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Kimco Realty (KIM)
NYSE:KIM

Kimco Realty (KIM) AI Stock Analysis

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KIM

Kimco Realty

(NYSE:KIM)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(7.30% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong recent growth and improved free cash flow) and a favorable technical uptrend. Earnings-call commentary adds support via strong operating metrics and liquidity, while valuation is a moderating factor due to the higher P/E despite a healthy dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving cash generation and FFO growth
Kimco delivered material FFO per-share growth (6.7%) and a sharp free-cash-flow rebound in 2025, showing durable operating cash conversion. Reliable cash generation supports dividend coverage, buybacks, and disciplined reinvestment, underpinning long-term capital allocation and financial resilience.
Strong leasing, occupancy and SNO pipeline
Record occupancy and elevated new-leasing volumes coupled with a sizable signed-not-open pipeline provide durable revenue visibility and organic NOI tailwinds. High occupancy reduces downside vacancy risk and the SNO pipeline supports steadier future rent commencements and same-property NOI growth.
Solid liquidity and investment-grade credit profile
Ample immediate liquidity and an A-level unsecured credit rating provide financial flexibility to weather market cycles, execute dispositions or redeploy capital, and manage near-term maturities. This balance-sheet strength supports strategic capital recycling and reduces refinancing risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
2026 refinancing and maturity concentration
A concentrated 2026 maturity slate requires proactive refinancing or asset sales; replacing low-coupon debt can raise interest costs and strain cash flow. Execution risk on timing and terms could pressure coverage metrics and limit discretionary capital deployment if market conditions tighten.
Public-private valuation disconnect could trigger taxable gains
A structural valuation gap complicates disposition execution and may force sales that realize taxable gains or require 1031 workarounds. Taxable gains could lead to special dividends or constrain net proceeds available for reinvestment, impairing long-term capital recycling economics.
Moderating FFO growth and earnings visibility
Guidance indicates a notable deceleration in per-share growth, reflecting tougher comps and conservative assumptions. Slower FFO growth reduces margin for error on execution, limits rapid balance-sheet deleveraging, and lengthens the time horizon to materially lift returns on equity absent higher-yield dispositions.

Kimco Realty (KIM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimco Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKimco Realty Corp. (NYSE:KIM) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) headquartered in Jericho, N.Y. that is one of North America's largest publicly traded owners and operators of open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and mixed-use assets. As of September 30, 2020, the company owned interests in 400 U.S. shopping centers and mixed-use assets comprising 70 million square feet of gross leasable space primarily concentrated in the top major metropolitan markets. Publicly traded on the NYSE since 1991, and included in the S&P 500 Index, the company has specialized in shopping center acquisitions, development and management for more than 60 years.
How the Company Makes MoneyKimco Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its diverse portfolio of retail properties. The company leases space to a wide range of tenants, including national and regional retailers, restaurants, and service providers, which provides a steady stream of cash flow. Additionally, Kimco benefits from leasing ancillary services, such as advertising and promotions, and may engage in property management services for third-party owners. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term leases with tenants, which typically include provisions for rent escalations and percentage rent based on tenant sales. Partnerships with national retailers also contribute to Kimco's financial stability, as these tenants tend to have stronger credit ratings, reducing the risk of defaults. Furthermore, the company actively seeks to redevelop or reposition underperforming assets, enhancing overall profitability.

