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LTC Properties (LTC)
NYSE:LTC
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LTC Properties (LTC) AI Stock Analysis

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LTC

LTC Properties

(NYSE:LTC)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(7.68%Upside)
LTC Properties demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic growth potential, supported by a solid earnings call. However, technical indicators and corporate events present some risks.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Pipeline
LTC saw its acquisition pipeline ramp to $300M, showcasing potential for significant growth.
Earnings Guidance
'25 Guidance was initiated above Street, excluding SHOP one-time costs, indicating a positive outlook.
Negative Factors
Investment Activity
LTC didn't complete any new investments in recent quarters, potentially limiting immediate growth opportunities.
Occupancy Rates
AL occupancy declined, underperforming peers and typical seasonality, which could impact revenue.

LTC Properties (LTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LTC Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLTC is a real estate investment trust (REIT) investing in seniors housing and health care properties primarily through sale-leasebacks, mortgage financing, joint-ventures and structured finance solutions including preferred equity and mezzanine lending. LTC holds 181 investments in 27 states with 29 operating partners. The portfolio is comprised of approximately 50% seniors housing and 50% skilled nursing properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyLTC Properties makes money primarily through the collection of rental income from its portfolio of healthcare-related properties. As a REIT, the company leases its properties to operators and tenants in the senior housing and healthcare sectors, generating steady rental revenue. Additionally, LTC Properties may engage in financing activities, such as providing mortgage loans or mezzanine loans to operators, earning interest income. The company's revenue streams are bolstered by strategic partnerships with experienced operators in the healthcare space, which help ensure high occupancy rates and stable lease agreements. Furthermore, LTC Properties may realize gains through the strategic sale of properties or other real estate investments, contributing to its overall earnings.

LTC Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated a strong focus on growth through the RIDEA platform and solid financial performance. However, challenges remain, particularly with the skilled-nursing centers and the occupancy dips in the Anthem portfolio. Overall, the company appears to be well-positioned for future growth with a cautious approach to existing challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
RIDEA Platform Expansion
LTC Properties expanded its RIDEA platform with a SHOP portfolio totaling $176 million in gross book value through the conversion of 13 properties from triple net leases. The investment pipeline now stands at $300 million, with RIDEA opportunities representing approximately 50%.
Financial Performance and Liquidity
Core FFO grew to $0.65 from $0.64, and core FAD increased to $0.7 from $0.67. Total liquidity is approximately $681 million, with a debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA ratio of 4.3x and an improved annualized adjusted fixed charge coverage ratio of 5.0x.
Prestige Contractual Cash Interest
Received full contractual cash interest of $5 million through $3.8 million in cash interest paid and $1.2 million from security. Prestige received $2.3 million in retroactive Medicaid payments, with security deposit now at $6 million.
Operator Pipeline and Growth Strategy
Actively pursuing underwriting opportunities to add stabilized assets, focusing on a blend of RIDEA strategy with traditional and structured finance transactions for long-term value creation.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Skilled-Nursing Centers
The operator decided not to renew their lease on seven skilled-nursing centers for strategic reasons. The sale process is ongoing, with plans to replace $8.3 million of 2025 GAAP rent.
Anthem Portfolio Occupancy
The Anthem portfolio transitioned into SHOP currently has 81% occupancy. There were higher-than-normal discharges in Q4, affecting performance.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025 earnings call for LTC Properties, the company outlined a series of strategic moves that include converting 13 properties from triple net leases to a SHOP portfolio valued at $176 million. This transition, completed with Anthem Memory Care and soon to include New Perspective, is part of their RIDEA strategy which has expanded their investment pipeline to $300 million, with approximately 50% representing RIDEA opportunities. The company appointed Dave Boitano as the new Chief Investment Officer, bringing substantial industry experience. Financially, LTC reported a slight increase in core FFO per share to $0.65 and a similar increase in core FAD per share to $0.70. Their liquidity stands at $681 million, with a debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA ratio of 4.3x and an improved fixed charge coverage ratio of 5.0x. They provided full-year guidance for core FFO per share between $2.65 and $2.69 and core FAD per share between $2.78 and $2.82. The company's SHOP portfolio is projected to generate NOI between $9.4 million and $10.3 million in 2025.

