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LTC Properties (LTC)
NYSE:LTC
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LTC Properties (LTC) AI Stock Analysis

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LTC

LTC Properties

(NYSE:LTC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(10.83% Upside)
LTC Properties' overall score is driven by strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. The valuation is attractive, supported by a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, and cash flow challenges need addressing.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion
The strategic expansion of the SHOP portfolio indicates a strong growth trajectory, enhancing LTC's market position in senior housing and healthcare properties.
Strong Liquidity Position
A robust liquidity position provides financial flexibility, enabling LTC to pursue growth opportunities and manage debt effectively, supporting long-term stability.
SHOP Acquisition
The acquisition of stabilized communities enhances LTC's revenue base and strengthens its competitive position in the senior housing market, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Low operating cash flow relative to net income suggests potential liquidity constraints, which could impact LTC's ability to reinvest in growth and manage debt.
Rising Administrative Costs
Increasing administrative costs can pressure margins and reduce profitability, potentially impacting LTC's ability to maintain competitive pricing and shareholder returns.
Significant Debt Levels
High debt levels can strain financial resources, limiting LTC's ability to invest in growth initiatives and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.

LTC Properties (LTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LTC Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLTC is a real estate investment trust (REIT) investing in seniors housing and health care properties primarily through sale-leasebacks, mortgage financing, joint-ventures and structured finance solutions including preferred equity and mezzanine lending. LTC holds 181 investments in 27 states with 29 operating partners. The portfolio is comprised of approximately 50% seniors housing and 50% skilled nursing properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyLTC Properties generates revenue primarily through rental income from the properties it leases to operators of senior housing and healthcare facilities. The company typically enters into long-term net leases, which obligate the tenants to cover property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance. In addition to rental income, LTC may also generate revenue through mortgage financing, providing loans to operators for property acquisitions or improvements. The company's partnerships with experienced operators in the healthcare sector are crucial, as they ensure the facilities are well-managed and financially stable, thus contributing to consistent cash flow and growth in earnings.

LTC Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
LTC Properties showed strong growth and strategic expansion in their SHOP portfolio, improved financial performance, and maintained a solid liquidity position. However, they faced minor challenges with decreased interest income and higher administrative costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Investment Pipeline
LTC increased its investment pipeline to $400 million for 2025, more than doubling the existing SHOP portfolio and expanding SHOP operators to five, including three new relationships.
Financial Performance Improvements
Core FFO improved to $0.68 from $0.67, and Core FAD improved by $0.05 to $0.71 versus $0.66, driven by decreased interest expense and increased SHOP NOI.
Strong Liquidity Position
Entered a new 4-year unsecured credit agreement, increasing revolver commitments from $425 million to $600 million, with potential to increase loan commitments up to $1.2 billion.
Strategic Asset Sales
Under contract to sell seven skilled nursing centers for a net proceeds of about $120 million against a gross book value of $72 million, expecting a gain of approximately $80 million.
SHOP Portfolio Growth
Acquired a 67-unit assisted living and memory care community with a $35 million investment at a 7% yield, and originated a $42 million mortgage loan with a fixed rate of 8.5%.
Guidance Increase
Full year 2025 Core FFO guidance range increased by $0.02 to $2.67 and $2.71.
Negative Updates
Interest Income Decrease
Decreased interest income due to mortgage loan payoffs and principal paydowns, partly offsetting the increase in core FFO.
Higher General and Administrative Expenses
Higher G&A expenses partially offset improvements in core FFO.
Company Guidance
During the LTC Properties second quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided updated guidance, increasing their investment target to $400 million for the year, up from a previously projected $300 million. This new guidance aims to more than double the size of their existing SHOP portfolio, expanding the number of SHOP operators to five, including three new partnerships. Financial metrics highlighted include a core FFO increase to $0.68 per share from $0.67 and a core FAD improvement to $0.71 from $0.66. The company's liquidity stands at $674 million, with recent financial maneuvers including a new 4-year unsecured credit agreement and the rolling of $250 million in term loans into the revolver. The adjusted debt to annualized EBITDA ratio is 4.2x, and the adjusted fixed charge coverage ratio is 5.1x. Additionally, LTC entered into a 5-year mortgage loan at an 8.5% fixed interest rate, contributing to the nearly $80 million in investments made so far in 2025, with an additional $320 million expected to close soon.

