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Realty Income (O)
NYSE:O

Realty Income (O) AI Stock Analysis

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O

Realty Income

(NYSE:O)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$65.00
▲(7.05% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high profitability and solid cash generation) and a constructive earnings outlook (raised investment and AFFO guidance with very high occupancy). Technicals are neutral with little momentum, while valuation is the main drag due to a high P/E despite the strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Realty Income efficiently converts net income into free cash flow, with OCF well above net income and positive FCF growth. This durable cash generation underpins monthly dividends, funds acquisitions and debt service, and provides financial flexibility across the next several quarters.
Portfolio Occupancy & Rent Pricing
Very high occupancy and a rent recapture rate above 100% reflect low vacancy, strong renewal demand and pricing power on turnovers. With 87% leasing from renewals, this supports stable rental cash flow, reduces downtime and leasing costs, and sustains AFFO and dividend coverage.
Acquisition Momentum & Geographic Diversification
Shifting acquisition focus to Europe, where yields and addressable market are favorable, diversifies revenue and access to higher spreads. Increased investment guidance signals the ability to deploy capital at attractive yields, supporting longer-term income growth and portfolio resilience.
Negative Factors
U.S. Acquisition Competition
Intense private-capital competition in the U.S. can compress acquisition yields and raise purchase prices, forcing Realty Income to accept lower spreads or chase assets. Over months this reduces prospective yields on new investments and limits margin expansion from portfolio growth.
Tenant Credit Risk
A meaningful share of rents on credit watch and an assumed ~75bp credit loss indicate persistent tenant stress risk. Realized losses or higher provisions would erode AFFO and distributable income, pressuring dividend coverage and capital deployment flexibility in the medium term.
Convertible Notes & Capital-Structure Complexity
The sizable convertible issuance boosts liquidity but adds conversion and dilution risk along with structural complexity. Future conversions would increase share count, while coupon and redemption mechanics constrain flexibility, potentially weighing on per-share metrics and shareholder returns over time.

Realty Income (O) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Realty Income Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRealty Income, The Monthly Dividend Company, is an S&P 500 company dedicated to providing stockholders with dependable monthly income. The company is structured as a REIT, and its monthly dividends are supported by the cash flow from over 6,500 real estate properties owned under long-term lease agreements with our commercial clients. To date, the company has declared 608 consecutive common stock monthly dividends throughout its 52-year operating history and increased the dividend 109 times since Realty Income's public listing in 1994 (NYSE: O). The company is a member of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats index. Additional information about the company can be obtained from the corporate website at www.realtyincome.com.
How the Company Makes MoneyRealty Income generates revenue primarily through rental income derived from its long-term lease agreements with tenants. The company employs a strategy of acquiring properties that are leased to high-quality tenants on a net lease basis, where the tenant is responsible for property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance. This model allows Realty Income to receive a predictable and stable cash flow, which is then distributed to shareholders in the form of monthly dividends. Additionally, the company may benefit from rental escalations built into lease agreements, providing an increase in rental income over time. Realty Income also engages in selective property acquisitions and dispositions, allowing it to manage its portfolio actively and optimize returns. Key partnerships with reputable national and regional tenants further enhance its revenue stability and growth potential.

