tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Kimco Realty (KIM)
NYSE:KIM
Advertisement

Kimco Realty (KIM) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,077 Followers

Top Page

KIM

Kimco Realty

(NYSE:KIM)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(15.66% Upside)
Kimco Realty's overall stock score of 79 reflects its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, particularly its focus on grocery-anchored properties and innovative use of AI. While technical indicators suggest positive momentum, the stock's high P/E ratio and overbought signals warrant caution. The recent public offering further strengthens its financial position.
Positive Factors
Financial Guidance
Kimco raised Same-Store Net Operating Income guidance to above 3.0% from the previous 2.5%+.
Leasing Performance
Strong leasing volume with cash lease spreads of 15.2% highlights positive leasing performance.
Stock Buyback
A $59 million share repurchase signals confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects.
Negative Factors
Interest Expense
Interest expense is expected to increase to $364 million from the previous $357 million.
Retail Environment
Deterioration in the open air retail environment with increased retailer.
Tenant Credit Concerns
The target price is lowered from $27 to $21 due to increased tenant credit concerns.

Kimco Realty (KIM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimco Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKimco Realty Corp. (NYSE:KIM) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) headquartered in Jericho, N.Y. that is one of North America's largest publicly traded owners and operators of open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and mixed-use assets. As of September 30, 2020, the company owned interests in 400 U.S. shopping centers and mixed-use assets comprising 70 million square feet of gross leasable space primarily concentrated in the top major metropolitan markets. Publicly traded on the NYSE since 1991, and included in the S&P 500 Index, the company has specialized in shopping center acquisitions, development and management for more than 60 years.
How the Company Makes MoneyKimco Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its retail properties and shopping centers. The company's business model involves leasing space to a variety of tenants, including national, regional, and local retailers. Key revenue streams include base rent, percentage rent (a portion of tenants' sales), and recovery of operating expenses through tenant reimbursements. Additionally, Kimco may earn income through the development of new properties or redevelopment of existing sites, enhancing property value and rental income potential. Strategic partnerships with retailers and community stakeholders also play a vital role in maximizing occupancy rates and tenant retention, contributing to the company's overall earnings.

Kimco Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Kimco Realty's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, such as record small shop occupancy, significant FFO growth, and a focus on grocery-anchored properties. Despite minor setbacks like a slight dip in occupancy and increased interest expenses, the company's execution and strategic direction remain positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Kimco Realty reported funds from operations (FFO) of $0.44 per diluted share, representing a 7.3% increase year-over-year. The company raised its full-year FFO guidance to $1.73 to $1.75, reflecting annual growth of 4.8% to 6.1% over 2024.
Record Small Shop Occupancy
Achieved a new all-time high in small shop occupancy of 92.2%, indicating strong demand for well-located, necessity-driven retail spaces.
Leasing and Occupancy Success
Executed 174 new leases covering 916,000 square feet at a 34% average spread and completed 332 renewals/options for 1.8 million square feet at a 9.6% spread, contributing to a blended spread of 15.2%.
Grocery-Anchored Strategy
86% of annual base rent now comes from grocery-anchored shopping centers, an all-time high, highlighting the essential and resilient nature of the portfolio.
Innovative Use of AI
Deployment of AI in targeted high-impact areas, such as lease abstraction and tenant prospecting, to reduce costs and increase operational efficiency.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Dips
Overall pro rata occupancy dipped slightly to 95.4%, impacted by anticipated lease rejections from JOANN and Party City.
Increased Interest Expense
Interest expense increased by $7.9 million due to refinancing activities in 2024 and 2025.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Kimco Realty reported strong financial and operational performance, with funds from operations (FFO) reaching $0.44 per diluted share, a 7.3% increase year-over-year. The company achieved a blended pro-rata leasing spread of 15%, the highest in nearly eight years, and set a new record with small shop occupancy at 92.2%. Kimco executed 174 new leases for a total of 916,000 square feet at an average spread of 34% and completed 332 renewals covering 1.8 million square feet at a 9.6% spread. Despite a slight dip in overall pro-rata occupancy to 95.4% due to anticipated lease rejections from JOANN and Party City, Kimco effectively backfilled vacated spaces. The company's portfolio now generates 86% of its annual base rent from grocery-anchored centers. Kimco's strategic deployment of AI for leasing and cost reduction, along with a structured investment program, enhanced its financial flexibility and growth prospects. As a result, Kimco raised its FFO guidance for the year to $1.73-$1.75 per share, reflecting a growth rate of 4.8% to 6.1% over 2024, and increased its full-year same-site NOI growth outlook to 3% or better.

