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Omega Healthcare (OHI)
NYSE:OHI

Omega Healthcare (OHI) AI Stock Analysis

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Omega Healthcare

(NYSE:OHI)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲( 10.50% Upside)
Omega Healthcare's overall score reflects strong financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, tempered by neutral technical indicators and valuation concerns. Key strengths include profitability and cash flow efficiency, while risks involve operational challenges and market conditions.
Positive Factors
Earnings
1Q25 adj. FFO of $0.75/share (+9.7% y/y) beat the Street's $0.73.
Financial Performance
Omega Healthcare Investors reported 4Q24 core FFO of $0.74, beating expectations due to higher-than-expected NOI and interest income.
Growth Potential
Management has been opportunistic with equity capital raising, allowing the company to build an excess cash position ahead of debt maturities, providing potential for acquisitions.
Negative Factors
Liquidity Concerns
Genesis (4.9% of NOI) didn't pay March rent with the shortfall handled using a letter-of-credit.
Regulatory Risks
There are risks due to exposure to PACS Group, one of its largest operators, and uncertainties around potential Medicaid cost-cutting efforts.
Valuation Risks
The stock is considered fairly valued at a multiple that reflects increased risk related to PACS and uncertainties with the new administration's agenda.

Omega Healthcare (OHI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Omega Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOmega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in providing financing and capital to the long-term healthcare industry, with a particular focus on skilled nursing facilities and assisted living facilities. Founded in 1992 and headquartered in Hunt Valley, Maryland, Omega Healthcare Investors operates primarily in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company invests in healthcare properties through long-term, triple-net leases to healthcare operators, which means the lessee is responsible for property taxes, insurance, and maintenance expenses.
How the Company Makes MoneyOmega Healthcare Investors makes money primarily through rental income generated from its portfolio of healthcare properties. The company leases its properties to skilled nursing and assisted living facility operators under long-term, triple-net lease agreements, which provide a stable and predictable revenue stream. These leases typically include rent escalations, ensuring revenue growth over time. Additionally, Omega may engage in strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its property portfolio and improve its revenue base. The company's earnings are also influenced by factors such as property occupancy rates, operator financial performance, and government reimbursement policies related to healthcare services.

Omega Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Omega Healthcare's financial performance is commendable, with strong profitability, moderate revenue growth, and efficient cash conversion. The balance sheet is stable with a healthy mix of debt and equity, supporting continued investment and growth opportunities. While the company performs well in profitability and cash flow, there is room for enhancement in return on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Omega Healthcare demonstrates strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 98.70% and a net profit margin of 41.29% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating efficient cost management. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 3.18%, showing moderate growth. The EBIT margin of 62.80% and EBITDA margin of 91.21% further highlight robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.94, reflecting a balanced leverage position. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 9.45%, which is solid but could be improved. The equity ratio is 48.85%, indicating a healthy proportion of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with a reasonable degree of leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Omega Healthcare's cash flow shows a positive trajectory with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.06% from 2024 to TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.74 and the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.74 indicate strong cash conversion efficiency, ensuring the company generates ample cash from its operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.08B1.05B949.74M878.24M1.06B892.38M
Gross Profit
1.07B1.04B890.16M861.27M1.05B878.62M
EBIT
681.17M659.66M761.27M390.28M564.88M452.25M
EBITDA
989.65M947.11M810.84M722.69M906.89M782.18M
Net Income Common Stockholders
448.00M406.33M242.18M426.93M416.74M159.33M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
361.77M518.34M442.81M297.10M20.53M163.53M
Total Assets
9.01B9.90B9.12B9.41B9.64B9.50B
Total Debt
5.03B4.84B5.07B5.29B5.25B5.17B
Net Debt
4.67B4.32B4.62B4.99B5.23B5.01B
Total Liabilities
5.31B5.17B5.36B5.60B5.53B5.46B
Stockholders Equity
3.51B4.54B3.57B3.61B3.91B3.84B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
779.91M749.43M617.74M578.51M627.07M633.14M
Operating Cash Flow
779.91M749.43M617.74M625.73M722.14M708.26M
Investing Cash Flow
-604.45M-671.16M-770.00K442.85M-524.17M-89.06M
Financing Cash Flow
-135.36M26.32M-473.31M-789.45M-341.12M-485.55M

Omega Healthcare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.20
Price Trends
50DMA
36.91
Negative
100DMA
36.48
Negative
200DMA
37.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
45.99
Neutral
STOCH
35.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OHI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.59, below the 50-day MA of 36.91, and below the 200-day MA of 37.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OHI.

