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Synchrony Financial (SYF)
NYSE:SYF
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Synchrony Financial (SYF) AI Stock Analysis

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SYF

Synchrony Financial

(NYSE:SYF)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(9.78% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
SYF scores well on valuation (low P/E) and improving operating momentum (positive technicals and an earnings call with confident EPS/NII guidance and large buyback authorization). The main constraints are credit-cycle sensitivity and mixed quality-of-growth signals—flat receivables, higher expenses, and weaker year-over-year free cash flow—plus modest liquidity/capital ratio declines.
Positive Factors
Co-brand/partner strength
A dominant co‑brand footprint and 20% YoY co‑brand volume growth reflect durable partner-led distribution and sticky card usage. Long-term, strong partner economics drive sustained interchange, higher purchase volume and deeper customer engagement that support revenue and portfolio scale.
Negative Factors
Credit-cost seasonality and peak risk
As a credit-originating lender that retains portfolio risk, cyclically elevated net charge-offs create persistent earnings volatility. Even with improvements, a mid-single-digit NCO profile can materially swing provisions, capital usage, and free cash flow during stressed consumer credit periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Co-brand/partner strength
A dominant co‑brand footprint and 20% YoY co‑brand volume growth reflect durable partner-led distribution and sticky card usage. Long-term, strong partner economics drive sustained interchange, higher purchase volume and deeper customer engagement that support revenue and portfolio scale.
Read all positive factors

Synchrony Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Interest Margin
Net Interest Margin
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Synchrony Financial (SYF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Synchrony Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Synchrony Financial, along with its various subsidiaries, functions as a leading provider of consumer financial services across the United States. The company offers a comprehensive range of credit products, encompassing diverse credit card option...
How the Company Makes Money
Synchrony primarily makes money by originating and servicing consumer credit it extends through its partner programs and direct channels. Its core earnings are driven by: (1) Net interest income: Synchrony earns interest and finance charges on rev...

Synchrony Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 21, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: record purchase volumes, strong co-brand performance, improving credit metrics (notably a 96-basis-point reduction in net charge-offs), margin expansion, solid profitability and meaningful shareholder returns. Offsetting items include flat year-over-year receivables, modest declines in liquidity and capital ratios, higher operating expenses and a seasonal expectation of Q2 net charge-off peaking. Management provided an optimistic outlook for mid-single-digit receivables growth by year-end, NII growth, and an EPS guide of $9.10–$9.50, signaling confidence in continued momentum despite near-term headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record First-Quarter Purchase Volume
Synchrony generated a record Q1 purchase volume of $43.0 billion, up 6% year-over-year, driven by multi-product engagement and higher spend per account across platforms.
Negative Updates
Ending Loan Receivables Flat
Ending loan receivables were flat year-over-year at $100.0 billion, with only a modest quarter-end increase of approximately $477 million, indicating slower receivables growth despite rising purchase volume.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record First-Quarter Purchase Volume
Synchrony generated a record Q1 purchase volume of $43.0 billion, up 6% year-over-year, driven by multi-product engagement and higher spend per account across platforms.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Synchrony expects mid‑single‑digit growth in ending loan receivables by year‑end (seasonally accelerating into the back half of 2026), driven by higher purchase volume and average active accounts and new program additions (including ~ $725M of Lowe’s commercial co‑brand receivables added in April); net interest income is expected to grow in 2026 as PPPCs build and funding costs decline (partially offset by lower late‑fee incidence); net charge‑offs are expected to be less than 5.5% for the full year with NCOs peaking in Q2; RSAs should increase but remain within the long‑term 4.0%–4.5% of average receivables (Q1 RSA was $1.1B, 4.31%); other expense growth is expected to trend in line with loan receivables; management reaffirmed no further broad‑based credit refinements and provided an EPS guide of $9.10–$9.50 while remaining positioned to return excess capital (new share buyback authorization up to $6.5B).

Synchrony Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid fundamentals overall: revenue returned to growth (+4.18% TTM), profitability remains strong (net margin ~18.1%, EBIT margin ~22.9%), and ROE is attractive (~21.4%). Offsetting this, cash flow momentum weakened (TTM FCF down ~17.3%) and leverage remains a meaningful cycle risk for credit services despite being improved versus 2022–2023.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.91B19.12B20.76B17.34B13.20B11.22B
Gross Profit12.16B9.76B9.39B7.66B8.30B9.47B
EBITDA5.08B5.13B5.03B3.36B4.38B5.89B
Net Income3.60B3.55B3.50B2.24B3.02B4.22B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets121.50B119.09B119.46B117.48B104.56B95.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.56B17.32B17.79B18.06B15.17B13.62B
Total Debt16.43B15.18B15.46B15.98B14.19B14.51B
Total Liabilities105.02B102.33B102.88B103.58B91.69B82.09B
Stockholders Equity16.48B16.77B16.58B13.90B12.87B13.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.83B9.85B9.85B8.59B6.69B7.10B
Operating Cash Flow9.83B9.85B9.85B8.59B6.69B7.10B
Investing Cash Flow-6.93B-4.85B-8.90B-14.23B-10.23B-4.81B
Financing Cash Flow-4.97B-4.74B-611.00M9.63B5.28B-5.20B

Synchrony Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price78.34
Price Trends
50DMA
73.57
Positive
100DMA
71.50
Positive
200DMA
73.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.48
Negative
RSI
67.13
Neutral
STOCH
85.38
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 78.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.26, above the 50-day MA of 73.57, and above the 200-day MA of 73.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.38 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SYF.

Synchrony Financial Risk Analysis

Synchrony Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Synchrony Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Synchrony Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$26.46B8.0621.41%1.34%-3.18%32.55%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$6.98B8.9523.62%6.07%7.80%42.28%
65
Neutral
$4.80B6.9731.16%1.88%1.73%28.93%
61
Neutral
$14.46B11.379.19%2.58%-0.72%198.95%
59
Neutral
$96.95M-0.320.54%10.37%-13.83%-154.13%
56
Neutral
$3.22B65.996.59%57.69%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SYF
Synchrony Financial
78.66
13.02
19.83%
SLM
SLM
25.45
-6.65
-20.72%
ALLY
Ally Financial
47.17
9.35
24.74%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
60.44
7.49
14.15%
YRD
Yiren Digital
1.11
-4.56
-80.44%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
33.66
-31.02
-47.96%

Synchrony Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Synchrony Financial Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
Synchrony Financial held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 24, 2026, where shareholders elected all nominated directors to the board for the coming year, underscoring continuity in the company’s governance. The meeting also saw...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Synchrony Financial Updates Monthly Credit Performance Disclosures
Positive
Jun 9, 2026
Synchrony Financial reported unaudited monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for its loan receivables for each of the thirteen months ended May 31, 2026, detailing period-end and average receivables, 30-plus day delinquency rates and net c...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Synchrony Financial Issues New Series C Preferred Stock
Positive
Jun 5, 2026
On June 5, 2026, Synchrony Financial issued and sold 500,000 depositary shares in a public offering, each representing a 1/100th interest in a share of its 7.250% Fixed Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series C. The preferred s...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Synchrony Financial Enhances Transparency With Monthly Credit Metrics
Positive
May 15, 2026
Synchrony Financial reported unaudited monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for its credit portfolio for each of the thirteen months ended April 30, 2026, showing period-end loan receivables hovering around $100 billion and 30-plus-day de...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Posts Monthly Credit Performance Metrics Update
Positive
Apr 21, 2026
Synchrony Financial has reported unaudited monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for its loan portfolio for the thirteen months ended March 31, 2026, providing detailed data on period-end and average loan receivables, delinquency rates, an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2026