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SLM (SLM)
NASDAQ:SLM
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SLM (SLM) AI Stock Analysis

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SLM

SLM

(NASDAQ:SLM)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(5.12% Upside)
SLM's overall stock score reflects a mix of solid profitability and operational efficiency against challenges in revenue growth and cash flow. The earnings call provided positive insights on strategic opportunities, but technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. Valuation metrics indicate fair pricing, with moderate income potential from dividends.
Positive Factors
Capital Utilization
SLM sold $1.8bn of loans, freeing up nearly $400mm of capital, which is estimated to be used in buybacks, as the company has still $302mm authority remaining.
Market Opportunities
The anticipated discontinuation of Grad PLUS loans and caps on Parent PLUS loans is expected to create a $4.5B-$5.0B opportunity for SLM based on its current ~60% market share of private student loans.
Strategic Positioning
SLM's strong presence and market position should allow it to capture opportunities from the privatization of the Grad Plus program.
Negative Factors
Delinquency and Charge-offs
Delinquency rates as a percentage of total loans increased to 4.38%, up from last month's 3.89% and last year's 3.60%.
Earnings Performance
SLM reported core EPS below both JPMe and Street estimates, driven by higher than estimated provision expense.
Margin Pressure
Slight margin compression from balance sheet repricing is expected to partially offset strong loan growth.

SLM (SLM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SLM Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSLM Corporation, through its subsidiaries, originates and services private education loans to students and their families to finance the cost of their education in the United States. It also offers retail deposit accounts, including certificates of deposit, money market deposit accounts, and high-yield savings accounts; and omnibus accounts, as well as credit card loans. It serves students and families through financial aid, federal loans, and student and family resources. The company was formerly known as New BLC Corporation and changed its name to SLM Corporation in December 2013. SLM Corporation was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Newark, Delaware.
How the Company Makes MoneySLM generates revenue primarily through the interest on private student loans, which are issued to students and parents to cover education-related expenses. The company also earns income from loan servicing fees, where it manages the repayment process for education loans. Additionally, SLM profits from ancillary services such as financial literacy resources and educational planning tools offered to students and families. Significant partnerships with educational institutions and financial organizations enhance SLM's reach in the student loan market, creating opportunities for cross-selling products and services. Overall, the combination of interest income, servicing fees, and strategic partnerships constitutes the key revenue streams for SLM.

SLM Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Sallie Mae delivered solid financial performance in the second quarter of 2025 with strong credit quality and effective capital return strategies. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the opportunities presented by federal student loan reforms. However, challenges remain with increased provisions for credit losses and slightly below-expectation loan originations.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Financial Performance
GAAP diluted EPS for Q2 2025 was $0.32 per share. Net interest income increased by $5 million from the prior year, with a net interest margin of 5.31%, 4 basis points ahead of the previous quarter.
Strong Credit Quality
Credit quality of originations continued to improve, with a cosigner rate of 84% up from 80% a year ago, and average FICO score at approval increasing slightly to 754 from 752.
Effective Capital Return Strategy
Repurchased 2.4 million shares at an average price of $29.46 per share, reducing shares outstanding by over 53% since the strategy began in 2020.
Federal Student Loan Reform Opportunity
Anticipated increase in private education loan origination volume by $4.5 billion to $5 billion annually due to federal student loan reforms taking effect in 2026.
Encouraging Loan Sale
Agreed to indicative pricing on the sale of $1.8 billion of private education loans, in line with annual expectations.
Negative Updates
Increased Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses was $149 million in Q2 2025, up from $17 million in the prior year, influenced by a cautious macroeconomic outlook and increased portfolio life.
Loan Originations Below Expectations
Loan originations for Q2 2025 were $686 million, slightly below expectations, attributed to nontraditional school partners facing enrollment caps and disbursement shifts.
Net Charge-Off Rate Increase
Net private education loan charge-offs were $94 million, representing 2.36% of average loans in repayment, an increase of 17 basis points compared to Q2 2024, partly due to California wildfire-related forbearance.
Company Guidance
During the Sallie Mae Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance highlighted several key metrics and strategic directions. The company reported a GAAP diluted EPS of $0.32, with loan originations at $686 million for the quarter. The cosigner rate increased to 84%, and the average FICO score at approval rose slightly to 754. They repurchased 2.4 million shares at an average price of $29.46. Net interest income was $377 million, with a net interest margin of 5.31%. The provision for credit losses rose to $149 million, while private education loans delinquent 30 days or more decreased to 3.5%. Net charge-offs were $94 million, representing 2.36% of average loans in repayment. The company also announced a $1.8 billion private education loan sale. Looking forward, Sallie Mae anticipates an additional $4.5 billion to $5 billion in annual private education loan origination volume due to recent federal student loan reforms, with plans to continue capital return strategies and explore alternative funding partnerships.

