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Federal Realty (FRT)
NYSE:FRT
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Federal Realty (FRT) AI Stock Analysis

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FRT

Federal Realty

(NYSE:FRT)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$106.00
â–²(4.96% Upside)
Federal Realty's strong earnings call and financial performance are the most significant factors, reflecting robust leasing activity and strategic acquisitions. Technical indicators suggest caution, while valuation is moderate with a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
FRT did a good job clarifying its strategic shift to new markets via acquisitions to drive earnings growth.
Earnings
The company reported strong financial performance with Funds From Operations per share of $1.70, which is above market expectations.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
Near-term uncertainty in the Washington DC market is affecting FRT due to efforts to reduce federal government size and spending.
Valuation
Development not as lucrative, which drove FRT’s prior premium valuation.

Federal Realty (FRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Federal Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFederal Realty is a recognized leader in the ownership, operation and redevelopment of high-quality retail-based properties located primarily in major coastal markets from Washington, D.C. to Boston as well as San Francisco and Los Angeles. Founded in 1962, Federal Realty's mission is to deliver long-term, sustainable growth through investing in communities where retail demand exceeds supply. Its expertise includes creating urban, mixed-use neighborhoods like Santana Row in San Jose, California, Pike & Rose in North Bethesda, Maryland and Assembly Row in Somerville, Massachusetts. These unique and vibrant environments that combine shopping, dining, living and working provide a destination experience valued by their respective communities. Federal Realty's 106 properties include approximately 3,100 tenants, in 25 million square feet, and approximately 3,200 residential units. Federal Realty has increased its quarterly dividends to its shareholders for 54 consecutive years, the longest record in the REIT industry. Federal Realty is an S&P 500 index member and its shares are traded on the NYSE under the symbol FRT. For additional information about Federal Realty and its properties, visit www.federalrealty.com.
How the Company Makes MoneyFederal Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its properties, which includes both retail and residential tenants. The company leases space to a variety of tenants, including national and regional brands, restaurants, and service providers, ensuring a diversified income stream. Additionally, FRT benefits from long-term leases that provide stable cash flow, with many leases containing rent escalations that increase over time. The company also engages in property redevelopment and improvement projects, which can enhance asset value and increase rental income. Strategic partnerships with local communities and businesses further support its revenue generation by fostering tenant retention and attracting new customers to its properties.

Federal Realty Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Leasable Area Breakdown
Gross Leasable Area Breakdown
Shows the distribution of leasable space across properties, indicating potential for rental income and the scale of operations in various locations.
Chart InsightsFederal Realty's Gross Leasable Area for Commercial Properties has shown consistent growth, reflecting strategic leasing success and expansion efforts. The recent earnings call highlights strong leasing activity with high occupancy rates and robust consumer traffic, particularly in key markets like Boston and Washington DC. Despite economic uncertainties and higher property expenses, the company's proactive strategies and strong financial position, including a new share repurchase program, underscore its resilience and commitment to growth. This positions Federal Realty well to navigate market challenges and capitalize on leasing demand.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Federal Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance and strategic expansion into new markets. While there are challenges in leasing and development due to economic conditions, the company's proactive measures and robust liquidity position support its growth trajectory.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong FFO Performance
Reported FFO per share of $1.91, exceeding expectations and including $0.15 from the Freedom Plaza development tax credit, leading to a beat and raise for 2025 guidance.
Near-Record Leasing Activity
Leased 644,000 square feet of retail space, the second highest volume ever recorded, with rent spreads at 10% over in-place rents.
Strategic Acquisitions and Expansions
Acquired dominant retail properties in Leawood, Kansas, aiming to execute 2 more acquisitions of size by year-end, expanding geographic diversity.
Dividend Increase
Declared a quarterly dividend increase to $1.13 per share, marking the 58th consecutive annual increase, maintaining status as a Dividend King.
Robust Liquidity Position
Improved liquidity to $1.55 billion with significant availability on unsecured credit facility, cash, and term loan.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Leasing and Occupancy
Economic occupancy target adjusted to low 94% by year-end due to delays in rent commencements and impacts from new acquisitions.
D.C. Market Restaurant Closures
Noted local restaurant closures in Washington, D.C., though overall restaurant performance remains resilient.
Development Pipeline Constraints
Acknowledged limitations in development opportunities due to higher interest rates, pivoting focus to acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the Federal Realty Investment Trust Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The reported NAREIT-defined FFO per share for Q2 was $1.91, including a $0.15 one-time new market tax credit income, and exceeded the guidance range. Excluding this, the FFO per share was $1.76, surpassing consensus. As a result, the company raised its 2025 full-year FFO guidance to a range of $7.16 to $7.26 per share. Federal Realty also highlighted a robust leasing pipeline, with 644,000 square feet of retail leasing nearly reaching an all-time quarterly record and rent spreads around 10% over in-place rents. The company's acquisition strategy has broadened, focusing on dominant retail properties in affluent markets, aiming for geographic diversity and enhanced growth prospects. Additionally, the company improved its liquidity to $1.55 billion and plans to maintain its focus on strategic acquisitions, redevelopment, and disciplined capital deployment.

