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CBRE Group Inc (CBRE)
NYSE:CBRE

CBRE Group (CBRE) AI Stock Analysis

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CBRE Group

(NYSE:CBRE)

74Outperform
CBRE's overall stock score reflects its robust financial performance and strategic positioning in the real estate services industry. The company's strong growth and profitability, coupled with strategic restructuring, are key strengths. However, valuation concerns and technical indicators suggest caution, while macroeconomic uncertainties add to potential risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
The adjusted EPS estimate for 2024 has been increased, indicating improved financial performance expectations.
Financial Performance
CBRE reported strong first-quarter results with net revenue of $5.1 billion, 17% up year-over-year in constant currency and 2% above estimate and consensus.
Stock Valuation
The target price for CBRE has been increased significantly, reflecting a positive outlook on the stock's valuation.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Conditions
Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and market volatility prevented management from raising its guidance to the high end of the range.
Market Volatility
Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and market volatility prevented management from raising its guidance to the high end of the range.

CBRE Group (CBRE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

CBRE Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCBRE Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate services and investment company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Advisory Services, Global Workplace Solutions, and Real Estate Investments segments. The Advisory Services segment provides strategic advice and execution to owners, investors, and occupiers of real estate in connection with leasing; property sales and mortgage services under the CBRE Capital Markets brand; property and project management services, including construction management, marketing, building engineering, accounting, and financial services for owners of and investors in office, industrial, and retail properties; and valuation services that include market value appraisals, litigation support, discounted cash flow analyses, and feasibility studies, as well as consulting services, such as property condition reports, hotel advisory, and environmental consulting. The Global Workplace Solutions segment offers facilities management, project management, and transaction management services. The Real Estate Investments segment provides investment management services under the CBRE Investment Management brand to pension funds, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, foundations, endowments, and other institutional investors; development services under the Trammell Crow Company brand primarily to users of and investors in commercial real estate; and flexible-space solutions under the CBRE Hana brand. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCBRE Group generates revenue through a diversified business model with key revenue streams including advisory services, global workplace solutions, and real estate investment. Advisory services encompass property management, leasing, and valuation, which provide recurring income from management fees and commissions. The global workplace solutions segment offers facilities management and project management services, generating revenue through long-term contracts with corporate clients. Additionally, CBRE earns from real estate investment through its subsidiary, CBRE Investment Management, which manages investment funds and provides asset management services, earning fees based on assets under management and performance. Significant partnerships with corporations and institutional investors, along with its strategic focus on innovation and technology, further contribute to CBRE's earnings by enhancing service delivery and expanding market reach.

CBRE Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CBRE Group presents a well-rounded financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability. The company's solid capital structure, highlighted by moderate leverage and effective equity utilization, supports its financial stability. While the cash flow statement reflects impressive cash generation, a slight decrease in free cash flow growth is noted. Overall, CBRE demonstrates robust financial health, positioning it favorably within the real estate services industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CBRE Group's income statement shows a robust performance with a TTM total revenue of $36.74 billion, reflecting a steady revenue growth rate of 2.72% from the previous year. The gross profit margin stands at 19.86%, and the net profit margin is 2.74%, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT margin is 4.04%, and the EBITDA margin is 5.54%, showing stable operating efficiency. Overall, the company exhibits consistent profitability and growth in a competitive industry.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a solid capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46, reflecting moderate leverage and prudent financial management. The return on equity (ROE) is 12.13%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio is 31.41%, indicating a balanced approach to financing with a healthy equity base. However, the increase in total debt over the recent period warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
CBRE's cash flow statement reveals strong cash generation capabilities with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.65, indicating robust operational efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.35, underscoring the company's ability to generate surplus cash after capital expenditures. Although the free cash flow experienced a slight decline of 3.07%, the solid cash flow ratios suggest resilient cash management practices.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
35.77B31.95B30.83B27.75B23.83B
Gross Profit
6.96B6.27B6.59B6.17B4.78B
EBIT
1.41B1.12B1.51B2.39B969.76M
EBITDA
1.95B1.74B1.94B2.91B1.47B
Net Income Common Stockholders
968.00M986.00M1.41B1.84B751.99M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.11B1.26B1.32B2.43B1.90B
Total Assets
24.38B22.55B20.51B22.07B18.04B
Total Debt
1.73B4.83B3.49B4.20B4.10B
Net Debt
615.00M3.56B2.17B1.77B2.20B
Total Liabilities
15.19B13.48B11.91B12.71B10.92B
Stockholders Equity
8.41B8.27B7.85B8.53B7.08B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.40B175.00M1.37B2.15B1.56B
Operating Cash Flow
1.71B480.00M1.63B2.36B1.83B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.51B-681.00M-832.46M-1.28B-341.58M
Financing Cash Flow
-221.00M154.00M-1.77B-490.63M-625.26M

