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Slm Corporation (SLM)
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SLM (SLM) AI Stock Analysis

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SLM

SLM

(NASDAQ:SLM)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(4.47% Upside)
SLM's overall score reflects strong profitability and strategic capital returns, but is weighed down by negative revenue growth, cash flow challenges, and bearish technical indicators. The company's ability to capitalize on federal student loan reforms presents a potential upside.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
SLM sold $1.8bn of loans, freeing up nearly $400mm of capital, which is estimated to be used in buybacks, as the company has $302mm authority remaining.
Market Opportunity
The anticipated discontinuation of Grad PLUS loans and caps on Parent PLUS loans is expected to create a $4.5B-$5.0B opportunity for SLM based on its current ~60% market share of private student loans.
Market Position
SLM's strong presence and market position should allow it to capture opportunities from the privatization of the Grad Plus program.
Negative Factors
ABS Data
Monthly ABS data suggests that NCOs will likely increase, which is slightly higher than consensus expectations.
Delinquencies
July delinquencies as a percentage of total loans were 4.38%, up from last month's 3.89% and last year's 3.60%.
Earnings
SLM reported core EPS below both JPMe and Street estimates, driven by higher than estimated provision expense.

SLM (SLM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SLM Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSLM Corporation, commonly known as Sallie Mae, is a publicly traded company that provides education finance services to students, families, and educational institutions in the United States. The company primarily operates in the education sector, focusing on student loans, loan servicing, and financial aid resources. SLM offers a range of financial products including private student loans, education savings plans, and college planning services, aiming to support students in achieving their educational goals.
How the Company Makes MoneySLM generates revenue primarily through the interest on private student loans, which are issued to students and parents to cover education-related expenses. The company also earns income from loan servicing fees, where it manages the repayment process for education loans. Additionally, SLM profits from ancillary services such as financial literacy resources and educational planning tools offered to students and families. Significant partnerships with educational institutions and financial organizations enhance SLM's reach in the student loan market, creating opportunities for cross-selling products and services. Overall, the combination of interest income, servicing fees, and strategic partnerships constitutes the key revenue streams for SLM.

SLM Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Sallie Mae delivered solid financial performance in the second quarter of 2025 with strong credit quality and effective capital return strategies. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the opportunities presented by federal student loan reforms. However, challenges remain with increased provisions for credit losses and slightly below-expectation loan originations.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Financial Performance
GAAP diluted EPS for Q2 2025 was $0.32 per share. Net interest income increased by $5 million from the prior year, with a net interest margin of 5.31%, 4 basis points ahead of the previous quarter.
Strong Credit Quality
Credit quality of originations continued to improve, with a cosigner rate of 84% up from 80% a year ago, and average FICO score at approval increasing slightly to 754 from 752.
Effective Capital Return Strategy
Repurchased 2.4 million shares at an average price of $29.46 per share, reducing shares outstanding by over 53% since the strategy began in 2020.
Federal Student Loan Reform Opportunity
Anticipated increase in private education loan origination volume by $4.5 billion to $5 billion annually due to federal student loan reforms taking effect in 2026.
Encouraging Loan Sale
Agreed to indicative pricing on the sale of $1.8 billion of private education loans, in line with annual expectations.
Negative Updates
Increased Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses was $149 million in Q2 2025, up from $17 million in the prior year, influenced by a cautious macroeconomic outlook and increased portfolio life.
Loan Originations Below Expectations
Loan originations for Q2 2025 were $686 million, slightly below expectations, attributed to nontraditional school partners facing enrollment caps and disbursement shifts.
Net Charge-Off Rate Increase
Net private education loan charge-offs were $94 million, representing 2.36% of average loans in repayment, an increase of 17 basis points compared to Q2 2024, partly due to California wildfire-related forbearance.
Company Guidance
During the Sallie Mae Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance highlighted several key metrics and strategic directions. The company reported a GAAP diluted EPS of $0.32, with loan originations at $686 million for the quarter. The cosigner rate increased to 84%, and the average FICO score at approval rose slightly to 754. They repurchased 2.4 million shares at an average price of $29.46. Net interest income was $377 million, with a net interest margin of 5.31%. The provision for credit losses rose to $149 million, while private education loans delinquent 30 days or more decreased to 3.5%. Net charge-offs were $94 million, representing 2.36% of average loans in repayment. The company also announced a $1.8 billion private education loan sale. Looking forward, Sallie Mae anticipates an additional $4.5 billion to $5 billion in annual private education loan origination volume due to recent federal student loan reforms, with plans to continue capital return strategies and explore alternative funding partnerships.

