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Ralph Lauren Corp (RL)
NYSE:RL

Ralph Lauren (RL) AI Stock Analysis

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RL

Ralph Lauren

(NYSE:RL)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$311.00
▲(16.39%Upside)
Ralph Lauren's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. While valuation is on the high side, the company's strategic financial management and international growth prospects provide a solid outlook. Cautious optimism is warranted given macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Brand Strength
Despite challenging market conditions, RL is seen as a standout in its sector due to its brand momentum and global diversification.
Earnings Performance
RL reported 4Q adjusted EPS of $2.27, which is 13% above the Street expectations.
Stock Buyback and Dividends
RL announced a 10% dividend increase and a $1.5bn increase to its share repurchase program.
Negative Factors
Market Concerns
Management is taking a cautious view on the second half of the year given the potential for weaker demand, particularly in the US.
Valuation Concerns
Valuation has become a bit stretched, indicating potential concerns about overvaluation.

Ralph Lauren (RL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ralph Lauren Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRalph Lauren Corporation is a global leader in the design, marketing, and distribution of premium lifestyle products. The company operates through three major segments: apparel, home, and accessories. Its core offerings include a wide range of men's, women's, and children's clothing, footwear, fragrances, home goods, and accessories. Ralph Lauren's portfolio of brands, including Polo Ralph Lauren, Ralph Lauren Collection, and Lauren Ralph Lauren, are emblematic of American style and luxury, catering to a broad demographic of consumers worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyRalph Lauren generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products across wholesale, retail, and licensing channels. The wholesale segment involves selling apparel and related products to department stores, specialty retailers, and international distributors. The retail segment encompasses company-operated stores, including flagship stores, factory outlets, and e-commerce platforms, providing direct access to consumers. Licensing agreements also contribute significantly to Ralph Lauren's revenue, allowing third parties to manufacture and distribute products under its brand names, such as eyewear and fragrances. Key factors contributing to its earnings include brand strength, global distribution networks, and strategic partnerships with high-profile retailers and digital platforms.

Ralph Lauren Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 22, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance for Ralph Lauren Corporation in fiscal 2025, with significant growth in international markets and robust financial metrics. However, caution is advised due to potential macroeconomic challenges, especially in North America, and the impact of tariffs on costs. Overall, the company is optimistic but prudent in its approach to fiscal 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record International Revenue Growth
Ralph Lauren Corporation delivered an 8% top-line growth for the full year, with record revenues in Europe and Asia, which now make up the majority of total company revenues.
Strong Financial Performance
The company exceeded expectations with a 24% growth in adjusted operating profits and generated $1 billion in free cash flow, returning $625 million to shareholders.
Expansion in Key Markets
Ralph Lauren opened 83 new owned and partner stores, focusing on key cities, particularly in Asia, and acquired a global Polo flagship location in Soho, Manhattan.
Increased Brand Engagement
The company added a record 5.9 million new consumers to its DTC businesses and increased social media followers by low double digits, surpassing 65 million.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Concerns
The global operating environment is becoming more challenging with uncertainties around tariffs and broader consumer behavior, particularly in North America.
Tariff-Related Cost Pressures
Tariffs are expected to impact gross margins in the second half of fiscal 2026, leading to potential cost headwinds that the company plans to mitigate through various strategies.
Cautious North America Outlook
Ralph Lauren remains cautious about the North American market due to potential macroeconomic challenges and consumer spending headwinds.
Company Guidance
In the Ralph Lauren Corporation's Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance, exceeding expectations with a 10% increase in revenue and a 24% growth in adjusted operating profits. The international businesses in Europe and Asia reached record revenues, now accounting for the majority of the company's total revenue. The company added 5.9 million new consumers to its direct-to-consumer (DTC) businesses, with a high single-digit increase in new customer acquisition. The brand saw a low double-digit growth in social media followers, surpassing 65 million. Marketing investments grew to 7.3% of sales, with a strong focus on brand elevation and consumer engagement across key markets. The company reported an adjusted gross margin expansion of 260 basis points to 69.2%, driven by a 9% increase in average unit retail (AUR) prices. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Ralph Lauren anticipates low single-digit revenue growth, with a modest operating margin expansion, despite macroeconomic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts.

