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Macerich Company (MAC)
NYSE:MAC
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Macerich (MAC) AI Stock Analysis

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MAC

Macerich

(NYSE:MAC)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-4.95% Downside)
Macerich's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in profitability and technical momentum, despite positive leasing activity and strategic progress highlighted in the earnings call. The high leverage and negative valuation metrics further weigh on the score, though the dividend yield offers some investor appeal.
Positive Factors
Leasing Activity
The significant increase in leasing activity demonstrates strong demand for Macerich's retail spaces, indicating a robust market position and potential for sustained revenue growth.
Occupancy and Sales Growth
Rising occupancy rates and sales per square foot reflect effective property management and tenant attraction strategies, enhancing long-term revenue potential.
Path Forward Plan Progress
Progress in the Path Forward plan, including leverage reduction and asset sales, strengthens financial health and supports strategic growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, as indicated by a negative net profit margin, pose risks to financial sustainability and limit reinvestment capacity.
High Leverage
High leverage levels can constrain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term stability.
Loan Maturity Issues
The potential technical default on a maturing loan indicates refinancing risks and could lead to increased financial strain if not addressed.

Macerich (MAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Macerich Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMacerich (MAC) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the ownership, operation, and development of high-quality retail and mixed-use properties across the United States. With a portfolio that includes major shopping centers and retail destinations, Macerich specializes in creating vibrant retail environments that enhance customer experiences and drive foot traffic. The company operates primarily in the retail sector, catering to a diverse range of tenants, including national brand retailers, restaurants, and entertainment venues.
How the Company Makes MoneyMacerich generates revenue primarily through leasing retail space to tenants in its shopping centers. The company's revenue streams include base rental income, which is derived from long-term leases with tenants, and percentage rent, which is a share of the tenant's sales volume above a certain threshold. Additionally, Macerich earns income from property management and development services, as well as through ancillary sources such as advertising and sponsorship opportunities within its properties. Key partnerships with national retailers and a strong focus on tenant mix and experience further enhance its revenue potential. The company also benefits from a solid portfolio of prime locations, which helps maintain high occupancy rates and rental pricing power.

Macerich Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Macerich demonstrated strong leasing activity and sales growth, alongside significant progress in their Path Forward plan. However, challenges such as the impact of Forever 21's liquidation and a maturing loan in technical default slightly tempered the positive momentum.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Leasing Activity
During the third quarter, Macerich signed 1.5 million square feet of new and renewal leases, marking an 87% increase from Q3 2024. Year-to-date, signed leases in 2025 reached 5.4 million square feet, an 86% increase compared to the same period in 2024.
Portfolio Sales and Occupancy Growth
Portfolio sales at the end of the third quarter were $867 per square foot, up almost 4% compared to the same period in 2024. Occupancy at the end of the third quarter was 93.4%, up 140 basis points from last quarter.
Progress on Path Forward Plan
Macerich has made substantial progress on the Path Forward plan, including reducing leverage to 7.76x net debt to EBITDA and achieving $1.2 billion in mall dispositions towards the $2 billion target.
Successful Acquisition of Crabtree Mall
Macerich acquired Crabtree Mall, expecting it to be a very compelling investment. The SNO pipeline grew from $87 million in August to $99 million as of today, putting the company on pace to meet or exceed the $100 million target by year-end.
Positive Trailing 12-Month Leasing Spreads
Trailing 12-month leasing spreads as of September 30, 2025, remained positive at 5.9%, representing 16 consecutive quarters of positive leasing spreads.
Negative Updates
Forever 21 Liquidation Impact
The Forever 21 liquidation has been a drag on occupancy. Of the 0.5 million square feet that became vacant, commitments have been made on 74% of that square footage, yet it remains a transitional challenge.
South Plains Loan Maturity Issues
Macerich has one remaining maturing loan in 2025 for approximately $200 million on the South Plains property, which is expected to be in technical default at maturity.
Flat Traffic Despite Sales Growth
Traffic through the third quarter was flat when compared to the same period in 2024, despite increases in sales per square foot.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Macerich reported significant progress in their leasing strategy, achieving 1.5 million square feet of new and renewal leases, marking an 87% increase from Q3 2024. Year-to-date signed leases reached 5.4 million square feet, an 86% increase compared to the same period in 2024. The company's SNO (signed not open) pipeline grew from $87 million in August to $99 million, with expectations to exceed $100 million by year-end and a potential increase to $140 million with the inclusion of Crabtree. Macerich's occupancy rose to 93.4%, up 140 basis points from the previous quarter. Additionally, trailing 12-month leasing spreads remained positive at 5.9%. The company also highlighted their successful anchor leasing initiatives with 30 targeted openings between 2025 and 2028, including key tenants like Dick's House of Sport.