Kimco Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kimco Realty exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and efficient operations. The company has managed its debt levels prudently, maintaining a robust balance sheet. Cash flow generation is consistent, supporting its business operations and growth initiatives. While profitability showed historical volatility, recent improvements highlight a positive trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kimco Realty has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from 2020 to TTM 2025. The gross profit margin has remained healthy, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margin has been volatile, with a notable loss in 2022, though it improved significantly in subsequent periods. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity ratio, suggesting a strong capital structure with adequate stockholders' equity relative to total assets. However, the debt-to-equity ratio indicates a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity has improved significantly after a low in 2022, driven by increased net income, enhancing shareholder value.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals consistent operating cash flow generation, with substantial free cash flow, signaling strong cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow has shown consistent growth, although the operating cash flow to net income ratio has fluctuated, reflecting variations in profitability and cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.09B2.04B1.78B1.73B1.36B1.06B
Gross Profit1.44B1.40B1.23B1.20B946.67M714.92M
EBITDA1.41B1.26B1.09B1.08B842.55M625.83M
Net Income597.82M410.79M654.27M-12.35M844.06M1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.80B20.31B18.27B17.83B18.46B11.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments226.55M690.91M1.11B744.70M1.54B999.91M
Total Debt8.28B8.58B7.73B7.27B7.60B5.45B
Total Liabilities9.08B9.46B8.55B8.09B8.34B5.93B
Stockholders Equity10.52B10.65B9.53B9.52B9.90B5.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.06B1.01B1.07B861.11M402.06M362.69M
Operating Cash Flow1.06B1.01B1.07B861.11M618.88M589.91M
Investing Cash Flow-541.14M-318.54M-136.98M-63.22M-476.26M-33.27M
Financing Cash Flow-423.27M-781.11M-300.70M-982.73M-101.14M-387.40M

Kimco Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.48
Price Trends
50DMA
21.52
Positive
100DMA
21.07
Positive
200DMA
21.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
62.55
Neutral
STOCH
89.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.68, above the 50-day MA of 21.52, and above the 200-day MA of 21.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KIM.

Kimco Realty Risk Analysis

Kimco Realty disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kimco Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kimco Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$26.40B33.735.99%3.85%5.66%2.98%
79
Outperform
$15.07B26.855.63%4.40%10.46%56.11%
75
Outperform
$8.10B20.039.18%5.50%4.82%-5.18%
75
Outperform
$8.48B25.3411.52%4.10%5.98%12.11%
74
Outperform
$8.61B25.1411.04%4.40%6.00%15.77%
66
Neutral
$5.02B28.805.53%4.73%4.03%
63
Neutral
$6.95B13.72-0.50%6.99%4.08%-25.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIM
Kimco Realty
22.48
0.14
0.63%
NNN
National Retail Properties
42.53
-2.77
-6.11%
REG
Regency Centers
72.23
1.65
2.34%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.76
-1.92
-7.78%
FRT
Federal Realty
100.07
-11.05
-9.94%
BRX
Brixmor Property
27.99
1.83
7.00%

Kimco Realty Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kimco Realty Completes $500M Public Offering
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Kimco Realty OP, LLC completed a public offering of $500 million in 5.300% Notes due 2036, guaranteed by Kimco Realty Corporation. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen Kimco’s financial position and enhance its ability to manage and expand its portfolio of shopping centers.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kimco Realty Announces $500M Public Offering Pricing
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Kimco Realty Corporation announced the pricing of a $500 million public offering of 5.300% notes due 2036, guaranteed by the company. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including repaying borrowings and funding acquisitions, investments, and redevelopment, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and growth strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025