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Mckesson Corp. (MCK)
NYSE:MCK
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McKesson (MCK) AI Stock Analysis

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MCK

McKesson

(NYSE:MCK)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$725.00
▲(10.01% Upside)
McKesson's strong earnings performance and strategic acquisitions are the most significant factors driving the score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The balance sheet's negative equity remains a concern, but robust cash flow generation provides some offsetting strength.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
MCK's FY1Q'26 results were fairly solid, with all three key segments coming in above consensus expectations on an adjusted EBIT basis.
Growth Strategy
Management remains positive about the future contribution of biosimilars and the recently acquired PRISM business.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in the future performance of the US Pharma segment, raising its guidance to the upper half of the 12-16% range.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
Fiscal Q1 consensus EPS may be too high according to the analysis.
Peer Performance
Peer COR's US Healthcare performance had more upside than MCK's US Pharma segment.
Stock Pressure
Not a blow-out, and could represent potential modest stock pressure given the dynamics of the results (and lack of significant upside), but underlying momentum still appears fairly solid.

McKesson (MCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

McKesson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMcKesson Corporation is a leading global healthcare services and information technology company headquartered in Irving, Texas. It operates primarily in the pharmaceutical distribution and healthcare services sectors, providing a comprehensive range of products and services to healthcare providers, including hospitals, pharmacies, and pharmaceutical manufacturers. McKesson's core offerings involve the distribution of pharmaceuticals and medical supplies, healthcare management software, and various technology solutions aimed at improving patient care and operational efficiency across the healthcare continuum.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcKesson generates revenue primarily through its pharmaceutical distribution segment, which involves the sale of branded and generic pharmaceuticals to hospitals, pharmacies, and other healthcare providers. This segment accounts for a significant portion of the company's revenue, driven by the volume of drugs distributed and the associated service fees. Additionally, McKesson earns revenue from its medical-surgical distribution services, where it supplies medical supplies and equipment to healthcare facilities. Another key revenue stream comes from its technology solutions, which include software and services designed to streamline healthcare operations and enhance patient care delivery. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical manufacturers and healthcare providers, allowing it to optimize its supply chain, enhance service offerings, and tap into new markets. Overall, McKesson's diverse revenue model, supported by its scale and industry relationships, contributes to its financial stability and growth.

McKesson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across various business segments, indicating which areas are growing or declining and where the company is focusing its efforts.
Chart InsightsMcKesson's U.S. Pharmaceutical segment shows robust growth, driven by increased prescription volumes and specialty products, aligning with earnings call highlights of double-digit revenue and profit growth. Conversely, the International segment faces challenges, with revenue declines linked to divestitures like Rexall and Well.ca. The Prescription Technology Solutions segment benefits from strong demand for affordability solutions, while the Medical-Surgical Solutions segment is set for separation, introducing structural uncertainty. Overall, McKesson projects strong fiscal 2026 growth, underpinned by strategic acquisitions and a focus on oncology and biopharma services.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

McKesson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -6.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
McKesson's earnings call conveyed a strong performance this quarter with substantial revenue growth and successful strategic acquisitions. Despite some challenges, such as the impact from Rite Aid's bankruptcy and the exit from European operations, the company showed robust operational execution and raised its full-year guidance, indicating a positive outlook.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
McKesson reported record consolidated revenues of $97.8 billion, an increase of 23% over the prior year.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
McKesson raised its full year guidance to $37.10 to $37.90, up from the previous range of $36.90 to $37.70, reflecting strong performance and confidence in continued growth.
Successful Strategic Acquisitions
McKesson completed acquisitions of controlling interests in Core Ventures and PRISM Vision, enhancing their oncology and ophthalmology platforms.
Strong Segment Performance
Three segments delivered double-digit growth in adjusted operating profit. Prescription Technology Solutions saw a 21% increase in operating profit.
Negative Updates
Rite Aid Bankruptcy Impact
A GAAP-only pretax provision for bad debts of $189 million was recorded due to Rite Aid's second bankruptcy filing.
European Operations Exit
McKesson announced the sale of its Norway business, marking the final phase of divesting its European operations, which reflects a strategic shift but also a contraction in their geographical presence.
Company Guidance
During McKesson's First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported record consolidated revenues of $97.8 billion, which marked a 23% increase over the prior year. Adjusted operating profit rose by 9% to $1.4 billion, with three segments achieving double-digit growth in adjusted operating profit. The company raised its full-year guidance, projecting earnings per diluted share to range between $37.10 and $37.90, up from the previous range of $36.90 to $37.70. The U.S. Pharmaceutical segment saw a 25% revenue increase to $90 billion, supported by increased prescription volumes and specialty products distribution. Meanwhile, the Prescription Technology Solutions segment experienced 16% revenue growth, driven by demand for access and affordability solutions. McKesson's strategic acquisitions, such as PRISM Vision and Core Ventures, are anticipated to contribute 6% to 7% to the fiscal 2026 U.S. Pharmaceutical segment's operating profit growth. The company's financial outlook for the year includes revenue growth of 11% to 15% and operating profit growth of 9% to 13%, with an effective tax rate ranging from 17% to 19%.

