tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Credit Acceptance Corp. (CACC)
NASDAQ:CACC

Credit Acceptance (CACC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
345 Followers

Top Page

CACC

Credit Acceptance

(NASDAQ:CACC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$518.00
▲(5.74% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/16/26
The score is primarily constrained by financial risk from a debt-heavy balance sheet and earnings volatility, despite strong cash generation. Technicals are moderately constructive and valuation looks reasonable at ~13x earnings. Recent commentary and KPIs indicate operational resilience but ongoing share and volume pressure, while recent ABS financing events modestly improve funding flexibility and costs.
Positive Factors
Operating cash generation
Consistent ~ $1.0–$1.24B operating cash flow and near-1x free cash flow to net income provide durable internal funding for loan purchases, ABS transactions, and capital returns. Strong cash conversion supports growth and loss absorption across credit cycles, improving strategic optionality.
Improving funding flexibility
Access to lower-cost, extended ABS facilities and recent $500M securitization materially reduce funding costs and refinancing pressure. Improved securitization execution preserves capacity to recycle capital into originations and lowers structural funding risk versus relying solely on on-balance debt.
Solid revenue and margin profile
Sustained revenue growth and very strong operating margins reflect favorable unit economics in subprime auto lending. High operating profitability creates a durable earnings base that can support investment in technology, dealer programs, and provisions, even if volumes fluctuate.
Negative Factors
High leverage / thin equity
A debt-heavy capital structure (debt ≈ $6.35B with equity ≈ $1.52B) materially increases sensitivity to funding stress or credit deterioration. High leverage constrains capital allocation, amplifies earnings volatility, and raises refinancing and covenant risks during adverse market or credit cycles.
Market share and dealer/volume pressure
Declining market share and shrinking dealer participation reduce origination scale and negotiating leverage with dealer partners. Persistent unit and dollar volume declines can erode revenue growth potential and weaken long-run customer acquisition economics if the distribution footprint fails to recover.
Rising initial provisions and vintage weakness
Higher per-unit initial provisions and measurable vintage underperformance indicate underwriting volatility and mix-driven loss pressure. Elevated provisions raise the break-even yield on new loans, require more capital to sustain growth, and compress long-term net returns if credit mixes persist.

Credit Acceptance (CACC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Credit Acceptance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCredit Acceptance Corporation provides financing programs, and related products and services to independent and franchised automobile dealers in the United States. The company advances money to dealers in exchange for the right to service the underlying consumer loans; and buys the consumer loans from the dealers and keeps various amounts collected from the consumers. It is also involved in the business of reinsuring coverage under vehicle service contracts sold to consumers by dealers on vehicles financed by the company. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Southfield, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyCredit Acceptance generates revenue primarily through the interest earned on the loans it provides to consumers. The company purchases retail installment contracts from dealerships, which include the principal amount financed plus interest. This interest is a significant source of income, as the company typically charges higher rates to subprime borrowers. Additionally, Credit Acceptance earns revenue from fees associated with the loan servicing and collection processes. The company also benefits from partnerships with a network of automobile dealerships, which help expand its customer base and increase loan origination volume. The ability to sell loans to investors in the secondary market further enhances its revenue potential, as it can recycle capital and fund new loans.