CBRE Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price121.36
Price Trends
50DMA
129.25
Negative
100DMA
132.76
Negative
200DMA
125.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.68
Negative
RSI
46.29
Neutral
STOCH
65.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBRE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 121.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.17, below the 50-day MA of 129.25, and below the 200-day MA of 125.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CBRE.

CBRE Group Risk Analysis

CBRE Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CBRE Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CBRE Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$34.93B243.661.86%11.45%-63.09%
74
Outperform
$35.99B36.8712.15%13.14%1.70%
71
Outperform
$25.64B44.685.66%1.44%18.14%-30.84%
JLJLL
67
Neutral
$10.67B19.908.37%12.87%142.90%
59
Neutral
$2.72B11.580.09%8782.99%5.32%-16.79%
59
Neutral
$2.01B32.304.92%1.08%10.67%47.10%
CWCWK
58
Neutral
$2.04B15.787.65%-0.50%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBRE
CBRE Group
121.36
33.42
38.00%
CSGP
CoStar Group
81.74
-10.76
-11.63%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
226.96
43.26
23.55%
NMRK
Newmark Group
11.19
1.46
15.01%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
9.01
-0.90
-9.08%
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A
21.12
6.04
40.05%

CBRE Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a strong start to 2025 with significant growth in revenue and key business segments. However, concerns about the impact of tariffs and potential economic slowdown were noted. The overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with robust growth in certain areas offset by macroeconomic uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
CBRE had a strong start to 2025 across all lines of business and globally, with most businesses performing better than expected.
Significant Growth in Core EBITDA and EPS
First quarter core EBITDA increased by 27% and core EPS by 10% compared to last year's first quarter. Excluding a large one-time tax benefit from last year, core EPS grew by 39%.
Resilient Businesses Growth
Resilient businesses generated net revenue growth of 17% for the quarter, nearly matching the 18% increase in transactional businesses.
Record Leasing Revenue
Global leasing revenue growth accelerated to 19% in Q1, with U.S. leasing revenue increasing 24%, driven by a 38% increase in office leasing revenue.
Global Property Sales Increase
Global property sales revenue increased by 13%, led by a 26% gain in the U.S., with a significant uptick in multifamily and industrial asset sales.
Strong Performance in Project Management Segment
Project Management and Building Operations & Experience segments generated strong financial results, with net revenue growth of 22% in the BOE segment.
Negative Updates
Uncertainty Due to Tariff Situation
Uncertainty created by the tariff situation has made the outlook less clear, affecting business confidence and pipelines.
Slowdown in Capital Raising
Some slowdown in capital raising activities was noted, with some capital sources from around the world showing reduced enthusiasm.
Industrial Leasing Expectations Adjusted
Industrial leasing performance, which outperformed expectations in Q1, is expected to return to anticipated levels due to tariff uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During CBRE's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook despite market uncertainties. CBRE reported a strong start to the year with core EBITDA increasing by 27% and core EPS growing by 10% year-over-year. The company maintained its full-year core EPS guidance of $5.80 to $6.10, citing strong new business pipelines and activity levels across both resilient and transactional segments. However, uncertainty from the tariff situation has introduced potential risks, making the outlook less clear. CBRE's resilient businesses, which now account for over 60% of total segment operating profit (SOP), achieved a 17% net revenue growth, closely matched by an 18% increase in transactional businesses. The company highlighted notable performances in project management and building operations, with the newly structured segments contributing significantly to financial results and strategic gains. Despite the macroeconomic headwinds, CBRE's strategic positioning, strong balance sheet, and capital allocation strategy are expected to support sustained growth and enable the company to capitalize on opportunities arising from market downturns.

CBRE Group Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CBRE Group Restructures Business Segments for 2025
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

On March 20, 2025, CBRE Group announced a restructuring of its business segments, effective January 1, 2025, which includes the combination of its project management business with Turner & Townsend and the acquisition of the remaining equity interest in Industrious. This restructuring aims to enhance CBRE’s service offerings and market positioning by introducing new segments such as Project Management and Building Operations & Experience, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on flexible workplace solutions and comprehensive real estate services.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.