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CareTrust REIT (CTRE)
NYSE:CTRE

CareTrust REIT (CTRE) AI Stock Analysis

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CareTrust REIT

(NYSE:CTRE)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(14.54%Upside)
CareTrust REIT's solid financial performance and strategic acquisitions are significant strengths, driving the stock's strong overall score. Concerns about rising debt and potential Medicaid cuts are moderated by a robust investment pipeline and positive corporate developments.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
CTRE maintains a very strong balance sheet and benefits from management's deep industry experience, which supports positive growth prospects.
Portfolio Diversification
The acquisition of Care REIT diversifies CTRE's portfolio and strengthens earnings growth by expanding into the UK and reducing US Medicaid exposure.
Strategic Expansion
The strategic expansion in the UK is viewed positively.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Uncertainty
The acquisition is contingent on a shareholder vote and could be terminated if not completed by July 9, 2025, creating uncertainty.
Financial Guidance
Raised guidance figures are below Street and BMO expectations.
Leverage
Leverage is expected to rise to 1.7x (midpoint) from the current 0.5x.

CareTrust REIT (CTRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CareTrust REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) is a real estate investment trust specializing in the ownership, acquisition, and leasing of healthcare-related properties, primarily focused on skilled nursing facilities, assisted living facilities, and independent living facilities. The company operates across the United States, providing capital and operational support to healthcare operators, thereby facilitating the delivery of healthcare services to the aging population.
How the Company Makes MoneyCareTrust REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing its portfolio of healthcare-related properties to third-party operators. The company enters into long-term, triple-net lease agreements, where tenants are responsible for property-related expenses such as maintenance, insurance, and taxes. This structure provides CareTrust REIT with a steady stream of rental income. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic acquisitions and sales of properties to optimize its portfolio and enhance returns. Partnerships with healthcare operators are crucial, as they help maintain high occupancy rates and ensure reliable rental payments, contributing to the company's financial performance.

CareTrust REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, highlighting a significant strategic acquisition, robust financial performance, and strong investment pipeline. However, there are some concerns about potential Medicaid cuts and the performance of specific tenants which add a cautious note.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Acquisition of Care REIT
CareTrust REIT announced the acquisition of the UK-based Care REIT for approximately $856 million. This marks CareTrust's first M&A activity and entry into the UK market, diversifying operator concentration, geography, payer sources, and asset classes.
Record Investment Pipeline
CareTrust has a robust investment pipeline amounting to approximately $500 million, predominantly consisting of real estate acquisitions in the U.S. and not including the UK acquisition of Care REIT.
Significant Financial Performance Improvement
Normalized FFO increased by 67.4% over the prior year quarter to $77.8 million, and normalized FAD increased by 66% to $80.8 million. On a per share basis, normalized FFO increased by $0.07 or 20% to $0.42 per share, and normalized FAD increased by $0.06 or 16.2% to $0.43 per share.
Successful Financing and Low Leverage
CareTrust secured commitments for a $500 million five-year term loan and raised roughly $100 million via the ATM, maintaining a low net debt to normalized EBITDA ratio of 0.5 times and net debt to enterprise value at 2.9%.
Negative Updates
Concerns Over Medicaid Cuts
There is ongoing uncertainty regarding potential Medicaid cuts, with no definitive outcomes yet, although there remains bipartisan support for Medicaid.
Challenges with Tenant PACs
Specific performance details about tenant PACs could not be provided, indicating potential concerns or uncertainties regarding their financial disclosures.
Company Guidance
During the CareTrust REIT first quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were discussed regarding the company's strategic initiatives and financial performance. Dave Sedgwick, President and CEO, highlighted the acquisition of Care REIT for approximately $856 million, which is expected to generate $68.6 million in annual rent and diversify the company's operations geographically and by asset class. James Callister, Chief Investment Officer, reported on U.S. investments totaling $82 million with a yield of approximately 10%, and mentioned a strong investment pipeline of $500 million focused primarily on skilled nursing facilities. Financially, Bill Wagner, CFO, noted a 67.4% increase in normalized FFO to $77.8 million and a 66% increase in normalized FAD to $80.8 million for the quarter. Guidance was raised, with normalized FFO per share expected between $1.69 and $1.73 and normalized FAD per share between $1.73 and $1.77 for the year. Wagner also discussed a $500 million term loan to support the acquisition and pipeline. The company's net debt to normalized EBITDA ratio is expected to remain below 2.5 times post-transaction, indicating strong liquidity and financial stability.

