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Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO)
NASDAQ:PECO
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Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) AI Stock Analysis

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PECO

Phillips Edison & Company

(NASDAQ:PECO)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$46.00
â–²(6.16% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
PECO scores well primarily on solid underlying financial performance (revenue and cash flow strength) and a strong, guidance-raising earnings call highlighting high occupancy and leasing momentum. The overall score is tempered by meaningful leverage and an earnings-quality distortion in 2025, while technicals are currently soft and valuation is less attractive due to a high P/E despite a decent dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High Occupancy & Leasing Momentum
Sustained high occupancy and record inline leasing indicate durable tenant demand for grocery-anchored centers. Strong renewal and new rent spreads support recurring NOI growth, underpins stable rental cash flows, and reduces vacancy-related capex and leasing downtime over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Meaningful Leverage
A relatively high leverage profile increases sensitivity to interest-rate moves and property-value declines. Although common in REITs, this level constrains flexibility for large opportunistic moves and elevates refinancing and covenant risk during adverse credit or capital markets conditions.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Occupancy & Leasing Momentum
Sustained high occupancy and record inline leasing indicate durable tenant demand for grocery-anchored centers. Strong renewal and new rent spreads support recurring NOI growth, underpins stable rental cash flows, and reduces vacancy-related capex and leasing downtime over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Phillips Edison & Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annualized Base Rent
Annualized Base Rent
Totals the contracted annual rent from all in-place leases, showing the predictable cash income the portfolio should produce before vacancies and expenses. Rising annualized base rent points to stronger lease terms or higher-quality tenants, while declines can signal lease expirations, concessions, or weakening local demand.
Chart InsightsAnnualized base rent has climbed steadily since 2021, driven by accretive acquisitions and strong lease re‑pricing—this underpins management’s raised FFO outlook and same‑center NOI guidance. The recent gains align with high occupancy and outsized renewal/new rent spreads, but a marginal plateau in the latest quarter suggests near‑term contribution from pipeline closings and completed developments will be key to sustain momentum. Watch elevated leverage and the pivot into non‑core everyday retail: they boost returns but raise execution and valuation risk if market liquidity tightens.
Data provided by:The Fly

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Phillips Edison & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. is one of the nation’s largest owners and operators of high-quality, grocery-anchored neighborhood shopping centers. PECO has generated strong results through its vertically integrated operating platform and nationa...
How the Company Makes Money
PECO makes money primarily from real estate leasing and operations of its grocery-anchored shopping centers. Its core revenue stream is rental income paid by tenants under lease agreements, including anchor grocers and smaller shop tenants; these ...

Phillips Edison & Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized robust operating performance (FFO growth, same-center NOI growth, record occupancy metrics, strong rent spreads), strengthened liquidity and balance sheet (equity raise, $857M liquidity, Moody's positive outlook), an active and accretive acquisition and development pipeline, and disciplined capital recycling. Key risks discussed included a cautious grocer/consumer backdrop, a very competitive acquisition market, modest near-term incremental FFO guidance, some one-time income items, and limited remaining occupancy upside in the near term. Overall, positives (strong core operating results, balance sheet strength, and accretive growth pipeline) materially outweigh the discussed headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong FFO and Core FFO Growth
NAREIT FFO per share grew 8.1% in Q2; Core FFO per share grew 7.8% in Q2. Full-year 2026 guidance for NAREIT FFO per share was raised (midpoint now +6.3% vs. 2025) and Core FFO per share guidance was also increased (midpoint +6.2% vs. 2025).
Negative Updates
Modest FFO Guiding Increment
Analysts highlighted that the FFO guidance increase was modest (only ~$0.01 increase in the guide) despite multiple positive operating updates, which suggests limited near-term upside embedded in current guidance.
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Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong FFO and Core FFO Growth
NAREIT FFO per share grew 8.1% in Q2; Core FFO per share grew 7.8% in Q2. Full-year 2026 guidance for NAREIT FFO per share was raised (midpoint now +6.3% vs. 2025) and Core FFO per share guidance was also increased (midpoint +6.2% vs. 2025).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised 2026 guidance: full‑year NAREIT FFO per share (midpoint +6.3% vs. 2025) and core FFO per share (midpoint +6.2% vs. 2025) were increased and same‑center NOI guidance was raised to a ~3.7% midpoint (Q2 same‑center NOI was +3.8%); gross acquisitions guidance was increased to $500–$600M (up $100M net) with dispositions targeted at $100–$200M, YTD acquisitions of $278M (PECO share) and >$225M in pipeline expected to close in H2; capital actions include raising just over $90M of equity in June/July, $857M liquidity, net debt/TTM adjusted EBITDAR ~5.1x (5.0x LQA), 95.9% fixed‑rate debt, weighted average rate 4.4% and maturity 5.6 years, and targeted unlevered IRRs of 9% for grocery‑anchored and 10% for everyday retail; development/redevelopment: 21 projects under construction (~$82M total, 9–12% average yields), and bad debt guidance tightened to be in line with or slightly better than 2025.

