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Mckesson Corp. (MCK)
NYSE:MCK

McKesson (MCK) AI Stock Analysis

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McKesson

(NYSE:MCK)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$813.00
▲(13.27%Upside)
McKesson's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, despite valuation concerns and balance sheet risks. Strategic acquisitions and a focus on core business segments bolster future growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The completion of the acquisition of a 70% stake in Core Ventures shifts focus away from deal timing and back to core results, highlighting positive developments for McKesson.
Earnings Guidance
The increase in McKesson's EPS guidance is attributed to operational strength across various segments, which is a modest positive for the company.
Operational Performance
Strong and steady operational performance has led to an encouraging FY26 EPS raise.
Negative Factors
Divestiture Uncertainty
There are lingering investor questions regarding the timing of McKesson's plan to divest its Medical Surgical business.
Regulatory Concerns
The Most-Favored-Nation Drug Pricing Executive Order has generated some investor concern, with potential neutral to negative impact on distributors.

McKesson (MCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

McKesson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMcKesson Corporation provides healthcare services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: U.S. Pharmaceutical, International, Medical-Surgical Solutions, and Prescription Technology Solutions (RxTS). The U.S. Pharmaceutical segment distributes branded, generic, specialty, biosimilar, and over-the-counter pharmaceutical drugs and other healthcare-related products. This segment also provides practice management, technology, clinical support, and business solutions to community-based oncology and other specialty practices; and consulting, outsourcing, technological, and other services, as well as sells financial, operational, and clinical solutions to pharmacies. The International segment offers distribution and services to wholesale, institutional, and retail customers in 13 European countries and Canada. The Medical-Surgical Solutions segment provides medical-surgical supply distribution, logistics, and other services to healthcare providers. The RxTS segment serves biopharma and life sciences partners and patients to address medication challenges for patients throughout their journeys; connects pharmacies, providers, payers, and biopharma companies to deliver innovative access and adherence solutions; and provides third-party logistics and wholesale distribution support solutions. McKesson Corporation was founded in 1833 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcKesson makes money primarily through the distribution of pharmaceuticals and medical products. The U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment is the largest contributor to its revenue, accounting for a significant portion of the company's income by distributing branded and generic pharmaceutical drugs to retail pharmacies, hospitals, and health systems across the United States. The Medical-Surgical Solutions segment contributes by distributing medical-surgical supplies and equipment to healthcare providers. Additionally, McKesson generates revenue through its European Pharmaceutical Solutions segment, which focuses on the distribution of pharmaceuticals in European markets. The company also derives income from technology services, offering software and automation solutions that help healthcare facilities manage their operations more effectively. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers, healthcare providers, and government entities play a critical role in McKesson's operations, allowing the company to maintain a robust supply chain and expand its reach in the global healthcare market.

McKesson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting McKesson’s strengths and potential areas for growth or diversification within its operations.
Chart InsightsMcKesson's U.S. Pharmaceutical segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by increased prescription volumes and specialty products, contributing to double-digit revenue and profit growth. In contrast, the International segment faces challenges due to divestitures, notably in Canada, leading to a revenue decline. The Prescription Technology Solutions segment is also thriving, supported by demand for access and affordability solutions. The planned separation of the Medical-Surgical Solutions segment into an independent company highlights McKesson's strategic focus on oncology and biopharma services, but introduces uncertainty regarding its future structure.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

McKesson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with record revenue and EPS growth, strategic acquisitions, and robust shareholder returns. However, there are challenges related to business divestitures, regulatory uncertainties, and the planned separation of the medical surgical segment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Full-year consolidated revenues grew 16% from the prior year, reaching a record level of $359 billion.
Strong Earnings per Share
Adjusted earnings per diluted share was $33.05, exceeding expectations with a year-over-year EPS growth of 20%.
Strategic Acquisitions
Completed acquisition of a controlling interest in PRISM Vision and pending acquisition of Core Ventures, enhancing oncology and specialty capabilities.
U.S. Pharmaceutical Segment Performance
Double-digit growth in revenue and adjusted operating profits, driven by increased prescription volumes and specialty products.
Prescription Technology Solutions Growth
Segment delivered double-digit growth in adjusted operating profit, supported by demand for access and affordability solutions.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Generated $5.2 billion in free cash flow and returned $3.5 billion to shareholders.
Fiscal 2026 Guidance
Projected revenue growth of 11% to 15% and EPS growth of 11% to 14% for fiscal 2026.
Negative Updates
Divestitures Impacting International Segment
Lower contributions in the international segment due to the divestiture of Canada-based Rexall and Well.ca businesses.
Medical Surgical Segment Separation
Announced intent to separate the medical surgical segment into an independent company, raising uncertainty about future structure.
Regulatory and Tariff Uncertainties
Potential impact of Medicare Part B MFN and tariffs on the overall business environment.
International Segment Revenue Decline
Expected revenue decline of 2% to growth of 2% and flat to 5% decline in operating profits for the international segment.
Company Guidance
During McKesson's earnings call for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, the company reported several key metrics reflecting its strong financial performance and future guidance. Full-year consolidated revenues increased by 16% year-over-year, reaching an unprecedented $359 billion. Adjusted earnings per diluted share stood at $33.05, marking a 20% growth, which surpassed the long-term targets of 12% to 14% EPS growth. McKesson returned $3.5 billion in cash to shareholders and projected fiscal 2026 revenue growth between 11% and 15%, with earnings per diluted share expected to range from $36.75 to $37.55, representing 11% to 14% growth year-over-year. The call also highlighted strategic acquisitions, such as PRISM Vision and Core Ventures, and the intent to separate the medical surgical segment into an independent company to further focus on oncology and biopharma services.