Federal Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Federal Realty exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, though the high leverage typical of the REIT industry poses some risk. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting the company's operational and investment activities effectively.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Federal Realty shows a strong revenue growth trend with a 13.4% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a continued rise in TTM. Gross profit margins remain robust at approximately 60%, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margins are moderate at around 24.8% TTM, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet presents a stable equity ratio of about 37%, indicating a solid equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at approximately 1.44, which is typical for the REIT industry but suggests potential leverage risks. Return on equity is strong at 9.5% TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Federal Realty demonstrates strong cash flow generation with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 13.2% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.03, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 1.23, reflecting good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.20B1.13B1.07B951.22M835.49M
Gross Profit831.19M810.65M769.06M717.60M634.61M545.33M
EBITDA883.07M822.41M736.79M835.06M676.75M527.20M
Net Income346.17M295.21M236.99M385.49M261.50M131.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.62B8.52B8.44B8.23B7.62B7.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments177.00M123.41M250.82M85.56M162.13M798.33M
Total Debt4.57B4.56B4.69B4.47B4.19B4.44B
Total Liabilities5.12B5.10B5.21B5.02B4.75B4.92B
Stockholders Equity3.25B3.17B2.96B2.95B2.58B2.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow346.15M327.80M244.71M100.07M30.84M-132.01M
Operating Cash Flow593.42M574.56M555.83M516.77M471.35M369.93M
Investing Cash Flow-310.52M-446.83M-358.32M-786.00M-660.12M-368.38M
Financing Cash Flow-193.09M-252.30M-33.85M190.41M-452.97M661.74M

Federal Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price100.99
Price Trends
50DMA
95.05
Positive
100DMA
94.51
Positive
200DMA
98.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.79
Negative
RSI
66.15
Neutral
STOCH
83.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 100.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.57, above the 50-day MA of 95.05, and above the 200-day MA of 98.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FRT.

Federal Realty Risk Analysis

Federal Realty disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Federal Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Federal Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$26.40B33.735.99%3.86%5.66%2.98%
79
Outperform
$15.07B26.855.63%4.40%10.46%56.11%
75
Outperform
$7.95B20.039.18%5.50%4.82%-5.18%
75
Outperform
$8.48B25.3411.52%4.06%5.98%12.11%
74
Outperform
$8.61B25.1411.04%4.40%6.00%15.77%
74
Outperform
$7.99B43.063.44%4.24%13.27%-5.92%
63
Neutral
$7.02B13.29-0.50%6.92%4.08%-25.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRT
Federal Realty
100.99
-10.13
-9.12%
ADC
Agree Realty
72.00
0.12
0.17%
KIM
Kimco Realty
22.79
0.45
2.01%
NNN
National Retail Properties
42.38
-2.92
-6.45%
REG
Regency Centers
73.56
2.98
4.22%
BRX
Brixmor Property
28.14
1.98
7.57%

Federal Realty Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Federal Realty Amends CFO Severance Agreement
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Federal Realty Investment Trust amended the severance agreement of its CFO, Daniel Guglielmone, to include a provision for a one-year salary and bonus if terminated without cause. Additionally, the company’s annual shareholder meeting on the same date saw the election of trustees and approval of executive compensation, alongside the ratification of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditor for 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025