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Macerich Company (MAC)
NYSE:MAC

Macerich (MAC) AI Stock Analysis

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MA

Macerich

(NYSE:MAC)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(6.77%Upside)
Macerich's composite score reflects strong earnings call insights and corporate events that highlight strategic growth initiatives. However, financial challenges with profitability and leverage remain concerns. Technical analysis supports a moderate outlook, but valuation metrics are constrained by negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The acquisition of Crabtree Mall is expected to increase 2028 Target FFO by enhancing earnings per share.
Leasing
Strong leasing volumes with a 156% increase over last year signify robust business activity.
Negative Factors
Debt Management
There is execution risk, and more progress is needed on debt reduction.
Interest Rates
The interest cost target may be harder to achieve, despite recent encouraging debt issuance.

Macerich (MAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Macerich Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMacerich is a fully integrated, self-managed and self-administered real estate investment trust, which focuses on the acquisition, leasing, management, development and redevelopment of regional malls throughout the United States. Macerich currently owns 51 million square feet of real estate consisting primarily of interests in 47 regional shopping centers. Macerich specializes in successful retail properties in many of the country's most attractive, densely populated markets with significant presence in the West Coast, Arizona, Chicago and the Metro New York to Washington, DC corridor. A recognized leader in sustainability, Macerich has achieved the #1 GRESB ranking in the North American Retail Sector for five straight years (2015 - 2019).
How the Company Makes MoneyMacerich generates its revenue primarily through leasing space in its shopping centers to a variety of retail tenants, including national and regional retailers, restaurants, and entertainment venues. The company earns income from base rent, which is a fixed amount paid by tenants, and percentage rent, which is a variable amount based on a percentage of the tenant's sales revenue. Additionally, Macerich benefits from ancillary income, such as parking fees and advertising revenues. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its property portfolio and optimize asset value, contributing to its overall earnings.

Macerich Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call provided a generally positive outlook, with significant progress on leasing and asset sales. The company is ahead of schedule on key operational targets, and financial results show improvement. However, challenges such as occupancy decline and the impact of Forever 21's bankruptcy were noted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Ahead of Schedule on Leasing Progress
Macerich signed 2.6 million square feet of leases in Q1 2025, including 2.3 million square feet of renewals, more than double the leases signed in Q1 2024.
Strong Leasing Metrics and New Deals
The leasing speedometer reached 60% for new deal completion, with a large pipeline of LOIs, aiming to hit 70% by year-end. The SNO pipeline grew from $66 million to $80 million in 90 days.
Financial Results and Progress on Path Forward Plan
FFO excluding certain expenses was $87 million in Q1 2025, up from $75 million in Q1 2024. Same center NOI, excluding lease termination income, increased 0.9% year-over-year.
Progress on Dispositions and Asset Sales
Closed on the sale of Wilton Mall for $25 million and South Park for $11 million. Under contract to sell Lakewood, expected to close in the second half of 2025.
Redevelopment and Expansion of Green Acres
Breaking ground on a 370,000 square feet redevelopment at Green Acres, with 50% of the project square footage committed and another 17% in the LOI stage.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Decline
Occupancy in Q1 2025 was 92.6%, down from 94.1% in Q4 2024, primarily due to the decrease in temporary holiday stores and transitioning Fashion District Philadelphia.
Forever 21 Bankruptcy Impact
Forever 21 filed for bankruptcy, the only filing year-to-date, affecting a significant amount of square footage, though rent impact was minimal.
Flat Same-Center Sales
Portfolio sales at the end of Q1 2025 were $837 per square foot, flat compared to Q4 2024. Excluding Eddy properties, sales were $928 per square foot, a minimal increase.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased in Q1 2025, though higher leasing revenues offset these increases.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Macerich reported significant progress in their path forward plan, with a focus on leasing and financial metrics. The company achieved 2.6 million square feet of leasing, surpassing their target and doubling the leases signed in the same period last year. This leasing activity included 2.3 million square feet of renewals and contributed to a notable $80 million cumulative SNO pipeline, with expectations to reach $100 million by year-end. Macerich's focus on new deals is evident with 60% completion in new deal metrics, targeting 70% by year-end, which would facilitate reaching 85% by mid-2026. On the financial front, Macerich has made strides in deleveraging, reducing net debt to EBITDA to 7.9 times, with a goal to reach the low to mid-six times range in the upcoming years. Asset sales and refinancing efforts have contributed significantly, with $11 billion in dispositions and $500 million from equity raises. Sales metrics showed portfolio sales at $837 per square foot, and occupancy at 92.6%, impacted by temporary holiday store closures. The company's strategic initiatives are on track to meet their 2028 leverage and earnings goals, with anticipated milestones in leasing and asset management by mid-2026.

