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Phillips Edison & Company (PECO)
NASDAQ:PECO
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Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) AI Stock Analysis

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PECO

Phillips Edison & Company

(NASDAQ:PECO)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(9.70% Upside)
Phillips Edison & Company demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, driving a solid stock score. While technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, the company's robust cash flow and increased earnings guidance support a favorable outlook. Valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio are mitigated by a reasonable dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
The consistent growth in key financial metrics like NOI and FFO per share indicates robust operational efficiency and a strong market position, which supports long-term financial health and investor confidence.
High Occupancy Rates
Maintaining high occupancy rates reflects strong demand for PECO's retail spaces, ensuring steady rental income and enhancing the company's stability and attractiveness to investors.
Strong Liquidity Position
A strong liquidity position enables PECO to pursue strategic acquisitions and investments, providing flexibility to capitalize on growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Increased Bad Debt
Rising bad debt levels can strain financial resources and indicate potential challenges in tenant creditworthiness, impacting cash flow and profitability if not managed effectively.
Potential Tariff Impact
Tariff impacts on tenants could lead to increased costs and reduced profitability for them, potentially affecting their ability to meet lease obligations and impacting PECO's revenue.
Deceleration in Same-Store NOI Growth
A slowdown in same-store NOI growth could signal challenges in maintaining growth momentum, affecting future revenue projections and investor sentiment if not addressed.

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Phillips Edison & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhillips Edison & Company (PECO) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership and management of grocery-anchored shopping centers across the United States. The company focuses on retail properties that are strategically located in densely populated areas, providing essential goods and services. PECO's core offerings include property leasing, asset management, and strategic development, catering to both national and local retailers.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhillips Edison & Company generates revenue primarily through the leasing of retail spaces within its grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company earns rental income from long-term leases with tenants, which often include supermarkets, drugstores, and various service-oriented retailers. Additionally, PECO benefits from percentage rents, where tenants pay a portion of their sales as rent, especially during high-performing periods. Other revenue streams include property management fees and income generated from the sale of non-core assets. The company's strong relationships with national retailers and its focus on high-traffic locations contribute to its financial stability and growth. Furthermore, strategic partnerships and joint ventures can enhance its portfolio and expand its reach in the retail market.

Phillips Edison & Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong growth in key financial metrics, successful acquisition activity, and high occupancy rates. Increased guidance for the year further underscored the company's positive outlook. However, challenges such as increased bad debt and potential tariff impacts were noted, along with a projected deceleration in same-store NOI growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Core Metrics
Same-center NOI increased by 4.2% and core FFO per share increased by 8.5%. NAREIT FFO per share also grew by 8.8% year-over-year.
Increased Guidance for 2025
The company raised its full-year 2025 earnings guidance for same-center NOI, core FFO per share, and NAREIT FFO per share.
High Occupancy Rates
Portfolio occupancy remained high at 97.4%, with anchor occupancy at 98.9% and in-line occupancy at 94.8%.
Robust Leasing Performance
Comparable renewal rent spreads were 19.1%, with in-line renewal rent spreads at 20.7%. New leasing rent spreads were 34.6%, with in-line new rent spreads at 28.1%.
Successful Acquisition Activity
Year-to-date gross acquisitions at PECO's share reached $287 million, with a target range of $350 million to $450 million for the year.
Strong Liquidity Position
Approximately $972 million of liquidity is available to support acquisition plans with no meaningful debt maturities until 2027.
Negative Updates
Increased Bad Debt
Bad debt rose in the second quarter compared to a year ago, although it remains within the guidance range.
Potential Tariff Impact
Approximately 15% of neighbors may be impacted by tariffs, though the company believes the effect will be limited.
Deceleration in Same-Store NOI Growth
Projected slower same-store NOI growth in the second half of the year compared to the first half.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Phillips Edison & Company reported strong financial performance, with a 4.2% increase in same-center net operating income (NOI) and an 8.5% rise in core funds from operations (FFO) per share. The company has subsequently raised its full-year 2025 earnings guidance for same-center NOI, core FFO per share, and NAREIT FFO per share. The company highlighted a robust leasing environment, achieving a portfolio occupancy rate of 97.4% and strong renewal rent spreads of 19.1%, with in-line renewal rent spreads at 20.7%. New leasing rent spreads for the quarter were 34.6%, with in-line new rent spreads at 28.1%. Additionally, Phillips Edison & Company completed $133 million in asset acquisitions during the quarter, bringing year-to-date gross acquisitions to $287 million, and reaffirmed its 2025 gross acquisition guidance range of $350 million to $450 million. The company also reported a NAREIT FFO of $86 million or $0.62 per diluted share, marking an 8.8% year-over-year growth. With a strong balance sheet and $972 million in liquidity, the company is well-positioned for continued growth, targeting mid- to high single-digit core FFO per share growth annually over the long term.

