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Newmark Group Inc (NMRK)
NASDAQ:NMRK

Newmark Group (NMRK) AI Stock Analysis

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Newmark Group

(NASDAQ:NMRK)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(5.45%Upside)
Newmark Group's overall stock score of 64 reflects a balance between positive earnings growth and strategic corporate actions against challenges in valuation and cash flow. The strong earnings call and corporate events are major positives, but the high P/E ratio and cash flow issues weigh on the score.

Newmark Group (NMRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newmark Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewmark Group, Inc. provides commercial real estate services in the United States and internationally. The company's investor/owner services and products include capital markets, such as investment, debt and structured finance, and loan sales; agency leasing, property management, and valuation and advisory; and commercial real estate due diligence consulting and advisory services, as well as government sponsored enterprise lending, loan servicing, mortgage broking, and equity-raising services. Its occupier services and products comprise tenant representation; real estate management technology systems; workplace and occupancy strategy; global corporate consulting; project management; account and transaction management; and lease administration and facilities management services. The company provides its services to commercial real estate tenants, investors, owners, occupiers, and developers, as well as lenders and multi-national corporations. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 160 offices on four continents. The company was formerly known as Newmark Knight Frank and changed its name to Newmark Group, Inc. in October 2017. Newmark Group, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewmark Group makes money primarily through fees generated from its diverse array of commercial real estate services. The company earns revenue from transaction-based services, such as commissions on leasing and sales transactions where it represents either landlords or tenants. Additionally, Newmark generates income through recurring revenue streams like property and facilities management fees, and advisory services fees. The company's capital markets division also contributes significantly by facilitating financing and investment sales transactions. Key partnerships with real estate investors, developers, and financial institutions enhance Newmark's ability to secure lucrative deals, further bolstering its earnings.

Newmark Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.17%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue and earnings growth across multiple business lines, driven by strategic expansion and a strong market presence. However, increased compensation costs and potential geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties were noted as challenges. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and operational performance outweigh the concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Substantial Revenue and Earnings Growth
Newmark reported a 22% increase in revenues and approximately 40% growth in earnings metrics for the first quarter of 2025.
Strong Performance Across Business Lines
Capital Markets grew by 33%, leasing fees increased by 31%, and management and servicing revenues rose by over 10%.
Management Services Growth
Management Services, Servicing, and Other increased by 10.5%, marking the seventh consecutive period of solid year-on-year improvement.
Improved EBITDA and Margins
Adjusted EBITDA grew to $89.2 million, up 40.5%, with the adjusted EBITDA margin improving by approximately 180 basis points to 13.4%.
Negative Updates
Increased Compensation Costs
Compensation increased by 21.8%, reflecting higher commission-based revenues and costs related to growth initiatives.
Market Uncertainty and Geopolitical Headwinds
Potential geopolitical headwinds and macroeconomic uncertainties could dampen industry activity, although no specific impacts were detailed.
Company Guidance
During Newmark Group's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust growth with a 22% increase in revenues and approximately 40% growth in earnings metrics. Capital Markets revenues surged by 33%, driven by a 62.5% improvement in volume and a 40% boost in GSE/FHA origination volumes. Leasing fees rose 31% due to heightened activity in key regions like New York City, Boston, and the San Francisco Bay Area. Management and servicing revenues climbed over 10%, reflecting strong valuation and advisory growth. The company's adjusted EPS grew by 40% to $0.21, while adjusted EBITDA was up 40.5% to $89.2 million, improving the adjusted EBITDA margin by 180 basis points to 13.4%. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Newmark maintained its 2025 guidance, with expectations for better-than-anticipated Capital Markets revenues and consistent growth in Management and Servicing. The company ended the quarter with $157.1 million in cash and a net leverage ratio of 1.3 times, signifying a solid financial position to support future growth initiatives.

