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Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG)
:DOUG
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Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) AI Stock Analysis

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DOUG

Douglas Elliman Inc.

(NYSE:DOUG)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-4.94% Downside)
Douglas Elliman Inc. has a mixed outlook. The most significant factor is its financial performance, which shows ongoing profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics reflect negative earnings. The earnings call provided some optimism with strategic initiatives and reduced losses, but economic pressures remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates resilience and market demand, supporting long-term business sustainability and expansion potential.
International Expansion
International expansion into high-value markets enhances growth opportunities and diversifies revenue streams, strengthening global presence.
Technology Initiatives
Investing in AI technology improves operational efficiency and client engagement, providing a competitive edge in the luxury real estate market.
Negative Factors
Net Profitability Challenges
Negative net profitability indicates underlying operational challenges, potentially limiting reinvestment and growth opportunities.
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage increases financial risk and interest obligations, potentially impacting long-term financial stability and flexibility.
Economic Pressures
Economic pressures like high mortgage rates can dampen real estate demand, affecting transaction volumes and revenue growth.

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Douglas Elliman Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDouglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) is a leading real estate services company based in the United States, primarily operating in high-end residential real estate brokerage. The company offers a wide range of services including property sales, rentals, and property management across various markets, with a strong presence in New York City and other major metropolitan areas. Douglas Elliman is known for its luxury real estate listings and has established a reputation for providing expert guidance and personalized service to clients in the buying, selling, and leasing processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyDouglas Elliman generates revenue primarily through commissions earned from real estate transactions. When agents successfully close a sale or rental, the company takes a percentage of the commission, which is typically around 5% to 6% of the sale price, although this can vary. In addition to brokerage commissions, Douglas Elliman also earns income from property management services, where it manages residential properties on behalf of owners for a fee. The company may also benefit from partnerships with mortgage lenders and other service providers, which can lead to referral fees and additional revenue streams. Furthermore, Douglas Elliman's strong brand presence and marketing prowess enable them to attract high-value listings, enhancing their overall revenue potential.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated a positive outlook with significant improvements in revenue, operating loss reduction, and strategic initiatives, despite facing some economic pressures and a net loss.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
For the first 9 months of 2025, revenues increased by 5% year-over-year to $787.6 million.
Reduction in Operating Loss
Operating loss reduced to $21.5 million from $52.6 million compared to the same period last year.
Profitability Improvements
Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter increased to $2.7 million from $2.3 million in the prior year period.
International Expansion
Expansion into France and Monaco, with plans to expand further into Paris and the French Alps.
Sale of Property Management Division
Sale for $85 million, expected after-tax gain of approximately $75 million, eliminating operational complexity.
Launch of AI and Technology Initiatives
Introduction of Elli AI and an AI-powered home discovery tool to enhance agent capabilities and client services.
Strong Luxury Market Performance
Average price per transaction rose to $1.87 million from $1.68 million, with significant increases in sales of homes priced over $5 million and $10 million.
Negative Updates
Net Loss
Net loss for the third quarter was $24.7 million, compared to $27.2 million in the prior year period.
Economic Pressures
Ongoing challenges from geopolitical uncertainties and elevated mortgage rates impacted operations.
Revenue Decline in Third Quarter
Third quarter revenues were $262.8 million, a slight decrease from $266.3 million in the prior year period.
Company Guidance
During Douglas Elliman's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. For the first nine months of 2025, revenues increased by 5% year-over-year to $787.6 million, while operating losses were reduced to $21.5 million from $52.6 million in the same period the previous year. The company reported $262.8 million in revenues for the third quarter of 2025, with a net loss of $24.7 million or $0.29 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $27.2 million or $0.33 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA improved to $2.7 million for the quarter, up from $2.3 million in the prior year period. The company also announced the sale of its property management division for $85 million, resulting in an expected after-tax gain of approximately $75 million. As of October 31, 2025, Douglas Elliman held $126.5 million in cash and had no debt, positioning it strategically for future market opportunities. The call emphasized the company's commitment to international expansion, technological advancement, and strengthening its position as a luxury real estate leader, with plans for further geographic growth and strategic acquisitions.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Douglas Elliman Inc. shows mixed financial performance with revenue growth and margin improvements, yet profitability remains a challenge. The balance sheet indicates increased leverage and reduced equity, while cash flow issues persist.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Douglas Elliman Inc. shows a mixed financial performance with recent challenges. The company experienced a slight revenue increase of 4.19% from 2023 to 2024, yet it remains below its 2021 peak. Gross profit margin improved significantly, indicating better cost management, climbing from 18.71% in 2023 to 92.93% in 2024. However, net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. EBIT margin turned positive, improving from -6.75% in 2023 to 72.82% in 2024, but EBITDA remains negative, pointing to underlying operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable yet cautious outlook. The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 1.15 in 2024 from 0.57 in 2023, suggesting higher leverage. Return on equity remains negative at -47.47%, indicating profitability challenges. The equity ratio dropped to 32.83% in 2024, down from 47.29% in 2023, highlighting a shift towards greater liabilities. The company retains a decent cash position, though with a reduced equity base.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows operational weaknesses. Operating cash flow remains negative, although slightly improved from 2023. Free cash flow growth is negative, though the decline slowed, indicating cautious progress. Operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash generation issues, while the free cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable, pointing to ongoing cash management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B995.63M955.58M1.15B1.35B773.99M
Gross Profit469.64M251.81M955.58M316.37M1.35B773.99M
EBITDA-47.41M-65.21M-54.09M8.26M110.66M39.38M
Net Income-59.35M-76.32M-42.55M-5.62M98.84M-46.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets480.60M493.89M493.42M550.40M595.17M453.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments143.00M145.46M119.81M163.86M211.62M94.42M
Total Debt142.82M156.28M132.94M142.84M164.87M192.47M
Total Liabilities365.79M331.46M259.26M279.94M313.30M290.39M
Stockholders Equity115.07M162.19M233.23M268.92M279.93M163.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.77M-31.50M-36.56M-23.28M123.72M25.74M
Operating Cash Flow-8.47M-25.96M-30.41M-14.74M127.83M31.86M
Investing Cash Flow3.49M-6.79M-5.24M-12.74M-8.86M-4.09M
Financing Cash Flow-1.38M45.45M-6.21M-30.00M3.20M-143.00K