McKesson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
McKesson demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by robust cash flow generation. However, negative equity and high leverage in the balance sheet pose potential risks, necessitating careful management of financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
McKesson's income statement reflects strong revenue growth and improved profitability. The gross profit margin remained stable, while the net profit margin improved to 0.92% in 2025 from 0.97% in 2024, indicating better cost management. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to 2025 was 16.2%, showcasing robust business expansion. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins showed modest improvement, highlighting room for operational efficiency enhancements.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of McKesson shows a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity, posing a risk. The ROE is negative owing to negative equity, but the company has managed to maintain a stable total asset base. The equity ratio remains negative due to negative stockholders' equity, which is concerning from a financial stability perspective.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
McKesson's cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow growth, increasing from $3.63 billion in 2024 to $6.08 billion in 2025, indicating excellent cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, signifying effective cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio also improved, further supporting the company's liquidity and investment capacity.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
359.05B308.95B276.71B263.97B238.23B
Gross Profit
13.32B12.58B12.36B13.13B12.15B
EBIT
4.42B3.91B4.38B2.85B3.52B
EBITDA
5.26B4.67B5.74B3.11B-3.60B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.29B3.00B3.56B1.11B-4.34B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.69B4.58B4.68B3.53B6.28B
Total Assets
75.14B67.44B62.32B63.30B65.02B
Total Debt
7.39B7.39B7.29B7.54B9.40B
Net Debt
1.70B2.81B2.62B4.01B3.13B
Total Liabilities
76.83B69.04B63.81B65.09B63.57B
Stockholders Equity
-2.07B-1.97B-1.86B-2.27B-21.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.08B3.63B4.60B3.90B3.90B
Operating Cash Flow
6.08B4.31B5.16B4.43B4.54B
Investing Cash Flow
-733.00M-1.07B-542.00M-89.00M-415.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-3.96B-3.34B-4.37B-6.32B-1.69B

McKesson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price717.76
Price Trends
50DMA
700.61
Positive
100DMA
662.36
Positive
200DMA
606.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.71
Positive
RSI
55.96
Neutral
STOCH
43.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 717.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 713.11, above the 50-day MA of 700.61, and above the 200-day MA of 606.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCK.

McKesson Risk Analysis

McKesson disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McKesson reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McKesson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
COCOR
78
Outperform
$55.09B32.99161.58%0.77%12.18%-5.92%
CNCNC
77
Outperform
$27.62B8.2312.59%8.85%33.30%
MCMCK
76
Outperform
$88.19B27.4051.23%0.40%16.22%15.29%
HCHCA
76
Outperform
$87.79B16.21-230.22%0.79%7.30%11.60%
CACAH
70
Outperform
$36.54B23.91-43.80%1.32%0.78%183.45%
CVCVS
69
Neutral
$81.29B15.357.00%4.14%4.84%-26.54%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.40-45.06%3.28%16.75%-0.02%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCK
McKesson
717.76
129.35
21.98%
COR
Cencora
286.64
56.40
24.50%
CAH
Cardinal Health
153.53
54.69
55.33%
CNC
Centene
55.27
-13.71
-19.88%
CVS
CVS Health
65.72
7.39
12.67%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
367.59
29.40
8.69%

McKesson Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
McKesson Updates Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Outlook
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, McKesson Corporation announced updates to its Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Outlook, increasing its full year Adjusted Earnings per Diluted Share guidance and reaffirming its effective tax rate guidance. The company highlighted potential risks and uncertainties that could impact its financial performance, including legal disputes, cybersecurity incidents, and changes in healthcare laws, which stakeholders should consider.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCK) stock is a Hold with a $540.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McKesson stock, see the MCK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
McKesson Issues $2 Billion Notes for Acquisition
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, McKesson Corporation issued $2 billion in unsecured and unsubordinated notes with varying interest rates due in 2030, 2032, and 2035. The proceeds will fund the acquisition of a 70% controlling interest in Community Oncology Revitalization Enterprise Ventures, LLC, indicating a strategic move to expand its footprint in oncology services.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCK) stock is a Hold with a $540.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McKesson stock, see the MCK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.