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Newmark Group Inc (NMRK)
NASDAQ:NMRK
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Newmark Group (NMRK) AI Stock Analysis

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NMRK

Newmark Group

(NASDAQ:NMRK)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(9.13%Upside)
Newmark Group's stock score is influenced primarily by its mixed financial performance and strong technical indicators. While recent earnings and corporate events provide positive momentum, high leverage and valuation concerns pose risks. The company's ability to manage cash flow and leverage will be crucial for future stability.

Newmark Group (NMRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newmark Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewmark Group, Inc. provides commercial real estate services in the United States and internationally. The company's investor/owner services and products include capital markets, such as investment, debt and structured finance, and loan sales; agency leasing, property management, and valuation and advisory; and commercial real estate due diligence consulting and advisory services, as well as government sponsored enterprise lending, loan servicing, mortgage broking, and equity-raising services. Its occupier services and products comprise tenant representation; real estate management technology systems; workplace and occupancy strategy; global corporate consulting; project management; account and transaction management; and lease administration and facilities management services. The company provides its services to commercial real estate tenants, investors, owners, occupiers, and developers, as well as lenders and multi-national corporations. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 160 offices on four continents. The company was formerly known as Newmark Knight Frank and changed its name to Newmark Group, Inc. in October 2017. Newmark Group, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewmark Group makes money primarily through fees generated from its diverse array of commercial real estate services. The company earns revenue from transaction-based services, such as commissions on leasing and sales transactions where it represents either landlords or tenants. Additionally, Newmark generates income through recurring revenue streams like property and facilities management fees, and advisory services fees. The company's capital markets division also contributes significantly by facilitating financing and investment sales transactions. Key partnerships with real estate investors, developers, and financial institutions enhance Newmark's ability to secure lucrative deals, further bolstering its earnings.

Newmark Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue and earnings growth, market share gains, and international expansion. However, there were challenges related to increased expenses and some concerns in the New York City market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Newmark delivered a 20% increase in total revenues, with double-digit gains across every major business line. Adjusted EPS increased by 41%, demonstrating strong operating leverage.
Market Share Gains in Capital Markets
Newmark increased total debt volumes by 135%, with investment sales volumes up 26%. Newmark was ranked as the #1 office broker in the U.S. for the first half of 2025.
Expansion of International Platform
Newmark improved to #3 among global sales brokers for the first half of 2025. The company is building out its international platform, particularly in Europe and Asia.
Introduction of Adjusted Free Cash Flow Metric
Newmark introduced a new reporting metric, adjusted free cash flow, which showed a 121.4% improvement year-over-year for the 12 months ended June 2025.
Negative Updates
High Expenses
Total expenses for adjusted earnings increased by 18.4%, which included costs related to Newmark's growth initiatives and higher pass-through costs.
Continued Challenges in New York City
New York City property sales volumes were subdued in June, with potential impacts from local political developments affecting buyer sentiment.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Newmark Group delivered strong financial results, with total revenues increasing by 19.9% to $759.1 million compared to the previous year. This growth was driven by impressive double-digit gains across every major business line, including a 13.6% increase in management services and a 13.8% rise in leasing revenues. The company's capital markets revenue surged by 37.9%, reflecting a remarkable 135% improvement in total debt volumes. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose by 40.9% to $0.31, while adjusted EBITDA grew by 32.1% to $114 million, with an improved margin of 15%. Newmark's strong performance led to an upward revision of its full-year outlook, now projecting total revenues between $3.05 billion and $3.25 billion, adjusted EPS in the range of $1.47 to $1.57, and adjusted EBITDA between $523 million and $573 million. The company also introduced a new reporting metric, adjusted free cash flow, which showed a 121.4% year-over-year improvement, reaching $228 million for the 12 months ended June 2025.