Credit Acceptance Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: management highlighted operational and financial resilience (adjusted EPS growth, nearly 72,000 contracts financed, $1.3B collected, portfolio up 1% adjusted, product/technology progress and narrowing of sequential declines), but also acknowledged meaningful challenges (market share deterioration from 5.4% to 4.5%, declines in active dealers and per-dealer volume, YoY loan volume declines, vintage underperformance, higher initial provisions and below-normal prepayments). Management emphasized conservative underwriting, product fixes targeted at franchise and large independent dealers, and disciplined capital allocation.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS Growth Despite Headwinds
Management reported growth in adjusted earnings per share for Q4 FY2025 even as loan performance and loan volumes declined (no explicit % provided).
Strong Contract Originations and Cash Collections
Financed nearly 72,000 contracts during the quarter and collected $1.3 billion in cash overall; paid $48 million in dealer holdback and accelerated dealer holdback.
Dealer Network Expansion
Enrolled over 1,200 new dealers in the quarter and maintained over 9,800 active dealers during the quarter (despite a slight YoY decline in active dealers).
Sequential Improvement in Volume Declines
Year-over-year declines narrowed sequentially: loan unit volume declined 9.1% (improved from a 16.5% decline last quarter) and loan dollar volume declined 11.3% (improved from a 19.4% decline last quarter).
Portfolio Size Positive on Adjusted Basis
Loan portfolio increased 1% year-over-year on an adjusted basis.
Narrowing of Forecast Cash Flow Decline
Change to forecast of future net cash flow improved sequentially with the rate of decline narrowing from a decrease of $58.6 million (0.5%) in Q3 to a decrease of $34.2 million (0.3%) in Q4.
Product and Technology Investments
Launched a new contract origination experience with RouteOne e-contracting integration, enhanced deal-structuring and F&I support for franchise and large independent dealers; investing in AI to improve servicing and customer service efficiency.
Workplace Recognition
Named one of America's Top 100 Most Loved Workplaces for the second consecutive year with a #6 ranking, supporting employee engagement and culture.
Negative Updates
Market Share Decline in Core Subprime Used-Vehicle Segment
Market share was 4.5% for the first two months of Q4, down from 5.4% in the same period of 2024 (a 0.9 percentage-point drop, ~16.7% relative decline), with most pressure in franchise and large independent dealers.
Active Dealer and Per-Dealer Volume Contraction
Number of active dealers declined 2.8% year-over-year and average unit volume per active dealer declined 6.4% year-over-year.
Persisting YoY Loan Volume Declines
Although improved sequentially, loan unit volume still declined 9.1% YoY and loan dollar volume declined 11.3% YoY.
Vintage Loan Performance Weakness
Loan performance measured by variances in forecasted collection rates moderately declined: 2023 vintage -0.4% and 2024 vintage -0.2%; 2024 underperformance was primarily among loans originated prior to the scorecard change in Q3 2024.
Higher Initial Provision per New Origination
Provision for new originations was $73 million in the quarter (roughly $1,000 per unit), up from prior quarters where provision per new unit was about $700–$800; increase driven by mix shift toward purchase programs (initial provision on purchase program ~3x portfolio).
Below-Normal Prepayments
Prepayments were below historical norms despite a competitive environment that typically drives higher prepays, creating some uncertainty in cash-flow timing.
Leverage at Higher End of Range
Reported leverage is a little over 2.8x; management indicated leverage remains within an acceptable but higher-end range when considering capital allocation and buyback decisions.
Company Guidance
Management's guidance emphasized continued conservative, data-driven growth and capital discipline — including plans to expand adoption of the new contract origination experience in Q1 2026, ongoing investments in AI and digital servicing, and no change to the buyback/capital return strategy — while keeping leverage and funding capacity under review (leverage roughly 2.8x). For context, Q4 results they cited as the operating base included ~72,000 contracts financed, $1.3 billion collected, $48 million paid in dealer holdback, 1,200+ dealers enrolled and ~9,800 active dealers (active dealers down 2.8% YoY; average unit volume per active dealer down 6.4% YoY), loan unit volume down 9.1% YoY (improved from -16.5%), loan dollar volume down 11.3% YoY (improved from -19.4%), core used-subprime market share ~4.5% (vs 5.4% a year earlier), adjusted loan portfolio up ~1% YoY, vintage variances of -0.4% (2023) and -0.2% (2024), a sequential narrowing in forecasted future net cash flow decline from $58.6M (0.5%) in Q3 to $34.2M (0.3%) in Q4, a $73M provision for new originations (~$1,000 per unit) with purchase-program initial provision roughly 3x portfolio, and prepayments remaining below historical norms.

Credit Acceptance Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong earnings power and cash generation (solid 2025 profitability and ~$1.0–$1.24B operating cash flow), but the balance sheet is a major risk: leverage is high/rising (debt ~ $6.35B with declining equity) and earnings have shown meaningful volatility versus the 2021–2022 peak.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has grown over time (from ~$1.67B in 2020 to ~$2.32B in 2025), with a particularly strong jump in 2025. Profitability remains solid in 2025 (about 18% net margin) and operating profitability is very strong in 2025 (mid-40% range), but results have been volatile versus prior years: net margin fell materially from very high levels in 2021–2022 and was more moderate in 2023–2024 before rebounding in 2025. Overall: strong earnings power, but with meaningful year-to-year swings that reduce predictability.
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Leverage is high and rising: total debt is ~$6.35B in 2024–2025 while equity declined to ~$1.52B in 2025, pushing debt to equity to ~4.17x (up from ~2.04x in 2020). While returns on equity are healthy (about 28% in 2025), the capital structure is debt-heavy, and equity has trended down from 2020 levels—both of which increase financial risk if credit performance or funding conditions weaken.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is strong and consistent: operating cash flow has been roughly ~$1.0–$1.24B annually, and free cash flow closely tracks operating cash flow. Free cash flow is also closely aligned with net income (near 1.0x across years), which supports earnings quality. The main drawback is momentum: free cash flow growth is negative in 2023–2025 (including a sharp decline in 2025), indicating softer recent trajectory despite still-solid absolute cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.32B2.13B1.88B1.82B1.85B
Gross Profit2.29B1.33B1.26B1.35B1.43B
EBITDA1.06B352.90M373.90M727.90M1.28B
Net Income423.90M247.90M286.10M535.80M958.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.60B9.74B8.39B7.63B7.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments510.30M854.50M477.80M421.70M23.30M
Total Debt6.35B6.35B5.07B4.59B4.62B
Total Liabilities8.07B7.99B6.64B6.01B5.23B
Stockholders Equity1.52B1.75B1.75B1.62B1.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.05B1.14B1.20B1.24B1.06B
Operating Cash Flow1.05B1.14B1.20B1.24B1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-674.30M-1.72B-1.42B-460.60M437.30M
Financing Cash Flow-724.60M957.30M266.20M-794.60M-1.47B

