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Realty Income (O)
NYSE:O
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Realty Income (O) AI Stock Analysis

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O

Realty Income

(NYSE:O)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(12.86% Upside)
Realty Income's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic investments and high occupancy rates contribute positively. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which slightly tempers the overall score. Technical indicators support a moderately bullish outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
Realty Income has a great track record for performance in recessions, and has a good chance of outperforming in another economic downturn.
Investment Activity
Realty Income Corporation's investments are running ahead of schedule, which has led to their guidance being reiterated.
Valuation
The company believes their platform of $80bn of EV with ~16k properties and over 500 employees in 8 countries is undervalued in the public market.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
Realty Income's initial FY25 AFFO/sh guidance implies just 1.4% growth, falling short of consensus and peers' growth profiles.
Interest Costs
Interest cost headwinds are limiting AFFO per share growth in the estimated years ahead.
Tenant Concentration
Tenant concentrations are increasing, with Realty Income deriving more than a quarter of its rents from C-stores, grocers, and dollar stores, raising concerns about diversification.

Realty Income (O) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Realty Income Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRealty Income, The Monthly Dividend Company, is an S&P 500 company dedicated to providing stockholders with dependable monthly income. The company is structured as a REIT, and its monthly dividends are supported by the cash flow from over 6,500 real estate properties owned under long-term lease agreements with our commercial clients. To date, the company has declared 608 consecutive common stock monthly dividends throughout its 52-year operating history and increased the dividend 109 times since Realty Income's public listing in 1994 (NYSE: O). The company is a member of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats index. Additional information about the company can be obtained from the corporate website at www.realtyincome.com.
How the Company Makes MoneyRealty Income generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its properties to tenants under long-term net lease agreements. In these arrangements, tenants are responsible for paying property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, which allows Realty Income to collect rent without incurring significant operating costs. The company focuses on acquiring high-quality, single-tenant properties with creditworthy tenants, which helps ensure reliable and consistent rental income. Additionally, Realty Income often engages in sale-leaseback transactions where it purchases properties from companies and leases them back, creating immediate cash flow. The company's diversified portfolio and strategic acquisitions contribute to its earnings, while its commitment to providing monthly dividends to shareholders enhances its appeal as an income-generating investment.

Realty Income Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Rental Revenue Breakdown
Rental Revenue Breakdown
Analyzes revenue streams from various property types, providing insight into income stability and growth opportunities in different market segments.
Chart InsightsRealty Income's rental revenue has shown robust growth, particularly in the Retail and Industrial segments, reflecting strategic expansion and high occupancy rates. The recent earnings call highlights a strong AFFO growth and a high investment yield, despite a slight decline in occupancy and challenges in the US market. The company's focus on European investments and a diversified portfolio supports its resilience against market uncertainties. The strategic implications of these trends suggest continued revenue growth, driven by a well-capitalized balance sheet and effective portfolio management.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Realty Income Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong sourcing volume, strategic investments in Europe, and increased guidance for 2025, showcasing positive business momentum. However, heightened selectivity in sourcing and increased rent loss expectations were noted as challenges. Despite these lowlights, the overall sentiment remains favorable due to strategic achievements and high occupancy rates.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sourcing Volume
Realty Income sourced $43 billion in volumes for Q2 2025, matching their total source volume from all of 2024 and marking the highest quarterly volume in company history.
Strong European Investment
76% of Q2 investment volume was in Europe, totaling $889 million at a 7.3% weighted average initial cash yield, highlighting the strategic focus on European markets.
Increased 2025 Guidance
The company raised its 2025 investment volume guidance to approximately $5 billion and increased the low end of its AFFO per share guidance to $4.24 to $4.28.
High Portfolio Occupancy
Portfolio occupancy ended the quarter at 98.6%, higher than the historical median of 98.2% from 2010 to 2024.
Strong Rent Recapture Rate
The rent recapture rate across 346 leases was 103.4%, with 93% of leasing activity generated from renewals by existing clients.
Negative Updates
Increased Rent Loss Expectation
2025 outlook includes approximately 75 basis points of potential rent loss, higher than historical experience, mainly due to certain tenants acquired through public M&A transactions.
High Selectivity in Sourcing
Although $43 billion was sourced, only less than 3% was closed, indicating a high level of selectivity due to yield constraints.
Challenges with At Home Bankruptcy
Following At Home's Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing in mid-June, challenges remain in resolving lease agreements constructively.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Realty Income reported strong investment activity with $1.2 billion globally at a 7.2% weighted average initial cash yield, achieving a spread of 181 basis points over its short-term weighted average cost of capital. The investments had a weighted average lease term of approximately 15.2 years. The company sourced $43 billion in volumes, resulting in a selectivity ratio of less than 3%, matching its highest quarterly volume ever. Year-to-date, Realty Income has sourced approximately $66 billion, with 57% domestically and the remainder in Europe. The company expanded into its eighth European country, Poland, with a significant portion of investment in Europe totaling $889 million at a 7.3% yield. In the U.S., Realty Income invested $282 million at a 7% yield. The portfolio ended the quarter with 98.6% occupancy, and the rent recapture rate across 346 leases stood at 103.4%. For 2025, the company raised its investment volume guidance to approximately $5 billion and increased the low end of its AFFO per share guidance to $4.24 to $4.28.

