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Realty Income (O)
NYSE:O

Realty Income (O) AI Stock Analysis

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O

Realty Income

(NYSE:O)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$66.00
â–²(6.74% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/08/26
The score is driven primarily by solid multi-year cash generation and a generally stable REIT operating backdrop, supported by a constructive earnings outlook (high occupancy, capital access, and improved credit-loss expectations). Offsetting this are data-quality/consistency concerns in the latest reported financials, a softer near-term technical setup, and a high P/E despite the strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High occupancy and rent recapture
Sustained ~99% physical occupancy and >100% rent recapture indicate durable portfolio cash-flow resilience. For a net‑lease REIT, high occupancy and strong re-leasing metrics translate into predictable rental cash flows, steady AFFO support, and lower vacancy-driven capital needs over the medium term.
Negative Factors
2025 financial reporting anomalies
Material inconsistencies in the 2025 disclosures (negative reported gross profit/EBIT and anomalous zero debt figure) impede accurate assessment of profitability and leverage. Persistent accounting or classification anomalies undermine transparency, complicate underwriting and capital‑allocation decisions over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High occupancy and rent recapture
Sustained ~99% physical occupancy and >100% rent recapture indicate durable portfolio cash-flow resilience. For a net‑lease REIT, high occupancy and strong re-leasing metrics translate into predictable rental cash flows, steady AFFO support, and lower vacancy-driven capital needs over the medium term.
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Realty Income (O) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Realty Income Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Realty Income, The Monthly Dividend Company, is an S&P 500 company dedicated to providing stockholders with dependable monthly income. The company is structured as a REIT, and its monthly dividends are supported by the cash flow from over 6,500 re...
How the Company Makes Money
Realty Income primarily makes money by acquiring income-producing commercial properties and leasing them to tenants under long-term net lease agreements. Under a net lease structure, tenants generally pay base rent to Realty Income and are typical...

Realty Income Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Changes in Occupancy
Changes in Occupancy
Tracks fluctuations in occupancy rates, reflecting demand for properties and potential impacts on rental income.
Chart InsightsRealty Income's occupancy metrics show a robust upward trend, with properties available for lease reaching new highs in 2025. This aligns with the company's strong investment activity and high portfolio occupancy of 98.7% as reported in the latest earnings call. The focus on European markets, yielding higher returns, and increased investment guidance underscore strategic growth. However, the U.S. market poses challenges due to increased competition, and reliance on one-time lease termination income could impact future stability. Overall, the outlook remains positive with continued acquisition momentum and effective portfolio optimization.
Data provided by:The Fly

Realty Income Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple operational and capital-markets strengths: resilient occupancy and rent recapture, heavy 2025 investment activity at mid-7% yields, new capital channels (open-end fund, GIC and Blackstone partnerships), strong liquidity and balance-sheet positioning, and disciplined asset management (e.g., proactive At Home dispositions). Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (AFFO $4.38–$4.42) and expects an $8B investment program while forecasting lower credit loss rates (40–50 bps vs 70 bps in 2025). Noted risks include still-elevated credit watch-list exposure (~4.8%), modest near-term AFFO growth versus historical norms, fundraising execution required to fully scale new vehicles, and selective caution in higher-return adjacencies. Overall, positives around capital diversification, liquidity, and proactive risk management outweigh the headwinds and conservative guidance.
Positive Updates
AFFO and Quarterly/Full-Year Results
AFFO per share of $1.08 in Q4 2025 and $4.28 for full year 2025; company noted this supports stability and positions business for growth.
Negative Updates
Slower Historical Growth and Modest AFFO Acceleration
Full-year AFFO per share $4.28 and 2026 guidance midpoint ~$4.40 imply modest acceleration (~2.8% YoY) versus the company's historical ~5% growth target, highlighting a recovery timeline.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
AFFO and Quarterly/Full-Year Results
AFFO per share of $1.08 in Q4 2025 and $4.28 for full year 2025; company noted this supports stability and positions business for growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Realty Income guided AFFO per share of $4.38–$4.42 for 2026 and expects to deploy about $8.0 billion in acquisitions, with key assumptions including credit‑related losses of 40–50 basis points of rental revenue (vs. ~70 bps in 2025), lease termination income of $30–$40 million, an unreimbursed property expense margin of ~1.5% of revenue, cash G&A of 20–23 basis points of gross asset value, roughly $10 million of base management fees from the open‑end fund, physical occupancy of about 98.5%, same‑store growth of ~1.0–1.3%, and management continuing to target acquisition spreads near historical levels (~150–160 bps over short‑term WACC).

