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Synchrony Financial (SYF)
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Synchrony Financial (SYF) AI Stock Analysis

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SYF

Synchrony Financial

(NYSE:SYF)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$80.00
▲(14.83%Upside)
Synchrony Financial's strong technical performance and undervaluation relative to peers are major positives. While financial performance is robust, high debt levels and inconsistent cash flow growth are concerns. Strategic partnerships and initiatives highlight potential for future growth.
Positive Factors
Credit Performance
Credit discipline was highlighted by better credit metrics that are now better than pre-pandemic levels.
Net Interest Margin
Net interest margin was strong at 14.78%, exceeding consensus expectations.
Partnerships
Synchrony is expected to continue winning large merchant partnerships, such as the Buy Now Pay Later product with Amazon and the credit card partnership with Walmart.
Negative Factors
Asset Growth Forecast
SYF lowered its forecasted asset growth due to higher payment rates.
Guidance
Guidance was lowered primarily due to tighter underwriting, which will temper some of the bull case benefits.
Operating Expenses
OpEx was above consensus expectations, which, along with higher RSAs, drove PPNR below consensus estimates.

Synchrony Financial (SYF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Synchrony Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSynchrony Financial (SYF) is a premier consumer financial services company that offers a range of credit products, primarily through its retail credit card business. The company is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, and provides financial solutions to both consumers and businesses. Synchrony partners with retailers, healthcare providers, and manufacturers to offer private label credit cards, promotional financing, and installment lending. The company's core products and services include retail credit cards, consumer financing, and savings products.
How the Company Makes MoneySynchrony Financial makes money primarily through its retail credit card and promotional financing services. The company generates revenue from interest income on credit card loans and fees charged to merchants and cardholders. These fees include interchange fees, late fees, and annual fees. Synchrony also earns interest from its savings products, such as deposit accounts, which are part of its consumer banking operations. Key partnerships with major retailers and service providers enable Synchrony to expand its customer base and enhance its revenue streams. Additionally, the company leverages data analytics to optimize its credit offerings and manage risk, further contributing to its profitability.

Synchrony Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While Synchrony displayed strong financial performance, notable partnerships, and positive credit trends, it faced challenges with decreased purchase volumes, lower net revenue, and increased efficiency ratio. Moving forward, the company is optimistic about growth opportunities through new product launches and partnerships.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Synchrony delivered net earnings of $967 million or $2.50 per diluted share, with a return on average assets of 3.2% and a return on tangible common equity of 28.3%.
Partnership Additions and Renewals
Added or renewed more than 15 partners including Walmart and OnePay, and renewed the relationship with Amazon, launching new products with top partners.
Positive Credit Performance
Credit trends have outperformed industry expectations with a decrease in net charge-off rate to 5.7%, and delinquency rates have improved, underscoring better credit positioning.
Expansion in Co-Branded Cards
Co-branded cards accounted for 45% of purchase volume, increasing 5% compared to last year.
Innovative Product Launches
Launched Synchrony Pay Later at Amazon and rolled out the physical PayPal credit card, enhancing customer experience and flexibility.
Negative Updates
Decreased Purchase Volume
Generated $46 billion of purchase volume, marking a 2% decrease year-over-year due to credit actions and selective consumer spend behavior.
Decline in Loan Receivables
Ending loan receivables decreased 2% to $100 billion, impacted by lower purchase volume and a higher payment rate.
Lower Net Revenue
Net revenue decreased 2% to $3.6 billion, mainly due to higher RSAs driven by program performance.
Efficiency Ratio Increase
Efficiency ratio was 34.1%, approximately 240 basis points higher than last year due to increased expenses and higher RSAs.
Company Guidance
During the Synchrony Financial Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key financial metrics and guidance for the future. Synchrony reported strong financial performance with net earnings of $967 million, or $2.50 per diluted share. The return on average assets was 3.2%, and the return on tangible common equity stood at 28.3%. The company generated $46 billion in purchase volume, with dual and co-branded cards accounting for 45% of this volume and experiencing a 5% growth compared to the previous year. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Synchrony managed to maintain stable credit performance, with a 30-plus delinquency rate of 4.18% and a net charge-off rate of 5.7%. Looking forward, Synchrony expects ending loan receivables to remain flat for the full year 2025, with net interest margin projected to average 15.6% in the second half of the year. Additionally, Synchrony announced new partnerships and product launches, including a notable program with Walmart and OnePay, and an expansion of its relationship with Amazon through the introduction of Synchrony Pay Later. These initiatives, coupled with cautious credit management, are expected to drive sustainable growth and enhance shareholder value in the coming years.

