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Visa Inc. (V)
NYSE:V

Visa (V) AI Stock Analysis

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V

Visa

(NYSE:V)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$374.00
▲(24.34% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (excellent margins and cash generation) and a positive, steady outlook from the latest earnings call. These strengths are tempered by weaker technical momentum (below key longer-term moving averages with negative MACD) and a relatively rich valuation (high P/E and low yield), with corporate events modestly positive but adding some incremental leverage.
Positive Factors
High profitability and cash generation
Consistent high free cash flow, roughly mid-90% of net income, gives Visa durable internal funding for technology investment, fraud and security capabilities, and large capital returns. This strong cash conversion supports buybacks/dividends and cushions the business versus cyclical slowdowns over months.
Negative Factors
Moderating growth and margin drift
Although revenue and net income remain positive, growth appears to be decelerating and recent margin erosion versus 2024 signals less operating leverage. Over 2–6 months this could mean slower EPS upside and tighter reinvestment capacity if mix shifts or macro headwinds persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability and cash generation
Consistent high free cash flow, roughly mid-90% of net income, gives Visa durable internal funding for technology investment, fraud and security capabilities, and large capital returns. This strong cash conversion supports buybacks/dividends and cushions the business versus cyclical slowdowns over months.
Read all positive factors

Visa (V) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Visa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Visa Inc. operates as a payments technology company worldwide. The company facilitates digital payments among consumers, merchants, financial institutions, businesses, strategic partners, and government entities. It operates VisaNet, a transaction...
How the Company Makes Money
Visa primarily generates revenue through its transaction processing fees, which are charged to financial institutions for every transaction processed on its network. The company earns interchange fees from merchants, which are a percentage of the ...

Visa Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Transactions
Transactions
Monitors the number of transactions processed, highlighting the company's operational scale and its ability to capture consumer spending trends.
Chart InsightsVisa's transactions have shown a consistent upward trend, with notable growth in both payments and processed transactions. The recent earnings call highlights a 10% year-over-year increase in processed transactions, driven by strong U.S. and international volumes. Despite challenges like currency volatility and higher operating expenses, Visa's focus on innovation, including advancements in AI and digital payments, is enhancing its market position. The growth in value-added services and Visa Direct transactions underscores the company's strategic expansion and resilience in a competitive landscape.
Data provided by:The Fly

Visa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum — double‑digit revenue and EPS growth, robust payments volume and transaction expansion, outsized growth in value‑added services and commercial solutions, and rapid adoption of tokens and new credential capabilities. Management acknowledged headwinds from unusually low FX volatility, higher marketing/expense timing tied to major events, incentive timing and some client-driven volume shifts, but indicated these are manageable and largely offset by product and service strength. Guidance was maintained (full-year low double-digit net revenue growth) and tax rate guidance improved, supporting an overall positive outlook.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Net revenue rose 15% year over year to $10.9 billion, driven by broad-based demand across products and regions.
Negative Updates
Lower-Than-Expected Currency Volatility
FX volatility was much lower than expected in Q1, creating a drag on international transaction revenue and expected to be a larger headwind for the rest of the year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Net revenue rose 15% year over year to $10.9 billion, driven by broad-based demand across products and regions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Visa said it is not changing its full‑year outlook: adjusted and nominal net revenue growth still expected in the low double digits, adjusted operating expense growth in the low double digits, full‑year non‑operating expense now ~$101–$125 million, and a full‑year tax rate of 18.0–18.5% (long‑term 19–20%), implying adjusted EPS growth in the low double digits (slightly higher in the range versus prior). For Q2, the company expects adjusted net revenue growth in the low double digits (a step down from Q1 due to lower pricing contribution, lower volatility, and higher incentive growth), adjusted operating expense growth in the mid‑teens (about 1 point above Q1), non‑operating expense of about $30 million, a Q2 tax rate around 16.5%, and adjusted Q2 EPS growth in the high end of the low‑double‑digit range. Key assumptions driving guidance: macro remains stable, pricing benefits are back‑loaded (majority in back half), incentives to step up into Q2 with Q3 having the highest year‑over‑year incentive growth, and currency/FX volatility assumed to stay at current low levels (creating a larger drag later in the year).