CareTrust REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CareTrust REIT displays robust profitability with high profit margins and consistent revenue growth. The balance sheet shows financial stability, although rising debt levels need monitoring. Strong cash flow generation further supports its solid financial position.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CareTrust REIT demonstrates strong income statement metrics with a solid gross profit margin and consistent revenue growth. The TTM data highlights a gross profit margin of 94.62% and a net profit margin of 65.78%, indicating excellent profitability. Revenue has grown from $187.51 million in 2022 to $246.41 million in TTM 2025, reflecting a robust growth rate. The company also maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 55.15% and 101.80%, respectively. Overall, the income statement reflects a strong financial performance with stable and growing profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of CareTrust REIT reveals financial stability with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 in TTM 2025. The equity ratio stands at 75.36%, indicating a strong equity position relative to total assets. Return on equity is impressive at 5.54%, showcasing efficient utilization of equity to generate profits. However, the increasing total debt from $545.59 million in 2020 to $822.15 million in TTM 2025 presents a potential risk if not managed carefully. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a strong equity base but a rising debt trend that warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
CareTrust REIT shows a positive cash flow scenario with a substantial operating cash flow of $266.81 million in TTM 2025, indicating strong cash generation capability. The free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM 2025 is 8.75%, reflecting a healthy increase. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.65, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.58, both indicating efficient cash flow management relative to earnings. The cash flow analysis highlights robust cash generation and efficient handling of operating activities, contributing to overall financial strength.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
246.41M228.26M217.77M187.51M190.19M175.69M
Gross Profit
233.14M214.71M208.18M178.13M186.62M170.98M
EBIT
135.91M124.06M186.37M112.44M106.56M104.56M
EBITDA
250.82M211.54M145.80M162.81M161.96M157.38M
Net Income Common Stockholders
162.14M125.08M53.73M42.87M48.30M57.21M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
26.51M213.82M294.45M13.18M19.89M18.92M
Total Assets
3.88B3.44B2.08B1.62B1.64B1.50B
Total Debt
822.15M396.93M595.60M719.50M673.40M545.59M
Net Debt
795.64M183.10M301.15M706.32M653.50M526.67M
Total Liabilities
936.27M507.63M666.12M771.41M725.09M589.42M
Stockholders Equity
2.93B2.91B1.42B849.37M915.76M914.14M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
256.88M236.20M143.79M137.12M150.86M137.44M
Operating Cash Flow
266.81M244.25M154.77M144.41M156.87M145.74M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.43B-1.51B-267.81M-127.40M-192.63M-41.58M
Financing Cash Flow
1.34B1.19B394.32M-23.73M36.74M-105.56M

CareTrust REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.81
Price Trends
50DMA
28.60
Positive
100DMA
27.64
Positive
200DMA
28.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
50.21
Neutral
STOCH
51.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.91, above the 50-day MA of 28.60, and above the 200-day MA of 28.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTRE.

CareTrust REIT Risk Analysis

CareTrust REIT disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CareTrust REIT reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CareTrust REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.52B31.397.02%4.65%43.27%80.97%
77
Outperform
$4.33B30.825.15%6.59%7.81%179.16%
NHNHI
72
Outperform
$3.31B22.5110.56%5.08%7.44%4.23%
AHAHR
64
Neutral
$5.72B-1.93%2.82%11.30%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.720.40%6.10%5.80%-21.26%
HRHR
49
Neutral
$5.25B-6.83%8.30%-7.26%18.45%
MPMPW
44
Neutral
$2.65B-28.86%7.26%19.56%-12.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTRE
CareTrust REIT
28.81
4.72
19.59%
NHI
National Health Investors
70.93
7.21
11.32%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
18.21
4.87
36.51%
MPW
Medical Properties
4.41
-0.17
-3.71%
HR
Healthcare Realty Trust
14.94
-0.06
-0.40%
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
35.40
21.21
149.47%

CareTrust REIT Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
CareTrust REIT Secures $500 Million Term Loan Facility
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On May 30, 2025, CareTrust REIT, Inc. entered into an amendment to its credit and guaranty agreement, introducing a $500 million unsecured term loan facility alongside its existing $1.2 billion revolving credit facility. This move is expected to help the company pay off existing debt, fund acquisitions, and support general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and positioning in the healthcare real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTRE) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CareTrust REIT stock, see the CTRE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
CareTrust REIT Updates Investor Presentation
Neutral
May 29, 2025

CareTrust REIT, Inc. has released an updated investor presentation available on their website. The company clarifies that this update is not mandated by securities laws and does not include undisclosed material investor information.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTRE) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CareTrust REIT stock, see the CTRE Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
CareTrust REIT Completes Acquisition of Care REIT plc
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 8, 2025, CareTrust REIT, Inc. completed the acquisition of Care REIT plc through a court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement. The acquisition, valued at approximately $840.5 million, was funded through cash and borrowing under an existing credit facility, enhancing CareTrust’s portfolio in the healthcare real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTRE) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CareTrust REIT stock, see the CTRE Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CareTrust REIT Q1 2025 Results and Acquisition News
Positive
May 1, 2025

CareTrust REIT reported its first quarter 2025 results, highlighting a net income of $65.8 million and a planned acquisition of Care REIT plc, which was approved by Care REIT’s shareholders. The acquisition is expected to enhance CareTrust’s portfolio diversification and growth potential. The company also increased its quarterly dividend and announced plans to upsize its credit facility, reflecting a strong financial position and commitment to shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.