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Phillips Edison & Company (PECO)
NASDAQ:PECO
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Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) AI Stock Analysis

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PECO

Phillips Edison & Company

(NASDAQ:PECO)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(9.50% Upside)
Phillips Edison & Company's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, contributing to a solid overall score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish trends, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's robust dividend yield and increased earnings guidance provide additional support for the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
PECO's robust acquisition pipeline and healthy leasing spreads are driving positive business improvements.
Financial Performance
Core earnings beat expectations, indicating strong financial performance.
Negative Factors
Economic Occupancy
Economic occupancy dipped compared to the previous year, reflecting some challenges in maintaining tenant levels.
Occupancy
Leased occupancy declined by 60 basis points quarter-over-quarter due to known bankruptcies.

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Phillips Edison & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO), an internally-managed REIT, is one of the nation's largest owners and operators of grocery-anchored shopping centers. PECO's diversified portfolio of well-occupied neighborhood shopping centers features a mix of national and regional retailers selling necessity-based goods and services in fundamentally strong markets throughout the United States. Through its vertically-integrated operating platform, the Company manages a portfolio of 309 properties, including 283 wholly-owned properties comprising approximately 31.7 million square feet across 31 states (as of September 30, 2020). PECO has generated strong operating results over its 29+ year history and has partnered with leading institutional commercial real estate investors, including TPG Real Estate and The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company. The Company remains exclusively focused on creating great grocery-anchored shopping experiences and improving the communities it serves one center at a time.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhillips Edison & Company generates revenue primarily through the leasing of retail space in their grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company's primary revenue streams include rental income from tenants, which often consist of long-term leases with built-in rent escalations, and additional income from common area maintenance fees and other property-related services. PECO aims to maintain high occupancy rates and attract a diverse mix of national, regional, and local tenants to ensure stable and reliable cash flows. The company's earnings are also supported by its strategic acquisitions and dispositions of properties, which help optimize its portfolio. Partnerships with grocery chains and other retail entities enhance the value of their properties, contributing to increased foot traffic and tenant demand.

Phillips Edison & Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong growth in key financial metrics, successful acquisition activity, and high occupancy rates. Increased guidance for the year further underscored the company's positive outlook. However, challenges such as increased bad debt and potential tariff impacts were noted, along with a projected deceleration in same-store NOI growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Core Metrics
Same-center NOI increased by 4.2% and core FFO per share increased by 8.5%. NAREIT FFO per share also grew by 8.8% year-over-year.
Increased Guidance for 2025
The company raised its full-year 2025 earnings guidance for same-center NOI, core FFO per share, and NAREIT FFO per share.
High Occupancy Rates
Portfolio occupancy remained high at 97.4%, with anchor occupancy at 98.9% and in-line occupancy at 94.8%.
Robust Leasing Performance
Comparable renewal rent spreads were 19.1%, with in-line renewal rent spreads at 20.7%. New leasing rent spreads were 34.6%, with in-line new rent spreads at 28.1%.
Successful Acquisition Activity
Year-to-date gross acquisitions at PECO's share reached $287 million, with a target range of $350 million to $450 million for the year.
Strong Liquidity Position
Approximately $972 million of liquidity is available to support acquisition plans with no meaningful debt maturities until 2027.
Negative Updates
Increased Bad Debt
Bad debt rose in the second quarter compared to a year ago, although it remains within the guidance range.
Potential Tariff Impact
Approximately 15% of neighbors may be impacted by tariffs, though the company believes the effect will be limited.
Deceleration in Same-Store NOI Growth
Projected slower same-store NOI growth in the second half of the year compared to the first half.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Phillips Edison & Company reported strong financial performance, with a 4.2% increase in same-center net operating income (NOI) and an 8.5% rise in core funds from operations (FFO) per share. The company has subsequently raised its full-year 2025 earnings guidance for same-center NOI, core FFO per share, and NAREIT FFO per share. The company highlighted a robust leasing environment, achieving a portfolio occupancy rate of 97.4% and strong renewal rent spreads of 19.1%, with in-line renewal rent spreads at 20.7%. New leasing rent spreads for the quarter were 34.6%, with in-line new rent spreads at 28.1%. Additionally, Phillips Edison & Company completed $133 million in asset acquisitions during the quarter, bringing year-to-date gross acquisitions to $287 million, and reaffirmed its 2025 gross acquisition guidance range of $350 million to $450 million. The company also reported a NAREIT FFO of $86 million or $0.62 per diluted share, marking an 8.8% year-over-year growth. With a strong balance sheet and $972 million in liquidity, the company is well-positioned for continued growth, targeting mid- to high single-digit core FFO per share growth annually over the long term.

