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Exp World Holdings (EXPI)
NASDAQ:EXPI

eXp World Holdings (EXPI) AI Stock Analysis

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EXPI

eXp World Holdings

(NASDAQ:EXPI)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▼(-13.32% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak technicals (downtrend with negative MACD) and profitability/margin compression despite strong cash generation and a low-leverage balance sheet. Earnings call signals improving productivity, international momentum, and cost discipline, while valuation is mixed due to losses despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
International Revenue Growth
The significant growth in international revenue highlights eXp's successful expansion strategy, which diversifies its income streams and strengthens its global market presence.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with no debt provides financial stability and reduces leverage risk, allowing eXp to invest in growth opportunities without financial strain.
Improved Agent Productivity
Increased agent productivity enhances operational efficiency and revenue generation, supporting sustained growth and competitive advantage in the real estate market.
Negative Factors
Net Loss for 2024
The net loss indicates ongoing profitability challenges, which could hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives and affect long-term financial health.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow could limit eXp's ability to fund operations and strategic investments, potentially impacting its capacity to sustain growth.
Agent Count Decline
A decline in agent count could reduce transaction volume and revenue, challenging eXp's growth trajectory and market share in the competitive real estate sector.

eXp World Holdings (EXPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

eXp World Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptioneXp World Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud-based real estate brokerage services for residential homeowners and homebuyers. The company facilitates buyers to search real-time property listings and sellers to list their properties through its various platforms; and offers buyers and sellers with access to a network of professionals, consumer-centric agents, and brokers. It is also involved in building 3D virtual worlds for work, education, and events; and focused on agent website and consumer real estate portal technology. In addition, the company operates SUCCESS print magazine, SUCCESS.com portal, SUCCESS newsletters, podcasts, digital training courses, and affiliated social media accounts across platforms. Further, it provides marketing, training, and other support services to its brokers and agents through proprietary technology enabled services, as well as technology and support services contracted to third parties. eXp World Holdings, Inc. operates in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, South Africa, India, Portugal, France, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Brazil, Italy, Hong Kong, Colombia, Spain, Israel, Panama, and Germany. The company was formerly known as eXp Realty International Corporation and changed its name to eXp World Holdings, Inc. in May 2016. eXp World Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Bellingham, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyeXp World Holdings primarily generates revenue through its real estate brokerage operations under eXp Realty. The company earns commissions from real estate transactions conducted by its network of independent agents. These commissions are shared between the company and the agents, with eXp Realty retaining a portion as its revenue. Additionally, eXp World Holdings benefits from its virtual world platform, Virbela, which provides software solutions for remote collaboration, contributing to its revenue through licensing and subscription fees. The company also generates income from Success Enterprises by offering personal development programs and coaching services. eXp's innovative revenue-sharing model and stock compensation plan for agents, which incentivizes growth and productivity, further enhances its earnings potential.

eXp World Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

eXp World Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant international growth, technological advancements, and financial stability. However, challenges remain with a decrease in agent count and gross margin. The focus on agent productivity and international expansion are positive indicators for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Agent Growth and Retention
Second consecutive quarter of quarter-over-quarter agent growth. Sales transactions per agent increased 5% year-over-year. Agent attrition improved by 13% year-over-year globally and 18% in the U.S.
International Expansion Success
Successfully opened operations in 5 countries in 2025. Surpassed $100 million in revenue for the first time in a calendar year. Real estate transactions grew 44% year-over-year internationally.
Technological Advancements
Introduction of AI-driven tools like Doc AI for document review. Launch of eXp Connect Hub for enhanced collaboration. Expanded use of AI to streamline operations and reduce costs.
Financial Performance
Revenue of $1.3 billion in Q3, up 7% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA of $17.7 million remains positive. Ended the quarter with a cash position of $112.8 million.
Negative Updates
Agent Count Decline
Agent count was 83,446, down 2% year-over-year, despite a 1% increase quarter-over-quarter in 2025.
Gross Margin Decline
GAAP gross margin was 6.5%, down 57 basis points from Q3 of last year due to more productive agents hitting their cap.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided during the eXp World Holdings Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Fireside chat highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Notably, the company reported a 5% year-over-year increase in sales transactions per agent and a 7% rise in the number of productive agents. In the U.S., agent attrition improved by 18% year-over-year, while international operations saw a 44% growth in real estate transactions and a 59% increase in sales volume. eXp's FastATTRACT program, aimed at enhancing agents' revenue share skills, was piloted successfully with 138 agents. Operational efficiency was a focal point, with G&A expenses reduced to $82 million, primarily through AI-driven automation. The company also reached a significant milestone with international revenue surpassing $100 million for the first time in a calendar year. Overall, eXp's strategic focus on agent productivity, international expansion, and operational efficiency were underscored as pivotal to its growth trajectory.

