Newmark Group Inc (NMRK)
NASDAQ:NMRK
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Newmark Group (NMRK) AI Stock Analysis

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NMRK

Newmark Group

(NASDAQ:NMRK)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(20.71% Upside)
Newmark Group's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong earnings call performance and mixed financial and technical indicators. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives are promising, but high leverage, low profitability margins, and cash flow challenges pose significant risks. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which could limit upside potential.

Newmark Group (NMRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newmark Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewmark Group, Inc. provides commercial real estate services in the United States and internationally. The company's investor/owner services and products include capital markets, such as investment, debt and structured finance, and loan sales; agency leasing, property management, and valuation and advisory; and commercial real estate due diligence consulting and advisory services, as well as government sponsored enterprise lending, loan servicing, mortgage broking, and equity-raising services. Its occupier services and products comprise tenant representation; real estate management technology systems; workplace and occupancy strategy; global corporate consulting; project management; account and transaction management; and lease administration and facilities management services. The company provides its services to commercial real estate tenants, investors, owners, occupiers, and developers, as well as lenders and multi-national corporations. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 160 offices on four continents. The company was formerly known as Newmark Knight Frank and changed its name to Newmark Group, Inc. in October 2017. Newmark Group, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewmark Group generates revenue primarily through its brokerage and advisory services, which include leasing and sales transactions in commercial real estate. The company earns commissions from successfully closed deals, which are based on a percentage of the transaction value. Additionally, Newmark provides property management and consulting services, contributing to its revenue through management fees and advisory charges. The firm also engages in capital markets activities, facilitating debt and equity placements, which generate income through origination fees and interest income. Key partnerships with financial institutions, real estate developers, and investment firms further enhance Newmark's ability to attract client transactions and expand its service offerings, ultimately driving its earnings.

Newmark Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Newmark Group showcased strong financial performance with record revenues and significant growth in key segments like Capital Markets. Despite some challenges with increased expenses and the impact of lower interest rates, the company's strategic acquisitions, international expansion, and positive outlook for 2025 suggest a robust trajectory for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Revenues
Newmark reported record third quarter revenues with double-digit gains across every major business line, resulting in a total revenue of $863.5 million, up 25.9% compared to the previous year.
Organic Growth and Strategic Acquisitions
The company's growth was entirely organic, and they acquired RealFoundations to expand their management consulting and outsourced managed services.
International Expansion
Newmark launched property and facility management services in India and the APAC region, and opened 9 international offices, hiring over 100 revenue-generating professionals outside the U.S.
Capital Markets Growth
Capital Markets revenues increased by 59.7%, with a 129% improvement in total debt volumes and a 67% increase in investment sales volumes, significantly outpacing the industry.
Positive Outlook for 2025
Newmark updated its outlook for 2025, expecting total revenues between $3.175 billion and $3.325 billion, and an adjusted EBITDA increase of 22% to 30%.
Negative Updates
Increased Expenses
Total expenses were up by 24.9%, reflecting a 32.9% increase in commission-based revenues and higher pass-through costs.
Impact of Lower Interest Rates
The company's high-margin servicing and asset management platform grew by over 12%, excluding the impact of lower interest rates on escrow earnings.
Company Guidance
In the Newmark Group's third-quarter 2025 financial results call, the company reported strong performance with total revenues reaching $863.5 million, marking a 25.9% increase from the previous year. Adjusted EPS rose by 27.3% to $0.42, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 28.9% to $145.2 million, with an improved EBITDA margin of 16.8%. Revenue growth was broad-based, with leasing revenues up 13.7%, capital markets revenues surging by 59.7%, and valuation and advisory growing by 23.5%. The company anticipates 2025 total revenues between $3.175 billion and $3.325 billion, adjusted EPS ranging from $1.53 to $1.63, and adjusted EBITDA between $543 million and $579 million. Newmark is confident in its strategy for growth, driven by organic expansion, strategic acquisitions like RealFoundations, and a robust pipeline, particularly in data centers and international markets. The company is targeting over $2 billion in recurring revenues annually by 2029 and remains committed to delivering on its 2026 targets of over $630 million in adjusted EBITDA and $1.75 per share of adjusted EPS.