SLM Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SLM's financials show strong profitability margins with a healthy gross profit margin of 52.8% and a robust EBIT margin of 30.5%. However, challenges are evident in negative revenue growth of -3.4% and concerning cash flow performance with negative operating cash flow. High leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.70 poses additional risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
SLM shows a mixed performance in the income statement. The gross profit margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is healthy at 52.8%, indicating strong core profitability. However, net profit margin decreased to 15.2% from the previous year, suggesting some pressure on bottom-line profitability. Revenue growth is negative at -3.4% compared to the previous year, highlighting challenges in expanding sales. The EBIT margin stands at 30.5%, which is quite robust, while EBITDA margin is slightly higher at 33.8%, indicating efficient operating performance despite the revenue decline.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable but leveraged position. The debt-to-equity ratio for TTM is 2.70, showing high leverage that could pose risks if revenue declines persist. However, return on equity (ROE) is solid at 18.4%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low at 8.0%, suggesting limited buffer against liabilities but could mean higher leverage benefits during profitable periods.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow performance is concerning, with negative operating cash flow for the TTM at -$393.7 million, indicating cash outflows from core operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in converting profits to cash. Despite this, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.90, which requires improvement to ensure better liquidity and operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.86B2.62B2.89B2.37B2.37B2.29B
Gross Profit1.52B1.44B1.46B1.19B2.06B1.72B
EBITDA746.19M816.29M796.11M833.36M1.56B1.32B
Net Income442.21M608.33M581.39M469.01M1.16B880.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.60B30.07B29.17B28.81B29.22B30.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.09B4.70B4.15B6.96B4.55B6.45B
Total Debt6.41B6.44B5.23B5.24B5.93B5.19B
Total Liabilities27.23B27.91B27.29B27.08B27.07B28.21B
Stockholders Equity2.37B2.16B1.88B1.73B2.15B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-393.66M-329.39M-144.64M4.99M-49.52M2.15B
Operating Cash Flow-393.66M-329.39M-144.64M4.99M-49.52M-182.67M
Investing Cash Flow-1.08B675.99M-12.46M1.08B2.60B947.33M
Financing Cash Flow328.80M228.16M-316.23M-854.89M-2.62B-1.88B

SLM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.44
Price Trends
50DMA
32.07
Negative
100DMA
31.56
Negative
200DMA
29.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
42.07
Neutral
STOCH
45.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.27, below the 50-day MA of 32.07, and above the 200-day MA of 29.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLM.

SLM Risk Analysis

SLM disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SLM reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SLM Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$7.31B11.1220.47%6.81%9.41%13.98%
74
Outperform
$4.66B14.539.42%0.90%6.46%116.26%
69
Neutral
$5.87B15.0727.30%12.63%149.03%
68
Neutral
$17.80B11.949.89%3.74%9.69%1.17%
67
Neutral
$1.90B25.915.50%7.54%70.26%
60
Neutral
$1.37B42.271.28%4.66%-25.37%-75.77%
58
Neutral
$6.49B15.7118.99%1.71%-4.34%-38.01%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLM
SLM
30.44
10.56
53.12%
CACC
Credit Acceptance
513.17
89.30
21.07%
NNI
Nelnet
126.64
17.88
16.44%
NAVI
Navient
13.61
-0.62
-4.36%
LC
LendingClub
16.50
6.21
60.35%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
61.13
21.06
52.56%

SLM Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SLM Faces Impact from Federal Loan Reforms
Negative
Sep 9, 2025

SLM Corporation reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a GAAP net income of $67 million and a net interest margin of 5.31%. The company experienced a slight decrease in private education loan originations compared to the previous year, with $686 million in Q2 2025. Additionally, the company faced an increase in provisions for credit losses due to macroeconomic factors and loan sale timing. The recent federal student loan reforms signed into law on July 4, 2025, are expected to impact the market by setting limits on parent and graduate lending, which may influence Sallie Mae’s operations and market strategy moving forward.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
SLM Reports Q2 2025 Financial Performance Highlights
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, SLM Corporation released two presentations on its website detailing its financial performance for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The company reported a GAAP net income of $67 million and a diluted earnings per share of $0.32 for Q2 2025. Despite a slight decrease in private education loan originations compared to the previous year, SLM maintained a strong return on common equity of 12.6%. The company also highlighted its robust capital allocation strategy, including share repurchases and dividend payments, which are aimed at enhancing shareholder value. Additionally, SLM successfully settled its first student loan ABS transaction of the year, demonstrating strong investor demand despite market volatility.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SLM Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 17, 2025, SLM Corporation’s stockholders approved several key proposals, including the 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan (ESPP). The plan had previously been approved by the Board of Directors, contingent on stockholder approval. Additionally, the stockholders elected 13 directors for a one-year term, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025. These decisions are likely to impact the company’s governance and financial strategies moving forward.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025