Macerich Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Macerich's financial performance shows mixed results. While revenue growth is present, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, though recent improvements are noted. Cash flow generation is a relative strength, but historical volatility suggests potential fluctuations.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Macerich's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.33%. However, profitability remains a concern as indicated by the negative net profit margin of -37.97% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 64.60%, but the negative net income highlights ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over the years, indicating some operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a high level of leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.72 in 2020, which has improved to 0.0 in the TTM period, suggesting a reduction in debt levels or an increase in equity. However, the return on equity remains negative at -14.82% in the TTM period, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is not directly provided but the high debt levels pose a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends, with a free cash flow growth rate of 17.92% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not provided, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.13, indicating that the company is generating cash flow in excess of its net income, which is a positive sign. However, the historical volatility in free cash flow growth rates suggests potential fluctuations in cash generation capability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B918.20M884.07M859.16M847.44M786.03M
Gross Profit662.77M487.94M489.18M468.81M466.55M438.05M
EBITDA381.10M326.90M190.72M454.96M540.19M155.70M
Net Income-389.60M-194.12M-274.06M-66.07M14.26M-230.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.42B8.57B7.51B8.09B8.35B9.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments290.16M89.86M94.94M100.32M112.45M465.30M
Total Debt5.15B5.06B4.31B4.50B4.61B6.13B
Total Liabilities5.84B5.72B4.99B5.14B5.17B6.74B
Stockholders Equity2.51B2.76B2.45B2.87B3.05B2.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow352.29M283.44M295.50M337.51M286.37M124.84M
Operating Cash Flow347.39M283.44M295.50M337.51M286.37M124.84M
Investing Cash Flow-302.13M19.79M52.54M-1.40M234.97M-202.85M
Financing Cash Flow105.36M-316.05M-338.89M-321.94M-837.02M446.45M

Macerich Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.36
Price Trends
50DMA
17.31
Positive
100DMA
17.31
Positive
200DMA
16.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
53.30
Neutral
STOCH
85.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.18, above the 50-day MA of 17.31, and above the 200-day MA of 16.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MAC.

Macerich Risk Analysis

Macerich disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Macerich reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Macerich Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.53B24.9910.92%4.61%6.05%14.70%
72
Outperform
$4.88B57.753.62%3.56%10.58%37.97%
70
Outperform
$13.88B24.585.68%4.76%7.99%55.05%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
$5.01B205.874.71%4.85%3.67%
49
Neutral
$1.95M116.25%-1.01%504.95%
48
Neutral
$4.63B-18.43%4.02%8.06%74.26%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAC
Macerich
17.36
-3.14
-15.32%
KIM
Kimco Realty
20.49
-3.62
-15.01%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.94
-2.66
-10.39%
FRT
Federal Realty
98.32
-10.47
-9.62%
WHLR
Wheeler Real Estate Investment
3.64
-9,068.36
-99.96%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
35.24
-2.62
-6.92%

Macerich Corporate Events

Macerich Company Reports Improved Q3 2025 Financials
Nov 5, 2025

Macerich Company is a prominent real estate investment trust that specializes in the acquisition, leasing, management, development, and redevelopment of regional retail centers across the United States. Known for its commitment to sustainability, Macerich has been a leader in the North American retail sector for a decade, with a significant presence in key U.S. markets such as California, the Pacific Northwest, Phoenix/Scottsdale, and the Metro New York to Washington, D.C. corridor.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Macerich Reports Q3 2025 Net Loss Improvement
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, The Macerich Company reported a net loss of $87.4 million, an improvement from the $108.2 million loss in the same period in 2024, largely due to gains from asset sales. The company signed leases for 1.5 million square feet, an 81% increase from the previous year, and expects new store leases to generate significant revenue. Macerich also engaged in several financial transactions, including property sales and securing new loans, contributing to a liquidity position of approximately $1 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAC) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Macerich stock, see the MAC Stock Forecast page.

Macerich’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Leasing and Strategic Moves
Sep 1, 2025

Macerich Company’s recent earnings call painted a largely positive picture, underscored by robust leasing activity and strategic acquisitions. Despite some challenges, such as a slight decline in occupancy and rising costs, the overall sentiment was optimistic, with the positive aspects significantly outweighing the negatives.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Macerich Sells Valley Mall for $22.1 Million
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Macerich completed the sale of Lakewood Center in California for $332.1 million, with the buyer assuming a $317.1 million loan. The company plans to use the $5 million net proceeds for general corporate purposes. Additionally, on August 20, 2025, Macerich sold Valley Mall in Virginia for $22.1 million, with net proceeds of $20.9 million also intended for general corporate purposes. These transactions are part of the company’s strategy to optimize its portfolio and strengthen its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAC) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Macerich stock, see the MAC Stock Forecast page.

Macerich Company Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 12, 2025

Macerich Company is a leading real estate investment trust specializing in the acquisition, leasing, management, development, and redevelopment of regional retail centers across the United States, with a strong focus on sustainability and environmental goals.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Macerich Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Net Loss
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, Macerich reported a net loss of $40.9 million, a significant decrease from the $252.0 million net income in the same period of 2024, primarily due to a previous gain on asset sale. Despite this, the company saw a 2.4% increase in net operating income for its Go-Forward Portfolio Centers and a 137% increase in leased square footage compared to the previous year. The company also engaged in several transactions, including the acquisition of Crabtree Mall and the sale of SouthPark and Atlas Park, resulting in a robust liquidity position of approximately $915 million. Macerich announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.17 per share, payable on September 23, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAC) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Macerich stock, see the MAC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025