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LTC Properties (LTC)
NYSE:LTC
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LTC Properties (LTC) AI Stock Analysis

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LTC

LTC Properties

(NYSE:LTC)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(9.83% Upside)
LTC Properties shows solid financial performance with strong profitability and reasonable valuation metrics, particularly its high dividend yield. The earnings call highlights a positive growth outlook, though some risks are present, such as the Genesis Healthcare bankruptcy. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and corporate events present mixed implications. Overall, the stock is stable with potential for income-focused investors.
Positive Factors
External Growth
LTC is delivering on external growth ahead of expectations.
Portfolio Growth
These transactions are expected to bring SHOP to 20% of total portfolio and boost long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Investment Activity
LTC didn't complete any new investments in recent quarters.
Occupancy Performance
AL occupancy declined, underperforming peers and typical seasonality.

LTC Properties (LTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LTC Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLTC is a real estate investment trust (REIT) investing in seniors housing and health care properties primarily through sale-leasebacks, mortgage financing, joint-ventures and structured finance solutions including preferred equity and mezzanine lending. LTC holds 181 investments in 27 states with 29 operating partners. The portfolio is comprised of approximately 50% seniors housing and 50% skilled nursing properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyLTC Properties generates revenue primarily through rental income from the properties it leases to operators of senior housing and healthcare facilities. The company typically enters into long-term net leases, which obligate the tenants to cover property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance. In addition to rental income, LTC may also generate revenue through mortgage financing, providing loans to operators for property acquisitions or improvements. The company's partnerships with experienced operators in the healthcare sector are crucial, as they ensure the facilities are well-managed and financially stable, thus contributing to consistent cash flow and growth in earnings.

LTC Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.22%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong growth trajectory with increased investments and improved financial metrics, supported by a strengthened liquidity position. However, higher G&A expenses and potential challenges with loan prepayments present areas to monitor.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Investment Pipeline
Guidance for 2025 investments increased to $400 million, which will more than double the size of the existing SHOP portfolio.
Improvement in Financial Metrics
Core FFO improved to $0.68 from $0.67, and Core FAD increased by $0.05 to $0.71 versus $0.66.
Strengthened Liquidity Position
New 4-year unsecured credit agreement with increased revolver commitments from $425 million to $600 million, with potential to increase to $1.2 billion.
Positive Outlook for Genesis Properties
Received full contractual rent from Genesis through August with a new lease extension up to April 30, 2031.
Significant SHOP Portfolio Growth
SHOP portfolio's gross book value expected to reach approximately $475 million, up from $175 million.
Negative Updates
Higher G&A Expenses
Increased general and administrative expenses impacting financial results.
Potential Challenges with Prestige Loan Prepayment
Prestige's option to prepay their $180 million loan could affect future capital recycling and liquidity plans.
Company Guidance
During the LTC Properties Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the management provided updated guidance reflecting their strategic growth initiatives. The company's investment pipeline increased to $400 million for 2025, doubling the size of their existing SHOP portfolio. They plan to expand their SHOP operators to five, including three new relationships. The Core FFO guidance for the full year 2025 was raised by $0.02 to a range of $2.67 to $2.71, factoring in $320 million in expected investments closing in the next 60 days. Financial highlights include an improved Core FFO of $0.68 and Core FAD of $0.71, driven by reduced interest expenses and increased SHOP NOI. LTC's liquidity stands at $674 million, supported by a new four-year unsecured credit agreement with commitments increasing from $425 million to $600 million. The company targets an annualized adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio of 4.2x and maintains an annualized adjusted fixed charge coverage ratio of 5.1x.

