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Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI)
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Omega Healthcare (OHI) AI Stock Analysis

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OHI

Omega Healthcare

(NYSE:OHI)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(12.54% Upside)
Omega Healthcare's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are the most significant factors driving the score. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, the stock's valuation is relatively high. Potential risks from regulatory changes and tenant bankruptcies are notable concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Omega Healthcare's consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for healthcare facilities, supporting long-term income stability.
Strategic Investments
Significant investments in healthcare facilities enhance Omega's portfolio, potentially increasing future revenue and market position.
Operational Improvements
Improved operational metrics reflect enhanced efficiency and financial health, supporting sustainable cash flow and profitability.
Negative Factors
Genesis Bankruptcy
The bankruptcy of a major tenant poses risks to rental income stability and could impact Omega's financial performance.
Medicare and Medicaid Funding Concerns
Potential cuts in Medicare and Medicaid funding could affect operators' financial health, impacting Omega's rental income.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory uncertainties can affect operational costs and strategic planning, posing long-term risks to Omega's business model.

Omega Healthcare (OHI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Omega Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOmega is a real estate investment trust that invests in the long-term healthcare industry, primarily in skilled nursing and assisted living facilities. Its portfolio of assets is operated by a diverse group of healthcare companies, predominantly in a triple-net lease structure. The assets span all regions within the US, as well as in the UK.
How the Company Makes MoneyOmega Healthcare generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its properties to skilled nursing and assisted living operators. The company typically enters into long-term triple-net leases, where the operators are responsible for property maintenance, taxes, and insurance, allowing Omega to receive a steady rental income. Key revenue streams include rental income from its diversified portfolio of healthcare properties and interest income from mortgages and loans provided to operators. Additionally, Omega may benefit from strategic partnerships with healthcare operators, enhancing its portfolio and occupancy rates, which further contributes to its earnings.

Omega Healthcare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. reported strong financial results with significant revenue growth and strategic investments, including new partnerships and expansion of their portfolio. However, challenges such as the Genesis bankruptcy and potential funding cuts in Medicare and Medicaid present future risks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Third quarter adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) of $0.79 per share and funds available for distribution (FAD) of $0.75 per share reflect strong revenue and EBITDA growth. The dividend payout ratio has improved, dropping to 85% for AFFO and 89% for FAD.
Increased Guidance and Revenue Growth
Raised and narrowed 2025 AFFO guidance to $3.08 to $3.10 per share, with an 8% year-over-year AFFO growth compared to 2024. Third quarter revenue was $312 million, up from $276 million in the same quarter of the previous year.
Strategic Investments and Partnerships
Omega announced over $978 million in new investments for 2025, including a $222 million acquisition of a 49% equity interest in a healthcare facilities portfolio and a 9.9% equity investment in Sabre's operating company.
Operational Improvements
Occupancy and coverage metrics improved, with EBITDAR coverage at its highest level in 12 years, and a drop in the below 1x rent coverage bucket to 4.3% of total rent.
Portfolio Expansion and Management
Omega's core portfolio consists of 1,024 facilities, with operator EBITDAR coverage increasing to 1.55x. A strong pipeline for future investments and strategic opportunities is anticipated.
Negative Updates
Genesis Bankruptcy
Genesis filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in July 2025. Omega leases 31 facilities to Genesis with an annual rent of $52 million and has a $125 million term loan secured by Genesis' ancillary businesses.
Medicare and Medicaid Funding Concerns
Potential 4% cut in Medicare to occur in early 2026 due to deficit concerns, though historically such reductions have been avoided through legislative action. Monitoring state Medicaid budgets for potential impacts.
Challenges in the Regulatory Environment
The federal government shutdown and regulatory changes pose challenges, although the staffing mandate was effectively nullified.
Company Guidance
During Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.'s third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong financial performance. The adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) for the third quarter were $0.79 per share, and funds available for distribution (FAD) were $0.75 per share. These results were driven by acquisitions and active portfolio management, leading to a reduced dividend payout ratio of 85% for AFFO and 89% for FAD. Consequently, Omega raised its 2025 AFFO guidance from a range of $3.04 to $3.07 per share to $3.08 to $3.10 per share, indicating an 8% year-over-year growth compared to 2024's AFFO of $2.87 per share. Additionally, the company's EBITDAR coverage reached its highest level in 12 years, and the below 1x rent coverage bucket decreased to 4.3% of total rent, with further improvements anticipated. Omega's strategic focus remained on allocating capital to healthcare real estate, with the aim of growing FAD per share on a risk-adjusted basis, while exploring joint ventures and other investment structures for higher returns.

