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Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO)
NASDAQ:PECO

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) AI Stock Analysis

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PECO

Phillips Edison & Company

(NASDAQ:PECO)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(14.69% Upside)
Phillips Edison & Company is financially strong with robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet. The technical indicators show positive momentum, although the stock may be nearing overbought levels. Valuation is a concern due to a high P/E ratio, but the company’s positive earnings call and corporate events support a stable outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Leasing Performance
High rent spreads indicate strong demand and pricing power, enhancing long-term revenue potential and competitive positioning.
High Occupancy Rates
Sustained high occupancy rates reflect effective property management and tenant retention, ensuring stable cash flows.
Robust Financial Position
Strong liquidity and manageable debt maturities enhance financial flexibility, supporting growth and acquisition strategies.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow
Decreasing free cash flow may limit the company's ability to fund new investments or return capital to shareholders.
Moderate Same-Center NOI Growth
Slower NOI growth could signal challenges in increasing property income, affecting overall profitability.
Potential Interest Rate Exposure
Exposure to rising interest rates could increase financial costs, impacting net income and cash flow stability.

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Phillips Edison & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO), an internally-managed REIT, is one of the nation's largest owners and operators of grocery-anchored shopping centers. PECO's diversified portfolio of well-occupied neighborhood shopping centers features a mix of national and regional retailers selling necessity-based goods and services in fundamentally strong markets throughout the United States. Through its vertically-integrated operating platform, the Company manages a portfolio of 309 properties, including 283 wholly-owned properties comprising approximately 31.7 million square feet across 31 states (as of September 30, 2020). PECO has generated strong operating results over its 29+ year history and has partnered with leading institutional commercial real estate investors, including TPG Real Estate and The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company. The Company remains exclusively focused on creating great grocery-anchored shopping experiences and improving the communities it serves one center at a time.
How the Company Makes MoneyPECO generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company leases space to a variety of retailers, with a focus on essential services that maintain high foot traffic. Key revenue streams include base rents from tenants, percentage rents based on tenants' sales performance, and income from leasing ancillary spaces such as kiosks or outparcels. Additionally, PECO benefits from strategic partnerships with national grocery chains, which not only secure long-term leases but also drive consistent consumer traffic to their properties. The company's focus on maintaining a strong occupancy rate and enhancing property value through effective management also contributes to its overall profitability.

Phillips Edison & Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook, with increased guidance, strong leasing metrics, and a robust financial position. However, there were some concerns about slower same-center NOI growth, higher G&A expenses, and potential impacts from changing interest rates.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Guidance for 2025
PECO increased its guidance for NAREIT and core FFO per share, with midpoints representing a 6.8% and 6.6% growth, respectively.
Strong Leasing Performance
The company reported record-high comparable renewal rent spreads of 23.2% and comparable new leasing rent spreads of 24.5%.
High Occupancy Rates
Portfolio occupancy remained high at 97.6%, with anchor occupancy at 99.2%.
Substantial Acquisitions
Year-to-date gross acquisitions amounted to $376 million, with $96 million of assets acquired since June 30.
Robust Financial Position
The company has approximately $977 million of liquidity and no meaningful maturities until 2027.
Negative Updates
Moderate Same-Center NOI Growth
The forecast for 2025 reflects a same-center NOI growth between 1-2%, lower than previous years due to difficult comparisons with 2024.
Increased G&A Expenses
Guidance for G&A expenses was increased, attributed to performance-based incentive compensation and investments in technology and resources.
Potential Interest Rate Exposure
With swap expirations in November and December, the company could see an increase in floating rate debt, potentially affecting interest expenses.
Company Guidance
During Phillips Edison & Company's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company updated its guidance, indicating strong financial performance and growth expectations. The firm increased its guidance for full-year 2025 NAREIT and core FFO per share, with midpoints reflecting a growth of 6.8% and 6.6%, respectively. The company highlighted its portfolio's strength, with 70% of ABR derived from necessity-based goods and services, providing predictable cash flows. PECO reported high retention rates of 94% and strong leasing spreads, with renewal rent spreads at 23.2% and new leasing rent spreads at 24.5%. Occupancy rates remained robust at 97.6%. Year-to-date gross acquisitions at PECO share reached $376 million, with a focus on acquisitions yielding returns above 9%. The company maintained a net debt to trailing twelve-month adjusted EBITDAR ratio of 5.3 times and has $977 million in liquidity to support its acquisition plans. PECO reaffirmed its guidance for 2025 same-center NOI growth at 3.35% at the midpoint and anticipated long-term same-center NOI growth of 3-4% annually. The company plans to recycle lower IRR properties into higher IRR properties to drive earnings growth and expects to sell $50 million to $100 million of assets in 2025, with a more active pipeline for 2026.