Realty Income Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Changes in Occupancy
Changes in Occupancy
Tracks fluctuations in occupancy rates, reflecting demand for properties and potential impacts on rental income.
Chart InsightsRealty Income's occupancy trends show a strong upward trajectory, with properties available for lease increasing significantly since 2023. This aligns with their strategic European investments and high occupancy rates, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. Despite challenges like increased rent loss expectations and high selectivity in sourcing, the company's focus on strategic markets and high rent recapture rates indicate robust operational health. The raised investment volume guidance for 2025 further underscores confidence in sustained growth and resilience in the face of market challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Realty Income Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in terms of investment activity, particularly in Europe, and successful debt management. However, the increased competition in the U.S. market and reliance on one-time lease termination income are notable concerns. Despite these lowlights, the highlights such as increased investment guidance and high portfolio occupancy suggest a generally positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Investment Activity
Realty Income invested $1.4 billion globally at a 7.7% weighted average initial cash yield, bringing the total year-to-date investment volume to over $3.9 billion. This surpasses the total investment volume of 2024.
Strong European Market Performance
72% of the investment volume was in Europe at an 8% weighted average initial cash yield, driven by a fragmented competitive landscape and a larger total addressable market than the U.S.
High Portfolio Occupancy and Rent Recapture
The portfolio ended the quarter with 98.7% occupancy and a rent recapture rate of 103.5% across 284 leases, with 87% of leasing activity from renewals.
Increased Investment Volume Guidance
The 2025 investment volume guidance has been increased from $5 billion to approximately $5.5 billion, reflecting continued momentum in the acquisitions pipeline.
Successful Debt Management
Closed on an $800 million dual-tranche unsecured debt offering with a blended tenor of 5.3 years and a weighted average yield to maturity of 4.4%.
Negative Updates
Increased Competition in U.S. Market
Heightened competition from private equity and other private capital, making U.S. investments more challenging compared to Europe.
Lease Termination Income Impact
Recognized $27.3 million or approximately $0.03 per share of lease termination income, which is one-time in nature and may not be sustainable.
Credit Watch List and Bad Debt
Credit watch list remains at 4.6% of annualized base rent, with potential credit loss of approximately 75 basis points factored into guidance.
Company Guidance
During the Realty Income Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and updates. Realty Income reported that its global investment volume for the quarter reached $1.4 billion, with a weighted average initial cash yield of 7.7%, resulting in a spread of approximately 220 basis points over its short-term weighted average cost of capital. The total year-to-date investment volume was over $3.9 billion, exceeding the total investment volume of 2024, excluding the Spirit merger. The company highlighted its European investments, which accounted for $1 billion or 72% of the quarterly investment volume at an 8% cash yield, driven by favorable risk-adjusted opportunities compared to the U.S. Realty Income increased its 2025 investment volume guidance to approximately $5.5 billion, citing continued acquisition momentum. The company also raised the low end of its AFFO per share guidance to a range of $4.25 to $4.27, while anticipating approximately 75 basis points of potential credit loss. Portfolio occupancy at the end of the quarter was 98.7%, with a rent recapture rate of 103.5% across 284 leases. The company remained active in portfolio optimization, selling 140 properties for $215 million, including 18 convenience store properties for approximately $55 million. Their balance sheet remained strong, with net debt to annualized pro forma EBITDA at 5.4x and $3.5 billion in liquidity.

Realty Income Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Realty Income demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and high profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage and a strong equity base, though ROE could be improved. Cash flow metrics indicate robust cash generation and effective financial management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Realty Income has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.56%. The company maintains strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 92.56% and a solid net profit margin of 17.18%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 39.07% and 83.61% respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased from previous years, which could be a point of concern.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 54.78%, showcasing a strong equity base. Return on equity is modest at 2.47%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Realty Income's cash flow is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 2.78% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.39, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, reflecting effective conversion of net income into free cash flow. The company shows a solid cash flow position, supporting its operational and financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.60B5.27B4.08B3.34B2.08B1.65B
Gross Profit5.18B4.89B3.76B3.12B1.95B1.54B
EBITDA4.35B4.33B3.60B2.98B1.85B1.38B
Net Income962.12M860.77M872.31M869.41M359.46M395.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.28B68.84B57.78B49.67B43.14B20.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments417.17M444.96M232.92M171.10M258.58M824.48M
Total Debt28.90B26.76B21.99B18.60B15.95B8.94B
Total Liabilities32.02B29.78B24.67B20.83B18.01B9.72B
Stockholders Equity39.05B38.84B32.94B28.71B25.05B10.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.76B3.57B2.96B2.56B1.30B1.11B
Operating Cash Flow3.76B3.57B2.96B2.56B1.32B1.12B
Investing Cash Flow-5.32B-3.34B-9.35B-8.39B-6.44B-2.03B
Financing Cash Flow1.55B-21.16M6.44B5.74B4.58B1.69B

Realty Income Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.72
Price Trends
50DMA
57.21
Positive
100DMA
57.93
Positive
200DMA
56.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.68
Negative
RSI
71.19
Negative
STOCH
98.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For O, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.63, above the 50-day MA of 57.21, and above the 200-day MA of 56.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.19 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for O.

Realty Income Risk Analysis

Realty Income disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Realty Income reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Realty Income Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.84B25.8710.92%4.38%6.05%14.70%
75
Outperform
$55.86B56.762.48%5.64%11.23%1.82%
70
Outperform
$12.78B31.956.07%4.15%5.38%3.13%
70
Outperform
$59.52B25.0790.26%4.56%4.18%-5.05%
69
Neutral
$14.07B24.935.68%5.02%7.99%55.05%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$7.98B24.1411.36%4.41%6.07%-0.28%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
O
Realty Income
60.72
8.24
15.70%
KIM
Kimco Realty
20.78
-0.47
-2.22%
REG
Regency Centers
69.85
0.74
1.07%
SPG
Simon Property
182.31
16.57
10.00%
FRT
Federal Realty
101.80
0.18
0.18%
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.07
0.91
3.60%

