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Mckesson Corp. (MCK)
NYSE:MCK
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McKesson
(NYSE:MCK)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$763.00
▲( 7.37% Upside)
Positive Factors
Operational Income Growth
The US Pharma segment is estimated to have significant operational income growth, implying year-over-year growth of 13.7%.
Strategic Growth
Management believes the strategic portfolio update will position the company to focus better on strategic growth areas and more effectively deploy capital.
Negative Factors
Product and Pricing Uncertainty
There are limited details about the number of products that would be impacted, countries that would be included in the reference basket, impact on new product launches, which payment channels are included, and how pricing would be implemented.
Regulatory Overhang
The potential enactment of a most-favored nation (MFN) drug pricing does create a potential overhang on the space.
McKesson (MCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$89.98B
Dividend Yield0.38%
Average Volume (3M)1.10M
Price to Earnings (P/E)28.0
Beta (1Y)0.28
Revenue Growth16.22%
EPS Growth15.29%
CountryUS
Employees44,000
SectorHealthcare
Sector Strength43
IndustryMedical - Distribution
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)10.12
Shares Outstanding125,112,236
10 Day Avg. Volume1,404,488
30 Day Avg. Volume1,095,872
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.37
Price to Book (P/B)-28.33
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio43.05
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.06
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.07
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.38
Enterprise Value/Ebitda4.68
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$761.92Price Target Upside7.22% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering13
McKesson Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionMcKesson Corporation is a global leader in healthcare supply chain management solutions, retail pharmacy, community oncology and specialty care, and healthcare information technology. With its headquarters in Irving, Texas, McKesson serves as a crucial link in the healthcare delivery chain, providing pharmaceuticals, medical supplies, and information technology solutions that help healthcare providers improve patient care and outcomes. The company operates in various segments, including U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions, European Pharmaceutical Solutions, Medical-Surgical Solutions, and others, catering to a wide range of healthcare customers, from individual pharmacies to large hospital systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcKesson makes money primarily through the distribution of pharmaceuticals and medical products. The U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment is the largest contributor to its revenue, accounting for a significant portion of the company's income by distributing branded and generic pharmaceutical drugs to retail pharmacies, hospitals, and health systems across the United States. The Medical-Surgical Solutions segment contributes by distributing medical-surgical supplies and equipment to healthcare providers. Additionally, McKesson generates revenue through its European Pharmaceutical Solutions segment, which focuses on the distribution of pharmaceuticals in European markets. The company also derives income from technology services, offering software and automation solutions that help healthcare facilities manage their operations more effectively. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers, healthcare providers, and government entities play a critical role in McKesson's operations, allowing the company to maintain a robust supply chain and expand its reach in the global healthcare market.
McKesson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting McKesson’s strengths and potential areas for growth or diversification within its operations.
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting McKesson’s strengths and potential areas for growth or diversification within its operations.
Data provided by:
Main Street Data
Main Street DataMcKesson Financial Statement Overview
Summary
McKesson demonstrates robust revenue growth and operational stability, with efficient EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the balance sheet reflects high leverage with negative equity, posing risks. The cash flow is strong, but declining free cash flow growth could be a challenge. Overall, McKesson is performing well operationally, but needs to address balance sheet leverage to mitigate risk.Income Statement
McKesson shows strong revenue growth with a 11.52% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year. The company has a stable Gross Profit Margin of 3.76% and a healthy Net Profit Margin of 0.82%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 1.23% and 1.37% respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the net income has decreased slightly, which may warrant closer examination.85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio due to negative equity, which is a concern for leverage risk. The Equity Ratio is low at 7.76%, indicating a high reliance on debt. Despite this, the company maintains a reasonable level of total assets, suggesting potential for asset utilization improvement.60
Neutral
Cash Flow
McKesson's cash flow statement reveals a strong Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.88 and a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.78, indicating good cash conversion. However, Free Cash Flow has declined by 38.91% from the previous year, suggesting potential challenges in sustaining cash flow growth.75
Positive
| Breakdown | |||||
| TTM | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | Total Revenue | ||||
| 344.58B | 308.95B | 276.71B | 263.97B | 238.23B | 231.05B | Gross Profit |
| 12.95B | 12.58B | 12.36B | 13.13B | 12.15B | 12.02B | EBIT |
| 4.24B | 3.91B | 4.38B | 2.85B | 3.52B | 1.66B | EBITDA |
| 4.95B | 4.67B | 5.74B | 3.11B | -3.60B | 2.31B | Net Income Common Stockholders |
| 2.83B | 3.00B | 3.56B | 1.11B | -4.34B | 900.00M |
| Balance Sheet | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | ||||
| 1.13B | 4.58B | 4.68B | 3.53B | 6.28B | 4.01B | Total Assets |
| 71.08B | 67.44B | 62.32B | 63.30B | 65.02B | 61.25B | Total Debt |
| 9.76B | 7.39B | 7.29B | 7.54B | 9.40B | 9.40B | Net Debt |
| 8.63B | 2.81B | 2.62B | 4.01B | 3.13B | 5.39B | Total Liabilities |
| 73.78B | 69.04B | 63.81B | 65.09B | 63.57B | 54.54B | Stockholders Equity |
| -3.08B | -1.97B | -1.86B | -2.27B | -21.00M | 5.09B |
| Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | ||||
| 2.02B | 3.63B | 4.60B | 3.90B | 3.90B | 3.87B | Operating Cash Flow |
| 2.48B | 4.31B | 5.16B | 4.43B | 4.54B | 4.37B | Investing Cash Flow |
| -1.09B | -1.07B | -542.00M | -89.00M | -415.00M | -579.00M | Financing Cash Flow |
| -2.08B | -3.34B | -4.37B | -6.32B | -1.69B | -2.73B |
McKesson Technical Analysis
Positive
710.64
Price Trends
687.47
Positive
645.61
Positive
596.90
Positive
Market Momentum
8.20
Negative
54.90
Neutral
77.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 710.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 705.88, above the 50-day MA of 687.47, and above the 200-day MA of 596.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCK.
