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Brixmor Property Group (BRX)
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Brixmor Property (BRX) AI Stock Analysis

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BRX

Brixmor Property

(NYSE:BRX)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(14.68% Upside)
Brixmor Property's strong earnings call performance and solid financials are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical indicators suggest some short-term weakness, the company's valuation and attractive dividend yield provide a balanced investment case. The positive outlook from the earnings call further supports a favorable view, despite some operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Leasing Performance
The record leasing activity with high cash spreads indicates robust demand for Brixmor's retail spaces, enhancing long-term revenue stability and growth potential.
Increased Dividend
The dividend increase reflects Brixmor's strong cash flow and commitment to returning value to shareholders, indicating confidence in sustained financial performance.
Successful Reinvestment Projects
The completion of reinvestment projects with high yields demonstrates effective capital allocation, likely leading to increased property value and rental income.
Negative Factors
Decreased Base Rent Growth
The decline in base rent growth could pressure future revenue, as it indicates potential challenges in maintaining rental rate increases amid market conditions.
Tenant Disruptions
Tenant disruptions pose risks to occupancy rates and rental income stability, potentially impacting Brixmor's financial performance if not managed effectively.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth could limit Brixmor's ability to fund new projects or return capital to shareholders, affecting long-term financial flexibility.

Brixmor Property (BRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brixmor Property Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrixmor (NYSE: BRX) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates a high-quality, national portfolio of open-air shopping centers. Its 395 retail centers comprise approximately 69 million square feet of prime retail space in established trade areas. The Company strives to own and operate shopping centers that reflect Brixmor's vision to be the center of the communities we serve and are home to a diverse mix of thriving national, regional and local retailers. Brixmor is a proud real estate partner to approximately 5,000 retailers including The TJX Companies, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets, Wal-Mart, Ross Stores and L.A. Fitness.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrixmor generates revenue primarily through leasing retail space within its shopping centers. The company's primary revenue stream comes from rental income from tenants, which includes base rent and percentage rent, the latter being a share of tenants' sales when they exceed a certain threshold. Additionally, Brixmor earns income from management fees and ancillary services related to the operation of its properties. The company also benefits from long-term lease agreements with its tenants, providing stable and predictable cash flow. Key partnerships with national retailers and a focus on high-traffic locations enhance its earnings potential, while strategic redevelopment of existing properties can lead to increased rental rates and improved tenant sales, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Brixmor Property Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance, with record leasing activity and strategic acquisitions driving growth. Despite challenges such as tenant disruption and potential tariff impacts, Brixmor remains well-positioned for future growth with a strong balance sheet and resilient consumer demand.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Leasing Activity
Brixmor executed 1.7 million square feet of new and renewal leases at a blended cash spread of 24%, including over 900,000 square feet of new leases at an impressive 44% spread. This activity generated the highest quarterly annual base rent in the company's history.
Strong Financial Position and Growth Outlook
NAREIT FFO was $0.56 per share in the second quarter, driven by same-property NOI growth of 3.8% despite a 260 basis point drag from tenant disruption. The company has increased its FFO guidance to $2.22 to $2.25.
Strategic Acquisition of LaCenterra
Brixmor announced the acquisition of LaCenterra, a grocery-anchored lifestyle center in Houston, boasting over 5 million visits annually. The acquisition offers significant upside due to below-market rents and a diverse mix of high-quality tenants.
Strong Balance Sheet
Brixmor ended the quarter with $1.4 billion in available liquidity and no remaining debt maturities until June 2026, providing flexibility to execute on their business plan.
Resilient Consumer Demand and Retailer Growth
The company reported strong traffic and collection trends, with creditworthy tenants focused on growing store count. Brixmor is well-positioned to capitalize on this environment and deliver compelling growth in 2025 and beyond.
Negative Updates
Tenant Disruption Drag
Same-property NOI growth was impacted by a 260 basis point drag due to tenant disruption, particularly from Big Lots, Party City, and JOANN bankruptcies.
Ongoing Challenges with Certain Retail Categories
Potential risks remain with specific retail categories such as drug stores and theaters, which could impact future performance.
Impact of Tariffs on Retailer Margins
Concerns remain over potential pressure on retailer margins due to tariffs, although current leasing demand remains strong.
Company Guidance
During Brixmor Property Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance, underscoring its strong leasing activity and future growth prospects. The signed but not commenced (SNO) pipeline reached $67 million, representing 7% of total annual base rent (ABR), with expectations to commence $69 million in 2025, up from the previous estimate of $53 million. Same-property net operating income (NOI) growth is projected at 3.9% to 4.3%, driven by a 360 basis point contribution from base rent growth, despite a 230 basis point drag from tenant disruptions. The company's financial health remains strong with $1.4 billion in available liquidity and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.5x. Brixmor also highlighted its successful capital recycling strategy, including the acquisition of LaCenterra, which is expected to offer significant upside potential. The company's increased guidance for funds from operations (FFO) is set at $2.22 to $2.25 per share, reflecting enhanced lease settlements and other income. Overall, Brixmor emphasized its ability to deliver consistent outperformance and visibility on growth for 2026 and beyond.