Synchrony Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Synchrony Financial shows strong revenue growth and profitability, with a commendable return on equity. However, the balance sheet indicates a high level of debt which could be risky in volatile markets, and cash flow growth is inconsistent.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Synchrony Financial demonstrates strong gross profit margins and a consistent increase in total revenue, indicating healthy revenue growth. The net profit margin shows some volatility but remains robust, signaling profitability. However, the EBIT margin has shown slight fluctuations, reflecting operational costs that need monitoring.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderately high, reflecting a substantial reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. However, the return on equity is commendable, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure with sufficient equity backing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, supporting net income effectively, and the company maintains a healthy free cash flow. While free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, the overall cash flow position remains solid, providing flexibility for future investments and debt repayment.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.17B7.66B16.00B10.19B11.16B
Gross Profit12.80B7.66B14.63B9.29B9.74B
EBITDA9.67B4.12B4.89B6.36B2.84B
Net Income3.50B2.24B3.02B4.22B1.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets119.46B117.48B104.56B95.75B95.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.79B18.06B15.17B13.62B18.99B
Total Debt15.46B15.98B14.19B14.51B15.78B
Total Liabilities102.88B103.58B91.69B82.09B83.25B
Stockholders Equity16.58B13.90B12.87B13.65B12.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.85B8.59B6.69B7.10B7.49B
Operating Cash Flow9.85B8.59B6.69B7.10B7.49B
Investing Cash Flow-8.90B-14.23B-10.23B-4.81B-498.00M
Financing Cash Flow-611.00M9.63B5.28B-5.20B-8.03B

Synchrony Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price69.67
Price Trends
50DMA
64.93
Positive
100DMA
58.62
Positive
200DMA
60.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.71
Positive
RSI
53.70
Neutral
STOCH
39.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 69.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.55, above the 50-day MA of 64.93, and above the 200-day MA of 60.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SYF.

Synchrony Financial Risk Analysis

Synchrony Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Synchrony Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Note 3. Acquisitions and dispositions Q4, 2024
2.
Note 17. Segment reporting Q4, 2024
3.
Index to consolidated financial statements Q4, 2024

Synchrony Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.93B10.5420.47%7.21%9.41%13.98%
77
Outperform
$26.53B8.6620.23%1.51%-3.16%14.60%
69
Neutral
$24.25B11.138.65%2.88%0.31%34.40%
68
Neutral
$24.76B44.338.80%22.60%
68
Neutral
$11.83B28.304.18%3.15%-2.99%-43.64%
64
Neutral
€12.83B12.536.83%3.88%14.73%10.24%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SYF
Synchrony Financial
69.67
22.04
46.27%
IX
Orix
22.55
0.35
1.58%
ALLY
Ally Financial
37.85
-4.02
-9.60%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
57.79
13.01
29.05%
SOFI
SoFi
22.58
15.42
215.36%

Synchrony Financial Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Synchrony Financial Announces $1 Billion Senior Notes Sale
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Synchrony Financial announced an agreement to issue and sell $1 billion in senior notes, split equally between notes due in 2029 and 2036, as part of a public offering. This move is likely to impact the company’s financial strategy and market positioning by raising significant capital, potentially affecting stakeholders and the company’s competitive stance in the financial services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYF) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Synchrony Financial stock, see the SYF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Enhances Transparency with Monthly Updates
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

Synchrony Financial has released its monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for the thirteen months ending June 30, 2025. The company plans to continue providing these statistics monthly, aligning quarterly updates with financial results announcements. This initiative aims to enhance transparency for stakeholders by regularly disclosing financial health indicators, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYF) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Synchrony Financial stock, see the SYF Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Synchrony Financial Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Synchrony Financial held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where all directors named in the Proxy Statement were elected for the coming year. The stockholders also ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers in an advisory vote. These decisions reflect continued shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYF) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Synchrony Financial stock, see the SYF Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Releases May 2025 Charge-Off Data
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

Synchrony Financial has released its monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for the thirteen months ending May 31, 2025. The company plans to continue providing these statistics monthly, aligning quarterly figures with financial results announcements. This transparency in reporting could impact stakeholders by offering consistent insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYF) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Synchrony Financial stock, see the SYF Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Synchrony Financial Partners with OnePay for Walmart Credit Card
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Synchrony Financial announced a strategic partnership with OnePay to launch a new credit card program with Walmart, expected to go live in fall 2025. This program will allow Synchrony to become the exclusive issuer of OnePay credit cards at Walmart, integrating the credit card experience within the OnePay app and leveraging Mastercard’s global payments network. The initiative aims to enhance consumer experience by providing a transparent, rewarding, and easy-to-use financial service, expected to drive loyalty and sales with attractive risk-adjusted returns, contributing positively to Synchrony’s long-term financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYF) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Synchrony Financial stock, see the SYF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Releases April 2025 Charge-Off Data
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Synchrony Financial has released its monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for the thirteen months ending April 30, 2025. The company plans to continue providing these statistics monthly, aligning quarterly updates with financial results announcements. This initiative reflects Synchrony Financial’s commitment to transparency and could impact stakeholders by offering insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYF) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Synchrony Financial stock, see the SYF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025