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Synchrony Financial (SYF)
NYSE:SYF

Synchrony Financial (SYF) AI Stock Analysis

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Synchrony Financial

(NYSE:SYF)

71Outperform
Synchrony Financial stands out with a strong financial performance and attractive valuation, despite high debt levels and mixed earnings call insights. While technical indicators suggest caution due to potential short-term volatility, the stock remains a solid choice for those focusing on long-term value and income through dividends.
Positive Factors
Credit Performance
Management's commentary was viewed positively, particularly due to lower-than-estimated charge-offs and the expectation of accelerating growth in the second half of the year.
Earnings
The company reported earnings per share significantly above expectations.
Shareholder Returns
A healthy $2.5 billion share buyback has been announced, along with a 20% dividend hike.
Negative Factors
Loan Growth
Loan growth has slowed, similar to direct peers.
Macroeconomic Concerns
A key risk for Synchrony Financial is macroeconomic uncertainty or an increase in unemployment.
Purchase Volume
Purchase volumes were slightly lower than expected, and net interest margin missed forecasts due to excess liquidity.

Synchrony Financial (SYF) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Synchrony Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSynchrony Financial, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer financial services company in the United States. It provides credit products, such as credit cards, commercial credit products, and consumer installment loans. The company also offers private label credit cards, dual cards, co-brand and general purpose credit cards, short- and long-term installment loans, and consumer banking products; and deposit products, including certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts to retail and commercial customers, as well as accepts deposits through third-party securities brokerage firms. In addition, it provides debt cancellation products to its credit card customers through online, mobile, and direct mail; healthcare payments and financing solutions under the CareCredit, Pets Best, and Walgreens brands; payments and financing solutions in the apparel, specialty retail, outdoor, music, and luxury industries; and point-of-sale consumer financing for audiology products and dental services. The company offers its credit products through programs established with a group of national and regional retailers, local merchants, manufacturers, buying groups, industry associations, and healthcare service providers; and deposit products through various channels, such as digital and print. It serves digital, health and wellness, retail, home, auto, powersports, jewelry, pets, and other industries. Synchrony Financial was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneySynchrony Financial primarily generates revenue through interest income earned from its credit products. The company's key revenue streams include interest on outstanding credit card balances, fees charged on credit card transactions, and merchant fees from retail partners. Synchrony's strategic partnerships with major retailers and service providers allow it to leverage their customer bases to drive credit card usage and increase transaction volumes. Additionally, the company benefits from cross-selling opportunities with its partners, enhancing its revenue through value-added services such as promotional financing and loyalty programs.

Synchrony Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Synchrony Financial shows a strong financial position with robust revenue growth and profitability. The company manages a healthy cash flow, though it faces high debt levels, which necessitate careful management to ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Synchrony Financial demonstrates strong gross profit margins and a consistent increase in total revenue, indicating healthy revenue growth. The net profit margin shows some volatility but remains robust, signaling profitability. However, the EBIT margin has shown slight fluctuations, reflecting operational costs that need monitoring.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderately high, reflecting a substantial reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. However, the return on equity is commendable, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure with sufficient equity backing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, supporting net income effectively, and the company maintains a healthy free cash flow. While free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, the overall cash flow position remains solid, providing flexibility for future investments and debt repayment.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.39B7.66B16.00B10.19B11.16B
Gross Profit
9.39B7.66B14.63B9.29B9.74B
EBIT
5.26B3.66B5.44B5.50B1.80B
EBITDA
0.000.004.89B6.36B2.84B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.50B2.24B3.02B4.22B1.39B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
17.79B18.06B15.17B13.62B18.99B
Total Assets
119.46B117.48B104.56B95.75B95.95B
Total Debt
15.46B15.98B14.19B14.51B15.78B
Net Debt
751.00M1.72B3.90B6.17B4.25B
Total Liabilities
102.88B103.58B91.69B82.09B83.25B
Stockholders Equity
16.58B13.90B12.87B13.65B12.70B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
9.85B8.59B6.69B7.10B7.49B
Operating Cash Flow
9.85B8.59B6.69B7.10B7.49B
Investing Cash Flow
-8.90B-14.23B-10.23B-4.81B-498.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-611.00M9.63B5.28B-5.20B-8.03B

Synchrony Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price53.77
Price Trends
50DMA
51.93
Positive
100DMA
58.92
Negative
200DMA
56.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
57.94
Neutral
STOCH
80.11
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 53.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.05, above the 50-day MA of 51.93, and below the 200-day MA of 56.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SYF.

