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Ralph Lauren Corp (RL)
NYSE:RL
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Ralph Lauren (RL) AI Stock Analysis

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RL

Ralph Lauren

(NYSE:RL)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$334.00
▲(4.13% Upside)
Ralph Lauren's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic initiatives and solid technical indicators support a favorable outlook, though valuation and potential tariff impacts warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Brand Endorsement
The engagement of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce, both wearing Ralph Lauren, supports the strength of RL's brand and likely continued momentum ahead.
Guidance and Valuation
Management increased revenue guidance to reflect the first-quarter beat and embedded a foreign exchange benefit due to the weaker USD.
Sales Performance
Ralph Lauren reported stronger sales in each geography, with significant growth in Asia, North America, and Europe.
Negative Factors
Stock Performance
Stock's decline a function of high expectations despite well above consensus Q1 results and Q2 guidance.
US Consumer Concerns
Management maintains a cautious view on the US consumer due to tariffs and resulting price increases.

Ralph Lauren (RL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ralph Lauren Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRalph Lauren Corporation (RL) is a globally recognized American fashion company known for its premium lifestyle products that encompass apparel, accessories, home furnishings, and fragrances. Founded in 1967 by designer Ralph Lauren, the brand is synonymous with classic American style and has established a diverse portfolio of products that cater to various market segments, including men, women, and children. The company operates through multiple segments, including wholesale, retail, and licensing, offering a wide range of products such as clothing, footwear, and home goods.
How the Company Makes MoneyRalph Lauren generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company sells its products through wholesale channels to department stores and specialty retailers, which accounts for a significant portion of its income. Retail sales from its own branded stores and e-commerce platforms also contribute substantially to revenue, allowing the company to engage directly with consumers. Additionally, Ralph Lauren benefits from licensing agreements that allow third-party manufacturers to produce and sell products under the Ralph Lauren brand, providing a steady stream of royalty income. The brand's strong global presence, including a focus on international markets, further enhances its revenue potential. Significant partnerships with retail giants and collaborations with other brands also play a crucial role in expanding its market reach and driving sales.

Ralph Lauren Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Geography
Net Revenue by Geography
Shows the distribution of net revenue across various regions, providing insight into Ralph Lauren's market strength and potential growth areas globally.
Chart InsightsRalph Lauren's international segments, Europe and Asia, are driving revenue growth, now surpassing North America as the primary revenue source. This shift aligns with the company's strategic expansion and record performance in these regions. Despite robust global performance, North America faces macroeconomic challenges, potentially impacting future growth. Management remains optimistic about fiscal 2026, focusing on brand elevation and consumer engagement, but acknowledges tariff-related cost pressures and a cautious North American outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Ralph Lauren Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Ralph Lauren's first quarter results were strong, with significant growth across multiple regions and categories, improved margins, and raised guidance. However, there are concerns about potential impacts from tariffs in the second half of the year. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2026
Ralph Lauren's first quarter results exceeded expectations with double-digit top line growth in Asia and Europe, and high single-digit growth in North America. Global comps were up 13%.
Significant Growth in Asia
Asia sales increased by 19%, with China growing more than 30%. The company attributes this success to strong brand-building initiatives and marketing activations.
Improved Gross and Operating Margins
Adjusted gross margin expanded by 160 basis points to 72.1%, and adjusted operating margin expanded by 230 basis points to 16.6%, driven by stronger full-price selling and lower discounting.
Increased Full Year Guidance
Ralph Lauren raised its full-year outlook, now expecting constant currency revenues to increase low to mid-single digits, up from low single digits previously.
Growth in Key Categories and Customer Acquisition
The company added 1.4 million new customers to its DTC businesses, with significant growth in women's apparel, outerwear, and handbags.
Negative Updates
Potential Tariff-Related Pressures
There is caution about the second half of the year due to potential tariff-related pressures on broader consumer behavior, particularly in North America.
Inventory Increase
Net inventory increased by 18% year-over-year, partly due to strategic pull-forwards in response to tariffs.
Company Guidance
During the Ralph Lauren First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Call, the company reported impressive financial results, surpassing expectations with an 11% increase in total revenue, driven by strong performance across all regions and channels. Notably, Asia saw a 19% revenue growth, Europe increased by 10%, and North America grew by 8%. The company's global comparable sales rose by 13%, with a notable increase in digital and brick-and-mortar stores. Ralph Lauren also improved its adjusted gross margin by 160 basis points to 72.1%, driven by a 14% increase in average unit retail prices (AUR) and reduced discounting. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to a low to mid-single-digit increase, citing continued strong consumer engagement and brand desirability. Despite potential tariff-related pressures, Ralph Lauren remains confident due to its strategic growth drivers, including marketing investments and AI-driven predictive buying programs.