Phillips Edison & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phillips Edison & Company demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet with low leverage. While cash flow generation is strong, the recent decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention. Overall, the company is well-positioned financially with a stable outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Phillips Edison & Company shows strong revenue growth with an 18.56% increase in TTM, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 75.11%. The net profit margin is healthy at 10.46%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT margin has decreased from previous years, suggesting potential operational cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has significantly reduced its debt, leading to a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, which enhances financial stability. The return on equity is modest at 3.75%, reflecting moderate profitability. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 14.79. However, free cash flow has declined by 11.18%, which could impact future investment capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 59.79%, indicating good cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue823.60M661.39M610.12M575.37M532.85M498.02M
Gross Profit618.60M471.07M435.00M412.15M374.55M343.51M
EBITDA451.77M410.97M380.33M355.62M322.15M298.95M
Net Income86.17M62.69M56.85M48.32M15.12M4.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.26B5.05B4.87B4.74B4.67B4.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.32M4.88M13.44M13.27M98.14M104.30M
Total Debt2.50B2.11B2.08B2.01B2.00B2.39B
Total Liabilities2.68B2.41B2.21B2.14B2.19B2.66B
Stockholders Equity2.28B2.32B2.31B2.24B2.15B1.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow200.93M239.63M195.71M186.40M187.87M146.61M
Operating Cash Flow336.09M334.71M290.97M290.89M262.90M210.58M
Investing Cash Flow-508.63M-392.94M-353.39M-331.25M-180.49M-44.09M
Financing Cash Flow169.02M58.01M53.95M-57.83M-98.82M-129.66M

Phillips Edison & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.75
Price Trends
50DMA
34.64
Positive
100DMA
34.35
Positive
200DMA
34.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
56.48
Neutral
STOCH
62.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PECO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.21, above the 50-day MA of 34.64, and above the 200-day MA of 34.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PECO.

Phillips Edison & Company Risk Analysis

Phillips Edison & Company disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phillips Edison & Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phillips Edison & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.50B18.718.91%6.04%4.53%-3.46%
75
Outperform
$4.95B58.333.62%3.51%10.58%37.97%
75
Outperform
$8.31B42.143.47%4.28%14.67%-5.17%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$7.98B24.1711.36%4.41%6.07%-0.28%
61
Neutral
$5.18B211.214.71%4.52%3.67%
55
Neutral
$4.98B-18.43%3.64%8.06%74.26%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
35.59
-1.29
-3.50%
ADC
Agree Realty
72.04
4.00
5.88%
MAC
Macerich
18.82
-0.65
-3.34%
NNN
NNN REIT
39.05
0.63
1.64%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
23.74
-0.33
-1.37%
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.10
-0.45
-1.69%

Phillips Edison & Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phillips Edison Updates 2025 Financial Guidance Amid Growth
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Phillips Edison & Company has announced updates to its 2025 financial guidance and introduced preliminary guidance for 2026 in alignment with its upcoming virtual Business Update on December 17, 2025. The updated 2025 guidance reflects slight adjustments to earnings per share (EPS) and acquisitions activity, while forecasts for 2026 indicate growth in net income and portfolio activity. These updates underscore the company’s ongoing focus on portfolio expansion and operational stability, potentially benefiting its stakeholders and reinforcing its position in the competitive retail real estate sector.

Dividends
Phillips Edison Announces Dividend Distributions for 2025-2026
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced the approval of monthly dividend distributions for November and December 2025, as well as January and February 2026, at a rate of $0.1083 per share. These distributions reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its stockholders and operating partnership unit holders, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the grocery-anchored shopping center industry.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phillips Edison & Co. Reports Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced its third quarter results for the period ending September 30, 2025, reporting a net income of $24.7 million, or $0.20 per diluted share. The company also increased its full-year earnings guidance, reflecting a strong demand for grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company reported a 6.8% year-over-year growth in Nareit FFO and a 6.6% growth in Core FFO, with a strong leased portfolio occupancy of 97.6%. The company executed leases with record-high rent spreads and continued its acquisition strategy, acquiring $21.9 million in assets during the quarter and $74.2 million in assets subsequent to the quarter end.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025