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Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG)
:DOUG
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Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) AI Stock Analysis

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DOUG

Douglas Elliman Inc.

(NYSE:DOUG)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-0.79% Downside)
Douglas Elliman Inc. faces significant challenges with profitability and cash flow, reflected in its financial performance and valuation scores. Despite strategic initiatives and some revenue growth, technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. The earnings call provided mixed insights, with notable growth in high-value transactions but also highlighted economic pressures impacting performance.

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Douglas Elliman Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDouglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) is a leading real estate services company based in the United States, primarily operating in high-end residential real estate brokerage. The company offers a wide range of services including property sales, rentals, and property management across various markets, with a strong presence in New York City and other major metropolitan areas. Douglas Elliman is known for its luxury real estate listings and has established a reputation for providing expert guidance and personalized service to clients in the buying, selling, and leasing processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyDouglas Elliman generates revenue primarily through commissions earned from real estate transactions. When agents successfully close a sale or rental, the company takes a percentage of the commission, which is typically around 5% to 6% of the sale price, although this can vary. In addition to brokerage commissions, Douglas Elliman also earns income from property management services, where it manages residential properties on behalf of owners for a fee. The company may also benefit from partnerships with mortgage lenders and other service providers, which can lead to referral fees and additional revenue streams. Furthermore, Douglas Elliman's strong brand presence and marketing prowess enable them to attract high-value listings, enhancing their overall revenue potential.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive achievements and challenges. While the first half of 2025 showed strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives such as Elliman Capital and Elliman International, the second quarter faced setbacks with declining revenue, increased net loss, and economic pressures affecting market activity.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Half Revenue
In the first half of 2025, revenues increased by 8% year-over-year to $524.8 million, marking the strongest first half revenue performance since 2022.
Luxury Market Growth
Sales of homes over $5 million increased by 38% in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. Additionally, sales of homes over $10 million increased by 32%.
Development Marketing Division Success
The development marketing division's revenue increased to $35.4 million in the first half of 2025, up from $17.7 million in the same period in 2024.
Launch of Elliman Capital and Elliman International
Elliman Capital was launched as an innovative mortgage platform and Elliman International was established to expand service to global markets.
Improved Profitability Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA for the first half of 2025 was $259,000, compared to a loss of $14.7 million in the same period in 2024.
Negative Updates
Second Quarter Revenue Decline
Revenues for the second quarter of 2025 were $271.4 million, a decline from $285.8 million in the second quarter of 2024.
Net Loss in Second Quarter
Net loss for the second quarter of 2025 was $22.7 million compared to a net loss of $1.7 million in the second quarter of 2024.
Impact of Economic Pressures
The second quarter was negatively impacted by economic pressures, including heightened volatility in international financial markets and elevated mortgage rates.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased due to higher compensation and recurring professional fees, partly due to inflationary pressures.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, Douglas Elliman reported a range of financial metrics, highlighting their strategic progress and challenges. The company's revenues for the first half of 2025 increased by 8% year-over-year to $524.8 million, marking a notable improvement. However, the second quarter alone saw a revenue decline to $271.4 million from $285.8 million in the same period of 2024, largely due to reduced closing transactions in May and early June. Their net loss for the second quarter was $22.7 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $1.7 million or $0.02 per share in 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was a loss of $849,000, contrasting with a positive $2.9 million in the previous year. The adjusted net loss was $4.7 million or $0.06 per share compared to $532,000 or $0.01 per share in 2024. Despite challenges, the company achieved significant growth in high-value transactions, with a 38% year-over-year increase in home sales over $5 million for the first half of 2025. Douglas Elliman also announced strategic initiatives, including the launch of Elliman Capital and Elliman International, aimed at diversifying and expanding their service offerings globally.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Douglas Elliman Inc. shows mixed financial performance with revenue growth and margin improvements, yet profitability remains a challenge. The balance sheet indicates increased leverage and reduced equity, while cash flow issues persist.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Douglas Elliman Inc. shows a mixed financial performance with recent challenges. The company experienced a slight revenue increase of 4.19% from 2023 to 2024, yet it remains below its 2021 peak. Gross profit margin improved significantly, indicating better cost management, climbing from 18.71% in 2023 to 92.93% in 2024. However, net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. EBIT margin turned positive, improving from -6.75% in 2023 to 72.82% in 2024, but EBITDA remains negative, pointing to underlying operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable yet cautious outlook. The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 1.15 in 2024 from 0.57 in 2023, suggesting higher leverage. Return on equity remains negative at -47.47%, indicating profitability challenges. The equity ratio dropped to 32.83% in 2024, down from 47.29% in 2023, highlighting a shift towards greater liabilities. The company retains a decent cash position, though with a reduced equity base.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows operational weaknesses. Operating cash flow remains negative, although slightly improved from 2023. Free cash flow growth is negative, though the decline slowed, indicating cautious progress. Operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash generation issues, while the free cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable, pointing to ongoing cash management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B995.63M955.58M1.15B1.35B773.99M
Gross Profit505.01M251.81M955.58M316.37M1.35B773.99M
EBITDA-49.91M-65.21M-54.09M3.47M110.66M39.38M
Net Income-62.13M-76.32M-42.55M-5.62M98.84M-46.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets489.00M493.89M493.42M550.40M595.17M453.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.33M145.46M119.81M163.86M211.62M94.42M
Total Debt147.09M156.28M132.94M142.84M164.87M192.47M
Total Liabilities351.41M331.46M259.26M279.94M313.30M290.39M
Stockholders Equity137.60M162.19M233.23M268.92M279.93M163.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.78M-31.50M-36.56M-23.28M123.72M25.74M
Operating Cash Flow-4.96M-25.96M-30.41M-14.74M127.83M31.86M
Investing Cash Flow1.39M-6.79M-5.24M-12.74M-8.86M-4.09M
Financing Cash Flow45.38M45.45M-6.21M-30.00M3.20M-143.00K