Newmark Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newmark Group's financial performance is mixed. While revenue growth is positive, profitability margins are low, and high leverage poses financial risks. The negative cash flow situation is a significant concern, indicating potential liquidity issues. Overall, the company needs to focus on improving profitability and managing its debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Newmark Group's revenue has shown a positive growth trend with a 5.95% increase in the TTM period. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low at 2.52%, indicating limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting some operational efficiency but also highlighting room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.81, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is modest at 4.36%, indicating average returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided but the high leverage suggests a lower equity proportion in the asset base.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Newmark Group's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating cash flow challenges that could impact liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.20B2.74B2.47B2.71B2.91B1.90B
Gross Profit872.72M2.74B2.47B2.71B2.91B1.90B
EBITDA428.57M337.34M291.56M351.38M1.38B303.80M
Net Income103.62M61.23M42.58M83.28M750.73M80.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.46B4.71B4.47B3.94B5.22B3.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments338.77M197.69M164.99M233.80M715.90M224.73M
Total Debt2.56B2.02B1.75B1.41B2.40B2.02B
Total Liabilities3.83B3.17B2.88B2.42B3.55B3.04B
Stockholders Equity1.63B1.21B1.25B1.18B1.28B655.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-48.62M-43.05M-321.32M1.13B-68.43M-797.52M
Operating Cash Flow-42.49M-9.94M-265.96M1.20B-48.71M-777.69M
Investing Cash Flow-137.54M-33.43M-49.74M308.63M453.09M-3.60M
Financing Cash Flow122.73M89.53M261.46M-1.46B-396.28M817.82M

Newmark Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.74
Price Trends
50DMA
18.23
Negative
100DMA
16.69
Negative
200DMA
14.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Positive
RSI
29.16
Positive
STOCH
5.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NMRK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.86, below the 50-day MA of 18.23, and above the 200-day MA of 14.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.16 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NMRK.

Newmark Group Risk Analysis

Newmark Group disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newmark Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newmark Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$14.28B23.209.14%12.51%32.34%
69
Neutral
$45.73B37.9514.26%14.61%30.19%
68
Neutral
$3.59B16.2312.21%6.77%150.72%
67
Neutral
$1.71B-8.09%1.85%5.08%41.21%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
59
Neutral
$2.96B28.408.08%0.76%22.22%94.52%
56
Neutral
$1.15B-92.57-1.09%1.76%20.74%78.92%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NMRK
Newmark Group
15.74
0.52
3.42%
CBRE
CBRE Group
149.41
16.74
12.62%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
292.36
30.10
11.48%
MMI
Marcus & Millichap
28.39
-11.84
-29.43%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
10.49
-1.82
-14.78%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
14.77
0.84
6.03%

Newmark Group Corporate Events

Newmark Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Newmark Group, Inc., a prominent commercial real estate advisor and service provider, has reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth across its business lines. The company, known for its comprehensive real estate solutions, serves large institutional investors, global corporations, and other property stakeholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Newmark Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Newmark Group, Inc. announced a change in the date for its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders to December 30, 2025, which affects the deadline for stockholder proposals. The company also reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a 26% increase in revenues and significant growth in GAAP and Adjusted EPS. Newmark’s strategic investments in recurring revenue businesses and global expansion, including the acquisition of RealFoundations and expansion into India and the Asia-Pacific region, have bolstered its market position. The company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, raising its full-year outlook and targeting an expansion of its Adjusted EBITDA margin.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRK) stock is a Hold with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmark Group stock, see the NMRK Stock Forecast page.

Newmark Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

Newmark Group, Inc., a prominent commercial real estate advisor and service provider, has reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth in revenue and earnings. The company, which serves large institutional investors and corporations, is recognized for its strategic vision and commitment to value creation.

Newmark’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

The recent earnings call for Newmark painted a picture of robust growth and expansion, with the company reporting significant revenue and earnings increases. The sentiment was largely positive, highlighting market share gains and international growth, though tempered by concerns over rising expenses and challenges in the New York City market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025