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Cardinal Health (CAH)
NYSE:CAH
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Cardinal Health (CAH) AI Stock Analysis

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CAH

Cardinal Health

(NYSE:CAH)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$165.00
▲(7.35% Upside)
Cardinal Health's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings growth and strategic acquisitions, which are expected to enhance future performance. However, significant financial leverage and cash flow management issues present risks. The technical indicators suggest a mild bullish trend, while the valuation appears relatively high, limiting upside potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant growth in the Pharmaceutical segment demonstrates Cardinal Health's strong market position and ability to capitalize on demand for branded and specialty pharmaceuticals, which is crucial for sustained revenue expansion.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Solaris Health is a strategic move to enhance Cardinal Health's specialty solutions, expanding its multi-specialty MSO platform. This positions the company for long-term growth by broadening its service offerings and strengthening its competitive edge.
Free Cash Flow
The strong free cash flow performance, exceeding expectations by $500 million, underscores Cardinal Health's effective cash management and operational efficiency, providing financial flexibility for future investments and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
The significant leverage indicated by a negative debt-to-equity ratio poses financial risks, potentially limiting Cardinal Health's ability to invest in growth opportunities and impacting its long-term financial stability.
SG&A Expenses
The rise in SG&A expenses, driven by acquisitions and investments, could pressure margins if not managed effectively, potentially affecting profitability and requiring strategic cost control measures.
Tariff Challenges
Tariff-related challenges in the GMPD segment highlight external risks that could impact cost structures and profitability. Ongoing efforts to mitigate these impacts are crucial for maintaining competitive pricing and margins.

Cardinal Health (CAH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cardinal Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCardinal Health, Inc. operates as an integrated healthcare services and products company in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It provides customized solutions for hospitals, healthcare systems, pharmacies, ambulatory surgery centers, clinical laboratories, physician offices, and patients in the home. The company operates in two segments, Pharmaceutical and Medical. The Pharmaceutical segment distributes branded and generic pharmaceutical, specialty pharmaceutical, and over-the-counter healthcare and consumer products. The segment also provides services to pharmaceutical manufacturers and healthcare providers for specialty pharmaceutical products; operates nuclear pharmacies and radiopharmaceutical manufacturing facilities; repackages generic pharmaceuticals and over-the-counter healthcare products; and offers medication therapy management and patient outcomes services to hospitals, other healthcare providers, and payers, as well as provides pharmacy management services to hospitals. The Medical segment manufactures, sources, and distributes Cardinal Health branded medical, surgical, and laboratory products and devices that include exam and surgical gloves; needles, syringe, and sharps disposals; compressions; incontinences; nutritional delivery products; wound care products; single-use surgical drapes, gowns, and apparels; fluid suction and collection systems; urology products; operating room supply products; and electrode product lines. The segment also distributes a range of national brand products, including medical, surgical, and laboratory products; provides supply chain services and solutions to hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, clinical laboratories, and other healthcare providers; and assembles and sells sterile, and non-sterile procedure kits. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyCardinal Health generates revenue primarily through two key segments: Pharmaceutical and Medical. In the Pharmaceutical segment, the company earns money by distributing branded and generic pharmaceuticals, as well as providing related services such as inventory management and pharmacy solutions to healthcare providers. The Medical segment generates revenue through the sale of medical products, surgical supplies, and equipment to hospitals and healthcare facilities. Additionally, Cardinal Health benefits from long-term contracts with various healthcare providers, which ensure a steady stream of income. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and leveraging technology for supply chain efficiencies also contribute to its earnings. The company's ability to negotiate favorable pricing with suppliers and manage logistics effectively enhances its profitability.

Cardinal Health Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Profit by Segment
Profit by Segment
Shows profitability across different business units, highlighting which areas drive earnings and where there might be challenges or opportunities for growth.
Chart InsightsCardinal Health's Pharmaceutical segment shows robust growth, with a notable profit increase driven by brand and specialty pharmaceutical sales, aligning with a 14% segment profit rise reported in the latest earnings call. The Medical segment, however, continues to face volatility, with recent profits recovering from previous lows but still under pressure. The company's strategic acquisitions and customer onboarding are expected to bolster future performance, although challenges in the GMPD segment due to tariffs may pose risks. Overall, the company anticipates sustainable long-term growth, supported by strong cash flow and strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Cardinal Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and growth in several business segments. However, it also acknowledged challenges with SG&A expenses and tariff impacts. Overall, the positives slightly outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating Earnings Growth
At the enterprise level, operating earnings grew 19% in Q4 and 15% for the year. EPS increased by 13% in Q4 and over 9% for the year.
Pharmaceutical Segment Expansion
Excluding customer contract expiration, Pharma segment revenue increased by 22% in Q4, driven by brand and specialty pharmaceutical sales growth.
Acquisition of Solaris Health
Announced acquisition of Solaris Health, enhancing the Specialty Alliances multi-specialty MSO platform and expanding the urology alliance physician network.
Growth in OptiFreight Logistics
OptiFreight Logistics continued to grow, driven by strategic logistics support to customers and technology-driven platform enhancements.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Delivered $2.5 billion in adjusted free cash flow, $500 million ahead of expectations.
Negative Updates
SG&A Expenses Increase
SG&A expenses increased by 16% in Q4, driven by recent acquisitions and investments in technology and R&D.
Challenges Due to Tariffs
GMPD segment faced $50 million to $75 million headwind due to tariffs, with ongoing efforts to mitigate these impacts.
Impact of Customer Contract Expiration
Total company revenue was flat at $60.2 billion in Q4, primarily due to a significant customer contract expiration.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, Cardinal Health showcased strong financial performance, with operating earnings growing 19% for the quarter and 15% for the year. The company achieved an EPS growth of 13% in the quarter and over 9% for the year, with a notable adjusted free cash flow of $2.5 billion, surpassing expectations by $500 million. Cardinal Health also invested $550 million in capital expenditures and returned nearly $500 million to shareholders through dividends, while repurchasing $750 million in shares. The Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment saw robust demand, contributing to a 21% increase in enterprise-level revenue when adjusted for contract expirations. The GMPD segment delivered $70 million in profit for the quarter, with significant progress in cost containment and supply chain optimization. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Cardinal Health has increased its EPS guidance to a range of $9.30 to $9.50, reflecting anticipated growth of 13% to 15%, driven by strategic investments and acquisitions, such as Solaris Health, which is expected to enhance the company's multi-specialty MSO platform and expand its specialty solutions.

