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Kimco Realty (KIM)
NYSE:KIM
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Kimco Realty (KIM) AI Stock Analysis

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KIM

Kimco Realty

(NYSE:KIM)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(11.22% Upside)
Kimco Realty's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are major contributors to its solid stock score. The company's strategic financial actions and robust dividend yield add to its appeal. However, the mixed technical indicators and valuation suggest some caution is warranted. Overall, Kimco Realty presents a balanced investment opportunity with potential for stable income and moderate growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Guidance
Kimco raised Same-Store Net Operating Income guidance to above 3.0% from the previous 2.5%+.
Leasing Performance
Strong leasing volume with cash lease spreads of 15.2% highlights positive leasing performance.
Negative Factors
Interest Expense
Interest expense is expected to increase to $364 million from the previous $357 million.
Internal Growth
Internal growth lagged behind peers, suggesting potential areas for improvement.
Retail Environment
Deterioration in the open air retail environment with increased retailer.

Kimco Realty (KIM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimco Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKimco Realty Corporation is a leading owner and operator of open-air shopping centers in the United States, focusing primarily on retail real estate. The company is engaged in the acquisition, development, and management of shopping centers, providing a diverse mix of retail, dining, and service-oriented tenants. Kimco's portfolio includes properties located in key metropolitan areas, catering to consumer demand and enhancing community engagement through its tenant mix and property offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyKimco Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its retail properties and shopping centers. The company's business model involves leasing space to a variety of tenants, including national, regional, and local retailers. Key revenue streams include base rent, percentage rent (a portion of tenants' sales), and recovery of operating expenses through tenant reimbursements. Additionally, Kimco may earn income through the development of new properties or redevelopment of existing sites, enhancing property value and rental income potential. Strategic partnerships with retailers and community stakeholders also play a vital role in maximizing occupancy rates and tenant retention, contributing to the company's overall earnings.

Kimco Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Kimco Realty's earnings call reflects a strong performance with notable achievements in funds from operations, small shop occupancy, and grocery-anchored portfolio growth. Despite minor challenges such as slight occupancy dips and increased interest expenses, the company demonstrates a solid strategy with AI deployment and financial flexibility.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Funds from Operations
Kimco Realty reported funds from operations of $0.44 per diluted share, marking a 7.3% increase year-over-year.
Record Small Shop Occupancy
The company achieved an all-time high small shop occupancy of 92.2%, reflecting strong demand for necessity-driven retail locations.
Blended Leasing Spread
Kimco executed 174 new leases with a blended pro-rata leasing spread of 15%, the highest in nearly 8 years.
Grocery-Anchored Portfolio
86% of Kimco's annual base rent now comes from grocery-anchored shopping centers, an all-time high.
AI Deployment for Efficiency
The company is deploying AI to enhance lease abstraction, tenant prospecting, and redevelopment planning, improving operational efficiency.
Financial Flexibility and Strong Balance Sheet
Kimco ended the quarter with over $2 billion of available liquidity and took proactive steps to enhance financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Slight Dip in Overall Occupancy
Overall pro-rata occupancy dipped slightly to 95.4% due to anticipated lease rejections from JOANN and Party City.
Increased Interest Expense
The company experienced a $7.9 million increase in consolidated interest expense due to refinancing activity.
Competitive Acquisition Market
High competition in the acquisition market limits Kimco's ability to make accretive acquisitions despite strong deal flow.
Company Guidance
During the Kimco Realty second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported impressive financial and operational performance metrics. Kimco achieved funds from operations (FFO) of $0.44 per diluted share, marking a 7.3% increase year-over-year. The company also achieved a new all-time high in small shop occupancy at 92.2%, reflecting strong tenant demand. Kimco reported a blended pro-rata leasing spread of 15%, the highest in nearly eight years. Additionally, the RPT portfolio's small shop occupancy climbed to 90.3%, up 190 basis points since acquisition. The company executed 174 new leases totaling 916,000 square feet with an average spread of 34%, and completed 332 renewals covering 1.8 million square feet at a 9.6% spread, contributing to a blended spread of 15.2%. The pro-rata occupancy was slightly down to 95.4% due to lease rejections from JOANN and Party City, but Kimco is quickly backfilling these spaces, many at higher rents. The company increased its full-year FFO guidance range to $1.73 to $1.75 per share and raised its same-site NOI growth outlook to 3% or better.

