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Welltower (WELL)
NYSE:WELL
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Welltower (WELL) AI Stock Analysis

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WELL

Welltower

(NYSE:WELL)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$189.00
▲(13.97% Upside)
Welltower's strong financial performance and positive earnings call results are the most significant strengths, supporting a high score. However, expensive valuation and overbought technical indicators present risks, slightly tempering the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Welltower reported a Normalized FFO that was above consensus, driven by NOI, other income, and income tax benefits.
Investment Activity
Management suggests a strong acquisition pipeline and potential for investment activity to reach $10B, leveraging current capital markets volatility.
Occupancy Growth
Welltower, Inc. achieved its highest occupancy gain in history, with a 400 basis points increase in SHOP occupancy year over year.
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet
Investment activity has the potential to reach $10B given an opportunistic balance sheet and cost of capital.
Market Volatility
The acquisition pipeline remains strong with management leaning into opportunities created by current capital markets volatility.

Welltower (WELL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Welltower Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWelltower Inc. (WELL) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on the healthcare infrastructure sector. The company primarily invests in senior housing, post-acute care, and outpatient medical properties across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Welltower partners with leading operators to provide high-quality living environments and healthcare services for seniors, making it a key player in the aging population market.
How the Company Makes MoneyWelltower generates revenue primarily through rental income from its diversified portfolio of healthcare properties, which includes senior housing communities, nursing facilities, and outpatient medical centers. The company leases its properties to experienced operators under long-term agreements, typically structured as triple-net leases, where the operator is responsible for property expenses. Additionally, Welltower benefits from property appreciation and value creation through strategic property acquisitions and redevelopment projects. The company also engages in joint ventures with healthcare operators and invests in development projects, which can provide additional revenue streams. Key partnerships with leading healthcare operators enhance its portfolio's value and occupancy rates, contributing significantly to Welltower's income.

Welltower Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Welltower's strong financial performance, robust growth in its senior housing portfolio, and successful investment activities. The company is making significant strides in its operating platform and maintaining a strong balance sheet. However, there are challenges with the Holiday by Atria portfolio, which has yet to meet expectations. Overall, the sentiment is positive given the significant achievements outweighing the single notable challenge.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong FFO and Revenue Growth
Welltower Inc. delivered a strong FFO per share growth of 22% and increased its full-year FFO guidance midpoint by $0.13 to $5.10 per share. Additionally, the company achieved a significant milestone with annualized company revenue indicating $10 billion for the first time.
Record Same-Store NOI Growth
The senior housing operating portfolio reported a 23.4% same-store NOI growth, marking the eleventh consecutive quarter of exceeding 20% growth. The UK portfolio showed 27% same-store NOI growth with 600 basis points of occupancy improvement.
Robust Investment Activity
Year-to-date, Welltower closed or is under contract to close approximately $9.2 billion of acquisitions, surpassing 2024's entire year of activity by 50%. This includes $3.7 billion in closed transactions and $5.5 billion under contract.
Strong Balance Sheet
Welltower's balance sheet remains strong with net debt to adjusted EBITDA below three times, interest coverage over six times, and total liquidity at $9.5 billion. Recent bond issuance raised $1.25 billion, marking the first issuance as an A-rated credit.
Negative Updates
Disappointment with Holiday by Atria Portfolio
The acquisition of the Holiday by Atria portfolio in 2021 has so far been deemed a failure, with Welltower acknowledging flaws in the initial execution plan. The portfolio has not yet recovered in terms of NOI, although occupancy has improved by 560 basis points.
Company Guidance
During Welltower Inc.'s Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company highlighted its strong financial performance and strategic advancements. They reported a remarkable 22% growth in FFO per share and raised their full-year FFO guidance midpoint by $0.13 to $5.10 per share. The seniors housing operating portfolio achieved 23.4% same-store NOI growth, marking the eleventh consecutive quarter with over 20% growth. The UK portfolio saw a 600 basis point increase in occupancy, contributing to a 27% same-store NOI growth. RevPOR growth was approximately 5%, with a notable margin expansion of 330 basis points in SHOP. The company celebrated surpassing $2 billion in annualized NOI for SHOP assets and reaching $10 billion in overall company revenue. They closed or are under contract to close $9.2 billion in acquisitions year-to-date, indicating robust investment activity. Welltower also emphasized their strong balance sheet, with a debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio below three times and $9.5 billion in liquidity. The call underscored the company's commitment to leveraging data-driven insights and strategic capital allocation to drive long-term growth and operational efficiency.

