Yiren Digital (YRD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $358.59M
• Dividend Yield: 10.37%
• Average Volume (3M): 68.77K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 2.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.59
• Revenue Growth: 10.48%
• EPS Growth: -30.67%
• Country: US
• Employees: 949
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Credit Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.51
• Shares Outstanding: 86,934,540
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 90,805
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 68,772
• PEG Ratio: -0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.16
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.26
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.07
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: -0.20
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: -0.01
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -0.01
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -0.04
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: $4.50 ▲(2.04% Upside)

Score is led by attractive valuation (very low P/E and high dividend yield) and solid underlying financial performance (strong margins, growth, and minimal leverage). Offsetting this are weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and earnings-call risks around profitability pressure, delinquency/funding costs, and regulatory uncertainty.

Positive Factors

High Gross & Net Margins

Sustained very high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure in core AI/healthcare products. Over the next several months this margin profile supports reinvestment in R&D and product development, and provides resiliency against revenue variability.

Very Low Leverage and Strong Equity Base

Extremely low financial leverage and a high equity ratio reduce solvency risk and give management flexibility to fund growth or absorb shocks without reliance on costly external debt. This balance sheet strength is a lasting structural advantage for multi-quarter strategic initiatives.

Robust Loan Origination Growth and High Customer Retention

Strong origination growth and elevated repeat borrowing reflect sticky customer demand and product-market fit in financial services. High repeat rates imply recurring revenue and lower customer acquisition needs, supporting sustainable top-line expansion and lifetime value over coming quarters.

Negative Factors

Declining Free Cash Flow and Negative Investing Cash Flow

A marked drop in free cash flow and negative investing cash flow signal tightening internal funding for growth or dividends. Persisting FCF declines can force cutbacks to strategic projects or require external financing, weakening long-term operational flexibility and capital allocation.

Rising Delinquency Rates

Higher delinquency trends indicate growing credit risk in the lending portfolio, which can raise expected credit losses and provisioning needs. Over multiple quarters this compresses net yields, increases capital consumption, and can materially erode loan economics if not controlled.

Regulatory Uncertainty and Increased Funding Costs

Regulatory uncertainty combined with meaningfully higher funding costs exerts structural pressure on net interest margins and profitability. Potential regulatory changes may require higher capital, compliance spend, or limits on product offerings, constraining growth and returns over the medium term.

Yiren Digital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Yiren Digital Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an online consumer finance marketplace that connects borrowers and investors in the People's Republic of China. It provides loan facilitation services; and post-origination services, such as cash processing, collection, and SMS services. The company's loan products portfolio includes unsecured consumer loans; secured consumer loan, which include secured financial leasing, auto-secured, and property-secured loans; and small business loans. It also distributes short-term cash management, mutual fund investment, insurance, and securities and stock products. In addition, the company provides online investor education services, which include a range of investment and trading topics, and various types of training programs on wealth planning, market insights, and investment strategies; consultancy information technology support; referral; and IT, system maintenance, and customer support services. Further, it is involved in the provision of services for financing lease and insurance brokerage businesses. The company offers its products through www.yxpuhui.com, and a wealth management website and mobile application. As of December 31, 2020, it had 60 fixed income products, 810 mutual fund products, and 296 insurance products. The company was formerly known as Yirendai Ltd. and changed its name to Yiren Digital Ltd. in September 2019. Yiren Digital Ltd. was founded in 2012 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Yiren Digital Ltd. is a subsidiary of Creditease Holdings (Cayman) Limited.

How the Company Makes Money

Yiren Digital generates revenue through a combination of product sales, subscription services, and strategic partnerships. Key revenue streams include the sale of its AI diagnostic tools, which are sold to hospitals and clinics, and subscription fees for its healthcare management platforms that provide ongoing support and updates. Additionally, YRD collaborates with various healthcare institutions and technology partners to develop customized solutions, often resulting in long-term contracts that contribute to consistent revenue. The company also benefits from government grants and funding aimed at advancing healthcare technology, which further supports its financial growth.