Kimco Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kimco Realty exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and efficient operations. The company has managed its debt levels prudently, maintaining a robust balance sheet. Cash flow generation is consistent, supporting its business operations and growth initiatives. While profitability showed historical volatility, recent improvements highlight a positive trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kimco Realty has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from 2020 to TTM 2025. The gross profit margin has remained healthy, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margin has been volatile, with a notable loss in 2022, though it improved significantly in subsequent periods. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity ratio, suggesting a strong capital structure with adequate stockholders' equity relative to total assets. However, the debt-to-equity ratio indicates a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity has improved significantly after a low in 2022, driven by increased net income, enhancing shareholder value.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals consistent operating cash flow generation, with substantial free cash flow, signaling strong cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow has shown consistent growth, although the operating cash flow to net income ratio has fluctuated, reflecting variations in profitability and cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.09B2.04B1.78B1.73B1.36B1.06B
Gross Profit1.44B1.40B1.23B1.20B946.67M714.92M
EBITDA1.41B1.26B1.09B1.08B842.55M625.83M
Net Income597.82M410.79M654.27M-12.35M844.06M1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.80B20.31B18.27B17.83B18.46B11.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments227.83M690.91M783.76M747.56M1.55B1.00B
Total Debt8.33B8.58B7.73B7.27B7.60B5.45B
Total Liabilities9.08B9.46B8.55B8.09B8.34B5.93B
Stockholders Equity10.52B10.65B9.53B9.52B9.90B5.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow759.28M1.01B1.07B861.11M402.06M362.69M
Operating Cash Flow759.28M1.01B1.07B861.11M618.88M589.91M
Investing Cash Flow-438.56M-318.54M-136.98M-63.22M-476.26M-33.27M
Financing Cash Flow-315.77M-781.11M-300.70M-982.73M-102.70M-387.40M

Kimco Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.13
Price Trends
50DMA
21.23
Negative
100DMA
20.83
Positive
200DMA
21.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
47.36
Neutral
STOCH
17.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.46, below the 50-day MA of 21.23, and below the 200-day MA of 21.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KIM.

Kimco Realty Risk Analysis

Kimco Realty disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kimco Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kimco Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$26.18B33.525.99%3.87%5.66%2.98%
76
Outperform
$14.09B25.105.63%4.69%10.46%56.11%
73
Outperform
$7.86B19.799.18%5.62%4.82%-5.18%
73
Outperform
$7.90B23.6111.52%4.29%5.98%12.11%
71
Outperform
$8.06B23.5411.04%4.74%6.00%15.77%
69
Neutral
$4.61B26.745.53%5.04%4.03%
61
Neutral
kr18.18B19.982.74%2.57%2.24%140.90%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIM
Kimco Realty
21.13
0.06
0.28%
NNN
National Retail Properties
41.64
-1.74
-4.01%
REG
Regency Centers
71.88
4.23
6.25%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
21.24
-2.19
-9.35%
FRT
Federal Realty
92.82
-15.12
-14.01%
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.44
2.08
8.54%

Kimco Realty Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kimco Realty Completes $500M Public Offering
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Kimco Realty OP, LLC completed a public offering of $500 million in 5.300% Notes due 2036, guaranteed by Kimco Realty Corporation. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen Kimco’s financial position and enhance its ability to manage and expand its portfolio of shopping centers.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIM) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kimco Realty stock, see the KIM Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kimco Realty Announces $500M Public Offering Pricing
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Kimco Realty Corporation announced the pricing of a $500 million public offering of 5.300% notes due 2036, guaranteed by the company. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including repaying borrowings and funding acquisitions, investments, and redevelopment, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIM) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kimco Realty stock, see the KIM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025