Douglas Elliman Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.63
Price Trends
50DMA
2.65
Negative
100DMA
2.62
Positive
200DMA
2.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
55.38
Neutral
STOCH
73.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOUG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.47, below the 50-day MA of 2.65, and above the 200-day MA of 2.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DOUG.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Risk Analysis

Douglas Elliman Inc. disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Douglas Elliman Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Douglas Elliman Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$840.85M-25.27%65.60%69.72%
67
Neutral
$1.80B-8.09%1.76%5.08%41.21%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$268.10M13.392.87%-6.06%
58
Neutral
$3.14B30.068.08%0.69%22.22%94.52%
57
Neutral
$1.30B-9.78-8.15%5.27%25.71%
52
Neutral
$235.37M-41.11%6.62%30.94%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
2.65
0.25
10.42%
HOUS
Anywhere Real Estate ate
14.25
9.33
189.63%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
8.22
-5.08
-38.20%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
11.35
-2.54
-18.29%
NMRK
Newmark Group
17.38
2.17
14.27%
REAX
Real Brokerage
3.97
-1.46
-26.89%

Douglas Elliman Inc. Corporate Events

Douglas Elliman’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategy
Nov 25, 2025

The recent earnings call for Douglas Elliman Inc. painted a positive picture, highlighting significant improvements in revenue and operating loss reduction, alongside strategic initiatives. Despite some economic pressures and a net loss, the overall sentiment was optimistic about the company’s future prospects.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 5, 2025

Douglas Elliman Inc. is a leading residential brokerage company in the United States, specializing in luxury real estate with a presence in key markets such as New York, Florida, and California, and a focus on innovative property technology solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Douglas Elliman Reports Revenue Growth and Strategic Focus
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Douglas Elliman Inc. reported a 5% year-over-year revenue growth for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, with improvements in net loss and adjusted EBITDA. The company is focusing on its core luxury residential real estate brokerage business following the sale of its property management division, which is expected to yield a $75 million after-tax gain. Strategic initiatives in 2025, such as international expansion and AI investments, have positioned the company for future growth. Financially, the company strengthened its position by redeeming convertible notes and maintaining a cash balance of $126.5 million with no debt.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOUG) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Douglas Elliman Inc. stock, see the DOUG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Douglas Elliman Sells Property Management Business
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Douglas Elliman Inc. completed the sale of its property management business, Douglas Elliman Property Management (DEPM), to PMG Holdings, Inc. for $85 million. This transaction allowed the company to repay and redeem its senior secured convertible promissory notes for $95 million, resulting in approximately $130 million of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents. The sale marks a strategic shift in the company’s operations, as DEPM’s financial results will no longer be included in Douglas Elliman’s consolidated financial statements, potentially impacting stakeholders and altering the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOUG) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Douglas Elliman Inc. stock, see the DOUG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 24, 2025