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CareTrust REIT (CTRE)
NYSE:CTRE

CareTrust REIT (CTRE) AI Stock Analysis

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CTRE

CareTrust REIT

(NYSE:CTRE)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(17.10% Upside)
CareTrust REIT's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives are the most significant factors driving its score. The company's robust revenue growth, low leverage, and strategic expansions in the U.K. and SHOP segment are key strengths. However, the relatively high P/E ratio and potential overbought technical indicators slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth reflects effective business strategies and market demand, supporting long-term financial health and expansion.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with low leverage and no near-term debt maturities enhances financial stability and flexibility for future investments.
Strategic Expansion
Strategic expansion into the U.K. and SHOP segment diversifies revenue streams and strengthens the company's market position.
Negative Factors
Increased G&A Expenses
Higher G&A expenses can pressure margins and profitability, potentially impacting cash flow and financial performance over time.
Timing Mismatch in Equity Issuance
Timing mismatches in funding and investments can lead to inefficiencies and temporary cash flow disruptions, affecting short-term operations.
Leadership Transition
Leadership transitions, such as the CFO retirement, can introduce uncertainty and require time for new executives to align with company strategy.

CareTrust REIT (CTRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CareTrust REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCareTrust REIT (CTRE) is a real estate investment trust focused on the ownership, acquisition, and leasing of healthcare-related properties. The company primarily invests in skilled nursing facilities, assisted living facilities, and other healthcare properties across the United States. CareTrust REIT aims to provide high-quality, stable income to its shareholders through a diverse portfolio of properties, which are leased to experienced operators who manage the day-to-day operations of the facilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyCareTrust REIT generates revenue primarily through long-term leases with skilled nursing and assisted living operators. The company enters into triple-net leases, where the operators are responsible for property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, allowing CareTrust to focus on rental income. Key revenue streams include monthly rental payments from tenants, which are typically structured to provide predictable cash flow. Additionally, CareTrust may benefit from rent escalations tied to inflation or other factors, enhancing its revenue potential. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with experienced healthcare operators, which helps ensure stable occupancy rates and enhances the value of its properties. Overall, CareTrust REIT's revenue model is built on the stability and predictability of lease income in the growing healthcare real estate sector.

CareTrust REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant growth in investments and financial performance, along with strategic expansions in the U.K. and the SHOP segment. However, there are challenges related to timing mismatches and increased G&A expenses. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and strategic positioning outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Investment Activity
CareTrust REIT closed on $495 million of new investments in Q3, bringing year-to-date total investments to over $1.6 billion, surpassing last year's $1.5 billion.
Strong Financial Growth
Normalized FFO per share increased by 18% year-over-year to $0.45, with normalized FFO increasing 55.5% to $94.7 million and normalized FAD increasing 50.6% to $93.1 million.
Expansion in U.K. and SHOP Growth
The U.K. acquisition and integration of a London-based team, along with a developing pipeline in the U.K., now accounts for 1/3 of the $600 million total pipeline. The first SHOP deal is expected to close by year-end.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
CareTrust maintains a fortress balance sheet with no near-term debt maturities until 2028, low leverage with net debt-to-EBITDA at 0.43x, and full capacity on a $1.2 billion revolver.
Negative Updates
Timing Mismatch in Equity Issuance
The timing gap between funding from a $736 million equity issuance and investment closings created a short-term headwind.
Increased G&A Expenses
G&A expenses are expected to remain elevated due to investments in team and platform for growth, including SHOP expansion.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, CareTrust REIT reported a normalized FFO per share of $0.45, reflecting approximately 18% growth over the prior year quarter. The company closed on $495 million of new investments, bringing the year-to-date total to over $1.6 billion, surpassing the previous year's $1.5 billion. CareTrust's pipeline stands at $600 million, with 1/3 allocated to U.K. care homes, demonstrating an expanded investment strategy beyond U.S. skilled nursing facilities. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with no near-term debt maturities until 2028, and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.43x. CareTrust also indicated plans to close its first SHOP deal by year-end, adding a third growth engine to its portfolio. Additionally, the company adjusted its 2025 guidance to a range of $1.76 to $1.77 for normalized FFO and FAD per share, citing a temporary timing gap between equity funding and deal closings as a short-term headwind.

