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Visa Inc (V)
NYSE:V

Visa (V) AI Stock Analysis

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V

Visa

(NYSE:V)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$360.00
▲(4.53% Upside)
Visa's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust growth and innovation initiatives position it well for future success. However, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the high valuation may deter value-focused investors.
Positive Factors
Network Expansion
Expanding the network to 12 billion endpoints enhances Visa's global reach and transaction capabilities, solidifying its market position.
Innovation in Payment Technologies
Visa's focus on innovation, exemplified by Visa Direct's growth, strengthens its competitive edge and supports long-term revenue growth.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships like OwlPay Cash expand Visa's service offerings and market reach, enhancing its revenue streams and competitive position.
Negative Factors
Operating Expenses Increase
Rising operating expenses can pressure margins and reduce profitability, potentially impacting Visa's financial flexibility and growth.
Latin America Volume Deceleration
Deceleration in Latin America could signal challenges in maintaining growth in emerging markets, affecting Visa's global revenue potential.
Litigation Settlement Impact
The settlement may alter fee structures, impacting Visa's revenue model and requiring strategic adjustments to maintain profitability.

Visa (V) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Visa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVisa Inc. operates as a payments technology company worldwide. The company facilitates digital payments among consumers, merchants, financial institutions, businesses, strategic partners, and government entities. It operates VisaNet, a transaction processing network that enables authorization, clearing, and settlement of payment transactions. In addition, the company offers card products, platforms, and value-added services. It provides its services under the Visa, Visa Electron, Interlink, VPAY, and PLUS brands. Visa Inc. has a strategic agreement with Ooredoo to provide an enhanced payment experience for Visa cardholders and Ooredoo customers in Qatar. Visa Inc. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyVisa primarily generates revenue through its transaction processing fees, which are charged to financial institutions for every transaction processed on its network. The company earns interchange fees from merchants, which are a percentage of the transaction value, and a portion of this is shared with issuing banks. Additionally, Visa charges assessment fees based on the volume of transactions processed by each bank. Significant partnerships with financial institutions, fintech companies, and technology providers enhance Visa's service offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Visa Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Transactions
Transactions
Measures the volume of transactions processed, indicating the scale of Visa's network and its ability to generate fee-based revenue.
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Visa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Visa's earnings call for the fiscal third quarter of 2025 highlighted strong financial performance with record net revenue and EPS growth. Key business drivers and value-added services showed significant growth, and Visa Direct continued to expand. However, there were challenges related to currency volatility, U.S. inbound travel, and higher operating expenses. Overall, the positive aspects of the call outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Revenue Growth
Visa reached a record $10.2 billion in quarterly net revenue, up 14% year-over-year, driven by lower incentives, a lower FX headwind, and higher value-added services revenue.
Strong EPS Growth
EPS was up 23% year-over-year, driven by strong net revenue growth.
Growth in Key Business Drivers
Overall payments volume grew 8% year-over-year in constant dollars, with U.S. payment volume up 7% and international payments volume up 10%.
Cross-Border Volume Increase
Cross-border volume, excluding intra-Europe, rose 11% in constant dollars.
Value-Added Services Success
Value-added services revenue grew 26% year-over-year in constant dollars, driven by strength across all portfolios and pricing.
Visa Direct Transaction Growth
Visa Direct transactions grew 25% year-over-year, reaching 3.3 billion transactions, with strength in both domestic and cross-border P2P.
Innovative Product Developments
Visa's product developments in AI, stablecoins, and digital payments have shown progress, with partnerships and initiatives expanding globally.
Negative Updates
Currency Volatility Impact
The quarter experienced higher currency volatility, which affected international transaction revenue, despite being partially offset by hedging.
Challenges in U.S. Inbound Travel
U.S. inbound travel, particularly from Canada, was impacted by currency weakness, affecting the overall yield dynamic.
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses grew 13% year-over-year, higher than expected, primarily due to a lower-than-expected FX benefit and higher personnel expenses.
Company Guidance
During Visa's Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance with net revenue reaching $10.2 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase, and earnings per share (EPS) rising by 23%. Key drivers of this growth included an 8% increase in overall payments volume in constant dollars, with U.S. and international volumes growing by 7% and 10%, respectively. Cross-border volume, excluding intra-Europe, saw an 11% rise, while processed transactions were up by 10% year-over-year. Visa's commitment to innovation was highlighted by the expansion of its Visa-as-a-service stack and progress in areas like AI and stablecoins. The company also reported significant advancements in digital payment solutions, with a 7% increase in total credentials and over 50% of e-commerce transactions now tokenized globally. Additionally, Visa's value-added services revenue grew by 26% year-over-year, driven by strength across all portfolios, showcasing the company's strategic focus on enhancing its offerings and expanding its market presence.

