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CoStar Group (CSGP)
NASDAQ:CSGP

CoStar Group (CSGP) AI Stock Analysis

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CoStar Group

(NASDAQ:CSGP)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(5.96%Upside)
CoStar Group's strong earnings call performance and strategic corporate events boost its overall score. However, the high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation, and operational profitability challenges pose risks. Technical indicators suggest some stability, but bearish momentum persists.
Positive Factors
Governance
The company appointed three new independent directors, which should alleviate some investor concerns on governance.
International Expansion
Domain would represent CoStar’s first major foray into the Asia-Pacific market, and international expansion is becoming a bigger priority for the company.
Salesforce Expansion
CoStar continues to materially expand its salesforce across many of its businesses, and is now on track to have over 700 dedicated.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
Current financial performance is below expectations because of challenging market conditions.
Net Bookings Decline
Net new bookings were down 35% year-over-year, which could signal challenges in growth compared to the previous year.
Profitability Concerns
Increases the probability that the drag on total profitability from Homes.com investments will not persist indefinitely.

CoStar Group (CSGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CoStar Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP) is a leading provider of commercial real estate information, analytics, and online marketplaces. The company operates primarily in the sectors of commercial real estate, real estate investment, and real estate technology. CoStar Group's core products and services include comprehensive databases of real estate information, advanced analytics tools, and a suite of online marketplaces designed to connect buyers, sellers, and lessees of commercial properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoStar Group generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for access to its extensive databases and analytics services. Clients, including real estate professionals, investors, and financial institutions, pay for subscriptions to obtain detailed information on commercial properties, market trends, and analytics. Additionally, CoStar Group earns money through its online marketplaces, such as LoopNet and Apartments.com, where it provides advertising services for property owners and managers seeking to reach potential tenants or buyers. Significant partnerships with industry organizations and continuous investments in technology and data acquisition further enhance its offerings, contributing to its revenue growth.

CoStar Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net New Bookings
Net New Bookings
Measures the total value of new contracts signed, indicating sales momentum and future revenue streams. High net new bookings suggest strong demand and business growth potential.
Chart InsightsCoStar Group's net new bookings have shown volatility, with a notable decline in 2024, but recent earnings call insights suggest a potential turnaround. Q1 2025 bookings rose 6% sequentially, driven by strong international growth and successful integration of acquisitions like STR. Despite challenges in the commercial real estate market, strategic expansions in platforms like Homes.com and Apartments.com are expected to bolster future growth, indicating resilience and adaptability in a tough environment.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

CoStar Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth despite a challenging commercial real estate market. The company has successfully integrated acquisitions and expanded its brand presence, particularly with Homes.com. However, the commercial real estate environment remains difficult, impacting certain sectors negatively.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q1 Revenue and Growth
CoStar Group reported Q1 2025 revenue of $732 million, marking a 12% increase year-over-year. This achievement marks the 56th consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Increase
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was $66 million, a 429% increase compared to Q1 2024, exceeding consensus and at the top end of guidance range.
International Growth and Net New Bookings
International businesses achieved $5 million ARR in Q1 '25, representing 56% year-over-year growth. Company net new bookings were $56 million, up 6% sequentially from Q4 '24.
Apartments.com Expansion
Apartments.com reported Q1 revenue of $282 million, an 11% increase over Q1 '24. The platform added 4,300 new communities in Q1, the most properties added in a single quarter in almost 10 years.
Homes.com Brand Awareness Growth
Homes.com's unaided awareness increased 9x to 36% since February '24. It is now the second most visited U.S. residential portal with 104 million average monthly unique visitors.
Successful Integration and Expansion Initiatives
STR's integration contributed to its best quarter for net new bookings, up 17% year-over-year. Meanwhile, CoStar for lenders achieved its best quarter of net new bookings, up 116% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Challenging Commercial Real Estate Environment
Operating in one of the worst commercial real estate environments in decades, with high office vacancy rates at 16% and real asking rents at a 30-year low.
Decline in Industrial and Retail Sectors
Record lows for industrial absorption and a 6% year-over-year decline in real asking rents. Retail asking rents are at 10-year lows.
Net Loss Due to Matterport Acquisition Costs
CoStar posted a $15 million net loss in Q1, primarily due to one-time costs from closing the Matterport acquisition.
Matterport's Initial Financial Impact
Matterport contributed an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.7 million for the first-quarter stub period.
Company Guidance
During CoStar Group's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for both the upcoming quarter and the full fiscal year. CoStar expects revenue for Q2 2025 to range between $770 million and $775 million, representing a 14% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. For the full year, they anticipate revenue of $3.115 billion to $3.155 billion, indicating an annual growth rate of 14% to 15%. The adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is projected to be between $355 million and $385 million, equating to an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 12%, though this includes a reduction of approximately $30 million due to the Matterport acquisition. The guidance reflects continued investment in Homes.com, expected to contribute to mid-teens to low 20s percent revenue growth for the residential segment in 2025, with acceleration anticipated in the second half of the year.

