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PEZ - ETF AI Analysis

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PEZ

Invesco DWA Consumer Cyclicals Momentum ETF (PEZ)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
PEZ’s rating suggests it is a solid but not low-risk ETF, with performance driven by strong consumer and retail names. Key holdings like Walmart, Ralph Lauren, Five Below, Netflix, and Williams-Sonoma support the fund through strong financial results, growth initiatives, and generally positive outlooks, though some face high valuations or signs of stretched prices. The main risk is that several holdings, such as Cardinal Health, McKesson, Hilton, and Marriott, carry leverage and valuation concerns, which could add volatility if economic conditions weaken.
Positive Factors
Strong Leading Holdings
Several of the largest positions, including well-known retail and travel brands, have shown strong gains this year, helping support the fund’s overall results.
Focused Consumer Cyclical Exposure
The ETF concentrates on consumer cyclical companies, which can benefit when the economy and consumer spending are healthy.
Mix of Defensive and Growth Names
Holdings in areas like health care and consumer defensive, alongside growth-oriented brands, provide a blend of stability and upside potential.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration
With most assets in the consumer cyclical sector, the fund is vulnerable to slowdowns in consumer spending and economic weakness.
Recent Weak Overall Performance
Despite some strong individual stocks, the ETF’s recent returns over the year to date and the last few months have been weak.
Above-Average Expense Ratio
The fund’s management fee is relatively high for an ETF, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost options.

PEZ vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PEZ Summary

PEZ is the Invesco DWA Consumer Cyclicals Momentum ETF, which follows the Dorsey Wright Consumer Cyclicals Tech Leaders index. It focuses mainly on U.S. consumer discretionary companies that tend to do well when people are spending more, plus a mix of communication services, health care, and other sectors. Well-known holdings include Netflix and Walmart. Investors might consider PEZ if they want growth potential from companies showing strong recent performance and exposure to changing consumer trends. A key risk is that it is concentrated in economically sensitive consumer stocks, so its price can rise and fall more sharply than the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The Invesco DWA Consumer Cyclicals Momentum ETF (PEZ) has an expense ratio of 0.6%, meaning you’ll pay $6 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the fund is actively managed, focusing on a momentum strategy within the Consumer Discretionary sector to select outperforming stocks.
What would affect this ETF?The PEZ ETF, focused on the Consumer Discretionary sector, could benefit from economic growth and rising consumer spending, which often drive demand for cyclical goods and services. However, it may face challenges during economic downturns or periods of high inflation, as consumers tend to cut back on discretionary spending. Additionally, interest rate hikes or regulatory changes affecting top holdings like Amazon or Carvana could impact performance.

PEZ Top 10 Holdings

PEZ is leaning hard into U.S. consumer spending, with a clear tilt toward discretionary names and a side helping of health care distributors. Travel and leisure are doing much of the heavy lifting: Marriott and Hilton are both rising, riding steady demand for rooms and travel. On the retail side, Five Below is sprinting ahead, while Walmart provides a steadier, defensive backbone. Luxury players like Tapestry and Ralph Lauren are also climbing, though health care names such as Cardinal Health and McKesson have been more mixed, occasionally putting a small drag on momentum.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Tapestry3.83%$873.89K$26.97B71.11%
69
Neutral
Ralph Lauren3.62%$827.30K$21.71B44.11%
78
Outperform
Walmart3.56%$812.84K$1.04T34.85%
78
Outperform
Cardinal Health3.41%$779.04K$43.01B23.90%
66
Neutral
Hilton Worldwide Holdings3.39%$773.89K$72.11B30.36%
67
Neutral
Netflix3.38%$771.14K$368.40B-23.27%
73
Outperform
Marriott International3.35%$766.40K$93.13B36.91%
62
Neutral
Five Below3.13%$714.02K$12.33B161.74%
76
Outperform
McKesson3.07%$701.49K$90.16B6.15%
62
Neutral
Williams-Sonoma3.05%$697.63K$21.67B13.59%
75
Outperform

PEZ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
99.18
Negative
100DMA
102.51
Negative
200DMA
100.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
45.39
Neutral
STOCH
30.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 100.88, equal to the 50-day MA of 99.18, and equal to the 200-day MA of 100.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PEZ.

PEZ Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$22.77M0.60%
69
Neutral
$37.51M0.15%
70
Outperform
$28.28M0.18%
70
Outperform
$23.03M0.29%
66
Neutral
$7.52M0.65%
59
Neutral
$1.88M0.99%
66
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEZ
Invesco DWA Consumer Cyclicals Momentum ETF
98.74
7.05
7.69%
GXPD
Global X PureCap MSCI Consumer Discretionary ETF
IEDI
iShares Evolved US Discretionary Spending ETF
PSCD
Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Discretionary ETF
CLIX
ProShares Long Online/Short Stores ETF
BEDZ
AdvisorShares Hotel ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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