Brixmor Property Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brixmor Property demonstrates strong profitability and effective equity utilization, with consistent improvements in profit margins and return on equity. However, the slight decline in operating cash flow and negative free cash flow growth in the TTM period could pose challenges.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Brixmor Property shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit margin from 74.3% to 80.9% over the years, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly from negative in 2020 to 25.3% in TTM, reflecting robust bottom-line growth. Revenue growth has been steady, albeit modest, with a TTM growth rate of 1.8%. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased in the TTM period, suggesting some pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 1.94 in 2020 to 1.79 in the latest annual report, indicating a positive trend in leverage management. Return on equity has shown a consistent upward trend, reaching 11.4% in TTM, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting limited improvement in asset financing through equity.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow has remained stable, with a slight decline in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is consistently at 1.0, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has been negative in the TTM period, which could be a concern for future cash availability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.35B1.29B1.25B1.22B1.15B1.05B
Gross Profit1.13B967.94M925.05M906.28M854.49M772.64M
EBITDA952.71M936.67M858.10M785.42M748.97M669.37M
Net Income332.51M339.27M305.09M161.77M75.48M-73.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.05B8.91B8.33B8.44B8.38B8.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments353.24M397.92M20.78M38.16M316.86M388.22M
Total Debt0.005.34B4.93B5.45B5.20B5.21B
Total Liabilities6.09B5.92B5.48B5.57B5.66B5.66B
Stockholders Equity2.96B2.98B2.85B2.87B2.72B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow634.98M624.69M588.79M566.38M552.24M443.10M
Operating Cash Flow634.98M624.69M588.79M566.38M552.24M443.10M
Investing Cash Flow-594.59M-437.02M-163.08M-462.45M-331.00M-167.25M
Financing Cash Flow-116.34M172.12M-428.07M-380.41M-293.58M72.71M

Brixmor Property Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.16
Price Trends
50DMA
27.30
Negative
100DMA
26.46
Negative
200DMA
25.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
35.22
Neutral
STOCH
3.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.12, below the 50-day MA of 27.30, and above the 200-day MA of 25.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BRX.

Brixmor Property Risk Analysis

Brixmor Property disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brixmor Property reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brixmor Property Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$8.39B42.713.47%4.20%14.67%-5.17%
$8.36B24.4011.04%4.61%6.00%15.77%
$7.64B19.239.18%5.83%4.82%-5.18%
$8.01B24.2211.36%4.09%6.07%-0.28%
$4.80B54.813.62%3.67%10.58%37.97%
$4.79B34.884.71%4.85%3.67%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.16
-0.60
-2.24%
ADC
Agree Realty
73.01
2.03
2.86%
NNN
NNN REIT
40.46
-0.43
-1.05%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.14
-3.09
-12.25%
FRT
Federal Realty
96.19
-10.43
-9.78%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
33.84
-2.94
-7.99%

Brixmor Property Corporate Events

Brixmor Property Group’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

The recent earnings call for Brixmor Property Group showcased a generally positive sentiment, driven by strong leasing performance and successful reinvestment projects. Despite some challenges, such as decreased base rent growth and tenant disruptions, the overall outlook remains optimistic with significant growth potential.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Brixmor Property Launches $400M Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Brixmor Property Group Inc. announced a new share repurchase program for up to $400 million, replacing the existing program set to expire on November 1, 2025. This initiative, scheduled to expire on October 28, 2028, allows for repurchases at management’s discretion and aims to enhance shareholder value. Additionally, Brixmor entered into Equity Distribution Agreements with several financial institutions, allowing the sale of up to $400 million of common stock. This move is intended to provide financial flexibility and support general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRX) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brixmor Property stock, see the BRX Stock Forecast page.

Brixmor Property Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 29, 2025

Brixmor Property Group is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates a national portfolio of open-air shopping centers across the United States, with a focus on creating community-centered retail spaces.

Executive/Board Changes
Brixmor Property CEO Takes Medical Leave, Interim Named
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Brixmor Property Group announced that its CEO, James M. Taylor Jr., is taking a temporary medical leave of absence. During his absence, Brian T. Finnegan, the company’s President and COO, will serve as interim CEO. The board expressed confidence in the management team’s ability to continue executing the company’s business plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRX) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brixmor Property stock, see the BRX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Brixmor Property Completes $400 Million Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Brixmor Operating Partnership LP, a subsidiary of Brixmor Property Group Inc., completed a $400 million offering of 4.850% Senior Notes due 2033. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. This issuance, governed by a supplemental indenture, outlines covenants limiting additional indebtedness and asset sales, impacting the company’s financial strategy and obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRX) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brixmor Property stock, see the BRX Stock Forecast page.

Brixmor Property Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 30, 2025

Brixmor Property Group is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates a national portfolio of open-air shopping centers, comprising approximately 64 million square feet of retail space across 360 centers. The company is known for its focus on established trade areas and a diverse mix of national, regional, and local retailers.

Brixmor Property Group’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Jul 30, 2025

Brixmor Property Group’s recent earnings call painted a picture of optimism and growth, despite some challenges. The company reported strong leasing activity and financial performance, with significant growth in new leases and strategic acquisitions. However, tenant disruption posed a challenge, impacting same-property NOI growth. Nevertheless, Brixmor remains optimistic about future growth fueled by a robust pipeline and strategic asset management.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025