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Navient Corporation (NAVI)
:NAVI
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Navient (NAVI) AI Stock Analysis

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NAVI

Navient

(NASDAQ:NAVI)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(15.68% Upside)
Navient's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong operational efficiency but challenges in revenue growth and leverage. Technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the valuation appears high. The earnings call provided a balanced view with significant achievements and financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Navient's ability to reduce expenses significantly ahead of schedule enhances its operational efficiency, potentially improving profitability and competitive positioning in the long term.
Loan Origination Growth
Sustained growth in loan origination indicates strong demand and effective market penetration, which can drive future revenue growth and strengthen market position.
Cash Flow Stability
Stable free cash flow amidst revenue decline suggests effective cash management, providing financial flexibility and supporting long-term strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A declining revenue trend can hinder growth potential and market competitiveness, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse the trend and sustain business viability.
High Leverage
Significant leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and affecting long-term financial stability.
Elevated Delinquency Rates
High delinquency rates can lead to increased provision expenses and credit risk, affecting profitability and necessitating enhanced risk management strategies.

Navient (NAVI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Navient Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNavient (NAVI) is a leading provider of education loan management and business processing solutions. The company operates primarily in the education finance sector, focusing on student loans, servicing, and collections. Navient offers a range of services including loan origination, servicing, and asset recovery, catering to borrowers and educational institutions. Additionally, it provides financial literacy resources and manages portfolios of federal and private education loans, contributing to its mission of helping borrowers manage their educational financing needs effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyNavient generates revenue primarily through the servicing of federal and private student loans. Key revenue streams include loan servicing fees, interest income from its loan portfolio, and collection fees from delinquent accounts. The company earns servicing fees by managing loan accounts for borrowers and educational institutions, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements. Interest income is derived from the loans it holds on its balance sheet, particularly on private student loans. Additionally, Navient has partnerships with various educational institutions, which may lead to increased loan origination and servicing opportunities. The company's ability to effectively manage loan portfolios and its diversified service offerings position it well for sustained earnings.

Navient Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Despite significant achievements in loan origination growth, expense reduction, and cash flow projections, the company's financial performance was negatively impacted by a core loss per share, elevated delinquency rates, high provision expenses, and macroeconomic uncertainties. The highlights and lowlights are relatively balanced, with substantial positive developments countered by significant financial challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Loan Origination Growth
Earnest doubled origination volume year-over-year for the third straight quarter, totaling approximately $800 million in new loans, with $528 million in refi loans, the highest quarterly volume this year, and $260 million in in-school lending, also the highest quarterly volume in history.
Expense Reduction Success
Exceeded ambitious expense reduction targets ahead of schedule, with total core expenses for the quarter declining by $93 million to $109 million, and on track to remove over 90% of the $400 million run-rate expense reduction target by the end of 2025.
Increased Life of Loan Cash Flows
Projected life of loan cash flows increased by approximately $195 million, driven by lower prepayment rate assumptions and revised financing and securitized debt service assumptions.
Strong ABS Financing Activity
Completed the fourth term ABS financing of the year, backed by refi loan collateral, demonstrating strong investor demand and achieving high advance rates.
Negative Updates
Core Loss Per Share
Reported a core loss per share of $0.84, with significant items impacting results, including a provision of $168 million, primarily related to previously originated loans.
Elevated Delinquency and Provision Levels
Delinquency rates remain elevated, and provision expense reflects continuation of credit trends and lower prepayment activity, with a notable provision expense of $151 million related to previously originated loans.
Net Interest Margin Pressure
Expected fourth quarter net interest margin for Federal Education Loan segment to be lower, ranging between 55 basis points and 60 basis points, driven by moderately lower rates.
Uncertain Macroeconomic Conditions
Macroeconomic outlook changes and the impact of federal loan public policy changes have influenced repayment behavior and increased provision expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Navient Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a core EPS of $0.29, adjusting for assumption changes and regulatory charges, with a new share repurchase authorization of $100 million. Loan origination volume reached approximately $800 million, including $528 million in refi loans, marking the highest quarterly volume of the year. In-school lending also saw record origination with $260 million. The company expects to exceed its $400 million run-rate expense reduction target. The projected life of loan cash flows increased by $195 million due to lower prepayment speeds and revised default assumptions. The Consumer Lending segment saw a 58% increase in loan originations, while the Federal Education Loan segment reported a net interest margin of 84 basis points. Navient plans to update its Earnest business growth strategy on November 19, 2025.