McKesson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
McKesson demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by robust cash flow generation. However, the balance sheet's negative equity and high leverage pose potential risks. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and managing leverage will be crucial for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
McKesson's income statement reflects strong revenue growth and improved profitability. The gross profit margin remained stable, while the net profit margin improved to 0.92% in 2025 from 0.97% in 2024, indicating better cost management. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to 2025 was 16.2%, showcasing robust business expansion. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins showed modest improvement, highlighting room for operational efficiency enhancements.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of McKesson shows a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity, posing a risk. The ROE is negative owing to negative equity, but the company has managed to maintain a stable total asset base. The equity ratio remains negative due to negative stockholders' equity, which is concerning from a financial stability perspective.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
McKesson's cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow growth, increasing from $3.63 billion in 2024 to $6.08 billion in 2025, indicating excellent cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, signifying effective cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio also improved, further supporting the company's liquidity and investment capacity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue359.05B359.05B308.95B276.71B263.97B238.23B
Gross Profit13.32B12.48B12.20B11.87B12.65B11.58B
EBITDA5.26B5.25B4.67B5.74B3.11B-3.60B
Net Income3.29B3.29B3.00B3.56B1.11B-4.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.14B75.14B67.44B62.32B63.30B65.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.69B5.69B4.58B4.68B3.53B6.28B
Total Debt7.39B7.39B7.39B7.29B7.54B9.40B
Total Liabilities76.83B76.83B69.04B63.81B65.09B63.57B
Stockholders Equity-2.07B-2.07B-1.97B-1.86B-2.27B-21.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.23B5.23B3.63B4.60B3.90B3.90B
Operating Cash Flow6.08B6.08B4.31B5.16B4.43B4.54B
Investing Cash Flow-733.00M-733.00M-1.07B-542.00M-89.00M-415.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.96B-3.96B-3.34B-4.37B-6.32B-1.69B

McKesson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price659.01
Price Trends
50DMA
711.83
Negative
100DMA
702.37
Negative
200DMA
648.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-11.70
Positive
RSI
31.92
Neutral
STOCH
30.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 659.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 700.30, below the 50-day MA of 711.83, and above the 200-day MA of 648.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -11.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MCK.

McKesson Risk Analysis

McKesson disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McKesson reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McKesson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$83.68B26.8451.23%0.43%20.35%11.96%
65
Neutral
¥341.96B10.87-0.16%2.41%10.05%-9.84%
64
Neutral
$3.21B15.3212.05%0.63%4.23%
63
Neutral
$37.63B24.62-43.80%1.39%-1.94%85.70%
61
Neutral
$56.36B29.90130.60%0.75%11.56%5.31%
61
Neutral
$8.02B21.2611.18%2.29%14.98%
44
Neutral
$354.72M-144.11%-17.10%-2720.40%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCK
McKesson
659.01
108.67
19.75%
COR
Cencora
289.15
52.93
22.41%
CAH
Cardinal Health
146.30
41.59
39.72%
HSIC
Henry Schein
67.50
-1.01
-1.47%
OMI
Owens & Minor
5.47
-10.04
-64.73%
PBH
Prestige Consumer Healthcare
65.31
-2.17
-3.22%

McKesson Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
McKesson Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting, Key Decisions Made
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On July 30, 2025, McKesson Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key decisions were made. The election of board members saw all nominated individuals successfully appointed, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. Additionally, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved, reflecting shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCK) stock is a Buy with a $579.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McKesson stock, see the MCK Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
McKesson Updates Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Outlook
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, McKesson Corporation announced updates to its Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Outlook, increasing its full year Adjusted Earnings per Diluted Share guidance and reaffirming its effective tax rate guidance. The company highlighted potential risks and uncertainties that could impact its financial performance, including legal disputes, cybersecurity incidents, and changes in healthcare laws, which stakeholders should consider.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCK) stock is a Hold with a $540.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McKesson stock, see the MCK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
McKesson Issues $2 Billion Notes for Acquisition
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, McKesson Corporation issued $2 billion in unsecured and unsubordinated notes with varying interest rates due in 2030, 2032, and 2035. The proceeds will fund the acquisition of a 70% controlling interest in Community Oncology Revitalization Enterprise Ventures, LLC, indicating a strategic move to expand its footprint in oncology services.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCK) stock is a Hold with a $540.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McKesson stock, see the MCK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025