Phillips Edison & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are constructive: steady revenue growth and improved profitability, with consistently positive and generally rising operating cash flow and free cash flow. Offsetting this is meaningful leverage (debt-to-equity near ~1.09) and an earnings-quality flag in 2025 where gross profit/margin turned negative despite positive net income, reducing confidence in reported margins.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue750.89M732.30M661.39M610.12M575.37M532.85M
Gross Profit533.12M-10.19M471.07M435.00M412.15M374.55M
EBITDA537.91M505.75M410.97M380.33M355.62M322.15M
Net Income143.68M111.30M62.69M56.85M48.32M15.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.44B5.29B5.05B4.87B4.74B4.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.13M19.90M4.88M13.44M13.27M98.14M
Total Debt2.58B2.49B2.11B2.08B2.01B2.00B
Total Liabilities2.78B2.70B2.41B2.21B2.14B2.19B
Stockholders Equity2.37B2.29B2.32B2.31B2.24B2.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow237.81M212.00M239.63M195.71M186.40M187.87M
Operating Cash Flow365.07M348.15M334.71M290.97M290.89M262.90M
Investing Cash Flow-299.73M-392.29M-392.94M-353.39M-331.25M-180.49M
Financing Cash Flow-44.56M78.80M58.01M53.95M-57.83M-98.82M

Phillips Edison & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price43.33
Price Trends
50DMA
41.67
Negative
100DMA
40.04
Positive
200DMA
37.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
42.23
Neutral
STOCH
10.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PECO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 43.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.70, above the 50-day MA of 41.67, and above the 200-day MA of 37.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PECO.

Phillips Edison & Company Risk Analysis

Phillips Edison & Company disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phillips Edison & Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phillips Edison & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$9.67B22.1914.86%3.73%5.13%28.20%
76
Outperform
$9.04B23.078.70%4.86%5.77%-4.61%
72
Outperform
$9.68B41.833.58%3.90%18.06%10.08%
71
Outperform
$6.00B36.956.24%2.99%8.07%106.29%
68
Neutral
$5.73B17.6711.27%4.38%-5.84%395.39%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
58
Neutral
$7.62B-36.39-6.63%2.63%-2.56%60.74%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
40.72
8.25
25.39%
ADC
Agree Realty
76.35
5.54
7.82%
MAC
Macerich
23.49
7.47
46.61%
NNN
NNN REIT
47.00
7.36
18.56%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
26.71
6.35
31.17%
BRX
Brixmor Property
30.15
5.14
20.56%

Phillips Edison & Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Phillips Edison Declares August 2026 Monthly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
On August 5, 2026, Phillips Edison Company, Inc. announced that its board approved a monthly cash dividend of $0.1083 per share for August 2026, reflecting the company’s ongoing capital return program to shareholders. The distribution will ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phillips Edison Reports Strong Q2 Results, Raises Guidance
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
On July 23, 2026, Phillips Edison Company reported strong financial and operating results for the quarter and six‑month period ended June 30, 2026, highlighted by net income of $41.1 million for the quarter and $71.5 million year‑to&#...
Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Phillips Edison Reaffirms Governance and Declares Monthly Dividends
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Phillips Edison Company, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders in a virtual-only format, where shareholders re-elected all ten directors to one-year terms and approved an advisory vote on executive compensation. Investors ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026