CoStar Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CoStar Group demonstrates solid revenue growth and a strong balance sheet with low leverage, positioning it well in the real estate services industry. However, challenges in operational profitability and cash flow volatility pose potential risks. Continued focus on enhancing operational efficiency and cash generation could bolster financial performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
CoStar Group's TTM revenue grew by 2.77% from the previous year, indicating steady growth in the real estate services industry. Despite this, the company experienced a slight net income decline, impacting the net profit margin, which decreased to 4.17%. The EBIT margin turned negative, signaling operational challenges. However, the EBITDA margin remains positive at 4.21%, suggesting some resilience in operational cash generation.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, highlighting minimal leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio stands at a healthy 82.02%, reflecting strong asset backing by equity. Return on equity is modest at 1.37%, indicating room for improvement in profitability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
CoStar Group's free cash flow turned positive in the TTM, showing a recovery from previous negative figures. However, the free cash flow growth rate is volatile. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.58, suggesting efficient cash conversion, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio is only 0.38, indicating limited free cash generation relative to net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.81B2.74B2.46B2.18B1.94B1.66B
Gross Profit
2.23B2.18B1.96B1.77B1.59B1.35B
EBIT
-500.00K4.70M282.30M450.95M432.34M289.20M
EBITDA
165.70M151.60M389.80M662.83M571.90M406.15M
Net Income Common Stockholders
117.20M138.70M374.70M369.50M292.60M227.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.97B4.68B5.22B4.97B3.83B3.76B
Total Assets
10.43B9.26B8.92B8.40B7.26B6.92B
Total Debt
1.14B1.15B1.11B1.11B1.12B1.14B
Net Debt
-2.54B-3.53B-4.11B-3.86B-2.71B-2.61B
Total Liabilities
1.87B1.70B1.58B1.53B1.55B1.54B
Stockholders Equity
8.56B7.55B7.34B6.87B5.71B5.38B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-34.00M-245.30M464.20M420.05M404.51M437.76M
Operating Cash Flow
302.80M392.60M489.50M478.62M469.73M486.11M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.44B-912.90M-238.60M-69.06M-381.34M-464.16M
Financing Cash Flow
-35.10M-13.70M-3.70M733.98M-15.68M2.66B

CoStar Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.16
Price Trends
50DMA
77.29
Positive
100DMA
77.29
Positive
200DMA
76.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.24
Negative
RSI
63.16
Neutral
STOCH
88.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.84, above the 50-day MA of 77.29, and above the 200-day MA of 76.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSGP.

CoStar Group Risk Analysis

CoStar Group disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CoStar Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CoStar Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JLJLL
77
Outperform
$11.47B21.438.16%13.63%78.40%
74
Outperform
$40.40B40.6112.15%13.14%1.70%
74
Outperform
$23.23B35.996.53%1.90%34.99%28.80%
72
Outperform
$34.75B282.391.47%11.27%-60.22%
CWCWK
71
Outperform
$2.50B15.049.53%1.24%1205.18%
64
Neutral
$2.19B28.955.32%1.01%13.87%90.42%
61
Neutral
$2.85B10.720.40%6.07%5.80%-21.26%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSGP
CoStar Group
81.16
7.96
10.87%
CBRE
CBRE Group
132.97
45.60
52.19%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
236.99
29.34
14.13%
NMRK
Newmark Group
11.38
1.35
13.46%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
10.41
-0.02
-0.19%
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A
18.47
3.37
22.32%

CoStar Group Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
CoStar Group to Acquire Majority of Domain Holdings
Positive
May 9, 2025

On May 9, 2025, CoStar Group entered into a binding Scheme Implementation Deed with Domain Holdings Australia Limited to acquire the remaining 83% of Domain’s shares it does not already own, for a total cash consideration of $4.43 AUD per share. This acquisition, valued at approximately $2.3 billion AUD, is subject to various approvals and conditions, including shareholder and court approvals, and is expected to significantly impact CoStar Group’s market positioning by expanding its presence in the Australian real estate market.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CoStar Group Revamps Board with New Appointments
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

On April 6, 2025, CoStar Group announced significant changes to its Board of Directors, adding John Berisford, Rachel Glaser, and Christine McCarthy as independent directors, while Michael Klein, Christopher Nassetta, and Laura Kaplan retired. Louise Sams was appointed as the new Chairperson of the Board. The company also established a Capital Allocation Committee to evaluate investments and financial targets, supported by agreements with D. E. Shaw and Third Point. These changes are part of CoStar’s efforts to enhance corporate governance and drive stockholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.