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Kimco Realty (KIM)
NYSE:KIM

Kimco Realty (KIM) AI Stock Analysis

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KIM

Kimco Realty

(NYSE:KIM)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(11.48% Upside)
The score is led by solid financial quality (strong cash flow and stable leverage) and a favorable earnings outlook (raised FFO guidance with strong leasing/occupancy). Technicals are supportive but somewhat stretched near-term, while valuation is mixed—attractive yield but a higher P/E—keeping the overall rating in the mid-70s.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a resilient business model and effective management of retail properties, supporting long-term stability.
Strong Leasing Activity
Robust leasing activity and favorable spreads suggest strong demand for Kimco's properties, enhancing future cash flow and occupancy rates.
Financial Flexibility
The new equity sales and repurchase programs provide Kimco with enhanced financial flexibility for strategic investments and debt management.
Negative Factors
Decreased Profit Margins
Declining profit margins indicate increased expenses or reduced profitability, potentially impacting long-term earnings and shareholder returns.
Higher Interest Expenses
Rising interest expenses could strain cash flow and limit financial resources for growth initiatives, affecting long-term financial health.
Impact of Early Recaptures
Early recaptures of large anchor spaces can disrupt revenue streams and occupancy rates, posing challenges to maintaining stable income.

Kimco Realty (KIM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimco Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKimco Realty Corp. (NYSE:KIM) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) headquartered in Jericho, N.Y. that is one of North America's largest publicly traded owners and operators of open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and mixed-use assets. As of September 30, 2020, the company owned interests in 400 U.S. shopping centers and mixed-use assets comprising 70 million square feet of gross leasable space primarily concentrated in the top major metropolitan markets. Publicly traded on the NYSE since 1991, and included in the S&P 500 Index, the company has specialized in shopping center acquisitions, development and management for more than 60 years.
How the Company Makes MoneyKimco Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its diverse portfolio of retail properties. The company leases space to a wide range of tenants, including national and regional retailers, restaurants, and service providers, which provides a steady stream of cash flow. Additionally, Kimco benefits from leasing ancillary services, such as advertising and promotions, and may engage in property management services for third-party owners. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term leases with tenants, which typically include provisions for rent escalations and percentage rent based on tenant sales. Partnerships with national retailers also contribute to Kimco's financial stability, as these tenants tend to have stronger credit ratings, reducing the risk of defaults. Furthermore, the company actively seeks to redevelop or reposition underperforming assets, enhancing overall profitability.

Kimco Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The overall sentiment of the call is positive, with strong leasing activity, a record-high SNO pipeline, and increased full-year FFO guidance outweighing challenges such as the impact of early recaptures and higher interest expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-High Signed Not Open Pipeline
The signed not open (SNO) pipeline has reached a record high of 360 basis points, totaling $71 million, indicating strong future rent growth potential.
Increased Full-Year FFO Guidance
Full year FFO guidance has been raised to $1.75 to $1.76 per diluted share, reflecting over 6% growth compared to 2024.
Strong Leasing Activity
Kimco completed 427 leases totaling 2.3 million square feet, with a blended leasing spread of 11% for the third quarter.
High Small Shop Occupancy
Small shop occupancy reached a new all-time high of 92.5%, up 70 basis points year-over-year.
Dividend Increase
The Board approved a 4% increase in the quarterly common stock cash dividend to $0.26 per share.
Negative Updates
Impact of Early Recapture of Large Anchor Boxes
Same-site NOI was impacted by a 130 basis points drag due to the early recapture of several large anchor boxes, including Party City, JOANN's, and Rite Aid.
Higher Interest Expenses
Interest expenses increased by $8 million, mainly due to refinancing activities in 2024 and 2025.
Company Guidance
During Kimco Realty's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Kimco reported funds from operations (FFO) of $0.44 per diluted share, surpassing expectations, and raised its full-year FFO guidance to a range of $1.75 to $1.76 per diluted share, indicating over 6% growth from 2024. The same-site net operating income (NOI) grew by 1.9% for the quarter and 3% year-to-date, despite a 130 basis point drag from lost rents due to early recapture of anchor spaces, which the company has quickly re-tenanted at higher rates. Pro rata occupancy increased to 95.7%, with anchor and small shop occupancy reaching 97% and 92.5%, respectively. The small shop occupancy from the former RPT portfolio experienced a 280 basis point increase since its acquisition in January 2024. Kimco's leasing activity remained robust, with 427 leases covering 2.3 million square feet executed during the quarter, including new deals at a 21% spread and renewals at an 8% spread. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on redevelopment, elevating $250 million worth of projects to active status, bringing the total development pipeline to approximately $600 million, with anticipated returns of 10-12%. Additionally, Kimco's structured investment program generated significant returns, and the company maintained a strong liquidity position with over $2.1 billion available. Looking ahead, Kimco remains focused on its grocery-anchored strategy and plans to continue capitalizing on strong leasing demand to drive future growth.

