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Visa Inc (V)
NYSE:V

Visa (V) AI Stock Analysis

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V

Visa

(NYSE:V)

Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
Visa's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance with growth in revenue and profitability, robust financial health, and effective cash flow management. Technical indicators show upward momentum, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overvalued, but positive earnings call guidance and strategic financial moves, such as the issuance of senior notes, support continued growth. Visa's strong market position and innovation in payment services contribute significantly to its solid score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Visa’s FY2Q25 adj. net income rose 6% y/y to USD5.4bn or USD2.76 per share exceeding analyst expectations of USD2.68 per share.
Market Position
Visa has performed well year-to-date compared to the S&P 500, supporting its position as a top FinTech idea.
Product Innovation
Visa's stepped-up product and innovation cadence is important in an era focused on price-to-value and componentized value-add services, while driving core network growth.
Negative Factors
Cross-Border Challenges
Cross-border normalization has shifted to weakening growth, with a guidance indicating a rate below previous expectations.
Growth Concerns
Underlying transaction and volume were softer than expected, raising concerns about the durability of topline growth for Visa.
Regulatory Risks
Operating in an oligopoly, Visa’s dominance and its network fees have been under regulatory scrutiny. Any change in laws that affect payment networks such as Visa could potentially lead to significant losses in earnings.

Visa (V) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Visa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVisa Inc. operates as a payments technology company worldwide. The company facilitates digital payments among consumers, merchants, financial institutions, businesses, strategic partners, and government entities. It operates VisaNet, a transaction processing network that enables authorization, clearing, and settlement of payment transactions. In addition, the company offers card products, platforms, and value-added services. It provides its services under the Visa, Visa Electron, Interlink, VPAY, and PLUS brands. Visa Inc. has a strategic agreement with Ooredoo to provide an enhanced payment experience for Visa cardholders and Ooredoo customers in Qatar. Visa Inc. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyVisa Inc. makes money primarily through the collection of fees from financial institutions based on the payment volume of transactions processed through its network. Its revenue model includes service revenues, data processing revenues, and international transaction revenues. Service revenues are earned from financial institutions for the use of Visa's payment network to authorize and settle transactions. Data processing revenues are generated from processing transactions and providing related services. International transaction revenues are derived from cross-border transaction fees and currency conversion fees. Additionally, Visa also earns from licensing its brand and technology to card-issuing financial institutions and acquiring banks. Strategic partnerships with technology companies and financial institutions further enhance its earnings and market reach.

Visa Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Transactions
Transactions
Monitors the volume of transactions processed, indicating Visa's market reach, network reliability, and potential for revenue growth.
Chart InsightsVisa's transactions have shown consistent growth, with a notable increase in both payments and processed transactions over recent years. The latest earnings call underscores this trend, highlighting an 11% year-over-year increase in processed transactions and robust growth in digital payments. Visa Direct's expansion, with nearly 3 billion transactions this quarter, further supports this momentum. Despite challenges in the Asia-Pacific region and currency impacts, Visa's strategic focus on digital channels and international partnerships is driving sustained growth and enhancing its market position.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Visa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Visa exhibits outstanding financial health across all verticals. The income statement highlights impressive growth and profitability, the balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with manageable leverage, and cash flow metrics indicate strong cash generation and management. Visa's financial performance is characterized by robust growth, high profitability, and effective cash flow management, making it a well-rounded and financially resilient company in the credit services industry.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Visa has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with a 14.27% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a subsequent rise to a TTM total of $37.62 billion. The company's gross profit margin is strong at 79.71%, indicating excellent operational efficiency. Net profit margin remains impressive at 52.85%, reflecting effective cost control. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also high at 63.67% and 66.88%, respectively, underscoring substantial profitability. Overall, Visa shows a solid growth trajectory with exceptional profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Visa maintains a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 40.95%, suggesting a healthy proportion of assets financed by equity. The return on equity (ROE) is robust at 52.3%, highlighting high profitability relative to shareholder investment. While leverage is manageable, continued monitoring is essential to ensure balance sheet stability.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Visa's cash flow performance is strong, with a free cash flow of $20.51 billion in TTM, showing consistent generation of cash. The free cash flow growth rate from 2023 to TTM is notable at 8.22%, reflecting effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is a solid 1.10, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 1.03. Visa demonstrates a strong ability to generate and manage cash flows effectively.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
37.62B35.93B32.65B29.31B24.11B21.85B
Gross Profit
30.13B28.88B26.09B23.58B19.14B17.33B
EBIT
23.96B23.59B21.00B18.81B15.80B14.08B
EBITDA
25.84B25.59B22.62B19.54B17.38B15.07B
Net Income Common Stockholders
19.89B19.74B17.27B14.96B12.31B10.87B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
13.75B15.18B20.13B18.52B18.51B20.04B
Total Assets
92.85B94.51B90.50B85.50B82.90B80.92B
Total Debt
20.76B20.84B20.46B22.45B20.98B24.07B
Net Debt
9.03B8.86B4.18B6.76B4.49B7.78B
Total Liabilities
54.82B55.37B51.77B49.92B45.31B44.71B
Stockholders Equity
38.03B39.14B38.73B35.58B37.59B36.21B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
20.51B18.69B19.70B17.88B14.52B9.70B
Operating Cash Flow
21.89B19.95B20.75B18.85B15.23B10.44B
Investing Cash Flow
1.80B-1.93B-2.01B-4.29B-152.00M1.43B
Financing Cash Flow
-23.52B-20.63B-17.77B-12.70B-14.41B-3.97B

