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Sabra Healthcare REIT (SBRA)
NASDAQ:SBRA

Sabra Healthcare REIT (SBRA) AI Stock Analysis

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Sabra Healthcare REIT

(NASDAQ:SBRA)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
▲( 8.94% Upside)
Sabra Healthcare REIT's overall score is bolstered by strong financial performance and a positive outlook from recent earnings calls and strategic corporate events. Technical indicators point to short-term challenges, but the attractive dividend yield and valuation provide a solid investment case.
Positive Factors
Earnings
1Q25 FAD beat with solid SHOP SSNOI growth.
Financial Performance
Skilled nursing rent coverage ratios should continue to expand given the strong Medicaid rate environment.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
Management's guidance is for Core FFO to be within a range of $1.43-$1.46 per share ($1.445 midpoint), slightly below consensus of $1.48 per share.
Investment Activity
No new investments announced, which may be a disappointment compared to peers.

Sabra Healthcare REIT (SBRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sabra Healthcare REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAs of March 31, 2022, Sabra's investment portfolio included 416 real estate properties held for investment. This consists of (i) 279 Skilled Nursing/Transitional Care facilities, (ii) 59 Senior Housing communities (Senior Housing - Leased), (iii) 50 Senior Housing communities operated by third-party property managers pursuant to property management agreements (Senior Housing - Managed), (iv) 13 Behavioral Health facilities and (v) 15 Specialty Hospitals and Other facilities), one asset held for sale, one investment in a sales-type lease, 16 investments in loans receivable (consisting of (i) two mortgage loans, (ii) one construction loan and (iii) 13 other loans), seven preferred equity investments and one investment in an unconsolidated joint venture. As of March 31, 2022, Sabra's real estate properties held for investment included 41,445 beds/units, spread across the United States and Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySabra Healthcare REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing its healthcare properties to operators under long-term, triple-net lease agreements. These leases require the operators to cover basic property expenses, including taxes, insurance, and maintenance, ensuring Sabra receives consistent rental income. Additionally, the company may engage in mortgage financing and sales-leaseback transactions, further diversifying its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions of new properties also contribute to Sabra's growth and earnings potential, as it expands its portfolio and increases rental income opportunities.

Sabra Healthcare REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sabra Healthcare REIT demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, improved profitability, and effective debt management. The company's cash flow is solid, providing operational flexibility. However, historical profitability challenges and high debt levels present some risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Sabra Healthcare REIT has shown a strong revenue growth trajectory with a 13.29% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a 2.73% increase from 2024 to TTM. The gross profit margin remains solid, and the net profit margin has improved significantly from prior years. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown positive trends, indicating operational efficiency. However, the company faced challenges in profitability in earlier years, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Sabra Healthcare REIT reflects a stable equity base with an equity ratio of 51.64% in TTM, indicating a strong capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over recent periods, showcasing effective debt management. Return on equity has improved to 5.21% in TTM from earlier losses, enhancing shareholder value. Despite these strengths, the high level of total debt remains a potential risk factor.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash flow statements reveal a robust free cash flow position, with consistent positive operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting efficient cash conversion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating strong cash-generating capabilities relative to reported earnings. There is positive free cash flow growth, suggesting solid cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
722.42M703.24M647.51M624.81M569.54M598.57M
Gross Profit
517.66M476.15M269.18M462.20M428.34M467.02M
EBIT
372.25M257.03M221.52M135.57M19.04M241.22M
EBITDA
419.10M412.61M311.81M323.35M166.21M417.96M
Net Income Common Stockholders
140.76M126.71M13.76M-77.61M-113.26M138.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
22.65M60.47M41.28M49.31M112.00M59.08M
Total Assets
5.23B5.30B5.39B5.75B5.97B5.99B
Total Debt
1.76B2.44B2.45B2.70B2.39B2.37B
Net Debt
1.74B2.38B2.41B2.65B2.28B2.31B
Total Liabilities
2.53B2.56B2.58B2.69B2.59B2.58B
Stockholders Equity
2.70B2.74B2.80B3.06B3.38B3.41B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
338.01M310.54M300.57M315.73M322.78M249.26M
Operating Cash Flow
338.01M310.54M300.57M315.73M356.39M354.85M
Investing Cash Flow
-112.22M-109.00M103.13M-216.25M-336.20M-136.45M
Financing Cash Flow
-262.57M-181.56M-410.30M-161.71M30.14M-202.11M

Sabra Healthcare REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.44
Price Trends
50DMA
17.29
Positive
100DMA
16.78
Positive
200DMA
16.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
50.14
Neutral
STOCH
12.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBRA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.49, above the 50-day MA of 17.29, and above the 200-day MA of 16.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SBRA.