Synchrony Financial Risk Analysis

Synchrony Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Synchrony Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Synchrony Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DFDFS
78
Outperform
$47.34B10.1628.29%1.49%9.42%128.55%
SYSYF
71
Outperform
$20.33B7.4418.60%1.87%1.22%4.96%
IXIX
69
Neutral
$21.68B8.8110.07%3.23%0.31%34.40%
69
Neutral
$10.20B24.403.84%3.69%-2.90%-43.64%
OMOMF
68
Neutral
$5.76B10.3617.46%8.60%9.07%
68
Neutral
$14.06B30.277.51%21.24%
64
Neutral
$12.51B9.817.92%16985.69%12.67%-5.98%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SYF
Synchrony Financial
53.77
9.03
20.18%
DFS
Discover Financial Services
189.16
67.84
55.92%
IX
Orix
20.00
-0.88
-4.21%
ALLY
Ally Financial
32.51
-6.08
-15.76%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
48.70
1.04
2.18%
SOFI
SoFi Technologies
13.01
5.96
84.54%

Synchrony Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed performance with strong financial metrics and successful partnership renewals on the positive side. However, there were declines in purchase volume and net revenue, influenced by economic uncertainty and previous credit actions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Synchrony delivered net earnings of $757 million or $1.89 per diluted share, a return on average assets of 2.5%, and a return on tangible common equity of 22.4% in the first quarter of 2025.
Purchase Volume
Synchrony generated $41 billion of purchase volume in Q1 2025. Dual and co-branded cards accounted for 45% of total purchase volume for the quarter and increased by 2%.
Partnership Renewals and Additions
Synchrony added or renewed more than 10 partners, including Texas A&M Veterinary Hospital, Ashley, Discount Tire, and American Eagle, strengthening its partner pipeline.
Recognition as a Top Workplace
Synchrony was named as the Number 2 Best Company to Work for in the U.S. by Fortune Magazine and Great Places to Work.
Negative Updates
Decline in Purchase Volume and Receivables
Purchase volume was down 4% year-over-year, and ending loan receivables decreased 2% to $100 billion in the first quarter.
Net Revenue Decrease
Net revenue decreased 23% to $3.7 billion, primarily reflecting the impact of the Pets Best gain on sale in the prior year.
Credit and Economic Challenges
Year-over-year trends in both active accounts and purchase volume were impacted by previous credit actions and continued moderation in customer spend due to economic uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During the Synchrony Financial First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance, including net earnings of $757 million, or $1.89 per diluted share. They achieved a return on average assets of 2.5% and a return on tangible common equity of 22.4%. Synchrony engaged with approximately 70 million customers and generated $41 billion in purchase volume. Dual and co-branded cards accounted for 45% of total purchase volume, which increased by 2%. Despite a 2% year-over-year decline in ending receivables, the payment rate remained flat compared to last year, with a sequential increase of 10 basis points. The company continued to monitor customer behavior closely, noting that customers are managing their spending amidst economic uncertainties. Synchrony added or renewed more than ten partners, including Ashley, Discount Tire, and American Eagle, and highlighted the success of the CareCredit dual card and a new co-brand program with Sun Country Airlines. The company's commitment to innovation and flexible financing was emphasized, and it was noted that Synchrony was named the Number 2 Best Company to Work for in the U.S. by Fortune Magazine.

Synchrony Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Releases March 2025 Charge-Off Data
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Synchrony Financial has released its monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for the thirteen months ending March 31, 2025. The company plans to continue providing these statistics on a monthly basis, aligning the release of quarterly statistics with their financial results announcements. This initiative aims to enhance transparency in financial reporting and provide stakeholders with timely insights into the company’s financial health.

Spark’s Take on SYF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, SYF is a Outperform.

Synchrony Financial scores well due to strong financial performance and an attractive valuation. While technical indicators suggest some caution due to bearish trends, the company’s strategic growth and partnerships, coupled with a solid dividend yield, make it a compelling investment in the credit services sector.

To see Spark’s full report on SYF stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Releases January 2025 Charge-Off Data
Neutral
Feb 10, 2025

Synchrony Financial has released its monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for the thirteen months ending January 31, 2025. The company plans to continue providing these statistics each month, highlighting trends in its financial performance that could impact stakeholders and reflect its operational focus on maintaining transparency.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.