Welltower Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Welltower shows strong financial health with solid revenue and net income growth. The balance sheet is stable with reduced debt levels and a high equity ratio, while cash flow metrics demonstrate efficient cash generation.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Welltower exhibits strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $9.17 billion, up from $7.85 billion annually. Gross profit margin remains solid at 33.5% TTM. Net income has notably increased, resulting in a strong net profit margin of 12.3% TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating efficient operations and strong earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy equity position with stockholders' equity at $35.90 billion, contributing to an equity ratio of 64.3% TTM. Welltower has managed to reduce its total debt to $2.52 billion, significantly improving the debt-to-equity ratio. Return on equity is strong at 3.1% TTM, showcasing effective use of equity.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at $2.61 billion TTM, with a free cash flow of $2.58 billion. The free cash flow growth is positive, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.3, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 2.3, demonstrating excellent cash earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.14B7.85B6.48B5.78B4.71B4.59B
Gross Profit3.54B3.02B2.53B2.22B1.93B1.99B
EBITDA3.28B2.78B2.40B2.04B1.71B1.53B
Net Income1.13B951.68M340.09M141.21M336.14M978.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.83B51.04B44.01B37.89B34.91B32.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.41B3.51B1.99B631.68M269.26M1.55B
Total Debt17.31B16.76B16.12B14.96B14.68B14.22B
Total Liabilities19.29B18.47B17.64B16.50B15.91B15.26B
Stockholders Equity35.90B31.96B25.40B20.29B17.64B15.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.58B2.20B1.55B1.30B1.26B1.35B
Operating Cash Flow2.61B2.26B1.60B1.33B1.28B1.36B
Investing Cash Flow-7.08B-5.51B-5.71B-3.70B-4.52B2.35B
Financing Cash Flow5.99B4.91B5.45B2.76B1.57B-2.08B

Welltower Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price165.84
Price Trends
50DMA
159.18
Positive
100DMA
153.37
Positive
200DMA
145.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.50
Positive
RSI
57.32
Neutral
STOCH
52.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WELL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 165.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 165.54, above the 50-day MA of 159.18, and above the 200-day MA of 145.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WELL.

Welltower Risk Analysis

Welltower disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Welltower reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Welltower Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$7.67B28.508.36%3.64%50.84%104.44%
77
Outperform
$110.77B136.213.48%1.66%30.73%96.48%
76
Outperform
$12.40B26.3610.47%6.38%12.73%23.51%
76
Outperform
$31.50B156.581.81%2.75%12.45%
74
Outperform
$4.60B25.326.66%6.25%6.89%240.70%
65
Neutral
$12.44B75.201.97%6.35%15.91%-49.49%
63
Neutral
$7.00B13.54-0.52%7.07%3.61%-22.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WELL
Welltower
165.84
46.98
39.53%
DOC
Healthpeak Properties
17.53
-3.27
-15.72%
OHI
Omega Healthcare
41.99
5.27
14.35%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
19.19
3.51
22.39%
VTR
Ventas
67.60
8.20
13.80%
CTRE
CareTrust REIT
34.37
5.84
20.47%

Welltower Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Welltower Issues $1 Billion in New Notes
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Welltower OP LLC, a prominent player in the healthcare and seniors housing property sector, issued $1 billion in notes, consisting of $400 million in 4.500% Notes due 2030 and $600 million in 5.125% Notes due 2035. These notes are guaranteed by Welltower Inc. and are part of a strategic financial maneuver to bolster the company’s capital for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and investment opportunities in its core markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (WELL) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Welltower stock, see the WELL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Welltower Registers Shares for Recent Acquisition
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Welltower Inc. filed a prospectus supplement with the SEC to register the offer and resale of up to 949,412 shares of its common stock. This filing is related to its recent acquisition of certain properties, reflecting the company’s ongoing strategic expansion in the healthcare real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (WELL) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Welltower stock, see the WELL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Welltower Issues $1.25 Billion in New Notes
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Welltower OP LLC issued $1.25 billion in notes, comprising $600 million of 4.500% Notes due 2030 and $650 million of 5.125% Notes due 2035. The proceeds from these notes are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and investment in healthcare and seniors housing properties, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on expanding its real estate portfolio in these sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (WELL) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Welltower stock, see the WELL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Welltower Shareholders Elect Directors and Approve Plans
Positive
May 23, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 22, 2025, Welltower Inc. shareholders elected nine directors, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, approved executive compensation, and amended the 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan. These decisions reflect shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction, potentially strengthening its governance and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (WELL) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Welltower stock, see the WELL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025