tiprankstipranks
Realty Income Corporation (O)
NYSE:O
Want to see O full AI Analyst Report?

Realty Income (O) AI Stock Analysis

19,335 Followers

Top Page

O

Realty Income

(NYSE:O)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$68.00
â–²(4.47% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
O scores as moderately attractive, led by solid financial quality (strong and improving cash generation despite higher leverage) and a positive earnings update (AFFO growth and raised 2026 guidance with strong liquidity). Offsetting factors are a high P/E that weakens valuation and mixed technicals showing near-term softness.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Realty Income’s operating cash flow growth from ~$1.3B to ~$4.1B TTM shows durable internal funding for dividends, reinvestment and acquisitions. Consistent free cash flow roughly matching net income supports AFFO and dividend coverage across rate cycles and funds growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage versus prior years
Material debt growth reduces financial flexibility and heightens interest‑rate sensitivity. With net debt/EBITDA near target but well above earlier years, refinancing or cap‑rate shocks could constrain growth, limit opportunistic buying and pressure credit metrics if cash yields compress.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Realty Income’s operating cash flow growth from ~$1.3B to ~$4.1B TTM shows durable internal funding for dividends, reinvestment and acquisitions. Consistent free cash flow roughly matching net income supports AFFO and dividend coverage across rate cycles and funds growth initiatives.
Read all positive factors

Realty Income Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Changes in Occupancy
Changes in Occupancy
Tracks fluctuations in occupancy rates, reflecting demand for properties and potential impacts on rental income.
Chart InsightsRealty Income's occupancy metrics show a robust upward trend, with properties available for lease reaching new highs in 2025. This aligns with the company's strong investment activity and high portfolio occupancy of 98.7% as reported in the latest earnings call. The focus on European markets, yielding higher returns, and increased investment guidance underscore strategic growth. However, the U.S. market poses challenges due to increased competition, and reliance on one-time lease termination income could impact future stability. Overall, the outlook remains positive with continued acquisition momentum and effective portfolio optimization.
Data provided by:The Fly

Realty Income (O) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Realty Income Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Realty Income, The Monthly Dividend Company, is an S&P 500 company dedicated to providing stockholders with dependable monthly income. The company is structured as a REIT, and its monthly dividends are supported by the cash flow from over 6,500 re...
How the Company Makes Money
Realty Income primarily makes money by acquiring income-producing commercial properties and leasing them to tenants under long-term net lease agreements. Under a net lease structure, tenants generally pay base rent to Realty Income and are typical...

Realty Income Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, material growth in AFFO per share (+6.6% YoY), expanded investment activity ($2.8B deployed in Q1) and deliberate scaling of a new private capital ecosystem (Perpetual Life fund $1.7B cornerstone, Apollo $1B, GIC JV), enabling the company to raise investment guidance and slightly lift AFFO guidance. Liquidity and diversified debt sources were highlighted as strengths, and credit loss guidance was reduced. Offsetting these positives are pockets of sector weakness (theaters -10% same-store), an episodic nature of lease termination income that may not recur, ongoing rate and cap-rate uncertainty, and selectivity-driven passivity on many sourced deals. On balance the positive operating results, strategic capital partnerships, raised guidance and strong liquidity materially outweigh the noted challenges, but execution risk on credit-to-equity conversions and interest-rate/cap-rate volatility remain key watch items.
Positive Updates
AFFO Per Share Growth and Guidance Raise
AFFO per share of $1.13 in Q1, up 6.6% year-over-year. Company raised the midpoint of full-year AFFO per share guidance by $0.025 (≈60 bps) and now expects AFFO per share of $4.41–$4.44 for 2026.
Negative Updates
Theater Same-Store Revenue Decline
Same-store rental revenue for the theater segment declined ~10% year-over-year in Q1, driven by prior accounting changes (cash-to-accrual timing), restructurings and shifts to percentage rent arrangements that lowered base rents on a comp basis.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
AFFO Per Share Growth and Guidance Raise
AFFO per share of $1.13 in Q1, up 6.6% year-over-year. Company raised the midpoint of full-year AFFO per share guidance by $0.025 (≈60 bps) and now expects AFFO per share of $4.41–$4.44 for 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Realty Income raised 2026 guidance after a strong Q1: AFFO per share was $1.13 (up 6.6% YoY) and lease termination income recognized was $40.2M, prompting a $0.025 (≈60 bps) increase to the FY AFFO midpoint and an updated AFFO per share range of $4.41–$4.44 while investment volume guidance was increased to $9.5B (100% basis). In Q1 the company invested ~ $2.8B (~$2.6B pro rata) at a 7.1% initial weighted average cash yield, including ~ $1B of credit/structured investments (e.g., $375M mezzanine loan and $190M data‑center loan); it completed a $1.7B cornerstone raise for the U.S. Core+ fund, secured $1B from Apollo and a $1.5B GIC JV, and expects Core+ AUM to grow toward $3.5–$4.0B. Liquidity was ~ $3.9B pro rata (ATM unsettled ≈ $1.4B after a $174M raise), net debt / annualized pro forma adjusted EBITDA was 5.2x (4.9x inclusive of forward equity), the company issued $800M of 4.75% notes due 2033 (swapped $500M to euros for a blended 4.44% yield), arranged a $694M municipal‑prepay term loan at 4.91% (4.34% all‑in after a $500M swap), raised lease termination income guidance to $45–$50M, and lowered expected credit losses to ~40 bps of rental revenue.

