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Ventas Inc (VTR)
:VTR
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Ventas (VTR) AI Stock Analysis

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VTR

Ventas

(NYSE:VTR)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(10.58% Upside)
The overall stock score is driven by strong earnings growth and positive momentum, supported by robust financial performance and strategic investments. While the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, the company's growth prospects and dividend yield provide a counterbalance.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Acquisition guidance was again increased by $0.5B to $2.0B, indicating strong growth potential.
Earnings
Ventas Inc improved its 2025 outlook for Normalized FFO per share to $3.41, which is a 7% increase year-over-year, led by SHOP.
Negative Factors
Guidance
Shares may initially react negatively given the beat and improved acquisitions without a guidance bump.
Occupancy
Occupancy is below expectations due to elevated mortality rates.

Ventas (VTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ventas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVentas, Inc. (VTR) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily focuses on the ownership and management of healthcare, senior housing, and research and innovation properties. The company operates across various sectors including senior housing communities, medical office buildings, life science and innovation centers, and skilled nursing facilities. Ventas is dedicated to providing high-quality real estate solutions to tenants and partners in the healthcare and senior living industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyVentas makes money primarily through leasing its properties to a diverse range of tenants in the healthcare and senior living sectors. The company's revenue model involves collecting rental income from its extensive portfolio of real estate assets, which includes senior housing facilities, medical office buildings, and research and innovation centers. Additionally, Ventas engages in property development and redevelopment, which can enhance the value of its assets and generate additional income. The company may also enter into strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its portfolio and explore new revenue opportunities. Ventas is influenced by factors such as demographic trends, healthcare demand, and the regulatory environment, which can impact its occupancy rates and rental income.

Ventas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in key areas such as SHOP and outpatient medical, with raised guidance and strategic investments enhancing financial outlook. However, there were minor challenges in the research segment and impacts from asset dispositions, but these were not significant enough to outweigh the positive performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth and Raised Guidance
Year-over-year normalized FFO per share grew 9% while total company same-store cash NOI increased 7%. Full year normalized FFO guidance midpoint raised to $3.44 per share, representing an 8% year-over-year FFO per share growth.
SHOP Revenue and Occupancy Improvement
SHOP communities in the U.S. delivered 18% same-store cash NOI growth in Q2, with revenue growth over 8% and a 60 basis point improvement in average occupancy in June.
Increased Senior Housing Investment
Raised full year 2025 senior housing investment volume guidance to $2 billion with expected low to mid-teens unlevered IRR expectations.
Robust Leasing in Outpatient Medical
Outpatient medical segment showed same-store cash NOI growth of 2.2%, with 1 million square feet of new and renewal deals executed in Q2.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Research Segment
Same-store cash NOI in the research business, representing about 8% of NOI, declined less than 1% year-over-year, driven by lower rents on certain innovation flex space tenants.
Impact of Dispositions on FFO
Dispositions of nonstrategic post-acute assets represent approximately a $0.01 FFO headwind per quarter sequentially versus the second quarter.
Company Guidance
During Ventas' Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO Debra A. Cafaro reported strong financial performance, driven by the company's 1-2-3 strategy focused on organic growth, strategic investments in senior housing, and portfolio optimization. The quarter saw a 9% year-over-year increase in normalized FFO per share and a 7% rise in same-store cash NOI. The company raised its full-year normalized FFO guidance midpoint to $3.44 per share, projecting 8% year-over-year growth. Ventas' Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) showed an 18% same-store cash NOI growth, while the senior housing investment volume guidance for 2025 was increased to $2 billion, reflecting a robust investment pipeline. The company's outpatient medical and research portfolio benefited from the growing over-65 demographic, with leasing and occupancy improvements contributing to expected NOI growth in the second half. Ventas continues to capitalize on favorable market dynamics with a focus on high-quality senior housing acquisitions, supported by strong relationships with operators and a strategically expanded SHOP footprint, which is anticipated to represent over half of the business by year-end.

