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Ventas (VTR)
NYSE:VTR
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Ventas (VTR) AI Stock Analysis

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VTR

Ventas

(NYSE:VTR)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$84.00
▲(12.96% Upside)
Ventas' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, indicating robust growth prospects. Technical analysis supports a bullish trend, although valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio slightly temper the outlook. The company's strategic initiatives and raised guidance further enhance its growth potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Ventas' healthcare properties, enhancing long-term financial stability and shareholder value.
Senior Housing Investments
Increased investment in senior housing with attractive returns positions Ventas for sustained growth, capitalizing on demographic trends like aging population.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management ensures Ventas can fund operations and investments, supporting long-term strategic initiatives and financial health.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
High leverage may limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Ventas' ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Post-Acute Asset Dispositions
Dispositions of nonstrategic assets may reduce FFO, impacting short-term financial performance and potentially slowing growth momentum.
Competitive Acquisition Market
Increased competition in acquisitions could pressure Ventas' ability to secure favorable deals, impacting long-term growth and profitability.

Ventas (VTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ventas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVentas, an S&P 500 company, operates at the intersection of two powerful and dynamic industries: healthcare and real estate. As one of the world's foremost Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT), we use the power of capital to unlock the value of real estate, partnering with leading care providers, developers, research and medical institutions, innovators and healthcare organizations whose success is buoyed by the demographic tailwind of an aging population. For more than twenty years, Ventas has followed a successful strategy that endures: combining a high-quality diversified portfolio of properties and capital sources to manage through cycles, working with industry leading partners, and a collaborative and experienced team focused on producing consistent growing cash flows and superior returns on a strong balance sheet, ultimately rewarding Ventas shareholders. As of September 30, 2020, Ventas owned or managed through unconsolidated joint ventures approximately 1,200 properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyVentas generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of healthcare properties. The company enters into long-term leases with operators of healthcare facilities, which typically offer stable and predictable cash flows. In addition to rental income, Ventas may also earn revenue from property management fees and other ancillary services. Key revenue streams include its investments in senior housing, skilled nursing facilities, and research and innovation centers. The company has established strategic partnerships with leading healthcare operators and service providers, enhancing its revenue stability and growth potential. Factors contributing to its earnings include demographic trends such as an aging population, increased demand for healthcare services, and favorable regulatory environments.

Ventas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial growth, particularly in the senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP), successful investment activities, and improved financial leverage. Despite some challenges in the research portfolio and the need for high capital expenditure on transitions, the overall performance and future outlook were positive.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Growth
Normalized FFO per share grew 10% year-over-year, and total company Same-Store Cash NOI increased 8%.
SHOP Segment Performance
U.S. communities led with 19% Same-Store Cash NOI growth and 340 basis points of occupancy growth. SHOP Same-Store portfolio delivered 16% NOI growth year-over-year.
Successful Senior Housing Investments
Closed $2.2 billion of senior housing acquisitions in the U.S. year-to-date, with 45 communities successfully transitioned to SHOP.
Improved Financial Position
Leverage improved by 2 full turns, and net debt to EBITDA of 5.3x in the third quarter represents a full turn improvement from the prior year's third quarter.
Guidance Increase
Increased full year guidance for normalized FFO per share growth and total company Same-Store Cash NOI growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Research Portfolio
Research portfolio generating only 8% of enterprise NOI, with lower rents on certain innovation flex space tenants affecting income.
High CapEx on Transitions
Significant capital expenditure required for community refreshes and transitions, including $2 million per building for certain projects.
Company Guidance
In the Ventas Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided robust guidance and performance metrics, emphasizing its strategic focus on senior housing. Ventas anticipates closing $2.5 billion in private pay U.S. senior housing investments in 2025, with a forecasted 9% year-over-year growth in normalized FFO per share and a 7.5% increase in total company Same-Store Cash NOI at the midpoint of guidance. The SHOP (Senior Housing Operating Portfolio) segment drove results, with U.S. communities posting a 19% Same-Store Cash NOI growth and a 340 basis point increase in occupancy. The company is aiming for a 14% to 16% NOI growth range in SHOP for the year, underpinned by expected occupancy growth of 270 basis points. Ventas has already closed $2.2 billion in senior housing acquisitions year-to-date and has increased its 2025 investment guidance to $2.5 billion, targeting low to mid-teens unlevered IRRs. The company is leveraging its expanded SHOP portfolio, which now represents half of its business, to capitalize on favorable demographic trends, with the over-80 population projected to grow by 28% over the next five years.

