LTC Properties (LTC)
NYSE:LTC
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LTC Properties (LTC) AI Stock Analysis

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LTC

LTC Properties

(NYSE:LTC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(9.71% Upside)
LTC Properties' strong earnings call and attractive valuation are the most significant factors driving the score. Financial performance is solid but tempered by cash flow challenges and high debt levels. Technical analysis indicates neutral momentum, contributing moderately to the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Strategic Portfolio Repositioning
Strategic repositioning through asset sales enhances portfolio quality and liquidity, enabling LTC to focus on higher-growth segments like SHOP.
Growth in SHOP Segment
Expanding the SHOP segment positions LTC to capitalize on the growing demand for senior housing, enhancing long-term revenue stability.
Strong Liquidity Position
A strong liquidity position provides LTC with the financial flexibility to pursue strategic investments and weather economic uncertainties.
Negative Factors
Noncash Write-offs
Significant noncash write-offs indicate potential issues with asset valuation and could impact future profitability if similar issues persist.
Operator Transition Challenges
Operational transitions can disrupt income streams, highlighting execution risks in shifting business models and affecting short-term cash flow.
High Debt Levels
High debt levels can strain financial resources, limiting LTC's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns effectively.

LTC Properties (LTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LTC Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLTC is a real estate investment trust (REIT) investing in seniors housing and health care properties primarily through sale-leasebacks, mortgage financing, joint-ventures and structured finance solutions including preferred equity and mezzanine lending. LTC holds 181 investments in 27 states with 29 operating partners. The portfolio is comprised of approximately 50% seniors housing and 50% skilled nursing properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyLTC Properties generates revenue primarily through leasing its properties to operators of senior living and healthcare facilities. The company earns rental income from long-term leases, which are typically structured to provide predictable cash flows. Additionally, LTC may engage in mortgage financing for its properties, earning interest income from loans. The company also benefits from partnerships with experienced operators in the healthcare sector, ensuring high occupancy rates and effective management of its facilities. Factors contributing to its earnings include the increasing demand for senior housing due to an aging population, strategic acquisitions of properties, and the stability of cash flows from its long-term lease agreements.

LTC Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook for LTC Properties, highlighting significant growth in the SHOP segment, improved financial metrics, and strong liquidity and strategic repositioning of the portfolio. However, challenges such as noncash write-offs and operator transitions were also noted. Overall, the positive aspects and growth opportunities notably outweigh the negative aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Growth in SHOP Segment
LTC Properties raised its 2025 SHOP NOI guidance and has closed about 85% of its $460 million investment pipeline, with over $290 million in the SHOP segment. The SHOP portfolio is expected to approach 25% of the investment portfolio by year-end.
Increased Core FFO and Core FAD
Core FFO improved to $0.69 from $0.68 and Core FAD improved by $0.04 to $0.72 compared to the previous year, driven by increased SHOP NOI and decreased interest expenses.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
LTC reports pro forma liquidity at nearly $500 million with a pro forma debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA for real estate of 4.7x and an annualized adjusted fixed charge ratio of 4.6x.
Strategic Portfolio Repositioning
The company completed the sale of a portfolio of 7 skilled nursing assets, generating net proceeds of approximately $120 million and a resulting gain of $78 million.
Pipeline and Investment Success
LTC's investment opportunities set at approximately $1 billion, with nearly $110 million under LOI expected to close in January 2026, and has closed $270 million in SHOP investments.
Negative Updates
Noncash Write-offs
LTC took a noncash write-off of $41.5 million for Prestige's straight-line effective interest receivable balance and wrote off $1.3 million of straight-line rent receivable related to Genesis Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing.
Operator Transition Challenges
The transition of two seniors housing communities in Oregon to SHOP resulted in a temporary reduction in income, as the current SHOP NOI run rate is lower than the contractual rent.
Company Guidance
During the LTC Properties, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted, reflecting the company's strategic progress and financial performance. Core FFO improved to $0.69 from $0.68, and Core FAD increased by $0.04 to $0.72, driven by SHOP NOI growth and a decrease in interest expenses. The company raised its 2025 SHOP NOI guidance, having closed about 85% of a $460 million investment pipeline, with more than $290 million in the SHOP segment. LTC's SHOP portfolio now includes 21 properties with an average occupancy of 87% and a gross book value of $447 million. The company also reported a noncash write-off of $41.5 million related to Prestige's loan amendment and a $1.3 million write-off associated with the Genesis Chapter 11 bankruptcy. LTC sold 1.5 million shares for net proceeds of approximately $56 million, and its pro forma liquidity stands at nearly $500 million. The low end of the full-year 2025 core FFO guidance was increased by $0.01 to a range of $2.69 to $2.71.