Kimco Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong 2025 results with healthy FFO growth (6.7%), robust leasing momentum, record occupancy metrics, a large SNO pipeline, solid liquidity, and an A-level credit profile. Management outlined a clear capital recycling strategy, meaningful disposition and acquisition targets, and digital/organizational initiatives to drive further efficiency and growth. Near-term headwinds include a public-private valuation gap that could create taxable gains on dispositions (potentially triggering a special dividend if 1031 exchanges are not available), a more competitive transaction market, refinancing and maturity timing in 2026, and a modest deceleration in FFO growth guidance for 2026 versus 2025. On balance, the strengths and execution momentum materially outweigh the risks called out, though execution on dispositions, tax mitigation, and transformation initiatives will be important to fully realize the opportunity.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong FFO Growth
Full-year FFO of approximately $1,200,000,000 or $1.76 per diluted share, representing a 6.7% per-share increase versus 2024; Q4 FFO of $294,300,000 or $0.44 per diluted share, up 4.8% year-over-year.
Same-Site and Pro Rata NOI Expansion
Same-property NOI growth of 3% for both the quarter and the full year; pro rata NOI increased 4.9% year-over-year, supporting the company’s earnings momentum.
Record Leasing and Occupancy Metrics
Overall portfolio occupancy matched an all-time high at 96.4%; small shop occupancy reached a new all-time high of 92.7%; highest quarterly new leasing volume in more than a decade with 1,200,000 square feet leased; anchor occupancy improved by 90 basis points sequentially.
Large, Growing Signed-Not-Open (SNO) Pipeline
SNO pipeline at a record 390 basis points representing $73,000,000 of future annual base rent, up $17,000,000 or 30% versus prior year; $31,000,000 in rent commencements recognized during 2025, 15% ahead of initial budget.
Balance Sheet Strength and Liquidity
Over $2,200,000,000 of immediate liquidity including $213,000,000 of cash and full availability on the $2,000,000,000 unsecured revolver; consolidated net debt to EBITDA of 5.4x (look-through 5.7x); Moody’s unsecured debt rating A3 and A- level ratings across agencies.
Disciplined Capital Allocation and Cash Generation
Generated over $165,000,000 of free cash flow after dividends and leasing costs in 2025; repurchased 6,100,000 common shares in 2025 at an average price of $19.79 (3,100,000 repurchased in Q4 at $19.96); disposition pipeline identified at $300,000,000 to $500,000,000 to recycle into higher-return opportunities.
2026 Financial Outlook and Moderate Growth Guidance
Initial 2026 FFO per share guidance of $1.80 to $1.84, implying 2.3% to 4.5% growth over 2025; same-property NOI growth guidance of 2.5% to 3.5% with visibility to future rent commencements from the SNO pipeline.
Platform Execution and Operational Improvements
Flattening/realignment to a national operating model, Office of Innovation and Transformation initiatives (automation, data visualization, internal natural language chatbot) and a plan to remove approximately $3,000,000 of G&A at the midpoint while investing in execution.
Negative Updates
Public Valuation Disconnect and Taxable Gain Risk
Company highlighted a meaningful valuation gap between public market implied cap rates (low- to mid-7% implied) and private market trading (mid-5s to low-6s). Large dispositions could generate sizable taxable gains; if 1031 exchanges are not available for all sales, management may need to pay a special dividend.
Modest Near-Term FFO Growth Outlook
2026 FFO per share guidance (+2.3% to +4.5%) is materially lower than the 2025 achieved growth (6.7%), indicating a deceleration in expected per-share growth for the coming year.
Refinancing / Maturity Headwind
Approximately $800,000,000 of consolidated maturities in 2026 at an average effective rate of ~2.65% is a known headwind (low coupons to replace), requiring proactive financing and posing a potential near-term cost for the balance sheet.
Competitive Transaction Market
Increased competition and tighter return hurdles in the private market due to abundant capital and attractive financing have made certain acquisitions more selective and potentially more expensive.
Credit Loss and Seasonal/Comping Risks
Management begins 2026 with a conservative credit loss assumption of 75 to 100 basis points and expects Q1 to be the low point for same-site NOI growth due to tough comps (bankruptcies lapping) and seasonality.
Operational Change Risks and Execution Requirements
Organizational flattening and digital transformation efforts (while intended to drive efficiency) carry execution risk and will require disciplined rollout; near-term G&A savings are modest ($3,000,000) and larger benefits are expected over time.
Company Guidance
Kimco’s 2026 guidance targets FFO per share of $1.80–$1.84 (up 2.3%–4.5% vs. 2025) driven by same‑property NOI growth of 2.5%–3.5%; the company assumes credit losses of 75–100 bps, lease termination income of $7M–$15M, non‑cash GAAP revenue of $45M–$50M, and net mortgage/financing income of $45M–$55M, with consolidated G&A budgeted at $128M–$132M and consolidated interest expense plus preferred dividends of $370M–$377M. Capital deployment guidance includes $100M–$150M of development/redevelopment, $275M–$300M of capitalized lease‑related and maintenance spending, $75M–$125M of net new structured investments (8%–10% going‑in yields) with net‑neutral acquisition/disposition activity and a positive reinvestment spread; balance‑sheet metrics cited include ~ $800M of 2026 maturities at an average effective rate of ~2.65%, over $2.2B of immediate liquidity, consolidated net debt/EBITDA of 5.4x (look‑through 5.7x).

