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Regency Centers (REG)
NASDAQ:REG

Regency Centers (REG) AI Stock Analysis

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Regency Centers

(NASDAQ:REG)

74Outperform
Regency Centers scores well due to its strong financial performance, stable technical indicators, and robust earnings guidance. While the high P/E ratio suggests a premium valuation, the company's growth prospects and attractive dividend yield provide a balanced investment case.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
1Q25 earnings beat with solid SSNOI growth and miniscule bad debt.
Occupancy Rates
Commenced occupancy ticked up to 93.5%, outperforming peers and seasonal pressures.
Tenant Roster
A high-quality tenant roster supports better than expected results.
Negative Factors
Cap Rate Spread
The expected cap rate spread for FY2025 implies 50bps of dilution between buys and sells compared to a positive 100bps spread in FY2024.
Leasing Volumes
Leasing volumes & spreads moderated a touch.

Regency Centers (REG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Regency Centers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegency Centers Corporation is a prominent player in the real estate industry, focused primarily on owning, operating, and developing high-quality, grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers. The company operates across the United States, leveraging its extensive portfolio to provide essential retail services. Regency Centers is committed to creating thriving communities by offering a diverse mix of retail tenants that cater to everyday needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegency Centers generates revenue primarily through leasing retail spaces within its shopping centers to a variety of tenants, including grocery stores, restaurants, and service providers. The company earns rental income, which is typically structured as base rent from long-term lease agreements, often with additional income from percentage rents linked to tenants' sales. Regency Centers also benefits from ancillary income streams such as common area maintenance charges and property management fees. Strategic partnerships with established retailers and a focus on locations with strong demographic profiles contribute significantly to its earnings, ensuring a steady flow of rental income and occupancy rates.

Regency Centers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regency Centers shows moderate revenue growth and strong profitability metrics. The company has solid gross profit margins and healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, but there are inconsistencies in net profit margins and variable return on equity.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Regency Centers has shown moderate revenue growth and strong profitability metrics over the years. The gross profit margin is solid, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has been inconsistent due to fluctuations in net income, impacting overall profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a declining debt-to-equity ratio, which is a positive sign of financial health. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a good proportion of equity financing. However, the return on equity has shown variability, suggesting fluctuating profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company exhibits strong cash flow generation with consistent operating cash flows supporting free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is robust, demonstrating strong cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating effective conversion of earnings into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.45B1.32B1.22B1.17B1.02B
Gross Profit
626.14M927.70M878.08M839.48M703.10M
EBIT
513.81M516.42M527.71M494.32M300.81M
EBITDA
993.58M780.53M954.43M814.98M646.71M
Net Income Common Stockholders
400.39M364.56M341.85M174.54M-138.72M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
56.28M84.97M68.78M95.03M378.45M
Total Assets
12.39B12.43B10.86B10.79B10.94B
Total Debt
5.02B4.80B3.94B3.93B4.14B
Net Debt
4.96B4.71B3.87B3.84B3.77B
Total Liabilities
5.49B5.23B4.68B4.68B4.88B
Stockholders Equity
6.72B7.03B6.10B6.04B5.98B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
790.20M719.59M660.70M396.66M523.47M
Operating Cash Flow
790.20M719.59M655.82M659.39M499.12M
Investing Cash Flow
-326.64M-341.98M-206.11M-286.35M-25.64M
Financing Cash Flow
-493.02M-355.04M-475.96M-656.46M-210.59M

Regency Centers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.03
Price Trends
50DMA
72.16
Positive
100DMA
72.13
Positive
200DMA
71.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
54.76
Neutral
STOCH
67.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.51, above the 50-day MA of 72.16, and above the 200-day MA of 71.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REG.

Regency Centers Risk Analysis

Regency Centers disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regency Centers reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regency Centers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NNNNN
79
Outperform
$7.85B19.409.35%5.56%4.97%-0.26%
FRFRT
78
Outperform
$8.34B28.219.58%4.55%6.21%22.32%
REREG
74
Outperform
$26.51B34.455.83%3.77%7.35%
BRBRX
72
Outperform
$7.48B21.9510.99%4.36%4.58%12.65%
KIKIM
71
Outperform
$14.35B38.235.19%4.64%12.38%45.10%
KRKRG
65
Neutral
$4.95B365.260.81%4.67%4.09%-75.82%
60
Neutral
$2.79B11.370.20%8519.74%6.07%-14.95%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REG
Regency Centers
73.03
16.36
28.87%
KIM
Kimco Realty
21.12
2.94
16.17%
NNN
National Retail Properties
41.75
1.86
4.66%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.50
2.42
12.05%
FRT
Federal Realty
96.52
-1.43
-1.46%
BRX
Brixmor Property
25.70
4.50
21.23%

