tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Ralph Lauren Corp (RL)
NYSE:RL

Ralph Lauren (RL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,168 Followers

Top Page

RL

Ralph Lauren

(NYSE:RL)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$311.00
▲(11.15%Upside)
Ralph Lauren's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. While valuation is on the high side, the company's strategic financial management and international growth prospects provide a solid outlook. Cautious optimism is warranted given macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
RL reported 4Q adjusted EPS of $2.27, which is 13% above the Street expectations.
Financial Strategy
RL announced a 10% dividend increase and a $1.5bn increase to its share repurchase program.
Sales Performance
Accelerating sales across regions increase confidence that share gains are sustainable.
Negative Factors
Market Demand
Management is taking a cautious view on the 2H given the potential for weaker demand, particularly in the US.
Regional Weakness
One area of concern has been some modest weakness within NA, particularly the wholesale and e-commerce channels.
Valuation Concerns
Valuation has become a bit stretched, indicating potential concerns about overvaluation.

Ralph Lauren (RL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ralph Lauren Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRalph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes lifestyle products in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers apparel, including a range of men's, women's, and children's clothing; footwear and accessories, which comprise casual shoes, dress shoes, boots, sneakers, sandals, eyewear, watches, fashion and fine jewelry, scarves, hats, gloves, and umbrellas, as well as leather goods, such as handbags, luggage, small leather goods, and belts; home products consisting of bed and bath lines, furniture, fabric and wallcoverings, lighting, tabletop, kitchen linens, floor coverings, and giftware; and fragrances. It sells apparel and accessories under the Ralph Lauren Collection, Ralph Lauren Purple Label, Polo Ralph Lauren, Double RL, Lauren Ralph Lauren, Polo Golf Ralph Lauren, Ralph Lauren Golf, RLX Ralph Lauren, Polo Ralph Lauren Children, and Chaps brands; women's fragrances under the Ralph Lauren Collection, Woman by Ralph Lauren, Romance Collection, and Ralph Collection brand names; and men's fragrances under the Polo Blue, Ralph's Club, Safari, Purple Label, Polo Red, Polo Green, Polo Black, Polo Sport, and Big Pony Men's brand names. The company's restaurant collection includes The Polo Bar in New York City; RL Restaurant in Chicago; Ralph's in Paris; The Bar at Ralph Lauren located in Milan; and Ralph's Coffee concept. It sells its products to department stores, specialty stores, and golf and pro shops, as well as directly to consumers through its retail stores, concession-based shop-within-shops, and its digital commerce sites. The company directly operates 504 retail stores and 684 concession-based shop-within-shops; and operates 175 Ralph Lauren stores, 329 factory stores, and 148 stores and shops through licensing partners. Ralph Lauren Corporation was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyRalph Lauren generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products across wholesale, retail, and licensing channels. The wholesale segment involves selling apparel and related products to department stores, specialty retailers, and international distributors. The retail segment encompasses company-operated stores, including flagship stores, factory outlets, and e-commerce platforms, providing direct access to consumers. Licensing agreements also contribute significantly to Ralph Lauren's revenue, allowing third parties to manufacture and distribute products under its brand names, such as eyewear and fragrances. Key factors contributing to its earnings include brand strength, global distribution networks, and strategic partnerships with high-profile retailers and digital platforms.

Ralph Lauren Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Geography
Net Revenue by Geography
Shows the distribution of net revenue across various regions, providing insight into Ralph Lauren's market strength and potential growth areas globally.
Chart InsightsRalph Lauren's international segments, Europe and Asia, are driving revenue growth, now surpassing North America as the primary revenue source. This shift aligns with the company's strategic expansion and record performance in these regions. Despite robust global performance, North America faces macroeconomic challenges, potentially impacting future growth. Management remains optimistic about fiscal 2026, focusing on brand elevation and consumer engagement, but acknowledges tariff-related cost pressures and a cautious North American outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Ralph Lauren Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 22, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance for Ralph Lauren Corporation in fiscal 2025, with significant growth in international markets and robust financial metrics. However, caution is advised due to potential macroeconomic challenges, especially in North America, and the impact of tariffs on costs. Overall, the company is optimistic but prudent in its approach to fiscal 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record International Revenue Growth
Ralph Lauren Corporation delivered an 8% top-line growth for the full year, with record revenues in Europe and Asia, which now make up the majority of total company revenues.
Strong Financial Performance
The company exceeded expectations with a 24% growth in adjusted operating profits and generated $1 billion in free cash flow, returning $625 million to shareholders.
Expansion in Key Markets
Ralph Lauren opened 83 new owned and partner stores, focusing on key cities, particularly in Asia, and acquired a global Polo flagship location in Soho, Manhattan.
Increased Brand Engagement
The company added a record 5.9 million new consumers to its DTC businesses and increased social media followers by low double digits, surpassing 65 million.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Concerns
The global operating environment is becoming more challenging with uncertainties around tariffs and broader consumer behavior, particularly in North America.
Tariff-Related Cost Pressures
Tariffs are expected to impact gross margins in the second half of fiscal 2026, leading to potential cost headwinds that the company plans to mitigate through various strategies.
Cautious North America Outlook
Ralph Lauren remains cautious about the North American market due to potential macroeconomic challenges and consumer spending headwinds.
Company Guidance
In the Ralph Lauren Corporation's Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance, exceeding expectations with a 10% increase in revenue and a 24% growth in adjusted operating profits. The international businesses in Europe and Asia reached record revenues, now accounting for the majority of the company's total revenue. The company added 5.9 million new consumers to its direct-to-consumer (DTC) businesses, with a high single-digit increase in new customer acquisition. The brand saw a low double-digit growth in social media followers, surpassing 65 million. Marketing investments grew to 7.3% of sales, with a strong focus on brand elevation and consumer engagement across key markets. The company reported an adjusted gross margin expansion of 260 basis points to 69.2%, driven by a 9% increase in average unit retail (AUR) prices. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Ralph Lauren anticipates low single-digit revenue growth, with a modest operating margin expansion, despite macroeconomic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts.

