tiprankstipranks
Mckesson Corp. (MCK)
NYSE:MCK

McKesson (MCK) AI Stock Analysis

2,241 Followers

Top Page

MCK

McKesson

(NYSE:MCK)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$964.00
▲(11.37% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/06/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash generation and solid operating performance, reinforced by a constructive earnings call with raised FY2026 guidance and continued capital returns. Offsetting these positives are balance-sheet leverage/volatility and weaker near-term technical momentum, with valuation appearing only average given the P/E and very low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Very strong and recurring free cash flow provides durable internal funding to service debt, sustain ~$2B planned buybacks, and fund technology and separation costs. Reliable cash conversion reduces dependence on external financing and underpins strategic initiatives over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Leverage & Volatile Equity
Sizable debt and historically negative equity reduce balance-sheet resilience and limit financial flexibility. Capital structure volatility can amplify stress in downturns, constrain M&A or buybacks, and heighten refinancing and covenant sensitivity over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Very strong and recurring free cash flow provides durable internal funding to service debt, sustain ~$2B planned buybacks, and fund technology and separation costs. Reliable cash conversion reduces dependence on external financing and underpins strategic initiatives over multiple years.
Read all positive factors

McKesson (MCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

McKesson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
McKesson Corporation provides healthcare services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: U.S. Pharmaceutical, International, Medical-Surgical Solutions, and Prescription Technology Solutions (RxTS). The U.S. P...
How the Company Makes Money
McKesson makes money primarily through healthcare distribution and associated services, with revenue largely tied to the volume of products it sources from manufacturers and delivers to customers (e.g., retail pharmacies, hospitals, and other prov...

McKesson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across various business segments, indicating which areas are growing or declining and where the company is focusing its efforts.
Chart InsightsMcKesson's U.S. Pharmaceutical segment is experiencing robust growth, with a notable 25% revenue increase, driven by higher prescription volumes and specialty product distribution. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on the U.S. market, as evidenced by their exit from European operations. The Prescription Technology Solutions segment also shows strong momentum, with 16% revenue growth fueled by demand for access and affordability solutions. Strategic acquisitions are expected to further boost operating profit, despite challenges like Rite Aid's bankruptcy. Overall, McKesson's raised guidance reflects confidence in sustained growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

McKesson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a broadly positive operational and financial picture: strong double-digit top-line and EPS growth, raised full-year guidance, robust segment performance (notably oncology, specialty distribution and RxTS), solid cash generation, active buybacks, and successful acquisition integrations. Challenges are relatively contained: medical-surgical profitability pressure, quarter-to-quarter variability driven by seasonality/launch timing, and some uncertainty around GLP-1 channel evolution and near-term technology investment costs. Overall, the positives (growth, margin expansion, cash flow, strategic progress) materially outweigh the noted headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Strong EPS
Consolidated revenues increased 11% year-over-year to $106.2 billion. Third quarter diluted EPS increased 16% to $9.34, driven by operational performance and acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Medical-Surgical Segment Pressure
Medical-surgical revenues were $3.0 billion (up 1% YoY) but operating profit declined 10% to $265 million, attributed to lower physician office volumes and a milder illness season.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue and Strong EPS
Consolidated revenues increased 11% year-over-year to $106.2 billion. Third quarter diluted EPS increased 16% to $9.34, driven by operational performance and acquisitions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised and narrowed fiscal 2026 guidance to adjusted EPS of $38.80–$39.20 (up 17–19% y/y), revenue growth of 12–16%, and operating profit growth of 13–17%. Segment outlooks: North American Pharmaceutical revenue +10–14% and operating profit +8–12%; Oncology & Multispecialty revenue +29–33% and operating profit +51–55% (with Prism Vision and Core Ventures expected to contribute ~30–34% of the segment’s operating profit growth); Prescription Technology Solutions revenue +9–13% and operating profit +14–18%. Corporate expenses are guided to $620–$650M (including $15M YTD pretax gains), interest expense $215–$235M, income attributable to noncontrolling interest $230–$250M, and an effective tax rate of ~19%. Cash flow and capital priorities include free cash flow of ~$4.4–$4.8B for FY26, ~ $2B of planned share repurchases, and weighted average diluted shares of ~124M; management also noted an incremental Q4 technology investment cost of about $0.05 per share versus the prior year.

McKesson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating fundamentals are strong (Income Statement 78) with consistently positive revenue growth and solid earnings since 2022, and cash generation is a standout (Cash Flow 88) with very strong recent free cash flow. The key offset is a weak/volatile balance sheet (Balance Sheet 38) marked by sizable leverage and historically negative equity, which meaningfully constrains overall financial quality.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue397.96B359.05B308.95B276.71B263.97B238.23B
Gross Profit13.43B12.48B12.20B11.87B12.65B11.58B
EBITDA6.47B5.25B4.67B5.74B3.11B-3.60B
Net Income4.34B3.29B3.00B3.56B1.11B-4.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.19B75.14B67.44B62.32B63.30B65.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.96B5.69B4.58B4.68B3.53B6.28B
Total Debt8.62B7.39B7.39B7.29B7.54B9.40B
Total Liabilities84.29B76.83B69.04B63.81B65.09B63.57B
Stockholders Equity-1.30B-2.07B-1.97B-1.86B-2.27B-21.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.10B5.23B3.63B4.60B3.90B3.90B
Operating Cash Flow10.48B6.08B4.31B5.16B4.43B4.54B
Investing Cash Flow-4.08B-733.00M-1.07B-542.00M-89.00M-415.00M
Financing Cash Flow-4.67B-3.96B-3.34B-4.37B-6.32B-1.69B

McKesson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price865.60
Price Trends
50DMA
912.79
Negative
100DMA
871.12
Negative
200DMA
802.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-14.93
Positive
RSI
40.98
Neutral
STOCH
58.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 865.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 884.97, below the 50-day MA of 912.79, and above the 200-day MA of 802.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -14.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MCK.

McKesson Risk Analysis

McKesson disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McKesson reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McKesson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$2.68B15.8111.29%-0.02%-1.87%
68
Neutral
$106.98B21.30-245.27%0.37%17.23%66.17%
65
Neutral
$50.72B25.74-58.93%0.98%4.37%28.48%
65
Neutral
$8.67B23.1111.92%3.51%29.65%
64
Neutral
$62.41B29.30101.43%0.66%9.31%5.92%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCK
McKesson
865.60
174.35
25.22%
COR
Cencora
320.82
38.56
13.66%
CAH
Cardinal Health
215.52
82.24
61.71%
HSIC
Henry Schein
75.34
9.73
14.83%
PBH
Prestige Consumer Healthcare
56.55
-25.57
-31.14%

McKesson Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
McKesson Secures New $2 Billion Senior Credit Facilities
Positive
Apr 6, 2026
On April 1, 2026, McKesson subsidiaries, including McKesson Medical-Surgical Top Holdings, entered into a new senior secured credit agreement totaling $2 billion, comprising a $750 million term loan A-1 due 2031, a $250 million term loan A-2 due 2...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
McKesson Affirms Fiscal 2026 Outlook, Sets Earnings Date
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
McKesson Corporation said on March 6, 2026, that it will release its fourth quarter fiscal 2026 results after market close on May 7, 2026, followed by a webcasted earnings call led by CEO Brian Tyler and CFO Britt Vitalone. The company also reaffi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 06, 2026