Regency Centers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted robust performance in same property NOI growth, foot traffic, and successful acquisitions, underscored by strong leasing and development execution. Despite external economic uncertainties and a conservative credit loss outlook, the reaffirmation of earnings guidance and credit rating upgrades reflect confidence in Regency Centers' strategic positioning.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same Property NOI Growth
Regency Centers reported a same property NOI growth of 4.3%, primarily driven by growth in base rent.
Foot Traffic Increase
Foot traffic increased by 7% year-over-year in April, indicating strong consumer engagement and activity at shopping centers.
Successful Acquisition
Acquisition of Brentwood Place in Brentwood, Tennessee, a high-quality asset with significant mark-to-market leasing opportunities, contributing to a high single-digit IRR.
Development and Redevelopment Execution
Successful execution of $500 million in development and redevelopment projects, with blended returns exceeding 9%.
A- Credit Rating Upgrade
Regency Centers received an A- credit rating upgrade from S&P, following an A3 rating by Moody's, the only A ratings in the shopping center REIT sector.
Reaffirmed 2025 Earnings Outlook
Reaffirmation of 2025 earnings outlook, with an implied growth in NAREIT FFO of nearly 6% and same property NOI growth of 3.6% at the midpoint of guidance.
Negative Updates
External Economic Uncertainty
Acknowledgement of elevated volatility and macro uncertainty in the economy, particularly concerning tariffs and potential consumer impact.
Modest Same Property NOI Growth in Q2
Expectation of a modestly elevated growth rate in Q2 NOI due to timing of percentage rent and other income, not affecting base rent growth.
Conservative Credit Loss Guidance
Maintained credit loss guidance of 75 to 100 basis points for 2025, indicating potential for uncollectible lease income and bankruptcy move-outs.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter 2025 earnings call, Regency Centers Corporation provided guidance indicating strong performance with positive same property NOI growth of 4.3%, largely driven by base rent increases and robust leasing activity. The company reaffirmed its 2025 earnings outlook, projecting a near 6% growth in NAREIT FFO and 3.6% growth in same property NOI at the midpoint of guidance ranges. Regency's balance sheet remains strong, with leverage within the target range of 5x to 5.5x and significant liquidity. The company closed a large acquisition in Brentwood, Tennessee, and anticipates closing another grocery-anchored shopping center in the Northeast through its joint venture platform. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Regency remains confident in its strategic advantages, emphasizing its focus on essential service-oriented retail, strong tenant health, and continued growth opportunities, including a robust $500 million development and redevelopment pipeline.

Regency Centers Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Regency Centers Acquires Brentwood Place for $119M
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

Regency Centers reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a net income of $0.58 per diluted share, consistent with the previous year. The company achieved a 4.3% increase in Same Property Net Operating Income and executed 1.4 million square feet of new and renewal leases with significant rent spreads. Regency also acquired Brentwood Place in Nashville for $119 million and saw its credit rating upgraded to ‘A-‘ by S&P Global Ratings. The company reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance, indicating stable growth and strong operational fundamentals.

Spark’s Take on REG Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, REG is a Outperform.

Regency Centers’ stock is supported by stable financial performance, strong earnings call guidance, and moderate technical trends. While the valuation suggests a premium, the company’s growth prospects and attractive dividend yield provide a balanced investment case.

To see Spark’s full report on REG stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Regency Centers Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Regency Centers reported its financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a stable net income per diluted share of $0.58, consistent with the previous year. The company achieved a Nareit FFO of $1.15 per diluted share and Core Operating Earnings of $1.09 per diluted share, with a 4.3% increase in Same Property NOI year-over-year. Regency also acquired Brentwood Place in Nashville for $119 million and saw its credit rating upgraded to ‘A-‘ by S&P Global Ratings. The company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, supported by robust leasing activity and strategic acquisitions.

Spark’s Take on REG Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, REG is a Outperform.

Regency Centers’ stock is supported by stable financial performance, strong earnings call guidance, and moderate technical trends. While the valuation suggests a premium, the company’s growth prospects and attractive dividend yield provide a balanced investment case.

To see Spark’s full report on REG stock, click here.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Regency Centers Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

Regency Centers reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a strong performance characterized by record-high occupancy levels and robust rent growth. The company achieved a net income of $2.11 per diluted share for the full year 2024, up from $2.04 in 2023, and executed 8.1 million square feet of new and renewal leases at favorable rent spreads. Regency also started development projects worth $258 million and ended the year with a net debt to operating EBITDAre ratio of 5.2x, positioning it well for future growth. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.705 per share and provided initial 2025 earnings guidance, reflecting confidence in sustained earnings growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Regency Centers Reports 2024 Financial Results and Growth
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

On February 6, 2025, Regency Centers reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a net income of $2.11 per diluted share for the year, a slight increase from the previous year. The company achieved record-high occupancy levels of 96.7% in its same property portfolio and executed 8.1 million square feet of new and renewal leases at notable rent spreads. Regency also initiated significant development projects and raised $100 million through its ATM program, reinforcing its strategic growth plans and solid balance sheet.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.