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VFH - ETF AI Analysis

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VFH

Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
VFH, the Vanguard Financials ETF, has a solid overall rating, mainly because many of its largest holdings—like JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and American Express—show strong financial performance, positive earnings call sentiment, and generally supportive technical trends that point to healthy growth potential. Berkshire Hathaway and some other holdings face issues such as bearish technical momentum, high leverage, or slightly stretched valuations, which modestly weigh on the fund’s rating. The main risk factor is the ETF’s concentration in the financial sector, meaning it is heavily exposed to sector-specific challenges like credit risks, interest rate changes, and economic slowdowns.
Positive Factors
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges relatively low fees, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Large, Established Financial Holdings
The ETF’s biggest positions are in well-known, major financial companies, which can provide stability compared with smaller, less established firms.
Significant Fund Size
With a large amount of assets under management, the ETF is likely to be more liquid and easier to trade for most investors.
Negative Factors
Sector Concentration in Financials
The fund is heavily focused on the financial sector, so it may be hit hard if banks and other financial companies struggle.
Weak Recent Performance
The ETF has shown negative returns so far this year and over the past month, signaling recent performance has been soft.
Top Holdings Under Pressure
Several of the largest positions have been lagging this year, which can drag on the overall fund’s results.

VFH vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VFH Summary

Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) is a fund that tracks the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Financials Index, focusing on U.S. financial companies like banks, insurers, and payment firms. It holds well-known names such as JPMorgan Chase and Berkshire Hathaway, along with card giants like Visa and Mastercard. Someone might invest in VFH to get broad, low-cost exposure to the financial sector in a single investment, aiming for long-term growth and income from many companies at once. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to financial stocks, which can rise or fall sharply with interest rates and the overall economy.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) has an expense ratio of 0.09%, meaning you’ll pay $0.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs low for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) could benefit from rising interest rates, as they often increase profitability for banks and financial institutions, which make up the majority of its holdings. Additionally, economic growth and technological advancements in financial services could drive sector expansion. However, potential risks include economic downturns, stricter regulations on financial institutions, or instability in the U.S. market, which is the ETF's primary geographic focus.

VFH Top 10 Holdings

VFH is a pure U.S. financials play, and its story right now is a tug-of-war between big banks and payment giants. JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo have been losing a bit of steam this year, keeping a lid on returns even as their earnings remain solid. On the brighter side, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are doing more of the heavy lifting, with rising share prices and upbeat outlooks. Meanwhile, card networks like Visa and Mastercard are lagging, so the fund’s heavy tilt toward large financial names cuts both ways.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
JPMorgan Chase9.74%$1.46B$832.71B14.44%
72
Outperform
Berkshire Hathaway B7.62%$1.15B$1.04T2.53%
66
Neutral
Mastercard5.35%$804.14M$483.97B-3.00%
75
Outperform
Bank of America4.25%$639.53M$388.49B14.90%
72
Outperform
Visa4.19%$630.24M$615.41B-5.84%
70
Outperform
Wells Fargo3.28%$493.37M$279.85B14.84%
80
Outperform
Goldman Sachs Group2.93%$439.72M$280.56B46.07%
73
Outperform
Citigroup2.36%$354.98M$207.04B42.10%
68
Neutral
Morgan Stanley2.34%$351.23M$290.53B32.05%
76
Outperform
American Express2.26%$340.34M$242.59B10.94%
80
Outperform

VFH Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
131.77
Negative
100DMA
130.30
Positive
200DMA
126.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.67
Positive
RSI
44.62
Neutral
STOCH
29.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VFH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 133.07, equal to the 50-day MA of 131.77, and equal to the 200-day MA of 126.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VFH.

VFH Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$13.30B0.09%
$115.79B0.09%
$94.90B0.08%
$55.71B0.08%
$41.19B0.08%
$34.70B0.13%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VFH
Vanguard Financials ETF
130.89
7.77
6.31%
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
XLK
Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLF
Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLV
Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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