Credit Acceptance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price489.89
Price Trends
50DMA
471.27
Positive
100DMA
467.89
Positive
200DMA
482.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.62
Positive
RSI
52.18
Neutral
STOCH
45.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CACC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 489.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 487.54, above the 50-day MA of 471.27, and above the 200-day MA of 482.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CACC.

Credit Acceptance Risk Analysis

Credit Acceptance disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Credit Acceptance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Credit Acceptance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$6.66B8.6623.76%6.07%9.51%29.38%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$5.43B13.3128.14%10.30%154.64%
63
Neutral
$4.85B6.9132.31%1.88%0.59%-1.11%
61
Neutral
$1.87B14.369.55%9.68%94.85%
57
Neutral
$1.86B9.9512.93%3.40%27.36%12.55%
47
Neutral
$931.19M-11.61-1.95%4.95%-25.22%-174.34%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CACC
Credit Acceptance
489.89
-0.32
-0.07%
AGM
Federal Agricultural
155.60
-43.45
-21.83%
SLM
SLM
19.86
-10.21
-33.96%
NAVI
Navient
8.99
-4.34
-32.56%
LC
LendingClub
14.75
2.28
18.28%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
54.16
4.99
10.16%

Credit Acceptance Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Credit Acceptance Announces Retirement of Two Senior Officers
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Credit Acceptance Corporation announced that Chief Analytics Officer Arthur L. Smith and Chief Sales Officer Daniel A. Ulatowski had notified the company of their decisions to retire as officers and employees, effective February 1, 2026, and that both executives were expected to continue in consulting roles as non-employee advisors through July 31, 2026. Under anticipated separation and advisory agreements, Smith is expected to receive a monthly consulting fee of $66,758.01 and Ulatowski $64,166.67 during the advisory period, and in each case their retirements will be treated as qualifying retirements under the company’s incentive compensation plan, allowing their outstanding stock options to remain exercisable through their scheduled expiration date of December 30, 2026, which provides continuity in leadership transition and preserves equity incentives alignment during the handover period.

The most recent analyst rating on (CACC) stock is a Buy with a $522.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credit Acceptance stock, see the CACC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Credit Acceptance Extends and Reprices Term ABS Financing
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 15, 2026, Credit Acceptance Corporation announced it had amended its existing $100 million asset-backed non-recourse secured financing, known as Term ABS 2021-1, originally entered into on January 29, 2021. The amendment extends the date on which the facility will cease to revolve from February 17, 2026 to January 18, 2028 and reduces the interest rate from SOFR plus 220 basis points to SOFR plus 140 basis points, with no other material changes to the terms. The extension and lower pricing enhance the company’s funding flexibility and reduce its cost of capital, supporting ongoing auto loan origination and reinforcing its position in the asset-backed financing market.

The most recent analyst rating on (CACC) stock is a Hold with a $513.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credit Acceptance stock, see the CACC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Credit Acceptance Completes $500M Asset-Backed Financing
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Credit Acceptance Corporation announced the completion of a $500 million asset-backed non-recourse secured financing. This transaction involved conveying consumer loans valued at approximately $625.2 million to a special purpose entity, which then transferred the loans to a trust that issued three classes of notes. The financing, which has an expected average annualized cost of 5.1%, will revolve for 24 months before amortizing based on loan cash flows. It aims to repay higher-cost debt and support general corporate purposes, while maintaining dealer relationships and preserving their rights to future payments. This marks Credit Acceptance’s 60th term securitization since 1998 and is noted as their lowest-cost ABS transaction since late 2021.

The most recent analyst rating on (CACC) stock is a Hold with a $475.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credit Acceptance stock, see the CACC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 16, 2026