Omega Healthcare Risk Analysis

Omega Healthcare disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Omega Healthcare reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Omega Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.48B31.167.02%4.21%43.27%80.97%
76
Outperform
$4.15B29.525.15%6.88%7.81%179.16%
AHAHR
72
Outperform
$5.54B-1.93%2.91%11.66%
OHOHI
71
Outperform
$10.48B22.7010.53%7.40%10.56%45.37%
DODOC
69
Neutral
$11.97B42.443.26%7.16%23.65%12.82%
60
Neutral
$2.76B10.330.49%8507.90%5.95%-17.56%
HRHR
49
Neutral
$5.04B-6.83%8.64%-7.26%18.45%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OHI
Omega Healthcare
36.20
7.19
24.78%
DOC
Healthpeak Properties
16.84
-1.07
-5.97%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
17.44
4.14
31.13%
HR
Healthcare Realty Trust
14.35
-0.23
-1.58%
CTRE
CareTrust REIT
28.60
4.47
18.52%
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
34.33
20.87
155.05%

Omega Healthcare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, improved financial metrics, and successful investments, particularly in the U.K. However, concerns about Genesis's rent payment issues and potential Medicaid and provider tax changes present challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue for the first quarter was $277 million compared to $243 million for the first quarter of 2024, marking a year-over-year increase primarily due to new investments and operator restructurings.
Improved Leverage and Financial Metrics
Debt to EBITDA reduced to 3.7 times, which is the lowest leverage in over 10 years. Fixed charge coverage ratio was 5.2 times.
Successful U.K. Investments
Closed a $344 million investment for a portfolio of 45 care homes in the U.K. and Jersey, leased to existing and new operators with an initial cash yield of 10%.
Positive Updates on Major Operators
LaVie continues to work towards exiting bankruptcy, and Maplewood's occupancy for its portfolio reached 94% as of April 2025.
Increase in Private Pay Revenue
Shift in revenue mix with private pay and other revenue increasing from 8% ten years ago to 39% today.
Negative Updates
Genesis Rent Payment Issues
Genesis did not pay its contractual rent of $4.2 million in March, leading to a partial pull on a letter of credit. Genesis management indicated liquidity issues due to their borrowing base and liability obligations.
Concerns Regarding Medicaid and Provider Taxes
Potential reductions in provider taxes and Medicaid reform could impact revenue streams, though specifics are uncertain.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Omega Healthcare Investors reported adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) of $0.75 per share and funds available for distribution (FAD) of $0.71 per share, indicating continued revenue and EBITDA growth, which contributed to a reduction in leverage to 3.7 times debt to EBITDA. Omega raised and narrowed its 2025 AFFO guidance to a range of $2.95 to $3.01, reflecting strong earnings tempered by the dilutive impact of recent share issuances. Revenue for the quarter was $277 million, up from $243 million in the same period the previous year, primarily due to new investments and operator restructurings. Net income for the quarter was $112 million or $0.33 per share, compared to $69 million or $0.27 per share in Q1 2024. Omega's trailing 12-month cash flow to rent coverage with Genesis exceeded 1.6 times, despite a temporary non-payment of $4.2 million in rent by Genesis in March. The company ended the quarter with $368 million in cash and a full borrowing capacity of $1.45 billion on its credit facility.

Omega Healthcare Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Omega Healthcare Revises Operator Updates Slide
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. announced a revision to the Operator Updates slide in its investor presentation. This update is part of Omega’s ongoing efforts to provide stakeholders with current information, potentially impacting the company’s operations and its positioning within the healthcare real estate investment sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (OHI) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omega Healthcare stock, see the OHI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.