LTC Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LTC Properties demonstrates solid profitability with strong margins and revenue growth. The balance sheet shows improved leverage, but high debt levels remain a concern. Cash flow metrics indicate challenges, particularly in operating cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
LTC Properties shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 92.6% and a net profit margin of 38.2% for TTM. The revenue growth rate of 4.9% in TTM indicates a positive trend, although it has slowed compared to previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, reflecting efficient operations. However, the decline in net income from the previous year suggests potential challenges in maintaining profit levels.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.62 in TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is moderate at 8.7%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 53.3%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the overall debt level remains significant, posing a risk if revenue growth does not continue.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
LTC Properties experienced a decline in free cash flow growth by 4.4% in TTM, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.21, indicating potential cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.99, suggesting that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue228.38M209.85M197.24M175.15M155.32M159.34M
Gross Profit183.20M196.92M183.97M159.67M139.93M144.27M
EBITDA113.02M171.58M175.89M169.52M121.89M164.45M
Net Income33.86M91.04M89.73M100.02M55.86M95.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.04B1.79B1.86B1.66B1.50B1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.93M9.41M20.29M10.38M5.16M7.77M
Total Debt947.17M684.60M891.32M767.85M722.72M649.38M
Total Liabilities999.17M733.14M938.83M805.80M759.70M683.68M
Stockholders Equity957.85M960.63M881.28M828.37M736.71M767.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow91.70M125.17M104.40M96.59M91.18M115.75M
Operating Cash Flow92.87M125.17M104.40M105.59M91.18M116.10M
Investing Cash Flow23.60M90.68M-174.91M-119.95M-69.79M43.93M
Financing Cash Flow-143.90M-226.72M80.42M19.58M-24.01M-156.50M

LTC Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.46
Price Trends
50DMA
35.43
Positive
100DMA
35.20
Positive
200DMA
34.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
62.76
Neutral
STOCH
78.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.59, above the 50-day MA of 35.43, and above the 200-day MA of 34.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LTC.

LTC Properties Risk Analysis

LTC Properties disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LTC Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LTC Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.72B49.393.49%6.25%11.89%-68.41%
69
Neutral
$1.30B33.302.77%6.76%3.74%77.82%
69
Neutral
$548.98M30.5510.55%7.40%0.68%-1.34%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
$421.38M-2.32%12.35%3.40%-240.85%
56
Neutral
$1.12B-18.84%0.86%4.10%8.96%
50
Neutral
$476.40M0.49%11.15%2.73%-131.16%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LTC
LTC Properties
36.46
0.48
1.33%
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust
4.58
2.19
91.23%
CHCT
Community Healthcare
15.26
-1.09
-6.67%
GMRE
Global Medical REIT
32.39
-6.79
-17.33%
UHT
Universal Health Realty Income
39.86
2.51
6.72%
SILA
Sila Realty Trust, Inc.
23.73
-0.42
-1.74%

LTC Properties Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
LTC Properties Completes Acquisition of Senior Housing
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On September 29, 2025, LTC Properties, Inc. completed the acquisition of five seniors housing communities in Wisconsin, totaling 520 units, from local developers. The $195 million purchase was financed through a combination of the company’s line of credit, loan payoffs, and proceeds from sales of common stock under its ATM program.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
LTC Properties Updates 2025 Financial Guidance
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

LTC Properties, Inc. has updated its 2025 full-year guidance for GAAP net income to be in the range of $2.57 to $2.59 per share, reflecting a non-cash write-off related to an amendment made to a mortgage loan with Prestige Healthcare in July 2025. Additionally, the company has adjusted its guidance for Diluted Core Funds From Operations and Diluted Core Funds Available for Distribution due to a new $58 million loan secured by senior housing communities in California. These changes indicate LTC’s strategic financial adjustments in response to market conditions and its ongoing investment activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

LTC Properties Faces New Challenges and Opportunities with RIDEA Structure Adoption
Aug 6, 2025

Ltc Properties faces increased operational and legal risks with its adoption of the RIDEA structure for its seniors housing operating portfolio (SHOP) segment. By transitioning properties to this model, the company is exposed to the uncertainties of relying on third-party operators for day-to-day management, which can impact financial performance. The company must navigate potential fluctuations in occupancy and resident fees, rising costs, and regulatory changes, all while ensuring compliance through its independent operators. This shift, while potentially beneficial, introduces complexities that could affect Ltc Properties’ overall stability and profitability.

LTC Properties Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Raises Guidance
Aug 6, 2025

LTC Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on investing in seniors housing and healthcare properties, utilizing strategies such as RIDEA, triple-net leases, joint ventures, and structured finance solutions. The company operates nearly 200 properties across approximately 25 states.

LTC Properties’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for LTC Properties reflected a strong growth trajectory, characterized by increased investments and improved financial metrics. The company showcased a strengthened liquidity position, although higher general and administrative expenses and potential challenges with loan prepayments were noted as areas to monitor.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025