Visa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price353.54
Price Trends
50DMA
341.58
Positive
100DMA
338.78
Positive
200DMA
313.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.98
Positive
RSI
53.28
Neutral
STOCH
29.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For V, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 353.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 352.93, above the 50-day MA of 341.58, and above the 200-day MA of 313.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for V.

Visa Risk Analysis

Visa disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Visa reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Visa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VV
82
Outperform
$685.57B35.9650.03%0.63%10.19%12.45%
DFDFS
78
Outperform
$50.34B10.6928.29%1.40%9.42%128.55%
MAMA
77
Outperform
$511.76B39.53188.92%0.50%12.94%13.22%
AXAXP
76
Outperform
$199.82B19.9234.02%1.02%8.45%17.89%
76
Outperform
$67.93B15.6722.20%4.50%12.82%
COCOF
73
Outperform
$118.48B15.547.90%1.30%6.69%-6.76%
64
Neutral
$12.64B9.787.67%17015.08%12.23%-6.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
V
Visa
353.54
84.52
31.42%
AXP
American Express
285.22
50.62
21.58%
COF
Capital One Financial
185.08
50.34
37.36%
DFS
Discover Financial Services
200.05
79.78
66.33%
MA
Mastercard
563.58
121.10
27.37%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings
69.85
7.68
12.35%

Visa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Visa's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, growth in cross-border transactions, and successful expansion in consumer payments and value-added services. However, challenges such as deceleration in travel growth, currency impacts, and increased client incentives were noted. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and innovation slightly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Visa reported $9.6 billion in net revenue, up 9% year-over-year, and EPS up 10%. Payments volume grew 8% year-over-year in constant dollars.
Growth in Cross-Border and Payments Volume
Cross-border volume, excluding Intra-Europe, rose 13% in constant dollars, and process transactions grew 9% year-over-year.
Expansion in Consumer Payments
Total credentials grew 7%, and nearly 50% of e-commerce transactions globally are tokenized. Tap to Pay penetration reached 76% globally.
Commercial and Money Movement Solutions Growth
Commercial volume up 6% in constant dollars, Visa Direct transactions up 28%, and CMS revenue up 13% year-over-year in constant dollars.
Value-Added Services Revenue Surge
Value-added services revenue grew 22% in constant dollars, powered by strong growth across all portfolios.
New Product Developments
Visa launched new products like Tap to P2P, and expanded its stablecoin settlement program, surpassing $200 million in cumulative volume.
Share Repurchase Program
Visa's Board of Directors authorized a new $30 billion multiyear share repurchase program.
Negative Updates
Deceleration in Travel and Entertainment Growth
Travel and entertainment growth decelerated in the US, with some selective areas like airlines and lodging showing slower growth.
Canada to US Travel Slowdown
There was a meaningful slowdown in the Canada to US travel corridor, impacting cross-border volumes.
Impact of Currency Weakness
Weaker currencies in certain countries affected cross-border volume growth, particularly impacting travel to specific countries.
Higher Client Incentives
Client incentives grew 15%, with expectations of further growth in the back half of the year due to client performance adjustments and deal timing.
Company Guidance
During Visa's fiscal second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance, reflecting strong financial performance amidst a dynamic environment. Visa reported a 9% year-over-year increase in net revenue to $9.6 billion, with EPS rising 10%. Key metrics highlighted include an 8% growth in overall payments volume in constant dollars, 6% growth in US payments volume, 9% growth in international payments volume, and a 13% rise in cross-border volume excluding Intra-Europe. The company also noted a 9% increase in process transactions. Visa continues to innovate and expand its reach, adding 1 billion tokens since the last quarter, totaling 13.7 billion tokens globally, and achieving a 76% global penetration in Tap to Pay transactions. The company remains focused on its strategy across consumer payments, commercial and money movement solutions, and value-added services, with value-added services revenue growing 22% in constant dollars. Visa's guidance suggests continued strong performance, with expectations for third-quarter adjusted net revenue growth in the low-double-digits and adjusted EPS growth in the high-teens.

Visa Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Visa Issues €3.5 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
May 15, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Visa Inc. announced the offering of €3.5 billion in senior notes with varying maturity dates from 2028 to 2044. These unsecured notes, issued on May 15, 2025, are part of Visa’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and provide flexibility in capital management, potentially impacting stakeholders by enhancing the company’s ability to invest in growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (V) stock is a Buy with a $325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Visa stock, see the V Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.