eXp World Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
eXp World Holdings shows strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet with no debt leverage. However, consistent net losses and declining profitability margins challenge its financial performance. The company maintains a healthy cash flow position, but recent declines in free cash flow growth may indicate future cash constraints if not addressed.
Income Statement
The company shows significant revenue growth over the years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2024, indicating strong market expansion. However, profitability margins such as Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin are concerning, with negative figures in recent years, reflecting operational challenges and net losses.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity base with no significant debt, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 0. This provides financial stability and low leverage risk. However, the declining stockholders' equity and net losses may affect the return on equity in the long term.
Cash Flow
The company's cash flow position is robust, with consistent positive free cash flow and operating cash flow exceeding net income, indicating efficient cash generation. Nevertheless, declining free cash flow in the most recent year suggests potential challenges in sustaining this performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.68B4.57B4.27B4.59B3.77B1.80B
Gross Profit333.85M342.39M319.92M361.17M296.03M159.61M
EBITDA-5.03M30.23M11.41M26.20M40.40M35.58M
Net Income-19.32M-21.27M-8.97M15.44M81.22M31.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets458.74M390.72M385.67M381.68M413.83M242.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments112.76M113.61M125.87M121.59M108.24M100.14M
Total Debt0.000.0010.00K869.00K1.08M5.11M
Total Liabilities223.48M185.85M141.66M132.69M190.29M99.60M
Stockholders Equity235.26M204.87M242.84M247.82M222.17M141.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow108.28M185.03M201.17M198.48M233.47M113.22M
Operating Cash Flow118.53M191.51M209.13M210.53M246.89M119.66M
Investing Cash Flow-27.00M-19.47M-13.50M-22.46M-18.92M-16.96M
Financing Cash Flow-100.78M-170.38M-184.09M-204.51M-179.92M-21.89M

eXp World Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.96
Price Trends
50DMA
10.34
Negative
100DMA
10.61
Negative
200DMA
9.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
42.76
Neutral
STOCH
65.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.70, above the 50-day MA of 10.34, and above the 200-day MA of 9.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EXPI.

eXp World Holdings Risk Analysis

eXp World Holdings disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. eXp World Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

eXp World Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$249.84M12.482.87%-6.06%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
59
Neutral
$3.14B29.838.08%0.68%22.22%94.52%
58
Neutral
$818.29M-73.35-25.27%65.60%69.72%
58
Neutral
$219.38M-3.53-41.11%6.62%30.94%
54
Neutral
$1.53B-75.91-8.09%2.09%5.08%41.21%
51
Neutral
$1.98B-15.28-8.15%5.27%25.71%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
9.58
-1.14
-10.67%
HOUS
Anywhere Real Estate ate
17.64
14.76
512.50%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
7.66
-1.99
-20.62%
NMRK
Newmark Group
17.36
5.49
46.25%
REAX
Real Brokerage
3.88
-0.38
-8.92%
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
2.47
0.90
57.32%

eXp World Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
eXp World restructures executive compensation, boosting base salaries
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

On December 23, 2025, eXp World Holdings, Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a change to the cash compensation structure for three key executives: Leo Pareja, CEO of eXp Realty, Wendy Forsythe, Chief Marketing Officer, and James Bramble, Chief Legal Counsel and Corporate Secretary. Effective January 1, 2026, these executives will no longer participate in the company’s discretionary annual cash bonus program; instead, each of their annual base salaries will be increased by an amount equal to the maximum annual bonus target previously applicable to them, effectively shifting their pay mix from variable to fixed cash compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPI) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eXp World Holdings stock, see the EXPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
eXp World Holdings Declares Dividend Amid Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On October 25, 2025, eXp World Holdings declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per share, payable on December 1, 2025. The company reported a 7% increase in revenue to $1.3 billion for Q3 2025, with net income of $3.5 million. Despite a slight decrease in agent numbers, real estate sales transactions and volume grew, reflecting eXp’s focus on innovation and technology to enhance its real estate platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPI) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eXp World Holdings stock, see the EXPI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025