Kimco Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals driven by strong cash flow (free cash flow growth of 3.73% TTM and high cash conversion with FCF-to-net income of 0.92) and a stable balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.80). The main constraint is weaker profitability, with net margin down to 7.82% TTM (from 20.17% prior year) and lower ROE (1.57% TTM).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kimco Realty shows a stable revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.35%. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 69%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 7.82% in the TTM, down from 20.17% in the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or reduced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at around 0.80, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has decreased to 1.57% in the TTM, down from 3.86% in the previous year, indicating reduced profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Kimco Realty demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 3.73% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.92, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.12B2.04B1.78B1.73B1.36B1.06B
Gross Profit1.47B1.40B1.23B1.20B946.67M714.92M
EBITDA1.47B1.26B1.40B1.06B1.34B595.99M
Net Income598.98M410.79M654.27M125.98M844.06M1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.88B20.31B18.27B17.83B18.46B11.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments159.34M690.91M1.11B744.70M1.54B999.91M
Total Debt8.35B8.58B7.73B7.27B7.60B5.45B
Total Liabilities9.20B9.46B8.55B8.09B8.34B5.93B
Stockholders Equity10.49B10.65B9.53B9.52B9.90B5.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow758.20M681.16M807.21M861.11M618.88M589.91M
Operating Cash Flow1.10B1.01B1.07B861.11M618.88M589.91M
Investing Cash Flow-715.77M-318.54M-136.98M-63.22M-476.26M-33.27M
Financing Cash Flow-1.01B-781.11M-300.70M-982.73M-101.14M-387.40M

Kimco Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.08
Price Trends
50DMA
20.36
Positive
100DMA
20.77
Positive
200DMA
20.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
59.25
Neutral
STOCH
51.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.66, above the 50-day MA of 20.36, and above the 200-day MA of 20.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KIM.

Kimco Realty Risk Analysis

Kimco Realty disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kimco Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kimco Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.91B19.968.91%6.04%4.53%-3.46%
77
Outperform
$8.78B25.7110.92%4.38%6.05%14.70%
75
Outperform
$14.28B25.295.68%5.02%7.99%55.05%
70
Outperform
$13.33B33.346.07%4.15%5.38%3.13%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$8.20B24.8111.36%4.41%6.07%-0.28%
61
Neutral
$5.09B208.994.71%4.55%3.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIM
Kimco Realty
21.08
-0.11
-0.50%
NNN
NNN REIT
41.67
4.72
12.76%
REG
Regency Centers
72.87
3.85
5.58%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
23.49
1.88
8.70%
FRT
Federal Realty
101.16
-2.26
-2.19%
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.79
2.08
8.44%

Kimco Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kimco Realty Adds COO David Jamieson to Board
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Kimco Realty’s board expanded from nine to ten members and elected longtime executive David Jamieson, the company’s Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, as a director without additional compensation or committee assignments. The move, formally announced in a January 21, 2026 press release, brings a senior operating leader with deep experience in asset management, redevelopment, mixed-use strategy, investment approvals and corporate responsibility directly into the boardroom, signaling an emphasis on operational execution, technology-driven performance and long-term portfolio value creation as Kimco navigates an evolving retail real estate landscape and seeks to reinforce shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIM) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kimco Realty stock, see the KIM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Kimco Realty Announces New Equity Sales Agreement
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Kimco Realty Corporation announced a new equity sales agreement allowing the company to issue and sell up to $750 million in common stock through various sales agents and forward purchasers. This agreement replaces a previous one from September 2023. Additionally, Kimco’s Board approved a new $750 million share repurchase program, superseding the prior program. The proceeds from these initiatives will support general corporate purposes, including acquisitions and debt reduction. These strategic moves aim to enhance Kimco’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIM) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kimco Realty stock, see the KIM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026