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Brixmor Property (BRX)
NYSE:BRX

Brixmor Property (BRX) AI Stock Analysis

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BRX

Brixmor Property

(NYSE:BRX)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(3.57% Upside)
Brixmor Property's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong financial performance and positive corporate events, tempered by bearish technical indicators and valuation concerns. The company's robust cash flow and strategic initiatives, such as the share repurchase program, support a positive long-term outlook. However, current market momentum and valuation metrics suggest caution in the short term.
Positive Factors
Strong Leasing Activity
Strong leasing activity indicates robust demand for Brixmor's retail spaces, supporting long-term revenue growth and market position.
Leadership Transition
The leadership transition to an experienced internal candidate ensures continuity in strategic initiatives and stability in management.
Share Repurchase Program
The share repurchase program reflects confidence in the company's financial health and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High debt levels can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Decreased Base Rent Growth
Decreased base rent growth could signal challenges in maintaining rental income, affecting future revenue streams.
Tenant Disruptions
Tenant disruptions may lead to increased vacancy rates and reduced rental income, impacting financial performance.

Brixmor Property (BRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brixmor Property Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrixmor (NYSE: BRX) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates a high-quality, national portfolio of open-air shopping centers. Its 395 retail centers comprise approximately 69 million square feet of prime retail space in established trade areas. The Company strives to own and operate shopping centers that reflect Brixmor's vision to be the center of the communities we serve and are home to a diverse mix of thriving national, regional and local retailers. Brixmor is a proud real estate partner to approximately 5,000 retailers including The TJX Companies, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets, Wal-Mart, Ross Stores and L.A. Fitness.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrixmor generates revenue primarily through leasing retail space within its shopping centers to a variety of tenants, including national, regional, and local retailers. The company collects rental income, which constitutes the bulk of its revenue stream. Additionally, Brixmor earns income through percentage rent, which is based on tenants' sales performance, thus aligning its financial success with that of its tenants. The company also engages in property management services and may earn fees associated with the operation and maintenance of its properties. Significant partnerships with well-known retailers help attract more traffic to its centers, enhancing tenant sales and, consequently, Brixmor's rental income. Overall, Brixmor's strategic focus on essential retail sectors and its ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences contribute to its earnings stability and growth potential.

Brixmor Property Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance, with record leasing activity and strategic acquisitions driving growth. Despite challenges such as tenant disruption and potential tariff impacts, Brixmor remains well-positioned for future growth with a strong balance sheet and resilient consumer demand.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Leasing Activity
Brixmor executed 1.7 million square feet of new and renewal leases at a blended cash spread of 24%, including over 900,000 square feet of new leases at an impressive 44% spread. This activity generated the highest quarterly annual base rent in the company's history.
Strong Financial Position and Growth Outlook
NAREIT FFO was $0.56 per share in the second quarter, driven by same-property NOI growth of 3.8% despite a 260 basis point drag from tenant disruption. The company has increased its FFO guidance to $2.22 to $2.25.
Strategic Acquisition of LaCenterra
Brixmor announced the acquisition of LaCenterra, a grocery-anchored lifestyle center in Houston, boasting over 5 million visits annually. The acquisition offers significant upside due to below-market rents and a diverse mix of high-quality tenants.
Strong Balance Sheet
Brixmor ended the quarter with $1.4 billion in available liquidity and no remaining debt maturities until June 2026, providing flexibility to execute on their business plan.
Resilient Consumer Demand and Retailer Growth
The company reported strong traffic and collection trends, with creditworthy tenants focused on growing store count. Brixmor is well-positioned to capitalize on this environment and deliver compelling growth in 2025 and beyond.
Negative Updates
Tenant Disruption Drag
Same-property NOI growth was impacted by a 260 basis point drag due to tenant disruption, particularly from Big Lots, Party City, and JOANN bankruptcies.
Ongoing Challenges with Certain Retail Categories
Potential risks remain with specific retail categories such as drug stores and theaters, which could impact future performance.
Impact of Tariffs on Retailer Margins
Concerns remain over potential pressure on retailer margins due to tariffs, although current leasing demand remains strong.
Company Guidance
During Brixmor Property Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance, underscoring its strong leasing activity and future growth prospects. The signed but not commenced (SNO) pipeline reached $67 million, representing 7% of total annual base rent (ABR), with expectations to commence $69 million in 2025, up from the previous estimate of $53 million. Same-property net operating income (NOI) growth is projected at 3.9% to 4.3%, driven by a 360 basis point contribution from base rent growth, despite a 230 basis point drag from tenant disruptions. The company's financial health remains strong with $1.4 billion in available liquidity and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.5x. Brixmor also highlighted its successful capital recycling strategy, including the acquisition of LaCenterra, which is expected to offer significant upside potential. The company's increased guidance for funds from operations (FFO) is set at $2.22 to $2.25 per share, reflecting enhanced lease settlements and other income. Overall, Brixmor emphasized its ability to deliver consistent outperformance and visibility on growth for 2026 and beyond.