Ventas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ventas demonstrates steady revenue growth and improving profitability with a robust cash flow management. Despite a substantial debt load typical for REITs, the company's financials are solid with efficient cash generation and effective capital management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Ventas shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a notable improvement in net income over the TTM period compared to the prior year. The gross profit margin and EBITDA margin indicate robust operational efficiency, although the net profit margin is relatively modest. The EBIT margin is stable, reflecting strong earnings before interest and taxes.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet indicates a substantial debt load with a debt-to-equity ratio above 1, which is common in the REIT industry but still poses potential risks. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity shows improvement, signifying better utilization of equity capital.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Ventas demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. Free cash flow growth is positive, supported by disciplined capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio suggests effective cash generation relative to net earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.30B4.92B4.50B4.13B3.83B3.80B
Gross Profit1.07B2.10B770.72M1.85B1.74B1.86B
EBITDA1.63B1.87B1.83B1.65B1.60B1.72B
Net Income76.08M81.15M-40.97M-40.93M49.01M439.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.47B26.19B24.73B24.16B24.72B23.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments614.20M897.85M508.79M122.56M149.72M413.33M
Total Debt0.0013.74B13.69B12.92B12.22B12.11B
Total Liabilities14.55B15.05B14.88B13.94B13.77B13.65B
Stockholders Equity11.53B10.77B9.49B10.15B10.85B10.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow614.07M725.78M935.13M666.09M593.15M921.53M
Operating Cash Flow1.05B1.33B1.12B1.12B1.03B1.45B
Investing Cash Flow-2.85B-2.38B-184.66M-859.22M-724.14M154.29M
Financing Cash Flow1.43B1.45B-543.75M-283.93M-558.47M-1.30B

Ventas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price68.73
Price Trends
50DMA
64.26
Positive
100DMA
65.24
Positive
200DMA
63.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.09
Negative
RSI
69.44
Neutral
STOCH
86.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.15, above the 50-day MA of 64.26, and above the 200-day MA of 63.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTR.

Ventas Risk Analysis

Ventas disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ventas reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ventas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$11.80B24.9510.47%6.71%12.73%23.51%
77
Outperform
$113.34B140.173.48%1.61%30.73%96.48%
77
Outperform
$6.29B35.857.02%3.91%43.27%80.97%
77
Outperform
$32.03B158.911.81%2.76%12.45%
66
Neutral
$12.20B72.011.97%7.63%15.91%-49.49%
63
Neutral
$6.81B14.04-1.43%7.28%4.70%-34.09%
61
Neutral
$5.96B-7.59%7.50%-7.16%23.40%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTR
Ventas
68.73
11.45
19.99%
DOC
Healthpeak Properties
17.19
-3.14
-15.45%
WELL
Welltower
169.69
56.22
49.55%
OHI
Omega Healthcare
40.00
5.27
15.17%
HR
Healthcare Realty Trust
16.95
0.49
2.98%
CTRE
CareTrust REIT
32.79
6.66
25.49%

Ventas Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ventas Amends ATM Sales Agreement to $2.25 Billion
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 13, 2025, Ventas, Inc. announced an amendment to its ATM Sales Agreement with multiple financial institutions, increasing the aggregate gross sales price of common stock available for issuance to $2.25 billion. This amendment allows Ventas to offer and sell additional shares of common stock, potentially impacting its financial strategy and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTR) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ventas stock, see the VTR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ventas Realty Issues $500 Million in Senior Notes
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Ventas Realty, a subsidiary of Ventas, Inc., successfully issued and sold $500 million in 5.100% Senior Notes due 2032. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment, which could impact the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTR) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ventas stock, see the VTR Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ventas Approves Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Ventas, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key amendments to its Certificate of Incorporation were approved. These amendments include increasing the number of authorized common shares from 600 million to 1.2 billion and limiting the monetary liability of certain officers under Delaware law. The changes aim to enhance corporate governance and provide flexibility for future growth, potentially impacting shareholder value and company operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTR) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ventas stock, see the VTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025