Visa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very strong profitability and margins with steady revenue and net income expansion, supported by consistently high free-cash-flow conversion. Offsets include moderating growth, some margin softening versus 2024, and leverage/coverage that is solid but not exceptionally conservative (operating cash flow covers only about two-thirds of total debt).
Income Statement
93
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.39B40.00B35.93B32.65B29.31B24.11B
Gross Profit33.56B32.15B28.88B26.09B23.58B19.14B
EBITDA26.59B26.00B25.59B22.62B19.54B17.38B
Net Income20.79B20.06B19.74B17.27B14.96B12.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets96.81B99.63B94.51B90.50B85.50B82.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.40B21.99B15.18B20.13B18.52B18.51B
Total Debt21.18B25.17B20.84B20.46B22.45B20.98B
Total Liabilities58.04B61.72B55.37B51.77B49.92B45.31B
Stockholders Equity38.78B37.91B39.14B38.73B35.58B37.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.93B21.58B18.69B19.70B17.88B14.52B
Operating Cash Flow24.44B23.06B19.95B20.75B18.85B15.23B
Investing Cash Flow279.00M708.00M-1.93B-2.01B-4.29B-152.00M
Financing Cash Flow-22.47B-18.96B-20.63B-17.77B-12.70B-14.41B

Visa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price300.80
Price Trends
50DMA
315.20
Negative
100DMA
326.33
Negative
200DMA
335.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.45
Negative
RSI
44.91
Neutral
STOCH
47.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For V, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 300.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 304.53, below the 50-day MA of 315.20, and below the 200-day MA of 335.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for V.

Visa Risk Analysis

Visa disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Visa reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Visa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$578.15B28.6654.22%0.69%11.34%2.76%
74
Outperform
$447.24B31.53198.42%0.54%15.67%18.22%
68
Neutral
$209.92B23.7333.49%0.84%8.14%9.55%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$24.07B8.4121.09%1.34%-6.38%19.65%
66
Neutral
$41.87B10.7025.87%4.50%19.71%
57
Neutral
$114.57B53.422.44%1.05%19.39%-77.61%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
V
Visa
303.33
-2.65
-0.87%
AXP
American Express
305.73
76.74
33.51%
COF
Capital One Financial
184.21
32.76
21.63%
MA
Mastercard
501.50
24.34
5.10%
SYF
Synchrony Financial
69.26
26.22
60.90%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings
45.48
-11.62
-20.36%

Visa Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Visa Plans Successive Exchange Offer Amid Litigation Developments
Positive
Feb 13, 2026
On February 13, 2026, Visa Inc. said its board has authorized the company to proceed with a successive exchange offer for its Class B common stock once specified litigation-related conditions are satisfied. The move follows the initial exchange of...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Visa Raises $3 Billion via Multi-Tranche Senior Notes
Positive
Feb 12, 2026
On February 3, 2026, Visa Inc. announced a multi-tranche senior notes offering totaling $3 billion, comprising unsecured notes maturing between 2029 and 2036 with coupons ranging from 3.800% to 4.700%. The notes, issued on February 12, 2026 under ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Visa posts strong Q1 results and raises dividend
Positive
Jan 29, 2026
On January 27, 2026, Visa’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.670 per share of class A common stock, payable on March 2, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 10, 2026, underscoring the company’s continued capital ...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Visa shareholders approve charter changes and board slate
Neutral
Jan 28, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on January 27, 2026, Visa Inc. shareholders approved amendments to the company’s certificate of incorporation to limit officer liability as permitted under Delaware law, and Visa subsequently filed ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Visa Updates Class B Conversion Rates After Escrow Deposit
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025
On December 30, 2025, Visa Inc. reported new conversion rates for its class B-1 and B-2 common stock, following a $500 million deposit made on December 23, 2025 into its U.S. litigation escrow account under the company’s U.S. retrospective r...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Visa boosts litigation escrow, impacting class B share conversion
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025
On December 23, 2025, Visa Inc. authorized a $500 million deposit into its U.S. litigation escrow account established under its U.S. retrospective responsibility plan, a mechanism designed to address certain legal liabilities. Under the plan&#8217...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026