Ralph Lauren Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ralph Lauren demonstrates a robust financial profile characterized by strong revenue growth, efficient operations, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but profitability and cash generation capabilities offset potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ralph Lauren has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 6.75% from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 68.5%, and the net profit margin has improved to 10.5%. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect healthy operational efficiency, indicating robust profitability. The upward trend in revenue and profit margins highlights the company's strength in capitalizing on market opportunities and managing costs effectively.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is fairly strong at 36.7%, suggesting a solid asset base funded by equity. Return on equity has improved to 28.7%, showcasing effective use of shareholder capital. However, the decrease in cash reserves may pose a risk if the company's cash flow is not managed efficiently.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Ralph Lauren's cash flow statement shows a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.66, indicating strong cash-generating ability from operations. Free cash flow has grown by 12.6% year-over-year, reflecting effective capital expenditures and operational efficiency. The company's ability to generate cash from operations and maintain sufficient free cash flow boosts its financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.08B6.63B6.44B6.22B4.40B
Gross Profit
4.85B4.43B4.17B4.15B2.86B
EBIT
932.10M756.40M704.20M798.40M240.20M
EBITDA
1.23B1.06B801.70M1.04B232.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
742.90M646.30M522.70M600.10M-121.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.08B1.78B1.57B2.60B2.78B
Total Assets
7.05B6.60B6.79B7.72B7.89B
Total Debt
2.65B2.68B2.86B3.37B3.23B
Net Debt
725.00M1.01B1.33B1.51B651.30M
Total Liabilities
4.46B4.15B4.36B5.19B5.28B
Stockholders Equity
2.59B2.45B2.43B2.54B2.60B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.02B904.90M193.50M549.00M273.10M
Operating Cash Flow
1.24B1.07B411.00M715.90M380.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-264.10M-256.80M471.50M-717.90M195.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-704.00M-665.60M-1.21B-665.70M356.80M

Ralph Lauren Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price267.20
Price Trends
50DMA
242.92
Positive
100DMA
245.82
Positive
200DMA
225.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.94
Positive
RSI
52.06
Neutral
STOCH
10.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 267.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 275.52, above the 50-day MA of 242.92, and above the 200-day MA of 225.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RL.

Ralph Lauren Risk Analysis

Ralph Lauren disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ralph Lauren reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ralph Lauren Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RLRL
76
Outperform
$16.15B23.0629.49%1.23%6.75%19.71%
ZGZGN
76
Outperform
$3.51B25.948.89%1.50%2.26%-37.52%
73
Outperform
$6.94B19.7418.03%3.00%4.63%187.50%
PVPVH
72
Outperform
$3.16B9.278.31%0.23%-3.63%-37.24%
63
Neutral
$3.51B16.3612.34%1.87%-1.69%-4.01%
63
Neutral
$6.94B11.342.80%4.26%2.68%-24.70%
VFVFC
53
Neutral
$4.99B-2.39%2.81%-8.42%57.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RL
Ralph Lauren
267.20
90.39
51.12%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
62.37
-17.00
-21.42%
PVH
PVH
64.19
-48.87
-43.22%
VFC
VF
12.63
-0.73
-5.46%
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
17.10
-5.07
-22.87%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
8.65
-2.87
-24.91%

Ralph Lauren Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ralph Lauren Completes $500 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Ralph Lauren Corporation completed a $500 million offering of 5.000% Senior Notes due 2032, with the proceeds intended for general corporate purposes, potentially including the repayment of existing debt. The issuance, managed by major financial institutions, reflects the company’s strategic financial management and positions it to maintain its competitive edge in the luxury fashion market.

The most recent analyst rating on (RL) stock is a Buy with a $196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ralph Lauren stock, see the RL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ralph Lauren Amends Employment Terms for Key Executive
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

On March 30, 2025, Ralph Lauren Corporation amended its employment agreement with Halide Alagoz, ensuring her annual base salary is at least $1 million and setting her annual stock award target at $2 million starting from the fiscal 2026 grant cycle. This amendment reflects the company’s commitment to retaining key talent and may impact its financial planning and stakeholder expectations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.