Realty Income Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Completes Convertible Notes Offering and Share Buyback
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Realty Income Corporation closed a private offering of $862.5 million aggregate principal amount of 3.500% convertible senior notes due 2029, including the full exercise of a $112.5 million option granted to initial purchasers. The senior unsecured notes, issued under Rule 144A to qualified institutional buyers, carry semi-annual interest payments, defined conversion rights into common stock at an initial conversion price of about $69.42 per share, and customary provisions for redemption, repurchase upon fundamental change, and events of default. The transaction generated approximately $845.5 million in net proceeds, of which about $101.9 million was used concurrently to repurchase roughly 1.8 million shares of Realty Income’s common stock in privately negotiated deals, with the remainder earmarked for general corporate purposes including refinancing existing debt, funding property development and acquisitions, and other balance-sheet and portfolio management initiatives, reinforcing the company’s capital flexibility and capacity for continued expansion of its global net-lease portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Prices $750 Million Convertible Senior Notes
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Realty Income Corporation announced it had priced a private offering of $750 million in 3.500% convertible senior notes due 2029 to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A, with settlement expected on January 8, 2026 and an option for initial purchasers to buy up to an additional $112.5 million of notes. The notes, which are senior unsecured obligations, carry a conversion premium of about 20% over Realty Income’s January 5, 2026 share price, include limited conversion and redemption features, and provide protections for noteholders in the event of certain fundamental changes. Realty Income expects to generate approximately $735 million in net proceeds (or about $845.5 million if the option is fully exercised) and plans to use the majority for general corporate purposes such as refinancing existing debt, funding property development and acquisitions, and potential business combinations, while allocating around $102.1 million to repurchase roughly 1.8 million shares of its common stock in concurrent privately negotiated transactions, which could influence the stock’s trading dynamics and the economics of the notes.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Announces Convertible Notes Offering and Liquidity Moves
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Realty Income reported that during the fourth quarter of 2025 it invested approximately $2.4 billion across properties, developments, unconsolidated entities, preferred equity and loans, at an initial weighted average cash yield of about 7%, underscoring its continued expansion in income-generating real estate. As of January 2, 2026, the company held $3.7 billion in liquidity, combining cash, unsettled at-the-market forward equity and undrawn capacity on its revolving credit facilities after commercial paper and revolver borrowings, and it also announced a proposed private offering of $750 million in convertible senior notes due 2029, with an option for an additional $112.5 million, to bolster financial flexibility, refinance near-term debt, fund property investments and support share repurchases, potentially affecting its capital structure and the trading dynamics of its common stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Boosts 2025 Investment Guidance to $6B
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Realty Income Corporation announced an increase in its 2025 investment volume guidance to over $6.0 billion, up from the previous estimate of $5.5 billion. The company also revealed a definitive agreement with Blackstone Real Estate for an $800 million preferred equity investment in the CityCenter real estate in Las Vegas. This strategic move, expected to close on December 9, 2025, aims to enhance Realty Income’s portfolio with a favorable yield and IRR profile, further expanding its investment pipeline and strengthening its position in the real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Secures £900 Million Term Loan
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Realty Income Corporation announced the closure of a £900 million Sterling-denominated unsecured term loan, maturing in January 2028, with an option for a one-year extension. The proceeds will refinance existing Sterling-denominated borrowings, enhancing financial flexibility. The loan, supported by multiple financial institutions, offers a borrowing rate of 80 basis points over the SONIA rate, with interest rate swaps fixing the rate at 4.3% over the initial term. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to bolster Realty Income’s global platform and address upcoming loan maturities with a lower fixed rate.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Announces New Stock Sales Agreement
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Realty Income Corporation announced a new sales agreement with multiple financial institutions to offer and sell up to 150 million shares of its common stock. This strategic move, which replaces a previous sales program, aims to raise funds for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment, property development, and potential acquisitions, thereby enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Realty Income Corporation announced its operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. The company reported a net income of $315.8 million for the quarter, with significant investments totaling $1.4 billion at a 7.7% yield. Realty Income also issued $800 million in senior unsecured notes in October 2025. The company achieved a 103.5% rent recapture rate on re-leased properties, demonstrating effective asset management and portfolio stability. With a strong performance and expanded investment opportunities, Realty Income updated its 2025 AFFO per share guidance to $4.25 – $4.27 and investment volume guidance to approximately $5.5 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (O) stock is a Buy with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Realty Income stock, see the O Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026