Kimco Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent revenue growth and solid profitability with consistently positive operating cash flow and a sharp 2025 free-cash-flow rebound support the score. Offsetting factors include multi-year margin and free-cash-flow volatility, moderate ROE, and an operating cash flow coverage ratio data anomaly that reduces confidence in that specific signal.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue shows a strong multi-year uptrend (2025 up ~80% vs. 2024; 2024 up ~14%), and profitability remains solid with a 2025 net margin of ~27% and strong EBITDA margin (~71%). However, profit margins have been volatile across years (net margin ranged from ~7% in 2022 to ~62% in 2021 and ~95% in 2020), and 2025 gross margin stepped down versus 2024, suggesting some inconsistency in earnings quality/expense dynamics.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Leverage appears manageable for a retail REIT, with debt-to-equity broadly stable around ~0.76–0.81 in 2021–2025 (improving from ~0.97 in 2020). Equity is sizable (~$10.4B in 2025) against a large asset base (~$19.7B). The main watch-out is that returns on equity are modest (about ~5.6% in 2025, ~3.9% in 2024), indicating limited profitability relative to capital and sensitivity to operating/valuation swings typical of the sector.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently positive and generally rising (about $1.12B in 2025 vs. $1.01B in 2024). Free cash flow improved sharply in 2025 (to ~$1.12B from ~$681M in 2024), and 2025 free cash flow is roughly in line with net income (about 1.0x), supporting dividend capacity. Offsetting this, free cash flow growth has been uneven (declines in 2023–2024 before the 2025 rebound), and the provided 2025 operating cash flow coverage ratio is listed as 0.0, which is a data anomaly and reduces confidence in that specific signal.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.14B2.04B1.78B1.73B1.36B
Gross Profit1.17B1.40B1.23B1.20B946.67M
EBITDA1.62B1.26B1.40B1.06B1.34B
Net Income584.10M410.79M654.27M125.98M844.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.69B20.31B18.27B17.83B18.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments212.79M690.91M1.11B744.70M1.54B
Total Debt8.43B8.58B7.73B7.27B7.60B
Total Liabilities9.12B9.46B8.55B8.09B8.34B
Stockholders Equity10.39B10.65B9.53B9.52B9.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.12B681.16M807.21M861.11M618.88M
Operating Cash Flow1.12B1.01B1.07B861.11M618.88M
Investing Cash Flow-376.81M-318.54M-136.98M-63.22M-476.26M
Financing Cash Flow-1.22B-781.11M-300.70M-982.73M-101.14M

Kimco Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.30
Price Trends
50DMA
21.05
Positive
100DMA
20.86
Positive
200DMA
20.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.65
Negative
RSI
70.14
Negative
STOCH
89.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.96, above the 50-day MA of 21.05, and above the 200-day MA of 20.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KIM.

Kimco Realty Risk Analysis

Kimco Realty disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kimco Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kimco Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.28B21.068.89%6.04%4.53%-3.46%
77
Outperform
$14.13B27.597.74%4.15%5.38%3.13%
73
Outperform
$9.14B23.7912.86%4.41%6.07%-0.28%
72
Outperform
$9.35B23.3312.76%4.38%6.05%14.70%
71
Outperform
$15.71B28.685.53%5.02%7.99%55.05%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$5.25B18.589.35%4.55%3.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIM
Kimco Realty
23.30
2.63
12.72%
NNN
NNN REIT
44.50
4.94
12.49%
REG
Regency Centers
77.27
5.00
6.92%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
26.01
5.02
23.94%
FRT
Federal Realty
107.70
7.33
7.30%
BRX
Brixmor Property
29.81
3.60
13.75%

Kimco Realty Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Kimco Realty Announces Chief Accounting Officer Transition
Neutral
Jan 28, 2026

Kimco Realty Corporation announced a planned leadership transition in its accounting function, following the January 27, 2026 notice by Paul Westbrook of his intention to retire as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of the company and Kimco Realty OP, LLC, effective March 31, 2026. The company stated that Westbrook’s departure is not related to any disagreements over operations or accounting matters, and that Senior Vice President and Treasurer, Corporate Accounting, Kathleen Thayer will assume the role of Executive Vice President, Treasurer and Chief Accounting Officer effective April 1, 2026, bringing two decades of experience at Kimco and prior audit management experience at BDO Seidman, LLP, which supports continuity and stability in the company’s financial leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIM) stock is a Buy with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kimco Realty stock, see the KIM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kimco Realty Adds COO David Jamieson to Board
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Kimco Realty’s board expanded from nine to ten members and elected longtime executive David Jamieson, the company’s Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, as a director without additional compensation or committee assignments. The move, formally announced in a January 21, 2026 press release, brings a senior operating leader with deep experience in asset management, redevelopment, mixed-use strategy, investment approvals and corporate responsibility directly into the boardroom, signaling an emphasis on operational execution, technology-driven performance and long-term portfolio value creation as Kimco navigates an evolving retail real estate landscape and seeks to reinforce shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIM) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kimco Realty stock, see the KIM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026