Cardinal Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cardinal Health shows strong revenue growth and improving operational margins, but faces significant challenges with its balance sheet due to high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow management needs attention, as declining free cash flow could impact liquidity. Strategic initiatives to strengthen the balance sheet and enhance cash flow generation are crucial for long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Cardinal Health has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 13.1% increase in the latest year, reflecting robust demand in the medical distribution sector. The gross profit margin has improved slightly to 3.67%, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 0.70%, suggesting challenges in translating revenue growth into net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown improvement, but remain modest, highlighting potential areas for operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a concerning negative stockholders' equity, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of -3.07. This indicates significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is also negative, suggesting a weak capital structure. These factors highlight the need for strategic financial restructuring to improve stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive, but the free cash flow has declined by 24.1%, indicating potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.06, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthier at 0.77, but the decline in free cash flow growth raises concerns about future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue222.58B222.58B226.83B204.98B181.33B162.47B
Gross Profit8.17B8.17B7.41B6.89B6.48B6.78B
EBITDA3.11B3.11B1.96B1.44B55.00M1.29B
Net Income1.56B1.56B852.00M330.00M-938.00M611.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.12B53.12B45.12B43.35B43.88B44.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.87B3.87B5.13B4.08B4.72B3.41B
Total Debt8.53B8.53B5.09B4.70B5.32B6.24B
Total Liabilities55.76B55.76B48.33B46.31B44.58B42.66B
Stockholders Equity-2.78B-2.78B-3.21B-2.96B-709.00M1.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.85B1.85B3.25B2.36B2.73B2.03B
Operating Cash Flow2.40B2.40B3.76B2.84B3.12B2.43B
Investing Cash Flow-5.61B-5.61B-1.85B-454.00M567.00M-378.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.95B1.95B-847.00M-3.05B-2.46B-1.32B

Cardinal Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price153.71
Price Trends
50DMA
152.41
Positive
100DMA
154.97
Negative
200DMA
141.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
54.48
Neutral
STOCH
58.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 153.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 150.47, above the 50-day MA of 152.41, and above the 200-day MA of 141.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CAH.

Cardinal Health Risk Analysis

Cardinal Health disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cardinal Health reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cardinal Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
8.01B21.2411.29%2.29%14.98%
69
Neutral
94.60B29.39-160.85%0.39%20.35%11.96%
65
Neutral
$36.91B23.96-43.80%1.36%-1.94%85.70%
65
Neutral
3.10B14.7711.48%0.63%4.23%
59
Neutral
59.52B30.7495.81%0.72%11.56%5.31%
41
Neutral
368.45M-0.31428.07%-17.10%-2720.40%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAH
Cardinal Health
153.71
44.90
41.26%
COR
Cencora
307.00
83.78
37.53%
HSIC
Henry Schein
66.06
-6.84
-9.38%
MCK
McKesson
760.55
268.31
54.51%
OMI
Owens & Minor
4.77
-10.92
-69.60%
PBH
Prestige Consumer Healthcare
62.97
-9.13
-12.66%

Cardinal Health Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Cardinal Health Completes $1 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Cardinal Health completed a public offering of $1 billion in notes, with proceeds intended to fund part of its proposed acquisition of Solaris Health. If the acquisition is not completed by August 12, 2026, or if Cardinal Health decides not to pursue it, the company will be required to redeem the notes at a premium.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAH) stock is a Hold with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardinal Health stock, see the CAH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cardinal Health Secures $1 Billion in Notes Sale
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Cardinal Health entered into an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions for the sale of $1 billion in notes, consisting of $600 million in 4.500% Notes due 2030 and $400 million in 5.150% Notes due 2035. This financial maneuver is part of Cardinal Health’s strategy to optimize its capital structure, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering implications for investors and stakeholders in terms of financial stability and growth prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAH) stock is a Hold with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardinal Health stock, see the CAH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2025