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Brixmor Property (BRX)
NYSE:BRX
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Brixmor Property (BRX) AI Stock Analysis

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BRX

Brixmor Property

(NYSE:BRX)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(6.95% Upside)
Brixmor Property Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, highlighting robust leasing activity and strategic growth initiatives. While technical indicators suggest a positive trend, valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio slightly temper the outlook. The company's ability to manage debt and capitalize on resilient consumer demand positions it well for future growth.
Positive Factors
Earnings Guidance
Earnings guidance for the company has been increased, surpassing market expectations and indicating a stronger performance in the latter half of the year.
Financial Performance
BRX reported funds from operations that exceeded both their own estimates and those of market analysts, reflecting a better-than-anticipated financial performance.
Investment Opportunity
Brixmor Property Group's valuation is inexpensive, making it a compelling investment opportunity.
Negative Factors
Debt Concerns
Concerns about increased bad debt have previously impacted stock performance due to Brixmor's higher tenant exposure compared to peers.
Occupancy Rates
Leased occupancy declined by 120 basis points year over year.
Tenant Challenges
There is exposure to vacating tenants like Big Lots and Party City, which presents potential challenges.

Brixmor Property (BRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brixmor Property Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrixmor (NYSE: BRX) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and operates a high-quality, national portfolio of open-air shopping centers. Its 395 retail centers comprise approximately 69 million square feet of prime retail space in established trade areas. The Company strives to own and operate shopping centers that reflect Brixmor's vision to be the center of the communities we serve and are home to a diverse mix of thriving national, regional and local retailers. Brixmor is a proud real estate partner to approximately 5,000 retailers including The TJX Companies, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets, Wal-Mart, Ross Stores and L.A. Fitness.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrixmor generates revenue primarily through leasing retail space within its shopping centers. The company's primary revenue stream comes from rental income from tenants, which includes base rent and percentage rent, the latter being a share of tenants' sales when they exceed a certain threshold. Additionally, Brixmor earns income from management fees and ancillary services related to the operation of its properties. The company also benefits from long-term lease agreements with its tenants, providing stable and predictable cash flow. Key partnerships with national retailers and a focus on high-traffic locations enhance its earnings potential, while strategic redevelopment of existing properties can lead to increased rental rates and improved tenant sales, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Brixmor Property Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance, with record leasing activity and strategic acquisitions driving growth. Despite challenges such as tenant disruption and potential tariff impacts, Brixmor remains well-positioned for future growth with a strong balance sheet and resilient consumer demand.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Leasing Activity
Brixmor executed 1.7 million square feet of new and renewal leases at a blended cash spread of 24%, including over 900,000 square feet of new leases at an impressive 44% spread. This activity generated the highest quarterly annual base rent in the company's history.
Strong Financial Position and Growth Outlook
NAREIT FFO was $0.56 per share in the second quarter, driven by same-property NOI growth of 3.8% despite a 260 basis point drag from tenant disruption. The company has increased its FFO guidance to $2.22 to $2.25.
Strategic Acquisition of LaCenterra
Brixmor announced the acquisition of LaCenterra, a grocery-anchored lifestyle center in Houston, boasting over 5 million visits annually. The acquisition offers significant upside due to below-market rents and a diverse mix of high-quality tenants.
Strong Balance Sheet
Brixmor ended the quarter with $1.4 billion in available liquidity and no remaining debt maturities until June 2026, providing flexibility to execute on their business plan.
Resilient Consumer Demand and Retailer Growth
The company reported strong traffic and collection trends, with creditworthy tenants focused on growing store count. Brixmor is well-positioned to capitalize on this environment and deliver compelling growth in 2025 and beyond.
Negative Updates
Tenant Disruption Drag
Same-property NOI growth was impacted by a 260 basis point drag due to tenant disruption, particularly from Big Lots, Party City, and JOANN bankruptcies.
Ongoing Challenges with Certain Retail Categories
Potential risks remain with specific retail categories such as drug stores and theaters, which could impact future performance.
Impact of Tariffs on Retailer Margins
Concerns remain over potential pressure on retailer margins due to tariffs, although current leasing demand remains strong.
Company Guidance
During Brixmor Property Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance, underscoring its strong leasing activity and future growth prospects. The signed but not commenced (SNO) pipeline reached $67 million, representing 7% of total annual base rent (ABR), with expectations to commence $69 million in 2025, up from the previous estimate of $53 million. Same-property net operating income (NOI) growth is projected at 3.9% to 4.3%, driven by a 360 basis point contribution from base rent growth, despite a 230 basis point drag from tenant disruptions. The company's financial health remains strong with $1.4 billion in available liquidity and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.5x. Brixmor also highlighted its successful capital recycling strategy, including the acquisition of LaCenterra, which is expected to offer significant upside potential. The company's increased guidance for funds from operations (FFO) is set at $2.22 to $2.25 per share, reflecting enhanced lease settlements and other income. Overall, Brixmor emphasized its ability to deliver consistent outperformance and visibility on growth for 2026 and beyond.