Brixmor Property Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brixmor Property demonstrates strong profitability and effective equity utilization, with consistent improvements in profit margins and return on equity. However, the slight decline in operating cash flow and negative free cash flow growth in the TTM period could pose challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Brixmor Property shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit margin from 74.3% to 80.9% over the years, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly from negative in 2020 to 25.3% in TTM, reflecting robust bottom-line growth. Revenue growth has been steady, albeit modest, with a TTM growth rate of 1.8%. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased in the TTM period, suggesting some pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 1.94 in 2020 to 1.79 in the latest annual report, indicating a positive trend in leverage management. Return on equity has shown a consistent upward trend, reaching 11.4% in TTM, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting limited improvement in asset financing through equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow has remained stable, with a slight decline in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is consistently at 1.0, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has been negative in the TTM period, which could be a concern for future cash availability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.35B1.29B1.25B1.22B1.15B1.05B
Gross Profit1.13B967.94M925.05M906.28M854.49M772.64M
EBITDA918.80M936.67M858.10M891.35M792.12M657.87M
Net Income332.51M339.27M305.09M354.19M270.19M121.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.05B8.91B8.33B8.44B8.38B8.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments353.24M397.92M20.78M16.49M296.63M368.68M
Total Debt5.49B5.34B4.93B5.08B5.21B5.23B
Total Liabilities6.09B5.92B5.48B5.57B5.66B5.66B
Stockholders Equity2.96B2.98B2.85B2.87B2.72B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow634.98M624.69M588.79M566.38M552.24M443.10M
Operating Cash Flow634.98M624.69M588.79M566.38M552.24M443.10M
Investing Cash Flow-594.59M-437.02M-163.08M-462.45M-331.00M-167.25M
Financing Cash Flow-116.34M172.12M-428.07M-380.41M-293.58M72.71M

Brixmor Property Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.07
Price Trends
50DMA
26.44
Negative
100DMA
26.65
Negative
200DMA
25.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
52.77
Neutral
STOCH
79.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.72, below the 50-day MA of 26.44, and above the 200-day MA of 25.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BRX.

Brixmor Property Risk Analysis

Brixmor Property disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brixmor Property reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brixmor Property Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.64B25.3110.92%4.39%6.05%14.70%
76
Outperform
$7.69B19.398.91%5.84%4.53%-3.46%
75
Outperform
$8.25B41.973.47%4.28%14.67%-5.17%
71
Outperform
$4.85B57.443.62%3.58%10.58%37.97%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$7.85B23.7511.36%4.48%6.07%-0.28%
61
Neutral
$5.05B207.654.71%4.57%3.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.07
-1.59
-5.75%
ADC
Agree Realty
71.85
0.84
1.18%
NNN
NNN REIT
40.44
0.60
1.51%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
23.62
-1.25
-5.03%
FRT
Federal Realty
100.91
-8.59
-7.84%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
35.57
-2.33
-6.15%

Brixmor Property Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Brixmor Property Announces CEO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Brixmor Property Group announced that its CEO, James M. Taylor Jr., will retire at the end of the year, with Brian T. Finnegan, the current President and COO, set to succeed him on January 1, 2026. This leadership transition is part of Brixmor’s CEO succession plan, and Finnegan, who has been with the company for over 20 years, is expected to continue driving the company’s growth and strategic initiatives, leveraging his extensive experience and leadership within the retail industry.

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brixmor Property Launches $400M Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Brixmor Property Group Inc. announced a new share repurchase program for up to $400 million, replacing the existing program set to expire on November 1, 2025. This initiative, scheduled to expire on October 28, 2028, allows for repurchases at management’s discretion and aims to enhance shareholder value. Additionally, Brixmor entered into Equity Distribution Agreements with several financial institutions, allowing the sale of up to $400 million of common stock. This move is intended to provide financial flexibility and support general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Executive/Board Changes
Brixmor Property CEO Takes Medical Leave, Interim Named
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Brixmor Property Group announced that its CEO, James M. Taylor Jr., is taking a temporary medical leave of absence. During his absence, Brian T. Finnegan, the company’s President and COO, will serve as interim CEO. The board expressed confidence in the management team’s ability to continue executing the company’s business plan.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brixmor Property Completes $400 Million Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Brixmor Operating Partnership LP, a subsidiary of Brixmor Property Group Inc., completed a $400 million offering of 4.850% Senior Notes due 2033. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. This issuance, governed by a supplemental indenture, outlines covenants limiting additional indebtedness and asset sales, impacting the company’s financial strategy and obligations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025