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Kimco Realty (KIM)
NYSE:KIM
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Kimco Realty (KIM) AI Stock Analysis

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KIM

Kimco Realty

(NYSE:KIM)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(14.06% Upside)
Kimco Realty's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic focus on grocery-anchored properties and innovative use of AI enhance its growth prospects. However, technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, which slightly offsets the positive aspects.
Positive Factors
Grocery-Anchored Strategy
The focus on grocery-anchored centers enhances portfolio resilience and stability, as these properties are less susceptible to economic downturns, ensuring steady rental income.
Innovative Use of AI
AI deployment in operations can lead to significant cost savings and efficiency improvements, strengthening competitive advantage and enhancing long-term profitability.
Record Small Shop Occupancy
High small shop occupancy indicates strong demand for retail spaces, supporting revenue stability and growth through increased rental income.
Negative Factors
Occupancy Dips
A slight dip in occupancy can affect rental income and indicates potential challenges in maintaining tenant retention, impacting revenue stability.
Increased Interest Expense
Higher interest expenses reduce net income and cash flow, potentially limiting financial flexibility and impacting future investment capacity.
Debt Levels
Rising debt levels can strain cash flow and limit financial flexibility, posing risks to long-term stability if not managed effectively.

Kimco Realty (KIM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimco Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKimco Realty Corp. (NYSE:KIM) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) headquartered in Jericho, N.Y. that is one of North America's largest publicly traded owners and operators of open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and mixed-use assets. As of September 30, 2020, the company owned interests in 400 U.S. shopping centers and mixed-use assets comprising 70 million square feet of gross leasable space primarily concentrated in the top major metropolitan markets. Publicly traded on the NYSE since 1991, and included in the S&P 500 Index, the company has specialized in shopping center acquisitions, development and management for more than 60 years.
How the Company Makes MoneyKimco Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its retail properties and shopping centers. The company's business model involves leasing space to a variety of tenants, including national, regional, and local retailers. Key revenue streams include base rent, percentage rent (a portion of tenants' sales), and recovery of operating expenses through tenant reimbursements. Additionally, Kimco may earn income through the development of new properties or redevelopment of existing sites, enhancing property value and rental income potential. Strategic partnerships with retailers and community stakeholders also play a vital role in maximizing occupancy rates and tenant retention, contributing to the company's overall earnings.

Kimco Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Kimco Realty's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, such as record small shop occupancy, significant FFO growth, and a focus on grocery-anchored properties. Despite minor setbacks like a slight dip in occupancy and increased interest expenses, the company's execution and strategic direction remain positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Kimco Realty reported funds from operations (FFO) of $0.44 per diluted share, representing a 7.3% increase year-over-year. The company raised its full-year FFO guidance to $1.73 to $1.75, reflecting annual growth of 4.8% to 6.1% over 2024.
Record Small Shop Occupancy
Achieved a new all-time high in small shop occupancy of 92.2%, indicating strong demand for well-located, necessity-driven retail spaces.
Leasing and Occupancy Success
Executed 174 new leases covering 916,000 square feet at a 34% average spread and completed 332 renewals/options for 1.8 million square feet at a 9.6% spread, contributing to a blended spread of 15.2%.
Grocery-Anchored Strategy
86% of annual base rent now comes from grocery-anchored shopping centers, an all-time high, highlighting the essential and resilient nature of the portfolio.
Innovative Use of AI
Deployment of AI in targeted high-impact areas, such as lease abstraction and tenant prospecting, to reduce costs and increase operational efficiency.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Dips
Overall pro rata occupancy dipped slightly to 95.4%, impacted by anticipated lease rejections from JOANN and Party City.
Increased Interest Expense
Interest expense increased by $7.9 million due to refinancing activities in 2024 and 2025.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Kimco Realty reported strong financial and operational performance, with funds from operations (FFO) reaching $0.44 per diluted share, a 7.3% increase year-over-year. The company achieved a blended pro-rata leasing spread of 15%, the highest in nearly eight years, and set a new record with small shop occupancy at 92.2%. Kimco executed 174 new leases for a total of 916,000 square feet at an average spread of 34% and completed 332 renewals covering 1.8 million square feet at a 9.6% spread. Despite a slight dip in overall pro-rata occupancy to 95.4% due to anticipated lease rejections from JOANN and Party City, Kimco effectively backfilled vacated spaces. The company's portfolio now generates 86% of its annual base rent from grocery-anchored centers. Kimco's strategic deployment of AI for leasing and cost reduction, along with a structured investment program, enhanced its financial flexibility and growth prospects. As a result, Kimco raised its FFO guidance for the year to $1.73-$1.75 per share, reflecting a growth rate of 4.8% to 6.1% over 2024, and increased its full-year same-site NOI growth outlook to 3% or better.