Ralph Lauren Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ralph Lauren demonstrates a robust financial profile characterized by strong revenue growth, efficient operations, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but profitability and cash generation capabilities offset potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ralph Lauren has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 6.75% from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 68.5%, and the net profit margin has improved to 10.5%. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect healthy operational efficiency, indicating robust profitability. The upward trend in revenue and profit margins highlights the company's strength in capitalizing on market opportunities and managing costs effectively.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is fairly strong at 36.7%, suggesting a solid asset base funded by equity. Return on equity has improved to 28.7%, showcasing effective use of shareholder capital. However, the decrease in cash reserves may pose a risk if the company's cash flow is not managed efficiently.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Ralph Lauren's cash flow statement shows a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.66, indicating strong cash-generating ability from operations. Free cash flow has grown by 12.6% year-over-year, reflecting effective capital expenditures and operational efficiency. The company's ability to generate cash from operations and maintain sufficient free cash flow boosts its financial flexibility.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.08B6.63B6.44B6.22B4.40B
Gross Profit4.85B4.43B4.17B4.15B2.86B
EBITDA1.23B1.06B801.70M1.04B232.60M
Net Income742.90M646.30M522.70M600.10M-121.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.05B6.60B6.79B7.72B7.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.08B1.78B1.57B2.60B2.78B
Total Debt2.65B2.68B2.86B3.37B3.23B
Total Liabilities4.46B4.15B4.36B5.19B5.28B
Stockholders Equity2.59B2.45B2.43B2.54B2.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.02B904.90M193.50M549.00M273.10M
Operating Cash Flow1.24B1.07B411.00M715.90M380.90M
Investing Cash Flow-264.10M-256.80M471.50M-717.90M195.00M
Financing Cash Flow-704.00M-665.60M-1.21B-665.70M356.80M

Ralph Lauren Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price279.81
Price Trends
50DMA
261.38
Positive
100DMA
247.50
Positive
200DMA
232.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.53
Negative
RSI
61.24
Neutral
STOCH
78.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 279.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 270.36, above the 50-day MA of 261.38, and above the 200-day MA of 232.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RL.

Ralph Lauren Risk Analysis

Ralph Lauren disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ralph Lauren reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ralph Lauren Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$7.55B21.5018.03%2.70%4.63%187.50%
RLRL
76
Outperform
$16.95B24.1129.49%1.33%6.75%19.71%
ZGZGN
76
Outperform
$3.73B27.608.89%1.44%2.26%-37.52%
71
Outperform
$3.49B16.3012.34%1.87%-1.69%-4.01%
PVPVH
68
Neutral
$3.48B10.218.31%0.20%-3.63%-37.24%
62
Neutral
$16.85B11.50-7.38%2.96%1.59%-23.36%
VFVFC
47
Neutral
$4.86B-2.39%2.88%-7.52%94.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RL
Ralph Lauren
279.81
105.33
60.37%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
63.83
-14.53
-18.54%
PVH
PVH
72.44
-33.99
-31.94%
VFC
VF
12.58
-0.59
-4.48%
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
19.11
0.72
3.92%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
9.15
-2.15
-19.03%

Ralph Lauren Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ralph Lauren Completes $500 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Ralph Lauren Corporation completed a $500 million offering of 5.000% Senior Notes due 2032, with the proceeds intended for general corporate purposes, potentially including the repayment of existing debt. The issuance, managed by major financial institutions, reflects the company’s strategic financial management and positions it to maintain its competitive edge in the luxury fashion market.

The most recent analyst rating on (RL) stock is a Buy with a $196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ralph Lauren stock, see the RL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 06, 2025