Ralph Lauren Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ralph Lauren demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet reflects prudent leverage use, though cash flow metrics suggest areas for improvement in cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ralph Lauren has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.92%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, including a gross profit margin of 68.20% and a net profit margin of 10.91% in the TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 14.59% and 17.61%, respectively. These figures indicate effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 31.52%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 25.04% in the TTM period, which could be a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.50, suggesting a moderate conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 67.36%, indicating a reasonable level of cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.29B7.08B6.63B6.44B6.22B4.40B
Gross Profit5.03B4.85B4.43B4.17B4.15B2.86B
EBITDA1.28B1.21B1.05B952.80M1.04B221.30M
Net Income794.70M742.90M646.30M522.70M600.10M-121.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.75B7.05B6.60B6.79B7.72B7.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.28B2.08B1.78B1.57B2.60B2.78B
Total Debt3.24B2.67B2.68B2.88B3.39B3.62B
Total Liabilities5.24B4.46B4.15B4.36B5.19B5.28B
Stockholders Equity2.52B2.59B2.45B2.43B2.54B2.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow763.80M1.02B904.90M193.50M549.00M273.10M
Operating Cash Flow1.13B1.24B1.07B411.00M715.90M380.90M
Investing Cash Flow-374.80M-264.10M-256.80M471.50M-717.90M195.00M
Financing Cash Flow-336.30M-704.00M-665.60M-1.21B-665.70M356.80M

Ralph Lauren Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price320.75
Price Trends
50DMA
291.15
Positive
100DMA
271.23
Positive
200DMA
253.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.28
Negative
RSI
72.24
Negative
STOCH
94.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 320.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 294.52, above the 50-day MA of 291.15, and above the 200-day MA of 253.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RL.

Ralph Lauren Risk Analysis

Ralph Lauren disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ralph Lauren reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ralph Lauren Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.95B22.3620.93%2.35%2.90%182.72%
77
Outperform
$17.99B24.8332.55%1.08%9.61%21.14%
72
Outperform
$4.13B9.649.32%0.17%-1.14%-29.30%
71
Outperform
$4.41B17.6958.07%2.56%3.47%5.86%
71
Outperform
$3.38B24.928.89%1.61%2.26%-37.52%
61
Neutral
$17.96B13.14-5.29%3.00%1.25%-13.95%
55
Neutral
$5.80B68.327.83%2.40%-7.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RL
Ralph Lauren
320.75
150.43
88.32%
PVH
PVH
89.33
-5.46
-5.76%
VFC
VF
14.97
-2.34
-13.52%
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
22.55
4.49
24.86%
KTB
Kontoor Brands
80.40
10.15
14.45%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
8.72
-1.04
-10.66%

Ralph Lauren Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ralph Lauren Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

The Annual Meeting of Stockholders of Ralph Lauren Corporation took place on July 31, 2025, where all nominated directors were elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. Additionally, the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 28, 2026, was ratified, and the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to its governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ralph Lauren Completes $500 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Ralph Lauren Corporation completed a $500 million offering of 5.000% Senior Notes due 2032, with the proceeds intended for general corporate purposes, potentially including the repayment of existing debt. The issuance, managed by major financial institutions, reflects the company’s strategic financial management and positions it to maintain its competitive edge in the luxury fashion market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025