Kimco Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kimco Realty demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability improvements. The balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage and a strong equity position. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and financial flexibility. However, past fluctuations in net income and free cash flow growth highlight potential risks that need monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kimco Realty shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.205% and consistent gross profit margins around 68-69%. The net profit margin improved significantly to 28.54% in the TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations. However, the net income has fluctuated, with a notable loss in 2022, which could indicate some volatility.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable around 0.76-0.81, suggesting a balanced leverage position. Return on equity has improved to 5.66% in the TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, indicating a strong equity base. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed well.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Kimco Realty's cash flow is strong, with a TTM free cash flow growth of 1.077% and a consistent free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, fluctuations in free cash flow growth in previous years suggest potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.09B2.04B1.78B1.73B1.36B1.06B
Gross Profit1.44B1.40B1.23B1.20B946.67M714.92M
EBITDA1.35B1.26B1.40B776.13M1.34B1.40B
Net Income597.82M410.79M654.27M125.98M844.06M1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.80B20.31B18.27B17.83B18.46B11.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments226.55M690.91M1.11B744.70M1.54B999.91M
Total Debt8.28B8.58B7.73B7.27B7.60B5.45B
Total Liabilities9.08B9.46B8.55B8.09B8.34B5.93B
Stockholders Equity10.52B10.65B9.53B9.52B9.90B5.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow978.59M1.01B1.07B861.11M402.06M362.69M
Operating Cash Flow1.06B1.01B1.07B861.11M618.88M589.91M
Investing Cash Flow-540.08M-318.54M-136.98M-63.22M-476.26M-33.27M
Financing Cash Flow-424.33M-781.11M-300.70M-982.73M-101.14M-387.40M

Kimco Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price21.48
Price Trends
50DMA
21.65
Negative
100DMA
21.19
Positive
200DMA
21.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
43.93
Neutral
STOCH
11.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.19, below the 50-day MA of 21.65, and above the 200-day MA of 21.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KIM.

Kimco Realty Risk Analysis

Kimco Realty disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kimco Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kimco Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
25.99B33.295.95%3.97%5.66%2.98%
76
Outperform
$14.74B26.275.63%4.62%10.46%56.11%
75
Outperform
8.35B24.9711.37%4.17%5.98%12.11%
74
Outperform
7.93B19.979.10%5.57%4.82%-5.18%
74
Outperform
8.61B25.1410.65%4.44%6.00%15.77%
67
Neutral
4.87B28.215.20%4.86%4.03%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIM
Kimco Realty
21.48
-0.39
-1.78%
NNN
NNN REIT
42.02
-3.38
-7.44%
REG
Regency Centers
71.07
2.83
4.15%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.00
-2.96
-11.86%
FRT
Federal Realty
99.09
-9.82
-9.02%
BRX
Brixmor Property
27.24
1.00
3.81%

Kimco Realty Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kimco Realty Completes $500M Public Offering
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Kimco Realty OP, LLC completed a public offering of $500 million in 5.300% Notes due 2036, guaranteed by Kimco Realty Corporation. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen Kimco’s financial position and enhance its ability to manage and expand its portfolio of shopping centers.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kimco Realty Announces $500M Public Offering Pricing
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Kimco Realty Corporation announced the pricing of a $500 million public offering of 5.300% notes due 2036, guaranteed by the company. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including repaying borrowings and funding acquisitions, investments, and redevelopment, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and growth strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025