Newmark Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newmark Group exhibits a mixed financial performance with moderate revenue growth and strong gross margins, but struggles with profitability and cash flow generation. The improved leverage position is a positive sign, but low returns on equity and significant cash flow challenges highlight the need for strategic focus on improving operational efficiency and cash management.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Newmark Group's revenue has shown a modest growth trajectory with a 4.34% increase in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin remains strong at 100%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin for TTM is relatively low at 1.52%, reflecting challenges in translating revenue growth into net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 5.88% and 12.06%, respectively, suggesting room for operational improvement.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.49 in the TTM, indicating a more balanced leverage compared to previous years. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM stands at 2.79%, which is relatively low, suggesting limited returns for equity holders. The equity ratio is stable at 32.18%, reflecting a moderate level of financial stability. Despite improvements in leverage, the overall financial stability could be enhanced with better profitability.
Cash Flow
47
Neutral
Newmark Group's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative free cash flow in the TTM, reflecting challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in cash generation from core operations. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which may signal liquidity concerns and the need for improved cash management practices.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.98B2.74B2.47B2.71B2.91B1.90B
Gross Profit1.56B2.74B2.47B2.71B2.91B1.90B
EBITDA294.32M337.34M291.56M351.38M1.38B325.19M
Net Income64.72M61.23M42.58M83.28M750.73M80.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.39B4.71B4.47B3.94B5.22B3.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments195.83M197.69M164.99M233.80M704.70M224.73M
Total Debt871.21M2.02B1.75B1.41B2.40B2.02B
Total Liabilities3.86B3.17B2.88B2.42B3.53B3.04B
Stockholders Equity1.52B1.21B1.25B1.18B1.30B655.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-257.12M-43.05M-321.32M1.13B-68.43M-797.52M
Operating Cash Flow-241.81M-9.94M-265.96M1.20B-48.71M-777.69M
Investing Cash Flow-28.76M-33.43M-49.74M308.63M453.09M-3.60M
Financing Cash Flow301.96M89.53M261.46M-1.46B-396.28M817.82M

Newmark Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.12
Price Trends
50DMA
12.14
Positive
100DMA
11.80
Positive
200DMA
12.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
81.76
Negative
STOCH
85.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NMRK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.16, above the 50-day MA of 12.14, and above the 200-day MA of 12.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.76 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NMRK.

Newmark Group Risk Analysis

Newmark Group disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newmark Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newmark Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$45.81B43.1313.13%14.96%19.11%
77
Outperform
$12.60B24.008.16%13.63%78.40%
74
Outperform
$2.76B17.249.53%1.24%1205.18%
67
Neutral
$1.48B-12.78%2.12%6.69%-137.52%
66
Neutral
$2.79B35.785.49%0.79%16.74%69.89%
63
Neutral
$6.73B14.24-1.44%7.30%4.75%-35.88%
55
Neutral
$1.43B199.35%5.11%-29.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NMRK
Newmark Group
15.12
3.69
32.28%
CBRE
CBRE Group
153.94
47.32
44.38%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
265.35
33.36
14.38%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
9.42
-3.01
-24.22%
RDFN
Redfin
11.19
3.90
53.50%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
11.93
>-0.01
-0.08%

Newmark Group Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Newmark Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Newmark Group announced the date for its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders as November 20, 2025, and set a new deadline for stockholder proposals due to the meeting date being more than 30 days after the previous year’s anniversary. The company also reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a 20% increase in total revenues and significant growth in GAAP and adjusted EPS. Newmark raised its full-year guidance, expecting a substantial year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share, driven by improvements in macroeconomic conditions for commercial real estate.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRK) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmark Group stock, see the NMRK Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Newmark Group’s Settlement Hearing Rescheduled to August
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 19, 2025, the Delaware Court of Chancery rescheduled a hearing regarding a settlement agreement involving Newmark Group, its Board, and certain executive officers, set for August 13, 2025. This settlement aims to resolve stockholder derivative litigation related to a 2021 cash bonus and partnership unit redemption involving Newmark’s Executive Chairman. The settlement, funded by insurance proceeds, will release the Board and officers from civil claims without admitting liability, avoiding prolonged litigation.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRK) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmark Group stock, see the NMRK Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Newmark Group’s Stock Buyback from Howard Lutnick
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Howard W. Lutnick, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce and former Executive Chairman of Newmark Group, agreed to sell 10,969,523 shares of Class A Common Stock back to the company as part of a divestiture to comply with U.S. government ethics rules. The transaction, valued at $127,027,077, is part of Newmark’s stock repurchase program and is expected to enhance shareholder value. Additionally, Mr. Lutnick transferred his voting shares of CFGM and other interests to trusts controlled by Brandon G. Lutnick, ensuring that Cantor Fitzgerald remains Newmark’s largest shareholder.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRK) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmark Group stock, see the NMRK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025