Realty Income Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Realty Income exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage and a strong equity position.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Realty Income shows strong financial performance with robust growth in total revenue, which increased from $3.34 billion in 2022 to $5.39 billion in TTM. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of approximately 92.7% and a solid EBIT margin of 44.4% in TTM. Net profit margin improved to 18.1%, indicating healthy profitability. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 2.28%, suggesting steady expansion.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company exhibits a stable balance sheet with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71, reflecting manageable leverage levels. Realty Income's equity ratio stands at 55.9%, indicating a strong equity base relative to its assets. Return on equity improved to 2.51% in TTM, signaling effective use of shareholder funds despite being on the lower side.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Realty Income demonstrates robust cash flow management with operating cash flow of $3.58 billion in TTM, consistently covering its free cash flow needs. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to profits. The company maintains a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash conversion from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.46B5.27B4.08B3.34B2.08B1.65B
Gross Profit4.34B4.89B3.76B1.45B1.95B1.55B
EBITDA4.28B4.33B3.60B2.93B1.85B1.55B
Net Income915.83M860.77M872.31M869.41M359.46M395.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.42B68.84B57.78B49.67B43.14B20.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments800.45M444.96M232.92M171.10M258.58M824.48M
Total Debt28.87B26.76B21.99B18.60B15.95B8.94B
Total Liabilities32.06B29.78B24.67B20.83B18.01B9.72B
Stockholders Equity39.15B38.84B32.94B28.71B25.05B10.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.64B3.57B2.96B2.56B1.30B1.11B
Operating Cash Flow3.66B3.57B2.96B2.56B1.32B1.12B
Investing Cash Flow-4.78B-3.34B-9.35B-8.39B-6.44B-2.03B
Financing Cash Flow1.47B-21.16M6.44B5.74B4.58B1.69B

Realty Income Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.48
Price Trends
50DMA
57.01
Positive
100DMA
56.18
Positive
200DMA
55.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
62.01
Neutral
STOCH
91.23
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For O, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.23, above the 50-day MA of 57.01, and above the 200-day MA of 55.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.23 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for O.

Realty Income Risk Analysis

Realty Income disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Realty Income reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Realty Income Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$25.90B33.165.99%3.92%5.66%2.98%
77
Outperform
$14.33B25.535.63%4.67%10.46%56.11%
77
Outperform
$52.87B56.412.35%5.46%15.45%-5.00%
74
Outperform
$8.14B23.7711.04%4.69%6.00%15.77%
73
Outperform
$7.77B19.569.18%5.66%4.82%-5.18%
73
Outperform
$64.95B24.3779.83%4.82%3.36%-10.55%
63
Neutral
$6.83B13.32-1.02%7.20%3.66%-22.87%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
O
Realty Income
58.48
0.90
1.56%
KIM
Kimco Realty
21.21
-0.13
-0.61%
NNN
National Retail Properties
41.32
-2.17
-4.99%
REG
Regency Centers
71.02
3.13
4.61%
SPG
Simon Property
173.28
21.10
13.87%
FRT
Federal Realty
93.85
-14.40
-13.30%

Realty Income Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Realty Income Updates Federal Tax Considerations
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

Realty Income Corporation has updated its United States federal income tax considerations, replacing previous discussions in their prospectus and supplements. This update is significant for stakeholders as it outlines the company’s continued qualification and operation as a REIT, which impacts their tax obligations and investment attractiveness. The changes reflect the complex and evolving nature of tax regulations affecting REITs, highlighting the importance of compliance with federal tax laws to maintain favorable tax treatment.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Realty Income Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Realty Income Corporation announced its operating results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025. The company reported a net income of $196.9 million for the quarter, with an AFFO per share of $1.05. Realty Income invested $1.2 billion during the second quarter, with a substantial portion of investments in Europe, and increased its 2025 investment guidance to approximately $5.0 billion. The company achieved a rent recapture rate of 103.4% on re-leased properties and announced its 111th consecutive quarterly dividend increase. Realty Income’s portfolio occupancy was at 98.6% as of June 30, 2025, demonstrating its strong operational performance and strategic positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Realty Income Updates Term Loan Agreements
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Realty Income Corporation announced amendments to its existing term loan agreements with Wells Fargo and Toronto Dominion, aligning them with its recently updated credit agreement. These amendments involve a $300 million term loan due in 2025 and a $500 million term loan due in 2027, as well as multi-currency loans allowing up to $1.5 billion in borrowings, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Realty Income Closes €1.3 Billion Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Realty Income Corporation successfully closed its offering of €650 million in 3.375% Notes due 2031 and another €650 million in 3.875% Notes due 2035. This financial maneuver, facilitated by major financial institutions, is expected to bolster the company’s capital structure and enhance its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Realty Income Announces €1.3 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Realty Income Corporation announced a purchase agreement to issue and sell €650 million of 3.375% Notes due 2031 and €650 million of 3.875% Notes due 2035 to a group of underwriters. The offering is expected to close on June 20, 2025, subject to customary conditions, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Realty Income Reports Strong Liquidity Position
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Realty Income Corporation provided updates on its capital raising and liquidity status, revealing a liquidity position of $4.6 billion as of June 6, 2025. This includes cash and cash equivalents, unsettled ATM forward equity, and availability under its credit facilities, indicating a strong financial position to support its operations and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025