Realty Income Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid overall: the income statement shows steady revenue growth and resilient profitability (TTM net margin ~19%) but with some margin normalization versus 2022–2023. Cash flow is a key strength with operating cash flow rising to ~$4.1B TTM and strong free cash flow supporting dividends. The main offset is balance-sheet risk from materially higher debt versus prior years and persistently low ROE, which can limit flexibility in a higher-rate environment.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
75
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.92B5.75B5.27B4.08B3.34B2.08B
Gross Profit4.06B5.16B4.89B3.76B3.12B1.95B
EBITDA4.22B3.55B4.33B3.60B2.98B1.85B
Net Income1.12B1.06B860.77M872.31M869.41M359.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.55B72.80B68.84B57.78B49.67B43.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments373.54M434.84M444.96M232.92M171.10M258.58M
Total Debt31.11B32.85B26.76B21.99B18.60B15.95B
Total Liabilities33.32B32.67B29.78B24.67B20.83B18.01B
Stockholders Equity39.15B39.44B38.84B32.94B28.71B25.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.06B3.99B3.45B2.89B2.47B1.30B
Operating Cash Flow4.08B3.99B3.57B2.96B2.56B1.32B
Investing Cash Flow-6.93B-5.66B-3.34B-9.35B-8.39B-6.44B
Financing Cash Flow3.01B1.68B-21.16M6.44B5.74B4.58B

Realty Income Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price65.09
Price Trends
50DMA
62.64
Negative
100DMA
61.80
Negative
200DMA
59.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
44.18
Neutral
STOCH
15.88
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For O, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 65.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.82, above the 50-day MA of 62.64, and above the 200-day MA of 59.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.88 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for O.

Realty Income Risk Analysis

Realty Income disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Realty Income reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Realty Income Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$9.84B14.3615.55%4.38%7.43%65.72%
75
Outperform
$64.98B31.45125.93%4.56%10.91%-18.35%
75
Outperform
$8.97B17.3014.86%4.41%5.92%37.44%
73
Outperform
$15.51B22.895.90%5.02%4.01%13.27%
71
Outperform
$13.93B27.829.51%4.15%7.84%37.55%
69
Neutral
$56.99B44.392.86%5.64%11.21%10.53%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
O
Realty Income
61.71
8.50
15.97%
KIM
Kimco Realty
23.47
3.15
15.50%
REG
Regency Centers
77.33
7.10
10.11%
SPG
Simon Property
200.42
45.21
29.13%
FRT
Federal Realty
114.93
22.72
24.64%
BRX
Brixmor Property
30.02
5.56
22.73%

Realty Income Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Launches New At-the-Market Equity Program
Positive
May 8, 2026
On May 7, 2026, Realty Income Corporation entered into a new sales agreement with a broad syndicate of banks and brokers allowing the company to offer and sell up to 150,000,000 shares of common stock through an at-the-market equity program and re...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income boosts 2026 outlook after strong quarter
Positive
May 6, 2026
Realty Income reported strong operating results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, with net income available to common stockholders rising to $311.8 million, or $0.33 per share, and AFFO per share increasing 6.6% year-on-year to $1.13 on total ...
Private Placements and Financing
Realty Income Completes $800 Million 2033 Notes Offering
Positive
Apr 7, 2026
On April 7, 2026, Realty Income Corporation completed an $800 million offering of 4.750% notes due 2033, strengthening its access to long-term debt capital. The transaction, arranged under a purchase agreement dated March 30, 2026 with a syndicate...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Forms $1 Billion Retail Property Partnership
Positive
Mar 30, 2026
As of March 26, 2026, Realty Income reported total liquidity of $4.5 billion, comprising $0.8 billion in cash, $1.2 billion in unsettled ATM forward equity, and $2.5 billion of available capacity under its $5.38 billion credit facilities after acc...
Executive/Board Changes
Realty Income Announces Transition of Chief Legal Officer
Neutral
Mar 2, 2026
On March 2, 2026, Realty Income announced that Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel and Secretary Michelle Bushore will leave the company after a transition period ending September 2, 2026. During this period she will ret...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Reports Strong Q4 2025 Results, Outlook
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 24, 2026, Realty Income reported operating results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, highlighting net income to common stockholders of $296.1 million, or $0.32 per share, for the quarter and $1.1 billion, or...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026