Phillips Edison & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phillips Edison & Company demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with high gross and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is stable but shows moderate leverage and modest returns on equity. Cash flow management is excellent, although free cash flow growth has recently declined.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Phillips Edison & Company shows a consistent upward trend in revenue, with a notable revenue growth rate of 11.28% from 2023 to 2024 and 2.66% in TTM 2025. Gross profit margin remains strong at around 62.14% in TTM 2025. However, net profit margin is low, standing at 6.25% in TTM 2025, indicating relatively high operational costs. The EBIT margin of 26.11% and EBITDA margin of 63.98% in TTM 2025 highlight solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with an equity ratio of 34.61% in TTM 2025, indicating a sound capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.04, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on equity is modest at 1.84% in TTM 2025, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns on equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Phillips Edison & Company demonstrates robust cash flow management with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 7.84 in TTM 2025, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 5.28, showing efficient cash utilization. The free cash flow growth rate, however, is negative at -6.49% from 2024 to TTM 2025, pointing to potential pressures on free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue694.64M661.39M610.12M575.37M532.85M498.02M
Gross Profit494.97M471.07M435.00M412.15M374.55M343.51M
EBITDA447.29M425.46M390.64M366.91M322.15M298.95M
Net Income68.84M62.69M56.85M48.32M15.12M4.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.27B5.05B4.87B4.74B4.67B4.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.59M12.30M4.87M5.48M115.53M104.30M
Total Debt2.51B2.23B2.08B2.01B2.00B2.39B
Total Liabilities2.68B2.41B2.21B2.14B2.19B2.66B
Stockholders Equity2.29B2.32B2.31B2.24B2.15B1.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow226.22M239.63M195.71M186.40M187.87M146.61M
Operating Cash Flow349.77M334.71M290.97M290.89M262.90M210.58M
Investing Cash Flow-578.83M-392.94M-353.39M-331.25M-180.49M-44.09M
Financing Cash Flow227.28M58.01M53.95M-57.83M-98.82M-129.66M

Phillips Edison & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price33.79
Price Trends
50DMA
34.43
Negative
100DMA
34.72
Negative
200DMA
35.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
46.65
Neutral
STOCH
75.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PECO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.85, below the 50-day MA of 34.43, and below the 200-day MA of 35.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PECO.

Phillips Edison & Company Risk Analysis

Phillips Edison & Company disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phillips Edison & Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phillips Edison & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.68B23.847.73%5.44%6.28%1.21%
75
Outperform
$3.73B37.3316.78%3.44%10.59%-1.83%
75
Outperform
$8.27B24.7111.52%4.20%5.98%12.11%
71
Outperform
$4.72B64.783.01%3.59%10.31%14.39%
66
Neutral
$4.87B28.245.53%4.86%4.03%
65
Neutral
$2.04B16.924.00%5.06%1.74%-1.63%
55
Neutral
$4.58B-19.00%3.95%4.53%40.88%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
33.79
-1.44
-4.09%
MAC
Macerich
18.12
3.00
19.84%
SKT
Tanger
32.71
4.12
14.41%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
21.87
-2.68
-10.92%
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.98
0.98
3.77%
FCPT
Four Corners Property
25.78
-0.36
-1.38%

Phillips Edison & Company Corporate Events

Dividends
Phillips Edison Announces August 2025 Dividend Distribution
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced that its Board of Directors approved a monthly dividend distribution of $0.1025 per share for August 2025, payable on September 3, 2025, to stockholders of record as of August 15, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and maintaining its position as a leading player in the grocery-anchored shopping center industry.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phillips Edison Updates REIT Tax Considerations
Neutral
Jul 28, 2025

On February 7, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. filed a Registration Statement with the SEC, updating its U.S. federal income tax considerations for its REIT status. The filing emphasizes the complexities and potential changes in tax laws affecting REIT qualifications and the implications for stakeholders, including the possibility of retroactive changes impacting tax treatment.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phillips Edison Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a net income of $12.8 million and increased full-year earnings guidance. The company achieved a 4.2% growth in same-center NOI and reported strong occupancy rates, reflecting robust retailer demand and effective operational strategies. The company also completed significant acquisitions and a public debt offering, positioning itself for continued growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Private Placements and Financing
Phillips Edison & Company Completes $350 Million Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Phillips Edison Grocery Center Operating Partnership I, L.P., a subsidiary of Phillips Edison & Company, completed a public offering of $350 million in senior notes due 2032, guaranteed by the parent company and its subsidiaries. The proceeds, estimated at $346.2 million after expenses, will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and property acquisitions, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025