Visa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Visa demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with moderate leverage. While there are minor fluctuations in growth rates, the overall trajectory remains positive, positioning Visa well for future growth and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Visa's income statement reflects strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years. The company maintains high margins, with a net profit margin of 50.15% in the latest year, indicating efficient cost management. Revenue growth has been steady, although slightly lower in the most recent year compared to previous periods. Overall, Visa demonstrates robust financial performance with solid revenue and profit growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Visa's balance sheet shows a healthy financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 in the latest year, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is strong, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on debt financing. Overall, Visa's balance sheet is stable, with a good balance between debt and equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Visa's cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capabilities, with a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 93.57%. Although there was a slight decline in free cash flow growth in the latest year, the operating cash flow remains robust, supporting the company's operational needs and shareholder returns. Overall, Visa's cash flow position is solid, with consistent cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.00B40.00B35.93B32.65B29.31B24.11B
Gross Profit32.15B32.15B28.88B26.09B23.58B19.14B
EBITDA26.00B26.00B25.59B22.62B19.54B17.38B
Net Income20.06B20.06B19.74B17.27B14.96B12.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.63B99.63B94.51B90.50B85.50B82.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.00B21.99B15.18B20.13B18.52B18.51B
Total Debt25.17B25.17B20.84B20.98B22.45B20.98B
Total Liabilities61.72B61.72B55.37B51.77B49.92B45.31B
Stockholders Equity37.91B37.91B39.14B38.73B35.58B37.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.58B21.58B18.69B19.70B17.88B14.52B
Operating Cash Flow23.06B23.06B19.95B20.75B18.85B15.23B
Investing Cash Flow708.00M708.00M-1.93B-2.01B-4.29B-152.00M
Financing Cash Flow-18.96B-18.96B-20.63B-17.77B-12.70B-14.41B

Visa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price344.41
Price Trends
50DMA
337.45
Positive
100DMA
340.16
Positive
200DMA
343.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.31
Negative
RSI
60.34
Neutral
STOCH
82.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For V, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 344.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 333.24, above the 50-day MA of 337.45, and above the 200-day MA of 343.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for V.

Visa Risk Analysis

Visa disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Visa reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Visa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$262.28B25.5733.70%0.84%8.14%9.55%
76
Outperform
$57.38B12.3024.36%4.50%19.71%
75
Outperform
$508.28B36.20185.74%0.54%15.67%18.22%
72
Outperform
$30.03B9.1121.64%1.38%-6.38%19.65%
71
Outperform
$153.60B102.471.53%1.09%19.39%-77.61%
70
Outperform
$659.93B34.1851.54%0.71%11.34%2.76%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
V
Visa
344.41
31.75
10.15%
AXP
American Express
375.61
85.65
29.54%
COF
Capital One Financial
239.50
65.39
37.56%
MA
Mastercard
565.47
45.18
8.68%
SYF
Synchrony Financial
83.23
20.08
31.80%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings
60.18
-26.40
-30.49%

Visa Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Visa Reaches Settlement in Interchange Fee Litigation
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Visa Inc. reached a proposed settlement in a long-standing multi-district litigation concerning payment card interchange fees and merchant discounts. The settlement, which involves Mastercard and other defendants, aims to provide U.S. merchants with more flexibility in accepting payments, including options for credit surcharging and choosing which types of credit cards to accept. Additionally, the settlement includes a reduction in interchange rates and introduces a merchant education program. This agreement, pending court approval, is expected to impact Visa’s operations by potentially altering its fee structures and enhancing merchant relations.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Visa Reports Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Visa announced its fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, highlighting a strong performance with a 12% increase in net revenue for the quarter and an 11% increase for the full year. The company reported a GAAP net income of $5.1 billion for the quarter and $20.1 billion for the year, with significant growth in payments volume, cross-border volume, and processed transactions. Visa’s board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.670 per share, reflecting a 14% increase, and the company continued to invest in its Visa as a Service stack to maintain its leadership in the evolving payments ecosystem.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Visa Appoints Bill Ready to Board of Directors
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Visa Inc. announced the election of Bill Ready to its board of directors, expanding the board from 11 to 12 members. Bill Ready, currently the CEO of Pinterest and a former leader in the payments industry with roles at Google, PayPal, and Braintree, brings a wealth of experience in digital payments and strategic guidance to Visa. His appointment is expected to enhance Visa’s strategic decision-making in the competitive global payments landscape.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Visa Adjusts Conversion Rates Amid $500M Escrow Deposit
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Visa Inc. announced adjustments to the conversion rates of its class B-1 and B-2 common stock following a $500 million deposit into its U.S. litigation escrow account. The conversion rate changes, effective September 25, 2025, resulted in a reduction of the as-converted share count for both classes, impacting earnings per share similarly to a stock repurchase.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Visa Authorizes $500 Million for Litigation Escrow
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Visa Inc. authorized a $500 million deposit into its U.S. litigation escrow account as part of its retrospective responsibility plan. This action will result in the dilution of the company’s class B-1 and B-2 common stock, impacting earnings per share similarly to a stock repurchase, and will be executed in line with the company’s certificate of incorporation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025