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Regency Centers (REG)
NASDAQ:REG

Regency Centers (REG) AI Stock Analysis

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REG

Regency Centers

(NASDAQ:REG)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$75.00
â–²(10.21% Upside)
Regency Centers' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, supporting a stable outlook. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests valuation concerns. The dividend yield provides some compensation for these risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Same-Property NOI Growth
The consistent growth in same-property NOI reflects solid demand for Regency's retail spaces, indicating a strong market position and effective property management.
Successful Capital Allocation
Strategic capital allocation into development and acquisitions supports long-term growth, enhancing Regency's asset base and competitive edge.
Robust Leasing Pipeline
A high leasing rate and new leases with grocers strengthen Regency's tenant mix, ensuring stable rental income and community relevance.
Negative Factors
Impact of Rite Aid Bankruptcy
The return of Rite Aid spaces could lead to short-term occupancy challenges, impacting revenue until these spaces are re-leased.
Increased Competition in Acquisition Market
Rising competition in acquisitions could pressure Regency's ability to acquire properties at favorable cap rates, impacting future growth.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth may limit Regency's ability to fund new projects and return capital to shareholders, affecting long-term financial flexibility.

Regency Centers (REG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Regency Centers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegency Centers is the preeminent national owner, operator, and developer of shopping centers located in affluent and densely populated trade areas. Our portfolio includes thriving properties merchandised with highly productive grocers, restaurants, service providers, and best-in-class retailers that connect to their neighborhoods, communities, and customers. Operating as a fully integrated real estate company, Regency Centers is a qualified real estate investment trust (REIT) that is self-administered, self-managed, and an S&P 500 Index member.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegency Centers generates revenue primarily through rental income from its retail properties, which includes long-term leases with tenants. The company typically charges its tenants a base rent along with additional charges for common area maintenance, property taxes, and insurance, which contribute to its overall income. Additionally, Regency may earn revenue from leasing space for promotional events and advertising. The firm also benefits from strategic partnerships with key national retailers, which enhance its tenant mix and attract customers. Furthermore, the company engages in property development and redevelopment projects, adding value to its portfolio and generating additional revenues through increased rent from newly developed spaces. Economic factors, such as consumer spending trends and retail market dynamics, also play a critical role in influencing its earnings.

Regency Centers Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Number of Properties
Number of Properties
Indicates the total count of properties owned, reflecting the company's market presence and potential for rental income generation.
Chart InsightsRegency Centers has significantly increased its property count since mid-2023, reflecting strategic acquisitions, including five shopping centers in Orange County. This expansion aligns with robust financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, driven by strong leasing activity and capital deployment. Despite potential risks from tenant bankruptcies, the company’s raised guidance for NOI growth and strong balance sheet suggest resilience and continued growth potential.
Data provided by:The Fly

Regency Centers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call painted a largely positive picture with strong growth in same-property NOI and an increased dividend, backed by successful capital allocation and robust leasing activity. However, challenges such as the impact of the Rite Aid bankruptcy on occupancy and increased competition in the acquisition market were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same-Property NOI Growth
Same-property NOI grew by nearly 5% with strong base rent growth as the primary contributor at 4.7%.
Increased Earnings and Dividend
Full year earnings growth outlook raised; dividend increased by more than 7%.
Successful Capital Allocation
Over $750 million deployed into high-quality opportunities, including acquisitions, development, and redevelopment.
Robust Leasing Pipeline
Signed 3 new grocer leases in Q3; same-property percent leased rate at 96.4%.
Development and Redevelopment Activity
Over $170 million of projects started in Q3, bringing year-to-date total to more than $220 million.
Cash Re-leasing and GAAP Rent Spreads
Cash re-leasing spreads were strong at 13%, while GAAP rent spreads were near record high levels at 23%.
Negative Updates
Impact of Rite Aid Bankruptcy
Ten Rite Aid spaces returned, affecting occupancy rates.
Increased Competition in Acquisition Market
Acquisition market becoming more competitive with capital flowing into the sector, affecting cap rates.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Regency Centers Corporation demonstrated impressive financial performance, marked by a significant same-property net operating income (NOI) growth of nearly 5%, driven primarily by a 4.7% increase in base rent growth. The company also achieved a same-property percent leased rate of 96.4% and a commenced rate increase to 94.4%. Regency's strategic capital allocation led to over $750 million of investments this year alone, including $300 million in development projects. The company's robust leasing activity resulted in cash re-leasing spreads of 13% and GAAP rent spreads near record levels at 23%. Regency's successful capital recycling enabled acquisitions at an average 6% cap rate, while selling assets at over 5.5%. With an A-rated balance sheet and significant free cash flow, the company raised its full-year earnings growth outlook and increased its dividend by more than 7%. Looking ahead, Regency anticipates mid-3% same-property NOI growth in 2026, with contributions from its development pipeline expected to drive total NOI growth in the mid-6% range.