Omega Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Omega Healthcare demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow generation, with improving leverage ratios. While revenue and free cash flow growth are positive, attention to cost management and debt levels is necessary to sustain financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Omega Healthcare shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 98.83% and a net profit margin of 47.29% in TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 3.19%, indicating a steady upward trend. However, the EBIT margin has decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.99 in TTM, showing better leverage management. Return on equity is moderate at 11.27%, reflecting decent profitability. The equity ratio stands at 52.39%, indicating a balanced capital structure. However, the high level of total debt remains a concern.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Omega Healthcare's free cash flow growth is robust at 6.54% in TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.01, indicating efficient cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, which limits a full assessment of cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.15B1.05B949.74M878.24M1.06B892.38M
Gross Profit1.14B1.04B934.72M862.74M1.05B880.07M
EBITDA861.96M947.11M810.84M1.00B992.70M715.64M
Net Income543.93M406.33M242.18M426.93M416.74M159.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.61B9.90B9.12B9.41B9.64B9.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments737.19M518.34M442.81M297.10M20.53M163.53M
Total Debt5.00B4.84B5.07B5.29B5.25B5.17B
Total Liabilities5.35B5.17B5.36B5.60B5.53B5.46B
Stockholders Equity5.04B4.54B3.57B3.61B3.91B3.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow840.89M749.43M617.74M578.51M627.07M633.14M
Operating Cash Flow876.55M749.43M617.74M625.73M722.14M708.26M
Investing Cash Flow-809.16M-671.16M-770.00K442.85M-524.17M-89.06M
Financing Cash Flow345.62M26.32M-473.31M-789.45M-341.12M-485.55M

Omega Healthcare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.54
Price Trends
50DMA
40.94
Positive
100DMA
39.44
Positive
200DMA
37.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.64
Negative
RSI
68.69
Neutral
STOCH
88.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OHI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.53, above the 50-day MA of 40.94, and above the 200-day MA of 37.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OHI.

Omega Healthcare Risk Analysis

Omega Healthcare disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Omega Healthcare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Omega Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.04B26.828.13%3.58%59.25%88.37%
76
Outperform
$12.60B23.9511.28%6.16%13.50%31.56%
74
Outperform
$4.36B25.036.29%6.59%8.12%75.95%
70
Neutral
$8.03B1.12%2.02%11.80%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
$12.69B-0.48%5.71%9.58%-111.99%
57
Neutral
$6.30B-7.26%6.59%-6.59%33.35%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OHI
Omega Healthcare
43.54
4.95
12.83%
DOC
Healthpeak Properties
17.82
-3.72
-17.27%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
18.88
0.62
3.40%
HR
Healthcare Realty Trust
18.10
1.53
9.23%
CTRE
CareTrust REIT
36.15
6.52
22.00%
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
49.42
24.11
95.26%

Omega Healthcare Corporate Events

Omega Healthcare Investors Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 4, 2025

Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. recently held their third-quarter 2025 earnings call, revealing a largely positive sentiment. The company reported robust financial results, marked by significant revenue growth and strategic investments. However, challenges such as the Genesis bankruptcy and potential funding cuts in Medicare and Medicaid were also highlighted as future risks.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Omega Healthcare Announces New $2 Billion Equity Offering
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. announced a new ‘at-the-market’ equity offering sales agreement, allowing the issuance and sale of up to $2 billion in common stock. This agreement replaces a previous one from September 2024 and involves multiple financial institutions as sales agents, forward sellers, and forward purchasers. The sales will be conducted through various methods, including the New York Stock Exchange, and are subject to market conditions. This strategic move aims to enhance Omega Healthcare’s financial flexibility and market positioning, potentially impacting its stakeholders by providing additional capital for growth and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (OHI) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omega Healthcare stock, see the OHI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Omega Healthcare Redeems $600M Senior Notes
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. redeemed its $600 million 5.250% Senior Notes due 2026, originally issued in 2015. This action terminated the obligations under the Notes and the related Indenture, impacting Omega’s financial structure by discharging these debts.

The most recent analyst rating on (OHI) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omega Healthcare stock, see the OHI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Omega Healthcare Secures $2.3 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. announced the closing of a new $2.3 billion senior unsecured credit facility, which includes a $2.0 billion revolving credit facility and a $300 million delayed draw term loan facility. This new facility replaces the previous $1.45 billion revolving credit facility and was supported by over 20 financial institutions, indicating strong market confidence. The credit facility is expected to support Omega’s refinancing, acquisitions, and other corporate purposes, potentially enhancing its market positioning and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (OHI) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omega Healthcare stock, see the OHI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Omega Healthcare to Redeem Senior Notes in October
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Omega Healthcare Investors announced its decision to redeem all outstanding 5.250% Senior Notes due 2026 on October 15, 2025. This strategic move involves redeeming the notes at their principal amount plus accrued interest, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and signaling a shift in its financial strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (OHI) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omega Healthcare stock, see the OHI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025