McKesson Risk Analysis
McKesson disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McKesson reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
McKesson Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $30.83B | 9.04 | 12.59% | ― | 8.85% | 33.30% | |
76 Outperform | $56.78B | 34.00 | 161.58% | 0.73% | 12.18% | -5.92% | |
72 Outperform | $89.98B | 27.96 | 51.23% | 0.38% | 16.22% | 15.29% | |
72 Outperform | $92.87B | 17.15 | -230.22% | 0.71% | 7.30% | 11.60% | |
68 Neutral | $36.40B | 23.81 | -43.80% | 1.32% | 0.78% | 183.45% | |
65 Neutral | $80.63B | 15.23 | 7.00% | 4.28% | 4.84% | -26.54% | |
53 Neutral | $5.14B | 3.06 | -43.57% | 2.81% | 16.81% | -0.12% |
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
MCK
McKesson
710.64
152.49
27.32%
COR
Cencora
290.11
73.09
33.68%
CAH
Cardinal Health
152.49
57.79
61.02%
CNC
Centene
58.07
-16.56
-22.19%
CVS
CVS Health
60.22
7.14
13.45%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
376.64
60.48
19.13%
McKesson Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: 2.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with record revenue and EPS growth, strategic acquisitions, and robust shareholder returns. However, there are challenges related to business divestitures, regulatory uncertainties, and the planned separation of the medical surgical segment.Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Full-year consolidated revenues grew 16% from the prior year, reaching a record level of $359 billion.
Strong Earnings per Share
Adjusted earnings per diluted share was $33.05, exceeding expectations with a year-over-year EPS growth of 20%.
Strategic Acquisitions
Completed acquisition of a controlling interest in PRISM Vision and pending acquisition of Core Ventures, enhancing oncology and specialty capabilities.
U.S. Pharmaceutical Segment Performance
Double-digit growth in revenue and adjusted operating profits, driven by increased prescription volumes and specialty products.
Prescription Technology Solutions Growth
Segment delivered double-digit growth in adjusted operating profit, supported by demand for access and affordability solutions.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Generated $5.2 billion in free cash flow and returned $3.5 billion to shareholders.
Fiscal 2026 Guidance
Projected revenue growth of 11% to 15% and EPS growth of 11% to 14% for fiscal 2026.
Negative Updates
Divestitures Impacting International Segment
Lower contributions in the international segment due to the divestiture of Canada-based Rexall and Well.ca businesses.
Medical Surgical Segment Separation
Announced intent to separate the medical surgical segment into an independent company, raising uncertainty about future structure.
Regulatory and Tariff Uncertainties
Potential impact of Medicare Part B MFN and tariffs on the overall business environment.
International Segment Revenue Decline
Expected revenue decline of 2% to growth of 2% and flat to 5% decline in operating profits for the international segment.
Company Guidance
During McKesson's earnings call for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, the company reported several key metrics reflecting its strong financial performance and future guidance. Full-year consolidated revenues increased by 16% year-over-year, reaching an unprecedented $359 billion. Adjusted earnings per diluted share stood at $33.05, marking a 20% growth, which surpassed the long-term targets of 12% to 14% EPS growth. McKesson returned $3.5 billion in cash to shareholders and projected fiscal 2026 revenue growth between 11% and 15%, with earnings per diluted share expected to range from $36.75 to $37.55, representing 11% to 14% growth year-over-year. The call also highlighted strategic acquisitions, such as PRISM Vision and Core Ventures, and the intent to separate the medical surgical segment into an independent company to further focus on oncology and biopharma services.Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.