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Henry Schein (HSIC)
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Henry Schein (HSIC) AI Stock Analysis

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HSIC

Henry Schein

(NASDAQ:HSIC)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$68.00
▲(4.89% Upside)
Henry Schein's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance and moderate valuation. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which is a concern. The earnings call provided mixed sentiment, with strong growth in certain areas but challenges in margins and expenses. Corporate events, while significant, are already considered in the earnings analysis.
Positive Factors
E-commerce Launch
The coming launch of the new e-commerce site could position Schein well to deliver on its long-term goals.
Investments
Management spoke optimistically about recent investments like second-quarter promotional activities helping recapture incremental distribution business.
Partnership Benefits
The business starts to see some early benefits of its partnership with KKR and two other consulting firms.
Negative Factors
Customer Transition
Heartland Dental, the largest DSO in the U.S. and HSIC's biggest single customer, has recently fielded a 'Request for Solutions' and is considering moving the entirety of its consumables/equipment/services business away from HSIC.
Market Share Loss
Future U.S. share losses for Henry Schein’s consumables business are expected, predominantly to online solutions.
Stock Valuation Concern
Henry Schein's stock currently trades at a slight premium to its three-year average relative to the XLV, which is concerning given market share issues.

Henry Schein (HSIC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Henry Schein Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHenry Schein, Inc. is a leading global distributor of healthcare products and services to office-based dental and medical practitioners. The company operates in two main sectors: healthcare distribution and technology. It offers a comprehensive range of products, including dental supplies, medical supplies, and equipment, as well as value-added services such as practice management software solutions and consulting services. With a strong global presence and a focus on providing innovative solutions, Henry Schein supports healthcare professionals in delivering quality care to their patients.
How the Company Makes MoneyHenry Schein makes money primarily through the distribution of healthcare products and services. The company's revenue model is built on selling dental and medical supplies, equipment, and pharmaceuticals to healthcare practitioners. A significant portion of its revenue comes from the sale of consumables and equipment in the dental and medical segments. Additionally, Henry Schein generates income from technology and value-added services, including practice management software, e-commerce solutions, and consulting services. Key revenue streams include direct sales to healthcare providers and partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, which enable the company to offer a broad portfolio of products. The company's global reach and strong distribution network contribute significantly to its earnings by ensuring efficient and timely delivery of products to its customers.

Henry Schein Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment. While there is strong performance in the Specialty Products and Technology groups, successful platform launches, and positive sales trends, there are notable challenges with lower margins from glove pricing, temporary sales impacts, and increased operating expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Specialty Products and Technology Group Performance
Achieved over 45% of non-GAAP operating income from high-growth, high-margin businesses, with a goal to exceed 50%. Specialty Products and Technology groups delivered strong results driven by sales growth and profitability.
Successful Launch of New Global E-commerce Platform
After launching the e-commerce platform in the U.K. and Ireland, Henry Schein began a phased launch in North America, expected to continue into the fourth quarter.
U.S. Medical Business Growth
Sales grew mid-single digits, with strong growth in medical products and pharmaceuticals, partially due to new accounts and the Home Solutions business.
Positive Trends in July Sales
Strong merchandise sales in July, leading to optimism about future results.
Digital Equipment and Practice Management Software Growth
Digital equipment volumes grew well, and Practice Management Software saw mid double-digit growth driven by a 20% year-over-year increase of cloud-based customers.
Negative Updates
Lower Margins Due to Glove Pricing
Lower margins in the U.S. primarily resulted from lower glove pricing and time-limited targeted sales initiatives.
Temporary Impact on U.S. Dental Equipment Sales
Sales were temporarily impacted by market uncertainty related to tariffs, with some installation deferrals to the third quarter.
Orthodontic Business Decline
Sales in the orthodontic business declined year-over-year, despite being a small part of the Specialty Products business.
Pressure on Operating Margins
GAAP operating margin decreased by 42 basis points and non-GAAP operating margin decreased by 79 basis points compared to the prior year.
Restructuring and Increased Operating Expenses
Restructuring expenses of $23 million and higher operating expenses due to acquisitions, increased technology and marketing investments, and non-income tax credits not recurring this year.
Company Guidance
During Henry Schein's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company maintained its full-year guidance, projecting non-GAAP diluted EPS to range between $4.80 and $4.94, with adjusted EBITDA expected to grow in the mid-single digits over the 2024 baseline of $1.1 billion. Total sales growth for 2025 is anticipated to be 2% to 4% higher than in 2024, with a non-GAAP effective tax rate of approximately 25%. The company reported global sales of $3.2 billion for the quarter, marking a 3.3% increase over the previous year. Notably, 45% of non-GAAP operating income was derived from high-growth, high-margin businesses, with an aim to exceed 50% in the future. Despite facing pressures from glove pricing and targeted sales initiatives, the company achieved over $100 million in anticipated savings from restructuring by the end of the year. Henry Schein also highlighted its partnership with KKR's Capstone and the engagement of management consulting firms to enhance distribution gross margins and drive efficiencies, with results expected in early 2026.