Macerich Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Macerich demonstrates stable revenue growth, but profitability challenges persist with ongoing net losses. The balance sheet shows high leverage, raising financial risks, while cash flow management supports operational needs.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's revenue growth shows a positive trend from 2020 to TTM 2025, with a notable increase in total revenue. However, profitability is a concern as net income remains negative, impacting the net profit margin. Gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but the EBIT margin fluctuates, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting high leverage, which poses a risk. However, the equity ratio remains healthy, indicating that a significant portion of assets is financed by equity. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, which impacts overall balance sheet health.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive and growing, supporting the company's ability to manage day-to-day operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash flow management despite net losses. However, free cash flow growth is limited, suggesting restrained investment capacity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue958.64M918.20M881.37M859.16M847.44M786.03M
Gross Profit515.12M487.94M486.48M468.81M466.55M438.05M
EBITDA689.26M326.90M190.72M454.96M470.30M165.41M
Net Income-117.52M-194.12M-274.06M-66.07M13.41M-230.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.68B8.57B7.51B8.09B8.35B9.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.42M89.86M94.94M100.32M112.45M465.30M
Total Debt5.30B5.06B4.31B4.50B4.61B6.13B
Total Liabilities5.94B5.72B4.99B5.14B5.17B6.74B
Stockholders Equity2.66B2.76B2.45B2.87B3.05B2.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow310.84M283.44M295.50M337.51M286.37M124.84M
Operating Cash Flow310.84M283.44M295.50M337.51M286.37M124.84M
Investing Cash Flow-36.27M19.79M52.54M-1.40M234.97M-202.85M
Financing Cash Flow-155.14M-316.05M-338.89M-321.94M-837.02M446.45M

Macerich Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.39
Price Trends
50DMA
15.73
Positive
100DMA
16.15
Positive
200DMA
17.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
54.79
Neutral
STOCH
51.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.17, above the 50-day MA of 15.73, and below the 200-day MA of 17.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MAC.

Macerich Risk Analysis

Macerich disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Macerich reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Macerich Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.40B31.095.15%6.49%7.81%179.16%
70
Outperform
$4.78B61.763.09%3.56%9.27%19.51%
KRKRG
67
Neutral
$4.88B365.100.81%4.86%4.37%-75.82%
MAMAC
66
Neutral
$4.30B-4.79%4.16%9.58%-3.85%
CUCUZ
66
Neutral
$4.84B86.651.15%4.44%10.93%-31.07%
IRIRT
64
Neutral
$4.21B132.450.87%3.88%-2.94%
54
Neutral
$1.17B3.570.13%7.12%-2.13%-128.06%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAC
Macerich
16.28
1.42
9.56%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
28.92
5.46
23.27%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
18.46
3.87
26.53%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.52
0.55
2.50%
IRT
Independence Realty
17.53
-0.44
-2.45%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
34.59
1.84
5.62%

Macerich Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Macerich Acquires Crabtree Mall for $290 Million
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Macerich announced its acquisition of Crabtree Mall, a 1.3 million square foot Class A retail center in Raleigh, NC, for $290 million. The acquisition, funded through cash and borrowings, is part of Macerich’s strategic plan to enhance its portfolio and drive shareholder value. The company aims to implement a $60 million redevelopment plan to maximize net operating income growth and improve occupancy rates, positioning itself strongly in the high-growth Southeastern U.S. market.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAC) stock is a Sell with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Macerich stock, see the MAC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Macerich Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Key Decisions Made
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Macerich held its annual meeting of stockholders where key decisions were made. Stockholders elected eight directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, indicating continued confidence in the company’s leadership and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAC) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Macerich stock, see the MAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Macerich Updates Path Forward Plan for Class A Malls
Positive
May 29, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Macerich made available an investor presentation detailing its Path Forward Plan update, emphasizing its strategic focus on Class A malls. The company is well-positioned in the top-performing retail real estate segment, with 92% of its net operating income derived from A or higher-tier properties, highlighting its resilience and growth potential in the evolving retail landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAC) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Macerich stock, see the MAC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Macerich Reports Improved Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 12, 2025

For the first quarter of 2025, The Macerich Company reported a net loss of $50.1 million, a significant improvement from the $126.7 million loss in the same period of 2024. The company saw a 156% increase in leased square footage compared to the previous year, driven by strong renewal leasing volume. Despite a slight decrease in portfolio occupancy to 92.6%, new store leases are expected to generate approximately $80 million in additional revenue over prior uses. The company also engaged in several financial transactions, including a new $340 million mortgage loan and the sale of two assets, enhancing liquidity to approximately $995 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAC) stock is a Sell with a $11.0000 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Macerich stock, see the MAC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025