SLM Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SLM demonstrates strong profitability with excellent profit margins and a solid return on equity. However, the declining revenue growth and negative cash flow metrics are concerning, posing risks to sustainability and liquidity.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company exhibits strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin of 76.1% and a net profit margin of 39.4% in the TTM period. However, the revenue growth rate showed a decline of 40.0% from the previous year, which is concerning. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 27.1% and 20.5%, respectively, indicating efficient operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity ratio of 8.3%, suggesting a decent level of financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.0 in the TTM period due to zero debt, indicating reduced financial leverage. Return on equity remains impressive at 25.8%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
The cash flow analysis indicates challenges with negative free cash flow in the TTM period, suggesting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting profits to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, reflecting cash management concerns.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.99B1.46B1.19B2.41B1.72B
Gross Profit1.44B890.43M1.50B2.06B1.58B
EBITDA816.29M796.11M648.06M1.56B1.25B
Net Income608.33M581.39M469.01M1.16B880.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.07B29.17B28.81B29.22B30.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.70B4.15B4.67B6.85B6.45B
Total Debt6.44B5.23B5.24B5.93B5.19B
Total Liabilities27.91B27.29B27.08B5.93B5.19B
Stockholders Equity2.16B1.88B1.73B2.15B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-329.39M-144.64M4.99M-49.52M2.15B
Operating Cash Flow-329.39M-144.64M4.99M-49.52M-182.67M
Investing Cash Flow675.99M-12.46M1.08B2.60B947.33M
Financing Cash Flow228.16M-316.23M-854.89M-2.62B-1.88B

SLM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.63
Price Trends
50DMA
32.38
Negative
100DMA
31.16
Negative
200DMA
29.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
38.83
Neutral
STOCH
47.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.03, below the 50-day MA of 32.38, and above the 200-day MA of 29.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLM.

SLM Risk Analysis

SLM disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SLM reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SLM Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.81B10.3520.47%7.15%9.41%13.98%
74
Outperform
$4.59B14.319.42%0.88%6.46%116.26%
69
Neutral
$1.78B24.885.50%7.54%70.26%
67
Neutral
$5.33B13.7427.30%12.63%149.03%
58
Neutral
HK$111.86B6.86-4.20%3.95%9.19%-46.77%
58
Neutral
$6.32B15.3118.99%1.63%-4.34%-38.01%
52
Neutral
$11.96B25.244.18%3.14%-5.33%-32.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLM
SLM
30.63
10.04
48.76%
CACC
Credit Acceptance
476.75
13.16
2.84%
NNI
Nelnet
126.64
18.42
17.02%
ALLY
Ally Financial
38.27
-2.39
-5.88%
LC
LendingClub
15.22
3.95
35.05%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
58.22
14.64
33.59%

SLM Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
SLM Reports Q2 2025 Financial Performance Highlights
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, SLM Corporation released two presentations on its website detailing its financial performance for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The company reported a GAAP net income of $67 million and a diluted earnings per share of $0.32 for Q2 2025. Despite a slight decrease in private education loan originations compared to the previous year, SLM maintained a strong return on common equity of 12.6%. The company also highlighted its robust capital allocation strategy, including share repurchases and dividend payments, which are aimed at enhancing shareholder value. Additionally, SLM successfully settled its first student loan ABS transaction of the year, demonstrating strong investor demand despite market volatility.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SLM Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 17, 2025, SLM Corporation’s stockholders approved several key proposals, including the 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan (ESPP). The plan had previously been approved by the Board of Directors, contingent on stockholder approval. Additionally, the stockholders elected 13 directors for a one-year term, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025. These decisions are likely to impact the company’s governance and financial strategies moving forward.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025