Sabra Healthcare REIT Risk Analysis

Sabra Healthcare REIT disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sabra Healthcare REIT reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sabra Healthcare REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.48B31.167.02%4.25%43.27%80.97%
76
Outperform
$4.07B28.935.15%7.02%7.81%179.16%
NHNHI
76
Outperform
$3.38B23.0010.56%4.99%7.44%4.23%
LTLTC
72
Outperform
$1.62B18.189.39%6.54%4.46%2.24%
AHAHR
72
Outperform
$5.54B-1.93%2.94%11.66%
OHOHI
71
Outperform
$10.42B22.5710.53%7.44%10.56%45.37%
60
Neutral
$2.76B10.330.49%8508.28%5.95%-17.56%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
17.44
4.00
29.76%
LTC
LTC Properties
35.28
3.08
9.57%
NHI
National Health Investors
72.47
10.63
17.19%
OHI
Omega Healthcare
36.20
6.86
23.38%
CTRE
CareTrust REIT
28.60
4.30
17.70%
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
34.33
20.93
156.19%

Sabra Healthcare REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with record highs in key metrics, a strong pipeline of deals, and improved financial performance. However, challenges related to labor, limited skilled nursing opportunities, and potential Medicaid changes were noted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Highs in Skilled Nursing and Senior Housing Metrics
Skilled nursing and triple-net senior housing EBITDA and rent coverage reached new highs at 2.19 and 1.41, respectively, with behavioral metrics hitting their highest level since 2023 at 3.77.
Improved Occupancy and Deal Pipeline
Skilled occupancy increased by 80 basis points sequentially, with a 50 basis point increase in triple-net senior housing occupancy. The deal pipeline is busier than in a very long time, with over $200 million in deals awarded.
Strong Performance in Managed Senior Housing Portfolio
Same-store managed senior housing revenue grew 6.3% year-over-year; U.S. communities' cash NOI grew 14.4%, and Canadian communities' cash NOI increased 24.7%.
Solid Financial Performance
Normalized FFO per share increased to $0.35 from $0.34, and normalized AFFO per share increased to $0.37 from $0.35 year-over-year. Cash NOI from the managed senior housing portfolio increased to $24.1 million from $19.1 million.
Improved Leverage Ratios and Dividend Announcement
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio decreased to 5.19x, with ample liquidity of over $1 billion. A quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share was declared.
Negative Updates
Labor Challenges
While contract labor costs are improving, they are not yet at pre-pandemic levels, and labor challenges continue to persist.
Limited Attractive SNF Opportunities
There are not many attractive skilled nursing facility opportunities available, with many potential acquisitions losing money.
Potential Impact of Medicaid Overhang
There is an ongoing Medicaid overhang, and potential changes to provider taxes could affect revenue streams, though specifics remain uncertain.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 Sabra First Quarter Earnings Call, Sabra Health Care REIT provided guidance and performance metrics reflecting continued growth and stability. Their skilled nursing and triple-net senior housing EBITDA and rent coverage reached new highs at 2.19 and 1.41, respectively, while behavioral health coverage hit 3.77. The company's skilled nursing occupancy rose by 80 basis points sequentially, and triple-net senior housing occupancy increased by 50 basis points. In their managed senior housing portfolio, revenue grew 6.3% year-over-year with first-quarter occupancy at 85.4%, and cash NOI increased by 16.9%. The company reported a normalized FFO per share of $0.35 and affirmed their 2025 earnings guidance. Additionally, Sabra announced over $200 million in awarded deals, highlighting a robust acquisition pipeline. They maintain a strong balance sheet, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.19x and liquidity of over $1 billion.

Sabra Healthcare REIT Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sabra Healthcare REIT Expands Senior Housing Portfolio
Positive
May 5, 2025

In the first quarter of 2025, Sabra Healthcare REIT reported a net income of $0.17 per diluted share and continued to see growth in its senior housing managed portfolio, with a 16.9% increase in same-store cash NOI. The company exercised its option to acquire additional senior housing assets and was awarded over $200 million in new acquisition opportunities, reflecting its strategic focus on expanding its portfolio. Sabra’s liquidity position remains strong with $1.1 billion available, and Fitch Ratings affirmed its ‘BBB-‘ credit rating with a stable outlook, indicating confidence in its financial stability and growth prospects.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.