LTC Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LTC Properties shows strong revenue growth and efficient cost management with a robust cash flow, although increasing debt levels present some risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
LTC Properties has demonstrated a consistent revenue growth with a notable increase in EBIT margin over the years. The gross profit margin is strong, consistently above 90%, indicating efficient management of cost of goods sold. However, the net profit margin shows a slight decline in TTM, which could be due to increased expenses or other non-operating factors.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved, reflecting better leverage management. The equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure, with stockholders' equity forming a significant part of total assets. However, there is a consistent increase in total debt, which poses a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
LTC Properties has shown strong free cash flow generation, with a positive growth trajectory in recent periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating effective conversion of profits into cash. However, the decline in financing cash flow suggests increased repayments or reduced capital raising activities, which may impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue217.64M209.85M197.24M175.15M155.32M159.34M
Gross Profit201.52M196.92M182.83M159.67M139.93M144.27M
EBITDA159.05M171.58M175.89M169.52M121.89M164.45M
Net Income83.07M91.04M89.73M100.02M55.86M95.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.80B1.79B1.86B1.66B1.50B1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments915.49M935.26M20.29M10.38M5.16M7.77M
Total Debt596.57M684.60M891.32M767.85M722.72M649.38M
Total Liabilities750.45M733.14M938.83M805.80M759.70M683.68M
Stockholders Equity957.51M960.63M881.28M828.37M736.71M767.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow125.67M125.17M104.40M96.59M84.89M115.75M
Operating Cash Flow126.73M125.17M104.40M105.59M91.18M116.10M
Investing Cash Flow64.99M90.68M-174.91M-119.95M-69.79M43.93M
Financing Cash Flow-190.29M-226.72M80.42M19.58M-24.01M-156.50M

LTC Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.51
Price Trends
50DMA
34.97
Positive
100DMA
34.80
Positive
200DMA
34.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
54.81
Neutral
STOCH
73.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.16, above the 50-day MA of 34.97, and above the 200-day MA of 34.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LTC.

LTC Properties Risk Analysis

LTC Properties disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LTC Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LTC Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.10B25.5810.47%6.53%12.73%23.51%
73
Outperform
$1.64B19.478.94%6.42%8.18%-16.83%
68
Neutral
$1.36B34.702.71%6.50%0.43%58.57%
65
Neutral
$2.05B16.964.04%5.09%1.74%-1.63%
60
Neutral
$485.30M99.111.94%11.69%0.90%
55
Neutral
$813.57M-14.32%1.19%4.29%18.89%
51
Neutral
$2.43B-25.97%7.90%27.66%18.03%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LTC
LTC Properties
35.51
1.99
5.94%
OHI
Omega Healthcare
41.01
5.84
16.61%
MPW
Medical Properties
4.14
-0.20
-4.61%
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust
3.37
0.17
5.31%
GMRE
Global Medical REIT
6.66
-1.77
-21.00%
SILA
Sila Realty Trust, Inc.
24.61
3.24
15.16%

LTC Properties Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
LTC Properties Amends Equity Distribution Agreement
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, LTC Properties, Inc. amended its Equity Distribution Agreement to include additional agents and forward purchasers, enhancing its ability to offer and sell up to $400 million of common stock. Concurrently, the company terminated its agreement with BMO Capital Markets Corp., Bank of Montreal, and Wedbush Securities Inc., leaving approximately $376.4 million in unsold shares, while maintaining agreements with the remaining original parties.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Genesis Healthcare Files for Bankruptcy, Impacting LTC Properties
Negative
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, LTC Properties announced that Genesis Healthcare, an operator leasing six skilled nursing centers from LTC, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on July 9, 2025. Genesis’ leases, which include a total of 782 beds in New Mexico and Alabama, are under a master lease with LTC that matures in April 2026, with options for renewal. Genesis had previously exercised a 5-year extension option for the lease, extending it to 2031. The annualized revenue from Genesis accounts for a small portion of LTC’s total revenue, and Genesis has paid its rent through July 2025. LTC holds a $4.7 million security from Genesis in a letter of credit.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
LTC Properties Increases Authorized Shares for Growth
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On May 28, 2025, LTC Properties held its annual stockholders meeting virtually, where several key proposals were voted upon. Stockholders elected six directors to the board, approved executive compensation, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the accounting firm for 2025, and agreed to amend the company’s charter to increase authorized shares from 60 million to 110 million, reflecting strategic growth plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025