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Lendingclub Corp. (LC)
NYSE:LC

LendingClub (LC) AI Stock Analysis

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LC

LendingClub

(NYSE:LC)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(4.42%Upside)
LendingClub's overall stock score reflects a mix of financial challenges and positive market momentum. Strong loan growth and improved revenue signal potential, but negative cash flows and macroeconomic uncertainties require cautious optimism. The positive earnings call and technical momentum are significant strengths.
Positive Factors
Earnings
1Q25 results beat expectations on revenue and core EPS and were above the guidance range for originations and pre-provision net revenue (PPNR).
Growth Potential
Lending Club's strong revenue ramp is expected in 2025, emphasized by guidance for significant growth in originations.
Market Position
Lending Club's refinancing of credit card debt positions it for strong growth in 2025, given the record $1.3 trillion of credit card debt outstanding.
Negative Factors
Guidance
2Q25 PPNR guidance was lower than forecast due to higher marketing expenses.
Stock Performance
LC shares are down 23% after-market following 1Q25 and 4Q25 guidance that missed origination growth expectations.
Valuation
Valuation target price is lowered to $20 from $28 due to slower near-term growth.

LendingClub (LC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LendingClub Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLendingClub (LC) is a leading financial services company headquartered in the United States, operating primarily in the digital lending and banking sectors. The company offers a range of products and services, including personal loans, auto refinancing, and a high-yield savings account, all designed to provide consumers with accessible and cost-effective financial solutions. LendingClub is known for its innovative online platform that connects borrowers with investors, enabling a seamless and efficient lending process.
How the Company Makes MoneyLendingClub makes money primarily through the origination of personal loans, where it earns revenue from origination fees charged to borrowers when a loan is issued. Additionally, the company generates income from servicing fees by managing and maintaining the loans throughout their lifecycle. LendingClub also earns interest income from loans held on its balance sheet. Furthermore, the company benefits from partnerships with institutional investors who purchase loans and invest in the lending platform. Another revenue stream is the banking services it offers, which include interest income from deposit accounts and other related financial products. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and the use of technology to streamline operations contribute to LendingClub's earnings by enhancing its reach and operational efficiency.

LendingClub Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Loan Origination by Type
Loan Origination by Type
Chart InsightsLendingClub's loan origination trends reveal a strategic shift. Marketplace originations have stabilized after a volatile period, while loans held for investment show a recent uptick, suggesting a focus on portfolio growth. The latest earnings call highlights robust loan volume growth and improved loan sales pricing, despite increased provisions for credit losses due to economic uncertainties. This indicates a cautious yet optimistic approach, balancing growth with risk management. The company's achievement of an investment-grade rating and strong credit performance further underscores its resilience in a challenging economic environment.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

LendingClub Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
LendingClub's earnings call reflected strong financial performance with growth in loan volumes and net revenue. The company achieved significant milestones, such as an investment-grade rating, and demonstrated improved credit performance. However, concerns remain about increased provisions for credit losses and economic uncertainties affecting future outlooks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan Volume Growth
LendingClub generated $2 billion in loan volume, a 21% increase over last year, reflecting demand from borrowers and loan buyers.
Total Net Revenue Increase
Total net revenue grew 20% to $218 million, with pre-provision net revenue increasing 52% year-over-year to $74 million.
Improved Loan Sales Pricing
Loan sales pricing improved for the fifth straight quarter, up over 200 basis points year-over-year.
Investment-Grade Rating Achievement
Secured an investment-grade rating from Fitch for the first-rated certificate deal, closing a $100 million transaction with a top insurance company.
Strong Credit Performance
Year-over-year delinquency and charge-off rates significantly improved, with a disciplined underwriting approach.
High NPS Score
Achieved an extremely high NPS score of 81 points, with 83% of members wanting to do more with LendingClub.
Negative Updates
Increased Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses increased to $58 million from $32 million in the prior year, due to higher CECL retention and macroeconomic uncertainties.
Lower Servicing Fees
Servicing fees were lower this quarter, primarily due to higher loan prepayments impacting the servicing asset value.
Uncertainty Due to Economic Conditions
Increased qualitative provision for potential unemployment rate rise to 5.3% and economic uncertainty following macroeconomic changes.
Company Guidance
During the LendingClub first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating strong performance and optimistic projections. LendingClub reported a 21% increase in loan volume to $2 billion compared to the previous year, and a 20% increase in total net revenue to $218 million. Pre-provision net revenue grew by 52% year-over-year to $74 million. The company also achieved a net interest margin of 6% and improved loan sales pricing by over 200 basis points year-over-year. For the second quarter, LendingClub anticipates originations in the range of $2.1 billion to $2.3 billion and pre-provision net revenue between $70 million and $80 million. The outlook for the fourth quarter aims for continued growth in originations and a strong return on tangible common equity (ROTCE), assuming stable macroeconomic conditions.