Ventas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ventas demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet shows a moderate leverage position with a stable equity base. Cash flow metrics are particularly strong, highlighting effective cash management and conversion. Areas for improvement include reducing leverage further.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Ventas shows a solid revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.33%. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, currently at 36.23% in TTM, indicating potential cost pressures. However, the net profit margin improved to 3.61% in TTM, reflecting better profitability management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, at 14.91% and 37.90% respectively, suggesting efficient operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15 in TTM, which is a slight improvement from previous years, indicating a moderate leverage position. The return on equity has improved to 1.76% in TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 43.54%, reflecting a stable capital structure with a balanced asset funding strategy.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Ventas exhibits strong cash flow management with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 22.26% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.20, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 suggests effective conversion of earnings into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.56B4.92B4.50B4.13B3.83B3.80B
Gross Profit858.82M2.10B770.72M1.85B1.74B1.86B
EBITDA1.89B1.87B1.83B1.62B1.58B1.70B
Net Income56.84M81.15M-40.97M-47.45M49.01M439.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.93B26.19B24.73B24.16B24.72B23.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments188.62M897.85M508.79M122.56M149.72M650.88M
Total Debt0.0013.74B13.69B12.49B12.22B12.11B
Total Liabilities14.15B15.36B15.18B13.94B13.77B13.65B
Stockholders Equity12.36B10.77B9.49B10.15B10.85B10.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.15B725.78M860.46M666.09M593.15M921.53M
Operating Cash Flow1.55B1.33B1.12B1.12B1.03B1.45B
Investing Cash Flow-3.80B-2.38B-184.66M-859.22M-724.14M154.29M
Financing Cash Flow1.33B1.45B-543.75M-283.93M-558.47M-1.30B

Ventas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price74.36
Price Trends
50DMA
68.67
Positive
100DMA
66.77
Positive
200DMA
65.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Negative
RSI
69.04
Neutral
STOCH
51.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 74.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.70, above the 50-day MA of 68.67, and above the 200-day MA of 65.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTR.

Ventas Risk Analysis

Ventas disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ventas reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ventas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$121.45B135.442.78%1.51%32.27%67.00%
$34.65B132.512.15%2.71%15.69%
$11.76B24.6610.47%6.62%12.73%23.51%
$4.19B22.666.66%6.87%6.89%240.70%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
$12.48B-0.48%5.79%9.58%-111.99%
$6.24B-15.39-7.59%6.59%-7.16%23.40%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTR
Ventas
74.36
12.03
19.30%
DOC
Healthpeak Properties
17.57
-2.95
-14.38%
WELL
Welltower
180.88
50.04
38.25%
OHI
Omega Healthcare
39.87
1.43
3.72%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
17.47
0.06
0.34%
HR
Healthcare Realty Trust
17.76
2.00
12.69%

Ventas Corporate Events

Ventas, Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Ventas, Inc. is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) that operates in the healthcare sector, focusing on senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings, and research centers across North America and the United Kingdom.

Ventas, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Aug 1, 2025

Ventas, Inc. is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in senior housing and healthcare properties, with a significant presence in North America and the United Kingdom. The company leverages its operational expertise and data-driven insights to support the aging population through its extensive portfolio of senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings, research centers, and healthcare facilities.

Ventas Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Raised Guidance
Aug 1, 2025

Ventas Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment with strong growth in key areas such as SHOP and outpatient medical. The company raised its guidance and made strategic investments that enhance its financial outlook. While there were minor challenges in the research segment and impacts from asset dispositions, these did not significantly detract from the overall positive performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025