Yiren Digital Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Yiren Digital demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability and a solid balance sheet. The income statement shows impressive revenue growth and profitability, while the balance sheet indicates financial stability with low leverage. However, declining cash reserves and increasing liabilities, along with negative free cash flow growth, suggest potential liquidity risks.

Income Statement

Yiren Digital shows a robust income statement with a significant improvement in revenue and profitability. The Gross Profit Margin stands at an impressive 84.8%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is also strong at 27.2%, reflecting solid profitability. Revenue growth of 18.6% from the previous year highlights a positive upward trajectory. However, slight declines in EBIT and EBITDA margins from 2023 to 2024 suggest some pressure on operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is solid, with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.004, demonstrating minimal leverage and financial risk. The Return on Equity is a healthy 16.6%, indicating good utilization of shareholder funds. The high Equity Ratio of 73.5% shows strong financial stability. However, the declining cash reserves and increasing liabilities compared to the previous year could pose potential risks if the trend continues.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash generation with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.9, indicating a healthy conversion of income to cash. However, a negative Free Cash Flow growth rate of -34.7% from the previous year and negative investing cash flow indicate challenges in maintaining cash reserves while investing in growth. This suggests a need for cautious cash management moving forward.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.24B	5.81B	4.90B	3.43B	4.48B	3.96B
Gross Profit	5.50B	4.92B	3.92B	2.66B	3.72B	2.86B
EBITDA	1.64B	1.68B	2.60B	1.52B	1.33B	277.46M
Net Income	1.25B	1.58B	2.08B	1.19B	1.03B	-692.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	15.45B	12.98B	10.28B	8.54B	7.74B	6.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.86B	4.27B	6.31B	5.24B	3.04B	2.65B
Total Debt	51.85M	40.77M	23.65M	803.13M	1.10B	582.35M
Total Liabilities	5.11B	3.44B	2.19B	2.51B	2.92B	2.92B
Stockholders Equity	10.34B	9.54B	8.09B	6.03B	4.82B	3.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	884.39M	1.41B	2.17B	1.85B	148.79M	268.31M
Operating Cash Flow	884.39M	1.42B	2.17B	1.85B	158.19M	282.03M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.61B	-3.11B	100.05M	52.56M	-346.51M	-1.80B
Financing Cash Flow	896.74M	-277.23M	-569.28M	-489.12M	427.45M	955.45M

Yiren Digital Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 4.41
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.15, below the 50-day MA of 4.66, and below the 200-day MA of 5.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for YRD.

Yiren Digital Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
YRD	73 Outperform	$358.59M	2.08	12.53%	10.37%	10.48%	-30.67%
QFIN	72 Outperform	$2.18B	2.78	28.65%	7.30%	13.96%	39.32%
FINV	71 Outperform	$1.34B	3.61	17.76%	5.20%	9.32%	29.40%
LX	69 Neutral	$533.40M	2.23	16.11%	8.86%	-0.60%	135.15%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
LU	52 Neutral	$2.35B	-3.57	―	―	―	―

Yiren Digital Corporate Events

Yiren Digital Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Industry Challenges

Yiren Digital Ltd. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a 51% increase in total loans facilitated compared to the same period in 2024, reaching RMB20.2 billion. Despite a decrease in the number of borrowers served due to strategic credit policy tightening, the company saw a 70% increase in revenue from its financial services business, driven by demand for small revolving loans and repeat borrowing. The insurance brokerage business experienced growth in internet insurance, although traditional lines saw a decrease in revenue. The company maintained a strong cash position and continued to invest in fintech innovations, despite challenges such as industry-wide credit risk fluctuations and declining profitability due to increased provisions and regulatory impacts.

The most recent analyst rating on (YRD) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yiren Digital stock, see the YRD Stock Forecast page.