LTC Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LTC Properties exhibits strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, maintaining high gross profit margins. While the balance sheet shows good leverage control, increasing debt levels pose potential risks. Strong cash flows support operations effectively.
Income Statement
75
Positive
LTC Properties has demonstrated a consistent revenue growth with a notable increase in EBIT margin over the years. The gross profit margin is strong, consistently above 90%, indicating efficient management of cost of goods sold. However, the net profit margin shows a slight decline in TTM, which could be due to increased expenses or other non-operating factors.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved, reflecting better leverage management. The equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure, with stockholders' equity forming a significant part of total assets. However, there is a consistent increase in total debt, which poses a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
LTC Properties has shown strong free cash flow generation, with a positive growth trajectory in recent periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating effective conversion of profits into cash. However, the decline in financing cash flow suggests increased repayments or reduced capital raising activities, which may impact future liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue209.85M197.24M175.15M155.32M159.34M
Gross Profit196.92M182.83M159.67M139.93M144.27M
EBITDA171.58M175.89M169.52M121.89M164.45M
Net Income91.04M89.73M100.02M55.86M95.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.79B1.86B1.66B1.50B1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments935.26M20.29M10.38M5.16M7.77M
Total Debt684.60M891.32M767.85M722.72M649.38M
Total Liabilities733.14M938.83M805.80M759.70M683.68M
Stockholders Equity960.63M881.28M828.37M736.71M767.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow125.17M104.40M96.59M84.89M115.75M
Operating Cash Flow125.17M104.40M105.59M91.18M116.10M
Investing Cash Flow90.68M-174.91M-119.95M-69.79M43.93M
Financing Cash Flow-226.72M80.42M19.58M-24.01M-156.50M

LTC Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.36
Price Trends
50DMA
34.92
Negative
100DMA
34.73
Negative
200DMA
34.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
41.97
Neutral
STOCH
47.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LTC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.03, below the 50-day MA of 34.92, and below the 200-day MA of 34.62, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LTC.

LTC Properties Risk Analysis

LTC Properties disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LTC Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LTC Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$11.32B24.5210.53%7.01%10.56%45.37%
75
Outperform
$1.40B39.882.46%6.31%-2.94%46.24%
71
Outperform
¥235.50B14.5810.69%3.74%18.48%21.05%
67
Neutral
$1.58B17.709.39%6.64%4.46%2.24%
59
Neutral
$496.19M218.531.45%11.24%-1.66%-86.24%
53
Neutral
$825.08M-13.96%1.19%5.33%10.68%
48
Neutral
$2.60B-28.86%7.51%19.56%-12.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LTC
LTC Properties
34.36
-1.08
-3.05%
OHI
Omega Healthcare
38.24
4.14
12.14%
MPW
Medical Properties
4.26
-0.43
-9.17%
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust
3.37
0.04
1.20%
GMRE
Global Medical REIT
6.94
-1.75
-20.14%
SILA
Sila Realty Trust, Inc.
24.80
2.18
9.64%

LTC Properties Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Genesis Healthcare Files for Bankruptcy, Impacting LTC Properties
Negative
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, LTC Properties announced that Genesis Healthcare, an operator leasing six skilled nursing centers from LTC, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on July 9, 2025. Genesis’ leases, which include a total of 782 beds in New Mexico and Alabama, are under a master lease with LTC that matures in April 2026, with options for renewal. Genesis had previously exercised a 5-year extension option for the lease, extending it to 2031. The annualized revenue from Genesis accounts for a small portion of LTC’s total revenue, and Genesis has paid its rent through July 2025. LTC holds a $4.7 million security from Genesis in a letter of credit.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
LTC Properties Increases Authorized Shares for Growth
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On May 28, 2025, LTC Properties held its annual stockholders meeting virtually, where several key proposals were voted upon. Stockholders elected six directors to the board, approved executive compensation, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the accounting firm for 2025, and agreed to amend the company’s charter to increase authorized shares from 60 million to 110 million, reflecting strategic growth plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025