Brixmor Property Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brixmor Property demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and efficient cost management, reflected in solid profit margins. Leverage is moderate but manageable, supported by a stable asset base and good return on equity. Cash flows are strong, indicating effective operational management and capital allocation.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Brixmor Property shows a solid performance with a steady increase in total revenue over the years. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 71.2% in the TTM period, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margin slightly decreased from 26.4% in 2024 to 24.6% in the TTM period. The EBIT margin remains stable at about 35.9%. Revenue growth has been consistent, with TTM revenue up by 1.3% from the previous year, although the pace has slowed slightly.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73, indicating reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio stands at 34.4%, showing a balanced asset structure. Return on equity is relatively strong at 10.8% for the TTM period, driven by consistent profitability. The company maintains a stable asset base, although slight fluctuations in equity suggest some financial strategy adjustments.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flows are robust with positive free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.96, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also solid at 2.20, indicating effective capital management and operational efficiency. However, the cash flow from financing activities suggests a focus on debt repayment, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.29B1.25B1.22B1.15B1.05B
Gross Profit1.12B925.05M906.28M854.49M772.64M
EBITDA936.67M858.10M785.42M748.97M669.37M
Net Income339.27M305.09M161.77M75.48M-73.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.91B8.33B8.44B8.38B8.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments397.92M20.78M38.16M316.86M388.22M
Total Debt5.34B4.93B5.45B5.20B5.21B
Total Liabilities5.92B5.48B5.57B5.66B5.66B
Stockholders Equity2.98B2.85B2.87B2.72B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow624.69M588.79M236.03M243.66M158.34M
Operating Cash Flow624.69M588.79M566.38M552.24M443.10M
Investing Cash Flow-437.02M-163.08M-462.45M-331.00M-167.25M
Financing Cash Flow172.12M-428.07M-380.41M-293.58M72.71M

Brixmor Property Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.05
Price Trends
50DMA
26.08
Positive
100DMA
25.55
Positive
200DMA
26.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
66.63
Neutral
STOCH
81.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.63, above the 50-day MA of 26.08, and above the 200-day MA of 26.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BRX.

Brixmor Property Risk Analysis

Brixmor Property disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brixmor Property reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brixmor Property Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$7.98B43.233.44%4.22%13.27%-5.92%
75
Outperform
$7.92B19.989.18%5.58%4.82%-5.18%
75
Outperform
$8.45B25.1811.52%4.05%5.98%12.11%
74
Outperform
$8.58B25.1511.04%4.46%6.00%15.77%
73
Outperform
$4.76B65.483.01%3.57%10.31%14.39%
66
Neutral
$4.90B28.525.53%4.80%4.03%
63
Neutral
$7.00B13.54-0.52%7.07%3.61%-22.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRX
Brixmor Property
28.05
1.69
6.41%
ADC
Agree Realty
72.13
1.74
2.47%
NNN
National Retail Properties
41.94
-2.46
-5.54%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.70
-2.09
-8.43%
FRT
Federal Realty
98.76
-11.46
-10.40%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
34.42
-1.23
-3.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025