Douglas Elliman Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.52
Price Trends
50DMA
2.71
Negative
100DMA
2.61
Negative
200DMA
2.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
41.31
Neutral
STOCH
36.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOUG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.55, below the 50-day MA of 2.71, and above the 200-day MA of 2.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DOUG.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Risk Analysis

Douglas Elliman Inc. disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Douglas Elliman Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Douglas Elliman Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$788.70M-25.27%65.60%69.72%
67
Neutral
$1.53B-12.78%2.06%3.55%-36.05%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$251.14M12.542.87%-6.06%
59
Neutral
$3.04B29.997.36%0.66%22.17%94.52%
58
Neutral
$1.30B-9.78-8.15%5.27%25.71%
51
Neutral
$223.54M-41.11%6.62%30.94%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
2.44
0.49
25.13%
HOUS
Anywhere Real Estate ate
11.42
7.24
173.21%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
7.53
-4.79
-38.88%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
10.80
-2.94
-21.40%
NMRK
Newmark Group
17.40
1.97
12.77%
REAX
Real Brokerage
3.67
-2.83
-43.54%

Douglas Elliman Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Douglas Elliman Sells Property Management Business
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Douglas Elliman Inc. completed the sale of its property management business, Douglas Elliman Property Management (DEPM), to PMG Holdings, Inc. for $85 million. This transaction allowed the company to repay and redeem its senior secured convertible promissory notes for $95 million, resulting in approximately $130 million of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents. The sale marks a strategic shift in the company’s operations, as DEPM’s financial results will no longer be included in Douglas Elliman’s consolidated financial statements, potentially impacting stakeholders and altering the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOUG) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Douglas Elliman Inc. stock, see the DOUG Stock Forecast page.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Reports Strong First Half 2025
Aug 2, 2025

Douglas Elliman Inc. is a leading residential brokerage company in the United States, specializing in luxury real estate and offering a range of services including property management and development marketing. The company also invests in innovative property technology solutions.

Douglas Elliman’s Earnings Call: Mixed Results Amid Growth
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call for Douglas Elliman Inc. painted a picture of mixed financial performance. While the company showcased strong growth in specific areas like luxury home sales and development marketing, these were counterbalanced by declines in second-quarter revenue and increased net losses, largely attributed to external economic pressures.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025