Realty Income Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving operating/free cash flow over multiple years supports a durable REIT profile, and pre-2025 leverage metrics look reasonable. However, the 2025 annual figures show major inconsistencies (negative gross profit/EBIT and reported zero debt), reducing confidence in the latest-period profitability and leverage picture.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.75B5.27B4.08B3.34B2.08B
Gross Profit5.16B4.89B3.76B3.12B1.95B
EBITDA3.55B4.33B3.60B2.98B1.85B
Net Income1.06B860.77M872.31M869.41M359.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.80B68.84B57.78B49.67B43.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments434.84M444.96M232.92M171.10M258.58M
Total Debt32.85B26.76B21.99B18.60B15.95B
Total Liabilities32.67B29.78B24.67B20.83B18.01B
Stockholders Equity39.44B38.84B32.94B28.71B25.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.86B3.45B2.89B2.47B1.30B
Operating Cash Flow3.99B3.57B2.96B2.56B1.32B
Investing Cash Flow-5.17B-3.34B-9.35B-8.39B-6.44B
Financing Cash Flow1.19B-21.16M6.44B5.74B4.58B

Realty Income Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price61.83
Price Trends
50DMA
63.05
Negative
100DMA
59.88
Positive
200DMA
58.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.63
Negative
RSI
46.27
Neutral
STOCH
75.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For O, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 61.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.29, below the 50-day MA of 63.05, and above the 200-day MA of 58.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for O.

Realty Income Risk Analysis

Realty Income disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Realty Income reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Realty Income Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$14.14B24.789.30%4.15%5.38%3.13%
73
Outperform
$8.97B20.8513.01%4.41%6.07%-0.28%
72
Outperform
$9.29B21.0512.74%4.38%6.05%14.70%
71
Outperform
$15.27B23.395.56%5.02%7.99%55.05%
67
Neutral
$61.93B13.08146.33%4.56%4.18%-5.05%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
$58.03B48.182.70%5.64%11.23%1.82%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
O
Realty Income
62.23
12.76
25.79%
KIM
Kimco Realty
22.65
4.81
26.97%
REG
Regency Centers
77.33
14.45
22.98%
SPG
Simon Property
190.57
56.86
42.52%
FRT
Federal Realty
107.08
27.18
34.02%
BRX
Brixmor Property
29.22
7.16
32.46%

Realty Income Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Realty Income Completes $800 Million 2033 Notes Offering
Positive
Apr 7, 2026
On April 7, 2026, Realty Income Corporation completed an $800 million offering of 4.750% notes due 2033, strengthening its access to long-term debt capital. The transaction, arranged under a purchase agreement dated March 30, 2026 with a syndicate...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Forms $1 Billion Retail Property Partnership
Positive
Mar 30, 2026
As of March 26, 2026, Realty Income reported total liquidity of $4.5 billion, comprising $0.8 billion in cash, $1.2 billion in unsettled ATM forward equity, and $2.5 billion of available capacity under its $5.38 billion credit facilities after acc...
Executive/Board Changes
Realty Income Announces Transition of Chief Legal Officer
Neutral
Mar 2, 2026
On March 2, 2026, Realty Income announced that Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel and Secretary Michelle Bushore will leave the company after a transition period ending September 2, 2026. During this period she will ret...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Reports Strong Q4 2025 Results, Outlook
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 24, 2026, Realty Income reported operating results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, highlighting net income to common stockholders of $296.1 million, or $0.32 per share, for the quarter and $1.1 billion, or...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Realty Income Completes Convertible Notes Offering and Share Buyback
Positive
Jan 8, 2026
On January 8, 2026, Realty Income Corporation closed a private offering of $862.5 million aggregate principal amount of 3.500% convertible senior notes due 2029, including the full exercise of a $112.5 million option granted to initial purchasers....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 08, 2026