Regency Centers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regency Centers demonstrates strong financial health with solid revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage and efficient equity utilization. While cash flow generation is strong, the recent decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Regency Centers shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in revenue over the years, highlighted by a TTM revenue growth rate of 85.5%. The gross profit margin remains robust at 64.6% TTM, although slightly lower than previous years. Net profit margin is healthy at 26.4% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.81 TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is modest at 6.1% TTM, suggesting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, demonstrating a balanced approach to financing assets.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 2.35 TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has declined by 8.7% TTM, which could be a concern if it continues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.12, showing effective cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.56B1.50B1.37B1.27B1.20B1.05B
Gross Profit1.01B1.07B975.08M925.15M877.18M734.85M
EBITDA961.79M939.75M839.58M818.05M771.32M606.32M
Net Income411.46M400.39M364.56M482.87M361.41M44.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.06B12.39B12.43B10.86B10.79B10.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.69M56.28M84.97M66.47M93.10M376.07M
Total Debt5.52B5.02B4.80B4.29B4.30B4.52B
Total Liabilities6.00B5.49B5.23B4.68B4.68B4.88B
Stockholders Equity6.80B6.72B7.03B6.10B6.04B5.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow815.13M790.20M719.59M655.82M396.66M523.47M
Operating Cash Flow815.13M790.20M719.59M655.82M659.39M499.12M
Investing Cash Flow-522.28M-326.64M-341.98M-206.11M-286.35M-25.64M
Financing Cash Flow-202.08M-493.02M-355.04M-475.96M-656.46M-210.59M

Regency Centers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price68.05
Price Trends
50DMA
69.45
Negative
100DMA
69.99
Negative
200DMA
69.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.66
Positive
RSI
40.49
Neutral
STOCH
14.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 68.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.60, below the 50-day MA of 69.45, and below the 200-day MA of 69.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REG.

Regency Centers Risk Analysis

Regency Centers disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regency Centers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regency Centers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.69B25.4410.92%4.36%6.05%14.70%
76
Outperform
$7.61B19.198.91%5.89%4.53%-3.46%
75
Outperform
$8.17B41.573.47%4.28%14.67%-5.17%
70
Outperform
$12.28B30.726.07%4.30%5.38%3.13%
69
Neutral
$13.60B24.095.68%5.03%7.99%55.05%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$7.83B23.6811.36%4.50%6.07%-0.28%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REG
Regency Centers
68.05
-2.26
-3.21%
ADC
Agree Realty
71.06
3.34
4.93%
KIM
Kimco Realty
20.45
-1.75
-7.88%
NNN
NNN REIT
40.68
2.19
5.69%
FRT
Federal Realty
101.70
-3.49
-3.32%
BRX
Brixmor Property
25.57
-0.92
-3.47%

Regency Centers Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Regency Centers Releases Updated Investor Presentation
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Regency Centers Corporation released an updated investor presentation to be used at various conferences and meetings. This presentation is available on their website, providing stakeholders with insights into Regency’s current operations and strategic positioning.

Business Operations and Strategy
Regency Centers Releases Updated Investor Presentation
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Regency Centers Corporation released an updated investor presentation for use at upcoming conferences and meetings. This presentation, available on their investor relations website, aims to provide stakeholders with current insights into the company’s strategic direction and operational updates.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Regency Centers Acquires Shopping Centers in California
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Regency Centers announced the acquisition of a portfolio of five shopping centers in Orange County, California, for $357 million. This strategic acquisition enhances Regency’s presence in a supply-constrained coastal market and aligns with its capital allocation objectives, including earnings accretion and growth. The transaction was funded through a combination of operating partnership units, assumed mortgage debt, and cash, and is expected to positively impact the company’s 2025 Core Operating Earnings per share.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Regency Centers Raises Earnings Guidance and Dividend
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Regency Centers Corporation reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net income attributable to common shareholders increasing to $0.58 per diluted share. The company raised its full-year earnings guidance and increased its common stock dividend by over 7%, reflecting robust operational performance and strategic capital allocation. Regency also executed significant leasing activities and development projects, including acquiring shopping centers and completing property transactions, which are expected to support its growth and enhance shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025