% and completed 3.8 million square feet of second-generation leases and extensions, driving base and cash base rent increases of nearly 30% excluding fixed-rate renewals.

Operationally, LXP executed 2.1 million square feet of new leases and extensions in the fourth quarter, leased a 1.1 million square foot development at an initial cash base rent of $5.50 per square foot and commenced redevelopment of two warehouse facilities totaling 603,000 square feet in Central Florida and Richmond, Virginia. The trust also acquired a $30 million Atlanta warehouse, disposed of 11 non-core facilities for $389.1 million, reduced net debt to Adjusted EBITDA to 4.9x through $218.1 million of debt repayments and completed a 1-for-5 reverse stock split on November 10, 2025.

Further strengthening its balance sheet and capital flexibility, LXP repaid $140 million of 6.75% senior notes due 2028, extended maturities and lowered pricing on its $600 million unsecured revolver and $250 million term loan, and repurchased about 277,000 common shares in December 2025 and January 2026. The company maintained regular common and preferred dividends tied to the quarter ended December 31, 2025, while management highlighted that the year’s leasing momentum, property sales and market exits have positioned LXP to focus in 2026 on strategic capital deployment, opportunistic share repurchases and further leasing of remaining vacancies.

The most recent analyst rating on (LXP) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LXP Industrial Trust stock, see the LXP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
LXP Industrial Trust Expands Credit Facility, Refinances Term Loan
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 13–14, 2026, LXP Industrial Trust closed a $600 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility that amends and restates its prior revolver, extending the maturity to January 31, 2030 with extension options while lowering the interest margin to SOFR plus 77.5 basis points and reducing the facility fee to 15 basis points. The company also refinanced its $250 million unsecured term loan with an initial maturity of January 31, 2029 and two one-year extension options, cutting pricing to SOFR plus 85 basis points; management said the transactions extend LXP’s debt maturity profile, reduce interest costs and strengthen its balance sheet following 2025 leverage reduction and a recent S&P Global Ratings outlook revision to positive, enhancing financial flexibility for the industrial REIT and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LXP) stock is a Buy with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LXP Industrial Trust stock, see the LXP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026