Henry Schein Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Henry Schein shows stable financial health with consistent profitability, efficient cash flow management, and a balanced capital structure. While revenue growth is flat, strong cash generation and healthy margins support operational efficiency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company exhibits stable gross and net profit margins with a Gross Profit Margin of 31.1% and a Net Profit Margin of 3.2% for TTM. Revenue growth has plateaued recently, with a slight decline in TTM revenue compared to the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 5.2% and 7.7%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The Debt-to-Equity Ratio stands at 0.97, reflecting moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 12.3%, showcasing decent profitability on equity, though it has decreased over time. The Equity Ratio of 31.6% indicates a balanced approach to financing between debt and equity.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
The company demonstrates strong cash flow management with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.69 for TTM, indicating robust cash generation from operations. Free Cash Flow has seen a decline in growth, but remains positive at $518 million, supporting operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.77B12.67B12.34B12.65B12.40B10.12B
Gross Profit3.94B4.02B3.86B3.83B3.67B2.81B
EBITDA961.00M941.00M877.00M1.08B1.07B726.81M
Net Income389.00M390.00M416.00M538.00M631.00M403.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.91B10.22B10.57B8.61B8.48B7.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments145.00M122.00M171.00M117.00M117.97M421.19M
Total Debt3.36B2.87B2.74B1.50B1.22B1.00B
Total Liabilities6.01B5.38B5.42B3.94B4.42B3.79B
Stockholders Equity3.44B3.39B3.65B3.45B3.43B3.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow358.00M661.00M313.00M506.00M630.57M550.08M
Operating Cash Flow512.00M848.00M500.00M602.00M709.58M598.91M
Investing Cash Flow-394.00M-430.00M-1.14B-276.00M-677.22M-115.02M
Financing Cash Flow-52.00M-510.00M701.00M-315.00M-332.96M-187.19M

Henry Schein Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price64.83
Price Trends
50DMA
71.40
Negative
100DMA
69.62
Negative
200DMA
71.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.10
Positive
RSI
33.35
Neutral
STOCH
22.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HSIC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 64.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.57, below the 50-day MA of 71.40, and below the 200-day MA of 71.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HSIC.

Henry Schein Risk Analysis

Henry Schein disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Henry Schein reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Henry Schein Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.77B20.2114.15%-0.85%-23.40%
69
Neutral
$88.62B27.5851.23%0.40%16.22%15.29%
65
Neutral
¥342.45B8.70-3.93%2.47%11.16%-19.70%
63
Neutral
$37.77B24.71-43.80%1.30%0.78%183.45%
61
Neutral
$7.89B20.8511.18%2.29%14.98%
58
Neutral
$56.66B34.08161.58%0.74%11.56%5.31%
44
Neutral
$498.76M-49.91%2.84%-828.91%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HSIC
Henry Schein
64.83
-3.33
-4.89%
COR
Cencora
292.35
57.38
24.42%
CAH
Cardinal Health
158.62
61.23
62.87%
MCK
McKesson
709.49
164.44
30.17%
OMI
Owens & Minor
6.51
-8.80
-57.48%
PDCO
Patterson Companies
31.33
7.20
29.84%

Henry Schein Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Henry Schein CEO Stanley Bergman Announces Retirement
Positive
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, Henry Schein announced that its long-serving CEO, Stanley M. Bergman, will retire at the end of the year after 45 years with the company, including over 35 years as CEO. Bergman will remain as Chairman of the Board, and the company has initiated a search for his successor. Under Bergman’s leadership, Henry Schein grew significantly, transforming from a small dental mail-order company into a global leader in healthcare solutions. The company’s revenue increased from $225 million in 1989 to nearly $13 billion in 2024, with a market capitalization approaching $9 billion. Bergman’s strategic vision and leadership have been pivotal in positioning Henry Schein as a key player in the healthcare industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HSIC) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Henry Schein stock, see the HSIC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Henry Schein Amends $750M Term Loan Agreement
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Henry Schein, Inc. amended and restated its existing $750 million term loan credit agreement and $1 billion revolving credit agreement. These amendments extend the termination date of the term loan to June 6, 2030, and modify certain financial definitions and covenants. The company plans to utilize these facilities for working capital, general corporate purposes, capital expenditures, stock repurchase, refinancing existing debt, and potential acquisitions. The agreements include customary representations, warranties, covenants, and events of default, impacting the company’s operational flexibility and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (HSIC) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Henry Schein stock, see the HSIC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Henry Schein Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Henry Schein, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key proposals were approved, including the election of twelve directors for terms expiring in 2026, and the election of Max Lin and William K. ‘Dan’ Daniel as directors. The meeting also saw the approval of the 2024 compensation for Named Executive Officers and the ratification of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 27, 2025. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (HSIC) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Henry Schein stock, see the HSIC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Henry Schein Completes $250M Deal with KKR
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Henry Schein, Inc. completed a $250 million strategic investment deal with KKR, making KKR the holder of approximately 12% of Henry Schein’s common shares. This investment is part of a strategic partnership agreement that also led to the appointment of William K. ‘Dan’ Daniel to Henry Schein’s Board of Directors. Daniel, an Executive Advisor at KKR, brings over three decades of leadership experience in the industrial and healthcare sectors. His appointment, alongside Max Lin from KKR, is expected to support Henry Schein’s strategic growth and long-term value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HSIC) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Henry Schein stock, see the HSIC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025