LendingClub Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LendingClub's financial performance is challenged by declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and significant cash flow issues. Despite a strong cash position and low debt, liquidity concerns persist due to negative operating cash flows.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
LendingClub's revenue has shown significant volatility, with a steep decline from 2022 to 2024. The gross profit margin turned negative in 2024, reflecting increased cost pressures. Despite a positive net income in 2023 and 2024, the net profit margin remains low, highlighting profitability challenges. EBIT margin turned negative, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong cash position relative to debt. The debt-to-equity ratio is favorable, with zero debt reported in 2024, indicating low financial leverage. However, the equity ratio suggests moderate utilization of equity financing. Return on equity has fluctuated, reflecting inconsistent profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
LendingClub's cash flow analysis reveals a significant negative operating cash flow in recent years, indicating liquidity concerns. The free cash flow has deteriorated significantly, highlighting challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in cash generation relative to income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue908.40M252.97M864.62M1.17B802.42M304.86M
Gross Profit560.47M-27.03M9.19M1.06B751.70M256.52M
EBITDA145.22M123.06M107.05M218.43M0.000.00
Net Income50.75M51.33M38.94M289.69M18.58M-187.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.48B10.63B8.83B7.98B4.90B1.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments895.51M954.06M2.87B1.40B950.66M667.19M
Total Debt0.0028.50M57.22M143.42M429.99M989.11M
Total Liabilities9.12B9.29B7.58B6.82B4.05B1.14B
Stockholders Equity1.36B1.34B1.25B1.16B850.24M724.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.83B-2.69B-1.20B306.09M205.46M386.88M
Operating Cash Flow-2.13B-2.63B-1.14B375.57M239.87M418.03M
Investing Cash Flow390.93M607.81M516.70M-2.81B-454.41M565.77M
Financing Cash Flow1.27B1.71B789.57M2.80B349.64M-842.44M

LendingClub Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.45
Price Trends
50DMA
10.73
Positive
100DMA
10.99
Positive
200DMA
12.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Negative
RSI
72.77
Negative
STOCH
91.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.23, above the 50-day MA of 10.73, and below the 200-day MA of 12.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.77 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LC.

LendingClub Risk Analysis

LendingClub disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LendingClub reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LendingClub Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.58B58.24137.28%91.69%702.31%
YRYRD
73
Outperform
$531.40M2.8814.69%3.58%12.45%-36.64%
69
Neutral
$20.03B43.067.51%21.24%
OMOMF
68
Neutral
$7.05B12.5417.46%7.02%9.07%
67
Neutral
$16.84B11.729.71%3.76%11.61%-9.60%
66
Neutral
$6.48B-10.30%34.69%63.65%
LCLC
62
Neutral
$1.40B28.003.86%5.72%31.82%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LC
LendingClub
12.45
3.99
47.16%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
59.25
15.62
35.80%
YRD
Yiren Digital
6.15
1.88
44.03%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
73.39
50.19
216.34%
SOFI
SoFi Technologies
18.12
11.65
180.06%
SEZL
Sezzle Inc.
172.30
157.31
1049.43%

LendingClub Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
LendingClub Stockholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 3, 2025, LendingClub Corporation held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of Class II directors was successful, and the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved. However, proposals to amend the company’s certificate of incorporation to phase in board declassification and remove supermajority voting requirements were not approved. The appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (LC) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LendingClub stock, see the LC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025