LTC Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LTC Properties demonstrates solid profitability and revenue growth, with strong margins across the board. The balance sheet shows improved leverage, though debt levels remain a concern. Cash flow metrics indicate some challenges, particularly in operating cash flow. Overall, the company is in a stable financial position but should focus on enhancing cash flow generation and managing debt levels to sustain growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
LTC Properties shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 92.6% and a net profit margin of 38.2% for TTM. The revenue growth rate of 4.9% in TTM indicates a positive trend, although it has slowed compared to previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, reflecting efficient operations. However, the decline in net income from the previous year suggests potential challenges in maintaining profit levels.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.62 in TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is moderate at 8.7%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 53.3%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the overall debt level remains significant, posing a risk if revenue growth does not continue.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
LTC Properties experienced a decline in free cash flow growth by 4.4% in TTM, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.21, indicating potential cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.99, suggesting that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue216.73M209.85M197.24M175.15M155.32M159.34M
Gross Profit188.40M196.92M183.97M159.67M139.93M144.27M
EBITDA165.97M171.58M175.89M169.52M121.89M164.45M
Net Income83.22M91.04M89.73M100.02M55.86M95.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.80B1.79B1.86B1.66B1.50B1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments915.49M935.26M20.29M10.38M5.16M7.77M
Total Debt596.57M684.60M891.32M767.85M722.72M649.38M
Total Liabilities750.45M733.14M938.83M805.80M759.70M683.68M
Stockholders Equity957.51M960.63M881.28M828.37M736.71M767.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow125.67M125.17M104.40M96.59M84.89M115.75M
Operating Cash Flow126.73M125.17M104.40M105.59M91.18M116.10M
Investing Cash Flow64.99M90.68M-174.91M-119.95M-69.79M43.93M
Financing Cash Flow-190.29M-226.72M80.42M19.58M-24.01M-156.50M

LTC Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.19
Price Trends
50DMA
35.51
Positive
100DMA
34.97
Positive
200DMA
34.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
56.00
Neutral
STOCH
84.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.06, below the 50-day MA of 35.51, and above the 200-day MA of 34.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LTC.

LTC Properties Risk Analysis

LTC Properties disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LTC Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LTC Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.63B19.378.94%6.40%8.18%-16.83%
$1.31B33.532.71%6.66%0.43%58.57%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
$620.09M95.541.94%8.61%0.90%
$505.16M28.1310.08%8.09%0.14%-0.76%
$1.04B-14.32%0.97%4.29%18.89%
$413.87M-2.22%12.85%2.96%-877.53%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LTC
LTC Properties
35.19
-0.52
-1.46%
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust
4.14
0.60
16.95%
CHCT
Community Healthcare
14.47
-1.44
-9.05%
GMRE
Global Medical REIT
31.12
-10.78
-25.73%
UHT
Universal Health Realty Income
36.45
-0.42
-1.14%
SILA
Sila Realty Trust, Inc.
24.03
0.08
0.33%

LTC Properties Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
LTC Properties Completes Acquisition of Senior Housing
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On September 29, 2025, LTC Properties, Inc. completed the acquisition of five seniors housing communities in Wisconsin, totaling 520 units, from local developers. The $195 million purchase was financed through a combination of the company’s line of credit, loan payoffs, and proceeds from sales of common stock under its ATM program.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
LTC Properties Updates 2025 Financial Guidance
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

LTC Properties, Inc. has updated its 2025 full-year guidance for GAAP net income to be in the range of $2.57 to $2.59 per share, reflecting a non-cash write-off related to an amendment made to a mortgage loan with Prestige Healthcare in July 2025. Additionally, the company has adjusted its guidance for Diluted Core Funds From Operations and Diluted Core Funds Available for Distribution due to a new $58 million loan secured by senior housing communities in California. These changes indicate LTC’s strategic financial adjustments in response to market conditions and its ongoing investment activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

LTC Properties Faces New Challenges and Opportunities with RIDEA Structure Adoption
Aug 6, 2025

Ltc Properties faces increased operational and legal risks with its adoption of the RIDEA structure for its seniors housing operating portfolio (SHOP) segment. By transitioning properties to this model, the company is exposed to the uncertainties of relying on third-party operators for day-to-day management, which can impact financial performance. The company must navigate potential fluctuations in occupancy and resident fees, rising costs, and regulatory changes, all while ensuring compliance through its independent operators. This shift, while potentially beneficial, introduces complexities that could affect Ltc Properties’ overall stability and profitability.

LTC Properties Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Raises Guidance
Aug 6, 2025

LTC Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on investing in seniors housing and healthcare properties, utilizing strategies such as RIDEA, triple-net leases, joint ventures, and structured finance solutions. The company operates nearly 200 properties across approximately 25 states.

LTC Properties’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for LTC Properties reflected a strong growth trajectory, characterized by increased investments and improved financial metrics. The company showcased a strengthened liquidity position, although higher general and administrative expenses and potential challenges with loan prepayments were noted as areas to monitor.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
LTC Properties Amends Equity Distribution Agreement
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, LTC Properties, Inc. amended its Equity Distribution Agreement to include additional agents and forward purchasers, enhancing its ability to offer and sell up to $400 million of common stock. Concurrently, the company terminated its agreement with BMO Capital Markets Corp., Bank of Montreal, and Wedbush Securities Inc., leaving approximately $376.4 million in unsold shares, while maintaining agreements with the remaining original parties.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTC) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LTC Properties stock, see the LTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 18, 2025