Phillips Edison & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phillips Edison & Company exhibits solid financial health with consistent revenue growth, strong profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the company maintains a stable capital structure. Improvement in net profit margins and return on equity could enhance financial performance further.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Phillips Edison & Company shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.31%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, including a gross profit margin of 71.26% and an EBITDA margin of 64.39% for the TTM. However, the net profit margin is relatively modest at 9.91%, indicating room for improvement in net income efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is modest at 3.00%, indicating potential for improved profitability. The equity ratio stands at 43.45%, reflecting a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Phillips Edison & Company demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 93.90% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 14.02, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 64.68% further underscores strong cash flow performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue694.64M661.39M610.12M575.37M532.85M498.02M
Gross Profit494.97M471.07M435.00M412.15M374.55M343.51M
EBITDA447.29M425.46M390.64M366.91M322.15M298.95M
Net Income68.84M62.69M56.85M48.32M15.12M4.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.27B5.05B4.87B4.74B4.67B4.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.59M12.30M4.87M5.48M115.53M104.30M
Total Debt2.51B2.23B2.08B2.01B2.00B2.39B
Total Liabilities2.68B2.41B2.21B2.14B2.19B2.66B
Stockholders Equity2.29B2.32B2.31B2.24B2.15B1.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow226.22M239.63M195.71M186.40M187.87M146.61M
Operating Cash Flow349.77M334.71M290.97M290.89M262.90M210.58M
Investing Cash Flow-578.83M-392.94M-353.39M-331.25M-180.49M-44.09M
Financing Cash Flow227.28M58.01M53.95M-57.83M-98.82M-129.66M

Phillips Edison & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.55
Price Trends
50DMA
34.47
Positive
100DMA
34.77
Positive
200DMA
35.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Negative
RSI
59.57
Neutral
STOCH
59.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PECO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.79, above the 50-day MA of 34.47, and above the 200-day MA of 35.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PECO.

Phillips Edison & Company Risk Analysis

Phillips Edison & Company disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phillips Edison & Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phillips Edison & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$8.06B20.299.18%5.48%4.82%-5.18%
75
Outperform
$8.51B25.4311.52%4.08%5.98%12.11%
74
Outperform
$8.04B43.313.44%4.24%13.27%-5.92%
74
Outperform
$4.95B67.853.01%3.46%10.31%14.39%
66
Neutral
$5.02B29.085.53%4.74%4.03%
63
Neutral
$7.03B13.25-0.30%6.93%4.01%-25.47%
55
Neutral
$4.72B-19.00%3.76%4.53%40.88%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
35.55
-1.52
-4.10%
ADC
Agree Realty
71.97
-0.85
-1.17%
MAC
Macerich
17.92
2.29
14.65%
NNN
National Retail Properties
42.68
-3.02
-6.61%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.59
-2.62
-10.39%
BRX
Brixmor Property
27.79
1.46
5.55%

Phillips Edison & Company Corporate Events

Dividends
Phillips Edison & Company Increases Monthly Dividends
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced a 5.7% increase in its monthly dividend distributions for October and November 2025, reflecting the company’s continued strong operating performance and cash flow growth. This marks the fifth consecutive annual increase in dividend distributions, highlighting PECO’s ability to deliver solid growth and create long-term value for shareholders.

Dividends
Phillips Edison Announces August 2025 Dividend Distribution
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced that its Board of Directors approved a monthly dividend distribution of $0.1025 per share for August 2025, payable on September 3, 2025, to stockholders of record as of August 15, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and maintaining its position as a leading player in the grocery-anchored shopping center industry.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phillips Edison Updates REIT Tax Considerations
Neutral
Jul 28, 2025

On February 7, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. filed a Registration Statement with the SEC, updating its U.S. federal income tax considerations for its REIT status. The filing emphasizes the complexities and potential changes in tax laws affecting REIT qualifications and the implications for stakeholders, including the possibility of retroactive changes impacting tax treatment.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phillips Edison Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a net income of $12.8 million and increased full-year earnings guidance. The company achieved a 4.2% growth in same-center NOI and reported strong occupancy rates, reflecting robust retailer demand and effective operational strategies. The company also completed significant acquisitions and a public debt offering, positioning itself for continued growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Private Placements and Financing
Phillips Edison & Company Completes $350 Million Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Phillips Edison Grocery Center Operating Partnership I, L.P., a subsidiary of Phillips Edison & Company, completed a public offering of $350 million in senior notes due 2032, guaranteed by the parent company and its subsidiaries. The proceeds, estimated at $346.2 million after expenses, will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and property acquisitions, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 02, 2025