Newmark Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newmark Group shows moderate revenue growth and strong gross margins, but faces challenges with profitability and cash flow generation. Improved leverage is a positive, but low returns on equity and significant cash flow issues highlight the need for better operational efficiency and cash management.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Newmark Group's revenue has shown a modest growth trajectory with a 4.34% increase in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin remains strong at 100%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin for TTM is relatively low at 1.52%, reflecting challenges in translating revenue growth into net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 5.88% and 12.06%, respectively, suggesting room for operational improvement.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.49 in the TTM, indicating a more balanced leverage compared to previous years. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM stands at 2.79%, which is relatively low, suggesting limited returns for equity holders. The equity ratio is stable at 32.18%, reflecting a moderate level of financial stability. Despite improvements in leverage, the overall financial stability could be enhanced with better profitability.
Cash Flow
47
Neutral
Newmark Group's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative free cash flow in the TTM, reflecting challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in cash generation from core operations. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which may signal liquidity concerns and the need for improved cash management practices.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.86B2.74B2.47B2.71B2.91B1.90B
Gross Profit
2.86B2.74B2.47B2.71B2.91B1.90B
EBIT
168.13M163.04M125.22M185.57M1.25B184.00M
EBITDA
344.81M337.34M291.56M351.38M1.38B325.19M
Net Income Common Stockholders
68.72M61.23M42.58M83.28M750.73M80.06M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
157.08M197.69M164.99M233.80M704.70M224.73M
Total Assets
4.85B4.71B4.47B3.94B5.22B3.98B
Total Debt
2.20B2.02B1.75B1.41B2.40B2.02B
Net Debt
2.04B1.83B1.59B1.18B2.21B1.83B
Total Liabilities
3.29B3.17B2.88B2.42B3.53B3.04B
Stockholders Equity
1.32B1.21B1.25B1.18B1.30B655.05M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-150.58M-43.05M-321.32M1.13B-68.43M-797.52M
Operating Cash Flow
-120.56M-9.94M-265.96M1.20B-48.71M-777.69M
Investing Cash Flow
-31.52M-33.43M-49.74M308.63M453.09M-3.60M
Financing Cash Flow
181.01M89.53M261.46M-1.46B-396.28M817.82M

Newmark Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.38
Price Trends
50DMA
11.02
Positive
100DMA
12.22
Negative
200DMA
13.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
51.67
Neutral
STOCH
75.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NMRK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.18, above the 50-day MA of 11.02, and below the 200-day MA of 13.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NMRK.

Newmark Group Risk Analysis

Newmark Group disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newmark Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newmark Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JLJLL
77
Outperform
$11.25B21.438.16%13.63%78.40%
74
Outperform
$39.64B40.6112.15%13.14%1.70%
CWCWK
71
Outperform
$2.41B15.049.53%1.24%1205.18%
67
Neutral
$1.39B-6.44%2.24%6.69%-137.52%
64
Neutral
$2.10B28.955.32%1.05%13.87%90.42%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.720.40%6.10%5.80%-21.26%
55
Neutral
$1.38B199.35%5.11%-29.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NMRK
Newmark Group
11.38
1.35
13.46%
CBRE
CBRE Group
132.97
45.60
52.19%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
236.99
29.34
14.13%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
8.92
-1.62
-15.37%
RDFN
Redfin
10.80
4.75
78.51%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
10.41
-0.02
-0.19%

Newmark Group Corporate Events

Legal Proceedings
Newmark Group’s Settlement Hearing Rescheduled to August
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 19, 2025, the Delaware Court of Chancery rescheduled a hearing regarding a settlement agreement involving Newmark Group, its Board, and certain executive officers, set for August 13, 2025. This settlement aims to resolve stockholder derivative litigation related to a 2021 cash bonus and partnership unit redemption involving Newmark’s Executive Chairman. The settlement, funded by insurance proceeds, will release the Board and officers from civil claims without admitting liability, avoiding prolonged litigation.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRK) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmark Group stock, see the NMRK Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Newmark Group’s Stock Buyback from Howard Lutnick
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Howard W. Lutnick, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce and former Executive Chairman of Newmark Group, agreed to sell 10,969,523 shares of Class A Common Stock back to the company as part of a divestiture to comply with U.S. government ethics rules. The transaction, valued at $127,027,077, is part of Newmark’s stock repurchase program and is expected to enhance shareholder value. Additionally, Mr. Lutnick transferred his voting shares of CFGM and other interests to trusts controlled by Brandon G. Lutnick, ensuring that Cantor Fitzgerald remains Newmark’s largest shareholder.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRK) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmark Group stock, see the NMRK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Newmark Group Appoints Luis Alvarado as COO
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

On April 7, 2025, Newmark Group appointed Luis Alvarado as Chief Operating Officer, a role in which he will optimize global operations and drive business expansion. Alvarado, who has been with Newmark since 2015, has played a crucial role in the company’s growth and will continue to enhance market share and operational efficiency in his new position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.