CareTrust REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CareTrust REIT demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects financial stability with low leverage, while cash flow generation is solid. Continued focus on cost management and maintaining cash flow efficiency will be crucial for sustaining growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CareTrust REIT demonstrates strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 97.61% and a net profit margin of 68.96% in the TTM period. Revenue growth is robust at 24.81%, indicating a positive trajectory. However, the EBIT margin has decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in the TTM period, reflecting financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 7.96%, indicating efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is strong with a free cash flow growth rate of 11.06% in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 95.70%, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, which could provide additional insights into cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue324.14M228.26M198.60M187.51M190.19M175.69M
Gross Profit313.05M214.71M189.01M178.13M186.62M170.98M
EBITDA381.80M211.54M145.80M72.88M151.05M157.35M
Net Income261.38M125.08M53.73M-7.51M71.98M80.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.09B3.44B2.08B1.62B1.64B1.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments712.48M213.82M294.45M13.18M19.89M18.92M
Total Debt893.79M396.93M595.60M719.50M673.40M545.59M
Total Liabilities1.07B507.63M666.12M771.41M725.09M589.42M
Stockholders Equity3.99B2.91B1.42B849.37M915.76M914.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow334.41M236.20M143.79M137.12M150.86M137.44M
Operating Cash Flow348.28M244.25M154.77M144.41M156.87M145.74M
Investing Cash Flow-1.59B-1.49B-267.81M-127.40M-192.63M-41.58M
Financing Cash Flow1.57B1.17B394.32M-23.73M36.74M-105.56M

CareTrust REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.72
Price Trends
50DMA
35.95
Positive
100DMA
34.85
Positive
200DMA
31.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
50.45
Neutral
STOCH
24.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.95, above the 50-day MA of 35.95, and above the 200-day MA of 31.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTRE.

CareTrust REIT Risk Analysis

CareTrust REIT disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CareTrust REIT reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CareTrust REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.16B27.368.13%3.56%59.25%88.37%
77
Outperform
$3.64B24.1410.87%4.74%8.04%9.20%
77
Outperform
$4.62B25.506.29%6.47%8.12%75.95%
76
Outperform
$12.89B24.6411.28%6.11%13.50%31.56%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$9.09B343.391.12%2.10%11.81%
56
Neutral
$5.90B-15.84-7.26%6.55%-6.59%33.35%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTRE
CareTrust REIT
36.72
10.49
39.99%
NHI
National Health Investors
76.59
10.58
16.03%
OHI
Omega Healthcare
43.86
8.22
23.06%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
18.54
2.32
14.30%
HR
Healthcare Realty Trust
16.76
0.84
5.28%
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
48.35
20.67
74.67%

CareTrust REIT Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CareTrust REIT Updates Operating Partnership Agreement
Neutral
Dec 17, 2025

On December 11, 2025, CareTrust REIT, Inc. announced amendments to its Operating Partnership Agreement, introducing a new class of ‘LTIP Units’ that include sub-classes such as Basic and Performance LTIP Units. These changes enhance compensation flexibility for directors, executives, and employees with equity awards based on service and performance requirements tied to shareholder returns. The updated structure aims to maintain U.S. tax benefits, provide employees with convertible equity incentives, and incorporate broader changes, reflecting a reduction in the company’s ownership stake in its operating partnerships. This development impacts both the company’s internal operations and its competitive positioning in attracting and retaining talent.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CareTrust REIT Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

CareTrust REIT reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant increases in net income, normalized FFO, and normalized FAD compared to the previous year. The company closed $59.4 million in investments and raised $736 million through a public stock offering, enhancing its liquidity and investment pipeline. CareTrust’s strategic moves, including the integration of UK acquisitions and maintaining a 100% rent collection rate, position it for continued growth into 2026, as highlighted by its updated guidance and robust investment pipeline.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CareTrust REIT Expands Board with New Director
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 21, 2025, CareTrust REIT‘s Board of Directors expanded from five to six members, appointing Gregory K. Stapley as a director effective January 1, 2026. Stapley, a former President and CEO of CareTrust, brings extensive leadership and expertise in the healthcare real estate sector, which is expected to benefit the company’s growth strategy. Additionally, the Board approved amendments to the company’s bylaws to align with SEC universal proxy rules and update nomination procedures, enhancing governance and operational efficiency.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CareTrust REIT Announces CFO Retirement Plan
Neutral
Sep 23, 2025

On September 19, 2025, CareTrust REIT announced the planned retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, William M. Wagner, effective December 31, 2025. Derek Bunker, who has been with the company since June 2025, will succeed Mr. Wagner as CFO starting January 1, 2026. Mr. Bunker brings over a decade of experience in healthcare leadership and finance, aligning with CareTrust’s mission and strategy for future growth. The transition is part of a broader plan to strengthen the company’s leadership, with Lauren Beale, the Chief Accounting Officer, taking on expanded responsibilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025