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SoFi (SOFI)
NASDAQ:SOFI
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SoFi (SOFI) AI Stock Analysis

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SOFI

SoFi

(NASDAQ:SOFI)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(3.07% Upside)
SoFi Technologies demonstrates strong financial and operational growth, with significant improvements in revenue and profitability. However, high valuation and cash flow challenges present risks. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, but potential overbought conditions warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
SOFI's 2Q results came in well above both ours and Street expectations on both the top and bottom line, largely due to growth in the loan platform business which continues to accelerate as private credit demand remains rock solid.
Loan Origination
SoFi can sustain origination momentum after 64% second-quarter growth drove volume to $8.8 billion.
Revenue Growth
SoFi is enjoying excess demand across its product suite, and the addition of new offerings, like crypto, provides good visibility toward 20%+ 2026 revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Equity Raise Impact
The equity raise increased SOFI's share count by 7.4%.
Management Strategy
The equity raise was surprising, particularly after management reiterated its comfort in its capital levels being well above minimums.
Return on Equity
After use of proceeds, this will not have a material impact on EPS, but should dilute ROE by ~110 bps in 2027.

SoFi (SOFI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SoFi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoFi Technologies, Inc. is a leading digital personal finance company that operates within the financial technology sector. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in San Francisco, California, SoFi offers a comprehensive suite of financial products and services designed to help its members achieve financial independence. The company's core offerings include student loan refinancing, personal loans, home loans, credit cards, and a range of investment and insurance products. Additionally, SoFi provides a robust financial management platform that includes banking services, budgeting tools, and financial education resources, all aimed at helping individuals manage their finances more effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneySoFi Technologies generates revenue through multiple streams centered around its diverse financial services. A significant portion of its income is derived from interest income and fees associated with lending products, such as student loan refinancing, personal loans, and home loans. The company also earns money through transaction fees and commissions from its investing and trading platform, SoFi Invest, which offers brokerage services, robo-advisory, and cryptocurrency trading. Furthermore, SoFi makes money from its SoFi Money cash management account, which offers banking services without traditional fees, and through interchange fees from its credit card offerings. Additionally, partnerships with various financial institutions and insurance providers contribute to its earnings by allowing SoFi to offer a wider range of financial products and earn referral fees. The company's revenue model is bolstered by its focus on delivering a seamless digital experience, which helps it attract and retain a large and growing customer base.

SoFi Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Galileo Accounts
Galileo Accounts
Measures the number of accounts using Galileo's platform, reflecting the reach and adoption of SoFi's technology solutions in the financial sector.
Chart InsightsGalileo Accounts experienced a notable decline in Q1 2025, dropping by approximately 6% year-over-year to 158 million. This decrease contrasts with SoFi's overall strong financial performance, including record revenue and significant growth in other segments. The decline in tech platform accounts suggests potential challenges in maintaining user engagement or competition pressures, despite the company's broader success. Investors should monitor how SoFi addresses these challenges to sustain growth in its technology platform.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

SoFi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant growth in revenue, membership, and product offerings. SoFi's strategic focus on innovation, particularly in the Financial Services and Technology Platform segments, has yielded positive results. Although there were some challenges, such as higher student loan charge-offs and concerns over Tech Platform growth, the overall outlook remains optimistic.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Adjusted net revenue increased by 44% year-over-year to a record $858 million, marking the highest growth rate in over two years.
Record Membership and Product Growth
SoFi added a record 850,000 new members in Q2, increasing total members by 34% year-over-year to 11.7 million, and added a record 1.3 million new products, representing 34% year-over-year growth.
Financial Services and Technology Platform Revenue Surge
These segments generated $472 million of revenue, up 74% year-over-year, now representing 55% of total revenue.
Loan Platform Business Expansion
Loan originations reached a record of $8.8 billion, up 64% year-over-year, with the Loan Platform Business generating $131 million in adjusted net revenue, up 36% from the previous quarter.
Profitability and Strong Margins
Adjusted EBITDA was a record $249 million, up 81% year-over-year, with an EBITDA margin of 29% and net income of $97 million at a margin of 11%.
Innovations in Crypto and Blockchain
SoFi announced the launch of self-serve international money transfers and a return to crypto investing, leveraging blockchain technology for faster and lower-cost transactions.
AI Integration
AI applications are being implemented across the business, including a new Cash Coach feature to optimize member finances.
Negative Updates
Student Loan Charge-Offs
The annualized charge-off rate for student loans increased by 47 basis points to 94 basis points due to servicer changes and portfolio acquisitions.
Tech Platform Growth Concerns
While revenue grew 15% year-over-year, the Tech Platform segment faced questions about client migrations and future revenue contributions.
Interest Rate Impact on Home Loans
While home loan originations increased, the elevated rate environment poses challenges for refinancing and purchase demand.
Company Guidance
During the SoFi Technologies Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance, marked by a 44% year-over-year increase in adjusted net revenue, reaching a record $858 million. This growth was driven by a 34% increase in total members to 11.7 million and a similar 34% growth in total products to over 17 million. The Financial Services and Technology Platform segments generated $472 million in revenue, up 74% year-over-year, now comprising 55% of total revenue. The Lending segment also saw a 32% year-over-year increase in adjusted net revenue to $447 million, with total loan originations hitting a record $8.8 billion. The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $249 million, an 81% increase year-over-year, with a margin of 29%. Net income was reported at $97 million, yielding an 11% margin, and earnings per share were $0.08. SoFi also highlighted a strong tangible book value of $5.3 billion, a year-over-year increase of over $1 billion. The company raised its 2025 guidance, expecting adjusted net revenue of approximately $3.375 billion and adjusted EBITDA of around $960 million, reflecting a 28% margin.