Navient Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Navient demonstrates operational efficiency with strong gross and EBIT margins, but faces challenges with revenue growth and net profitability. High leverage poses financial risks, although cash flow management is stable. Addressing growth and leverage concerns is crucial for improved financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Navient's TTM revenue declined compared to the previous year, indicating a negative growth trend. The gross and EBIT margins remain strong at 64.1% and 50.8% respectively, suggesting efficient operations. However, the TTM net profit margin is low at 1.0%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into net income.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicative of significant leverage, posing potential financial risk. The equity ratio is 5.1%, which shows limited capitalization. ROE is low at 1.3%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Navient's free cash flow remains stable despite declining revenue, with a consistent operating cash flow to net income ratio indicating healthy cash generation relative to earnings. However, there is no significant growth in free cash flow, which could affect liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.39B4.23B4.92B3.84B3.53B3.69B
Gross Profit2.32B848.00M1.16B1.66B2.27B2.98B
EBITDA2.79B3.47B3.95B3.04B2.66B2.83B
Net Income-50.00M131.00M228.00M645.00M717.00M412.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.31B51.79B61.38B70.80B80.61B87.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.87B722.00M839.00M1.53B905.00M1.18B
Total Debt4.92B48.32B57.30B66.90B76.98B83.94B
Total Liabilities46.87B49.15B58.62B67.82B78.00B84.97B
Stockholders Equity2.44B2.64B2.76B2.98B2.60B2.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow275.00M459.00M676.00M305.00M702.00M987.00M
Operating Cash Flow275.00M459.00M676.00M305.00M702.00M987.00M
Investing Cash Flow2.87B8.47B7.36B10.59B6.67B6.45B
Financing Cash Flow-4.07B-9.62B-10.05B-9.66B-7.33B-7.68B

Navient Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.67
Price Trends
50DMA
12.95
Negative
100DMA
13.29
Negative
200DMA
13.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
33.56
Neutral
STOCH
60.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NAVI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.53, below the 50-day MA of 12.95, and below the 200-day MA of 13.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NAVI.

Navient Risk Analysis

Navient disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Navient reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Navient Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$4.64B14.699.42%0.88%6.46%116.26%
$6.66B10.4620.47%7.43%9.41%13.98%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$5.74B9.9527.85%1.95%0.59%-1.11%
$1.98B19.487.40%9.68%94.85%
$1.16B39.841.28%5.48%-25.37%-75.77%
$4.88B-0.96%60.62%96.91%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NAVI
Navient
11.67
-2.84
-19.57%
NNI
Nelnet
128.22
14.95
13.20%
SLM
SLM
26.98
4.81
21.70%
LC
LendingClub
17.22
2.67
18.35%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
56.02
7.94
16.51%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
48.75
-2.38
-4.65%

Navient Corporate Events

Navient Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Financial Results
Jul 31, 2025

Navient Corporation, a leader in education loan management, has released its financial results for the second quarter of 2025. The company, which specializes in helping students and families manage education costs through lending and refinancing, reported mixed financial outcomes for the quarter.

Navient’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

Navient Corporation’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both significant growth opportunities and notable challenges. The company showcased impressive loan origination growth and capital market successes, while also addressing concerns over elevated provision expenses and rising delinquency rates. This duality paints a picture of a company navigating both promising prospects and pressing hurdles.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025