SoFi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SoFi Technologies shows strong revenue growth with improving profitability, reflected by a positive net margin and a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio. However, challenges remain with negative cash flow, necessitating continued focus on cash management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SoFi Technologies shows strong revenue growth with a notable increase from $565.5M in 2020 to $3.77B in 2024, despite some fluctuations. The TTM revenue is slightly lower at $2.77B, indicating a short-term decline. The net profit margin has turned positive in the TTM with a margin of 17.4%, reflecting improved profitability from previous losses. The gross profit margin remains consistently high, showcasing efficient cost management.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate risk profile with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio from 1.66 in 2020 to 0.47 in the TTM, indicating improved financial leverage. The equity ratio remains stable, demonstrating a strong equity base. Return on equity has improved significantly to 7.2% in the TTM, showcasing better profitability management.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative operating cash flow, though significant improvement is seen from -$7.3B in 2023 to -$1.84B in the TTM. Free cash flow remains negative, but the company is making strides in reducing its cash burn rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating reliance on external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.89B3.70B2.90B1.76B1.09B751.14M
Gross Profit2.77B2.58B2.05B1.52B977.30M565.53M
EBITDA429.14M436.84M-99.74M-167.36M-379.61M-258.69M
Net Income481.74M498.67M-300.74M-320.41M-483.94M-224.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.75B36.25B30.07B19.01B9.18B8.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.24B4.34B3.59B1.46B689.62M872.58M
Total Debt3.14B3.20B5.36B5.63B4.19B5.06B
Total Liabilities31.07B29.73B24.52B13.48B4.48B5.51B
Stockholders Equity6.68B6.53B5.55B5.53B4.70B3.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.02B-1.27B-7.34B-7.36B-1.40B-503.88M
Operating Cash Flow-1.84B-1.12B-7.23B-7.26B-1.35B-479.34M
Investing Cash Flow-5.00B-4.82B-1.89B-106.33M110.19M258.95M
Financing Cash Flow5.40B5.03B10.89B8.44B684.99M853.75M

SoFi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.77
Price Trends
50DMA
19.29
Positive
100DMA
15.85
Positive
200DMA
15.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.10
Negative
RSI
67.69
Neutral
STOCH
76.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOFI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.07, above the 50-day MA of 19.29, and above the 200-day MA of 15.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SOFI.

SoFi Risk Analysis

SoFi disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SoFi reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SoFi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.06B20.9914.17%1.14%2.49%24.41%
73
Outperform
$6.81B10.3520.47%7.26%9.41%13.98%
73
Outperform
$26.60B8.6920.23%1.54%-3.16%14.60%
71
Outperform
$5.33B13.6927.30%12.63%149.03%
68
Neutral
$28.18B47.948.80%22.60%
68
Neutral
$17.52B11.6510.43%3.85%9.69%1.92%
52
Neutral
$11.96B25.244.18%3.09%-5.33%-32.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOFI
SoFi
23.77
16.31
218.63%
CACC
Credit Acceptance
474.74
7.24
1.55%
FCFS
FirstCash
136.52
18.40
15.58%
ALLY
Ally Financial
38.85
-2.52
-6.09%
SYF
Synchrony Financial
71.49
24.71
52.82%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
57.27
13.41
30.57%

SoFi Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
SoFi Completes Major Stock Offering with Goldman Sachs
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 29, 2025, SoFi Technologies, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Mizuho Securities for the issuance and sale of 82,733,817 shares of common stock at $20.85 per share. The offering was completed on July 31, 2025, and the company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including working capital and other business opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOFI) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SoFi stock, see the SOFI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
SoFi Technologies Announces $1.5 Billion Stock Offering
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 29, 2025, SoFi Technologies announced a public offering of $1.5 billion in common stock, with Goldman Sachs acting as the underwriter. The company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including working capital and business opportunities, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOFI) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SoFi Technologies stock, see the SOFI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SoFi Technologies Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 28, 2025, SoFi Technologies held its annual stockholders meeting where key proposals were voted on, including the election of ten board members, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. The outcomes of these votes reinforce the company’s governance structure and operational oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOFI) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SoFi Technologies stock, see the SOFI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025